Prepare Now and Survive the Coming Bear Market
By Michael Sincere and Mark D. Cook
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About this ebook
In the book, "Prepare Now and Survive the Coming Bear Market," author and columnist Michael Sincere interviews professional trader Mark D. Cook on how to navigate through a treacherous bear market. Cook takes readers through the 11 stages of a bear market, including how it begins and ends. Cook strongly believes a vicious bear market is coming, and you will learn the warning signs that a major plunge is imminent.
Cook is not just a market expert but he is a Market Wizard who correctly predicted the 1987, 2000, and 2008 market crashes, and also went long in 2009. Most investors can profit when stocks are soaring, yet are overwhelmed when they continually decline. With his 38 years experience, Cook not only survived three major bear markets but also has amassed a fortune from them. In fact, he made the most money during these bear markets precisely because they were so fast and vicious.
After reading "Prepare Now and Survive the Coming Bear Market," instead of fearing bear markets, you will know what to expect. If you are prepared, it’s possible you can not only avoid losing money but also make a profit.
Michael Sincere
Michael Sincere (www.michaelsincere.com) is the author of a number of investment and trading books.
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Prepare Now and Survive the Coming Bear Market - Michael Sincere
PREPARE NOW AND
SURVIVE THE COMING
BEAR MARKET
This Time is Not Different
By Mark D. Cook and Michael Sincere
Foreword by Jack Schwager
© 2015 Published by Sincere Books, LLC at Smashwords
License Notes
This ebook is licensed for your personal enjoyment only. It may not be resold or given away to other people. If you would like to share this book with another person, please purchase an additional copy for each recipient. If you’re reading this book and did not purchase it, or it was not purchased for your use only, then please return to Smashwords.com and purchase your own copy. Thank you for respecting the hard work of this author.
Book Cover Design by Evrice Cornelius
Layout/formatting by Lighthouse24
Contents
Title page
Dedication
Foreword
Introduction
Prepare Now and Survive the Coming Bear Market
Conclusion
Author Biographies
Acknowledgements
Dedication
by Mark D. Cook
This book is dedicated to my son, Ryan J. Cook, for his inspiration, research, and commitment to the Cook trading rules and principles. Without Ryan's effort, input, and support, this book would not have been possible.
Foreword
by Jack Schwager (author of the bestselling books, Market Wizards and Stock Market Wizards)
The first time I saw Mark Cook he was a fellow speaker at an industry conference, and he made an impression before he uttered a single word. He came up to the podium dressed in bib overalls. He did this to make a point about his roots, but his choice of dress was not merely show; there was also substance to it. Even though he had made millions trading, at the time, Cook continued to do some farm work himself. Although it was difficult to justify his manual labor in any economic sense, Cook rationalized his part-time farm work, which was in addition to the fifty to sixty hours per week he put in as a trader, by saying that he was a workaholic. This may have been true enough, but I also believed that Cook would have felt a tinge of guilt if he had worked only
as a trader while his then eighty-one-year-old father continued to farm full-time.
About a year later (1999), I called Cook to ask him to participate as an interview subject for my third Market Wizards book, Stock Market Wizards. He agreed and I flew out to Ohio to meet him. I interviewed Cook over the course of two days, spending the night as a guest on his farm.
While I was there, Cook took me for a tour of the local area. As we drove along, Cook pointed out various tracts of land, which he identified by a year number. There’s 1997,
he said, referring to the farm he had bought with his 1997 trading profits. There’s 1995,
he said a few moments later, and so on. He apparently has had a lot of good years. Cook is almost zealous about converting his trading profits into real assets—and for Cook farmland is the ultimate real asset.
Cook’s early attempts at trading were marked by setbacks. Cook didn’t just encounter initial failure, he failed repeatedly and spectacularly, losing his entire trading stake several times, and on one occasion, more than his entire net worth. Cook, however, never gave up. Each failure only made him work harder. Finally, after many years of carefully tracking the stock market, filling volumes of market diaries, and assiduously recording and analyzing every trade he made, his trading became consistently profitable.
Once Cook became confident in his trading abilities, he entered several market contests, registering an 89 percent gain in a four-month competition in 1989, and 563 percent and 322 percent returns in back-to-back annual contests beginning in 1992. His annual returns in the subsequent six years (the six years prior to the year I interviewed him) ranged between 30 percent and a stratospheric 1,422 percent. These statistics are based on defining percent return as annual dollar profits divided by beginning year equity, a conservative definition that understates Cook’s true performance, because he frequently withdraws profits from his account but never adds funds.
For example, in his low-return year (based on our definition of percent return), his withdrawals during the year exceeded his starting capital. At the time of our interview, Cook had provided me with his account statements for his most recent four years. During this period, he was profitable on 87 percent of all trading days, with one-third of the months showing only winning days.
I had interviewed Cook only months before the major stock market peak in early 2000. I contacted Cook several years later to get an update before the release of a paperback version of Stock Market Wizards. Cook had continued to roll along in his trading. Given his methodology, it makes no difference to him whether stocks are in a bull market or a bear market.
For comparison, though, during the April 2000 - September 2002 period when the S&P 500 declined by 45 percent and the Nasdaq by 75 percent, Cook’s trading account realized a