Simulating Inventory Control With Orders That Cross During Lead Time

Sheet: Introduction
File: 246251547.xls.ms_office
Page 1 of 58
Simulating Inventory Control with Orders that Cross during Lead Time
sS.xls Version 1.4 03/22/02
John.O.McClain@cornell.edu
Johnson Graduate School of Management
Cornell University
Ithaca NY 14853
This workbook is intended for teaching or research. You are welcome to use it in any manner,
and change it as you see fit. It comes without any guarantee whatsoever, and is distributed
free of charge. Changes are frequent, so check back frequently for a new version.
Most inventory control systems use a formula for lead-time demand to set safety stock levels.
Research has uncovered situations where that method leads to large and expensive errors.*
In particular, if replenishment orders might not arrive in the same order in which they are placed, then
the above method will leave you with too much inventory if your objective is a high level of protection,
and too little inventory if you are aiming to run out of stock frequently. That is, the variance of the
inventory level is smaller than the variance of lead-time demand.
*See Robinson, L.R, J.R. Bradley and L.J. Thomas, "Consequences of Order Crossover under
Order-up-to Inventory Policies." M&SOM Manufacturing and Service Operations Management ,
Volume 3, No. 3 (2001), pp.175-188.
This workbook contains a macro, written in Visual Basic, that allows you to simulate the inventory control
system known variously as the Min-Max system, the (s,S) system, or the reorder-level, order-up-to system.
Two versions are available in the simulation:
> Periodic review: orders may be placed only at specific points of time, such as daily or weekly.
> Continuous review: orders are placed instantly, as soon as inventory reaches the reorder level.
In both cases, the state of the system is tracked at all times, so that accurate costs may be calculated.
The word "order" refers to an action taken to replenish the supply of an item that is stocked in inventory
and sold to customers. The word "demand" refers to a customer wanting to buy one unit of the item.
A "backorder" is an unsatisfied demand for which the customer will take delivery at a later time.
The simulation assumes that all customers are willing to wait if their demand is backordered.
The simulation allows orders to cross. It assumes that the lead time of one order is independent of
that for any other order, and therefore crossing occurs whenever the lead time for an order is longer
than the interval between orders plus the lead time for the next order.
Please note that the independence assumption is not true in some real circumstances. For example,
if both orders are shipped by rail, and if one freight car cannot pass another, the orders cannot cross.
However, in that case lead times are also not independent, but rather are positively correlated, so
models that assume independence (i.e. most inventory models) are also incorrect.
Sheet: Introduction
Page 2 of 58
Contents: These are the sheets in this workbook.

Introduction (this sheet), with the following sections:
1. Measuring Inventory and Shortages at Time of Delivery
(a) Shortfall below Reorder Level at Delivery: Shortfall@Deliv
(b) Distribution of Shortfall@Delivery if Orders do not Cross
(i) Continuous Review
(ii) Periodic Review
2. Inventory and Shortages at Any Time
(a) Shortfall below Order-up-to Level
(b) Average Inventory and Shortages
3. Cost of Inventory, Backorders and Ordering:
4. Optimization
Simulate where you set up the model and run the simulation.
Graphs
where simulation results are displayed in detail for any run stored on the Data sheet.
Trace
where the first part of the most recent simulation run is shown in a table and a graph.
Data
where the results of all simulation runs are stored, until you erase them.
Other sheets in this book, if any, may contain data and graphs from previous simulation experiments.
1. Measuring Inventory and Shortages at Time of Delivery:

s
S
Q
L
D
mL, VarL
mD, VarD
reorder level, or Min

Inv On-hand inventory
order-up-to level, or Max
BO Number of units backordered to customers
S-s
NetInv = Inv - BO (can be positive or negative)
A value of lead time
InvPosition NetInv + Outstanding Orders
A value of one-period demand
DL Demand that occurs during lead time
Average & Variance of L
mDL, VarDL Average & Variance of DL
Average & Variance of D
(a) Shortfall below Reorder Level at Delivery: Shortfall@Deliv

Protection against shortages focuses attention on inventory at the time a replenishment order
arrives. Safety stock governs the likelihood that backorders will exist at that instant.
In the simulation, @Deliv refers to events that happen just before replenishments occur.
However, rather than tracking inventory, which can be positive or negative, the simulation monitors
"Shortfall below s at delivery," defined as
1) Shortfall@Deliv = s - NetInv@Deliv at the time (just before) replenishment occurs.
This is a non-negative variable since net inventory is at or below the reorder level, s , whenever any
order is outstanding (i.e. not yet received.)
From Shortfall@Deliv we may compute certain performance measures:
2) NetInv@Deliv = s - Shortfall@Deliv
3) Inv@Deliv = MAX(0, s - Shortfall@Deliv )
4) BO@Deliv = MAX(0, Shortfall@Deliv - s ) = Inv@Deliv - s + Shortfall@Deliv
5) P(BO@Deliv >0) = P( Shortfall@Deliv > s )
The latter may also be expressed as a rate, although the meaning is a little confusing. It is NOT the
rate at which backorders occur, but rather "occurrences per unit time" of the joint event
"replenishment arrives, backorders exist," or "replenishment arrives too late to prevent backorders."
That event is denoted "BO@Deliv>0 " and its occurrence rate is
6) Rate(BO@Deliv>0 ) = P( Shortfall@Deliv > s )(Replenishment Orders Per Unit Time )
Sheet: Introduction
Page 3 of 58
(b) Distribution of Shortfall@Delivery if Orders do not Cross

The following gives the classical argument for the distribution of shortfall, assuming that orders do
not cross, and also assuming that lead times are independent, two assumptions which are convenient
but contradictory. These numbers may be compared to the actual values from the simulation to see
how much is lost if the classical rules are used.
With no order crossing, when an order arrives, all prior replenishment orders have already arrived,
and no subsequent ones have. At the time that order was placed, Inventory Position included the prior
orders, so to compute inventory at delivery, we only have to account for the demand that occurs in the
lead time (or lag time) between placing and receiving the order. That is,
7) NetInv@Deliv = InvPosition@Ordering - DL and
8) Shortfall@Deliv = s - InvPosition@Ordering + DL if orders do not cross (substitute 7 into 1).
(i) Continuous Review
Under continuous review, an order is placed the instant that inventory position reaches the reorder
level. That is,
9) InvPosition@Ordering = s for continuous review, so
10) Shortfall@Deliv = DL for continuous review if orders do not cross
(substitute 9 into 8).
Shortfall@Deliv
equals
lead-time
demand
for
continuous
review,
if
orders
do
not
cross.
>>
The probability that backorders occur before an order arrives is
11) P(BO@Deliv >0) = P( DL > s )
The following formulas assume that Lead Times are independent and identically distributed, and that
the same is true for Demands, and that Lead Times are independent of Demands. They are, in fact, the
well-known formulas for the mean and variance of lead-time demand.
12) E[Shortfall@Deliv ] = mD mL and
2
13) Var[Shortfall@Deliv ] = mL VarD + mD VarL for continuous review if orders do not cross.
(ii) Periodic Review

Under periodic review, inventory position can reach the reorder point at a time t that is before the end
of the period, so inventory position will be at or below the reorder point when the order is placed.
If t is at the end of the period, the order is placed at the instant that the reorder level is reached.
If t is just after the beginning of the period, a one-period demand occurs before ordering.
This leads to the following inequality:
14) s - D InvPosition@Ordering s
Substituting 14 into 8,
15) DL Shortfall@Deliv DL + D = DL+1 for periodic review if orders do not cross.
>> Shortfall@Deliv is between the demand during lead time and the demand during one period longer
than lead time, if orders do not cross. Also, because the probability above s is a nonincreasing
function of s ,
16) P(DL > s ) P(Shortfall@Deliv >s ) P( DL + D' - 1> s ) , and so
17) P(DL > s ) P(BO@Deliv >0) P( DL + D' - 1> s )
The expected value of 15 yields
18) mD mL Shortfall@Deliv mD (1+mL)
The arguments leading to equation 15 also yield a lower limit for the variance:
2
19) Var[Shortfall@Deliv ] mL VarD + mD VarL
The upper limit in equation 15 also yields a variance estimate, but it is not necessarily an upper limit:
Sheet: Introduction
Page 4 of 58
2
20) Var[Shortfall@Deliv ] (1 + mL) VarD + mD VarL
2. Inventory and Shortages at Any Time

The simulation also measures the inventory level after every event. Inventory is constant between
events (by definition, since an event is defined as a change of state), so the distribution is
tabulated by accumulating the time that each state persists.
(a) Shortfall below Order-up-to Level
"Shortfall below S" is defined at every time in the simulation as
20) Shortfall = S - NetInv.
Notice that Shortfall uses a different reference point than Shortfall@Delivery, namely S rather
than s . This is necessary to avoid negative values.
From Shortfall , we may compute more performance measures:
21) NetInv = S - Shortfall.
22) Inv = MAX(0, S - Shortfall )
23) BO = MAX(0, Shortfall - S ) = Inv - S + Shortfall
24) P(BO >0) = P( Shortfall > S )
Since a demand is backordered if it arrives when inventory is zero, the average number of demands
backordered per unit time is
25) Rate(BO ) = P( Shortfall S )(Demand Rate )
We can also calculate the average time that a backorder endures which, according to Little's Law,
is proportional to the average number of backorders waiting.
Average duration of a Backorder = (Average # Backordered)(Rate of Backorders Occuring)
26) Av(Wait per BO ) = Av(BO ){Av(DemandRate ) P{Shortfall S )}
If you want to include in this average the fact that many customers have zero backorder time, then
27) Av(Wait per Demand ) = Av(BO )Av(DemandRate ) (includes zero-length backorders.)
(b) Average Inventory and Shortages
Average inventory is greater when computed over time than when computed just before a delivery.
Inventory just before delivery can never be above the reorder point, whereas it can at other times.
The average inventory over time will include the "sawtooth pattern" commonly seen in textbooks,
caused by cycle stock represented by the order quantity. Therefore the exact theoretical expression
for average inventory and backorders is elusive, and I will not try to include it here. However the
simulation results yield averages from the distribution of Shortfall, using equations 22 through 25.
Sheet: Introduction
Page 5 of 58
3. Cost of Inventory, Backorders and Ordering:

The simplest model has linear inventory and backorder costs. However, what constitutes backorder
cost? There may be a cost per unit time for backorders, and a fixed cost whenever a backorder
occurs. There also might be a fixed cost per unit time that accrues as long as there are any
backorders. If the gap between s and S is changed, the number of orders placed will change, which
changes the cost of ordering. A model that covers all of these costs is
28) Average Cost per Period = C1 Av(Inv ) + C2 Av(BO ) + C3 mD P(BO 0)
+ C4 P(BO >0) + C5 Av(OrderRate)
4. Optimization
The value of Q (the gap between s and S ) is held constant during a simulation. (In fact, it operates as
if the order-up-to level were S =0 with reorder level s = -Q .) However, the output may be used
to represent any (s,S ) system that has S-s=Q . You can find the optimal value of s among all
systems that have the same Q as the one in your simulation, and then set S=s+Q .
On the Graphs sheet, an Excel Table calculates costs for a range of values of s . A graph shows the
results. You may input the first value of s and the interval between points. To home in on the
optimum, adjust the first value until the graph is U-shaped, and then lower the interval to 1.
However, the result is only optimal for the value of Q that you simulated. To find an overall
optimum, you must repeat the simulation for a series of values of Q , and use the table to find the
best reorder level for each Q . Record those values and select the one with lowest cost.
Sheet: Simulate
File 246251547.xls.ms_office
Page 6 of 58
Simulation of a Min-Max (s,S) Inventory System in Continuous Time: Discrete or Continuous Review
Periodic Review. Q=30, D=10, varD=10
Gamma InterDemandTime: Mu= 0.1, Std=0.1. Discrete LT: Mu= 3, Std=1.41
Change the design by entering numbers in the yellow boxes, and by checking or unchecking the selection boxes.
Current Simulation Design:
Type of Review
Periodic Review?
Inter-demand time (IDT)

TRUE
Periodic Review
Minimum Order Quantity

Minimum Q = S-s
30
Run Controls
Runin Periods
5,000
Run Periods
50,000
RNSeed
5235
Simulate
Delete Old Data
Gamma IDT?
TRUE
Gamma IDT
mean
0.1
StDev
0.1
Discrete IDT (not in use)
IDT
f(IDT)
0
0.5
0.033333333
0.066666667
0.1
0.133333333
0.166666667
0.2
0.5
mean
0.1
StDev
0.1
Lead Time (LT)

Gamma LT?
FALSE
Gamma LT (not in use)

mean
3
StDev 1.41421356
Discrete LT
LT
f(LT)
0
1
0.2
2
0.2
3
0.2
4
0.2
5
0.2
6
0
mean
3
StDev 1.41421356
Click here to view simulation results.

Click here to view graphs of the distributions
Theoretical Values
LTD
LT+1 Dem
LT
Inter-Demand Time
Demand/period
Mean
30.00
40.00
3.00
0.1
10.00
Var StDev
230.00 15.166
240.00 15.492
2.00 1.414
0.01 0.100
10.00 3.162
Mean
10
0.1
Var StDev
10
3.162
0.01
0.100
0.1
10
0.01
10
Conversion Formulas:
Demand per Period:
Inter-demand Time:
Inter-Demand Time
Demand/period
0.100
3.162
Sheet: Graphs
Page 7 of 58
Periodic Review, Q=50. D=10 (Var=10). Discrete LT: Mu= 3, Std=1.41

Gamma InterDemandTime: Mu= 0.1, Std=0.1 Crossings/Delivery=0
EOQ = 32
Min order Qty, Q = S-s = 50
Order-up-to level, S = 80
Number of columns of data available:

Use data in column number:
Reorder trigger level (to vary): s =
Links
8
8
30
View Performance Summary

View Graphs of Distributions
View Simulation Data
Go To Simulation Design
Choose your data set here
Set the Reorder Level here
Performance Statistics for

Shortfall
LTDem
LT+1 Dem
Shortfall Unit Costs
s=30, S=80
@Deliv.
Mean =
29.980
35.014
41.017
57.046
Variance = 230.033
242.520
239.770
489.283
E[Inventory] =
6.476
4.293
2.138
24.736
$
1.00 Inventory Cost per unit time
E[Backorders] =
6.456
9.307
12.156
1.783
$
9.00 Backorder Cost per unit time
P[Backorders>0] =
0.478
0.577
0.697
0.158
$
Cost whenever Backorders > 0
Backorder Rate =
0.087
0.105
0.127
1.684
$
Cost per unit Backordered
Demands=500784, Orders=9100, Periods=50000, Orders/Period=
0.182
$ 50.00 Fixed Cost of Ordering
For s=30, S=80, Total Cost per Unit Time = $ 49.88
Crossings=0
Crossings per Delivery =
0.000
Analysis of Service Level Accuracy.
Using simulated distribution of:
LTDem
To achieve target probability, s=

S=s+Q:
Actual P(no BO@Deliv):
Actual P(no BO, time av.):
Predicted by LTD
Predicted by LT+1 Dem
55
105
0.895
0.989
0.956
0.795
Target Probability of No Backorders:

Shortfall
LT+1 Dem
Shortfall
@Deliv.
61
66
44
111
116
94
0.956
0.984
0.696
0.997
0.999
0.952
0.988
0.996
0.792
0.895
0.949
0.580
0.95
This target's meaning:

For "Shortfall",
it means "% of time during which
there are some backorders."
For "Shorfall@Delivery",
it means "% of orders for
which some backorders exist
when the order arrives."
Cost
Search for Minimum Cost Reorder Level (s) holding constant S-s=50
Make sure "Calculation" is set to "Automatic". If it is
not, then press F9 to recalculate the cost curve
whenever you change anything.
53
52
51
50
49
48
47
First value of s for the graph:

Interval between values:
0
20
40
Reorder Level, s
60
Minimum Cost = $47.83

at s =37, S =87
35
1
Graph of Cost vs s , starting at

this value, and incrementing by
this amount.
Sheet: Graphs
Page 8 of 58

Links
Graphs of Distributions for simulation run number 8

0.03
LTDem
0.025
Shortfall @Deliv.
0.02

Change which simulation
is graphed by changing the
column number in cell G5.
LT+1 Dem
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
0.03
LTDem
0.025
LT+1 Dem
0.02
Shortfall
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
LT: Mean = 3, CV = 0.471, Discrete
90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170

IDT: Mean = 0.1, CV = 1, Gamma
0.01 0.055
0.1
0.145 0.19 0.235 0.28

1.00
LTDem
0.80
LT+1 Dem
0.60
Shortfall
0.40
Shortfall @Deliv.
Cumulative Distributions
0.20
0.00
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
Page Down for

cumulative
distributions
Sheet: Graphs
Page 9 of 58

Links
Description of Simulation Data being Viewed:
Inputs:
Runin Periods
5,000
Run Periods
50,000
50
Q = S-s
10
Exp. Demand
10
Var. Dmd (approx)
5235
RNSeed
TRUE
Periodic Review?
FALSE
Gamma LT?
TRUE
Gamma IDT?
0.1
Exp. Inter-Demand Time
0.1
StDev Inter-Demand Time
3
Exp. LT
StDev LT 1.41421356
30
Exp LTD
230
Var LTD
40
Exp D(LT+1)
240
Var D(LT+1)
Input Distributions: Below
Outputs:
SimTime
Demands
Orders
Deliveries
Crossings
Cross/Deliv

50,000
500,784
9,100
9,100
0
0
Shortfall, Avg. 57.046254

Shortfall, var. 489.28271
Shortfall@Deliv. Avg. 35.013956
Shortfall@Deliv. var. 242.52035
29.98033
LTD Avg.
LTD var. 230.03291
LT+1 Dem Avg 41.017363
LT+1 Dem Var 239.76981
Output Distributions: Farther Below
Inter-Demand Time Distribution: Ignore Discrete. Gamma used.

Distribution Actually Used:
Gamma Parameters: 1.000
0.100
IDT: Mean = 0.1, CV = 1, Gamma
Gamma IDT
f(IDT)
Gamma IDT
Discrete IDT
F(IDT)
f(IDT)
f(IDT)
0.000
0.500
0.500
0.010
9.048
0.010
9.048
0.033
0.500
0.000
0.055
5.769
0.055
5.769
0.067
0.500
0.000
0.100
3.679
0.100
3.679
0.100
0.500
0.000
0.145
2.346
0.145
2.346
0.133
0.500
0.000
0.190
1.496
0.190
1.496
0.167
0.500
0.000
0.235
0.954
0.235
0.954
0.200
1.000
0.500
0.280
0.608
0.280
0.608
Will Gamma overflow? FALSE
Lead Time Distribution: Ignore Gamma. Discrete used.
Distribution Actually Used:
Gamma Parameters: 4.500
0.667
LT: Mean = 3, CV = 0.471, Discrete
Gamma LTGamma f(LT)
Discrete LT
Discrete LTDiscrete F(LT)Discrete f(LT)
f(IDT)
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.300
0.005
0.000
0.000
1.000
0.200
0.200
1.650
0.259
1.000
0.200
2.000
0.400
0.200
3.000
0.277
2.000
0.200
3.000
0.600
0.200
4.350
0.134
3.000
0.200
4.000
0.800
0.200
5.700
0.046
4.000
0.200
5.000
1.000
0.200
7.050
0.013
5.000
0.200
6.000
1.000
0.000
8.400
0.003
6.000
0.000
Will Gamma overflow? FALSE
Theory
Shortfall
Leadtime Leadtime
Shortfall @ Delivery Demand
Demand
Mean
43.35
60.62
26.69
30.00
Variance
248.71
153.59
226.90
230.00
5020
5015
5010
5005
5000
5035
452
14
13
1
30
10
10
5235
Periodic Review. Q=30: D=10, var=10: L= 3, Std=1.41
TRUE Periodic Review. Q=30: D=10, var=10: L= 3, Std=1.41
FALSE
0
TRUE
-10
0.1
-20
0.1
-30
3
1.41421 -40
4995
Continuous time!
Q = S-s
Exp. Demand
Var. Dmd (approx)
RNSeed
Periodic Review?
Gamma LT?
Gamma IDT?
Exp. IDT
StDev IDT
Exp. LT
StDev LT
Partial Simulation Results

demands
orders placed
deliveries
Number of Crossings
5030
Order Crossing Simulation

(s, S) with S=0
Page 10 of 58
5025
Sheet: Trace
-50
-60
-70
Current Time 55.556
Period
5000
5000.047463
5000.118557
5000.11895
5000.453041
5000.509626
5000.76021
5001
5001.154046
5001.264099
5001.318424
5001.330007
5001.431884
5001.708118
5001.746788
5001.82104
5001.85482
5001.938805
5002.244994
5002.280199
5002.303541
5002.344361
5002.381167
5002.453742
5002.753257
5002.770789
5003.033741
5003.129288
5003.131748
5003.139099
5003.144072
5003.445661
5003.464883
5003.515421
5003.959563
5004.059034
5004.282059
5004.308
5004.463619
5004.552588
5004.57251
5004.585094
5004.59645
5004.85119
5004.935838
5004.939203
5004.98294
5005
5005
5005.043927
5005.125637
5005.134688
5005.222926
5005.254597
5005.297737
5005.401858
5005.444106
5005.70614
5005.88964
5005.895316
5006.028288
Dmd
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-80
Arriving
Inventory
Order
Orders On-Hand On-Order Position Quantity
-27
0
-27
-28
0
-28
-29
0
-29
-30
0
-30
-31
0
-31
-32
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-33
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0
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-1
-35
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-36
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-38
33
-5
-39
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-6
-40
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-7
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-42
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-50
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72
0
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0
-40
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-1
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-42
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-4
-44
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-5
-45
39
-6
-46
39
-7
-47
39
-8
-48
39
-9
-49
39
-10
-50
39
-11
-51
39
-12
Lead
Time
Delivery
Period
5005
5007
- Leadtime Inv. before orders Order Pipeline, Arrival Times

Demand Delivery crossed
1
2
3
4
5
-39
-72
5005
5005
5005
5007
Sheet: Trace
Period
5006.045509
5006.066182
5006.082214
5006.119373
5006.132403
5006.197546
5006.550895
5007
5007.128251
5007.317277
5007.338246
5007.39217
5007.41161
5007.412227
5007.622616
5007.63529
5007.636659
5007.882665
5007.898352
5007.987569
5007.99081
5008
5008.159031
5008.254136
5008.542844
5008.590475
5008.656459
5008.871643
5009.002582
5009.068712
5009.071957
5009.298852
5009.629066
5009.653796
5009.801481
5009.810995
5009.860536
5009.877569
5009.957243
5009.984397
5010.127253
5010.327687
5010.352583
5010.361235
5010.59064
5010.703538
5010.747061
5010.77391
5010.778124
5010.898752
5010.918525
5010.955608
5011
5011.007742
5011.169116
5011.207074
5011.209828
5011.292345
5011.394348
5011.429936
5011.606302
5011.622673
5011.63795
5011.664522
5011.974317
5012
5012.001531
5012.13312
5012.150276
5012.193078
5012.358864
5012.360324
5012.44483
5012.530815
5012.890531
5012.916463
5012.923564
5013
5013.167599
5013.296098
5013.593854
Dmd
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Arriving
Inventory
Order
-52
39
-13
-53
39
-14
-54
39
-15
-55
39
-16
-56
39
-17
-57
39
-18
-58
39
-19
39
-19
0
-19
-20
0
-20
-21
0
-21
-22
0
-22
-23
0
-23
-24
0
-24
-25
0
-25
-26
0
-26
-27
0
-27
-28
0
-28
-29
0
-29
-30
0
-30
-31
0
-31
-32
0
-32
-32
32
0
32
-33
32
-1
-34
32
-2
-35
32
-3
-36
32
-4
-37
32
-5
-38
32
-6
-39
32
-7
-40
32
-8
-41
32
-9
-42
32
-10
-43
32
-11
-44
32
-12
-45
32
-13
-46
32
-14
-47
32
-15
-48
32
-16
-49
32
-17
-50
32
-18
-51
32
-19
-52
32
-20
-53
32
-21
-54
32
-22
-55
32
-23
-56
32
-24
-57
32
-25
-58
32
-26
-59
32
-27
-60
32
-28
-61
32
-29
-62
32
-30
-62
62
0
30
-63
62
-1
-64
62
-2
-65
62
-3
-66
62
-4
-67
62
-5
-68
62
-6
-69
62
-7
-70
62
-8
-71
62
-9
-72
62
-10
-73
62
-11
-74
62
-12
30
-44
32
-12
-45
32
-13
-46
32
-14
-47
32
-15
-48
32
-16
-49
32
-17
-50
32
-18
-51
32
-19
-52
32
-20
-53
32
-21
-54
32
-22
-55
32
-23
32
-23
0
-23
-24
0
-24
-25
0
-25
-26
0
-26
Lead
Time
Delivery
Period
Page 11 of 58
1
2
3
4
5
-19
-58
5013
5013
5012
5012
-12
-74
-53
-55
5012
5013
Sheet: Trace
Period
5013.621019
5013.72919
5014.052806
5014.057097
5014.21525
5014.348423
5014.488077
5014.688973
5015
5015.055203
5015.245878
5015.375231
5015.394512
5015.553738
5015.615365
5015.701141
5015.888689
5015.934368
5015.962724
5016.325344
5016.424787
5016.466211
5016.560876
5016.593837
5016.732494
5016.743301
5016.765898
5016.778627
5016.885058
5016.931916
5017.045089
5017.052655
5017.290737
5017.366025
5017.495418
5017.597363
5017.636664
5017.656176
5017.69609
5017.753189
5017.799449
5018
5018
5018.289444
5018.393903
5018.551277
5018.707399
5018.992446
5019.127468
5019.200439
5019.393495
5019.425834
5019.477375
5019.633081
5019.70644
5019.716464
5019.856859
5019.938467
5020
5020.443185
5020.53125
5020.692152
5020.705346
5020.763168
5020.770471
5020.784454
5020.787054
5020.822942
5020.825711
5021.035497
5021.055711
5021.273183
5021.316599
5021.562636
5021.596209
5021.616976
5021.825483
5021.863034
5021.91974
5022
5022.256681
Dmd
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Arriving
Inventory
Order
-27
0
-27
-28
0
-28
-29
0
-29
-30
0
-30
-31
0
-31
-32
0
-32
-33
0
-33
-34
0
-34
-34
34
0
34
-35
34
-1
-36
34
-2
-37
34
-3
-38
34
-4
-39
34
-5
-40
34
-6
-41
34
-7
-42
34
-8
-43
34
-9
-44
34
-10
-45
34
-11
-46
34
-12
-47
34
-13
-48
34
-14
-49
34
-15
-50
34
-16
-51
34
-17
-52
34
-18
-53
34
-19
-54
34
-20
-55
34
-21
-56
34
-22
-57
34
-23
-58
34
-24
-59
34
-25
-60
34
-26
-61
34
-27
-62
34
-28
-63
34
-29
-64
34
-30
-65
34
-31
-66
34
-32
-66
66
0
32
34
-32
32
0
-33
32
-1
-34
32
-2
-35
32
-3
-36
32
-4
-37
32
-5
-38
32
-6
-39
32
-7
-40
32
-8
-41
32
-9
-42
32
-10
-43
32
-11
-44
32
-12
-45
32
-13
-46
32
-14
-47
32
-15
32
-15
0
-15
-16
0
-16
-17
0
-17
-18
0
-18
-19
0
-19
-20
0
-20
-21
0
-21
-22
0
-22
-23
0
-23
-24
0
-24
-25
0
-25
-26
0
-26
-27
0
-27
-28
0
-28
-29
0
-29
-30
0
-30
-31
0
-31
-32
0
-32
-33
0
-33
-34
0
-34
-35
0
-35
-35
35
0
35
-36
35
-1
Lead
Time
Delivery
Period
5018
5020
5023
Page 12 of 58
1
2
3
4
5
-32
-66
-15
-47
5018
5018
5018
5023
5020
Sheet: Trace
Period
5022.261045
5022.263916
5022.271804
5022.316076
5022.57658
5022.824805
5022.829559
5022.986078
5023
5023.170266
5023.319448
5023.556362
5023.57303
5023.592373
5023.733228
5023.763896
5023.820688
5023.895811
5023.942577
5024.043329
5024.270086
5024.378698
5024.483592
5024.485565
5024.529116
5024.653183
5024.722509
5024.854316
5024.966056
5025.064577
5025.111872
5025.17711
5025.257125
5025.475878
5025.493196
5025.608927
5025.68282
5025.742549
5025.777209
5025.78503
5025.811158
5026
5026.10751
5026.176283
5026.453755
5026.470435
5026.648804
5026.649343
5026.684638
5026.796194
5026.928016
5026.948504
5026.993829
5027
5027.225137
5027.225765
5027.357827
5027.556581
5027.582707
5027.741786
5027.775092
5027.896066
5027.964415
5028.200946
5028.26773
5028.402307
5028.516994
5028.634542
5028.676194
5028.83791
5029.049764
5029.072065
5029.215814
5029.503296
5029.568933
5029.651647
5029.706527
5030
5030.054073
5030.154665
5030.325675
Dmd
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Arriving
Inventory
Order
-37
35
-2
-38
35
-3
-39
35
-4
-40
35
-5
-41
35
-6
-42
35
-7
-43
35
-8
-44
35
-9
35
-9
0
-9
-10
0
-10
-11
0
-11
-12
0
-12
-13
0
-13
-14
0
-14
-15
0
-15
-16
0
-16
-17
0
-17
-18
0
-18
-19
0
-19
-20
0
-20
-21
0
-21
-22
0
-22
-23
0
-23
-24
0
-24
-25
0
-25
-26
0
-26
-27
0
-27
-28
0
-28
-29
0
-29
-30
0
-30
-31
0
-31
-32
0
-32
-33
0
-33
-34
0
-34
-35
0
-35
-36
0
-36
-37
0
-37
-38
0
-38
-39
0
-39
-40
0
-40
-41
0
-41
-41
41
0
41
-42
41
-1
-43
41
-2
-44
41
-3
-45
41
-4
-46
41
-5
-47
41
-6
-48
41
-7
-49
41
-8
-50
41
-9
-51
41
-10
-52
41
-11
41
-11
0
-11
-12
0
-12
-13
0
-13
-14
0
-14
-15
0
-15
-16
0
-16
-17
0
-17
-18
0
-18
-19
0
-19
-20
0
-20
-21
0
-21
-22
0
-22
-23
0
-23
-24
0
-24
-25
0
-25
-26
0
-26
-27
0
-27
-28
0
-28
-29
0
-29
-30
0
-30
-31
0
-31
-32
0
-32
-33
0
-33
-34
0
-34
-34
34
0
34
-35
34
-1
-36
34
-2
-37
34
-3
Lead
Time
Delivery
Period
Page 13 of 58
1
2
3
4
5
-9
5027
-11
-44
5034
5027
5034
-52
Sheet: Trace
Period
5030.347236
5030.694311
5030.909284
5031.00317
5031.065266
5031.134427
5031.210778
5031.231001
5031.284301
5031.494828
5031.804843
5031.873472
5032.37739
5032.551595
5032.587516
5032.603276
5032.628982
5032.807748
5032.859922
5032.979348
5033.005025
5033.018108
5033.269005
5033.299715
5033.361913
5033.549289
5033.668252
5033.709487
5033.742204
5033.819765
5033.878407
5034
5034
5034.076231
5034.250177
5034.343843
5034.426428
5034.451541
5034.496684
5034.568854
5034.643506
5034.720052
5034.726437
5034.868104
5034.870989
5034.957622
5035.031428
5035.217971
5035.312471
5035.390787
5035.527393
5035.536364
5035.589322
5035.765561
5035.774386
5035.905474
5036.039154
5036.077696
5036.137509
5036.182616
5036.413066
5036.642166
5036.784987
5036.862945
5036.897086
5036.920594
5037
5037.024143
5037.144921
5037.257073
5037.308064
5037.333919
5037.583959
5037.726413
5037.747136
5038
5038.167452
5038.244063
5038.31158
5038.379458
5038.549572
Dmd
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Arriving
Inventory
Order
-38
34
-4
-39
34
-5
-40
34
-6
-41
34
-7
-42
34
-8
-43
34
-9
-44
34
-10
-45
34
-11
-46
34
-12
-47
34
-13
-48
34
-14
-49
34
-15
-50
34
-16
-51
34
-17
-52
34
-18
-53
34
-19
-54
34
-20
-55
34
-21
-56
34
-22
-57
34
-23
-58
34
-24
-59
34
-25
-60
34
-26
-61
34
-27
-62
34
-28
-63
34
-29
-64
34
-30
-65
34
-31
-66
34
-32
-67
34
-33
-68
34
-34
-68
68
0
34
34
-34
34
0
-35
34
-1
-36
34
-2
-37
34
-3
-38
34
-4
-39
34
-5
-40
34
-6
-41
34
-7
-42
34
-8
-43
34
-9
-44
34
-10
-45
34
-11
-46
34
-12
-47
34
-13
-48
34
-14
-49
34
-15
-50
34
-16
-51
34
-17
-52
34
-18
-53
34
-19
-54
34
-20
-55
34
-21
-56
34
-22
-57
34
-23
-58
34
-24
-59
34
-25
-60
34
-26
-61
34
-27
-62
34
-28
-63
34
-29
-64
34
-30
-65
34
-31
-66
34
-32
-67
34
-33
-67
67
0
33
-68
67
-1
-69
67
-2
-70
67
-3
-71
67
-4
-72
67
-5
-73
67
-6
-74
67
-7
-75
67
-8
34
-41
33
-8
-42
33
-9
-43
33
-10
-44
33
-11
-45
33
-12
-46
33
-13
Lead
Time
Delivery
Period
Page 14 of 58
1
2
3
4
5
5038
-34
5041
-41
5034
5034
5038
5038
5041
-68
-75
5038
Sheet: Trace
Period
5038.55365
5038.578496
5038.75299
5038.824419
5038.839401
5038.941159
5039.052493
5039.30073
5039.34189
5039.346488
5039.466435
5039.508918
5039.653927
5039.850323
5039.873611
5039.897019
5039.926865
5039.976452
5040
5040.157764
5040.272391
5040.462255
5040.534409
5040.847826
5040.920234
5041
5041.016447
5041.12444
5041.178727
5041.290514
5041.432829
5041.535971
5041.605302
5041.693973
5041.849468
5041.914911
5041.976849
5042.053916
5042.170456
5042.326573
5042.468459
5042.493427
5042.512026
5043.141543
5043.197075
5043.28622
5043.307647
5043.462904
5043.59267
5043.850839
5043.981739
5044
5044.145907
5044.163523
5044.315559
5044.410533
5044.808169
5044.872432
5044.975082
5045
5045
5045.193782
5045.377253
5045.387592
5045.441223
5045.653598
5045.672726
5045.72577
5045.877501
5045.889819
5046.01742
5046.047783
5046.048649
5046.091179
5046.168037
5046.246604
5046.272145
5046.41277
5046.461265
5046.464301
5046.729683
Dmd
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Arriving
Inventory
Order
-47
33
-14
-48
33
-15
-49
33
-16
-50
33
-17
-51
33
-18
-52
33
-19
-53
33
-20
-54
33
-21
-55
33
-22
-56
33
-23
-57
33
-24
-58
33
-25
-59
33
-26
-60
33
-27
-61
33
-28
-62
33
-29
-63
33
-30
-64
33
-31
-64
64
0
31
-65
64
-1
-66
64
-2
-67
64
-3
-68
64
-4
-69
64
-5
-70
64
-6
33
-37
31
-6
-38
31
-7
-39
31
-8
-40
31
-9
-41
31
-10
-42
31
-11
-43
31
-12
-44
31
-13
-45
31
-14
-46
31
-15
-47
31
-16
-48
31
-17
-49
31
-18
-50
31
-19
-51
31
-20
-52
31
-21
-53
31
-22
-54
31
-23
-55
31
-24
-56
31
-25
-57
31
-26
-58
31
-27
-59
31
-28
-60
31
-29
-61
31
-30
-62
31
-31
-62
62
0
31
-63
62
-1
-64
62
-2
-65
62
-3
-66
62
-4
-67
62
-5
-68
62
-6
-69
62
-7
31
-38
31
-7
31
-7
0
-7
-8
0
-8
-9
0
-9
-10
0
-10
-11
0
-11
-12
0
-12
-13
0
-13
-14
0
-14
-15
0
-15
-16
0
-16
-17
0
-17
-18
0
-18
-19
0
-19
-20
0
-20
-21
0
-21
-22
0
-22
-23
0
-23
-24
0
-24
-25
0
-25
-26
0
-26
-27
0
-27
Lead
Time
Delivery
Period
Page 15 of 58
1
2
3
4
5
5045
-37
-70
5045
-69
-38
5045
5041
-38
-7
5041
5045
5045
5045
Sheet: Trace
Period
5046.782132
5046.829459
5046.888235
5047
5047.029942
5047.231122
5047.389787
5047.458878
5047.551307
5047.638875
5047.939996
5047.984952
5048.017181
5048.020285
Dmd
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Arriving
Inventory
Order
-28
0
-28
-29
0
-29
-30
0
-30
-30
30
0
30
-31
30
-1
-32
30
-2
-33
30
-3
-34
30
-4
-35
30
-5
-36
30
-6
-37
30
-7
-38
30
-8
-39
30
-9
-40
30
-10
Lead
Time
Delivery
Period
5052
Page 16 of 58
1
2
3
4
5
5052
Runin Periods
Run Periods
Q = S-s
Exp. Demand
Var. Dmd (approx)
RNSeed
Periodic Review?
Gamma LT?
Gamma IDT?
Exp. Inter-Demand Time
StDev Inter-Demand Time
Exp. LT
StDev LT
Exp LTD
Var LTD
Exp D(LT+1)
Var D(LT+1)
SimTime
Demands
Orders
Deliveries
Crossings
Cross/Deliv
LTD Avg.
LTD var.
"LT+1 Dem" or "LTD", Avg.
"LT+1 Dem" or "LTD", Var.
S-Inv. (Time Av) Avg.
S-Inv. (Time Av) var.
s-Inv @Deliv. Avg.
s-Inv @Deliv. var.
x
5,000
50,000
20
10
10
5235
FALSE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.1
3
1.4142136
30
230
40
240
50,000
501,009
25,050
25,050
5,149
0.2055489
30.051018
229.0572
30.051018
229.0572
39.530602
184.53422
30.051018
150.95101
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5,000
50,000
20
10
10
5235
TRUE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.1
3
1.4142136
30
230
40
240
50,000
500,940
20,110
20,112
1,600
0.0795545
30.004177
230.83888
41.033313
240.86912
42.216215
241.16825
34.982946
194.4201
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5,000
50,000
10
10
10
5235
TRUE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.1
3
1.4142136
30
230
40
240
50,000
501,008
34,155
34,154
8,476
0.2481701
29.979007
231.78743
41.295251
240.24175
37.395718
155.04833
34.874451
142.49282
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5,000
50,000
50
10
10
5235
TRUE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.1
3
1.4142136
30
230
40
240
50,000
500,784
9,100
9,100
0
0
29.98033
230.03291
41.017363
239.76981
57.046254
489.28271
35.013956
242.52035
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
-Inv
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
5.39E-06
2.805E-05
7.196E-05
0.0001714
0.0003403
0.0006986
0.0010466
0.0015789
0.0022252
0.0028909
0.0037181
0.0043397
0.0051222
0.0060303
0.0068243
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
7.195E-06
5.969E-05
0.0001126
0.0002473
0.0004642
0.0007244
0.0013021
0.0018973
0.0023525
0.0031825
0.0038969
0.0046586
0.0054877
0.00611
0.0067537
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
0
6.067E-05
0.0001143
9.026E-05
0.000274
0.0005325
0.0009539
0.001385
0.0021908
0.0028884
0.0036387
0.0045123
0.0052079
0.0061619
0.0069439
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
3.341E-05
1.26E-05
8.524E-05
0.0001675
0.0002705
0.0005051
0.0008976
0.0011896
0.0014794
0.0021735
0.0026129
0.0030778
0.0034604
0.0037958
0.0040066
0.0075703
0.0085157
0.0095298
0.0106826
0.0117124
0.0128015
0.0139101
0.0152132
0.0160448
0.0175499
0.018829
0.020107
0.0212398
0.0223756
0.0232978
0.0245302
0.0251058
0.0260062
0.0266456
0.0273774
0.0276505
0.0276667
0.0281307
0.0279218
0.028144
0.0280129
0.0273256
0.026762
0.0267964
0.026598
0.0256303
0.0246146
0.0236493
0.0221351
0.0209785
0.0197803
0.0184825
0.0174697
0.0161256
0.0149942
0.0138515
0.0130034
0.0119771
0.0108276
0.007496
0.0081999
0.0091968
0.010057
0.0108426
0.0118055
0.0126107
0.013985
0.0148342
0.0153575
0.0162435
0.0174993
0.0175913
0.0187152
0.0196702
0.0204681
0.0208848
0.021634
0.0223096
0.0226852
0.0228394
0.0233092
0.0241654
0.0235115
0.0239649
0.023801
0.0236371
0.0236198
0.0242864
0.0233058
0.023317
0.0230879
0.0224123
0.0223276
0.0215409
0.0213662
0.0199791
0.0191008
0.0188137
0.0177741
0.0170216
0.0160853
0.0153084
0.0145535
0.0080825
0.0090399
0.0101532
0.0118148
0.0129255
0.0147945
0.0160542
0.0178978
0.0195415
0.0206708
0.0223878
0.0237914
0.0255667
0.0266633
0.0274485
0.0283579
0.0292479
0.0296534
0.0310419
0.0306789
0.0308876
0.0311532
0.0310583
0.0303261
0.0303144
0.0296497
0.0285475
0.0273109
0.0272351
0.0252623
0.0242037
0.0228935
0.0213486
0.0199292
0.0182612
0.0168116
0.0159913
0.0144275
0.0130015
0.0119868
0.0106302
0.0095251
0.0086748
0.0074396
0.0045078
0.0046368
0.0051967
0.0054742
0.0057886
0.0062942
0.0066731
0.0069427
0.007189
0.0076418
0.0082318
0.0083975
0.0087557
0.0089793
0.0093796
0.0099374
0.0101457
0.0106357
0.0111452
0.0113045
0.0116326
0.0119498
0.0123727
0.0125313
0.013323
0.0134063
0.0137704
0.0144156
0.0143963
0.0146179
0.0150305
0.0153612
0.0155286
0.0160701
0.0163454
0.016465
0.0172905
0.0167918
0.0173585
0.0172673
0.0173441
0.0176212
0.0175408
0.0170605
0.0099974
0.0090167
0.0083296
0.007303
0.0064457
0.0057306
0.0053497
0.0044251
0.0036904
0.0031929
0.0027051
0.0021994
0.0018887
0.0015219
0.0012046
0.0010102
0.0008216
0.0005845
0.000424
0.0003478
0.0002892
0.0002324
0.0001826
0.0001385
9.73E-05
6.748E-05
4.291E-05
3.047E-05
2.668E-05
8.635E-06
1.253E-05
1.67E-06
7.302E-06
5.909E-06
9.314E-07
2.263E-08
7.916E-07
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.013582
0.0128339
0.0117722
0.0111094
0.0099746
0.0095069
0.0083934
0.0077963
0.0071211
0.006385
0.0058165
0.0051761
0.0046509
0.0040251
0.0036514
0.0030677
0.0025786
0.002389
0.0020313
0.0017799
0.0014927
0.0012215
0.0011029
0.0008063
0.0007183
0.0005126
0.0004476
0.0003709
0.00029
0.0002134
0.0001595
0.0001069
0.0001178
6.746E-05
7.628E-05
4.184E-05
4.823E-05
3.236E-05
2.497E-05
1.013E-05
3.27E-06
3.417E-06
4.691E-06
2.351E-06
0.0066802
0.0058106
0.0050295
0.0042297
0.0035132
0.0031474
0.0026669
0.0020666
0.0017544
0.0014473
0.0012022
0.0009473
0.000822
0.0007043
0.0005803
0.0004689
0.0002766
0.0002488
0.0002089
0.0001697
0.0001197
6.984E-05
5.367E-05
3.968E-05
2.801E-05
2.106E-05
1.055E-05
1.341E-05
6.939E-06
6.087E-06
6.327E-06
4.957E-06
1.518E-06
3.003E-06
2.698E-06
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0172055
0.0172291
0.0165939
0.0165851
0.0160283
0.0158873
0.0157737
0.0150993
0.0148333
0.0142462
0.0141148
0.0137565
0.0132967
0.0131786
0.0129615
0.0124334
0.0120802
0.0115348
0.0110938
0.011124
0.0105466
0.0100465
0.0098815
0.0091364
0.0093107
0.0088438
0.008378
0.0079701
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0.0069482
0.0065961
0.0062243
0.0057947
0.005551
0.0052786
0.0047339
0.0044904
0.0040532
0.0036575
0.0032626
0.0031173
0.0027299
0.0024427
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.906E-06
1.46E-06
2.657E-06
1.8E-06
5.052E-06
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0021407
0.0019214
0.0016252
0.0014863
0.0013282
0.0011454
0.0008808
0.0008689
0.0006779
0.0005182
0.0004595
0.0003402
0.0002479
0.0002348
0.0001817
0.0001534
0.0001289
7.318E-05
5.985E-05
6.286E-05
5.306E-05
2.576E-05
2.415E-05
2.214E-05
1.007E-05
4.035E-06
1.582E-06
1.888E-06
6.731E-07
3.045E-06
3.164E-06
1.382E-07
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
LTD
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
LTD
0
7.984E-05
0.0006786
0.0015569
0.0031138
0.006986
0.0124152
0.0182435
0.0205988
0.0254291
0.0271058
0.0250299
0.0224351
0.0201597
0.0178044
0.0172854
0.0180838
0.0179242
0.0188822
0.0203593
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
LTD
0
9.944E-05
0.0004475
0.00179
0.0037788
0.0077068
0.012679
0.0181981
0.0231702
0.0250099
0.0247116
0.0260044
0.0241647
0.0185959
0.018397
0.0175517
0.0163087
0.0191428
0.0202864
0.0225736
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
LTD
0
0.0001171
0.0007613
0.0017275
0.0038356
0.0072612
0.0122972
0.0188558
0.0224571
0.0260584
0.0255607
0.0253265
0.0221936
0.020349
0.0178603
0.0188265
0.0176846
0.0172454
0.0194121
0.0204954
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0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
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LTD
0
0.0003297
0.0001099
0.0012088
0.0040659
0.0068132
0.0110989
0.0193407
0.0212088
0.0242857
0.0281319
0.0263736
0.0220879
0.0208791
0.0184615
0.0178022
0.0198901
0.016044
0.0198901
0.0212088
0.0214371
0.0209182
0.0230739
0.0210778
0.020519
0.0192016
0.0187226
0.019521
0.0209581
0.0198802
0.0202794
0.0192016
0.0207585
0.020998
0.0215968
0.0188822
0.0207186
0.0183633
0.0209182
0.018004
0.0199601
0.0203194
0.0192814
0.0182834
0.019002
0.0180838
0.0175649
0.0176447
0.0169261
0.0149701
0.0149701
0.0151297
0.0130539
0.0105788
0.0106587
0.0094212
0.0078244
0.0067864
0.0063473
0.0045908
0.0039122
0.0033932
0.0027146
0.0016367
0.0202864
0.0205847
0.0215294
0.0187947
0.0174523
0.0185959
0.0203361
0.0215792
0.0181981
0.0192422
0.02143
0.01964
0.0207339
0.0206344
0.0207836
0.0214797
0.0185461
0.0198886
0.0206842
0.0200875
0.0200378
0.0184964
0.0185461
0.0192422
0.0198886
0.0177009
0.01785
0.0162092
0.0166567
0.0143198
0.0153142
0.0147673
0.0124801
0.0122812
0.0105907
0.0086018
0.0084527
0.0063644
0.0058174
0.0057677
0.0042761
0.00358
0.002685
0.0021877
0.0218715
0.0216373
0.021813
0.0202904
0.0196756
0.0195292
0.0195585
0.0182702
0.0191193
0.0199977
0.0197049
0.0211688
0.020349
0.0200269
0.0203783
0.0209639
0.0201441
0.019617
0.0189729
0.0194414
0.0191193
0.0198513
0.0188558
0.0188265
0.0186215
0.0170112
0.0180067
0.0174211
0.016045
0.0160743
0.0153716
0.0144932
0.0129707
0.0112432
0.0093986
0.0089887
0.0084617
0.0066756
0.0065
0.005036
0.0038356
0.0033085
0.0028401
0.0024302
0.0224176
0.0213187
0.0193407
0.0189011
0.0189011
0.023956
0.019011
0.0191209
0.0194505
0.0206593
0.0197802
0.0198901
0.0201099
0.0213187
0.0201099
0.0198901
0.0196703
0.0195604
0.0172527
0.0194505
0.0198901
0.0197802
0.0172527
0.0181319
0.0172527
0.019011
0.0184615
0.0186813
0.0184615
0.0176923
0.0162637
0.0145055
0.0134066
0.0108791
0.0092308
0.0074725
0.007033
0.0063736
0.0045055
0.0051648
0.0050549
0.0040659
0.0020879
0.0024176
0.0018363
0.0016766
0.001477
0.0006786
0.0005988
0.000479
0.0002794
7.984E-05
0.0003194
0.0001597
3.992E-05
7.984E-05
3.992E-05
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0.0018894
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0
4.972E-05
9.944E-05
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4.972E-05
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0.0022252
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5.856E-05
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2.928E-05
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0.0020879
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0.0002198
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s-Inv @Deliv.s-Inv @Deliv.s-Inv @Deliv.s-Inv @Deliv.s-Inv @Deliv.
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3.992E-05
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0.0003194 4.972E-05
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0
0.0005988 0.0001492 0.0001171 0.0001099
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0.0148104 0.0101432 0.0054459 0.0134066
0.0137325
0.009099 0.0056216 0.0161538
0.0146108 0.0124304 0.0071441 0.0154945
0.0160878 0.0133254 0.0084617 0.0197802
0.0151297 0.0162092
0.009018 0.0175824
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0.0203992 0.0171539 0.0132927 0.0206593
0.0201198 0.0176014 0.0161621
0.019011
0.0229541 0.0175517 0.0162792
0.02
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0.0242715 0.0197892 0.0224864
0.019011
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0.0191209
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7.984E-05
3.992E-05
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7.984E-05
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0
3.992E-05
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0.0022375
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0.0003978
0.0001492
0.0002486
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4.972E-05
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4.972E-05
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4.972E-05
4.972E-05
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0.0008784
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0.0001464
0.0001464
0.0001171
0.0001464
5.856E-05
2.928E-05
2.928E-05
2.928E-05
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2.928E-05
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5.856E-05
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LT+1 Dem
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0
7.984E-05
0.0006786
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0.0124152
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0.0205988
0.0254291
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LT+1 Dem
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4.972E-05
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0.001243
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LT+1 Dem
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0.0186813
0.0206593
0.0215385
0.0192308
0.0207692
0.017033
0.0181319
0.0201099
0.0167033
0.0179121
0.0154945
0.0185714
0.0153846
0.0159341
0.0132967
0.0127473
0.0108791
0.0092308
0.0082418
0.0075824
0.006044
0.006044
0.0065934
0.0046154
0.0003194
0.0001597
3.992E-05
7.984E-05
3.992E-05
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0039777
0.00358
0.0022872
0.0020883
0.0013425
0.0012928
0.0011436
0.0011436
0.0004475
0.0002983
0.0003481
0.0002486
9.944E-05
0.0001989
4.972E-05
4.972E-05
0
4.972E-05
9.944E-05
4.972E-05
4.972E-05
0
4.972E-05
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0045675
0.0032793
0.002723
0.0021959
0.0016689
0.0014347
0.0012297
0.0009955
0.0010833
0.0004977
0.0003513
0.0001464
0.000205
0.0001464
0.000205
8.784E-05
5.856E-05
2.928E-05
0
0
2.928E-05
0
2.928E-05
0
0
2.928E-05
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0037363
0.0027473
0.002967
0.0017582
0.0017582
0.0014286
0.0017582
0.0005495
0.000989
0.0004396
0.0003297
0.0003297
0.0005495
0
0.0002198
0.0001099
0
0.0001099
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Discrete IDT Discrete IDT Discrete IDT Discrete IDT Discrete IDT
0
0
0
0
0.0333333 0.0333333 0.0333333 0.0333333
0.0666667 0.0666667 0.0666667 0.0666667
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1333333 0.1333333 0.1333333 0.1333333
0.1666667 0.1666667 0.1666667 0.1666667
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
Discrete F(IDT)
Discrete F(IDT)
Discrete F(IDT)
Discrete F(IDT)
Discrete F(IDT)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
1
Discrete LT Discrete LT Discrete LT Discrete LT Discrete LT
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
6
Discrete F(LT)
Discrete F(LT)
Discrete F(LT)
Discrete F(LT)
Discrete F(LT)
0
0
0
0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5,000
50,000
50
10
1.6
5235
TRUE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.04
3
1.4142136
30
204.8
40
206.4
50,000
500,285
9,205
9,205
0
0
30.322651
205.12545
40.574253
206.88588
57.890613
458.26579
34.671157
217.07481
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5,000
50,000
50
10
1.6
5235
FALSE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.04
3
1.4142136
30
204.8
40
206.4
50,000
500,203
10,004
10,004
0
0
29.434026
210.07711
29.434026
210.07711
54.706093
419.01377
29.434026
210.07711
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5,000
50,000
50
10
10
5235
FALSE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.1
3
1.4142136
30
230
40
240
50,000
500,771
10,015
10,015
32
0.0031952
30.02666
232.50503
30.02666
232.50503
54.482139
440.23707
30.02666
231.62635
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
5,000
50,000
50
10
10
5235
TRUE
FALSE
TRUE
0.1
0.1
3
1.4142136
30
230
40
240
50,000
500,784
9,100
9,100
0
0
29.98033
230.03291
41.017363
239.76981
57.046254
489.28271
35.013956
242.52035
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
0
0
0
0
0
5.41E-06
6.858E-05
0.0003221
0.0007977
0.0014986
0.0022171
0.0029673
0.0033857
0.003497
0.0035626
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
0
0
0
0
0
1.274E-05
0.0001772
0.0005403
0.0012819
0.0021571
0.0031584
0.0037694
0.0041092
0.0042022
0.0042344
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
1.494E-05
2.651E-05
7.946E-05
0.0001832
0.0002769
0.0006138
0.0009107
0.0013714
0.0017294
0.0023351
0.0029807
0.0033138
0.0037514
0.0041895
0.0042563
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
-Inv
0
3.341E-05
1.26E-05
8.524E-05
0.0001675
0.0002705
0.0005051
0.0008976
0.0011896
0.0014794
0.0021735
0.0026129
0.0030778
0.0034604
0.0037958
0.0040066
0.0037227
0.0039013
0.0040981
0.0047755
0.0051969
0.0056314
0.0063585
0.0066801
0.0071485
0.007208
0.0074757
0.0078056
0.0080426
0.0084772
0.0087867
0.0094378
0.0098189
0.0100284
0.0105418
0.0107534
0.0111211
0.0112604
0.0119238
0.0122151
0.0125262
0.0129686
0.0134952
0.0137968
0.0140892
0.0145886
0.0150238
0.0152636
0.0157277
0.0158568
0.0164053
0.0168378
0.0170838
0.0176013
0.0176275
0.0179724
0.0185533
0.0186034
0.0186459
0.0182133
0.0042676
0.0046395
0.0049026
0.0055519
0.0062682
0.0069855
0.0075745
0.0079758
0.0081725
0.0081785
0.0083876
0.0087221
0.0089721
0.0094762
0.0101282
0.0106916
0.0112872
0.0117812
0.0118338
0.0121516
0.0124728
0.0125568
0.0130987
0.0134413
0.0141926
0.0144382
0.0151892
0.0154375
0.0158633
0.016073
0.0162939
0.0166225
0.0170551
0.0174587
0.0180052
0.0185253
0.0189861
0.0194166
0.0195895
0.019815
0.01981
0.019966
0.0196233
0.0190064
0.0049591
0.0050332
0.0057097
0.0059432
0.0066084
0.0067803
0.0073057
0.0074776
0.0082476
0.0083344
0.0089633
0.0091628
0.0096219
0.0101633
0.0104474
0.0107436
0.0112902
0.011633
0.0116918
0.0120839
0.0126102
0.0133272
0.0137409
0.01407
0.0145164
0.015038
0.0151015
0.0155995
0.0157743
0.0163068
0.0165279
0.0173991
0.0173817
0.0172491
0.0178794
0.018371
0.0183541
0.0181321
0.0185445
0.0184929
0.0186464
0.0185336
0.0181812
0.0178828
0.0045078
0.0046368
0.0051967
0.0054742
0.0057886
0.0062942
0.0066731
0.0069427
0.007189
0.0076418
0.0082318
0.0083975
0.0087557
0.0089793
0.0093796
0.0099374
0.0101457
0.0106357
0.0111452
0.0113045
0.0116326
0.0119498
0.0123727
0.0125313
0.013323
0.0134063
0.0137704
0.0144156
0.0143963
0.0146179
0.0150305
0.0153612
0.0155286
0.0160701
0.0163454
0.016465
0.0172905
0.0167918
0.0173585
0.0172673
0.0173441
0.0176212
0.0175408
0.0170605
0.0181625
0.0177012
0.0172089
0.0171109
0.0164836
0.0162114
0.0161613
0.015901
0.0156038
0.0150751
0.0148303
0.0141184
0.0137094
0.0134346
0.0130292
0.0128513
0.0126425
0.012173
0.01196
0.0115263
0.0110232
0.0105659
0.0101311
0.0097975
0.0094959
0.009108
0.0088615
0.008538
0.0082729
0.0079091
0.0074739
0.00699
0.0065957
0.0063081
0.0058463
0.0055363
0.0051419
0.0047879
0.0044714
0.0040431
0.0035685
0.0031609
0.0028977
0.0024442
0.0175417
0.0165079
0.0159598
0.0156787
0.0157156
0.0157507
0.0157103
0.0157424
0.0153626
0.0144321
0.0137607
0.012913
0.0123117
0.0119525
0.0119234
0.0116331
0.0115726
0.0114225
0.0110938
0.0107004
0.0098339
0.0091739
0.008553
0.0083075
0.0080424
0.0079662
0.0077538
0.00751
0.0070868
0.0064289
0.0059003
0.0053121
0.0048805
0.0044512
0.0042007
0.0039733
0.0036776
0.0034981
0.003066
0.0026147
0.0019711
0.0014542
0.0009652
0.0005859
0.0175116
0.0168613
0.016419
0.0161042
0.0158032
0.0158615
0.0152213
0.0148847
0.0144912
0.0135176
0.0134812
0.0132191
0.0126915
0.0121874
0.0121468
0.0115597
0.0111195
0.0105052
0.0105779
0.009972
0.009684
0.0091492
0.008792
0.0083889
0.0081624
0.0078752
0.0071352
0.0067203
0.0063323
0.0060877
0.0056185
0.0053086
0.0048281
0.0045172
0.0040206
0.0037065
0.003469
0.0029638
0.0025486
0.0023841
0.002009
0.0018601
0.0015901
0.0013177
0.0172055
0.0172291
0.0165939
0.0165851
0.0160283
0.0158873
0.0157737
0.0150993
0.0148333
0.0142462
0.0141148
0.0137565
0.0132967
0.0131786
0.0129615
0.0124334
0.0120802
0.0115348
0.0110938
0.011124
0.0105466
0.0100465
0.0098815
0.0091364
0.0093107
0.0088438
0.008378
0.0079701
0.0076158
0.0071293
0.0069482
0.0065961
0.0062243
0.0057947
0.005551
0.0052786
0.0047339
0.0044904
0.0040532
0.0036575
0.0032626
0.0031173
0.0027299
0.0024427
0.0022106
0.0018083
0.0015015
0.0011924
0.0009468
0.0007132
0.0004899
0.0002888
0.0001734
0.0001001
5.357E-05
3.267E-05
9.491E-06
2.245E-06
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0003096
0.0001459
7.449E-05
3.118E-05
1.092E-05
5.792E-06
1.398E-06
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0011393
0.000993
0.0008017
0.0006016
0.0005021
0.0004031
0.0002617
0.0002386
0.0001538
0.000118
7.862E-05
8.871E-05
4.917E-05
1.921E-05
1.553E-05
6.476E-06
1.1E-05
8.386E-06
8.723E-06
1.264E-06
2.795E-07
2.503E-06
2.442E-06
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0.000699
0.0002996
0.0004993
0.0001997
0.0001997
0.0205495
0.0201099
0.0220879
0.02
0.02
0.0201099
0.0193407
0.0208791
0.0202198
0.0195604
0.0189011
0.0156044
0.0221978
0.0192308
0.0183516
0.0240659
0.0184615
0.0202198
0.0181319
0.0205495
0.0186813
0.0206593
0.0215385
0.0192308
0.0207692
0.017033
0.0181319
0.0201099
0.0167033
0.0179121
0.0154945
0.0185714
0.0153846
0.0159341
0.0132967
0.0127473
0.0108791
0.0092308
0.0082418
0.0075824
0.006044
0.006044
0.0065934
0.0046154
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0001997
0
0
0
9.985E-05
0
0
9.985E-05
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0037363
0.0027473
0.002967
0.0017582
0.0017582
0.0014286
0.0017582
0.0005495
0.000989
0.0004396
0.0003297
0.0003297
0.0005495
0
0.0002198
0.0001099
0
0.0001099
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Discrete IDT Discrete IDT Discrete IDT Discrete IDT
0
0
0
0
0.0333333 0.0333333 0.0333333 0.0333333
0.0666667 0.0666667 0.0666667 0.0666667
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1333333 0.1333333 0.1333333 0.1333333
0.1666667 0.1666667 0.1666667 0.1666667
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
Discrete F(IDT)
Discrete F(IDT)
Discrete F(IDT)
Discrete F(IDT)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
1
Discrete LT Discrete LT Discrete LT Discrete LT
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
6
6
6
6
Discrete F(LT)
Discrete F(LT)
Discrete F(LT)
Discrete F(LT)
0
0
0
0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.8
0.8
0.8
0.8
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Simulating Inventory Control With Orders That Cross During Lead Time

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Simulating Inventory Control With Orders That Cross During Lead Time

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Sheet: Introduction

Contents: These are the sheets in this workbook.

1. Measuring Inventory and Shortages at Time of Delivery:

reorder level, or Min

(a) Shortfall below Reorder Level at Delivery: Shortfall@Deliv

(b) Distribution of Shortfall@Delivery if Orders do not Cross

(ii) Periodic Review

2. Inventory and Shortages at Any Time

3. Cost of Inventory, Backorders and Ordering:

Inter-demand time (IDT)

Minimum Order Quantity

Lead Time (LT)

Gamma LT (not in use)

Click here to view simulation results.

Periodic Review, Q=50. D=10 (Var=10). Discrete LT: Mu= 3, Std=1.41

Number of columns of data available:

View Performance Summary

Performance Statistics for

To achieve target probability, s=

Target Probability of No Backorders:

This target's meaning:

First value of s for the graph:

Minimum Cost = $47.83

Graph of Cost vs s , starting at

Periodic Review, Q=50. D=10 (Var=10). Discrete LT: Mu= 3, Std=1.41

Graphs of Distributions for simulation run number 8

Periodic Review, Q=50. D=10 (Var=10). Discrete LT: Mu= 3, Std=1.41

View Performance Summary

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170

LT: Mean = 3, CV = 0.471, Discrete

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170

0.145 0.19 0.235 0.28

Periodic Review, Q=50. D=10 (Var=10). Discrete LT: Mu= 3, Std=1.41

90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170

Page Down for

Periodic Review, Q=50. D=10 (Var=10). Discrete LT: Mu= 3, Std=1.41

View Performance Summary

Shortfall, Avg. 57.046254

Inter-Demand Time Distribution: Ignore Discrete. Gamma used.

Partial Simulation Results

Order Crossing Simulation

Current Time 55.556

- Leadtime Inv. before orders Order Pipeline, Arrival Times

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