D BO PHT TRIN NGNH N NM 2020

1. Cn c d bo
nh gi qu trnh pht trin, tng trng cc dch v Bu chnh, Vin thng giai on 2006 2008.
Xu hng pht trin kinh t x hi Vit Nam thi k 2006 - 2010 v nh hng n nm 2020.
Chin lc pht trin lnh vc Bu chnh, Vin thng n 2015 v nh hng 2020.
D bo dch v Bu chnh, Vin thng tinh Vnh Phc c xy dng trn c s quy hoch pht
trin kinh t x hi tinh Vnh Phc n nm 2020 tm nhn n 2030, quy hoch cc ngnh co lin quan
v c im t nhin kinh t x hi tinh Vnh Phc.
2. Phng php d bo
D bo pht trin cc dch v Bu chnh, Vin thng c thc hin trn c s p dng cc
phng php d bo sau:
- Phng php ton hc: S dng cc phng php ton hc (i chiu vi phng php lit k)
v cc cng c d bo (phn mm d bo).
- Phng php phn tch tng hp.
- Phng php d bo theo kinh nghim ca cc chuyn gia, co iu chinh theo tc tng
trng dn s, kt cu h gia nh, t l tui lao ng, s cc c quan, t chc, n v, doanh nghip,
thu nhp bnh qun c nhn, xu hng tiu dng, hnh thc cung ng dch v...
3. D bo pht trin bu chnh
3.1. D bo xu hng pht trin Bu chnh
a. Xu hng i mi t chc ngnh Bu chnh
Theo ch trng ca Nh nc, mi thnh phn kinh t c tham gia cung cp dch v chuyn
pht.
Bu chnh hin ti c t chc thnh php nhn c lp di hnh thc Tng cng ty Bu
chnh Vit Nam, cc n v trc thuc cp di l cc Bu in tinh, thnh ph. Tng cng ty Bu chnh
Vit Nam l thnh vin trong Tp on Bu chnh Vin thng Vit Nam, kinh doanh a ngnh, trong o
Bu chnh l ngnh kinh doanh chnh, bo m cung cp cc dch v Bu chnh cng cng theo quy nh
ca php lnh Bu chnh Vin thng v cc nhim v Bu chnh cng ch khc do nh nc giao.
i mi t chc sn xut trn c s ng dng tin hc hoa v t ng hoa. Ngnh Bu chnh u
t nhiu thit b hin i, cc cn b c o to cp nht cc dy chuyn cng ngh Bu chnh
hin i, ng thi m thm mt s loi hnh dch v khc sp xp s lao ng di ra khng b tr
c trong dy chuyn sn xut. Co s phn nh r rng gia dch v cng ch v kinh doanh, va m
bo phc v cng ch va m bo sn xut kinh doanh co hiu qu.

Sau khi thnh lp, Tng cng ty Bu chnh Vit Nam tip tc c h tr kinh ph t Tp on
Bu chnh Vin thng Vit Nam. Bn cnh o, Bu chnh Vit Nam cn c php kt hp cung cp cc
dch v cng ch vi cc dch v thng mi, co th m bo thu b chi vo nm 2013. V tin ti
hot ng co li giai on cc nm sau o.
b. Xu hng pht trin th trng
Cc dch v Bu chnh truyn thng s co tc pht trin chm li, doanh thu ca cc dch v
truyn thng s chi chim mt ti l nh trong doanh thu Bu chnh do ngi tiu dng co nhiu phng
thc, dch v khc thay th.
Cng ngh thng tin v cng ngh t ng hoa cho php pht trin nhiu dch v Bu chnh mi.
Cc dch v Bu chnh ti chnh s pht trin mnh chim ti trng doanh thu ln trong Bu chnh. Cc
dch v chuyn pht nhanh, chuyn tin co tc tng trng nhanh.
Th trng Bu chnh s co nhiu doanh nghip nh, doanh nghip trong v ngoi nc c
cp php cung cp dch v.
Cc doanh nghip Bu chnh trong nc s vn ra th trng cc nc trong khu vc v trn
th gii cng vi mi trng hi nhp m Vit Nam ang tham gia. Mi trng php l v Bu chnh
trong nc ngy cng minh bch v hon thin hn, thun li cho vic m rng v pht trin ca cc
doanh nghip.
Cc doanh nghip bu chnh s l tng i l cho cc doanh nghip vin thng trong vic cung
cp cc dch v vin thng nh: bn sn phm vin thng (the tr trc cc loi), thit b vin thng,
cng ngh thng tin; chp nhn hp ng lp t thu bao in thoi c nh v di ng; thu cc vin
thng; in n cc thng tin chi tit cc thng qua dch v Datapost, v c bit l tham gia cung cp
cc dch v vin thng gi tr gia tng.
c. Xu hng m ca th trng, hi nhp kinh t quc t
Cc doanh nghip kinh doanh trong lnh vc Bu chnh hin nay thng thiu kinh nghim v
cng ngh cao, c bit l trong lnh vc qun l so vi cc doanh nghip nc ngoi. V vy nng
cao cht lng dch v, tng tnh cnh tranh trn th trng to ra s i mi nhiu mt cc doanh
nghip Vit Nam trong kinh doanh th hi nhp l xu hng tt yu. Xu hng m ca th trng s gip
cho th trng Bu chnh y tim nng pht trin mnh hn.
Trong qu trnh m phn gia nhp t chc thng mi th gii (WTO), Vit Nam phi xy dng
l trnh m ca th trng dich v Bu chnh. Tuy nhin dch v Bu chnh cng cng vn do Bu chnh
Vit Nam thc hin. Ch yu l m ca th trng chuyn pht tin, chuyn pht nhanh, th v bu
phm bu kin.
to iu kin thc y lnh vc chuyn pht, nhm mc ch pht trin kinh t v nng cao
hiu qu lnh vc Bu chnh, xu hng chung l m ca mt phn th trng Bu chnh, cc thnh phn
kinh t trong v ngoi nc k c hnh thc 100% vn nc ngoi v hnh thc u t nc ngoi
chuyn giao cng ngh cao c khuyn khch tham gia pht trin th trng Bu chnh.
Trong giai on ti cc doanh nghip d l trong hay ngoi nc sau khi tham gia th trng s
phi cung cp cc dch v bo m cht lng, tn dng c mng li Bu chnh v cung cp thm
cc dch v mi cht lng cao.
d. Xu hng pht trin dch v mi

Vi s ra i ca Tng cng ty Bu chnh Vit Nam, th ngoi cc dch v bu chnh truyn

thng, Tng cng ty cn c php kinh doanh nhiu dch v khc vi hnh thc a ngnh ngh kinh
doanh c th hin trong giy php ng k kinh doanh ca Tng cng ty Bu chnh Vit Nam. Bn
cnh o, Bu chnh Vit Nam s tip tc pht trin mnh cc dch v ti chnh nh: thnh lp Ngn hng
C phn Bu chnh Vin thng; trin khai kinh doanh dch v tr lng qua ti khon, tr lng hu, dch
v thanh ton qua mng, dch v nh thu, pht cho cc doanh nghip cung ng dch v (thu tin in,
nc, bo him nhn th).
Cng ngh thng tin to iu kin cho Bu chnh khai thc cc dch v thng mi in t (E Commerce) nh bn hng qua Bu chnh, Bu chnh o, Bu chnh in t (E - Posts),v.v..., cht lng
dch v ngy cng cao p ng nhu cu mi i tng khch hng: Direct Mail (th trc tip); Logistics
(kho vn); Mua hng qua Bu in - thng mi in t. Cc dch v Bu chnh truyn thng nh dch
v bu phm, bu kin trc nay vn l dch v ch yu ca Bu chnh song hin ang b nhiu phng
thc thng tin khc thay th.
Trong cc nhom dch v: Dch v bu chnh truyn thng, dch v ti chnh, dch v lai ghp. Chi
co nhom dch v truyn thng vi nhng dch v bu phm, bu kin, th thng, pht hnh bo ch
(bo ng) l nhng dch v mang tnh cng ch. Cn li cc dch v khc mang tnh thng mi.
Ngoi vic kinh doanh cc dch v mi lin quan n bu chnh th lnh vc vn phng cho thu ang l
mt lnh vc to ngun thu rt ln cho Bu chnh. Ngnh bu chnh cn co gii php ng b v trin
khai nhanh cc d n xy dng cao c vn phng lm vic kt hp vi vic cho thu. Co nh vy, Bu
chnh Vit Nam mi co kh nng rt ngn thi gian gim cp b ca Nh nc cho lnh vc bu chnh
cng ch, tin ti m bo thu b chi trong thi gian sm nht.
e. Xu hng ng dng khoa hc cng ngh
Cng ngh thng tin: Cng ngh thng tin pht trin to ra rt nhiu phn mm cho Bu
chnh trong qun l, khai thc v lu tr s liu. Cc my tnh co tc x l cao c ni vi nhau
thng qua mng Internet gip cho vic truyn a tin tc hiu qu v nhanh chong cho php ng dng
trong vic truy tm hay nh v cc sn phm Bu chnh t o to iu kin cho vic hon thin cht
lng cc dch v vn co v pht trin cc dch v Bu chnh mi nh Datapost, Letter to mail hay Mail
to letter, E - post,v.v...
T ng ho: Xu hng t ng hoa din ra mnh m trn th gii trong nhiu nm qua trong
nhiu lnh vc cng co tc dng to ln trong cng ngh khai thc, chia chn cc sn phm Bu chnh
nhm gim thiu ti a thi gian hon thnh cng vic. Gim sc lao ng ca con ngi nng cao nng
sut lao ng cng nh cht lng dch v. Mt s thit b Bu chnh hin i c ng dng mt
s nc trn th gii co th k n nh: cn in t, my in tem, my bn bu thip, tem t ng, my
chp nhn bu phm t ng, bng chuyn hng cc loi. Vic ng dng cc thit b ny trong tng lai
l mt xu hng tt yu trong Bu chnh hin i.
3.2. D bo dch v bu chnh
Nhm dch v bu chnh truyn thng:
- Dch v bu phm (ghi s, thng, trong nc v quc t), bu kin: tc tng trng bnh
qun 12-15%/nm.
- Dch v chuyn tin, chuyn tin nhanh in hoa v dch v tit kim bu in s vp phi s
cnh tranh rt ln t cc dch v khc, t cc doanh nghip ti chnh. Tc tng trng bnh qun 10
15%/nm.

- Dch v pht hnh bo ch: dch v ny s co tc pht trin gim dn do b thay th bi cc

loi hnh bo in t, bo mng. Tc pht trin 7 12%/nm.
- Dch v chuyn pht nhanh: pht trin mnh, bnh qun 20 30%/nm.
Nhm cc dch v mi:
- Dch v datapost: Trin khai cung cp dch v sau nm 2012, tc pht trin 20-40%/nm.
- Dch v thu h, chi h cho cc doanh nghip, d bo mc tng trng 10 20%/nm.
- Dch v Ti chnh Bu chnh, d bo mc tng trng 10 15%/nm.
- Dch v bu chnh in t: cung cp dch v giai on 2012 2020; . tc pht trin bnh
qun 40 - 50%/nm.
- Dch v khc (bn hng, siu th, cung cp sn phm bu chnh):tng trng bnh qun 20
40%/nm.
(Chi tit d bao dich vu bu chinh xem tai phu luc phn d bao).
4. D bo pht trin Vin thng
4.1. D bo xu hng pht trin Vin thng
a. Xu hng pht trin th trng
Cc dch v truyn thng nh in thoi c nh, in thoi di ng, truyn s liu, truy cp
Internet vn tip tc tng trng cao; trong giai on ti cc dch v ny s pht trin mnh ti khu vc
nng thn do khu vc thnh ph, th x pht trin gn t ti mc bo ha.
Th trng thng tin di ng pht trin mnh: nhiu doanh nghip tham gia cung cp dch v, cc
doanh nghip cnh tranh mnh thu ht khch hng, c bit l cc khch hng khu vc nng thn
bng cc dch v gi thp v cc chnh sch khuyn mi.
Th trng dch v in thoi c nh: pht trin mnh ti khu vc nng thn. Thu bao c nhn,
h gia nh gim tc tng trng, thay vo o l s tng trng mnh ca cc thu bao kinh doanh,
thu bao khi doanh nghip
Th trng dch v Internet: dch v bng rng v truy nhp mng qua cc thit b di ng tng
nhanh, dch v truy nhp Internet bng cp quang n thu bao pht trin mnh (FTTx: FTTH, FTTB).
Th trng cc dch v mi: truyn hnh cp v truy nhp mng qua h thng truyn hnh cp,
dch v truy nhp khng dy bng rng, IPTV (truyn hnh trn internet), VoD (Video theo yu
cu)...
b. Xu hng m ca th trng hi nhp quc t
Th trng Vin thng s l th trng t do, cc doanh nghip trong nc v ngoi nc hon
ton t do cnh tranh trn th trng.

M ca th trng co tc ng tt nh lm gim gi cc, thu ht ng s ngi s dng nhng

cng lm nh hng n an ninh thng tin lin lc, ph cp dch v v co th loi nhiu doanh nghip
trong nc ra khi th trng.
Xy dng v thit lp mng vn do cc doanh nghip trong nc thc hin, cung cp v bn li
dch v s khng hn ch cc doanh nghip nc ngoi.
Doanh nghip nc ngoi tham gia th trng di hnh thc u t vn vo cc doanh nghip
c phn; hoc hp tc vi cc cng ty theo hnh thc lin doanh.
c. Xu hng pht trin cng ngh
Mng vin thng pht trin theo xu hng hi t: hi t cng ngh, tch hp a dch v (mng
PSTN v mng s liu pht trin hi t v mng NGN)
Thng tin di ng pht trin ln cng ngh 3G, 4G....Pht trin theo hng ng dng cng ngh
truy nhp v tuyn bng rng, cung cp dch v cho cc thit b vin thng v tin hc.
Mng ngoi vi pht trin theo hng cp quang hoa, cp quang thay th cp ng, thc hi n
cp
quang hoa n thu bao, cm thu bao; p ng nhu cu s dng cc dch v bng r ng ca ngi dn.
Mng Internet pht trin theo hng hi t, cung cp a dch v: cung cp dch v pht thanh,
truyn hnh (IPTV), bo ch (E-papers)
Cng ngh chuyn mch: cng ngh chuyn mch knh (TDM) c thay th bi chuyn mch
IP hi t v mng NGN. Trong tng lai, s co nhng gii php chuyn mch mm c xy dng
gn trn thit b phn cng vi hiu sut cao. Chuyn mch quang s ngy cng c s dng rng ri
hn.
Cng ngh truyn dn ch yu s da trn truyn dn quang vi cc cng ngh SDH, SONET,
Ring (mng vng). Thng tin quang tc cao vi cc cng ngh ghp knh phn chia theo bc song
WDM, DWDM s c p dng rng ri.
Cng ngh truy nhp s nhanh chong trin khai s dng cc thit b u cui thng minh. Trong
truy nhp s liu, bng thng rng ADSL s l gii php trc mt v s dn c nng cp ln cc
cng ngh tin tin hn nh xDSL. Khi mng NGN pht trin, cc chc nng ca DSLAM s c cc
th h chuyn mch mm hoc cc gii php BDSL m nhim.
Cng ngh mng Internet tp trung vo cc ng dng cng ngh IPv6 v IP/MPLS.
Cng ngh truy cp khng dy bng rng Wifi v Wimax s pht trin mnh, cng ngh Wimax
co th s thay th c dch v in thoi di ng v Internet truyn thng. Truy cp qua v tinh s tr nn
ph bin sau khi Vit Nam co v tinh Vin thng.
d. Xu hng hi t
Cng vi s pht trin ca cng ngh, xu th hi t trong lnh vc thng tin v truyn thng ang
din ra ngy cng mnh m. Trong xu th hi t, ranh gii gia cng ngh thng tin, vin thng v truyn
thng ngy cng m nht. Thi k ca mi mng mt dch v, mt thit b u cui v ang qua i v
c thay th nhanh chong bng m hnh mt mng co th cung cp nhiu dch v trn c s mt thit
b u cui thng minh.
Hi t cng ngh

Xu th hi t v cng ngh hin nay o l cc nh cung cp dch v trn th gii co th tch hp

cc ng dng d liu, thoi v video theo giao thc IP mi trn mt c s h tng bng rng n nht
nhm nng cao li nhun kinh doanh.
Ranh gii gia cng ngh thng tin, vin thng v truyn thng m nht dn, mt thit b co th
kim chc nng ca nhiu lnh vc: in thoi di ng co th xem truyn hnh, kt ni Internet, gi nhn
email; my tnh co th xem tivi v gi in VoIP...
S hi t cng ngh s tip tc lan rng v nh hng mnh n cc lnh vc gii tr nh in
nh, pht thanh, truyn hnh. Nn tng IP, s pht trin ca cc cng ngh truy cp bng rng t ra yu
cu v cng l ng lc cc nh cng ngh tm ra gii php hiu qu nht tn dng cc h thng
mng mang n cho ngi xem nhng sn phm gii tr cht lng v tin li. IPTV - truyn hnh qua
giao thc Internet l mt trong nhng v d r nt ca xu hng ny.
Hi t mng li
Hi t mng s to ra mt mng hi t l mc tiu m rt nhiu cc nh cung cp dch v v
ang theo ui thng qua nhng n lc nhm gim s lng cc h thng mng chuyn bit cho mt
dch v no o hoc gim cc lp trong mt h thng mng. Mt m hnh Nhiu dch v, mt h thng
mng, trong o mt h thng mng n nht co th h tr tt c cc dch v hin ti cng nh nhng
dch v mi, s gim mnh tng chi ph s hu cho cc nh cung cp dch v.
Xu th hi t v mng li s pht trin theo cc xu th hi t sau y:
+ Hi t gia mng vin thng c nh PSTN v mng truyn s liu;
+ Xu th hi t gia cc mng vin thng, pht thanh, truyn hnh, v Internet s tr nn ngy
cng r nt hn. Trn mng vin thng, co th cung cp cc dch v truyn hnh, pht thanh. Trn mng
cp truyn hnh co th cung cp dch v Internet...;
+ Hi t gia mng in thoi c nh (PSTN) vi mng di ng;
Hi t dch v
Xu th hi t v dch v s pht trin theo cc xu th: Cc dch v mi ph hp vi xu hng hi
t cng ngh vin thng, cng ngh thng tin, pht thanh truyn hnh v xu hng hi t gia c nh vi
di ng nh Internet bng rng, thng tin di ng th h mi, dch v gi tr gia tng s pht trin
mnh.
Mt dch v sn sng trong vn phng co th sn sng qua mng LAN khng dy, qua mt kt
ni bng rng hay mt mng di ng. Tt c nhng mng kt ni ny co th chuyn giao dch v v trng
thi kt ni mt cch r rng khi ngi s dng chuyn dch qua li gia cc h thng mng, s dng
nhng phng tin hiu qu nht v hp l nht v chi ph co th. M hnh Dch v linh hot ny to ra
mt mi quan h gn bo hn gia nh cung cp dch v v ngi dng cui v co th gip nng cao kh
nng li vi nh cung cp dch v ca ngi s dng.
4.2. D bo dch v Vin thng
a. in thoi c nh
Bng 4: D bo thu bao in thoi c nh tinh Vnh Phc

S thu bao

D bo

Mt

in thoi c nh

Dn s

(thu bao/100 dn)

2010

275.000

1.012.000

27,0

15%

2011

305.000

1.032.240

29,5

11%

2012

325.000

1.055.982

30,8

7%

2013

350.000

1.080.269

32,4

8%

2014

375.000

1.102.955

34,0

7%

2015

400.000

1.125.014

35,0

7%

2016

420.000

1.146.389

36,6

5%

2017

440.000

1.167.024

37,7

5%

2018

455.000

1.186.864

38,3

3%

2019

470.000

1.205.853

39,0

3%

2020

485.000

1.225.147

39,0

3%

Nm

Tc tng
trng

S li u d bao dn s da trn d thao Quy hoach KTXH tinh Vinh Phuc n nm 2020
va tm nhin n 2030;
D bao dn s co tinh n ty l tng dn s c hoc;

Theo d bo n nm 2010, tng s thu bao in thoi c nh trn a bn tinh Vnh Phc t
khong 275.000 thu bao, mt 27,0 (thu bao/100 dn).

n nm 2015, tng s thu bao t khong 400.000 thu bao, mt 35,0 (thu bao/100 dn).
Nm 2020, t khong 485.000 thu bao, mt 39 (thu bao/100 dn).
Bng 5: Biu d bo pht trin thu bao in thoi c nh tinh Vnh Phc

D bo in thoi c nh n cp huyn: ly tc pht trin chung ca tinh, i vi khu vc

cc huyn khu vc 3 nhn vi h s 1,3; cc huyn khu vc 2 nhn vi h s 1,2 ( Theo khuyn cao cua
ITU). Cho kt qu nh sau:
Bng 6: Kt qu d bo thu bao in thoi c nh theo huyn, th

TT

n v hnh chnh

TP. Vnh Yn

2010

2015

2020

50.000

80.000

90.000

TT

n v hnh chnh

2010

2015

2020

TX. Phc Yn

40.000

55.000

70.000

Huyn Lp Thch

25.000

35.000

40.000

Huyn Tam Dng

20.000

30.000

40.000

Huyn Tam o

20.000

28.000

38.000

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

35.000

50.000

60.000

Huyn Yn Lc

25.000

40.000

50.000

Huyn Vnh Tng

40.000

55.000

65.000

Huyn Sng L

20.000

27.000

32.000

275.000

400.000

485.000

Ton tinh

(Chi tit giai trinh kt qua d bao thu bao i n thoai c inh xem tai phu luc phn d bao).
b. in thoi di ng
Bng 7: D bo thu bao in thoi di ng tinh Vnh Phc

S thu bao

D bo

Mt

Tc

in thoi di ng

Dn s

(thu bao/100 dn)

tng trng

2010

970.000

1.012.000

96,0

14%

2011

1.060.000

1.032.240

102,7

9%

Nm

2012

1.130.000

1.055.982

107,0

7%

2013

1.180.000

1.080.269

109,2

4%

2014

1.230.000

1.102.955

111,5

4%

2015

1.270.000

1.125.014

113,0

3%

2016

1.320.000

1.146.389

115,1

4%

2017

1.370.000

1.167.024

117,4

4%

2018

1.430.000

1.186.864

120,5

4%

2019

1.500.000

1.205.853

124,4

5%

2020

1.570.000

1.225.147

128,0

5%

S li u d bao dn s da trn d thao Quy hoach KTXH tinh Vinh Phuc n nm 2020
va tm nhin n 2030;
D bao dn s co tinh n ty l tng dn s c hoc;

Theo d bo n nm 2010, tng s thu bao in thoi di ng trn a bn tinh Vnh Phc t
khong 970.000 thu bao, mt 96,0 (thu bao/100 dn).
n nm 2015, tng s thu bao t khong 1.270.000 thu bao, mt 113,0 (thu bao/100 dn).
Nm 2020, t khong 1.570.000 thu bao, mt 128,0 (thu bao/100 dn).
Bng 8: Biu d bo pht trin thu bao in thoi di ng tinh Vnh Phc

Bng 8: D bo thu bao in thoi di ng theo huyn, th

TT

n v hnh chnh

2010

2015

2020

TP. Vnh Yn

120.000

190.000

230.000

TX. Phc Yn

105.000

160.000

180.000

Huyn Lp Thch

95.000

115.000

150.000

Huyn Tam Dng

80.000

100.000

130.000

Huyn Tam o

60.000

75.000

100.000

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

130.000

160.000

200.000

Huyn Yn Lc

130.000

170.000

200.000

Huyn Vnh Tng

190.000

220.000

250.000

Huyn Sng L

60.000

80.000

130.000

970.000

1.270.000

1.570.000

Ton tinh

(Chi tit giai trinh kt qua d bao thu bao i n thoai di ng xem tai phu luc phn d bao).
c. Internet
Bng 9: D bo thu bao Internet tinh Vnh Phc

Tng s
Nm

D bo

Mt

Dn s

(thu bao/100 dn)

thu bao
Internet

Mt dn s
s dng
Internet
(%)

Tc

pht
tri
n

2010

27.000

1.012.000

2,7

30%

65%

2011

45.000

1.032.240

4,4

38%

52%

2012

70.000

1.055.982

6,6

42%

40%

2013

95.000

1.080.269

8,8

46%

36%

2014

120.000

1.102.955

10,9

50%

26%

2015

150.000

1.125.014

13,0

55%

25%

Tng s
Nm

D bo

Mt

Dn s

(thu bao/100 dn)

thu bao
Internet

Mt dn s
s dng
Internet
(%)

Tc

pht
tri
n

2016

180.000

1.146.389

15,7

64%

20%

2017

210.000

1.167.024

18,0

67%

17%

2018

235.000

1.186.864

19,8

70%

12%

2019

260.000

1.205.853

21,6

76%

11%

2020

280.000

1.225.147

23,0

80%

8%

S li u d bao dn s da trn d thao Quy hoach KTXH tinh Vinh Phuc n nm 2020
va tm nhin n 2030;
D bao dn s co tinh n ty l tng dn s c hoc;

Theo d bo n nm 2010, tng s thu bao Internet trn a bn tinh Vnh Phc t khong 27.000
thu bao, mt 2,7 (thu bao/100 dn).
n nm 2015, tng s thu bao t khong 150.000 thu bao, mt 13,0 (thu bao/100 dn). Nm
2020, t khong 280.000 thu bao, mt 23,0 (thu bao/100 dn).
Bng 11: Biu d bo t l dn s s dng Internet tinh Vnh Phc

Bng 10: D bo thu bao Internet theo huyn, th

TT

n v hnh chnh

2010

2015

2020

TP. Vnh Yn

7.000

40.000

65.000

TX. Phc Yn

5.000

22.000

45.000

Huyn Lp Thch

1.500

8.000

15.000

Huyn Tam Dng

2.500

15.000

30.000

Huyn Tam o

1.000

10.000

20.000

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

4.000

20.000

35.000

Huyn Yn Lc

2.000

14.000

25.000

Huyn Vnh Tng

3.000

15.000

30.000

Huyn Sng L

Ton tinh

1.000

6.000

15.000

27.000

150.000

280.000

(Chi tit giai trinh kt qua d bao thu bao Internet xem tai phu luc phn d bao).
5. D bo lu lng Vin thng
a. in thoi c nh
- Khu vc co lu lng cao: Thnh ph Vnh Yn; Khu vc phng Hng Vng, Trng Trc,
Trng Nh, Phc Thng, Xun Ha, x Ngc Thanh (th x Phc Yn); khu vc th trn Hng Canh, x
B Hin, Thin K (huyn Bnh Xuyn). Mt lu lng: 0,11 Erl/thu bao.
- Khu vc co lu lng trung bnh: Khu vc th trn trung tm cc huy n
(th trn Tam o, th
trn Hp Ha, th trn Vnh Tng); Khu vc x Cao Minh, Nam Vim, Tin Chu (th x Phc Yn).
Mt lu lng: 0,07 Erl/thu bao.
- Khu vc co lu lng thp: Khu vc cc x trn a bn cc huy n Tam o, Lp Thch, Sng
L Mt lu lng: 0,04 Erl/thu bao.
C th d bo lu lng cho tng huyn, th nh sau:
Bng 11: D bo lu lng in thoi c nh trn a bn tinh Vnh Phc

STT

n v hnh chnh

S
thu
bao d
bo
n
2010

D bo
lu
lng
n
2010
(Erlang
)

S
thu
bao d
bo
n
2015

D bo
lu
lng
n
2015
(Erlang
)

S
thu
bao d
bo
n
2020

D bo
lu
lng
n
2020
(Erlang
)

TP. Vnh Yn

50.000

5.500

80.000

9.600

90.000

11.250

TX. Phc Yn

40.000

3.600

55.000

6.050

70.000

8.050

Huyn Lp Thch

25.000

1.125

35.000

2.100

40.000

2.600

Huyn Tam Dng

20.000

1.300

30.000

2.400

40.000

3.400

STT

n v hnh chnh

S
thu
bao d
bo
n
2010

D bo
lu
lng
n
2010
(Erlang
)

S
thu
bao d
bo
n
2015

D bo
lu
lng
n
2015
(Erlang
)

S
thu
bao d
bo
n
2020

D bo
lu
lng
n
2020
(Erlang
)

Huyn Tam o

20.000

1.100

28.000

1.960

38.000

2.850

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

35.000

2.450

50.000

4.250

60.000

5.700

Huyn Yn Lc

25.000

1.250

40.000

2.600

50.000

3.500

Huyn Vnh Tng

40.000

2.200

55.000

3.850

65.000

5.200

Huyn Sng L

20.000

900

27.000

1.485

32.000

1.920

Ton Tinh

275.000

19.425

400.000

34.295

485.000

44.470

Bng 12: D bo phn b lu lng

STT

n v hnh chnh

Nm 2010

Nm 2015

Nm
2020

Lu lng ni ht, ni tinh (Erlang)

16.123

28.465

36.910

Lu lng lin tinh (Erlang)

2.914

5.144

6.671

Lu lng quc t (Erlang)

389

686

889

19.425

34.295

44.470

Ton Tinh

Xc nh dung lng truyn dn cho dch v thoi:

T l phn b lu lng:
-

Lu lng ni ht ni tinh: 75 80 %

Lu lng lin tinh (ng di): 15 20%

(Ngun: T p oan Bu chinh Vin thng Vi t Nam; S li u d an JICA).

Bng 13: Dung lng truyn dn cho dch v thoi

ST
T

n v hnh
chnh

Tng
s
thu
bao
n
nm
2010

S
lun
g E1
ni
ht ni
tinh

S
lun
g E1
lin
tinh

Tng
s
thu
bao
n
nm
2015

S
lun
g E1
ni
ht ni
tinh

S
lun
g E1
lin
tinh

Tng
s
thu
bao
n
nm
2020

S
lun
g E1
ni
ht ni
tinh

S
lun
g E1
lin
tinh

Thnh ph Vnh
Yn

50.000

117

39

80.000

175

75

90.000

197

84

Th x Phc Yn

40.000

94

31

55.000

120

52

70.000

153

66

Huyn Lp Thch

25.000

63

16

35.000

82

27

40.000

94

31

Huyn Tam
Dng

20.000

50

13

30.000

70

23

40.000

94

31

Huyn Tam o

20.000

50

13

28.000

66

22

38.000

89

30

Huyn Bnh
Xuyn

35.000

82

27

50.000

109

47

60.000

131

56

Huyn Yn Lc

25.000

63

16

40.000

94

31

50.000

117

39

Huyn Vnh

40.000

94

31

55.000

120

52

65.000

142

61

Tng

Huyn Sng L

Ton tinh

20.000

50

13

27.000

68

17

32.000

80

20

275.00
0

662

198

400.00
0

904

346

485.00
0

1.09
7

418

b. in thoi di ng
- Khu vc co lu lng cao: Thnh ph Vnh Yn; Khu vc phng Hng Vng, Trng Trc,
Trng Nh, Phc Thng, Xun Ha, x Ngc Thanh (th x Phc Yn); khu vc th trn Hng Canh, x
B Hin, Thin K (huyn Bnh Xuyn). Mt lu lng: 50 mErlang/thu bao.
- Khu vc co lu lng trung bnh: Khu vc th trn trung tm cc huy n (th trn Tam o, th
trn Hp Ha, th trn Vnh Tng); Khu vc x Cao Minh, Nam Vim, Tin Chu (th x Phc Yn).
Mt lu lng: 35 mErlang/thu bao.
- Khu vc co lu lng thp: Khu vc cc x trn a bn cc huy n
Tam o, Lp Thch, Sng
L. Mt lu lng: 25 mErlang/thu bao.
C th d bo lu lng trn tng khu vc nh sau:
Bng 14: D bo lu lng mng thng tin di ng trn a bn tinh Vnh Phc

ST
T

n v hnh chnh

Tng
s
thu
bao
n
nm
2010

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2010
(Erlang
)

Tng s
thu bao
n nm
2015

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2015
(Erlang
)

Tng s
thu bao
n nm
2020

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2020
(Erlang
)

Thnh ph Vnh Yn

120.00
0

6.000

190.000

10.450

230.000

13.800

Th x Phc Yn

105.00
0

4.725

160.000

8.000

180.000

9.900

Huyn Lp Thch

95.000

2.850

115.000

4.025

150.000

5.250

ST
T

n v hnh chnh

Tng
s
thu
bao
n
nm
2010

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2010
(Erlang
)

Tng s
thu bao
n nm
2015

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2015
(Erlang
)

Tng s
thu bao
n nm
2020

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2020
(Erlang
)

Huyn Tam Dng

80.000

2.800

100.000

4.000

130.000

5.850

Huyn Tam o

60.000

1.800

75.000

2.625

100.000

4.000

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

130.00
0

5.200

160.000

7.200

200.000

10.000

Huyn Yn Lc

130.00
0

3.900

170.000

5.950

200.000

8.000

Huyn Vnh Tng

190.00
0

6.650

220.000

8.800

250.000

11.250

Huyn Sng L

60.000

1.800

80.000

2.800

130.000

4.550

Ton tinh

970.00
0

35.725

1.270.00
0

53.850

1.570.00
0

72.600

Bng 15: Dung lng truyn dn dch v thng tin di ng

ST
T

n v hnh chnh

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2010

Thnh ph Vnh Yn

6.000

Dung
lng
truyn
dn

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2015

Dung
lng
truyn
dn

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2020

Dung
lng
truyn
dn

369

10.450

573

13.800

649

ST
T

n v hnh chnh

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2010

Dung
lng
truyn
dn

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2015

Dung
lng
truyn
dn

D bo
lu
lng
n
nm
2020

Dung
lng
truyn
dn

Th x Phc Yn

4.725

291

8.000

438

9.900

466

Huyn Lp Thch

2.850

175

4.025

221

5.250

247

Huyn Tam Dng

2.800

172

4.000

219

5.850

275

Huyn Tam o

1.800

111

2.625

144

4.000

188

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

5.200

320

7.200

395

10.000

471

Huyn Yn Lc

3.900

240

5.950

326

8.000

376

Huyn Vnh Tng

6.650

409

8.800

482

11.250

529

Huyn Sng L

1.800

111

2.800

153

4.550

214

Ton tinh

35.725

2.198

53.850

2.951

72.600

3.416

c. Internet v cc dch v bng rng

Xc nh dung lng truyn dn:
Bng 16: Dung lng truyn dn cho dch v Internet v dch v bng rng

ST
T

n v hnh chnh

Tng s
thu bao
Internet
n nm
2010

Dung
lng
truyn
dn
tng
thm
n
nm
2010

Tng s
thu
bao
Internet
n
nm
2015

(GE)

Dung
lng
truyn
dn
tng
thm
n
nm
2015

Tng s
thu
bao
Internet
n
nm
2020

(GE)

Dung
lng
truyn
dn
tng
thm
n
nm
2020
(GE)

Thnh ph Vnh Yn

7.000

10

40.000

20

65.000

40

Th x Phc Yn

5.000

22.000

10

45.000

25

Huyn Lp Thch

1.500

8.000

15.000

10

Huyn Tam Dng

2.500

15.000

30.000

10

Huyn Tam o

1.000

10.000

20.000

10

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

4.000

20.000

35.000

15

Huyn Yn Lc

2.000

14.000

25.000

15

Huyn Vnh Tng

3.000

15.000

10

30.000

20

Huyn Sng L

1.000

6.000

15.000

10

Ton tinh

27.000

36

150.000

71

280.000

155

Ngoi p ng nhu cu phc v lu lng cho dch v Internet hin ti, dung lng trn cn
phc v cho nhu cu pht trin cc dch v bng rng khc, d phng dung lng pht trin trong giai
on sau v kt ni ti mng ng trc

d. Tng hp lu lng truyn dn ti cc nut chuyn mch chnh

Bng 17: Tng hp d bo phn b lu lng theo tng huyn, th

STT

Ton tinh

Bng 18: Tng hp phn b lu lng theo huyn, th

STT

Dung lng
truyn dn tng
thm n

Dung lng
truyn dn tng
thm n

nm 2010

nm 2015

(GE Gbp/s)

(GE Gbp/s)

n v hnh chnh

Dung
lng
truyn
dn tng
thm
n
nm
2020
(GE
Gbp/s)

Thnh ph Vnh Yn

11

21

42

Th x Phc Yn

11

27

Huyn Lp Thch

2,5

4,5

10,5

Huyn Tam Dng

2,5

5,5

10,5

Huyn Tam o

3,5

5,5

10,5

Huyn Bnh Xuyn

10

17

Huyn Yn Lc

3,5

16

Huyn Vnh Tng

5,5

11

21

Huyn Sng L

2,5

3,5

10,5

Ton tinh

42

79

165

(Chi tit giai trinh kt qua d bao lu lng xem tai phu luc phn d bao).