Tiu lun 2010

Trang 1
TRNG I HC CNG NGHIP THNH PH H CH MINH
KHOA KHOA HC C BN

TIU LUN
XC SUT THNG K
TI
KIM NH GI THIT THNG K
V BI TP
GVHD:
Lp:..Khoa:..
Nhm I:
1. Nguyn Vn A
2. L Th B
3. ..
1) Trang ba nh trn.
2) Trang u trnh by phn l thuyt (khng cn li ni u).
3) Sau phn l thuyt l n bi tp, chp cu no xong th gii r rng ngay cu .
4) Cui cng l Ti liu tham kho:
1. Gio trnh Xc sut Thng k v ng dng Nguyn Ph Vinh NXB Thng k.
2. Ngn hng cu hi Xc sut Thng k v ng dng HCN TP.HCM.
3. L thuyt Xc sut v Thng k inh Vn Gng NXB Gio dc.
4. L thuyt Xc sut v Thng k ton Nguyn Thanh Sn, L Khnh Lun NXBTK.
5. Xc sut Thng k L thuyt v cc bi tp u Th Cp NXB Gio dc.
6. L thuyt Xc sut v Thng k inh Vn Gng NXB Gio dc.
7. Xc sut Thng k v ng dng L S ng NXB Gio dc.
8. Xc sut v Thng k ng Hn NXB Gio dc.
9. Gio trnh Xc sut v Thng k Phm Xun Kiu NXB Gio dc.
10. Gio trnh L thuyt Xc sut & Thng k TonNguyn Cao VnNXB Kt Quc dn.
Phn lm bi tiu lun c th nh my hoc vit tay trn 02 mt giy A 4.
Thi hn np tiu lun: Tit hc cui cng.
Mi thc mc gi v: dohoaivu.dhcn@yahoo.com.vn

TI
Ly tn phn l thuyt lm tn ti.
VD: Bi 1. BIN NGU NHIN th tn ti l:
BIN NGN NHIN
V BI TP
PHN I. L THUYT
Bi 1. BIN NGU NHIN
1.1. Trnh by khi nim bin c ngu nhin (nh ngha v v d).
1.2. Trnh by nh ngha ca xc sut theo quan im c in v thng k (cho v d).
1.3. Trnh by nh ngha xc sut theo quan im hnh hc (cho v d).
1.4. Trnh by xc sut c iu kin v cng thc xc sut y , Bayes (cho v d).
Bi 2. CC QUY LUT PHN PHI XC SUT
2.1. Trnh by khi nim i lng ngu nhin (cho v d).
2.2. Trnh by hm phn phi xc sut v hm mt ca L ngu nhin lin tc (cho v d).
2.3. Trnh by cc s c trng ca i lng ngu nhin (cho v d).
2.4. Trnh by phn phi ri rc: Nh thc, Siu bi v Poisson (cho v d).
Bi 3*. NH L GII HN TRUNG TM CC XP X XC SUT
3.1. Trnh by phn phi lin tc: Phn phi u v phn phi chun.
3.2. Trnh by (khng chng minh) nh l gii hn trung tm (Liapounov).
3.3. Trnh by xp x xc sut (cho v d) gia: Siu bi v Nh thc, Poisson v Nh thc.
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3.4. Trnh by xp x xc sut (cho v d) gia: Chun v Nh thc.
Bi 4*. VECTOR NGU NHIN LIN TC HAI CHIU
4.1. Trnh by vector ngu nhin lin tc hai chiu (cho v d).
4.2. Trnh by hm ca i lng ngu nhin (cho v d).
4.3. Trnh by Covarian (hip phng sai), cho v d.
4.4. Trnh by H s tng quan v ngha (cho v d).
Bi 5. L THUYT MU
5.1. Trnh by mu v phng php xc nh mu (cho v d).
5.2. Trnh by cc c trng mu tng qut (nh ngha v tnh cht).
5.3. Trnh by thc hnh cc c trng mu c th (cho v d).
5.4. Trnh by h s tng quan v ng hi quy tuyn tnh mu (cho v d).
Bi 6. C LNG THAM S CA I LNG NGU NHIN
6.1. Trnh by c lng khng chch (cho v d), c lng vng.
6.2. Trnh by c lng khong cho t l m ng (tng th), cho v d.
6.3. Trnh by c lng khong cho trung bnh m ng (tng th), cho v d.
6.4. Trnh by c lng khong cho phng sai m ng (tng th), cho v d.
Bi 7. KIM NH GI THIT THNG K
7.1. Trnh by khi nim kim nh gi thit thng k.
7.2. Trnh by kim nh gi thit v t l ca m ng (tng th), cho v d.
7.3. Trnh by kim nh gi thit v trung bnh ca m ng (tng th), cho v d.
7.4. Trnh by kim nh gi thit v phng sai ca m ng (tng th), cho v d.
Bi 8. KIM NH SO SNH GI THIT THNG K
8.1. Trnh by khi nim kim nh gi thit thng k.
8.2. Trnh by kim nh gi thit v s bng nhau ca hai t l (cho v d).
8.3. Trnh by kim nh gi thit v s bng nhau ca hai trung bnh (cho v d).
8.4. Trnh by kim nh gi thit v tnh c lp gia hai i lng ngu nhin (cho v d).

PHN II. BI TP XC SUT

Ch : 1) K hiu: EX = M(X), VarX = D(X).
2) Cc bi kh c hng dn gii.

CNG THC XC SUT TNG TCH
Cu 1. Trong hp c 10 vin bi trng, 15 bi en, 20 bi xanh v 25 bi . Ly t hp ra 1 vin bi. Tnh
xc sut vin bi ly ra l trng; en; xanh; ; trng hoc en; trng hoc en hoc xanh?
Cu 2. Hp th nht c 2 bi trng v 10 bi en; hp th hai c 8 bi trng v 4 bi en. T mi hp ly ra
1 bi. Tnh xc sut c 2 bi u trng; u en; 1 trng v 1 en?
Cu 3. Trong 1 hp c 8 bi trng v 6 bi en. Ly ln lt t hp ra 2 bi (khng hon li). Tnh xc sut
c 2 bi u trng; 1 bi trng v 1 bi en?
Cu 4. Ba x th bn vo mt mc tiu. Xc sut trng ch ca x th th nht l 0,75; ca x th th
hai l 0,8; ca x th th ba l 0,9. Tnh xc sut c 3 x th u bn trng ch; t nht mt x th
bn trng ch; t nht 1 x th bn trt mc tiu; ch c mt x th bn trng ch?
Cu 5. Trong 1 hp c 100 tm th c nh s t 1 n 100. Rt ngu nhin 2 th ri t theo th t.
Tnh xc sut 2 th lp thnh s c 2 ch s; 2 th lp thnh s chia ht cho 5?
Cu 6. Trong 1 hp c cha 7 bi trng v 3 bi en. Ly ngu nhin cng lc 4 bi. Tm xc sut trong
4 bi ly ra c 2 bi en; t nht 2 bi en; t nht 2 bi trng?
Cu 7. Mt hp thuc cha 5 ng thuc tt v 3 ng thuc km cht lng. Chn ngu nhin ln lt
(khng hon li) t hp ra 2 ng thuc. Tm xc sut c 2 ng thuc chn c u tt; t nht c 1
ng thuc tt; ch c ng thuc chn ra sau l tt?
Cu 8. C 3 khch i vo 1 ngn hng c 5 quy phc v. Tm xc sut c 3 khch u n quy s
1; ch c 1 khch n quy s 1; 2 trong 3 khch n 1 quy?
Cu 9. Mt l hng c 100 sn phm cha 5% ph phm. Kim tra ngu nhin ln lt 6 sn phm
trong l hng (xt hai trng hp c hon li v khng hon li). Nu c t nht 1 ph phm th khng
mua l hng, tnh xc sut l hng c mua?
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Cu 10. Mt kho hng c rt nhiu sn phm. Chn ngu nhin ln lt tng sn phm t kho hng
cho n khi gp ph phm th dng. Bit xc sut chn c ph phm mi ln l 0,2. Tnh xc sut sao
cho phi chn n ln th 5? Phi chn ti thiu bao nhiu ln xc sut chn c t nht 1 ph phm
khng nh hn 0,8?
Cu 11. Mt sinh vin mun hon thnh kha hc th phi qua 3 k thi vi nguyn tc: nu k thi
ny th mi c thi k tip theo. Bit xc sut sinh vin thi k u l 0,9; k th hai l 0,8 v k
th 3 l 0,7. Tnh xc sut sinh vin thi c 3 k; sinh vin trt k thi th hai?
Cu 12. C 30 thi gm 20 trung bnh v 10 kh. Tnh xc sut 1 sinh vin bc 1 th gp
trung bnh; bc 2 th c t nht 1 trung bnh.
Cu 13. Mt hp c 12 bng n, trong c 3 bng hng. Ly ngu nhin ln lt (khng hon li) 3
bng n dng. Tnh xc sut c 3 bng u hng; t nht 1 bng tt; ch c bng th 2 hng.
Cu 14. Mt t 12 sinh vin gm 3 n v 9 nam. Chia t ny ra 3 nhm bng nhau, tnh xc sut
trong mi nhm u c n.

CNG THC XC SUT Y BAYES
Cu 15. Bao la th nht nng 20kg c t l ht lp l 1%; bao la th hai 30kg v 2% ht lp; bao th
ba 50kg v 3% ht lp. Trn c ba bao la vo bao th t ri bc ra 1 ht. Tnh xc sut ht bc ra l ht
lp; gi s ht bc ra khng lp, tnh xc sut ht ny l ca bao th 2.
Cu 16. Ba kin hng u c 20 sn phm vi s sn phm tt tng ng l 15, 12 v 10. Ly ngu
nhin 1 kin hng (kh nng nh nhau), ri t kin hng chn ngu nhin ra 1 sn phm. Tnh xc
sut sn phm chn ra l tt; gi s sn phm chn ra khng tt, tnh xc sut sn phm ny thuc kin
hng th ba.
Cu 17. Hp th nht cha 12 vin phn trng v 8 vin phn ; hp th hai cha 10 vin trng, 10
vin ; hp ba cha 6 trng, 10 . Chn ngu nhin 1 hp (ng kh nng) v t hp rt ra 1 vin
phn. Tnh xc sut vin phn chn c c mu trng; gi s vin chn c l mu trng, tnh xc
sut vin ny l ca hp th nht.
Cu 18. C 5 hp phn gm 3 loi. Loi I gm 2 hp, mi hp cha 12 vin phn trng v 8 vin phn
; loi II c 1 hp cha 10 vin trng, 10 vin ; loi III gm 2 hp, mi hp cha 6 trng, 10 .
Chn ngu nhin 1 hp (ng kh nng) v t hp rt ra 1 vin phn. Tnh xc sut vin phn chn
c c mu trng; gi s vin chn c l mu trng, tnh xc sut vin ny l ca hp loi III.
Cu 19. C 20 kin hng gm 3 loi: 8 kin loi I; 7 kin loi II v 5 kin loi III. Mi kin u c 10
sn phm v s ph phm tng ng cho mi loi ln lt l 1, 3 v 5. Chn ngu nhin 1 kin hng
(ng kh nng) v t kin rt ra 1 sn phm. Tnh xc sut chn trng ph phm; gi s sn phm
chn c l tt, tnh xc sut sn phm ny l ca kin hng loi II.
Cu 20. Mt vn lan trng hai loi lan Ngc im cha n hoa, loi I c hoa mu trng im hoa c v
loi II c mu trng im tm . Bit s cy lan loi I bng 7/3 s cy lan loi II v t l n hoa tng
ng l 95%, 97%. Ngi mua chn ngu nhin 1 cy, tnh xc sut cy lan ny n hoa; cy lan ny
ny hoa mu trng im tm .
Cu 21. Ti 1 bnh vin c s bnh nhn n bng 3/5 s bnh nhn nam. T l bnh nhn nam b bnh
ni khoa l 30%; bnh nhn n b bnh ni khoa l 20%. Gi tn ngu nhin 1 ngi, tnh xc sut
ngi c gi b bnh ni khoa; gi s ngi c gi khng b bnh ni khoa, tnh xc sut bnh
nhn ny l n.
Cu 22. Trn 1 quc l c s t ti gp ba ln s t con. Trung bnh c 100 t ti i qua 1 trm xng
th c 25 chic vo trm xng; 100 t con c 10 chic xng. C 1 chic gh vo trm xng,
tnh xc sut chic xe ny l t con.
Cu 23. Hp th nht c 5 bi xanh, 9 bi v 6 bi vng. Hp th hai c 10 bi xanh v 7 bi . Ly ngu
nhin 1 bi t hp th nht b vo hp th hai (khng n mu). Sau ly ngu nhin t hp th
hai ra 1 bi th thy bi c mu xanh, tnh xc sut bi ny l ca hp th hai.
Cu 24. Mt nh my c 4 dy chuyn sn xut vi t l ph phm tng ng l 0,4%; 0,2%; 0,5% ;
0,6%. T mt l gm 8 sn phm ca dy chuyn I, 12 sn phm ca dy chuyn II, 10 sn phm ca
dy chuyn III v 6 sn phm ca dy chuyn IV chn ra 1 sn phm th nhn c ph phm. Hi ph
phm ny c sn xut bi dy chuyn no vi xc sut ln nht.


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I LNG NGU NHIN RI RC V LIN TC
Cu 28. Mt kin hng c 5 sn phm tt v 3 sn phm xu. Chn ngu nhin t kin hng ra 2 sn
phm (chn 1 ln).
a) Lp hm phn phi xc sut ca s sn phm tt chn c;
b) Lp hm phn phi xc sut ca s sn phm xu chn c;
c) Tnh k vng, phng sai ca s sn phm tt; xu.
Cu 29. Kin hng I c 3 sn phm tt v 2 sn phm xu, kin hng II c 2 sn phm tt v 4 sn phm
xu. Chn ngu nhin t kin hng I ra 2 sn phm (chn 1 ln) v t kin II ra 1 sn phm.
a) Lp hm phn phi xc sut ca s sn phm tt chn c;
b) Lp hm phn phi xc sut ca s sn phm xu chn c;
c) Tnh k vng, phng sai ca s sn phm tt; xu.
Cu 30. Kin hng I c 8 sn phm tt v 2 sn phm xu, kin hng II c 5 sn phm tt v 3 sn phm
xu. Chn ngu nhin t kin hng I ra 2 sn phm (chn 1 ln) v b vo kin II, sau t kin II chn
ngu nhin ra 2 sn phm.
a) Lp bng v hm phn phi xc sut ca s sn phm tt chn c t kin II;
b) Lp bng v hm phn phi xc sut ca s sn phm xu chn c t kin II.
Cu 31. Mt ngi vo ca hng thy c 5 chic tivi ging nhau. Anh ta ngh c th ln lt tng
chic n khi chn c tivi tt th mua v nu c 5 ln th u xu th khng mua. Gi X l s ln th.
Bit cc tivi c lp vi nhau v xc sut 1 tivi xu l 0,3.
a) Tnh xc sut ngi ny mua c tivi;
b) Lp bng v hm phn phi xc sut ca X.
Cu 33. Cho X l i lng ngu nhin c bng phn phi:
X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
P a 2a 2a 3a a
2
2a
2
a(7a + 1)
a) Xc nh tham s a;
b) Vi a tm c, tnh P(X 5) v tm k nh nht sao cho P(X k) 0, 5 .
Cu 34. Mt x th c 6 vin n vi xc sut bn mi vin trng vng 10 ca 1 bia l 0,8. Nu x th
bn lin tip 3 vin trng vng 10 th ngng khng bn na. Gi X l s vin n x th bn.
a) Tnh P(X 5) ;
b) Lp bng phn phi xc sut ca X;
c) Gi Y l s vin n cn li cha bn, lp hm phn phi xc sut ca Y.
Cu 39. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm mt :
2
a(3x x ), 0 x 3
f (x)
0, x [0; 3]

=

.
a) Tm a, tnh P(1 < X < 2) v v th hm y = f(x).
b) Tnh EX, VarX.
Cu 40. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm phn phi:
0, x 1
x 1
F(x) , 1 x 3
2
1, x 3
<

>

.
a) Tm hm mt f(x), tnh P(2,5 < X < 3,5) v v th hm F(x).
b) Tnh EX, VarX.
Cu 41. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm phn phi:
2
0, x 2
F(x) (x 2) , 2 x 3
1, x 3
<

>

.
a) Tm hm mt f(x), tnh P(2,5 < X < 3,5) v v th hm F(x).
b) Tnh EX, VarX.
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Cu 42. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm phn phi:
0, x 0
F(x) sin 2x, 0 x
4
1, x
4

<

>

.
a) Tm hm mt f(x), tnh P X
6 4
| |

|
\
.
b) Tnh EX, VarX.
Cu 43. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm mt :
a cos x, x ;
2 2
f (x)
0, x ;
2 2
| |

|
\
=

| |

\
.
a) Tm a, hm phn phn phi F(x) v tnh P 0 X
4
| |

|
\
.
b) Tnh EX, VarX.
*Cu 44. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm phn phi: F(x) A B.arctgx, x = + .
a) Tm A, B, hm mt f(x), tnh P( 1 X 1) .
b) Tnh EX, VarX, ModX, MedX.
HD: a)
x
F( ) lim F(x) 0

= = ,
x
F( ) lim F(x) 1
+
+ = = .
b)
x
ModX max f (x)

, MedX P(X ) 0, 5 = < = .

*Cu 45. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm phn phi:
0, x 2
x
F(x) A B.arcsin , 2 x 2
2
1, x 2

= + < <

.
a) Tm A, B F(x) lin tc v tnh tnh
1 1
P X
2 2
| |
< <
|
\
.
b) Tm hm mt f(x), EX, MedX.
*Cu 46. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm mt :
3
x
x , x [0; 2]
f (x)
4
0, x [0; 2]

.
a) Tm hm phn phi F(x) v tnh tnh
1 1
P X
2 2
| |
< <
|
\
.
b) Tnh EX, VarX, ModX v MedX.

*Cu 47. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm mt :
2
2
cos x, x ;
2 2
f (x)
0, x ;
2 2
| |

|

\
=

| |

\
.
a) Tnh EX v tm hm phn phi F(x).
b) Tnh xc sut trong 3 php th c lp c 2 ln X nhn gi tr trong khong 0;
4
| |
|
\
.
HD: b) Tnh p P 0 X
4
| |
= < <
|
\
, ri dng cng thc Bernoulli (nh thc).
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*Cu 48. Bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm mt :
2
x
, x [0; 3]
f (x)
9
0, x [0; 3]

.
a) Tm hm phn phi F(x). Tnh ModX, MedX, EX v VarX.
b) Tnh xc sut trong 3 php th c lp c 2 ln X nhn gi tr trong khong (1; 4).


PHN PHI XC SUT THNG DNG V CC LOI XP X XC SUT

Php th Bernoulli v phn phi Nh thc
Cu 56. Mt l hng c rt nhiu sn phm vi t l ph phm l 0,3%. Kim tra ngu nhin ln lt
tng sn phm ca l hng ny. Tnh s sn phm ti thiu cn kim tra xc sut chn c t nht 1
ph phm khng b hn 91%.
Cu 57. Mt trng tiu hc c t l hc sinh b cn th l 0,9%. Kim tra ngu nhin ln lt tng hc
sinh ca trng ny. Tnh s hc sinh ti thiu cn kim tra xc sut chn c t nht 1 hc sinh b
cn th khng b hn 95%.
Cu 58. Mt ngi mi ngy mua 1 t v s vi xc sut trng s l 1%. Hi ngi y phi mua lin
tip ti thiu bao nhiu ngy c khng t hn 99% hy vng c trng s t nht 1 ln?
Cu 59. Gieo 100 ht u, xc sut ny mm ca mi ht l 0,9. Tnh xc sut trong 100 ht:
a) C ng 80 ht ny mm; b) C t nht 1 ht ny mm; c) C nhiu nht 98 ht ny mm.
Cu 60. Mt b m sinh 2 con (mi ln sinh 1 con). Gi s xc sut sinh con trai l 51%. Tnh xc sut
trong s 2 ngi con :
a) C ng 1 trai; b) Khng c con trai; c) C hai con trai.
Cu 61. Mt k thut vin theo di 14 my hot ng c lp. Xc sut mi my trong 1 gi cn n
s iu chnh ca k thut vin ny bng 0,2. Tnh xc sut trong 1 gi:
a) C 3 my cn n s iu chnh ca k thut vin.
b) S my cn n s iu chnh ca k thut vin khng b hn 3 v khng ln hn 6.
Cu 62. Mt n cng nhn ph trch 12 my dt hot ng c lp. Xc sut mi my dt trong
khong thi gian t cn n s chm sc ca n cng nhn bng 0,3. Tnh xc sut trong khong thi
gian t:
a) C 4 my cn n s chm sc ca n cng nhn.
b) S my cn n s chm sc ca n cng nhn khng b hn 3 v khng ln hn 6.
Cu 63. Bn c lp 12 vin n vo 1 mc tiu, xc sut bn trng ch ca mi vin n l 0,2. Mc
tiu b ph hy hon ton nu c t nht 2 vin n trng vo mc tiu. Tnh xc sut :
a) Mc tiu b ph hy 1 phn; b) Mc tiu b ph hy hon ton.
Cu 64. Bn c lp 10 vin n vo 1 mc tiu, xc sut bn trng ch ca mi vin n l 0,2. Mc
tiu b ph hy hon ton nu c t nht 8 vin n trng vo mc tiu. Tnh xc sut :
a) Mc tiu b ph hy hon ton; b) Mc tiu b ph hy 1 phn.
*Cu 65. Mt bi thi trc nghim gm 12 cu, mi cu c 4 phng n tr li v ch c 1 phng n
ng. Gi s 1 cu tr li ng c 4 im, tr li sai b tr 1 im. Mt sinh vin yu chn cch tr
li ngu nhin bng cch chn h ha 1 phng n ca mi cu tr li.
a) Tnh xc sut sinh vin t 13 im.
b) Tnh xc sut sinh vin b im m.
*Cu 66. C Ba nui 15 con g mi vi xc sut trng ca mi con trong 1 ngy l 0,6.
1) Tnh xc sut trong 1 ngy c Ba c:
a) C 15 con g trng; b) t nht 2 con g trng; c) Nhiu nht 14 con g trng.
2) Nu mun trung bnh mi ngy c 100 trng th c Ba phi nui bao nhiu con g mi ?
3) Nu gi 1 qu trng l 1200 ng th mi ngy c Ba thu c chc chn nht bao nhiu tin?
*Cu 68. Mt ngi c 3 ch yu thch nh nhau cu c. Xc sut cu c c 3 ch 1, 2, 3 tng
ng l 0,6; 0,7 v 0,8. Ngi chn ngu nhin 1 ch th cu 3 ln v ch cu c 1 con c. Tnh xc
sut con c cu c ch th 3.
HD: Gi A l bin c 3 ln th cu ch cu c 1 con c.
A
i
l bin c cu c ch th i (i = 1, 2, 3).
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Kh nng cu c 1 trong 3 ch l nh nhau, xc sut cu c 1 con c mi ch l phn phi nh
thc. Tnh P(A) theo y ri tnh P(A
3
/A) theo Bayes.

Phn phi siu bi
Cu 69. T mt nhm 10 k s gm 6 k s ha v 4 k s in chn ngu nhin 4 k s (chn 1 ln).
Gi X l s k s in c chn.
a) Tnh xc sut trong 4 k s c chn c ng 2 k s in.
b) Tnh EX v VarX.
b) Lp bng phn phi xc sut ca X.
Cu 70. Mt l sn phm gm 90 sn phm tt v 10 ph phm. Chn ngu nhin 5 sn phm t l
(chn 1 ln). Gi X l s sn phm tt trong 5 sn phm ly ra.
a) Tnh xc sut trong 5 sn phm c chn c t nht 2 sn phm tt.
b) Tnh EX v VarX.
c) Lp bng phn phi xc sut ca X.
Cu 71. T b bi 52 l, chn ra (1 ln) 8 l. Gi X l s l c trong 8 l bi chn ra.
a) Tnh xc sut trong 8 l bi c chn c t nht 7 l c.
b) Tnh EX v VarX.
c) Lp bng phn phi xc sut ca X.
Cu 72. Mt r mn c 12 tri trong c 5 tri h. Chn ngu nhin t r ra 4 tri. Gi X l s tri
mn h chn c.
a) Tnh xc sut trong 4 tri c chn c nhiu nht 2 tri khng h.
b) Tnh EX v VarX.
c) Lp bng phn phi xc sut ca X.

Phn phi chun
Cu 73. Cho X N(3; 4) . Tnh P(X 2) < ,
2
P(X 4) , ( ) P X 3 4 , ( ) P X 2 1 .
Cu 74. Cho X c phn phi chun vi EX = 10 v ( ) P 10 X 20 0, 3 < < = . Tnh ( ) P 0 X 10 < < .
Cu 75. Cho X c phn phi chun vi VarX = 25 v ( ) P X 20 0, 62 = . Tnh EX.
Cu 76. Cho X c phn phi chun vi EX = 5 v ( ) P X 9 0, 2 > = . Tnh VarX.
Cu 77. Li sut X (%) ca 1 doanh nghip u t vo 1 d n l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi
chun. Theo nh gi ca y ban u t th li sut cao hn 20% c xc sut l 0,1587; cao hn 25% c
xc sut l 0,0228. Vy kh nng doanh nghip u t vo d n trn m khng b thua l l bao nhiu?
HD: T P(X > 0,2) = 0,1587 v P(X > 0,25) = 0,0228
2
, P(X 0) .
Cu 78. Thi gian X (thng) t lc vay n lc tr tin ca 1 khch hng ti 1 ngn hng l i lng
ngu nhin c phn phi chun N(18; 16). Tnh t l (xc sut) khch hng tr tin cho ngn hng:
a) Trong khong 12 n 16 thng; b) Khng lu hn 8 thng.
c) Ti thiu l bao lu 99% khch hng tr tin cho ngn hng.
Cu 79. Thi gian X (tnh bng pht) ca mt khch hng ch c phc v ti 1 ca hng l bin
ngu nhin vi X N(4, 5; 1, 21) . Tnh t l khch phi ch c phc v:
a) Trong khong t 3,5 pht n 6 pht; b) Qu 5 pht.
c) Thi gian t phi ch l bao nhiu c khng qu 7% s khch phi ch vt qu t.

Cc loi xp x xc sut thng dng (Siu bi ~ Nh thc ~ Poisson, Chun)
Cu 84. Mt bao thc c t l ht lp l 0,01%. Chn ngu nhin lin tip 5000 ht. Tnh xc sut :
a) C ng 2 ht thc lp; b) C t nht 2 ht thc lp.
Cu 85. Mt hng sn xut trung bnh 1000 a nhc th c 1 a hng. Tnh xc sut khi hng sn
xut 9000 a nhc th c nhiu hn 10 a khng hng.
Cu 86. Xc sut sinh b gi l 51%. Tnh xc sut trong 500 b sp sinh ti 1 bnh vin c:
a) S b gi khong t 150 n 170; b) t nht c 180 b gi.
Cu 87. Mt vn lan c 10000 cy sp n hoa, trong c 1000 cy hoa mu . Chn ngu nhin 20
cy lan trong vn ny. Tnh xc sut chn c 15 cy lan c hoa mu .
Cu 88. Mt l hng c 1% ph phm. Tnh xc sut khi chn 1000 sn phm t l hng c:
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Trang 8
a) Tt c u tt; b) C t nht 2 ph phm.
Cu 89. Trong mt phng c 40% ngi nghin thuc l. Chn ngu nhin 300 ngi (chn c lp).
Tnh xc sut trong c khng qu 140 ngi nghin thuc l.
Cu 90. Mt cng ty nhp 5000 thng ha cht, trong c 1000 thng km cht lng. Cng ty ny
phn phi ngu nhin 10 thng (khng hon li) cho 1 ca hng. Tnh xc sut ca hng ny nhn 3
thng km cht lng.
PHN III. BI TP THNG K
C LNG KHONG
Cu 1. Ngi ta kim tra ngu nhin 400 sn phm ca 1 nh my th thy c 20 ph phm. Vi tin
cy 95%, hy c lng t l chnh phm ca nh my ny?
Cu 2. iu tra ngu nhin 100 thanh nin 1 vng qu thy c 45 ngi tt nghip THPT. Vi tin
cy 97%, hy c lng t l thanh nin tt nghip THPT vng qu ny?
Cu 3. Trong kho c 10000 hp tht, kim tra ngu nhin 100 hp thy c 5 hp b hng. Vi tin cy
93%, hy c lng trong kho ny c khong bao nhiu hp b hng.
Cu 4. Trong kho c 1000 sn phm ca nh my A sn xut b ln vi nhiu sn phm do nh my B
sn xut. Ly ngu nhin t kho ra 100 sn phm thy c 9 sn phm do nh my A sn xut. Vi tin
cy 92%, hy c lng trong kho ny c khong bao nhiu sn phm do nh my B sn xut.
Cu 5. c lng s c trong 1 h ngi ta bt ln 3000 con, nh du ri th li xung h. Sau 1
thi gian bt ln 400 con thy c 60 con c nh du. Vi tin cy 97%, hy c lng s c c trong
h.
Cu 6. Chn ngu nhin 36 cng nhn ca 1 nh my th thy mc lng trung bnh l 960 ngn
ng/thng. Gi s mc lng ca cng nhn tun theo quy lut chun vi 14 = ngn ng. Vi
tin cy 95%, hy c lng mc lng trung bnh ca cng nhn trong ton nh my.
Cu 7. Sn lng trong ngy ca 1 phn xng l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun, kt qu
thng k trong 10 ngy l: 26; 23; 27; 26; 21; 28; 25; 30; 26; 23.
Hy c lng sn lng trung bnh trong 1 ngy ca phn xng vi tin cy 90%.
Cu 8. Theo di 100 sinh vin ca trng A xc nh s gi t hc nh th thy c 95 sinh vin c
t hc vi s gi trung bnh 4,01 gi vi s = 1,54 gi.
a) c lng s gi t hc ca sinh vin trng A vi tin cy 97%.
b) c lng t l sinh vin trng A khng t hc vi tin cy 90%.
Cu 9. o ng knh d ca 100 chi tit my do 1 x nghip sn xut c s liu:

d (mm)
19,80
19,85
19,85
19,90
19,90
19,95
19,95
20,00
20,00
20,05
20,05
20,10
20,10
20,15
20,15
20,20
S chi
tit

3

5

16

28

23

14

7

4
Quy nh nhng chi tit my c ng knh t 19,9mm n 20,1mm l t chun.
a) c lng t l chi tit my t chun vi tin cy 99%.
b) c lng ng knh trung bnh ca chi tit my t chun vi tin cy 95%.
Cu 10. Nng sut la trong 1 vng l i lng ngu nhin. Gt ngu nhin 100ha ca vng ny, ngi
ta thu c bng s liu:
Nng sut (t / ha) 41 44 45 46 48 52 54
Din tch (ha) 10 20 30 15 10 10 5
a) c lng nng sut la trung bnh ca vng trn vi tin cy 95%.
b) Nhng tha rung trong vng trn c nng sut t 48 t/ha tr ln l nhng tha c nng sut
cao. c lng t l din tch c nng sut cao vi tin cy 97%.
Cu 11. Nng sut la trong 1 vng l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun. Gt ngu nhin 115ha
ca vng ny, ngi ta thu c bng s liu:
Nng sut (t / ha) 40 42 42 44 44 46 46 48 48 50 50 52
Din tch (ha) 7 13 25 35 30 5
a) c lng nng sut la trung bnh ca vng trn vi tin cy 95%.
b) Nhng tha rung trong vng trn c nng sut khng qu 44 t/ha l nhng tha c nng
sut thp. c lng nng sut la trung bnh ca nhng tha rung c nng sut thp vi tin
cy 99%.
Cu 12.
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Trang 9
a) Cn 1 mu c kch thc c bao nhiu t l mu l 0,2; 0, 01 = v 1 95% = ?
b) Nu mu c kch thc l 100, t l mu l 0,2 v 0, 1 = th 1 l bao nhiu?
Cu 13. Ngi ta xp 100 tri i vo 1 thng, c rt nhiu thng nh th. Kim tra ngu nhin 50 thng
thy c 100 tri i khng t tiu chun.
a) c lng t l tri i khng t tiu chun vi tin cy 97%.
b) Mun c lng t l tri i khng t tiu chun vi chnh xc 1% v tin cy 99% th
cn phi kim tra ti thiu bao nhiu thng?
c) Mun c lng t l tri i khng t tiu chun vi chnh xc 0,5% th tin cy l bao
nhiu?
Cu 14. Ngi ta xp 100 tri i vo 1 thng, c rt nhiu thng nh th. Kim tra ngu nhin 50 thng
thy c 450 tri i khng t tiu chun.
a) c lng t l tri i khng t tiu chun vi tin cy 95%.
b) Mun c lng t l tri i khng t tiu chun vi chnh xc 0,5% th tin cy l bao
nhiu?
c) Mun c lng t l tri i khng t tiu chun vi tin cy 99,7% th chnh xc t
c l bao nhiu?
*Cu 15. Kt qu quan st v hm lng Vitamin ca 1 loi tri cy, thu c bng s liu:
Hm lng (%) 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 12
S tri 5 10 20 35 25 5
a) c lng hm lng Vitamin trung bnh trong 1 tri cy trn vi tin cy 95%.
b) Nhng tri cy c hm lng Vitamin trn 10% l tri cy loi I. Hy c lng t l tri cy
loi I vi tin cy 99%.
c) Mun chnh xc khi c lng hm lng Vitamin trung bnh trong 1 tri l 0,1 v
chnh xc khi c lng t l tri cy loi I l 5% vi tin cy 95% th cn quan st thm bao
nhiu tri cy na?
Cu 16. Thng k im trung bnh mn ton ca 100 th sinh thi vo trng HCN l 5,25 vi s = 2,5.
a) c lng im trung bnh mn ton ca ton b th sinh vi tin cy 97%.
b) Vi sai s l 0,25 im, hy xc nh tin cy ca c lng?
Cu 17. Tui th ca 1 loi bng n A l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun, vi 100 = gi.
Chn ngu nhin 100 bng n A th nghim th thy tui th trung bnh ca mi bng l 1000 gi.
a) c lng tui th trung bnh ca bng n A vi tin cy l 95%.
b) Vi chnh xc ca c lng tui th trung bnh bng A l 15 gi, hy xc nh tin cy?
c) Vi chnh xc ca c lng tui th trung bnh bng n A l 25 gi v tin cy l 97%
th cn th nghim ti thiu bao nhiu bng?
Cu 18. Trng lng cc bao bt m ti ca hng A l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun. Cn
ngu nhin 20 bao th thy trng lng trung bnh ca mi bao l 48kg v s = 0,5kg.
a) c lng trng lng trung bnh ca 1 bao bt m ca hng A vi tin cy l 95%.
b) Vi chnh xc ca c lng trng lng trung bnh l 0,26kg, hy xc nh tin cy?
c) Vi chnh xc ca c lng trng lng trung bnh l 0,16kg v tin cy l 97% th cn
cn ti thiu bao nhiu bao bt m?
Cu 19. Ngi ta kim tra ngu nhin 100 hp tht trong 1 kho th thy c 11 hp khng t tiu chun.
a) c lng t l hp tht t tiu chun trong kho vi tin cy 94%.
b) Vi sai s cho php khi c lng t l hp tht khng t tiu chun trong kho l 3% th
tin cy l bao nhiu?
c) Vi sai s cho php khi c lng t l hp tht khng t tiu chun trong kho l 1% v tin
cy l 99% th cn kim tra ti thiu bao nhiu hp tht?
Cu 20. Mt l hng c 5000 sn phm. Kim tra ngu nhin 400 sn phm t l hng thy c 360 sn
phm loi A.
a) c lng s sn phm loi A c trong l hng ny vi tin cy 96%.
b) Nu mun c lng s sn phm loi A ca l hng vi sai s 150 sn phm v tin cy
99% th cn kim tra ti thiu bao nhiu sn phm?
*Cu 21. Tui th (tnh bng thng) ca 1 loi thit b A l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun.
Ngi ta th nghim ngu nhin 15 thit b A, c kt qu:
114; 78; 96; 137; 78; 103; 126; 86; 99; 114; 72; 104; 73; 86; 117.
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a) c lng khong cho trung bnh v phng sai ca tui th thit b A vi tin cy 95%.
b) Nu mun c tin cy 99% v chnh xc l 5 thng ca c lng tui th trung ca thit
b A th cn th nghim thm bao nhiu thit b na?
Cu 22. Gim c ngn hng A mun c lng s tin gi trung bnh ca mi khch hng bng cch
chn ngu nhin 30 khch th thy: S tin gi trung bnh l 4750$ v lch tiu chun l 1200$.
a) Vi tin cy 95%, c lng s tin gi trung bnh ca mi khch hng ti ngn hng A?
b) Nu mun c chnh xc ca c lng trung bnh l 400$ th tin cy l bao nhiu?
c) Nu mun c chnh xc ca c lng trung bnh l 300$ v tin cy 99% th cn chn
thm bao nhiu khch hng na?
Cu 23. c lng doanh thu ca 1 cng ty gm 380 ca hng trn ton quc trong 1 thng, ngi ta
chn ngu nhin 10% s ca hng v c bng doanh thu trong 1 thng:
Doanh thu (triu ng / thng) 20 40 60 80
S ca hng 8 16 12 2
a) Vi tin cy 97%, c lng doanh thu trung bnh ca mi ca hng v tng doanh thu ca
cng ty trong 1 thng.
b) Nu mun c chnh xc ca c lng doanh thu trung bnh ca mi ca hng trong 1
thng l 500000 ng th tin cy l bao nhiu?
*Cu 24. T l n xu ti 1 ngn hng l t s gia tng s n qu hn v tng s n cho vay ang c
thc hin. T l n xu ca cc ngn hng vng A l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun. iu
tra ngu nhin 7 ngn hng vng A th thy t l n xu l: 7%; 4%; 6%; 7%; 5%; 4%; 9%. Nhn vin
thanh tra phn nn rng t l n xu cc ngn hng vng A cao hn vng B v ch c 3,7%. Vi
tin cy 95%, hy dng c lng khong t l n xu trung bnh ca vng A xem li phn nn trn
c ng khng? Cu hi tng t vi tin cy 99%?
Cu 25. nghin cu nhu cu v loi hng A 1 khu vc ngi ta tin hnh kho st 400 trong ton
b 4000 gia nh, kt qu:
Nhu cu (kg/thng) 01 12 23 34 45 56 67 78
S gia nh 10 35 86 132 78 31 18 10
a) c lng nhu cu trung bnh loi hng A ca khu vc trn trong 1 nm vi tin cy 95%.
b) Mun c c lng trn vi chnh xc 4,8 tn v tin cy 95% th cn kho st ti thiu
bao nhiu gia nh trong khu vc?
HD: a) Nu ( )
1 2
; l khong c lng nhu cu ca mi gia nh trong 1 thng th khong c
lng nhu cu ca khu vc trong 1 nm l ( )
1 2
4000 12; 4000 12 .
b) Chuyn chnh xc 4,8 tn = 4800kg v chnh xc c lng nhu cu trung bnh ca 1 gia
nh:
4800
12 4000
=

, ri tnh n nh bnh thng.

Cu 26. Cng ty A tin hnh kho st nhu cu tiu dng v 1 loi sn phm do cng ty sn xut trong 1
thnh ph c 600000 h dn. Kt qu kho st 500 h dn th c 400 h dng loi sn phm ny:
Nhu cu (kg/thng) 0,51 11,5 1,52 22,5 2,53 33,5
S h dn 40 70 110 90 60 30
a) Nu mun c lng t l h dn c nhu cu v loi sn phm ny vi tin cy 97% v
chnh xc 4% th cn kho st ti thiu bao nhiu h dn?
b) c lng s lng loi sn phm ny ca cng ty A c tiu th thnh ph trong 1 nm.
Cu 27. nh gi mc tiu th in ca 10000 h dn trong vng A, cng ty in lc tin hnh kim
tra ngu nhin 400 h th c kt qu:
Mc tiu th (100kw/thng) 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6
S h dn 20 110 150 64 46 10
a) c lng mc tiu th in ca mi h dn vng A trong 6 thng vi tin cy 97%.
b) Nhng h dn c mc tiu th in trn 400kw/thng l nhng h tiu th in cao. c
lng s h dn c mc tiu th in cao trong vng A vi tin cy 95%.

*Cu 28. Mc hao ph nguyn liu cho 1 n v sn phm l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun.
Quan st 28 sn phm ny ngi ta thu c bng s liu:
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Trang 11
Lng nguyn liu hao ph (gr) 19,0 19,5 20,0 20,5
S sn phm 5 6 14 3
Vi tin cy 90%, hy c lng phng sai ca mc hao ph nguyn liu trn trong 2 trng hp:
a) Bit EX = 20gr; b) Cha bit EX.
*Cu 29. Sc chu lc X (kg/cm
2
) ca ximng do nh my A sn xut l i lng ngu nhin c phn
phi chun. Ngi ta chn ngu nhin 28 mu ximng ny kim tra sc chu lc, kt qu:
10,0; 13,0; 13,7; 11,5; 11,0; 13,5; 12,2; 13,0; 10,0; 11,0; 13,5; 11,5; 13,0; 12,2;
13,5; 10,0; 10,0; 11,5; 13,0; 13,7; 14,0; 13,0; 13,7; 13,0; 11,5; 10,0; 11,0; 13,0.
Vi tin cy 95%, hy c lng:
a) Sc chu lc trung bnh ca ximng do nh my A sn xut.
b) Phng sai ca sc chu lc ca ximng do nh my A sn xut.
Cu 30. Mt nng dn gieo th nghim 1000 ht ca 1 ging la mi th c 640 ht ny mm.
a) Vi tin cy 95%, hy c lng t l ny mm ca ging la ny?
b) Mun c tin cy 97% v sai s c lng t l ht la ny mm l 2% th ngi nng dn
cn gieo ti thiu bao nhiu ht?
Cu 31. nh gi tr lng c trong 1 h ngi ta nh bt 2000 con, nh du ri th li xung h.
Sau 1 thi gian bt li 400 con th thy 80 con c nh du.
a) c lng tr lng c c trong h ny vi tin cy 95%.
b) Nu mun sai s ca c lng gim i mt na th ln sau phi bt ti thiu my con c?
Cu 32. Ngi ta tin hnh iu tra th trng v 1 loi sn phm mi bng cch phng vn ngu nhin
300 khch hng th thy c 90 ngi thch sn phm ny.
a) c lng t l khch hng thch sn phm ny vi tin cy 95%.
b) Nu mun c tin cy 95% v chnh xc ca c lng t l trn l 3% th cn phng vn
thm bao nhiu ngi na?
c) Vi mu iu tra trn v chnh xc ca c lng t l l 0,0436 th m bo c tin
cy l bao nhiu?
Cu 33. iu tra ch tiu X (c phn phi chun v tnh bng %) ca 1 s sn phm cng loi ta c:
x
i
0 5 5 10 1015 1520 2025 2530 3035 3540
n
i
7 12 20 25 18 12 5 1
Quy c nhng sn phm c ch tiu X khng qu 10% l loi 2.
a) c lng t l sn phm loi 2 vi tin cy 99%.
b) c lng trung bnh ch tiu X ca cc sn phm loi 2 vi tin cy 97%.
c) Nu dng s liu ca mu c lng trung bnh ch tiu X vi tin cy 95% v chnh
xc 1% th cn iu tra thm bao nhiu sn phm na?
Cu 34. Mt cng ty in t tin hnh iu tra th trng v s thch xem tivi ca c dn trong 1 thnh
ph. iu tra ngu nhin 40 ngi th thy s gi xem tivi trung bnh ca mi ngi trong 1 tun l l
15,3 gi vi lch tiu chun mu hiu chnh l 3,8 gi v c 27 ngi xem tin m t nht 3 ln trong
1 tun.
a) c lng s gi xem tivi trung bnh ca mi c dn trong thnh ph vi tin cy 95%.
b) c lng t l c dn trong thnh ph xem tin m t nht 3 ln 1 tun vi tin cy 95%.
c) Kch thc mu iu tra l bao nhiu nu vi tin cy 95%, cng ty mun c lng thi
gian xem tivi ca mi c dn chnh xc n 1 gi v t l ngi xem tin m t nht 3 ln 1 tun
chnh xc n 3,5%?
Cu 35. Li sut c phiu ca cng ty A l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun. Trong 5 nm qua
li sut c phiu ca cng ty A (tnh bng %) ln lt l 15; 10; 20; 7; 14.
a) c lng li sut c phiu trung bnh ca cng ty A trong 1 nm vi tin cy 99%.
b) c lng phn tn (phng sai) li sut c phiu ca cng ty A vi tin cy 97%.
Cu 36. nghin cu n nh ca 1 loi my tin ngi ta o ngu nhin ng knh (c phn phi
chun v n v l mm) 24 trc my do loi my tin ny lm ra c kt qu:
24,1; 27,2; 26,7; 23,6; 24,6; 24,5; 26,4; 26,1; 25,8; 27,3; 23,2; 26,9;
27,1; 25,4; 23,3; 25,9; 22,7; 26,9; 24,8; 24,0; 23,4; 23,0; 24,3; 25,4.
Vi tin cy 95%, hy c lng ng knh trung bnh v phn tn ca ng knh trc my.
Cu 37. iu tra ngu nhin 300 khch hng v mc yu thch 1 loi sn phm A th thy c 90
ngi yu thch.
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Trang 12
a) Vi tin cy 98%, hy cho bit t l thp nht v cao nht ca khch hng yu thch sn
phm A?
b) Mun c lng t l yu thch sn phm A ca khch hng vi tin cy 98% v chnh
xc 3% th cn phi iu tra thm bao nhiu khch hng na?
Cu 38. Dng phng php hp th nguyn t phn tch lng km c trong tc, mt k thut vin
phn tch 35 mu tc, kt qu (X l lng km trong tc, n v: ppm (phn triu)):
X (ppm) 188 190 193 195 196 198 199 204
S mu tc 3 4 5 10 7 3 2 1
a) c lng lng km trung bnh c trong tc vi tin cy 95%.
b) Mun c lng lng km trung bnh c trong tc vi tin cy 97% v chnh xc 3ppm
th cn phn tch ti thiu bao nhiu mu tc?
Cu 39. T kinh nghim ngi ta bit c sc bn chu lc ca 1 loi ng cng nghip l i lng
ngu nhin c phn phi chun vi lch tiu chun l 300. o sc bn chu lc ngu nhin 9 ng th
c kt qu: 4500; 6500; 5000; 5200; 4800; 4900; 5215; 6200; 5375.
a) c lng sc bn chu lc trung bnh ca loi ng ny vi tin cy 95%.
b) Mun nng chnh xc ca c lng cu a) ln gp i th cn o bao nhiu ng?
Cu 40. dy ca 1 loi bn kim loi (n v: mm) l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun. o
ngu nhin 10 bn loi ny thu c kt qu:
4,1; 3,9; 4,7; 4,4; 4,0; 3,8; 4,4; 4,2; 4,4; 5,0.
a) c lng dy trung bnh ca bn kim loi ny vi tin cy 90%.
b) c lng phn tn ca dy bn kim loi vi tin cy 95%.

KIM NH GI THIT
Cu 41. T l phm do cng ty A sn xut l 5%. Nhm gim t l ph phm, cng ty A ci tin k
thut. Sau ci tin ngi ta kim tra ngu nhin 400 sn phm thy c 18 ph phm. Vi mc ngha
5%, hy cho kt lun v hiu qu ca vic ci tin k thut ca cng ty A?
Cu 42. im danh ngu nhin 100 sinh vin khoa Kinh t thy c 8 ngi vng, im danh 120 sinh
vin khoa C kh thy c 12 ngi vng. Vi mc ngha 3%, hy cho bit mc chuyn cn ca sinh
vin hai khoa?
Cu 43. T l bnh nhn c cha khi bnh bng loi thuc c l 80%. Ngi ta a vo mt loi
thuc mi iu tr cho 1100 bnh nhn th thy c 920 ngi khi bnh. Nu ni rng loi thuc mi
iu tr c hiu qu hn th c chp nhn c khng vi mc ngha 4%?
Cu 44. Mt cng ty in thoi ni rng s lp t in thoi cho khch hng trong thnh ph chm nht
l 30 ngy k t khi c yu cu. Kim tra ngu nhin 30 khch hng thy thi gian trung bnh ch lp
in thoi l 34,5 ngy vi lch mu hiu chnh l 3,3 ngy. Vi mc ngha 1%, c th chp nhn
li tuyn b ca cng ty c khng?
Cu 45. Trong lng mt loi sn phm do nh my A sn xut c phn phi chun v trng lng
trung bnh l 500gr. Nghi ng trng lng c xu hng gim st, ngi ta cn ngu nhin 25 sn phm
loi ny v c bng s liu:
Trng lng (gr) 480 485 490 495 500 510
S sn phm 2 3 8 5 3 4
Vi mc ngha 0,05, hy cho kt lun v iu nghi ng ni trn?
Cu 46. im mn XSTK ca 1 s sinh vin hai khoa nh sau:
Khoa A:
im 5 6 7 8 9 10
S SV 2 4 12 15 6 2
Khoa B:
im 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
S SV 1 2 5 9 18 6 1
Vi mc ngha 0,03, c nhn xt g v im trung bnh mn XSTK ca sinh vin hai khoa?
Cu 47. Mt dy chuyn sn xut bng n c gi l hot ng bnh thng nu tui th trung bnh
ca bng n sn xut ra l 375 gi. Kim tra ngu nhin 50 bng n loi ny th thy tui th trung
bnh l 350 gi v s = 100 gi. Vi mc ngha 5%, hy cho bit dy chuyn sn xut bng n ny c
hot ng bnh thng khng?
Cu 48. Ngi ta kim tra ngu nhin 100 chai nc ngt loi 2 lt do nh my A sn xut th thy
lng nc ngt trung bnh trong chai l 1,99 lt v s = 0,05 lt. Vi mc ngha 1%, hy cho bit lng
nc ngt trong chai loi ny c b thiu khng?
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Cu 49. Mt t kim tra mun xc nh thi gian trung bnh t lc cng ty A nhn n khiu ni ca
khch hng n lc gii quyt l bao nhiu ngy, h chn ngu nhin 15 trng hp khiu ni trong nm
qua th c kt qu (n v: ngy):
114; 78; 96; 137; 78; 103; 117; 126; 86; 99; 114; 72; 104; 73; 96.
Gi s s ngy gii quyt khiu ni ca cng ty A l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun. Vi mc
ngha 1%, c th cho rng thi gian trung bnh 1 khiu ni c gii quyt bi cng ty A vt qu
90 ngy khng?
Cu 50. Mt cng ty tuyn b rng 75% khch hng a thch sn phm ca mnh. iu tra ngu nhin
400 khch hng th thy c 260 ngi a thch sn phm ca cng ty. Vi mc ngha 3%, hy cho
kin v li tuyn b trn?
Cu 51. Mt l hng c xem l tiu chun xut khu nu t l ph phm khng vt qu 3%.
Kim tra ngu nhin 400 sn phm ca l hng ny th thy c 14 ph phm. Vi mc ngha 5%, hy
cho bit l hng trn c c php xut khu khng?
Cu 52. Trong nm trc, s tin gi tit kim bng ngoi t trung bnh ca mi khch hng l
1000USD/nm. nh gi xem xu hng ny c c gi nguyn trong nm nay hay khng, ngi ta
kim tra ngu nhin 64 s tit kim th thy s tin gi trung bnh ca mi s l 990USD/nm v lch
tiu chun hiu chnh l 100USD/nm. Vi mc ngha 3%, hy cho bit s tin gi tit kim trung
bnh ca khch hng c thay i khng?
Cu 53. Trc bu c ngi ta thm d 1000 c tri th thy c 400 ngi ni rng s b phiu cho ng
A. Mt tun sau ngi ta t chc 1 cuc thm d khc v thy c 680 trong s 1500 c tri c hi s
b phiu cho ng A. Vi mc ngha 5%, cho bit t l c tri b phiu cho ng A c thay i khng?
Cu 54. Hai my cng gia cng mt loi chi tit. kim tra chnh xc ca hai my ny ngi ta o
ngu nhin 7 chi tit do mi my gia cng (n v: mm):
My 1 135 138 136 140 138 135 139
My 2 140 135 140 138 135 138 140
Vi mc ngha 1%, c th xem 2 my c chnh xc nh nhau khng? Bit rng kch thc chi tit
do cc my gia cng c phn phi chun.
Cu 55. kim tra thi gian sn xut ra 1 sn phm ca hai my (n v: giy), ngi ta theo di ngu
nhin c hai my v ghi li kt qu:
My 1 58 58 56 38 70 38 42 75 68 67
My 2 57 55 63 24 67 43 33 68 56 54
Vi mc ngha 5%, c th xem my 2 tt hn my 1 khng? Gi s lch tiu chun thi gian sn
xut ra 1 sn phm ca hai my l nh nhau v c phn phi chun.

BI TP TNG HP
Cu 56. Thu nhp (triu ng / nm) ca 80 h dn trong bn A l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi
chun. iu tra ngu nhin v thu nhp ca 40 h dn trong bn A, c bng s liu:
Thu nhp 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,5 6,0 6,5 7,0 7,5 8,0
S h dn 1 3 4 6 8 7 6 3 2
a) Vi tin cy 95%, hy c lng s h dn ca bn A c thu nhp di 5 triu ng / nm.
b) Nu bit trc y 2 nm thu nhp bnh qun ca cc h dn bn A l 5,5 triu ng / nm,
vi mc ngha 3% c nhn xt g v mc sng ca dn trong bn A?
Cu 57. Thu nhp (triu ng / thng) ca nhn vin trong 1 cng ty nc ngoi A l i lng ngu
nhin c phn phi chun. Kho st ngu nhin mt s nhn vin cng ty A, c kt qu:
Thu nhp 8,08,5 8,59,0 9,09,5 9,510 1010,5 10,511 1111,5 11,512
S ngi 12 35 66 47 24 20 6 3
a) c lng thu nhp trung bnh ca nhn vin cng ty A vi tin cy 97%.
b) Nu mun c lng thu nhp trung bnh ca nhn vin cng ty A vi tin cy 99% v
chnh xc 0,3 triu ng / thng th cn kho st thm bao nhiu nhn vin na?
c) Nhng nhn vin c thu nhp trn 10,5 triu ng / thng l c thu nhp cao. Vi tin cy
98%, hy c lng thu nhp trung bnh ca nhn vin c thu nhp cao?
d) C ngi ni t l nhn vin c thu nhp cao cng ty A l 13%, vi mc ngha 1% c nhn
xt g v li ni trn?
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Cu 58. Trong kho c rt nhiu sn phm ca x nghip A, trng lng X (kg) ca cc sn phm ny l
i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun. Cn ngu nhin 1 s sn phm loi ny, c kt qu:
X (kg) 0,80,85 0,850,9 0,90,95 0,951,0 1,01,05 1,051,1 1,11,15
S sn phm 5 10 20 30 15 10 10
a) C ngi ni rng nh p dng k thut mi lm trng lng sn phm ny tng ln 1kg. Vi
mc ngha 5%, c nhn xt g v li ni trn?
b) Cc sn phm c trng lng X > 1,05kg l loi 1. Vi tin cy 98%, hy c lng trng
lng trung bnh cc sn phm loi 1.
c) Nu mun tin cy ca c lng t l cc sn phm loi 1 l 80% v chnh xc 3% th
cn cn thm bao nhiu sn phm na?
d) Gi s trong kho c ln 1000 sn phm ca x nghip B. Ly ngu nhin t kho ra 100 sn
phm th thy c 9 sn phm ca x nghip B. Hy c lng s lng sn phm ca x nghip A
c trong kho vi tin cy 90%?
Cu 59. Ch tiu cht lng X (gram) ca 1 loi sn phm l i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun.
Kim tra ngu nhin 1 s sn phm loi ny, c kt qu:
240; 200; 260; 220; 200; 280; 260; 260; 240; 260;
280; 240; 260; 220; 240; 240; 240; 260; 240; 220;
280; 260; 280; 260; 280; 280; 240; 260; 240; 220;
280; 260; 260; 220; 260; 260; 260; 260; 240; 240;
220; 260; 240; 220; 240; 240; 240; 200; 240; 260.
a) Cc sn phm c ch tiu X < 240gr l sn phm loi 2. C ti liu ni trung bnh ch tiu X
ca cc sn phm loi 2 l 220gr, vi mc ngha 2% c nhn xt g v ti liu ny?
b) c lng t l sn phm loi 2 vi tin cy 88% v chnh xc 2% th cn kim tra
thm bao nhiu sn phm na?
c) Cho bit ch tiu Y ca sn phm ny tha Y = 0,4X + 0,35. Vi tin cy 97%, hy c
lng trung bnh ch tiu Y?
Cu 60. Kim tra ngu nhin mt s sn phm ca x nghip A v chiu di X (cm) v hm lng cht
Y (c phn phi chun v n v tnh l %), c kt qu:
Y
X

8

10

12

14

16
100 5 5
110 4 6 7
120 5 9 8
130 4 6 9
140 5 7
a) Cc sn phm c X 110cm v Y 12% l loi 2. Nu cho rng cc sn phm loi 2 c
ch tiu Y trung bnh l 10% th vi 5% = c th chp nhn c khng?
b) Gi 1m sn phm ny l 30 ngn ng. Vi tin cy 98%, hy c lng gi trung bnh ca
sn phm x nghip A?
c) Nu mun c lng t l sn phm loi 2 vi chnh xc 3% v c lng chiu di trung
bnh ca sn phm c chnh xc 8mm ng thi c hai c lng trn c tin cy 87% th
cn phi kim tra thm bao nhiu sn phm na?
Cu 61. Kim tra ngu nhin s go bn ra hng ngy mt ca hng, c kt qu:
S go bn ra (kg) 120 130 150 160 180 190 210 220
S ngy bn 2 9 12 25 30 20 13 4
a) Ch ca hng cho rng nu trung bnh mi ngy bn ra khng qu 150kg th tt hn l ngh
bn. T s liu trn, vi mc ngha 5% ca hng nn quyt nh th no?
b) Nhng ngy bn c trn 200kg l nhng ngy cao im. Hy c lng t l ngy cao
im vi tin cy 90%?
c) c lng t l ngy cao im vi chnh xc 5% th tin cy l bao nhiu?
d) Gi thit s go bn c trong ngy c phn phi chun v gi go trung bnh l 6000/kg.
Vi tin cy 99%, hy c lng trung bnh s tin bn go ca ca hng trong nhng ngy
cao im?
Cu 62. Kim tra ngu nhin s ko X(kg) bn c hng ngy mt siu th, c kt qu:
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X(kg) 0 50 50100 100150 150200 200250 250300 300350
S ngy 9 23 27 30 25 20 5
a) Bng cch thay i mu bao b v giy gi ko, ngi ta thy s ko bn c trung bnh
trong ngy siu th l 200kg. Vi mc ngha 5%, cho nhn xt v s thay i ny?
b) c lng s ko trung bnh bn c trong 1 ngy siu th vi chnh xc 10kg v
tin cy l 97% th cn kim tra thm bao nhiu ngy na?
c) Nhng ngy bn c trn 250kg l nhng ngy cao im. Hy c lng t l ngy cao
im vi tin cy 88%?
d) Gi thit s ko bn c trong ngy c phn phi chun v gi ko trung bnh l 56000/kg.
Vi tin cy 99%, hy c lng trung bnh s tin bn ko ca siu th trong nhng ngy cao
im?
Cu 63. Theo di s pht trin chiu cao X(dm) ca cy bch n trng trn t phn sau 1 nm tui, c
kt qu:
X(dm) 25 30 30 35 35 40 40 45 45 50 50 55 55 60
S cy 5 20 25 30 30 23 14
a) Bit chiu cao trung bnh ca bch n sau 1 nm tui t khng c phn l 4,5m. Vi mc
ngha 5%, c cn tin hnh khng phn cho bch n khng?
b) c lng chiu cao trung bnh ca cy bch n trn vi chnh xc 0,2m th m bo
tin l bao nhiu?
c) Nhng cy bch n thp hn 3,5m l cy chm ln. Hy c lng chiu cao trung bnh ca
cy bch n chm ln (gi s c phn phi chun) vi tin cy 98%?

Ch : Nu cu a) trong khng cho mc ngha th ta tnh kim nh t ri so snh vi 1,96 v 2,58.
t 1, 96 : chp nhn;
1, 96 t 2, 58 < : ty chn (ngha l khng phn hay khng cng c!); t > 2,58: bc b.
Nu cu c) khng cho phn phi chun th khi lm bi ta phi b sung vo.
Cu 64. nghin cu s pht trin ca 1 loi cy lm giy, ngi ta tin hnh o ngu nhin ng
knh X(cm) v chiu cao Y(m) ca mt s cy c bng s liu:
Y
X

2

3

4

5

6

7
20 3 5
22 2 10
24 3 8 14 10
26 4 16 7
28 8 13
a) Nhng cy cao 6m tr ln l cy loi 1. c lng t l cy loi 1 vi tin cy 89%.
b) c lng ng knh trung bnh ca cy loi 1 vi tin cy 98%.
c) Trc y, chiu cao trung bnh ca loi cy ny l 5,1m. S liu trn ly nhng cy
c p dng k thut chm sc mi. Vi mc ngha 5%, hy cho nhn xt v tc dng ca k
thut mi ny?
d) Lp phng trnh ng hi quy tuyn tnh mu Y theo X. D on xem nu cy c ng
knh 25cm th cao c bao nhiu m?
Cu 65. Sn phm A c hai ch tiu cht lng l X(%) v Y(kg/mm
2
). Kim tra ngu nhin mt s sn
phm A, kt qu cho bng sau:
X
Y

0 5

5 10

10 15

15 20

20 25
115 125 7
125 135 12 8 10
135 145 20 15 2
145 155 19 16 9 5
155 165 8 3
a) Gi s trung bnh tiu chun ca ch tiu Y l 120kg/mm
2
, cho nhn xt v sn phm A?
b) Sn phm c ch tiu X t 15% tr ln l loi 1. c lng t l v trung bnh ch tiu X ca
sn phm loi 1 vi tin cy 99%?
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c) c c lng trung bnh ch tiu Y vi chnh xc 0,6kg/mm
2
th m bo tin cy l
bao nhiu?
d) Lp phng trnh ng hi quy tuyn tnh mu ca ch tiu X theo ch tiu Y. D on xem
nu ch tiu Y = 145kg/mm
2
th ch tiu X l bao nhiu?
Cu 66. Quan st chiu cao Y(cm) v tui X(nm) ca 1 s thanh thiu nin, c bng s liu:
X
Y

15

17

19

21

23
145 150 5
150 155 12 11
155 160 14 8 6
160 165 10 17
165 170 15 4 7
170 175 12
a) c lng chiu cao trung bnh ca nhng ngi 21 tui vi tin cy 99%.
b) Nhng ngi cao hn 1,65m l ngi kh cao. c lng t l v chiu cao trung bnh ca
nhng ngi kh cao vi tin cy 95%?
c) Mt ti liu c ni rng chiu cao trung bnh ca thanh thiu nin trong tui trn l
153,5cm. Hy cho kt lun v ti liu ny?
d) Lp phng trnh ng hi quy tuyn tnh mu ca Y theo X. D on xem nu ngi 20
tui th cao khong bao nhiu?
Cu 67. Kim tra ch tiu v chiu di X(cm) v trng lng Y(gr) ca 1 s sn phm, c bng s liu:
Y
X

0 2

2 4

4 6

6 8
3,2 21
5,5 6 25
7,0 2 20 5
9,0 7 15
a) Nu dng bng s liu c lng chiu di trung bnh ca ch tiu X vi tin cy 95% v
chnh xc 9mm th cn kim tra thm bao nhiu sn phm na?
b) c lng trung bnh ch tiu Y ca nhng sn phm c ch tiu X = 9cm vi tin cy 95%
(gi thit ch tiu ny c phn phi chun).
c) c lng trung bnh ca ch tiu X vi chnh xc 8mm bng s liu cho trong bng
trn th m bo tin cy bng bao nhiu?
d) Lp phng trnh ng hi quy tuyn tnh mu ca ch tiu X theo ch tiu Y. Nu sn phm
c ch tiu Y = 3,9gr th c ch tiu X c bao nhiu?
Cu 68. Theo di lng phn bn X(kg/ha) v nng sut mt loi cy trng Y(t/ha) ca mt s tha
rung (c cng din tch 1 ha), c bng s liu:
X
Y

120

140

160

180

200
20 24 5 4
24 28 7 10 5
28 32 15 20 12
32 36 7 9 6
a) c lng nng sut trung bnh ca nhng tha rung bn phn 180kg/ha vi tin cy 98%.
b) c lng nng sut trung bnh vi chnh xc v tin cy nh cu a) th cn phi theo
di thm bao nhiu tha rung na?
c) Mt ti liu c ni rng nng sut trung bnh ca loi cy trng ny l 30 t/ha. Vi mc
ngha 2%, hy cho kt lun v ti liu ny?
d) Lp phng trnh ng hi quy tuyn tnh mu ca nng sut cy trng theo lng phn bn.
D on xem nu lng phn bn l 190 kg/ha th nng sut khong bao nhiu?
----------------Ht---------------
Ghi ch: Cc lp Cao ng khng phi lm cc cu c du *.


Tiu lun 2010

Trang 17

PHN NHM LM TIU LUN
II. Cc lp Cao ng
Mi nhm lm 1 phn l thuyt, 20 bi tp gm 12 cu xc sut v 8 cu thng k. Nhm (tn ch) t 1
n 3 sinh vin c t chn gim 4 cu xc sut v 2 cu thng k (mi phn ch c gim 1 cu).
Nhm 1
1) L thuyt: Bi 8. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 14, 15, 24, 28, 43, 53, 56, 64, 69, 79, 84, 90.
b) Thng k: cu 1, 10, 26, 38, 41, 55, 56, 68.
Nhm 2
1) L thuyt: Bi 7. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 13, 16, 23, 29, 42, 52, 57, 63, 70, 78, 85, 89.
b) Thng k: cu 2, 11, 27, 37, 42, 54, 57, 67.
Nhm 3
1) L thuyt: Bi 6. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 12, 17, 22, 30, 41, 51, 58, 62, 71, 77, 86, 88.
b) Thng k: cu 3, 12, 30, 33, 43, 53, 58, 66.
Nhm 4
1) L thuyt: Bi 5. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 11, 18, 21, 31, 40, 50, 59, 61, 72, 76, 87, 90.
b) Thng k: cu 4, 13, 32, 38, 44, 52, 60, 65.
Nhm 5
1) L thuyt: Bi 2. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 5, 19, 20, 33, 39, 49, 60, 64, 69, 75, 88, 90.
b) Thng k: cu 5, 14, 22, 32, 45, 51, 60, 64.
Nhm 6
1) L thuyt: Bi 1. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 6, 20, 21, 34, 43, 50, 63, 64, 70, 74, 84, 89.
b) Thng k: cu 6, 13, 23, 30, 46, 50, 61, 63.
Nhm 7
1) L thuyt: Bi 8. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 11, 18, 22, 31, 42, 51, 56, 62, 71, 73, 85, 90.
b) Thng k: cu 9, 16, 17, 25, 47, 52, 62, 67.
Nhm 8
1) L thuyt: Bi 7. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 1, 15, 24, 28, 41, 52, 57, 62, 72, 77, 86, 89.
b) Thng k: cu 10, 19, 27, 33, 48, 53, 58, 66.
Nhm 9
1) L thuyt: Bi 6. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 2, 16, 23, 28, 40, 53, 58, 61, 69, 78, 88, 90.
b) Thng k: cu 7, 22, 26, 30, 49, 54, 63, 65.
Nhm 10
1) L thuyt: Bi 5. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 3, 17, 22, 29, 39, 49, 59, 60, 70, 73, 84, 89.
b) Thng k: cu 8, 16, 30, 37, 50, 55, 61, 64.
Nhm 11
1) L thuyt: Bi 2. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 4, 21, 24, 34, 43, 50, 60, 61, 71, 74, 85, 86.
b) Thng k: cu 13, 17, 25, 38, 52, 53, 57, 68.
Nhm 12
1) L thuyt: Bi 1. 2) Bi tp: a) Xc sut: cu 5, 22, 23, 36, 41, 51, 57, 62, 72, 75, 87, 89.
b) Thng k: cu 11, 23, 27, 32, 47, 54, 58, 67.
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