Professional Documents
Culture Documents
QUN TR RI RO TI CHNH
TI: KINH T HC V TI CHNH CU TRC
H V TN
Phm Th Kim Hu
Nh Tin
Mnh Tun
Trn Th Thy Nga
V Qunh Hoa
IN THOI
0983 960 921
0164 966 7374
0973 380 244
MAIL
Ptkhue197@gmail.com
3.2.
3.3.
4. Kt qu nghin cu.................................................................................................15
4.1.
Kt qu nghin cu....................................................................................................................................15
4.2.
Tho lun...................................................................................................................................................20
1. Gii thiu
Hn mt th k trc, Nhng t chc nh l Moodys, S&P v Fitch tp trung
v phn tch mt lot cc ngnh cng nghip ti chnh v cc thng tin kinh t i n
nh gi c lp v mc tin cy ca cc thc th khc nhau, dn n m rng s ph
bin nh gia tn nhim ( AAA, AA,A, BBB ). Cho n gn y cc t chc tp trung
phn ln vic kinh doanh ca h trong nhng cng ty ti chnh n l - cc vn v
tin cy ca cng c ti chnh c th c gn r rng cho mt cng ty duy nht. Trong vi
nm tr li y, m hnh kinh doanh ca cc t chc xp hng tn dng m rng vt
qu vai tr lch s ca h bao gm c lnh vc ti chnh cu trc non tr.
Ngay t lc khi im, th trng chng khon cu trc pht trin nh l mt
th trng c xp hng, ni m ri ro cc phn khc c nh gi bi cc t chc
xp hng tn dng. Nhng nh pht hnh sn phm ti chnh cu trc ho hc mong
mun sn phm ca h s c xp hng trn cng mt thang o nh vi tri phiu
cc nh u t da trn c s xp hng c th mua cc loi chng khon ny. Bng cch
cho cc chng khon mi ny c xp hng, cc t chc pht hnh to ra mt o gic
v kh nng c th so snh vi cc chng khon n l ang lu hnh. Cch tip cn ny
n vi mt tp hp ln nhng ngi mua tim nng nhng g khc vi cc chng
khon c xp hng ny s c nhn thc nh l nhng loi chng khon phi sinh rt
phc tp.
Trong sut mt thp k qua, tt c cc loi ri ro c gp li to ra mt s
lng ln cc chng khon c nh gi AAA vi sut sinh li cnh tranh. Vo gia
nm 2007, c hn 37000 sn phm ti chnh cu trc pht hnh ch ring nc M vi
th hng cao nht (Scholtes and Beales 2007). Theo Fitch (2007), 60% ca tt c sn
phm cu trc ton cu c xp hng AAA, ngc li vi t hn 1% tri phiu doanh
nghip. Bng cch cung cp nh gi AAA cng vi sut sinh li hp dn trong giai
on li sut tng i thp, nhng sn phm ny thu ht cc nh u t trn ton th
3
3.2.
14
2 V d, trch nhim cho vay th chp c xu hng c pht hnh trong mt cu trc ba t vi im
lin kt ca 0-5 phn trm, 5-15 phn trm v 15-100 phn trm. Trch nhim th chp n tham kho mt
ch s thng c s dng trong giao dch hon i tn dng trn tri phiu doanh nghip c mt c cu
vn cht ch hn vi hai tuyn b kiu c s (0-3 phn trm, 3-7 phn trm), tuyn b cp trung (7-10
phn trm, 10-15 phn trm) v tuyn b cp cao (15-30 phn trm, 30-100 phn trm). c da trn
mt ch s th chp c chng khon ho dn c c cu trc tng t vi tuyn b c s (0-3 phn trm,
3-7 phn trm), tuyn b cp trung(7-12 phn trm, t 12-20 phn trm) v cao cp khiu ni (20-35 phn
trm, 35-100 phn trm).
15
17
18
Tho lun.
3 Th chp Jumbo c gi tr danh ngha vt qu gii hn cho vay thng thng, $ 417,000 cho mt h nh vay
2008. Ngi cho vay Sub-prime c nh ngha l nhng ngi c im tn dng FICO di 620, tn dng b hn
ch lch s, hoc mt s hnh thc khc ca s suy gim tn dng. Ngi cho vay Alt-A c im s tn dng cht
lng cho mt ph hp th chp, nhng khng c cc giy t cn thit chng minhr ng cc ti sn v thu nhp
cah c th h tr s tin vay c yu cu.
22
26
27
28
33
37