Quy hoch tn s pht trin di ng bng rng

Cc Tn s v tuyn in
1/2013

Xu hng pht trin ca bng rng v tuyn

ARFM

ng gp ca di ng bng rng

% tng trng GDP

C nh

Di ng

Internet

Bng rng

Thm 10% dn s s dng bng rng

GDP tng 1.21 % nc pht trin 1.38% nc ang pht trin

ARFM

ngun: World Bank (2009)

Tng trng thu bao bng rng

ARFM

ngun: Ericsson (2012)

Xu hng tng trng d liu

bng rng v tuyn

Tc pht trin dch v d liu di ng cao hn cc d bo trc y

5 ARFM UMTS Forum, Spectrum for future development of IMT-2000 and IMT-Advanced, Jan. 2012

Xu hng d liu
bng rng v tuyn

Thoi 2G vn cn duy tr trong thi gian di nhng tng trng d liu cao hn nhiu
ARFM

ngun: Ericsson (2012)

Xu hng cc dch v
bng rng v tuyn

Video gi vai tr ch o

ARFM

ngun: Csco 2012

Xu hng thu bao theo cng ngh

80.00%
% LTE

70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 2011 2012 2013 2014
ARFM

% HSPA % GSM

2015

2016

2017

2018 S liu: Ericsson

Pht trin bng rng v tuyn Vit nam

ARFM

Lch s pht trin thng tin di ng Vit Nam

Mng 3G CDMA2000 1X u tin trin khai ti Hn Quc 10/2000

GSM 900

GSM 1800

CDMA EV-DO

eGSM 900

GSM 1800

1993

1997
GSM 900

2003
CDMA 850

2004
GSM 900

2005
CDMA 450

2008

2009
3G 2100

2011

1/7/2003 SPT trin khai CDMA2000 1X (IS-2000)

ARFM

Th trng thng tin di ng

12/2012
121,7 triu thu bao di ng (tng 3,5%)

1/10/2013

ARFM

Doanh thu Viettel & VNPT

Lu lng d liu di ng
ITU: 2010, VN: 2011
4

3
Mobile traffic (EB/year)

0.0209 EB

EU

Americas

Asia

Other

World

VN

Ngun: ITU report M.2243

ARFM

D bo tng trng d liu di ng

ngun: ITU

ARFM

ngun: Cisco (2012)

D bo lu lng d liu di ng ca Vit nam

500

Luu luong du lieu di dong (PB/nam)

Kich ban 1 (The gioi) 400 Kich ban 2 (Chau A) Thuc te 300
406.5 472.4

200

100

20.9

2011

2012

2013
ARFM

2014

2015

2016

D bo tng trng 2G
120 Thue bao 2G Mo hinh Logistic

100

80

Thue bao [trieu]

60

40

Thu bao2G bt u gim

20

0 2004

2005

2006

2007

2008 2009 Nam

ARFM

2010

2011

2012

2013

Tng trng thu bao 3G

110 100 90 80 70
% dan so

60 50 40 30 20 10 0 L

Cc nh khai thc cn trin khai nhiu gi dch v ph hp nng cao tc tng trng

2013 l nm tng trng mnh ca 3G

US Japan Sweden UK Germany Viet Nam L+2 L+4 L+6 ARFM L - nam bat dau trien khai 3G L+8 L+10

Kt lun
Vit Nam mi trong giai on u ca tng trng di ng bng rng:
C th c s pht trin mnh ca di ng bng rng trong nm 2013; D on lu lng d liu trong cc nm ti cng pht trin mnh;

Thi im hp l bt u 4G: sau nm 2015 Vic pht trin bng rng di ng gp thch thc c th Vit Nam:

Sc mua ca th trng thp (doanh thu/GDP cao nhng ARPU li thp); Dch v d liu cha a dng; H tng giao thng cng cng cha pht trin; Thi quen s dng dch v;

Quy hoch tn s cho di ng bng rng Vit Nam

ARFM

Chnh sch quy hoch

Quyt nh s 32/2012/Q-TTg, 27/7/2012, ph duyt Quy hoch pht trin vin thng quc gia n nm 2020.

mc tiu: quy hoch ph tn s v tuyn in theo hng u tin thc y pht trin mng truy nhp v tuyn bng rng.
1. C cu li th trng vin thng, hnh thnh 3 - 4 tp on, tng cng ty mnh; 2. M rng vng ph sng v nng cao hiu qu s dng h thng thng tin di ng th h th ba (3G); 3.p dng c ch th trng u gi, thi tuyn, chuyn nhng quyn s dng tn s; 4. T nm 2015 xem xt trin khai dch di ng bng rng th h tip theo ti cc bng tn mi quy hoch; 5. T nm 2020: xem xt vic sp xp li cc bng tn hin dng cho 2G cho h thng thng tin di ng th h tip theo.

ARFM

Quy hoch bng tn cho thng tin di ng

ARFM

Bng tn tim nng cho pht trin di ng bng rng

quy hoch cc bng tn 2.3GHz & 2.6GHz

Sau 2020, bng tn 698 806 MHz dnh cho IMT Quy hoch li cc bng tn 2G (800/900/1800MHz)
ARFM

Quy hoch bng tn 2.3/2.6GHz

Bng tn 2300-2400 MHz
(Thng t 26/2010/TT-BTTTT 24/11/2010)

2300

2330

2360

2390

2400

Bng tn 2500-2690 MHz

(thng t 27/2010/TT-BTTTT 24/11/2010)
2575 2615

2500

2530

2550

2570

2620

2650

2670

2690

ARFM

Quy hoch truyn hnh s VHF/UHF

174 230 MHz

DVB-T/ T-DMB/T-DAB/ATV

470-694 MHz

Quy hoch cho truyn hnh s

694-790 MHz

Pht DTT/ATV trong giai on chuyn i

790 806 MHz

IMT (t 2009 khng trin khai thm

ARFM

ATV)

Quy hoch bng tn 700MHz sau s ha truyn hnh cho IMT

5 MHz
10 MHz centre gap 3 MHz

DTTV

45 MHz

45 MHz

PPDR/LMR

694 698 MHz MHz

806 MHz

DTTV 694 698 MHz MHz 806 MHz

PPDR/LMR

ARFM

nh hng quy hoch li cc bng tn 2G

Hin trng: Bng tn 800/900/1800 MHz
Bng hp (GSM) Cung cp ch yu voice, sms; d liu tc thp (GPRS/EDGE); Bng thng nh (200kHz).

Xu hng quy hoch li: Xu hng s dng cng ngh: IMT (HSPA, LTE) ti 800/900/1800MHz Xu hng dch v:
di ng bng rng; M2M Bng thng x5MHz

ARFM

Kt lun
1. Di ng bng rng ng gp ln vo pht trin kinh t-x hi; 2. Di ng bng rng Vit Nam mi ch giai on u ca pht trin; T l thu bao v lu lng cn thp. 3. Pht trin di ng bng rng Vit Nam phi tnh ti nhiu thch thc v th trng, sc mua, h tng, thi quen s dng 4. Cc bng tn quy hoch cho di ng bng rng sn sng m bo pht trin trung v di hn; 5. Cn chnh sch pht trin dch v d liu bng rng khai thc c hiu qu h tng bng rng di ng v s c u t.
ARFM