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Vietnam’s Defence Policy and its

Impact on Foreign Relations

Professor Carlyle A. Thayer

Inaugural Frances M. and Stephen H. Fuller Distinguished Visiting Professor of


Southeast Asian Studies, Center of International Studies, Ohio University, Athens
Paper for EuroViet 6, Asien-Afrika Institut, Universitat Hamburg,
Hamburg, Germany, June 6-8, 2008

1. Introduction

This paper seeks to explore a largely neglected aspect of Vietnam‘s ‗multidirectional


foreign policy‘, defence diplomacy, and its impact on foreign policy. Foreign policy in
Vietnam has always been the preserve of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Bo Ngoai
Giao) whose minister generally holds a seat on the Political Bureau. When this has
not been the case, a senior member of the Political Bureau takes responsibility for
foreign policy oversight. In contrast, the Minister of National Defence (Bo Quoc
Phong) has always been a member of the Political Bureau. Up until about 1992 there
was no apparent joint coordinating mechanism for these two ministries outside of
the Political Bureau. In 1992 a National Defence and Security Council (NDSC) was
created which includes among its members the ministers of foreign affairs, national
defence and public security. It is doubtful that the NDSC performs a strong
coordinating role. In short, Vietnam‘s defence diplomacy, while following general
guidelines issued by the Political Bureau and party Central Committee, is largely a
product of the Ministry of National Defence.

Since the end of the Cold War the strategic context for Vietnam‘s foreign and defence
policies has changed enormously. Changes first began to emerge in the mid to late-
1980s. At least two major factors influenced this development. The first factor

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concerned Vietnam‘s domestic circumstances arising from the socio-economic crisis
that confronted Vietnam at that time. The second factor was external and arose from
the ‗new political thinking‘ emanating from the Soviet Union under the leadership of
Mikhail Gorbachev. Due to the confluence of domestic and external influences
Vietnam turned from a foreign policy structured by ideological considerations to a
foreign policy framework that placed greater emphasis on national interest and
pragmatic diplomacy. Vietnamese analysts now stressed global economic forces and
the impact of the revolution in science and technology as key determinants of global
order (Nguyen Manh Cam, 1995:223-230 and Vu Khoan, 1995:71-76). This evolution
took place gradually (Palmujoki: 2004) and the ideological framework of the past
was not jettisoned entirely, residues of the past can still be found today.

In December 1986, at the sixth national congress of Vietnam Communist Party (VCP),
Vietnam adopted the policy of doi moi (renovation). This policy was mainly
concerned with overcoming the domestic economic crisis by the adoption of socio-
economic reforms and opening Vietnam to foreign investment. In order to achieve
these objectives Vietnam first had to liquidate the Cambodian problem. In 1987, the
Politburo met and secretly approved Resolution No. 2 that set out a major strategic
readjustment in Vietnam‘s defence policy – ‗people‘s war and all-people‘s national
defence‘. Vietnam‘s new strategic policy resulted in the withdrawal of all combat
forces from Laos and Cambodia and the massive demobilization of regulars. The
Vietnamese military was promised funding to support these measures. Vietnam‘s
major strategic readjustment set the context for further dramatic changes in foreign
policy.

In May 1988, Vietnamese party leaders agreed on a new codification of foreign policy
objectives. This took the form of Politburo Resolution No. 13 which called for a
‗multi-directional foreign policy‘ orientation (Chu Van Chuc 2004:4-7). The new
emphasis was ‗to maintain peace, take advantage of favorable world conditions‘ in
order to stabilize the domestic situation and set the base for economic development
over the next ten to fifteen years. This resolution is now recognized as a major
landmark in Vietnam‘s external relations. The next important elaboration of
Vietnam‘s ‗multi-directional foreign policy‘ occurred at the seventh national party
congress in June 1991 (Vu Khoan 1995:75). Policy documents adopted at this
congress declared that Vietnam would ‗diversify and multilateralise economic

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relations with all countries and economic organizations…‘ In short, Vietnam now
sought ‗to be friends with all countries‘.

In September 1989, Vietnam unilaterally withdrew its armed forces from Cambodia.
The Vietnam People‘s Army (VPA), which numbered 1.2 million in 1987, was reduced
in size with the demobilization of 700,000 troops over the next five years. In October
1991, Vietnam was a signatory to the comprehensive political settlement that brought
an end to the Cambodian conflict. Vietnam was no longer an international pariah
state subject to an aid and trade boycott. In sum, the settlement of the Cambodian
conflict resulted in the transformation of regional relations from confrontation
between two blocs to cooperation among the states of Southeast Asia.

In July 1992 Vietnam attended the annual ASEAN Ministerial Meeting as an


observer for the first time. Vietnam acceded to the 1976 ASEAN Treaty of Amity and
Cooperation at this meeting. By so doing Vietnam renounced the use of force or the
threat to use force in foreign relations and committed itself to the non-violent
resolution of any conflict that might arise. Two years later, at the 1994 ASEAN
Ministerial Meeting in Bangkok, Vietnam was invited to join ASEAN. It also became
a founding member of the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) at this time. Vietnam‘s
application for ASEAN membership was formally approved late that year and in July
1995 Vietnam became ASEAN‘s seventh member.

Since the 1991 seventh party congress, Vietnam succeeded in diversifying its foreign
relations. Seven developments are particularly notable: normalization of relations
with China (November 1991), the restoration of official development assistance by
Japan (November 1992), normalization of relations with the United States (July
1995), membership in ASEAN (July 1995), the signing of a Framework Cooperation
Agreement with the European Union (July 17, 1995), membership in the World
Trade Organisation (WTO) in January 2007 and non-permanent membership on the
United Nations Security Council (January 2008). For the first time, Vietnam had
diplomatic relations with all five permanent members of the United Nations Security
Council and, equally importantly, with the world‘s three major economic centers:
Europe, North America and East Asia. In 1989, Vietnam had diplomatic relations
with only twenty-three non-communist states. A year after Vietnam joined ASEAN,
Vietnam expanded its external relations to 163 countries.

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2. Vietnam’s Defence Diplomacy, 1991-2004

During the Cold War Vietnam maintained defence relations with a handful of
countries; China, the Soviet Union and other members of the Warsaw Pact featured
prominently. (2) Chinese military assistance fell off after the signing of the 1973 Paris
Peace Agreement and was terminated in 1978-79 when the two fell out over
Cambodia. China and Vietnam fought a border war in February-March 1979 and only
normalized relations in November 1991. During the Cold War Vietnam also
maintained defence relations and/or contacts with a small number of other friendly
states including Laos, Cuba, India, Cambodia, Burma, Indonesia, and Yugoslavia. By
2004, according to Vietnam‘s Ministry of National Defence, Vietnam, had
established defence relations with more than sixty countries (Quan Doi Nhan Dan,
December 22, 2003). A total of thirty-four defence attaches were accredited to
Vietnam, while Vietnam posted twenty-four defence attaches abroad (Vietnam News
Agency, November 29, 2004). (3)

For purposes of this paper ‗military diplomacy‘ refers to official defence relations
between Vietnam‘s Ministry of National Defence and its overseas counterparts, such
as the U.S. Department of Defense. (4) Military diplomacy is conducted by means of
the exchange of delegations, accrediting of defence attaches, defence cooperation
programs, and equipment and arms sales and servicing agreements. In the period
from January 1990 to December 2006, Vietnam exchanged 364 high-level defence
delegations with forty-two countries. (5) For purposes of analysis, these delegations
may be divided into five major categories: ministerial (MND), Chief of the General
Staff or equivalent (CGS), head of the General Political Department (GPD), head of
the General Logistics Department or equivalent (GLD), and Service Chief (SC) for
army, navy and air force (see Chart 1). In addition to these high-level delegations, in
the period 1990-2004 Vietnam hosted at least thirty-one delegations representing
foreign staff colleges and defence institutes from nine countries. (6) Between 1990
and July 2007, Vietnam hosted fifty-eight separate naval ship visits from sixteen
countries.

Of the 364 high-level exchange visits, Vietnam received 207 delegations and sent 157
delegations abroad. When the frequency of high-level exchanges is calculated (total
of delegations received and sent up to the end of 2004), three countries account for

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nearly a third of all delegations: Laos (40 exchanges), China (33 exchanges) and
Thailand (26 exchanges). The next tier includes: Cambodia (20), India (16);
Philippines and Russia (13 each); and the United States (11); France Indonesia and
Singapore (10 each); Cuba and Japan (7) (9 each); Australia (8), North Korea. South
Korea and Malaysia (7 exchanges each); Italy, Myanmar and Ukraine (6 exchanges
each); and Poland and Slovakia (4 exchanges each).

Between 1990-04, Vietnam hosted thirty-four ministerial-level delegations from 16


countries. Toping the list of visitors to Vietnam are the defence ministers from Laos
(7 visits), Thailand (5 visits), and Cambodia (3 visits). Vietnam‘s defence minister
made 40 official overseas trips to 29 countries during this same period. Vietnam‘s
defence minister most frequently visited Laos (5 visits) and China (4 visits). Prior to
Vietnam‘s membership in ASEAN, Hanoi hosted visits by defence ministers from
Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos and the Slovak Republic. At the same time, Vietnam‘s
defence minister visited China, Indonesia, North Korea, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar
and the Philippines.

The period after the settlement of the conflict in Cambodia witnessed a major
expansion in ministerial-level contacts. Vietnam resuscitated defence contacts with
former ‗traditional allies‘ such as the Russian Federation, Belarus, Bulgaria, Czech
Republic, Poland, the Slovak Republic and the Ukraine. In Northeast Asia Vietnam
exchanged ministerial level delegations with China, Japan, and South Korea. Most
notable has been the exchange of delegations with so-called western countries:
Australia, Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Switzerland and the
United States. In addition to long-standing relations with Cuba and India, Vietnam
has also developed ministerial level contacts in Africa (Algeria and South Africa) and
Latin America (Brazil).

When the data on high-level exchanges is viewed on a time scale (see Chart 2), it is
evident that the year 1994 marks the real beginning of defence diplomacy. The
general trend since then has been a steady rise in the number of high-level defence
delegations coming to Vietnam with a peaks in 2001 and 2003. There was a
noticeable drop in the exchange of delegations between 1995-2000 perhaps
reflecting Vietnam‘s difficult economic conditions, followed by the Asian financial
crisis that resulted in a decline in defence cooperation activities across the region

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generally. The number of Vietnamese delegations sent abroad has mirrored but
trailed the generally rising trend of high-level delegations received.

It should be noted that the exchange of delegations representing the General Political
Department (GPD) takes place only among socialist states. The highest number of
exchanges of GPD delegations has been with Laos (44% of the total) and China (29%).

The category Logistics is a catch-all for a variety of delegations at deputy ministerial


level. This category reflects Vietnamese organizational practice whereby the head of
the General Logistics Department (GLD) is also a deputy minister of national defence.
Foreign delegations that are received by the head of the VPA General Logistics
Department have been placed in this category. The category Logistics also includes
exchanges between the external relations department (ERD) of defence ministries
and other groups such cryptology (Laos) and military education (Russia).

The fifth category of high-level delegations comprises the service chiefs (army, navy
and air). Once again, it should be noted, defence forces are not structured in the
same way. The United States, for example, has a number of combatant commanders
in charge of geographical areas of responsibility, such as the Pacific Command
(PACOM). The U.S. PACOM Commander (formerly CINCPAC) is included in the
Service Chiefs category as are the commanders of the Russian and French Pacific
fleets. The data indicates a marked imbalance in the number of reciprocal exchanges.
Between 1990 and 2004, Vietnam received forty delegations in the Service Chiefs
category while sending only nine abroad.

The exchange of high-level defence delegations serves a number of purposes


including goodwill, protocol visits for newly appointed officials, strategic dialogue,
and a variety of practical defence cooperation activities between ministries, armed
services and defence industries. This section will review some of Vietnam ‗s most
significant defence cooperation relations starting with the three countries with whom
Vietnam has exchanged the most high-level delegations.

3. Defence Relations with the ASEAN States

Bilateral. Vietnam has conducted relatively intense high-level defence exchanges


with six of ASEAN‘s ten members. In addition to Laos and Cambodia, this list

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includes Thailand, the Philippines, Indonesia and Singapore. Vietnam‘s defence
relations with Brunei, Malaysia and Myanmar do not involve substantial defence
interaction.

The relative intensity of high-level defence exchanges between Thailand and Vietnam
should be noted. The main content of defence relations are protocol exchange visits,
exchanges by staff colleges and defence institutes, and maritime security. (8) However
more practical matters were also included. For example, in January 2007, the
Supreme Commander of the Royal Thai Armed Forces, General Boonsrang
Niumpradit, held discussions with the VPA Chief of the General Staff, Lt. Gen.
Nguyen Khac Vien on cooperation in training, sea patrols, search and rescue of
fishermen, sports competition and ‗other issues of common concern.‘ In December
2007, General Anupong Pachinda, Commander in Chief of the Royal Thai Army
visited Hanoi and held discussions with Lt. Gen. Nguyen Huu Kham, Deputy Chief of
the General Staff. The Thai visitor also held working sessions with ‗organs‘ of the
Vietam People‘s Army.

The intensity of high-level defence contacts between the Philippines and Vietnam
ranks second after Thai-Vietnamese relations. High-level defence visits since 1994
have generally focused on security issues in the South China Sea and occasional
incidents involving the encroachment by Vietnamese and Filipino fishermen into
maritime waters claimed by the other side. (9) As early as April 1994, President Fidel
Ramos, while on an official visit to Vietnam, offered to make available ten places for
Vietnamese cadets at the Philippine Military Academy. He further proposed
‗exchanges of visits by senior military officials, study tours for officers and defence
instructors and joint ventures in reconditioning of equipment, including aircraft, for
re-export‘. Little of substance appears to have taken place. After the visit of President
Ramos, Vietnamese military officials visited Subic Bay to study its conversion to
commercial use in order to draw lessons for the possible commercialization of Cam
Ranh Bay.

One of the earliest indications that Vietnam was interested in obtaining technical
assistance in the repair and maintenance of military equipment from outside the
Warsaw Pact came in late 1991 during the visit to Vietnam by Lt. General Teddy
Rusdy, the Assistant Commander in Chief of the Indonesian Armed Forces. In

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discussions with officials at the VPA‘s Defence Industry and Technology General
Department, General Rusdy received a request for technical assistance in the repair
and maintenance of military equipment. Indonesia agreed to conduct a detailed
study of the matter; but there have been no further reports of any action taken.

In 1993 the Indonesian and Vietnamese defence ministers paid reciprocal visits.
General Doan Khue, the Vietamese minister of national defence, showed particular
interest in naval shipbuilding and was taken to Surabaya to observe first hand. This
was an indication that Vietnam was investigating the possibility of enlisting foreign
partners in ship construction in Vietnam. In 1995, a delegation representing
Indonesia‘s state aircraft manufacturing corporation went to Vietnam to explore the
possibility of starting operations there. Once again nothing eventuated from these
exploratory contacts.

The 1997 Asian financial crisis and its impact on Indonesia hobbled Indonesia‘s
capacity to cooperate with Vietnam in the defence area. There was an apparent
revivial of Indonesian interest in early 2002 when Lt. General Johny Lumintang,
Secretary General of Ministry of Defence and Security held working sessions in
Hanoi with the VPA‘s General Logistics Department and General Defence Industry
Department. More recent high-level visits appear of a protocol nature., such as the
August 2007 visit by the Indonesian Air Force Chief of Staff.

Defence relations between Singapore and Vietnam were initiated in March 1995 with
the visit to Singapore by Vietnam‘s Defence Minister, General Doan Khue. The two
countries have since exchanged eleven high-level delegations (to August 2005). The
pattern indicates interest and possible cooperation between defence industries. In
November 1995, for example, the head of the VPA‘s General Department of
Technology, led a ten-member delegation on an visit that included a tour of local
defence industries. Late the following year, Deputy Prime Minister and Defence
Minister Dr. Tony Tan Keng Yam visited Vietnam. After discussions with his
Vietnamese counterpart, it was agreed that Vietnam would send a delegation to
Singapore to study its experiences in refurbishing and upgrading weapons systems
(Vietnam News Agency, November 27, 1996). In March 1999, Lt General Le Van
Dung, Chief of the General Staff, paid a visit to Singapore and called in at the

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Industrial Technologies Group for a briefing. In 2002 it was reported that Singapore
and Vietnam had reached agreement ‗in principle‘ to hold joint naval exercises.

Hanoi reportedly sought Singapore Automotive Engineering‘s (now the ST Kinetics


division of ST Engineering) assistance in upgrading its Vietnam War era M113 APCs.
Basic overhaul of 50 M113‘s is now under way at a military base in Ho Chi Minh City.
Parts have been obtained through commercial sources and weapon systems will be
installed from captured stocks, with the APCs eventually due to be deployed with a
southern-based armoured division.

In September 2007, Singapore‘s Defence Miniser, Teo Chee Hean, visited Hanoi on
an official visit for talks with his counterpart General Phung Quang Thanh. Press
reports indicated that the two ministers exchanged experiences in army building,
counter terrorism, humanitarian assistance and natural disaster relief and
peacekeeping. They agree to continue to exchange delegations. In November 2007,
General Thanh paid a three-day official reciprocal visit to Singapore and called in at
air force and navy bases in the Lion City. In March 2008, Singapore‘s Air Force chief
Maj. Gen. Ng Chee Khern visied Hanoi to discuss on-going cooperation in search and
rescue missions, human resource development and language training. General Khern
also held working visits with officers from the Air Defence and Air Force. Most
recently, the Chief of Singapore‘s Defence Force, Desmond Kuek, visited Hanoi in
April 2008 where he held discussions with the VPA Chief of the General Staff, Lt.
Gen. Nguyen Khac Nghien. Agreement was reached to focus defence cooperation on
training, medical corps and humanitarian aid.

Defence contacts between Malaysia and Vietnam date to 1992 but did not reach
senior level until October-November 1994 when General Doan Khue, Vietnam‘s
defence minister, paid an official visit to Kuala Lumpur. Khue‘s itinerary included
visits to the staff institute of the Malaysian Armed Forces, Syarikat Malaysia
Explosives Technologies, Airod Sdn Bhd, the Udang Special War Training Centre and
the Lumut Naval Base. According to Malaysia‘s Defence Minister Datuk Seri Najib
Tun Razak, ‗We agreed to develop some form of defence cooperation and
collaboration, but we didn‘t go into specifics. I prefer them to look at our industry
first‘. Although no MOU was signed the two sides agreed to enhance defence
cooperation in exchange visits, training and cooperation in defence industries.

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Despite subsequent high-level exchanges there have been no public reports of
substantial defence industry cooperation.

Multilaterally. ASEAN eschewed multilateral defence activities for most of its


existence. Prior to 2003 cooperative military activities by ASEAN states have been
extremely modest: army football and volleyball tournaments, rifle shooting contests,
(10) and biennial meetings of war veterans. (11) It was only in 2003 with the adoption
of the Bali Concord II that ASEAN set itself the goal of becoming a security
community by 2015. The ASEAN Security Community Plan of Action comprises six
components: political development, shaping and sharing of norms, conflict
prevention, conflict resolution, post-conflict peace building, and implementing
mechanisms.

In May 2004, the Working Group on Security Cooperation of ASEAN Special Senior
Officials Meeting requested the ASEAN Secretariat to draft a concept paper for
ASEAN Defence Ministers Meeting (ADMM). The concept paper specified that the
ADMM would be an integral part of ASEAN and report directly to the ASEAN
Summit. It was specifically tasked with four areas of responsibility: (1) promote
peace and stability via dialogue and cooperation; (2) give guidance to senior
defence/mililitary officials dialogue; (3) promote mutual trust and confidence,
transparency; and (4) contribute to the establishment of the ASEAN Security
Community.

The ADMM was to meet annually and be ‗open, flexible, outward looking‘ and to
complement other regional efforts to promote security dialogue and cooperation
including confidence building measures and tangible cooperation within the ASEAN
framework. The ADMM was given oversight of the ASEAN Chiefs of Defence Force
Informal Meeting, ASEAN Chiefs of Army Multilateral Meeting, ASEAN Air Force
Chiefs Conference, ASEAN Navy Interaction, ASEAN Military Intelligence Informal
Meeting. The ADMM was to engage with ASEAN‘s friends and dialogue partners.

The adoption of the ASEAN Security Community proposal gave cover for multilateral
activities to take place. The first meeting of ASEAN Air Force Commanders was
hosted by Thailand in March 2004. (12) This meeting approved plans to establish
direct communications channels to promote coordination. The ASEAN Annual

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Ministerial Meeting held in Jakarta in June 2004 endorsed plans to hold military
training exercises especially with a counter-terrorism focus. But plans so far are
modest and only include bilateral activities.

More significantly, the Fifth ASEAN Chiefs of Army Multilateral Meeting held in
West Java in September 2004 gave a positive nod to a proposal to intensify
cooperation against terrorism through the exchange of intelligence and joint
exercises. The army chiefs agreed to set up a working group to draw up a detailed
program. Vietnam‘s representative, Deputy Chief of the General Staff Major General
Nguyen Nang Nguyen, was quoted as stating that the VPA will boost cooperation
with other ASEAN armies ‗to fight terror and contribute to building an ASEAN of
peace, stability, prosperity and protection of national independence and sovereignty‘.

In November 2007, ASEAN adopted a protocol to the Concept Paper and gave
approval for the ADMM to expanded its contacts through a mechanism known as
ADMM Plus. A Joint Declaration was issued at this time endorsing a three-year work
program of defence dialogues and cooperation.

4. Defence Procurements and Defence Industry Cooperation

Over the period 1990-04, Vietnam exchanged high-level defence delegations with
forty-two countries. Press reports indicated that discussions on some aspect of
defence procurements, defence industry cooperation, research and development, and
technical training featured in discussions with at least twenty-three states. This
section reviews Vietnamese expression of interest in and purchase of weapons,
platforms and other military equipment; arms servicing agreements and defence
industry cooperation.

Vietnam has limited resources to devote to its defence establishment. The Vietnam
People‘s Army has traditionally supplemented its budget through domestic economic
and commercial activities; since the adoption of doi moi military-owned enterprises
have entered into joint venture agreements with foreign partners in order to earn
hard currency. The financial position of the VPA became particularly parlous in the
period immediately after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Figures compiled by the
U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency reveal a sharp drop in arms imports
from U.S. $1.1 billion in 1991 to U.S. $10 million in 1992 and U.S. $10 million in 1993,

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before rising to U.S. $90 million in 1994. In 1992, Vietnam managed to off-set the
costs of imports by exporting U.S. $10 million in arms sales. These were the first
reported arms exports since 1988. (13)

Chart 3 below sets out nominal government defence spending in terms of the dong,
Vietnam‘s unit of currency, as a percentage of total government expenditure for the
period 1993-03. (14) Defence spending hovered at just under thirty percent with a
slight decline in recent years. Chart 4 displays Vietnam‘s official defence funding in
real U.S. dollars for the same period. Defence funding doubled between 1993-97 to
U.S. $2 billion, declined during the two years following the Asian financial crisis, and
has since risen steadily.

Vietnam‘s defence budget is a state secret. Vietnam only rarely provides information
on arms procurements, servicing agreements and defence industry cooperation. For
example, Vietnam has submitted reports on arms imports and exports for inclusion
on the United Nations Register of Conventional Weapons annually since 1994.
During this period Vietnam reported arms imports for only four years, 1995, 1997,
2004 and 2005. Vietnam submitted ‗nil‘ reports for all the other years. These reports
are not complete. The Ukraine reported sales to Vietnam in 1995, 1996, 2002 and
2003 that are not included in Vietnam‘s reports for these years (see Table 1).

Until November 1998 Vietnam was constrained in its arms and equipment purchases
by United States national security legislation that prevented the sale of military
equipment to Vietnam that incorporated U.S. technology. Until the U.S. ban was
lifted, Vietnam was basically forced to look to those countries that had compatible
Soviet-made equipment. That did not prevent Vietnam, however, from testing the
market. Cost and compatibility have governed Vietnam‘s arms and military
equipment purchases.

Table 1
Reports to United Nations Register of Conventional Arms 1

Country 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

5 Su-22 UM3 3
4 combat aircraft, 20 missiles
Exports Reported to Vietnam nil nil nil nil
and missile launchers 2
3Su-22 4

4 combat aircraft, 20 missiles 12 missile launchers,


Imports Reported by Vietnam nil nil nil nil
and missile launchers 62 S-300 missiles

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Notes
1 The UN Conventional Register of Conventional Arms records data provided by countries that export and import weapons in
seven general categories; battle tanks, armoured combat vehicles, large caliber artillery systems, combat aircraft, attack
helicopters and missiles and missile launchers.
2 Report by the Russian Federation for calendar year 2004.
3 Report by the Czech Republic for calendar year 2005.
4 Report by Ukraine for calendar year 2005.

Russian Federation. In mid-1992 Russia executed a volte face in its policy on


withdrawal from Cam Ranh Bay and entered into a protracted series of negotiations
with Vietnam on the terms and conditions of remaining there. The two sides failed to
reach agreement and in May 2002 the Russians withdrew completely. In June 1994,
Russia and Vietnam signed a friendship treaty that replaced the 1978 Treaty of
Friendship and Cooperation. In August 1998, Vietnam and the Russian Federation
declared a ‗new strategic partnership,‘ and two years later both sides finally reached
an agreement on the settlement of outstanding debts.

The Russian Federation continues to remain Vietnam‘s main source of military


weapons and equipment, but there are indications that cost considerations have led
Vietnam to diversify its imports. In 1994, Vietnam and Russia signed three major
arms procurement contracts. (15) The first covered the sale of six Sukhoi Su-27
fighter-bombers, a flight simulator and a training package for pilots and
maintenance personnel. Reports submitted by Russia and Vietnam for inclusion on
the United Nations Register of Conventional Weapons confirmed the delivery of five
Su-27 SKs and one Su-27 UBK combat aircraft to Vietnam in 1995. Vietnam followed
up on its initial procurements by purchasing an additional six Su-27s. (16) The second
contract involved the sale of two Type 1241RA fast attack craft (FAC); while the third
contract involved the sale of four air defence radar systems.

In 1996, Russia and Vietnam established a joint venture to co-produce KBO 2000
and BPS 500-type vessels at the Ba Son naval dockyard in Ho Chi Minh City. The
former is roughly equivalent to a corvette, while the latter is a much smaller fast
attack craft armed with surface-to-surface missiles (SSMs). Vietnam also proposed
the co-production of air defence radars and surface-to-surface missiles. Subsequently,
Vietnam purchased four additional Type 1241RA fast attack craft and SSMs. (17)

Between 1996 and 1998, Russia upgraded 32 single-seat Su-22M4 and two twin-seat
Su-22UM3 ground attack aircraft.

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In 1997, Russian defence industry sources reported the sale of a number of BP-3A
battlefield vehicles and T-8 OU tanks to Vietnam. Russia‘s Almaz Central Marine
Design Bureau delivered two Type 14310 Svetlyak class patrol boats in December
2002 for use by the Coast Guard service.

The defence relationship between the two countries was further strengthened during
the February/March 2001 visit of Russian President Vladimir Putin to Vietnam.
During his stay, the two countries agreed to ―strengthen their co-operation in
military supplies to meet Vietnam‘s security demands‖. In 2002, the Russian
Federation listed the sale of eight missiles and missile launchers to Vietnam on its
annual report to the U.N. Register of Conventional Weapons. (18) In 2003, Russia and
Vietnam reached agreement on three major weapons purchases: four Su-30 MKKs
(with an option for eight more); two Molnya 1241.8 type missile boats (Ho-A Class in
Vietnam), with a further eight to be assembled in Vietnam (19), and two batteries (12
launchers each) of S-300PMU1 surface-to-air missile systems in a contract valued at
U.S. $200 million. The deal, for 12 systems has a potential value of U.S. $300 million
if all options are exercised. The combined arms purchases for 2003 totaled an
estimated U.S. $480 million.

The four Su-30 aircraft were delivered at the end of 2004. However, purchase of the
remaining eight aircraft has proven too costly for Vietnam. Vietnam‘s SU-27s and Su-
30s are expected to require an upgrade in order to operate with a range of air-to-air,
air-to-surface and anti-ship missiles, most notably the R-77 beyond-visual-range
AAM. The first S-300PMU1 battery was delivered in August 2005.

In March 2005 it was reported that Vietnam may require a further eight to 10 fighter
aircraft, with the Su-27 or Su-30MK the preferred choice. Insufficient funding may
well prove to be an insurmountable stumbling block and could be a factor in the
apparent decision of that year to acquire 40 second-hand Sukhoi Su-22 attack
aircraft. The Project 2100 programme to locally assemble a Russian-built corvette
appears to have been abandoned. It was always doubtful whether Vietnam possessed
the indigenous technical capability to assemble such a relatively sophisticated vessel
In addition to these ‗big ticket‘ items, Russia provides Vietnam with spare parts and
assistance in the maintenance and modernization of military equipment. Vietnamese
military personnel continue to study at Russian academies and military schools.

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In December 2007, Russia and Vietnam convened the annual meeting of the Inter-
government Committee for Military Technical Cooperation. The Russian delegation
was led by the director of its Federal Service for Military and Technical Cooperation.
Vietnam is believed to be in the process of negotiating with Russia for the purchase
of an additional six ‗Tarantul 3‘ corvettes. The Type 3s are armed with the SS-N-22
Sunburn missile – as on China‘s ‗Sovremmeny‘ class destroyers. Vietnam retains an
interest in obtaining full-size submarines from Russia, probably beginning with two
or three platforms. No contract has been signed or appears imminent.

Ukraine. The Ukraine probably ranks second to the Russian Federation as a


provider of military equipment and technical training to Vietnam. Defence
cooperation between Vietnam and the Ukraine was initiated in March 1994 when the
VPA chief of the general staff paid a visit to Kiev. The VPA deputy chief of the general
staff accompanied his prime minister on a visit in June that year. It was subsequently
reported that the Ukraine sold Vietnam fourteen R27R1 (470-1) missiles and missile
launchers in 1995 and six MiG-21 UM training aircraft in 1996. The chief of the
general staff of the Ukraine armed forces paid a return visit in September 1997 and
discussed cooperation in equipment sales, technology and personnel training.

As a result of the visit of the Vietnamese defence minister in May 2002, Vietnam and
the Ukraine reached agreement on a significant program of far reaching military-
technical cooperation up to 2005. Under the terms of this agreement the Ukraine will
provide major assistance to Vietnam to upgrade its air defence (radar,
communications and surface-to-air missiles), combat air, naval and armour and
artillery forces. Specifically, Ukrainian specialists have drawn up plans to modernize
the Vietnamese navy and air defence force. These plans call for substantial Ukrainian
involvement across a number of areas including the renovation of the Ba Son
dockyard in Ho Chi Minh City; developing naval test facilities; arms co-production;
mid-level officer exchanges; and repairing, upgrading and supply of all types of
equipment and weapons. The Ukraine will train thirty to forty senior VPA officers up
to the rank of general at its military academies. According to reports submitted by
the Ukraine to the United Nations, it sold ten L-39 combat training aircraft to
Vietnam in 2002-03. In 2005, Vietnam acquired three ‗Fitter‘ aircraft of an unknown
version from the Ukraine.

15
India. In 1994, India and Vietnam signed a protocol on defence cooperation
covering training slots for Vietnamese officers at India‘s defence academy, servicing
of Vietnamese military hardware, and continued regular discussions between the two
defence ministries. An Indian official described the protocol as a low-key framework
agreement, while Vietnam‘s defence attaché was quoted as stating, ‗We need India‘s
help very badly in training our defence personnel, which is our first priority. India‘s
assistance in military hardware will be a long-term cooperative agreement and we
are still working on the [details]‘. Shortly after, Vietnam reached agreement with
Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL) to overhaul and service eight to ten MiG-21
engines and to provide continued technical support.

Vietnam has shown a keen interest in developing defence industry cooperation. In


May 1995, for example, a Vietnamese military delegation led by the VPA chief of the
general staff, visited India. The delegation toured Hyderabad, Dindigul, Madras,
Bangalore, Goa, Nasik and Pune to study military training and defence industries,
including the operations of such companies as HAL, Ordnance Factories Board,
Bharat Earth Movers Limited, and Goa Shippers Limited.

Later, India agreed to assist Vietnam in setting up defence industry to manufacture


small and medium weapons and other ordnance products (The Times of India,
March 29, 2000). Possible future arms sales include India‘s multi-role advanced
light helicopter, warships and anti-ship and air-defence missiles.

In 2000, India and Vietnam signed a wide-ranging defence protocol agreement. (20)

This document lays the foundation for substantially increased defence cooperation,
and the raising of relations to periodic meetings between defence ministers and the
exchange of strategic perceptions and intelligence sharing. Under the 2000
agreement, India will assist in repairing and overhauling Vietnam‘s fleet of one
hundred and twenty MiG-21s and train Vietnamese fighter pilots and technicians.
The Indian Navy will help repair, upgrade and build fast patrol craft for the
Vietnamese navy and offer training to its technical personnel (The Hindu, March 28,
2000). The protocol also included bilateral naval exercises and coordinated patrols
involving the Vietnamese Marine Police and the Indian Coast Guard.

16
In October 2002 Vietnam asked India to provide submarine training but it remains
unclear whether the move was linked to its 1997 acquisition of two small platforms
from North Korea or to a new programme. Whichever is the case, this request
represented the first phase in implementing Vietnam‘s long-standing interest in
developing an undersea-warfare capability. The following year (2003), Vietnam
provided guerilla warfare training to the Indian armed forces.. In May 2003, India
and Vietnam signed a ‗Joint Declaration on Framework of Comprehensive
Cooperation‘ that included: regular high-level meetings, close cooperation in the
United Nations and other international fora, assistance with respect to safeguarding
mutual interests, and gradual steps to expand cooperation in the security and
defence fields.

In 2007, in a major development, India and Vietnam declared the establishment of a


―strategic partnership‖ during the visit by Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung. In
November, India and Vietnam held their third Security Dialogue in New Delhi where
it was decided to step up cooperation in training of junior level officers, to conduct a
security dialogue annually, to share expertise on issues of common concern such as
maritime security, border management and counter insurgency, training in UN
peacekeeping operations, and invite Vietnamese observers to attend Indian military
exercises. In December, India‘s Defence Minister A. K. Anthony visited Hanoi
accompanied by the Vice Chief of Army Staff and senior air force and navy officers.
Agreement was reached for India to supply Vietnam with 5,000 essential spares for
its Petya-class anti-submarine ships in order to make them operational. Additionally,
India agreed to dispatch a four-member army team to Vietnam during the first half
of 2008 to conduct training on UN peacekeeping operations. Finally, the two sides
agreed to set up a Joint Working Group to facilitate the signing of a Memorandum of
Understading on defence cooperation (including cooperation on national defence,
navy, air defence and personnel training). The Indian delegation also visited defence
industries in Ho Chi Minh City.

Vietnam‘s Defence Minister sought Indian assistance in training of defence


personnel, (21) enhancing the exchanges of delegations, expanding training
cooperation, cooperation between national defence industries, an increase in the
frequency of goodwill visits by naval ships, application of information technology and
e-technology, and technical support for the Vietnamese navy.

17
Most recently, Lt. Gen. Truong Quang Khanh, head of General Department of
Defence Industry, Ministry of National Defence, attended an international defence
exposition, DEFEXPO-2008, in New Delhi in February 2008. That same month
Admiral Sureesh Mehta, Chief of the Army Staff Committee, visited Hanoi where he
met with Deputy Defence Minister Senior Lt. Gen. Nguyen Khac Vien. Admiral
Mehta inspected the Hong Ha Shipbuilding Company and also visited Ho Chi Minh
City before departing. Finally, in April the Flag Officer Commander in Chief of the
Indian Eastern Naval Command, Vice Admiral R. P. Suthan led two warships on a
port call to Hanoi. He held discussions with VPA Vice Chief of the General Staff, Tran
Quang Khue.

Europe. In addition to its substantial arms purchasing arrangements with Russia


and the Ukraine, Vietnam has also explored the possibilities of defence procurements
and military assistance with several states in Europe, particularly former members of
the Warsaw Pact.

In the early 1990s, Vietnam purchased nine Aero L-39 Albatross jet trainers from the
former Czech and Slovak Republic, and later sought assistance in their maintenance
and repair. In 1995 Vietnam reached agreement with Omnipol for the purchase of
technology and equipment to produce Grad multiple tube launched rockets in
Vietnam. In May 2000, Vietnam‘s defence minister visited the Czech Republic where
he sought cooperation in arms manufacturing and repair and officer training. In May
2003, the Czech foreign minister visited Hanoi and offered assistance to upgrade
Vietnam‘s T-72 battle tank. The minister also offered to sell anti-chemical warfare
uniforms and equipment. At least five former Czech Su-22UM3 two-seaters are
known to have been delivered to Vietnam in 2005 and it is possible that up to 25
other surplus Czech Su-22M4s could also have found their way to Vietnam (for
Polish deliveries see below).

In July 1994, the prime minister of Slovakia visited Vietnam accompanied by his
defence minister and a number of representatives of the arms industry. While in
Hanoi they picked up expressions of Vietnamese interest in purchasing T-72 Ms
tanks and artillery. The following month Vietnam‘s president paid a visit to Slovakia
where he proposed cooperation between defence industries, including the
construction of coastal defence vessels. In May 2002, Vietnam‘s defence minister

18
Pham Van Tra visited the Slovak Republic. Tra sounded out his counterpart on
possible defence industry cooperation and the modernization of military equipment
to be undertaken in Slovak factories. Specifically, Tra expressed an interest in the
Brams mobile anti-aircraft complex, and the Aligator light armoured vehicle. Tra
returned to Hanoi with a proposal from Slovak defence manufactures.

Bulgaria and Vietnam extended their defence cooperation agreement in 1997 during
the course of the visit by the Vietnamese defence minister. Reportedly this agreement
included cooperation in such areas as the supply of spare parts for MiG-21 aircraft,
military equipment repair, military science and medicine, and personnel exchange.
In October 2007, the Bulgarian Defence Minister visited Vietnam to discuss military
cooperation in language training, culture, sports and, more significantly, military
technology.

In December 1998, the Polish deputy defence minister visited Vietnam to initiate
discussions on cooperation in shipbuilding and arms sales (including MiG-21s and
infantry weapons). Poland provided Vietnam with a grant of U.S. $70 million to
assist in naval construction. In May 2000, Vietnam‘s defence minister visited Poland
where he expressed an interest in purchasing Anaconda helicopters and Bryza
aircraft. Both sides discussed possible future cooperation in such areas as upgrading
battle tanks (with new fire control systems), co-production of ammunition and
officer training.

In October 2003, Vietnam signed an agreement to buy up to 10 Polskie Zaklady


Lotnicze (PZL) M28 Skytruck short take-off and landing (STOL) aircraft configured
for maritime surveillance and border-control missions from Poland in a deal valued
at around U.S. $40 million. Two aircraft were delivered in December 2004 and a
further two were reportedly handed over in mid-2005. The aircraft are likely to be
operated by the air force. In early March 2005 it was reported that Poland would
supply T-72 MBTs together with training and basic maintenance equipment, as well
as ammunition. The shipment of 150 second-hand tanks, probably from Poland‘s
surplus stocks, was due to begin in the third quarter of 2005. Also in 2005, Vietnam
acquired forty Su-22Ms ground attack aircraft from a Polish source.

19
The VPA Chief of General Staff, General Nguyen Khac Vien, visited Belarus from
June 21-23, 2007 where he held discussions with Minister of Defence Colonel
General Leonid Maltsev and the First Deputy Defence Minister Lt. Gen. Sergei
Gurulev. A year later (January 2008) the First Vice President of the Belarus State
Defence Industry Committee visited Hanoi for talks with Defence Minister General
Phung Quang Thanh.

In addition to former members of the Warsaw Pact, Vietnam has explored possible
arms procurements and defence cooperation with a number of other European states.
In 1997 it was reported that Vietnam had taken delivery of French armoured vehicles
within the ‗past two years‘. In mid-1997, Vietnam opened discussions with Serbia-
Montenegro for the purchase of the locally upgraded T-55 main battle tank. The next
year Finland proposed selling Vietnam spare parts from its mothballed fleet of MiG-
21s. In February 2005 it was reported that the Finnish Defence Forces were planning
to sell a fleet of up to 70 Soviet-era T-54 and T-55 Main Battle Tanks (MBT) to
Vietnam.

In June 1997, the United Kingdom used a port call by HMS Beaver to promote the
sale of defence equipment to Vietnam. In March 1999, Prince Andrew led a
delegation of eleven firms to Ho Chi Minh City to showcase British defence
equipment. The Prince‘s visit coincided with the port call by HMS Boxer. Finally, in
1999 Vietnam expressed an interest in acquiring its first military communications
satellite. Vietnamese officials approached Acatel, a French company, as well as Matra
Marconi Space, a joint British-French company (Hanoi also approached American
firms Lockheed Martin and Loral Space).

In 2005, Austria agreed to fund the development of vocational schools linked to


Vietnam‘s Ministry of National Defence. On January 15, 2008 Austria agreed to
extend this program into a third phase to 15 million. In December 2007, Lt. Gen.
Gianni Botondi, 2009 valued at Italy‘s Secretary General for Defence and National
Armaments made an official visit to Vietnam to discuss the structue of national
defence industry. Italy and Vietnam agreed to set up a working group to promote
bilateral cooperation. In May 2008, Deputy Minister of Defence, Senior Lt. Gen.
Nguyen Huy Hieu paid a working visit to Switzerland for discussions with the Chief

20
of the Federal Department of Defence, Civil Protection and Sports on boosting
defence cooperation. General Hieu visited some Swiss industrial establishments.

Other Suppliers. There are only three other countries that feature in Vietnam‘s
arms procurement and military modernization efforts: Israel, North Korea and South
Korea. In 1993 Israeli defence firms approached Vietnam with an offer to upgrade its
fleet of Soviet manufactured jet aircraft, armour and artillery. In January 1994,
officials from Vietnam‘s Defence Ministry‘s Defence Industry and General
Technology Department made a visit to Israel to assess possible Israeli assistance in
upgrading the VPA‘s communications capability. The following year an Israeli firm
was awarded a contract to upgrade Vietnam‘s military communications network. In
1999, Israeli firms were unsuccessful in bidding for the contract to refurbish
Vietnam‘s fleet of MiG aircraft. During the course of the visit by Deputy Prime
Minister Nguyen Cong Tan in November 1999, it was revealed that Israeli defence
industries have begun contracts with Vietnam on defence exports. No other details
were provided.

The 1994, Vietnam and the Democratic People‘s Republic of Korea exchanged visits
by their respective defence ministers. The two sides agreed to a barter deal under
which Vietnam would supply rice in exchange for weapons parts and ammunition. In
December 1996, Vietnam‘s Deputy Minister of Defense, General Nguyen Thoi Bung,
visited North Korea and signed a defense package deal worth US $100 million
reportedly involving the sale of Igla (SA-16 Gimlet) portable air defense missiles and
Scud short-range ballistic missiles. The following year it was reported that Vietnam
had taken delivery of two North Korean Yugo class mini-submarines and was
refurbishing them at Cam Ranh Bay (Robert Karniol, Jane‘s Defense Weekly,
December 9, 1998). In April 1999, it was reported that Vietnam had acquired a
quantity of Scud C surface-to-surface missiles with a range of 550 kilometres (with a
payload of 770 kilograms). In 2003 there were further reports that North Korea had
sold unspecified military technology to Vietnam (Far Eastern Economic Review,
February 13, 2003).

In 1994, two years after the establishment of diplomatic relations between Vietnam
and South Korea, Vietnam reportedly approached the Huyndai Corporation to
purchase three 80-ton fast boats for coastal patrol. Hyundai officials did not deny

21
these reports but claimed they had not applied for an exit permit. In April 1995, the
two foreign ministers agreed, among other things, to exchange defence industrial
materials. In October of that same year, South Korea posted its first defence attaché
to Hanoi.

The two countries exchanged visits by their respective defence ministers in late 2000
and early 2001. In the course of the visit of the South Korean defence minister, the
agenda included consideration of exchanges on defence technology and related
industries. During the return visit by Vietnam‘s defence minister, two memoranda of
understanding were reached; the first dealt with cooperation in defence industry and
logistics, while the second covered exchanges in military education. Vietnam‘s
defence minister visited several South Korean defence firms and arms manufacturers.
It was reported at this time that Daewoo Heavy Industries and Machinery was
considering a joint venture with Vietnam to refurbish its stock of American-
manufactured armoured personnel vehicles. In November 2001, South Korea hosted
an exhibition of military and electronics products during the port call by three of its
naval ships. In September 2007, the two South Korean naval ships (a destroyer and
logistics ship) called in at the port of Ho Chi Minh City. In January 2008, Vietnam‘s
naval commander, Vice Admiral Nguyen Van Hien, made a rare five-day overseas
visit to Seoul to discuss expanding ties between the two navies. Admiral Hien met
and had discussions with the South Korean Chief of Naval Operations, Admiral Song
Young-moo. The two admirals discussed the enhancement of cooperation in the
defence industry sector.

5. The Structure of Vietnam-China Relations, 1991-2007

Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Vietnam‘s relations with


China are structured on both a multilateral basis through membership in ASEAN, the
ASEAN Regional Forum and other multilateral bodies, and bilaterally, through a
long-term cooperative framework agreement. When Vietnam joined ASEAN in 1995
it assumed responsibility for participating in all multilateral arrangements entered
into by ASEAN and China.

In July 1994 ASEAN and China reached formal agreement to establish two joint
committees — one on science and technology cooperation and the other on economic

22
and trade cooperation. ASEAN and China also agreed to open consultations on
political and security issues at the senior official level. The first China-ASEAN Senior
Officials Meeting was held in Hangzhou in April 1995.

In 1996, China was accorded official dialogue partner status by ASEAN, and in
February the following year, ASEAN and China formalized their cooperation by
establishing the ASEAN-China Joint Cooperation Committee (ACJCC). The ACJCC
first met in Beijing where it was agreed that it would ‗act as the coordinator for all the
ASEAN-China mechanisms at the working level‘. (22) As an ASEAN dialogue partner,
China regularly participates in the annual ASEAN Post-Ministerial Conference
consultation process. This takes the form of a meeting between ASEAN and its ten
dialogue partners (ASEAN Ten Plus Ten), and a separate meeting between ASEAN
members and each of its dialogue partners (ASEAN Ten Plus One).

China-ASEAN relations advanced in November 2002 with the signing of three major
documents: Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation
Between ASEAN Nations and the People‘s Republic of China, Joint Declaration
between China and ASEAN on Cooperation in Non-Traditional Security Fields, and
Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC). The first
agreement laid the foundations for the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area. The joint
declaration on non-traditional security was formalized in a Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) in January 2004. The MOU followed a special meeting held
in Bangkok in April 2003 to discuss joint action to deal with the Severe Acute
Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) epidemic. (23) A major advance towards the free trade
area was taken in January 2007 when China and ASEAN signed the Agreement on
Trade in Services at their tenth summit in Cebu, the Philippines.

Originally, ASEAN sought to negotiate a Code of Conduct for the South China Sea.
China resisted ASEAN diplomatic pressure to agree to a formal legally-binding code.
Nevertheless, China and ASEAN were able to develop unprecedented cooperation
under the umbrella of the DOC . In September 2003, Wu Bangguo, chairman of the
Standing Committee of the National People‘s Congress, proposed joint oil
exploration and development in areas of overlapping claims in the South China Sea
(see discussion below). Early in 2004, ASEAN and China agreed to set up a Joint
Working Group to implement the DOC.

23
Strategic Partnership for Peace and Prosperity. In October 2003, China‘s
zone of interaction with ASEAN was enhanced when China acceded to the ASEAN
Treaty of Amity and Cooperation, and China issued a joint declaration with ASEAN
establishing a strategic partnership. (24) The joint declaration was the first formal
agreement of this type between China and a regional organization, as well as a first
for ASEAN itself. The joint declaration was wide-ranging and included a provision
for the initiation of a new security dialogue as well as general cooperation in political
matters. (25)

In July the following year, State Councilor Tang Jiaxuan raised the prospect of
developing ‗enhanced strategic relations‘ with ASEAN in his discussions with
Secretary General Ong Keng Yong in Beijing. As a result, China and ASEAN drafted a
five-year Plan of Action (2005-2010) in late 2004. This plan included, inter alia, a
joint commitment to increase regular high-level bilateral visits, cooperation in the
field of non-traditional security, security dialogue and military exchanges and
cooperation. (26) The Plan of Action set out the following objectives:

 Promote mutual confidence and trust in defense and military fields with a
view to maintaining peace and stability in the region;
 Conduct dialogues, consultations and seminars on security and defense issues;
 Strengthen cooperation on military personnel training;
 Consider observing each other‘s military exercises and explore the possibility
of conducting bilateral or multilateral joint military exercises; and
 Explore and enhance cooperation in the field of peacekeeping.

ASEAN has been reluctant to advance military cooperation with China too quickly. In
May 2004, during the course of a visit to Beijing by Malaysia‘s new prime minister,
Abdullah Badawi, his Chinese counterpart, Premier Wen Jiabao, suggested they
consider a joint undertaking to maintain the security of sea lines of communication
through the Malacca Strait. This proposal was pressed the following month by Senior
Colonel Wang Zhongchun, deputy director of China‘s National Defense University. In
a paper presented to the China-ASEAN forum in Singapore, Wang proposed joint
naval exercises and patrols (as well as intelligence exchanges on terrorism).
According to one analyst, Wang‘s proposal was received coolly and with considerable
skepticism by the audience. (27) Three years later, however, Indonesia proposed

24
seeking technical assistance from both China and Japan on an ASEAN-wide and
bilateral basis to build up the capacity of the littoral states. (28)

In November 2004, at the 8th China-ASEAN Summit, Premier Wen Jiabao once
again raised China‘s proposal to shelve disputes in the South China Sea ‗while going
for joint development.‘ This led to a major break through in March the following year
when the national oil companies of China, the Philippines and Vietnam signed an
agreement to conduct joint seismic testing in the South China Sea. (29)

In July 2005, President Hu Jintao reiterated China‘s call for joint development
during the course of state visits to Brunei, Indonesia and the Philippines. (30) That
month, China and ASEAN set up the Joint Working Group on the Declaration on the
Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea and charged it with recommending
measures to implement the agreement. The Working Group held its second meeting
in Hainan in February 2006. In light of deadly pirate attacks on Chinese fishing
vessels in May 2006, China, the Philippines and Vietnam agreed to strengthen
security cooperation in the South China Sea. (31)

The ASEAN-China strategic partnership was consolidated with the holding of the
first workshop on regional security between defence department officials in Beijing
in July 2006. ASEAN and China also held a heads of government Commemorative
Summit in Nanning to mark the fifteenth anniversary of China‘s status as a dialogue
partner. By the end of 2006, ASEAN and China had concluded twenty-eight
‗cooperation framework mechanisms,‘ including regular consultations between
senior officials on strategic and political security cooperation, a yearly conference of
foreign ministers, and an annual summit meeting of government leaders. (32) These
developments provided a firm foundation for the development of security and
defense cooperation in the future.

ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF). Vietnam was a founding member of the ASEAN
Regional Forum in 1994. Membership in the ARF provides a multilateral framework
for Vietnam‘s defence-security relations and interaction with China.

When China first joined the ASEAN Regional Forum it was highly suspicious about
multilateral activities that might curtail its national sovereignty. Over time, however,
China has come to embrace multilateral security cooperation under the auspices of

25
the ARF. (33) China has taken a particularly active role in the ARF‘s inter-sessional
work program related to confidence building measures. In March 1997, for example,
China hosted the Inter-Sessional Group on Confidence Building Measures, and did
so again in November 2003.

In 1997, China sent representatives to the ARF meeting of Heads of Defense Colleges
and hosted the 4th ARF meeting of the Heads of Defense Colleges in September
2000. The meeting was opened by Defence Minister Chi Haotian, who argued that
the ARF‘s stress on dialog and consultation represented a ‗new security concept‘ and
the trend of ‗multi-polarization‘ in the region. Chi noted that regional flash points
still existed, ‗hegemonism and power politics have shown new traces of development‘
and ‗democracy and human rights‘ were being used as excuses for intervention, and
‗separatism was gaining ground. All these will endanger or jeopardize the security
and stability of the region. That‘s why we advocate that all countries adopt the new
security concept built upon equality, dialogue, mutual confidence and cooperation.‘
(34) In 2000, China also contributed for the first time to the ARF‘s Annual Security
Outlook and began providing voluntary briefings on regional security.

While China‘s participation in the ARF‘s program of confidence building measures


has evolved over time, China‘s endorsement of preventive diplomacy has been more
circumscribed. In a Defence White Paper issued in late 2000, China provided this
cautious assessment:

China holds that the ARF should continue to focus on confidence-building measures,
explore new security concepts and methods, and discuss the question of preventive
diplomacy. At the same time, it believes that the parties concerned should have a full
discussion first on the concept, definition, principles and scope of preventive
diplomacy in the Asia-Pacific region and reach consensus in this regard. (35)

According to one China analyst ‗two of the defining features of that document [the
2000 Defence White Paper] were the emphasis on the dominance of peace and
development as forces driving global development and a corollary imperative toward
implementing external policies based upon multilateral cooperative approaches.‘ (36)

Since 2000, China has consistently promoted its new security concept as the
preferred framework for multilateral cooperation. For example, in July 2002 China

26
outlined its new security concept in a position paper presented to the annual ARF
ministerial meeting.

In 2003, China launched a major initiative to further its new concept of security. At
the annual ARF ministerial meeting in Phnom Penh, China proposed the creation of
a Security Policy Conference comprised of senior military and civilian officials (vice
minister level) drawn from all ARF members. The objective of this new security
mechanism would be to draft a security treaty to promote ‗peace, stability and
prosperity‘ in the region. Chinese officials said the new treaty would give equal
attention to the concerns of all ARF members and guarantee security through united
action rather than seeking ‗absolute security for oneself and threaten[ing] other
parties‘ security.‘ (37) China drafted and circulated a concept paper prior to hosting
the first ARF Security Policy Conference in November 2004. (38)

At the 11th ARF Ministerial Meeting in 2004, China tabled a series of proposals for
the future development of the ARF. These were later summarized as follows:

To maintain its forum nature and adhere to the basic principles of decision-making
through consensus, taking an incremental approach, and moving at a pace
comfortable to all member so as to encourage the initiative and active participation
of all members; to continuously strengthen and consolidate confidence-building
measures (CBMs) while actively addressing the issue of preventive diplomacy, so as
to gradually find out cooperative methods and approaches for preventive diplomacy
that are suitable to the region and fitting the current needs; to increase participation
of defense officials, promote exchanges and cooperation among militaries of the
countries concerned and give full play to the important role of the militaries in
enhancing mutual trust; to highlight cooperation in non-traditional security fields
such as counter-terrorism and combating transnational crimes. (39)

China‘s 2004 Defense White Paper identified five main areas of international
security cooperation: strategic consultation and dialogue; regional security
cooperation; cooperation in non-traditional security fields, participating in United
Nations peacekeeping operations; and military exchanges. Chapter nine highlighted
the importance China placed on its interaction with ASEAN and the ASEAN Regional
Forum.

27
The Defense White Paper also set out Beijing‘s policy on international cooperation in
the area of defense-related science, technology and industry including the export of
military products and related technologies. According to this document, China‘s
exports in this sensitive area were governed by three principles: ‗It should only serve
the purpose of helping the recipient state enhance its capability for legitimate self-
defense; it must not impair peace, security and stability of the relevant region and the
world as a whole; and it must not be used to interfere in the recipient state‘s internal
affairs.‘ (40)

Bilateral. After a decade-long estrangement during the Cambodian conflict, leaders


from Hanoi and Beijing met in secret in southern China in September 1990 and
agreed to normalize bilateral relations. China and Vietnam resumed high-level
political contact in November 1991, pointedly only after Vietnam had agreed to a
comprehensive political settlement in Cambodia. Bilateral political relations between
Vietnam and China were codified by party leaders who met in Beijing in early 1999
(Xinhua Domestic Service, February 27, 1999). Late the following year the two sides
signed a ‗Joint Statement for Comprehensive Cooperation in the New Century
between the People‘s Republic of China and the Socialist Republic of Vietnam‘
(Vietnam News Agency, December 25, 2000).

It is notable that between February 1999 and December 2000, the People‘s Republic
of China (PRC) negotiated long-term cooperative framework arrangements with all
ten ASEAN members. (41) Generally these took the form of joint statements signed by
foreign ministers or vice premiers. Six of China‘s long-term cooperative framework
agreements included a reference to security cooperation (Thailand, Malaysia, Brunei,
Singapore, the Philippines, and Laos). Subsequently, several of these long-term
cooperative framework agreements have been enhanced through additional joint
declarations and/or memoranda of understanding.

It is notable that no defence clause was included in the Sino-Vietnamese agreement,


perhaps because of the contentious nature of unresolved territorial disputes in the
South China Sea. According to the joint statement, ‗[b]oth sides will refrain from
taking any action that might complicate and escalate disputes, resorting to force or
making threats with force‘. Defence contacts were first opened with the exchange of
delegations from the Vietnamese and Chinese defence ministries‘ External Relations

28
Departments in February and May 1992, respectively. Data for the period 2002-06
reveals there is a marked imbalance in the exchange of delegations at the ministerial
level. Vietnam‘s defence minister has visited China four times, while China‘s defence
minister has made only one visit to Hanoi. The exchanges at the level of Chief of the
General Staff, General Political Department and General Logistics Department are
more balanced. Contact at the level of service chiefs has been confined to one visit by
the PLA Navy Air Force in 1997.

China and ASEAN members carried out seventy-one high-level defence visits in the
period from 2002 to 2006. Sixteen were ministerial level visits. Reciprocal visits by
defence ministers were conducted by China with five countries including Malaysia,
the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. Vietnam and China exchanged
nine high-level delegations during this period. In the period between 2001-2006,
China and Southeast Asia conducted eleven naval goodwill visits involving seven
regional states. Chinese warships visited Vietnam, Singapore (twice), Thailand and
Brunei. In November 2001, PLAN Jiangwei-II guided missile frigate visits Ho Chi
Minh City. The Vietnamese navy has yet to make a return visit.

Defence relations between China and Vietnam appear almost entirely focused on
exchanges of views on regional security and ideological matters and border security
issues. Table 2 sets out data on the exchange of delegations at the Military Region
level between 1996 and 2003. Since the normalization of relations both China and
Vietnam have undertaken to demine and to dispose of unexploded ordnance in their
frontier area. Since the signing of a treaty on their common border in December 1999,
both sides have begun to physically demarcate this area. This process is expected to
be completed in June 2008.

In October 2005, the Chinese and Vietnamese defence ministers tentatively


discussed cooperation between their nation defense industries. China‘s state-owned
armed supplier, NORINCO, was reported to be providing Vietnam with ammunition
for small arms and artillery, military vehicles and assisting in co-production of
ammunition and heavy machine guns. (42)

Table 2
Exchanges at Military Region Level between China and Vietnam, 1996-2003

29
To Vietnam From Vietnam

1996 January Guangzhou Military Region 1997 April Military Region 2

1997 February Jinan Military Region 1999 November Military Region 3

1997 June Chengdu Military Region

1998 July Chengdu Military Region

2000 January Jinan Military Region

2000 July Chengdu Military Region

2002 April Guangzhou Military Region

2003 January Chengdu Military Region

In a new development, in April 2006, China and Vietnam commenced joint naval
patrols in the Gulf of Tonkin. This was a first for the Chinese navy. In August 2006,
after the two party leaders, Nong Duc Manh and Hu Jintao, met in Beijing, they
issued a joint communiqué that noted ‗both sides spoke positively of… the joint
patrol conducted by the navies of the two countries in the Tonkin Gulf‘. (43) The
second China-Vietnam joint patrol was conducted in late December 2006. A month
earlier Vietnam Petroleum Corporation (PetroVietnam) and the China National
Offshore Oil Corporation reached agreement to conduct joint exploration in the Gulf
of Tonkin. On January 5, 2007, Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung gave his approval
for joint oil exploration to commence.

In April 2005, China and Vietnam commenced extremely low-key ‗consultations on


defensive security‘ in Beijing. China had already initiated defence security
consultations with Thailand, and the Philippines.

6. Impact of Defence on Foreign Policy

The above sections have traced Vietnam‘s growing defence-security ties with China
within both multilateral and bilateral settings. The growth of this relationships
appears in accord with the broad tenets of Vietnamese foreign policy – to
multilateralise and diversify foreign relations, to be a reliable partner with all
countries, and to develop strategic partnerships with the major powers. According to
Alexander Vuving, there are at least major identifiable leadership groupings in
Vietnam, the ‗anti-imperialists‘ and the ‗integrationists‘. (44) The former still harbour
suspicion about U.S. intentions, while the later seek to integrate Vietnam into the
global economy including gaining access to the U.S. market.

30
During 2007 events in the South China Sea produced serious friction in Sino-
Vietnamese relations. Vietnam has chosen to censor any and all public reporting on
these developments. However in late 2007 there was an outpouring of nationalism
on the part of Vietnamese students who mounted unprecedented public protests
against Chinese actions in the South China Sea. This section will review these events.

Just after Vietnam was admitted into the World Trade Organisation (WTO), the
Vietnam Communist Party Central Committee held its fourth plenary session from
January 15-24, 2007. This meeting took the decision to order the party, the army,
police and regime-approved mass organizations to divest themselves of their
commercial enterprises. Ownership will reportedly be transferred to a jolding
company which will make a determination about which enterprises will be equitised
and sold to private investors.

The Vietnam People‘s Army, for example, currently runs 140 enterprises and hold
shares in another twenty companies. These enterprises are engaged in an incredibly
diverse range of economic activities from coffee production, coal mining, garment
manufacture, stock broking, and telecommunications to health services. In 2006,
army-run enterprises earned US $2 billion in revenue or 3 percent of Vietnam‘s
Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Divestiture will touch on sensitive sources of funding
for the military at a time when developments in the South China Sea seemingly
demand an increase in defence expendutire.

In 2006, the the 10th National Party Congress adopted a resolution decreeing that
Vietnam‘s maritime economy should be strongly developed with a focus on sectors
that have comparative advantages in order to develop a strong maritime economy,
maintain national defence and security in a spirit of international cooperation. This
matter was considered by the fourth plenum of VCP Central Committee that met in
January 2007. Reports submitted to this meeting noted that there was no coherent
plan to integrate the economic development of coastal areas with the exploitation of
marine resources in Vietnam‘s territorial waters. Economists estimated that by 2020,
the marine economy would contribute up to 55 percent of GDP and between 55-60
percent of exports.

31
The fourth plenum directed that a national ‗Maritime Strategy Towards the Year
2020′ be drawn up to integrate economic development with environmental
protection and national defence and security. The Vietnam People‘s Army was tasked
with ‗defending territorial waters and safeguarding national sovereignty.‘ The
maritime strategy was completed by the end of the year but has not yet been released
publicly. Chinese officials reportedly acquired a classified copy and noted that
Vietnam‘s plans included developing areas over which China has territorial claims.
China then began to apply pressure of foreign firms that were likely to be involved in
developing Vietnam‘s maritime sector, warning them that their commercial
operations in China might suffer if they became involved in developing areas claimed
by China.

China‘s behind-the-scenes actions were accompanied by greater diplomatic and


military assertiveness. For example, Vietnam lodged a protest when China implanted
boundary markers on the Xisha (Paracel) Islands, claiming these violated
Vietnamese sovereignty. On January 4, 2007, Liu Jianchao, spokesperson for the
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, dismissed this protest declaring: ‗China has indisputable
sovereignty over the Xisha, Nansha Islands and adjacent islands. And we have all
historical and legal evidences needed to prove this‘. Liu also noted that the erection
of structures marking the base points of China‘s territorial sea is a question of
Chinese sovereignty and other countries have no right to intervene. Liu noted that
based on the United Nations Convention on Law of he Sea and China‘s Law on the
Territorial Sea and Contiguous Zone. China issued base points on Xisha Islands as
early as 1996 (Press Trust of India, Beijing, January 4, 2007).

It was in this context that China and Vietnam held their 13th round of discussions on
border and territorial issues in Nanning from January 19-20, 2007. This meeting
canvassed land and maritime issues. Regarding the South China Sea, the Vietnam
News Agency reported: ‗Regarding marine issues, on the basis of common perception
and the agreement already reached between leaders of the two countries, both sides
discussed in depth measures to maintain peace and stability in the East Sea, without
any action to complicate or widen disputes. They agreed to continue the negotiation
mechanism in order to seek a basic and long-term solution that is acceptable to both
sides and in line with international laws and practices, particularly the United

32
Nations Convention on the 1982 Law of the Sea and Declaration on Conduct of
Parties in the East Sea (DOC).‘ (45)

In March, it was announced that British Petroleum (BP) and its partners had
submitted plans to the Vietnamese Ministry of Industry for an investment of US $2
billion in a major expansion in gas and power development over the next decade.
These plans included installing at least two natural gas pipelines connecting off shore
deposits in two new gas fields, Moc Tinh and Hai Thach, in the Nam Con Son basin
in the South China Sea. BP‘s plans also included the construction of a power plant in
Nhon Trach in Dong Nai province. (46) BP currently maintains the only operational
pipeline which connects the Lan Tay-Lan Do gas field in the Nam Con Son basin to
the Phu My power complex in Ba Ria-Vung Tau. The new fields to be connected to
the proposed pipeline are adjacent to the fields from which BP operates a pipeline.

The question of BP‘s future operations quickly became a contentious issue in Sino-
Vietnamese relations. On April 9, 2007, Wu Bangguo, chairman of the National
People‘s Congress, met with his Vietnamese counterpart, Nguyen Phu Trong. Wu
stated that the two countries should tackle boundary issues appropriately in an effort
to maintain stability in the South China Sea. Wu also said, ‗The two countries should
enhance political mutual trust, appropriately deal with the boundary issue and
implement related agreements.‘ (47) On the same day, President Hu Jintao told Trong,
‗China is ready to work with Vietnam to appropriately deal with the issue of land and
maritime borders to jointly maintain peace in the border area.‘ (48)

On April 10, Qin Gang, a spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs,
was directly asked by a reporter from the state-run media about BP‘s proposed
pipeline and Vietnam‘s plan to hold voting for the National Assembly on its
possessions in the South China Sea. Qin replied, ‗China has indisputable [irrefutable]
sovereignty over the Nansha Islands [Spratly Islands] and their adjacent waters and
neighbouring marine areas… [With everyone‘s hard work, at present the situation in
the South China Sea is stable]…Vietnam‘s new actions, which infringe on China‘s
sovereignty, sovereign rights [power] and administrative rights on the Nansha
Islands, go against the important consensus reached by leaders of the two countries
on the maritime issue and are not beneficial to stability of the South China Sea area.‘
(49) Qin observed that any one-sided action taken by any country in the South China

33
Sea are ‗illegal and invalid‘ constituting as encroachment upon Chinese territorial
sovereignty. (50) Qin was also quoted as sating: ‗It is not beneficial to stability in the
South China Sea area. The Chinese side is paying close attention and we have already
made serious representations to the Vietnamese side.‘ (51)

By way of response, on April 11, Le Dzung, a spokesperson for Vietnam‘s Ministry of


Foreign Affairs, noted that Vietnam has sufficient historical evidence and legal basis
to confirm its sovereignty over the Hoang Sa (Paracel) and Truong Sa (Spratly)
Islands. Dzung said Vietnam‘s operations conducted on its islands and territorial
waters, including plot divisions, exploration and exploitation of oil and gas were
‗completely normal‘. They were, he said, ‗in line with Vietnamese law as well as
international laws and practices, particularly the 1982 United Nations Convention of
the Law of the Sea and the 2002 Declaration of the Conduct of Parties in the East
Sea.‘ (52) Dzung also noted that Vietnam‘s partnership with BP dated to 2000 and ‗is
within Vietnam‘s exclusive economic area and continental shelf, and is within
Vietnam‘s sovereignty.‘ (53) The Lan Tay-Lan Do field has been producing natural gas
for power generation since 2002. (54)

In April 2007, during the exchange of claims and counter-claims, Chinese naval
vessels detained four Vietnamese fishing boats near Spratly islands. And, as a result
of Chinese pressure, in June BP announced it was halting seismic work off southern
Vietnam until Sino-Vietnamese tensions subsided. Events took a turn for the worse
on July 9, 2007 when an incident occurred between a People‘s Liberation Army-Navy
vessel and Vietnamese fishing boats near the Paracels resulting in the sinking of one
Vietnamese boat and the death of one Vietnamese fisherman. (55) Vietnam kept silent
on this issue and put a lid on news reporting. News of this clash was broadcast by
Radio Free Asia.

At the end of the year, PLAN exercises in the Paracel Islands from November 16-23,
2007 provoked Vietnamese protests. But no action was more inflammatory than the
reported decision of the National People‘s Congress to create the Sansha county level
town in Hainan province with administrative responsibility over three archipelagoes
in the South China Sea, including the Paracel and Spratly islands. News of the NPC‘s
reported actions provoked anti-China student demonstrations in Hanoi and Ho Chi
Minh City on 9th and 16th December 2007. China immediately protested these

34
demonstrations. After the protests subsided, the Vietnam‘s Ministry of Foreign
Affairs called in all the ASEAN ambassadors to inform them that the protests were
spontaneous and not approved. (56) It appears likely that the student demonstrations
were carefully staged political theatre. In effect, Vietnam took a leaf out of China‘s
play book and staged ‗spontaneous‘ public demonstrations to signal its displeasure
over Chinese actions in the South China Sea. In other words, the student protests
were a subtle carefully orchestrated move that conveyed what government officials
were thinking in private but could not say in public.

Vietnamese officials were put between a rock and a hard place. In terms of public
diplomacy, China repeatedly offered to settle outstanding matters peacefully. Yet in
private China was exerting diplomatic and military pressure on Vietnam. Wu
Bangguo, whose remarks were noted above, heads the same National People‘s
Congress that reportedly created the Sansha administrative district which provoked
Vietnamese student protests.

In order to diffuse growing tensions, a meeting of the China-Vietnam Steering


Committee on Cooperation was held in Beijing on January 23, 2008. The Vietnamese
delegation included Deputy Minister of Defence Nguyen Huy Hieu who met
separately with members of the Committee of Science, Technology and Industry,
Ministry of Defence. (57) At the Steering Committee meeting both sides agreed to
‗properly handle problems in bilateral relations‘ through ‗dialogue and
consultations.‘ Yet later that month China accused Vietnamese fishermen of
attacking Chinese trawlers in the Gulf of Tonkin. Vietnam dismissed this charge and
argued that the nets of the fishing boats had become entangled.

The extreme delicacy of the Vietnamese position was revealed in a curious incident
involving the cancellation of an official visit to Hanoi by the U.S. Deputy Secretary of
State John Negroponte in late January 2008. The State Department made an official
announcement of the trip and both Chinese and Vietnamese state media reported
that the visit would occur. Negroponte was scheduled to fly from Beijing directly to
Hanoi where a program had been arranged and confirmed. Yet foreign journalists in
Hanoi were told at short notice that the trip was cancelled ostensibly because of bad
weather. But when reporters checked they discovered that commercial flights in and
out of Beijing were unaffected. Vietnamese officials, speaking off the record, offered

35
the following explanation: Negroponte‘s visit was cancelled as a result of Chinese
diplomatic pressure not to become involved in a bilateral matter. Chinese officials
claimed that the Vietnamese officials would ask Negroponte for U.S. assistance in
dealing with China over South China Sea issues. Vietnamese officials also claimed
that China threatened to cancel the scheduled visit of Foreign Minister Pham Gia
Khiem to Beijing if Hanoi received Negroponte.

The growing friction between China and was addressed by a ‗summit meeting‘
communist parties leaders who met in Beijing from May 30-June 2, 2008. A joint
statement issued after official talks between General Secretary Hu Jintao and
Secretary General Nong Duc Manh revealed that China and Vietnam had agreed to
raise relations to the level of a strategic partnership. (58) The issue of the South China
Sea was barely mentioned in official media reporting of this event but what
references that did appear were revealing. Some news reporting mentioned
‗problems left over from history‘ without further elaboration. A commentary in Nhan
Dan on May 30th mentioned in passing the ‗maintenance of stability in the East Sea‘.
When Hu ‗suggested a proper solution to existing issues between the countries on the
basis of friendly consultations and mutual benefit‘, Manh replied that he shared Hu‘s
views and that ‗the two countries should communicate promptly about their
concerns.‘ The two leaders agreed to ‗foster an effective cooperation mechanism
between the foreign ministries and defence, public and security agencies.‘ The two
party leaders also agreed that the most appropriate mechanism to handle their
relations was the bilateral Steering Committee. Hu also pressed his Vietnamese
counterpart to agree on a five-year blueprint on trade cooperation.

Immediately prior to Manh‘s visit to Beijing commercial satellite imagery was


released to the public confirming that China was constructing a major naval base on
Hainan Island and that major surface combatants as well as a single nuclear
submarine were stationed there. In order to fully comprehend the strategic
importance of the construction of naval base facilities at Sanya on Hainan island, it is
necessary to understand both Chinese intentions and capabilities. China has so far
refrained from providing any insights into the former.

As for capabilities, the construction of piers and docks at the base indicates that the
Sanya Naval Base is being built to accommodate large surface combatants including

36
assault ships and eventually aircraft carriers (China does not have carriers at
present). Construction at Hainan is being paralleled by China‘s construction of an
airfield at Woody Island in the Paracel islands and consolidation of facilities at Fiery
Cross Reef and the maintenance of a continuing naval presence at Mischief Reef both
in the Spratly archipelago. China will therefore have an enhanced capability to
exercise its sovereignty claims over the South China Sea and protect its vital Sea
Lines of Communication (SLOC) through the Malacca and Singapore Straits through
which much of its energy resources flow. By extension, China will also have the
capacity to threaten these same SLOCs on which Japan, Taiwan and South Korea are
dependent. China will acquire a capacity to surge expeditionary forces into the South
China Sea and its logistics support lines will be greatly shortened.

Other construction indicate that the Sanya naval base will have strategic implications
for the balance of power in the region. Portions of the base are being constructed
underground to provide facilities that cannot be easily monitored. Satellite imagery
has confirmed the presence of a Chinese Type 094 Jin-class submarine since late
2007. The Type-094 submarine is a second-generation nuclear vessel and represents
China‘s most lethal naval strike weapon. Five more SSBNs could become operational
by 2010 according to the U.S. Defense Department.

An analysis of construction activities that can be viewed from satellites indicate that
this base will be capable of housing nuclear submarines capable of launching inter
continental ballistic missiles. When these facilities are completed they will provide
China with the potential capability to station a substantial proportion of its
submarine-based nuclear deterrence capabilities there. China‘s most modern
strategic nuclear submarine is not yet fully operational but when it is the submarine
is expected to carry twelve Sea Launched Ballistic Missiles. This class of submarine
will be even more potent it China succeeds in equipping the missiles with multiple
warheads. Chinese nuclear subs will be able to patrol and fire from concealed
positions in deep waters off Hainan island if China can develop the necessary
operational skills. It is as yet unclear how many of its five nuclear submarines China
will base at the Sanya facility.

China‘s naval modernization represents a challenge and potential threat to all of


Southeast Asia and especially Vietnam. China is the dominant regional power when

37
compared not only to the navies of ASEAN states but India and Australia as well.
Although China is developing niche capabilities to challenge the U.S. Navy in
contingencies involving Taiwan, the PLA-N is no match now or in the future to the
might of the U.S. 7th Fleet. China will pose a growing challenge but for the next
decade and longer the U.S. Navy will rule the waves.

7. Conclusion

This paper has traced the evolution of Vietnam‘s defence policy after the settlement
of the Cambodian conflict and collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 to the present. In
this period Vietnam expanded its defence doctrine from protection of national
sovereignty to embrace comprehensive security. Economics has taken pride of place
and Vietnam‘ armed forces have been pared down and starved of funds. Vietnamese
foreign policy was captured in such catchy slogans as ‗multidirectional foreign policy‘
and ‗making friends with all countries.‘ Vietnam achieved success after success in is
quest to integrate its economy with the global economy.

The analysis in this paper has attempted to make four major points. First, the
collapse of the Soviet Union severely undermined Vietnam‘s defence preparedness
and posed a serious challenge to its leaders. Second, the end of the Cambodian
conflict ushered in a new era of regional cooperation and opened up a major new
opportunity for Vietnam in its external relations. Third, the changed strategic context
opened the door for Vietnam to engage in defence diplomacy and enter into military
cooperation programs with a diverse number of new partners. Fourth, as a result of
extensive defence diplomacy, Vietnam has been able to initiate a limited but highly
specific force modernization program with an emphasis on system upgrades and new
procurements.

Vietnam‘s defence capabilties came under severe threat with the collapse of socialism
in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union in 1989-91. Quite suddenly and
unexpectedly there was a sharp decline and then termination of Soviet military
assistance. To add to Vietnam‘s difficulties, the Russian Federation moved to put
military sales on a commercial basis with payment in hard currency. At the same
time, Vietnam ‗s domestic economic circumstances resulted in less budgetary
funding for the Vietnam People‘s Army than the military expected.

38
Vietnam therefore confronted an immediate strategic dilemma. If it did not act
quickly, its existing stocks of military weapons and equipment would continue to
deteriorate. Vietnam was particularly concerned about the mainstay of its air force,
the MiG-21, its air defence systems and its ability to project naval forces into the
South China Sea. Without access to new weapons platforms and systems Vietnam
would not be able to continue modernizing its forces. Vietnamese military leaders
closely followed the first Gulf War in 1990-91 and drew the conclusion that they had
no choice but to modernize. In 1992, Chinese occupation of features in the South Sea
set off a ‗scramble for the Spratlys‘ and opened a new maritime dimension for
Vietnamese military planners.

Given these circumstances, Vietnamese political and military leaders gave priority to
preventing the further deterioration of its stock of military weapons and equipment.
Vietnam sought out sources of spare parts and foreign assistance to maintain,
refurbish and upgrade its defence equipment inventory. According to one foreign
observer, between sixty to seventy percent of Vietnam‘s military stocks were obsolete
at that time. As a second priority, Vietnam sought access to relevant modern military
technology and its transfer to Vietnam‘s own national defence industry through joint
ventures and co-production. In trying to attain these twin objectives – maintenance
and modernization – Vietnam was constrained by cost, compatibility and U.S.
national security trade restrictions.

Because Vietnam‘s military was equipped with Soviet-designed equipment, Vietnam


first had to negotiate affordable commercial contracts with Russian state arms
manufacturers. The break up of the Soviet Union opened up alternate sources of
Soviet-era equipment. Due to continual pricing difficulties with Russian authorities,
Vietnam turned to the Ukraine and established strong defence industry and arms
procurement relations. The Ukraine perhaps has emerged as the major competitor to
the Russian Federation for arms sales to Vietnam. Additionally, Vietnam sought out
opportunities among the states of the former Warsaw Pact, most notably Belarus,
Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia.

The strategic dimension of Vietnam‘s defence diplomacy improved dramatically


following Vietnam‘s military withdrawal from Cambodia and the political settlement
of the conflict in 1991. Vietnam now became a more ‗normal‘ state in international

39
relations. These changed strategic circumstances enabled Vietnam to extend its quest
for military modernization to Southeast Asia, Northeast Asia, Europe and beyond.
But cost always remained the constraining factor.

Vietnam‘s military diplomacy serves multiple purposes but its primary objective is to
enhance the national security of the state. In addition to arms sales and servicing
agreements, Vietnam has sought to enhance its national security by: exchanges of
high-level delegations, goodwill and protocol visits, strategic dialogue, joint naval
patrols and exercises, and a variety of defence cooperation activities (military
training and education, language instruction, technology transfer, medical research,
de-mining and ordnance disposal, search and rescue, and humanitarian assistance
and disaster relief).

It is notable that the greatest density of Vietnam‘s defence relationships are with its
immediate neighbours – Laos, China, Thailand, the Philippines Cambodia and
Indonesia. Vietnam first had to normalize its relations with former adversaries
during the Cambodian conflict. Both sides had to build a measure of confidence if not
trust in order to move from confrontation to cooperation. The opening of regional
defence contacts, especially in the yearly 1990s, pre-dated Vietnam‘s official
membership in ASEAN. The year 1994 marks the real commencement of defence
diplomacy by Vietnam.

Defence diplomacy resulted in enhanced border security on land and in maritime


areas where there are overlapping territorial claims. Defence cooperation with Laos
and Cambodia has also focused on the repatriation of the remains of Vietnamese
soldiers who died during the Indochina wars. China and Vietnam have cooperated in
removing mines from their frontier and are now in the process of completing the
physical demarcation of the borderline. India represents something of a special case
because of its direct experience with Soviet–era weapons and technology of relevance
to Vietnam.

A close look at Vietnamese arms procurements, especially its purchase of Su-27 and
Su-30 fighter-bomber aircraft and fast attack craft armed with surface-to-surface
missiles, reveals a major concern over contingencies in the South China Sea related
to China‘s naval presence. The development of defence relations with India and the

40
United States reinforces the perception among some strategic analysts that Vietnam
may be trying to balance against a rising China.

This paper also presented a case study of Vietnam‘s relations with China and argued
that there is an emerging contradiction between Vietnam‘s foreign and defence
policies. Vietnam seeks to leverage its external relations with China in order to boost
economic development, yet Vietnamese plans to develop its maritime zone in the
South China Sea has provoked a Chinese counter-reaction designed to scuttle this
initiative. Vietnam now faces a significant challenge to its national sovereignty. This
paper argues there are signs that Vietnam is gradually developing a modest deterrent
capacity in the South China Sea and employing defence diplomacy in order to bolster
its negotiating position vis-à-vis China.

Much writing about Vietnam‘s foreign policy sits uncomfortably with the analysis
presented in this paper because scholars have largely neglected the strategic
dimension of Vietnam‘s defence diplomacy. The Vietnam People‘s Army is a major
constituent in Vietnam‘s political system and is an increasingly prominent
diplomatic actor regionally and globally. The pattern of Vietnam‘s arms
procurements and Vietnamese concern with border security and territorial integrity
– that by their very nature involve realpolitik considerations – cannot be squared
with approaches that stresses cooperative norm building and identity formation.

—————————————-
(1) Frances M. and Stephen H. Fuller Distinguished Visiting Professor , Center of
Southeast Asian Studies, Ohio University, Paper to EuroViet 6, Asien-Afrika Institut,
Universitat Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, June 5-7, 2008.

(2) The Warsaw Pact was formed in 1955 and comprised seven members: Bulgaria,
Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Poland, Romania and the USSR . It was
officially disbanded in 1991.

(3) Several of the defence attaches accredited to Vietnam are non-resident. For
example, Britain‘s defence representative is permanently based in Kuala Lumpur.

(4) This paper omits discussion of the exchange of legislative committees that have
responsibility for defence and security matters. For example, Vietnam has received

41
delegations from France‘s National Defence Commission (January 1992), the
Military Council of Thailand‘s Lower House, the Russian Federation‘s Duma
(February 1997), the Lao National Assembly‘s National Defence and Security
Committee (April 1999), and the Belgian Parliament‘s Defence Committee
(November 2004).

(5) Based on information received up to and including December 30, 2006. Data was
collected from Quan Doi Nhan Dan, the army newspaper, and Vietnamese radio and
press reports included in the monitoring reports issued by the U.S. Foreign
Broadcast Information Service and the British Broadcasting Corporation; also
included are news items found on the websites of the Vietnam News Agency, Radio
Voice of Vietnam and Viet Nam News. This material has been supplemented by
reporting taken from the regional and international media as well as other sources.

(6) This data is undoubtedly incomplete due to the generally unpublicized nature of
these relatively low-level visits.

(7) In October 2006, Vietnam and Japan adopted an ‗Joint Statement Toward a
Strategic Partnership for Peace and Prosperity in Asia,‘ during the course of a visit by
Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung to Tokyo. The fourth Japan-Vietnam politico-
military dialogue was held in Hanoi on December 13, 2007. Japan was represented
by the Deputy Director-General, Southeast and Southwest Asian Affairs Department,
Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Director of the International Policy Division,
Ministry of Defense.

(8) In January 1992, the Commander in Chief of the Royal Thai Army, visited
Vietnam and offered to barter spares from Thailand‘s stock of Chinese-manufactured
T-69 tanks for U.S. F-5 jet parts which Vietnam captured in 1975 and still held in
storage. This offer apparently was not taken up.

(9) In January 1998, Vietnamese troops fired on Filipino fishermen in the vicinity of
Tenant Reef.

(10) Vietnam hosted the 16th ASEAN Armies Rifle Meet in November 2006.

42
(11) The tenth meeting of the Association of War Veterans of ASEAN was held in
Brunei in October 2003. The fourteenth ASEAN Armies Rifle Meet was hosted by
Indonesia in September 2004.

(12) Vietnam was represented by Lt. Gen. Nguyen Van Than, commander of VPA Air
Force.

(13) While no details are available, it is known that Vietnam previously sold rifles,
mortars and rocket launchers to rebels in El Salvador and M-113 APCs to Iran.
Information on Vietnamese arms sales is particularly scarce. In 2001 it was reported
that Myanmar took delivery of two consignments of mortar shells produced in
Vietnam. But, according to reports, the deal may have been arranged through arms
dealers possibly without Hanoi knowing its final destination (Jane‘s Defence Weekly,
March 21, 2001; and Robert Karinol, Jane‘s Defence Weekly, July 25, 2001).

(14) Source: Australian Defence Intelligence Organisation.

(15) This sale was valued at U.S. $180 million with eighty-five percent of the payment
in hard currency and the remainder in agricultural produce.

(16) The U.N. Register of Conventional Weapons lists the sale of two Su-27s to
Vietnam in 1997. Russian press reports in 1997 indicated Vietnam had placed an
order for a total of twenty-four Su-27s in a deal valued at U.S. $500 million. The
International Institute of Strategic Studies, The Military Balance 2004/05, lists a
total of twelve Su-27s (7-SK and 5-UBK models) in Vietnam‘s inventory.

(17) Reportedly the Mosquito anti-ship missile.

(18) According to press reports, Vietnam took delivery of fifty portable SA-18 SAMs
in 2002 in a contract valued at U.S. $643 million.

(19) Other sources report the sale of twelve Project 1241RA FACs

(20) Subhash Kapila, ‗India-Vietnam Strategic Partnership: The Convergence of


Interests,‘ South Asia Analysis Group, Paper No. 177,
http://www.saag.org/papers2/paper1777.htm .

43
(21) As of the time of Anthony‘s visit, 49 VPA officers attended various army and
navy course sin India and a further 64 attended English language courses.

(22) Joint Press Release, ―The First ASEAN-China Joint Cooperation Committee
Meeting,‖ Beijing, February 26-28, 1997.

(23) In September 2004, China hosted ARF Workshop on Drug-Substitute


Alternative Development and in March 2005, China hosted an ARF seminar on
enhancing cooperation in the field of non-traditional security issues.

(24) Carlyle A. Thayer, ‗China and Southeast Asia: A Shifting Zone of Interaction‘, in
Sean McDonald and Bruce Vaughn, eds., The Borderlands of Southeast Asia:
Geopolitics, Terrorism, and Globalization. Boulder: Rowman and Littlefield,
forthcoming.

(25) Joint Declaration of the Heads of State/Government of the Association of


Southeast Asian Nations and the People‘s Republic of China on Strategic Partnership
for Peace and Prosperity , October 8, 2003. For an analysis see: Lyall Breckon, ―A
New Strategic Partnership is Declared,‖ Comparative Connections: An E-Journal on
East Asian Bilateral Relations, 5:4, 4th Quarter, October-December 2003.

(26) Plan of Action to Implement the Joint Declaration of ASEAN-China Strategic


Partnership for Peace and Prosperity.

(27) Ronald Montaperto, ―Smoothing the Wrinkles,‖ Comparative Connections: An


E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations, 6:2, 2nd Quarter, April-June 2004.

(28) Shefall Rekhi, ―Indonesia seeks wider China and Japan role,‖ The Straits Times,
June 4, 2007.

(29) ―Tripartite agreement on joint survey of seismic activity in East Sea signed,‖
Vietnam News Agency, March 14, 2005; Ma. Theresa Torres and Niel Villegas Mugas,
―RP, China, Vietnam to explore Spratlys,‖ The Manila Times, March 16, 2005; ―China,
Vietnam agree to joint exploration of disputed areas,‖ Xinhua, Beijing, July 4, 2005;
and ―China, Philippines, Vietnam work on disputed South China Sea area,‖ Xinhua,
August 27, 2005.

44
(30) Xinhuanet, Beijing, July 19, 2005 in People‘s Liberation Army Daily, July 20,
2005.

(31) Agence France-Presse, ―Philippines, China, Vietnam to cooperate in Spratlys


security,‖ Channelnewsasia.com, May 19, 2006.

(32) Robert Sutter and Chin-Hao Huang, ―Chinese Diplomacy and Optimism about
ASEAN,‖ Comparative Connections: An E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations,
8:3, 3rd Quarter, July-September 2006.

(33) Alice d. Ba, ―Who‘s socializing whom? Complex engagement in Sino-ASEAN


relations,‖ The Pacific Review, 19(2), June 2006, pp. 157-179.

(34) Xinhua News Agency, September 6, 2000.

(35) People‘s Republic of China, State Council, Information Office, China‘s National
Defense in 2000, Text of PRC White Paper on National Defense in 2000, Xinhua
Domestic Service, Beijing, October 16, 2001.

(36) Ronald Montaperto, ―Thinking Globally, Acting Regionally,‖ Comparative


Connections: An E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations, 6:4, 4th Quarter,
October-December 2004.

(37) Lyall Breckon, ―SARS and a New Security Initiative from China,‖ Comparative
Connections: An E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations, 5:2, 2nd Quarter,
April-June 2003.

(38) Dana R. Dillon and John J. Tkacik, Jr., ‗China and ASEAN: Endangered
American Primacy in Southeast Asia‘, Backgrounder No. 1886. Washington, D.C.:
The Heritage Foundation, October 19, 2005, p. 3. The second ARF Security Policy
Conference was held in Vientiane in May 2005.

(39) People‘s Republic of China, State Council, China‘s National Defense in 2004,
Beijing: Information Office, December 27, 2004, chapter nine.

(40) Ibid., chapter seven.

45
(41) These arrangements were variously titled: framework agreement, framework
document, joint statement and joint declaration. For a detailed analysis consult:
Thayer, ‗China‘s ―New Security Concept‖ and Southeast Asia‘, pp. 92-95. For a recent
review of China‘s bilateral relations with Southeast Asia see: Jürgen Haacke, ‗The
Significance of Beijing‘s Bilateral Relations: Looking ―Below‖ the Regional Level in
China-ASEAN Ties,‘ in Ho Khai Leong and Samuel C. Y. Ku, eds., China and
Southeast Asia: Global Changes and Regional Challenges. Institute of Southeast
Asian Studies, Singapore, 2005, pp. 118-140.

(42) Jane‘s Defense Weekly, 4 January 2006, on line edition.

(43) ‗China-Vietnam Joint Communiqué‘, Beijing, 24 August 2006.

(44) Alexander Vuving, ―Strategy and Evolution of Vietnam‘s China Policy: A


Changing Mixture of Pathways,‖ Asian Survey, 46(6), November 2006.

(45) Vietnam News Agency, Beijing, January 21, 2007; Quan Doi Nhan Dan, January
22, 2007.

(46) Dong Ha, ‗BP, PetroVietnam rearrange gas pipeline overhauls plan‘, Thanh Nien,
March 14, 2007

(47) Xinhua, People‘s Daily Online, April 10, 2007.

(48) Xinhua, Beijing, April 10, 2007.

(49) Xinhua, People‘s Daily Online, April 10, 2007; words in brackets were quoted by
Reuters, ‗Vietnam stirring trouble with gas pipe plan – China‘, April 10, 2007.

(50) Xinhua, People‘s Daily Online, April 10, 2007.

(51) Quoted by Reuters, April 10, 2007. Qin Gang‘s remarks were carried by the
Shanghai Daily and The China Daily on April 11, 2007.

(52) Thong Tan Xa Viet Nam, Thanh Nien, April 12, 2007.

(53) Thanh Nien, April 12, 2007.

46
(54) This area is separate from the area where the national oil companies China, the
Philippines and Vietnam are conducing joint seismic exploration; Voice of Vietnam,
April 12, 2007.

(55) Neither China nor Vietnam has provided a public account of this incident. It is
unlikely that Vietnam People‘s Army naval vessels were involved in this incident. But
it is highly possible that fishing vessels that form part of local security forces could
have been involved. There is a real grey area concerning local self-defence forces and
militia. It is even more likely that armed Vietnamese fishermen were involved. China
typically embellishes incidents to suits its purposes and its use of the expression
‗armed vessels‘ is an example of such calculated ambiguity.

(56) According to an eyewitness, ‗I was at both [demonstrations] and the security


services, if not directly choreographing events, certainly facilitated the protests and
did nothing to stop them for an hour or so‘. If the student protests were spontaneous
then Vietnamese security officials have much to be concerned about. Vietnamese
students independently accessed the web to find information that was not in the state
press. Vietnamese students organized the protests to the extent of getting matching
t-shirts, slogans and then held simultaneous demonstrations in Hanoi and Ho Chi
Minh City. And finally, Vietnamese students contacted the media to garner publicity.
If students can do this on a patriotic issue, what else might they do ?

(57) Hieu expressed an interest in deepening cooperation in personnel training,


frontier and coastal defence and ‗other fields‘.

(58) Vietnam has strategic partnerships with Russia, India and Japan and ‗strategic
relations‘ with France. Vietnam and the United States have both mentioned raising
their bilateral relations to the strategic level.

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