BI TP MN: KINH T I NGOI BT2.

4

Lp K12402A
Nhm 9:

Trn Vn Vang K124020258
H Th Vi K124020262
Nguyn Mai Anh Tuyn K124020255
Phm Th Kim Thy K124020232
Nguyn L Thy Vn K124020261
Hunh Th M Trinh K124020249
V Th Thanh Hin K124020159

1. Cng ng cc quc gia c lp
Trong cng ng cc quc gia c lp CIS, cc quc gia tim nng cho xut khu giy
dp l Russia, Kazakhstan v Ukraine. V cc quc gia ny c thu nhp cao, dn s kh
ng nn quy m th trng ln, thun li cho vic tiu th sn phm ca ta hn (xem
bng ph lc cui bit thm v cc thng s GDP/ngi, dn s, tc tng trng).
2. Cc nc mi ni v ang pht trin chu
Cc quc gia mi ni v ang pht trin chu c th trng tim nng cho xut khu
giy dp Vit Nam:
u l nhng nc c thu nhp kh cao: i loan (2013:$39,600 / ngi) , Hng Kng
(2009- 2013 : 38,124$ /ngi) , Hn Quc (2009- 2013 : 25,977$ /ngi , cc nc ny
bt u nhp khu giy dp ca Vit Nam t nm, tuy s lng v kim ngch cn nh
xong y l nhng th trng rt quan trng ca Vit Nam trong tng lai. Trong khi i
Loan(2013: + 5,55% , 2014 :6,98%) v Hng Kng (2013: 21,37%, 2014: - 15,49%)
khng n inh gi tr nhp khu giy dp ca Vit Nam th kim nghch xut khu giy
dp sang Hn Quc (2013:+ 38,13%, 2014: +26,05%) c s tng mnh v kh u qua
tng nm.
Ngun s liu : http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
http://www.lefaso.org.vn/
3. Cc nc mi ni v ang pht trin chu u
a/ Bulgaria
Quan h song phng gia Vit Nam- Bulgaria: Ti bui gp g vo cui thng 7/2014,
b Slavena Gergova khng nh, Chnh ph Bulgaria rt coi trng quan h hp tc vi
Vit Nam v vic m Vn phng Kinh t v Thng mi Bulgaria ti TP. H Ch Minh
vo cui nm 2013 l mt minh chng cho n lc thc y hp tc song phng vi Vit
Nam ca Bulgaria. V vy vic m rng th trng sang Bulgaria s t nhiu c s h
tr ca chnh quyn.
C cu kinh t, ngnh sn phm bn chim 12%, Bulgaria khng pht trin v nhng sn
phm loi bn, nn ta d dng xm nhp th trng, hn ch c s cnh tranh vi hng
ni a.
b/ Hungary
Nc c nn kinh t tt. GDP trn u ngi $19,891.57, ch s kh cao, ta c th u t
mt hng giy dp cao cp t nc ny
Quan h hu ngh ca Vit Nam v Hungary, mi quan h kh tt p t xa n nay.
To thun li cho vic m rng th trng nc ngoi
Bn cnh , vi v tr a l thun li v ca ng kinh t quan trng DN cc nc c
th xm nhp su vo th trng 500 triu dn (chu u). Mt khc, ti Hungary c s
xut hin ca nhiu tp on kinh t a quc gia ln mnh ang u t v hot ng ti
y s l tin cc DN Vit Nam c th hp tc u t xut khu.
c/ Abalnia
y l mt quc gia thuc din ngho ca Chu u, vi dn s kh t v GDP khng cao.
a hnh ch yu l vng cao, khng thun tin cho giao thng vn chuyn. Tuy nhin khi
u t vo nc ny ta c th hn ch c s cnh tranh vi cc doanh nghip trong
nc, ng thi Albania li ang tch cc m ca n nhn nhng s u t ca doanh
nghip nc ngoi nn vic xm nhp th trng s khng gp cn tr t pha chnh
quyn. i vi nc ny ta c th m rng v mt hng giy dp thng dng, vi gi
thnh tng i thp hn 2 nc kia, ly chnh sch r bn thu ht c ngi tiu
dng
4. Cc nc M Latinh v Caribe
Nhm: Cc nc M Latinh v khu vc Caribe.
C th chn 3 nc c tim nng nht l: Mexico, Chile v Braxin.
* Vi Mexico, kim ngch xut khu hng Vit Nam sang Mexico 9 thng u nm d
kin tng 35%, c t 811 triu USD. Ngoi ra, Vit Nam v Mexico cng ang chun
b cho vic thnh lp y ban hn hp v hp tc pht trin thng mi v cng nghip
gia hai nc nhn dp k nim trn 40 nm quan h song phng Vit Nam v Mexico
trong nm 2015. l nhng du hiu tch cc cho vic xut khu giy dp sang Mexico.
Hn na, xt v GDP bnh qun u ngi, tc tng trng kinh t v dn s th th
trng ny l rt tim nng.
+ GDP bnh qun u ngi: 10.307,28$ (2009). Theo , Mexico nm trong
nhm cc nn kinh t c thu nhp trung bnh kh, y l im thun li cho cc doanh
nghip giy dp Vit Nam trong vic cnh tranh vi doanh nghip ni a v cc nc
khc v mt cht lng, c bit l gi c.
+ Tc tng trng kinh t: nhn chung l tng tng i n nh.
+ Dn s: 122,3 triu (2013), nhu cu nhp khu giy dp ca ngi dn tng i
ln.
http://vtv4.vn/newsdetail/12012
http://vi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinh_t%E1%BA%BF_M%C3%A9xico#C.C3.A1c_ch.E1.B
B.89_s.E1.BB.91_c.C6.A1_b.E1.BA.A3n
*Vi Chile, kim ngch xut khu giy dp ca Vit Nam tng u qua cc nm. Hn na
nh Hip nh thng mi t do FTA gia Vit Nam-Chi L m giy dp thuc danh mc
gim thu 0% ngay sau khi hip nh c hiu lc vo thng 2/2014 va qua. Ngoi ra, cc
danh mc xut khu ca Vit Nam v Chi l khng cnh tranh nhau m ch yu l h tr,
b sung cho nhau.
+ GDP bnh qun u ngi: c tnh khong 15.732,31 $ (2013)
+ Tc tng trng kinh t: tng tng i n nh
+ Dn s: 17,62 triu (2013), nhu cu ngi dn tng i ln
http://www.moit.gov.vn/vn/tin-tuc/3871/fta-giup-viet-nam-tang-toc-xuat-khau-sang-chi-
le.aspx
http://www.moit.gov.vn/vn/tin-tuc/702/kinh-te-chile-6-thang-dau-nam-2012.aspx
Vi Braxin, sn lng xut khu giy dp sang Braxin tng u qua cc nm, l nhm
ngnh th 2 v kim ngch xut khu sau in thoi v linh kin. Ngoi ra, Braxin cn c
mt s chng trnh h tr xc tin u t cho cc doanh nghip Vit Nam.
+ GDP bnh qun u ngi: 11.208,08 $ (2013)
+ Tc tng trng kinh t: tng i pht trin tt.
+ Dn s: 200,4 triu (2013)
http://www.hoichoquocte.com.vn/ban-tin-thuong-mai/chitiet/1/xuat-khau-giay-dep-cua-
viet-nam-tang-truong-tot
5. Trung ng, Bc Phi
Mt s mt hng trong 8 thng qua t kim ngch kh cao th trng UAE nh: giy
dp, c t trn 52 triu USD, tng 58,4% so vi cng k nm 2013. C th c th la
chn ra 3 th trng tim nng ca 3 quc gia l : Angola (2013 GDP: $ 121,7 billion,
population: 21,47 million , thu nhp trn trung bnh), B Bin Ng ( 2013 GDP: $ 30,91
billion, population 20,32 million, thu nhp TB thp), Ai Cp (2013 GDP : $272 billion,
population : 82,06 million, Thu nhp TB thp). V ti 3 quc gia ny c thu nhp c
nh gi l khng cao nn cc mt hng giy dp ca Vit Nam c li th cnh tranh ln.
Cng vi ch s thng mi cao : Trao i thng mi gia hai nc pht trin nhanh
chng trong nhng nm gn y. Kim ngch thng mi hai chiu tng mnh t 550 triu
USD nm 2008 ln ti 2,38 t USD nm 2012, tng 82% so vi nm 2011. Nm 2012, ln
u tin, xut khu ca Vit Nam sang UAE vt mc 2 t USD, trong khi nhp khu t
UAE t 303 triu USD. 7 thng nm 2013, kim ngch xut khu ca Vit Nam sang
UAE t 2,29 t USD, nhp khu t UAE t 204 triu USD.
http://www.moit.gov.vn/vn/tin-tuc/2205/uae--thi-truong-uae-va-quan-he-hop-tac-kinh-te--
thuong-mai-voi-viet-nam.aspx
http://data.worldbank.org/country/cote-divoire (Angola, egypt)
6. Chu Phi h Sahara
3 nc c chn l: Ethiopia, Nigieria v Ghana
trong s 10 nn kinh t th gii tng trng mnh nht s c 7 i din ca chu Phi gm
Ethiopia (8,1%), Mozambique (7,7%), Tanzania (7,2%), Congo (7,0%), Ghana (7,0%),
Zambia (6,9%) v Nigeria (6,8%).
GDP ca Ghana ch trong vng mt nm s tng gp i t +5,9% (nm 2010) ln +12%
(nm 2011) nh du m. Ngn hng Th gii cn a ra con s cao hn +13,4%. Trong
khi tng trng GDP ca Ty Phi nm 2011 l 5,9% v ca ton chu lc ch t
3,7%.
Hin nay Ghana sn xut khong 80.000 thng du/ngy v s tng ln 120.000
thng/ngy t thng Tm ti. Ghana pht hin c mt s m mi v Tng thng
John Atta Mills d tnh s xy thm nh my lc du th hai, a Ghana thnh nc sn
xut du m ln th hai chu Phi sau Nigeria.
Ethiopia c mc tng trng kinh t dao ng trong khong 8,8% (nm 2010) v 12,6%
(nm 2005). Bo co ca AfDB-OECD d bo tc tng trng s ln mc 10% nm
nay, cao th hai chu Phi v cao hn nhiu so vi cc nc min ng (6,7%).
http://user.hnue.edu.vn/index.php?page=news&uid=118&news_id=615

Ph lc
Tng hp s liu t ngun ca World Bank (website: http://data.worldbank.org/country)

Tn nc
GDP (tnh theo
gi tr hin ti
ca USD)
(nm 2013)
GDP bnh qun
(USD/ngi -
nm 2013)
Dn s
(nm 2013)
Tc pht
trin (%)
(nm 2013)
Armenia $10.43 billion 3503 2.977 million 3.5
Azerbaijan $73.56 billion 7811 9.417 million 5.8
Belarus $71.71 billion 7575 9.466 million 0.9
Georgia $16.13 billion 3602 4.477 million 3.2
Kazakhstan $224.4 billion 13169 17.04 million 6.0
Kyrgystan $7.226 billion 1263 5.720 million 10.5
Moldova $7.935 billion 2229 3.559 million 8.9
Russia $2.097 trillion 14617 143.5 million 1.3
Tajikistan $8.508 billion 1036 8.208 million (non-figure)
Turmekistan $41.85 billion 7986 5.240 million 10.1
Ukraine $177.4 billion 3899 45.49 million 0.0
Uzbekistan $56.80 billion 1878 30.24 million 8.0

Tc pht trin kinh t bnh qun ca khu vc Europe & Central Asia (developing only)
l 3.6 % vo nm 2013.