Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Travel Forecasts
Updated 07/12/2012
U.S.TravelForecasts
RealGDP($Billions)*
UnemploymentRate(%)
ConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)**
TravelPriceIndex(TPI)**
TotalTravelExpendituresinU.S.($Billions)
U.S.Residents
InternationalVisitors***
TotalInternationalVisitorstotheU.S.(Millions)
OverseasArrivalstheU.S.(Millions)
TotalDomesticPersonTrips****(Millions)
Business
Leisure
2008
13,161.9
5.8
215.3
257.7
772.5
662.1
110.4
57.9
25.3
1,964.9
461.1
1,503.8
2009
12,703.1
9.3
214.6
241.5
699.8
605.6
94.2
55.0
23.8
1,900.1
436.4
1,463.8
2010
13,088.0
9.6
218.1
249.5
747.4
643.9
103.5
59.8
26.4
1,963.7
451.4
1,512.2
2011
13,315.1
9.0
219.2
253.1
812.9
696.7
116.3
62.3
27.9
1,997.6
456.1
1,541.5
2012
13,634.3
8.3
230.9
276.4
855.1
730.2
124.9
65.4
29.6
2,035.5
466.0
1,569.5
2013
13,989.7
7.8
234.8
285.5
889.2
755.7
133.5
68.3
31.2
2,062.5
472.0
1,590.4
2014
14,438.2
6.8
240.4
297.3
937.1
792.9
144.3
71.1
32.7
2,098.5
478.6
1,619.9
2015
14,897.9
6.0
245.5
307.1
981.8
827.5
154.3
73.8
34.4
2,131.2
485.2
1,646.0
2016
15,338.3
5.4
250.9
315.8
1,025.6
861.0
164.7
76.6
36.2
2,161.0
491.5
1,669.5
2013
2.6%
1.7%
3.3%
4.0%
3.5%
6.9%
4.4%
5.0%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%
2014
3.2%
2.4%
4.1%
5.4%
4.9%
8.1%
4.1%
5.0%
1.7%
1.4%
1.9%
2015
3.2%
2.1%
3.3%
4.8%
4.4%
6.9%
3.9%
5.0%
1.6%
1.4%
1.6%
2016
3.0%
2.2%
2.8%
4.5%
4.0%
6.7%
3.8%
5.0%
1.4%
1.3%
1.4%
U.S.TravelForecasts(Growth)
RealGDP*
ConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)**
TravelPriceIndex(TPI)**
TotalTravelExpendituresinU.S.
U.S.Residents
InternationalVisitors***
TotalInternationalVisitorstotheU.S.
OverseasArrivalstheU.S.
TotalDomesticPersonTrips****
Business
Leisure
2008
0.3%
3.9%
5.6%
4.7%
3.4%
13.3%
3.5%
6.1%
2.0%
6.7%
0.4%
2009
3.5%
0.3%
6.3%
9.4%
8.5%
14.7%
5.1%
6.3%
3.3%
5.4%
2.7%
2010
3.0%
1.6%
3.3%
6.8%
6.3%
9.9%
8.8%
11.0%
3.3%
3.5%
3.3%
2011
1.7%
0.5%
1.4%
8.8%
8.2%
12.4%
4.2%
5.8%
1.7%
1.0%
1.9%
2012
2.4%
5.3%
9.2%
5.2%
4.8%
7.4%
5.0%
6.0%
1.9%
2.2%
1.8%
*Basedonchained2005dollars.
**198284=100
***Excludesinternationalvisitors'spendingontravelingtotheU.S.onU.S.flagcarriers,andothermisc.transportation.
****Onepersontripof50milesormore,oneway,awayfromhomeorincludingoneormorenightsawayfromhome.
Sources:U.S.TravelAssociation'sTravelForecastModel,BLS,DepartmentofLabor;OTTI,BEA,DepartmentofCommerce.