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U.S.

Travel Forecasts
Updated 07/12/2012

U.S.TravelForecasts
RealGDP($Billions)*
UnemploymentRate(%)
ConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)**
TravelPriceIndex(TPI)**
TotalTravelExpendituresinU.S.($Billions)
U.S.Residents
InternationalVisitors***
TotalInternationalVisitorstotheU.S.(Millions)
OverseasArrivalstheU.S.(Millions)
TotalDomesticPersonTrips****(Millions)
Business
Leisure

2008
13,161.9
5.8
215.3
257.7
772.5
662.1
110.4
57.9
25.3
1,964.9
461.1
1,503.8

2009
12,703.1
9.3
214.6
241.5
699.8
605.6
94.2
55.0
23.8
1,900.1
436.4
1,463.8

2010
13,088.0
9.6
218.1
249.5
747.4
643.9
103.5
59.8
26.4
1,963.7
451.4
1,512.2

2011
13,315.1
9.0
219.2
253.1
812.9
696.7
116.3
62.3
27.9
1,997.6
456.1
1,541.5

2012
13,634.3
8.3
230.9
276.4
855.1
730.2
124.9
65.4
29.6
2,035.5
466.0
1,569.5

2013
13,989.7
7.8
234.8
285.5
889.2
755.7
133.5
68.3
31.2
2,062.5
472.0
1,590.4

2014
14,438.2
6.8
240.4
297.3
937.1
792.9
144.3
71.1
32.7
2,098.5
478.6
1,619.9

2015
14,897.9
6.0
245.5
307.1
981.8
827.5
154.3
73.8
34.4
2,131.2
485.2
1,646.0

2016
15,338.3
5.4
250.9
315.8
1,025.6
861.0
164.7
76.6
36.2
2,161.0
491.5
1,669.5

2013
2.6%
1.7%
3.3%
4.0%
3.5%
6.9%
4.4%
5.0%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%

2014
3.2%
2.4%
4.1%
5.4%
4.9%
8.1%
4.1%
5.0%
1.7%
1.4%
1.9%

2015
3.2%
2.1%
3.3%
4.8%
4.4%
6.9%
3.9%
5.0%
1.6%
1.4%
1.6%

2016
3.0%
2.2%
2.8%
4.5%
4.0%
6.7%
3.8%
5.0%
1.4%
1.3%
1.4%

U.S.TravelForecasts(Growth)
RealGDP*
ConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)**
TravelPriceIndex(TPI)**
TotalTravelExpendituresinU.S.
U.S.Residents
InternationalVisitors***
TotalInternationalVisitorstotheU.S.
OverseasArrivalstheU.S.
TotalDomesticPersonTrips****
Business
Leisure

2008
0.3%
3.9%
5.6%
4.7%
3.4%
13.3%
3.5%
6.1%
2.0%
6.7%
0.4%

2009
3.5%
0.3%
6.3%
9.4%
8.5%
14.7%
5.1%
6.3%
3.3%
5.4%
2.7%

2010
3.0%
1.6%
3.3%
6.8%
6.3%
9.9%
8.8%
11.0%
3.3%
3.5%
3.3%

2011
1.7%
0.5%
1.4%
8.8%
8.2%
12.4%
4.2%
5.8%
1.7%
1.0%
1.9%

2012
2.4%
5.3%
9.2%
5.2%
4.8%
7.4%
5.0%
6.0%
1.9%
2.2%
1.8%

*Basedonchained2005dollars.
**198284=100
***Excludesinternationalvisitors'spendingontravelingtotheU.S.onU.S.flagcarriers,andothermisc.transportation.
****Onepersontripof50milesormore,oneway,awayfromhomeorincludingoneormorenightsawayfromhome.
Sources:U.S.TravelAssociation'sTravelForecastModel,BLS,DepartmentofLabor;OTTI,BEA,DepartmentofCommerce.

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