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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Wisconsin
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

1501 Registered Voters


March 29 - April 1, 2016

3.7%

1. How concerned are you about the direction of the nations economy in the next few years?
Very concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
Somewhat concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Not too concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Not at all concerned . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Wisconsin?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .80%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Wisconsin Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%


John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Wisconsin Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47%


Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%

6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

7. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%


Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

8. Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been
getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Better
22%
32%
27%

Same
28%
40%
47%

Worse
49%
28%
26%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
9. When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ive usually been interested in Republican primaries, no matter who was running
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69%
Im more interested in this years primary than before, because [First Choice
Candidate Name] is running . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%

10. If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

The most consistent conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%


The strongest leader . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
The most likely to shake up the political system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
The most experienced on policy issues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%

11. If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans
do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Try to stop him from being nominated at the convention this summer . . . . 52%
Get behind him and try to win in November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

12. For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or
not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Honest and Trustworthy


42%
61%
69%

NOT Honest and


Trustworthy
58%
39%
31%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
13. Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Terrorism
Changing the
political system
Immigration
Foreign policy
Looking out for
people like you
Bringing back jobs
Defeating Hillary
Clinton in November
Trade policy

Donald Trump
44%

Ted Cruz
39%

John Kasich
17%

57%
51%
32%

32%
34%
42%

11%
15%
26%

31%
48%

40%
31%

29%
21%

42%
45%

39%
37%

19%
18%

14. Does Scott Walkers endorsement of a candidate make you:


Asked of Republican primary voters

More likely to support Walkers choice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%


Less likely to support Walkers choice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Walkers endorsement does not matter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%

15. Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have
sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Yes
88%
62%
33%

No
12%
38%
67%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
16. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

Enthusiastic
23%
26%
16%

Satisfied
29%
42%
49%

Dissatisfied
18%
18%
23%

Upset
30%
14%
12%

17. Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of
Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Favor, it would help keep Americans safer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79%


Oppose, it would violate civil liberties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21%

18. Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

19. Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you
say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Almost always voted for Republicans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%


Usually voted for Republicans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Split about evenly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Usually voted for Democrats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Almost always voted for Democrats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
20. What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates wives in the Republican
campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

These topics are just part of a tough campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%


These topics are inappropriate in a Presidential campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .71%
Havent noticed either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

21. How likely do you think it is that Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic nomination?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Very likely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Somewhat likely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
Not too likely, but I am backing him anyway . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32%

22. How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Very well
59%
51%

Fairly well
36%
39%

Not very well yet


5%
10%

23. If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Prepared
82%
64%

Not prepared
13%
16%

Not sure
5%
20%

24. Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
25. Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

26. Should the next president...?


Asked of Democratic primary voters

Generally continue Barack Obamas policies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%


Change to more progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Change to less progressive policies than Barack Obama . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

27. Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Creates U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%


Takes away U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

28. Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been
getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders

Better
28%
47%

Same
56%
47%

Worse
16%
6%

29. Do you think Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders should have more debates, or have there
been enough debates already?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

They should have more debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%


There have been enough debates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .67%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
30. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%

31. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

32. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

33. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?


Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%

34. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
35. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%

36. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?


White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

37. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin
1. Direction of the Economy
How concerned are you about the direction of the nations economy in the next few years?
Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

63%
31%
5%
1%

63%
30%
5%
2%

63%
32%
5%
0%

47%
45%
7%
1%

52%
42%
3%
2%

69%
25%
5%
0%

70%
25%
5%
0%

63%
32%
5%
1%

69%
22%
9%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,501)

(710)

(791)

(210)

(297)

(666)

(328)

(1,352)

(78)

(27)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Wisconsin?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

80%
9%
3%
2%
0%
5%
1%

82%
6%
2%
2%
0%
6%
1%

79%
11%
4%
2%
0%
4%
1%

68%
15%
4%
4%
0%
7%
2%

78%
12%
4%
2%
0%
3%
2%

82%
7%
3%
2%
0%
4%
1%

87%
4%
2%
0%
0%
7%
0%

80%
9%
3%
2%
0%
5%
1%

80%
9%
3%
5%
0%
2%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,501)

(710)

(791)

(210)

(297)

(666)

(328)

(1,352)

(78)

(27)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

3. 2016 Primary Turnout


In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
48%
2%
9%

36%
55%
2%
7%

45%
41%
3%
11%

52%
31%
3%
14%

40%
46%
2%
12%

40%
49%
3%
8%

35%
57%
2%
7%

39%
50%
3%
9%

83%
3%
2%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,501)

(710)

(791)

(210)

(297)

(666)

(328)

(1,352)

(78)

(27)

(44)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

4. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Wisconsin Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

43%
18%
37%
2%

44%
15%
38%
3%

41%
21%
35%
3%

55%
4%
39%
1%

36%
19%
43%
2%

43%
19%
35%
4%

42%
22%
34%
2%

44%
19%
35%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(354)

(318)

(67)

(121)

(316)

(168)

(620)

(2)

(22)

(27)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Wisconsin Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
49%
4%

39%
57%
4%

54%
43%
4%

26%
62%
11%

38%
61%
1%

54%
45%
1%

60%
35%
6%

45%
52%
3%

61%
25%
14%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(274)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(276)

(133)

(558)

(53)

(26)

(15)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

6. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
29%
19%
5%

56%
27%
16%
1%

38%
32%
22%
8%

55%
16%
29%
0%

35%
28%
30%
7%

48%
34%
12%
6%

53%
28%
17%
2%

48%
30%
18%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(319)

(295)

(66)

(118)

(281)

(149)

(572)

(2)

(22)

(18)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

7. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
25%

63%
29%

56%
23%

50%
21%

54%
25%

62%
28%

62%
24%

57%
26%

15%

8%

19%

22%

20%

10%

14%

15%

1%

0%

2%

7%

1%

0%

1%

1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(588)

(240)

(348)

(83)

(129)

(260)

(115)

(507)

(45)

(26)

(10)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

8. Perception of Republican Candidates Donald Trump


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

22%
28%
49%

22%
28%
50%

23%
28%
49%

23%
25%
51%

33%
31%
36%

20%
30%
50%

20%
23%
57%

21%
29%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(667)

(351)

(316)

(67)

(118)

(318)

(164)

(616)

(2)

(22)

(27)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

9. Perception of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

32%
40%
28%

36%
37%
26%

26%
44%
29%

47%
48%
5%

25%
49%
26%

31%
37%
32%

31%
39%
30%

31%
40%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(354)

(318)

(67)

(121)

(318)

(166)

(620)

(2)

(22)

(27)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

10. Perception of Republican Candidates John Kasich


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%
47%
26%

28%
39%
33%

25%
57%
18%

33%
48%
19%

16%
58%
25%

23%
46%
31%

38%
43%
19%

27%
49%
23%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(353)

(315)

(67)

(121)

(316)

(164)

(617)

(2)

(22)

(27)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

11. Interest in This Republican Primary


When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Ive usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
Im more interested in this years
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

69%

67%

72%

85%

77%

63%

68%

70%

31%

33%

28%

15%

23%

37%

32%

30%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(645)

(341)

(303)

(66)

(116)

(299)

(164)

(597)

(2)

(22)

(24)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

12. Republican Presidential Trait


If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
36%

29%
36%

28%
37%

53%
22%

23%
47%

28%
36%

24%
35%

29%
36%

25%

26%

24%

17%

12%

28%

31%

24%

10%

9%

11%

8%

18%

8%

10%

11%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(355)

(318)

(66)

(121)

(318)

(167)

(621)

(2)

(22)

(27)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

13. Republican Response to Trump


If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Gender
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

52%

41%

63%

53%

45%

49%

53%

30%
18%

38%
21%

21%
16%

33%
14%

36%
19%

27%
24%

29%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(222)

(207)

100%

(428)

(69)

(209)

(110)

(403)

(41)

(2)

(3)

(20)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

14. Republican Candidates Traits Donald Trump


For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

42%
58%

44%
56%

40%
60%

20%
80%

52%
48%

43%
57%

43%
57%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(667)

(352)

(315)

(67)

(120)

(317)

(163)

(615)

(2)

(22)

(27)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

15. Republican Candidates Traits Ted Cruz


For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

61%
39%

65%
35%

57%
43%

77%
23%

57%
43%

63%
37%

55%
45%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(659)

(347)

(312)

(67)

(117)

(316)

(159)

(608)

(2)

(22)

(27)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

16. Republican Candidates Traits John Kasich


For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

69%
31%

72%
28%

66%
34%

62%
38%

67%
33%

66%
34%

80%
20%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(659)

(350)

(309)

(64)

(117)

(314)

(164)

(608)

(2)

(22)

(27)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

17. Republican Candidate Performance Terrorism


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

44%
39%
17%

45%
45%
11%

43%
32%
25%

39%
36%
25%

56%
28%
16%

43%
42%
16%

40%
41%
19%

43%
39%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(353)

(302)

(64)

(113)

(313)

(166)

(604)

(2)

(22)

(27)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

18. Republican Candidate Performance Changing the political system


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
32%
11%

61%
31%
7%

53%
32%
15%

52%
43%
5%

61%
30%
9%

58%
32%
10%

57%
28%
15%

58%
31%
11%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(354)

(301)

(64)

(115)

(311)

(165)

(603)

(2)

(22)

(27)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

19. Republican Candidate Performance Immigration


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
34%
15%

53%
37%
10%

48%
31%
20%

50%
24%
26%

53%
36%
11%

51%
36%
13%

50%
33%
17%

51%
34%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(644)

(342)

(302)

(64)

(105)

(309)

(166)

(593)

(2)

(22)

(27)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

20. Republican Candidate Performance Foreign policy


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

32%
42%
26%

29%
48%
23%

34%
36%
30%

34%
40%
26%

46%
35%
19%

29%
46%
26%

26%
42%
32%

30%
42%
27%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(656)

(353)

(303)

(64)

(113)

(313)

(167)

(605)

(2)

(22)

(27)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

21. Republican Candidate Performance Looking out for people like you
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
40%
29%

33%
39%
28%

28%
41%
30%

17%
64%
19%

42%
28%
30%

30%
43%
28%

32%
34%
34%

30%
40%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(351)

(303)

(66)

(113)

(309)

(165)

(605)

(2)

(22)

(25)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

22. Republican Candidate Performance Bringing back jobs


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

48%
31%
21%

50%
29%
21%

45%
34%
21%

44%
45%
12%

57%
24%
19%

45%
33%
22%

48%
28%
23%

47%
31%
21%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(354)

(296)

(62)

(115)

(309)

(163)

(598)

(2)

(22)

(27)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

23. Republican Candidate Performance Defeating Hillary Clinton in November


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

42%
39%
19%

34%
45%
21%

51%
32%
17%

62%
27%
11%

58%
30%
11%

36%
45%
20%

35%
38%
27%

42%
39%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(350)

(300)

(64)

(116)

(307)

(163)

(598)

(2)

(22)

(27)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

24. Republican Candidate Performance Trade policy


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

45%
37%
18%

50%
34%
16%

39%
41%
20%

26%
66%
8%

49%
35%
16%

47%
36%
18%

46%
31%
24%

44%
38%
18%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(656)

(355)

(301)

(64)

(114)

(311)

(167)

(605)

(2)

(22)

(27)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

25. Scott Walker Endorsement


Does Scott Walkers endorsement of a candidate make you:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
More likely to support Walkers choice
Less likely to support Walkers choice
Walkers endorsement does not
matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

21%
11%

21%
11%

22%
12%

55%
3%

26%
13%

17%
13%

12%
10%

22%
12%

67%

69%

66%

42%

61%

70%

78%

66%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(673)

(356)

(318)

(67)

(119)

(319)

(168)

(622)

(2)

(22)

(27)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

26. Republican Candidate Statements Donald Trump


Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

88%
12%

84%
16%

92%
8%

98%
2%

80%
20%

88%
12%

90%
10%

90%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(354)

(319)

(66)

(121)

(317)

(168)

(621)

(2)

(22)

(27)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

27. Republican Candidate Statements Ted Cruz


Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
38%

59%
41%

66%
34%

54%
46%

53%
47%

62%
38%

72%
28%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(352)

(315)

(66)

(119)

(316)

(167)

(616)

(2)

(22)

(27)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

28. Republican Candidate Statements John Kasich


Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

35%
65%

31%
69%

26%
74%

34%
66%

35%
65%

29%
71%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(660)

(349)

(311)

(63)

(119)

(315)

(163)

(609)

(2)

(22)

(27)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

29. Republican Nominee Feeling Donald Trump


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

23%
29%
18%
30%

26%
28%
20%
27%

19%
30%
16%
35%

12%
31%
13%
44%

24%
38%
15%
22%

22%
29%
17%
32%

28%
21%
24%
27%

22%
29%
19%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(349)

(306)

(66)

(120)

(306)

(163)

(603)

(2)

(22)

(27)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

30. Republican Nominee Feeling Ted Cruz


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

26%
42%
18%
14%

31%
38%
16%
16%

22%
46%
20%
12%

23%
57%
19%
0%

20%
46%
17%
17%

29%
39%
18%
14%

27%
38%
16%
18%

27%
40%
18%
15%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(345)

(301)

(65)

(112)

(306)

(163)

(599)

(2)

(17)

(27)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

31. Republican Nominee Feeling John Kasich


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

16%
49%
23%
12%

17%
44%
23%
15%

14%
54%
24%
8%

17%
57%
10%
17%

10%
55%
24%
11%

11%
50%
26%
14%

29%
40%
24%
7%

16%
51%
22%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(349)

(301)

(63)

(118)

(306)

(164)

(599)

(2)

(22)

(27)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

32. Monitoring of Muslim Communities


Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

79%
21%

83%
17%

74%
26%

62%
38%

73%
27%

81%
19%

86%
14%

78%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(664)

(355)

(309)

(64)

(118)

(317)

(165)

(612)

(2)

(22)

(27)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

33. Betrayed by GOP


Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
23%
21%

71%
17%
12%

39%
30%
31%

32%
39%
30%

43%
37%
21%

58%
20%
22%

71%
13%
16%

54%
24%
22%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(356)

(319)

(67)

(121)

(319)

(168)

(624)

(2)

(22)

(27)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

34. Republican Voter History


Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
35%
13%
5%
6%

46%
33%
10%
4%
6%

36%
36%
19%
5%
5%

39%
55%
5%
1%
0%

34%
49%
8%
2%
8%

44%
28%
19%
6%
3%

42%
29%
15%
4%
11%

42%
33%
14%
4%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(356)

(319)

(67)

(121)

(319)

(168)

(624)

(2)

(22)

(27)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

35. Republican Wives


What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates wives in the Republican campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Gender
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Havent noticed either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

18%

17%

18%

31%

20%

17%

11%

17%

71%
11%

73%
9%

68%
14%

47%
22%

57%
23%

73%
10%

86%
3%

73%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(355)

(314)

(64)

(121)

(318)

(165)

(617)

(2)

(22)

(27)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

36. Bernie Sanders Win


How likely do you think it is that Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic nomination?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely, but I am backing him
anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

5%
62%

5%
56%

6%
67%

4%
67%

4%
62%

6%
66%

7%
51%

6%
62%

3%
71%

32%

40%

27%

29%

35%

28%

41%

32%

26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(265)

(364)

(103)

(135)

(268)

(124)

(538)

(51)

(26)

(15)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

37. Democratic Candidate Perception Hillary Clinton


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

59%
36%
5%

61%
38%
2%

58%
34%
7%

44%
40%
16%

50%
43%
7%

64%
35%
1%

72%
26%
2%

60%
36%
4%

71%
23%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(273)

(374)

(106)

(138)

(273)

(132)

(554)

(53)

(26)

(15)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

38. Democratic Candidate Perception Bernie Sanders


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

51%
39%
10%

61%
34%
5%

43%
43%
14%

50%
43%
7%

48%
42%
9%

53%
37%
11%

51%
37%
11%

53%
38%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(645)

(271)

(373)

(106)

(137)

(270)

(132)

(556)

(48)

(26)

(15)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

39. Democratic Candidate Ready Hillary Clinton


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

82%
13%
5%

83%
13%
4%

81%
13%
6%

60%
35%
5%

71%
16%
13%

91%
8%
1%

92%
5%
3%

81%
15%
4%

87%
6%
7%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(265)

(372)

(106)

(133)

(270)

(128)

(544)

(52)

(26)

(15)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

40. Democratic Candidate Ready Bernie Sanders


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

64%
16%
20%

72%
15%
13%

59%
17%
24%

77%
12%
11%

71%
15%
14%

61%
15%
24%

55%
22%
23%

67%
16%
16%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(628)

(264)

(364)

(106)

(132)

(263)

(128)

(541)

(47)

(26)

(15)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

41. Bernie Sanders Traits


Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

81%
5%
14%

89%
2%
8%

76%
6%
18%

93%
1%
6%

84%
1%
15%

75%
5%
20%

83%
9%
8%

85%
4%
11%

65%
6%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(274)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(276)

(133)

(558)

(53)

(26)

(15)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

42. Hillary Clinton Traits


Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
24%
19%

56%
27%
18%

57%
22%
21%

36%
49%
15%

47%
28%
25%

61%
18%
21%

71%
14%
15%

54%
26%
20%

77%
15%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(274)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(277)

(133)

(559)

(53)

(26)

(15)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

43. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
54%
7%

34%
52%
13%

43%
54%
3%

29%
63%
7%

38%
50%
12%

42%
50%
8%

42%
56%
1%

36%
57%
7%

60%
40%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(274)

(378)

(106)

(137)

(276)

(133)

(557)

(53)

(26)

(15)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

44. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs


Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
38%
13%
20%

24%
42%
18%
16%

33%
36%
10%
22%

36%
23%
19%
22%

38%
29%
8%
25%

21%
49%
11%
19%

32%
36%
19%
13%

30%
38%
15%
18%

31%
38%
5%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(273)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(276)

(133)

(558)

(53)

(26)

(15)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

45. Perception of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
56%
16%

24%
56%
20%

31%
56%
13%

18%
54%
28%

21%
57%
22%

32%
54%
14%

35%
61%
4%

25%
58%
17%

53%
36%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(272)

(376)

(106)

(137)

(274)

(131)

(555)

(52)

(26)

(15)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

46. Perception of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
47%
6%

52%
44%
4%

43%
49%
8%

57%
39%
4%

40%
57%
2%

48%
47%
5%

44%
41%
15%

49%
46%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(643)

(271)

(372)

(106)

(137)

(269)

(131)

(553)

(48)

(26)

(15)

46

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin

47. Democratic Debates


Do you think Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders should have more debates, or have there been enough debates already?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Gender
They should have more debates
There have been enough debates
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

39%
61%

29%
71%

49%
51%

36%
64%

31%
69%

22%
78%

35%
65%

28%
72%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(274)

(378)

(106)

(137)

(277)

(133)

(558)

(53)

(26)

(15)

47

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

675 Likely Republican Primary Voters


March 29 - April 1, 2016

5.7%

1. Direction of the Economy


How concerned are you about the direction of the nations economy in the next few years?
Ideology
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

69%
29%
2%
0%

82%
16%
2%
0%

70%
29%
1%
0%

62%
35%
3%
0%

87%
13%
0%
0%

59%
38%
2%
1%

69%
29%
2%
0%

69%
28%
1%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(237)

(187)

(161)

(253)

(418)

(256)

(386)

Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

69%
29%
2%
0%

76%
22%
1%
1%

62%
36%
2%
0%

31%
67%
2%
0%

60%
39%
2%
0%

74%
24%
2%
0%

83%
15%
0%
1%

70%
29%
1%
0%

71%
24%
3%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(356)

(319)

(67)

(121)

(319)

(168)

(425)

(174)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

2. First Choice Republican Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Wisconsin Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

43%
18%
37%
2%

68%
7%
22%
3%

43%
17%
37%
3%

24%
34%
40%
1%

57%
6%
34%
3%

34%
25%
38%
2%

49%
14%
34%
3%

40%
20%
37%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(234)

(186)

(161)

(252)

(417)

(255)

(384)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference

43%
18%
37%
2%

44%
15%
38%
3%

41%
21%
35%
3%

55%
4%
39%
1%

36%
19%
43%
2%

43%
19%
35%
4%

42%
22%
34%
2%

50%
14%
34%
3%

36%
22%
38%
4%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(354)

(318)

(67)

(121)

(316)

(168)

(423)

(173)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

3. Republican Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

47%
29%
19%
5%

59%
28%
11%
2%

36%
36%
24%
4%

41%
32%
25%
2%

63%
22%
15%
1%

38%
34%
21%
7%

48%
28%
18%
5%

47%
29%
19%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(216)

(173)

(147)

(227)

(384)

(240)

(344)

Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

47%
29%
19%
5%

56%
27%
16%
1%

38%
32%
22%
8%

55%
16%
29%
0%

35%
28%
30%
7%

48%
34%
12%
6%

53%
28%
17%
2%

45%
31%
19%
4%

51%
29%
18%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(614)

(319)

(295)

(66)

(118)

(280)

(149)

(397)

(150)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

4. Perception of Republican Candidates Donald Trump


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

22%
28%
49%

16%
28%
56%

17%
34%
49%

22%
30%
48%

29%
27%
44%

19%
29%
52%

21%
33%
46%

22%
25%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(667)

(236)

(184)

(159)

(252)

(411)

(254)

(381)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

22%
28%
49%

22%
28%
50%

23%
28%
49%

23%
25%
51%

33%
31%
36%

20%
30%
50%

20%
23%
57%

22%
28%
50%

19%
32%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(667)

(351)

(316)

(67)

(118)

(318)

(164)

(420)

(172)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

5. Perception of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

32%
40%
28%

46%
36%
18%

31%
43%
27%

22%
46%
32%

45%
35%
20%

23%
45%
32%

36%
42%
22%

29%
40%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(236)

(184)

(161)

(251)

(417)

(255)

(384)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

32%
40%
28%

36%
37%
26%

26%
44%
29%

47%
48%
5%

25%
49%
26%

31%
37%
32%

31%
39%
30%

35%
43%
22%

26%
43%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(354)

(318)

(67)

(121)

(318)

(166)

(422)

(173)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

6. Perception of Republican Candidates John Kasich


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

27%
47%
26%

17%
48%
34%

30%
51%
19%

38%
45%
17%

19%
37%
44%

32%
54%
15%

28%
43%
29%

26%
49%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(236)

(183)

(159)

(251)

(414)

(254)

(382)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

27%
47%
26%

28%
39%
33%

25%
57%
18%

33%
48%
19%

16%
58%
25%

23%
46%
31%

38%
43%
19%

27%
46%
26%

23%
50%
28%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(353)

(315)

(67)

(121)

(316)

(164)

(421)

(171)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

7. Interest in This Republican Primary


When it comes to voting in Republican primaries, which of these best describes you...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Ive usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
Im more interested in this years
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

69%

80%

78%

57%

77%

64%

69%

71%

31%

20%

22%

43%

23%

36%

31%

29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(644)

(221)

(179)

(157)

(243)

(399)

(245)

(369)

Gender
Ive usually been interested in
Republican primaries, no matter who
was running
Im more interested in this years
primary than before, because [First
Choice Candidate Name] is running

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

69%

67%

72%

85%

77%

63%

68%

80%

65%

31%

33%

28%

15%

23%

37%

32%

20%

35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(644)

(341)

(303)

(66)

(116)

(299)

(164)

(407)

(164)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

8. Republican Presidential Trait


If you had to choose one, would you say it is time for the U.S. to elect a President who is:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

29%
36%

51%
32%

21%
40%

9%
42%

42%
30%

20%
41%

36%
36%

25%
36%

25%

14%

29%

34%

23%

26%

21%

27%

10%

3%

10%

15%

5%

13%

8%

12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(235)

(186)

(160)

(252)

(417)

(255)

(385)

Gender
The most consistent conservative
The strongest leader
The most likely to shake up the
political system
The most experienced on policy
issues
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

29%
36%

29%
36%

28%
37%

53%
22%

23%
47%

28%
36%

24%
35%

34%
40%

23%
35%

25%

26%

24%

17%

12%

28%

31%

16%

33%

10%

9%

11%

8%

18%

8%

10%

10%

8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(355)

(318)

(66)

(121)

(318)

(167)

(425)

(171)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

9. Republican Response to Trump


If Donald Trump continues to win primaries next month, what should other Republicans do?
Asked of Republican primary voters who are not supporting Trump

Ideology
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Tea Party

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

52%

43%

51%

60%

33%

63%

48%

56%

30%
18%

39%
19%

24%
24%

23%
17%

47%
20%

19%
18%

34%
18%

27%
17%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(428)

(184)

(117)

(96)

(167)

(258)

(169)

(242)

Gender
Try to stop him from being nominated
at the convention this summer
Get behind him and try to win in
November
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

52%

41%

63%

53%

45%

49%

50%

45%

30%
18%

38%
21%

21%
16%

33%
14%

36%
19%

27%
24%

33%
17%

29%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(221)

(207)

100%

(428)

(69)

(209)

(110)

(280)

(108)

(41)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

10. Republican Candidates Traits Donald Trump


For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

42%
58%

37%
63%

44%
56%

41%
59%

46%
54%

41%
59%

43%
57%

41%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(667)

(235)

(183)

(159)

(251)

(411)

(252)

(383)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

42%
58%

44%
56%

40%
60%

20%
80%

52%
48%

43%
57%

43%
57%

41%
59%

42%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(667)

(352)

(315)

(67)

(120)

(317)

(163)

(419)

(172)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

11. Republican Candidates Traits Ted Cruz


For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

61%
39%

78%
22%

55%
45%

54%
46%

77%
23%

51%
49%

61%
39%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(659)

(235)

(178)

(159)

(250)

(404)

(248)

(380)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

61%
39%

65%
35%

57%
43%

77%
23%

57%
43%

63%
37%

55%
45%

69%
31%

54%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(659)

(347)

(312)

(67)

(117)

(316)

(159)

(416)

(169)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

12. Republican Candidates Traits John Kasich


For each of these candidates, please say if you feel they are honest and trustworthy, or not?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

69%
31%

68%
32%

77%
23%

82%
18%

62%
38%

73%
27%

63%
37%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(659)

(232)

(179)

(159)

(250)

(408)

(246)

(382)

Gender
Honest and Trustworthy
NOT Honest and Trustworthy

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

69%
31%

72%
28%

66%
34%

62%
38%

67%
33%

66%
34%

80%
20%

73%
27%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(659)

(350)

(309)

(64)

(117)

(314)

(164)

(416)

(169)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

13. Republican Candidate Performance Terrorism


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

44%
39%
17%

33%
60%
7%

49%
37%
14%

47%
27%
26%

46%
52%
2%

43%
31%
27%

45%
41%
15%

42%
39%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(226)

(181)

(158)

(251)

(403)

(244)

(380)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

44%
39%
17%

45%
45%
11%

43%
32%
25%

39%
36%
25%

56%
28%
16%

43%
42%
16%

40%
41%
19%

43%
42%
14%

47%
36%
17%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(353)

(302)

(64)

(113)

(313)

(166)

(415)

(165)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

14. Republican Candidate Performance Changing the political system


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
32%
11%

47%
48%
5%

62%
26%
13%

64%
18%
18%

58%
39%
3%

58%
27%
15%

56%
35%
9%

57%
30%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(225)

(181)

(158)

(250)

(403)

(243)

(381)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

57%
32%
11%

61%
31%
7%

53%
32%
15%

52%
43%
5%

61%
30%
9%

58%
32%
10%

57%
28%
15%

56%
36%
8%

61%
25%
13%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(655)

(354)

(301)

(64)

(115)

(311)

(165)

(415)

(164)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

15. Republican Candidate Performance Immigration


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
34%
15%

47%
51%
2%

51%
37%
12%

50%
20%
29%

57%
41%
2%

48%
30%
22%

52%
39%
10%

49%
33%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(644)

(226)

(181)

(155)

(241)

(401)

(231)

(381)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

51%
34%
15%

53%
37%
10%

48%
31%
20%

50%
24%
26%

53%
36%
11%

51%
36%
13%

50%
33%
17%

51%
38%
11%

51%
34%
15%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(644)

(342)

(302)

(64)

(105)

(309)

(166)

(407)

(162)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

16. Republican Candidate Performance Foreign policy


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

32%
42%
26%

23%
67%
10%

30%
43%
28%

31%
27%
42%

32%
56%
12%

32%
34%
35%

31%
50%
19%

30%
39%
32%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(656)

(226)

(181)

(160)

(251)

(404)

(243)

(381)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

32%
42%
26%

29%
48%
23%

34%
36%
30%

34%
40%
26%

46%
35%
19%

29%
46%
26%

26%
42%
32%

34%
46%
20%

27%
41%
32%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(656)

(353)

(303)

(64)

(113)

(313)

(167)

(414)

(166)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

17. Republican Candidate Performance Looking out for people like you
Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
40%
29%

24%
63%
13%

34%
32%
34%

38%
18%
44%

32%
56%
12%

31%
30%
39%

28%
45%
27%

31%
39%
30%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(228)

(180)

(158)

(248)

(402)

(246)

(376)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

31%
40%
29%

33%
39%
28%

28%
41%
30%

17%
64%
19%

42%
28%
30%

30%
43%
28%

32%
34%
34%

29%
45%
25%

33%
35%
32%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(351)

(303)

(66)

(113)

(309)

(165)

(412)

(166)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

18. Republican Candidate Performance Bringing back jobs


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

48%
31%
21%

44%
48%
8%

51%
28%
21%

51%
16%
33%

55%
40%
5%

43%
26%
31%

55%
31%
15%

42%
32%
26%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(222)

(180)

(157)

(247)

(401)

(240)

(377)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

48%
31%
21%

50%
29%
21%

45%
34%
21%

44%
45%
12%

57%
24%
19%

45%
33%
22%

48%
28%
23%

48%
37%
15%

50%
25%
25%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(649)

(354)

(296)

(62)

(115)

(309)

(163)

(411)

(164)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

19. Republican Candidate Performance Defeating Hillary Clinton in November


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

42%
39%
19%

27%
62%
11%

45%
39%
16%

46%
23%
31%

38%
50%
11%

44%
31%
24%

43%
45%
13%

40%
36%
24%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(222)

(181)

(155)

(248)

(400)

(237)

(381)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

42%
39%
19%

34%
45%
21%

51%
32%
17%

62%
27%
11%

58%
30%
11%

36%
45%
20%

35%
38%
27%

44%
42%
14%

41%
37%
22%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(350)

(300)

(64)

(116)

(307)

(163)

(412)

(162)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

20. Republican Candidate Performance Trade policy


Which candidate do you think would do best on...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

45%
37%
18%

38%
53%
9%

49%
34%
17%

44%
24%
32%

47%
45%
8%

44%
33%
24%

36%
46%
18%

48%
33%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(656)

(226)

(180)

(159)

(251)

(404)

(243)

(380)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich

45%
37%
18%

50%
34%
16%

39%
41%
20%

26%
66%
8%

49%
35%
16%

47%
36%
18%

46%
31%
24%

44%
43%
13%

50%
29%
20%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(656)

(355)

(301)

(64)

(114)

(311)

(167)

(414)

(166)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

21. Scott Walker Endorsement


Does Scott Walkers endorsement of a candidate make you:
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
More likely to support Walkers choice
Less likely to support Walkers choice
Walkers endorsement does not
matter
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

21%
11%

34%
3%

19%
8%

10%
15%

32%
7%

14%
14%

28%
11%

17%
13%

67%

63%

73%

75%

61%

72%

61%

71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(673)

(237)

(185)

(161)

(253)

(416)

(254)

(386)

Gender
More likely to support Walkers choice
Less likely to support Walkers choice
Walkers endorsement does not
matter

Tea Party

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

21%
11%

21%
11%

22%
12%

55%
3%

26%
13%

17%
13%

12%
10%

30%
6%

5%
12%

67%

69%

66%

42%

61%

70%

78%

64%

82%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(673)

(356)

(318)

(67)

(119)

(319)

(168)

(423)

(174)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

22. Republican Candidate Statements Donald Trump


Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

88%
12%

88%
12%

90%
10%

82%
18%

82%
18%

91%
9%

89%
11%

87%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(235)

(186)

(160)

(251)

(417)

(254)

(385)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

88%
12%

84%
16%

92%
8%

98%
2%

80%
20%

88%
12%

90%
10%

87%
13%

88%
12%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(672)

(354)

(319)

(66)

(121)

(317)

(168)

(423)

(173)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

23. Republican Candidate Statements Ted Cruz


Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

62%
38%

48%
52%

67%
33%

71%
29%

49%
51%

71%
29%

62%
38%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(233)

(184)

(160)

(250)

(413)

(251)

(384)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

62%
38%

59%
41%

66%
34%

54%
46%

53%
47%

62%
38%

72%
28%

54%
46%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(352)

(315)

(66)

(119)

(316)

(167)

(420)

(172)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

24. Republican Candidate Statements John Kasich


Regardless of who you are supporting, do you feel any of these candidates have sometimes made statements that are unfair or went too far?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%
67%

38%
62%

32%
68%

26%
74%

35%
65%

31%
69%

34%
66%

32%
68%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(660)

(230)

(182)

(159)

(249)

(409)

(248)

(379)

Gender
Yes
No

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

33%
67%

35%
65%

31%
69%

26%
74%

34%
66%

35%
65%

29%
71%

30%
70%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(660)

(349)

(311)

(63)

(119)

(315)

(163)

(416)

(168)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

25. Republican Nominee Feeling Donald Trump


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

23%
29%
18%
30%

19%
31%
21%
29%

25%
25%
20%
29%

21%
25%
19%
34%

27%
33%
18%
22%

20%
27%
18%
35%

22%
32%
16%
30%

21%
27%
19%
33%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(234)

(183)

(159)

(248)

(402)

(254)

(367)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

23%
29%
18%
30%

26%
28%
20%
27%

19%
30%
16%
35%

12%
31%
13%
44%

24%
38%
15%
22%

22%
29%
17%
32%

28%
21%
24%
27%

20%
32%
20%
28%

22%
24%
19%
35%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(654)

(349)

(306)

(66)

(119)

(306)

(163)

(419)

(170)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

26. Republican Nominee Feeling Ted Cruz


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

26%
42%
18%
14%

53%
31%
10%
5%

17%
50%
23%
9%

10%
42%
30%
18%

45%
37%
9%
8%

14%
45%
23%
18%

31%
40%
18%
11%

25%
42%
18%
15%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(234)

(176)

(159)

(249)

(394)

(248)

(365)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

26%
42%
18%
14%

31%
38%
16%
16%

22%
46%
20%
12%

23%
57%
19%
0%

20%
46%
17%
17%

29%
39%
18%
14%

27%
38%
16%
18%

29%
47%
15%
8%

22%
36%
23%
19%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(646)

(345)

(301)

(65)

(112)

(306)

(163)

(412)

(169)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

27. Republican Nominee Feeling John Kasich


Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology

Tea Party

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

16%
49%
23%
12%

9%
48%
29%
14%

20%
52%
17%
11%

25%
49%
20%
6%

10%
41%
31%
18%

20%
53%
19%
8%

15%
50%
19%
16%

16%
49%
25%
10%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(232)

(181)

(159)

(249)

(401)

(250)

(367)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset

16%
49%
23%
12%

17%
44%
23%
15%

14%
54%
24%
8%

17%
57%
10%
17%

10%
55%
24%
11%

11%
50%
26%
14%

29%
40%
24%
7%

13%
54%
21%
11%

18%
41%
27%
14%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(650)

(349)

(301)

(63)

(118)

(306)

(164)

(416)

(169)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

28. Monitoring of Muslim Communities


Would you favor or oppose having law enforcement agencies increase monitoring of Muslim communities within the United States?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

79%
21%

92%
8%

80%
20%

72%
28%

91%
9%

72%
28%

84%
16%

74%
26%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(664)

(229)

(183)

(161)

(252)

(410)

(246)

(385)

Gender
Favor, it would help keep Americans
safer
Oppose, it would violate civil liberties

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

79%
21%

83%
17%

74%
26%

62%
38%

73%
27%

81%
19%

86%
14%

82%
18%

76%
24%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(664)

(355)

(309)

(64)

(118)

(317)

(165)

(416)

(172)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

29. Betrayed by GOP


Would you say you feel betrayed by politicians from the Republican Party?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%
23%
21%

58%
23%
19%

55%
21%
24%

59%
22%
19%

75%
19%
6%

45%
26%
29%

56%
23%
21%

56%
24%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(237)

(187)

(161)

(253)

(418)

(256)

(386)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

56%
23%
21%

71%
17%
12%

39%
30%
31%

32%
39%
30%

43%
37%
21%

58%
20%
22%

71%
13%
16%

49%
30%
21%

72%
12%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(356)

(319)

(67)

(121)

(319)

(168)

(425)

(174)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

30. Republican Voter History


Before now, in recent General elections between Democrats and Republicans, would you say you have...?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

41%
35%
13%
5%
6%

72%
24%
2%
2%
0%

42%
43%
11%
2%
2%

12%
40%
31%
9%
8%

58%
29%
8%
1%
4%

30%
38%
18%
7%
7%

43%
37%
8%
4%
9%

41%
33%
19%
5%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(237)

(187)

(161)

(253)

(418)

(256)

(386)

Gender
Almost always voted for Republicans
Usually voted for Republicans
Split about evenly
Usually voted for Democrats
Almost always voted for Democrats

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

41%
35%
13%
5%
6%

46%
33%
10%
4%
6%

36%
36%
19%
5%
5%

39%
55%
5%
1%
0%

34%
49%
8%
2%
8%

44%
28%
19%
6%
3%

42%
29%
15%
4%
11%

54%
37%
6%
0%
2%

22%
39%
33%
3%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(675)

(356)

(319)

(67)

(121)

(319)

(168)

(425)

(174)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Republican Voters

31. Republican Wives


What do you think about the recent discussions of candidates wives in the Republican campaign?
Asked of Republican primary voters

Ideology
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Havent noticed either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Totals
(Weighted N)

Evangelical

Total

Very conservative

Conservative

Moderate

Yes

No

Yes

No

18%

14%

21%

16%

19%

17%

20%

17%

71%
11%

76%
9%

70%
9%

71%
13%

71%
10%

71%
12%

70%
10%

70%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(231)

(187)

(160)

(250)

(416)

(250)

(386)

Gender
These topics are just part of a tough
campaign
These topics are inappropriate in a
Presidential campaign
Havent noticed either way

Tea Party

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Republican

Independent

18%

17%

18%

31%

20%

17%

11%

17%

17%

71%
11%

73%
9%

68%
14%

47%
22%

57%
23%

73%
10%

86%
3%

71%
13%

70%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(668)

(355)

(314)

(64)

(121)

(318)

(165)

(422)

(172)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

653 Likely Democratic Primary Voters


March 29 - April 1, 2016

6.1%

1. Direction of the Economy


How concerned are you about the direction of the nations economy in the next few years?
Ideology
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

52%
38%
9%
1%

55%
34%
8%
2%

45%
42%
13%
0%

53%
37%
9%
0%

52%
38%
9%
1%

54%
37%
9%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(134)

(229)

(198)

(559)

(94)

Gender
Very concerned
Somewhat concerned
Not too concerned
Not at all concerned
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

52%
38%
9%
1%

43%
43%
12%
2%

59%
34%
7%
0%

43%
46%
10%
1%

51%
41%
7%
1%

57%
33%
9%
1%

51%
36%
12%
1%

53%
36%
10%
1%

38%
50%
11%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(274)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(277)

(133)

(448)

(143)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

2. First Choice Democratic Candidate


Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Wisconsin Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

47%
49%
4%

38%
62%
0%

50%
48%
2%

56%
36%
8%

45%
52%
3%

61%
31%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(134)

(229)

(198)

(558)

(94)

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

47%
49%
4%

39%
57%
4%

54%
43%
4%

26%
62%
11%

38%
61%
1%

54%
45%
1%

60%
35%
6%

53%
43%
4%

41%
55%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(274)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(276)

(133)

(448)

(142)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

3. Democratic Candidate Support


Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

59%
25%

80%
12%

50%
32%

51%
30%

57%
26%

65%
19%

15%

7%

17%

18%

15%

14%

1%

0%

0%

1%

1%

2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(588)

(119)

(206)

(175)

(507)

(81)

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

59%
25%

63%
29%

56%
23%

50%
21%

54%
25%

62%
28%

62%
24%

59%
26%

53%
32%

15%

8%

19%

22%

20%

10%

14%

14%

15%

1%

0%

2%

7%

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(588)

(240)

(348)

(83)

(129)

(260)

(115)

(397)

(129)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

4. Bernie Sanders Win


How likely do you think it is that Bernie Sanders will win the Democratic nomination?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely, but I am backing him
anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

5%
62%

11%
60%

4%
63%

3%
63%

6%
62%

2%
64%

32%

28%

33%

34%

32%

34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(125)

(223)

(194)

(538)

(92)

Gender
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely, but I am backing him
anyway
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

5%
62%

5%
56%

6%
67%

4%
67%

4%
62%

6%
66%

7%
51%

6%
62%

6%
57%

32%

40%

27%

29%

35%

28%

41%

32%

36%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(630)

(265)

(364)

(103)

(135)

(268)

(124)

(428)

(139)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

5. Democratic Candidate Perception Hillary Clinton


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

59%
36%
5%

73%
25%
1%

54%
42%
4%

56%
35%
9%

60%
36%
4%

58%
32%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(133)

(228)

(198)

(554)

(94)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

59%
36%
5%

61%
38%
2%

58%
34%
7%

44%
40%
16%

50%
43%
7%

64%
35%
1%

72%
26%
2%

60%
36%
4%

57%
39%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(273)

(374)

(106)

(138)

(273)

(132)

(443)

(142)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

6. Democratic Candidate Perception Bernie Sanders


How well do you feel you know each of the candidates and what they stand for?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

51%
39%
10%

72%
24%
3%

52%
39%
9%

41%
48%
12%

53%
38%
8%

35%
43%
21%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(645)

(132)

(228)

(196)

(556)

(89)

Gender
Very well
Fairly well
Not very well yet
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

51%
39%
10%

61%
34%
5%

43%
43%
14%

50%
43%
7%

48%
42%
9%

53%
37%
11%

51%
37%
11%

49%
38%
12%

53%
41%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(645)

(271)

(373)

(106)

(137)

(270)

(132)

(441)

(141)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

7. Democratic Candidate Ready Hillary Clinton


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

82%
13%
5%

90%
8%
2%

84%
7%
9%

84%
13%
2%

81%
15%
4%

83%
4%
12%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(133)

(222)

(191)

(544)

(93)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

82%
13%
5%

83%
13%
4%

81%
13%
6%

60%
35%
5%

71%
16%
13%

91%
8%
1%

92%
5%
3%

88%
6%
6%

83%
15%
2%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(637)

(265)

(372)

(106)

(133)

(270)

(128)

(434)

(142)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

8. Democratic Candidate Ready Bernie Sanders


If elected, do you feel each of these candidates is prepared to be President right now?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology

Race

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

64%
16%
20%

79%
14%
7%

65%
15%
20%

58%
17%
24%

67%
16%
16%

46%
15%
39%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(628)

(130)

(220)

(191)

(541)

(88)

Gender

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

Prepared
Not prepared
Not sure

64%
16%
20%

72%
15%
13%

59%
17%
24%

77%
12%
11%

71%
15%
14%

61%
15%
24%

55%
22%
23%

57%
20%
23%

72%
10%
17%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(628)

(264)

(364)

(106)

(132)

(263)

(128)

(427)

(139)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

9. Bernie Sanders Traits


Do you feel Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

81%
5%
14%

90%
5%
4%

88%
2%
10%

74%
5%
21%

85%
4%
11%

59%
11%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(134)

(229)

(198)

(558)

(94)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

81%
5%
14%

89%
2%
8%

76%
6%
18%

93%
1%
6%

84%
1%
15%

75%
5%
20%

83%
9%
8%

77%
5%
18%

89%
3%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(274)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(276)

(133)

(447)

(143)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

10. Hillary Clinton Traits


Do you feel Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

56%
24%
19%

55%
27%
17%

59%
19%
22%

62%
21%
17%

54%
26%
20%

72%
13%
15%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(134)

(229)

(198)

(559)

(94)

Gender
Yes
No
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

56%
24%
19%

56%
27%
18%

57%
22%
21%

36%
49%
15%

47%
28%
25%

61%
18%
21%

71%
14%
15%

63%
15%
22%

50%
31%
18%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(653)

(274)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(277)

(133)

(448)

(143)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

11. Next President Policies


Should the next president...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

39%
54%
7%

32%
68%
0%

44%
52%
4%

40%
48%
13%

36%
57%
7%

56%
34%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(134)

(229)

(198)

(557)

(94)

Gender
Continue Obama policies
More progressive policies
Less progressive policies
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

39%
54%
7%

34%
52%
13%

43%
54%
3%

29%
63%
7%

38%
50%
12%

42%
50%
8%

42%
56%
1%

41%
53%
6%

41%
50%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(651)

(274)

(378)

(106)

(137)

(276)

(133)

(447)

(142)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

12. Effect of Trade on U.S. Jobs


Do you think trade with other countries creates or takes away U.S. jobs?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

29%
38%
13%
20%

30%
37%
18%
16%

22%
34%
20%
24%

28%
46%
7%
19%

30%
38%
15%
18%

27%
39%
5%
29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(134)

(229)

(198)

(558)

(94)

Gender
Creates U.S. jobs
Takes away U.S. jobs
Doesnt have much effect on U.S. jobs
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

29%
38%
13%
20%

24%
42%
18%
16%

33%
36%
10%
22%

36%
23%
19%
22%

38%
29%
8%
25%

21%
49%
11%
19%

32%
36%
19%
13%

26%
38%
15%
21%

20%
49%
11%
20%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(273)

(379)

(106)

(138)

(276)

(133)

(447)

(143)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

13. Perception of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

28%
56%
16%

31%
45%
24%

26%
65%
9%

27%
61%
12%

25%
58%
17%

44%
47%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(134)

(227)

(198)

(555)

(93)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

28%
56%
16%

24%
56%
20%

31%
56%
13%

18%
54%
28%

21%
57%
22%

32%
54%
14%

35%
61%
4%

31%
57%
12%

24%
61%
16%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(648)

(272)

(376)

(106)

(137)

(274)

(131)

(443)

(142)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

14. Perception of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders


Regardless of who you are supporting, has your view of these candidates generally been getting better lately, staying about the same, or getting worse?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Total

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

47%
47%
6%

57%
37%
6%

44%
51%
5%

40%
55%
6%

49%
46%
5%

35%
52%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(643)

(131)

(228)

(196)

(553)

(89)

Gender
Better
Same
Worse
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

47%
47%
6%

52%
44%
4%

43%
49%
8%

57%
39%
4%

40%
57%
2%

48%
47%
5%

44%
41%
15%

41%
52%
8%

53%
43%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(643)

(271)

(372)

(106)

(137)

(269)

(131)

(439)

(141)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


Wisconsin Likely Democratic Voters

15. Democratic Debates


Do you think Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders should have more debates, or have there been enough debates already?
Asked of Democratic primary voters

Ideology
They should have more debates
There have been enough debates
Totals
(Weighted N)

Very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

White

Non-white

33%
67%

45%
55%

30%
70%

33%
67%

35%
65%

22%
78%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(134)

(229)

(198)

(558)

(94)

Gender
They should have more debates
There have been enough debates
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race

Total

Age group

Party ID

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Democrat

Independent

33%
67%

39%
61%

29%
71%

49%
51%

36%
64%

31%
69%

22%
78%

31%
69%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(652)

(274)

(378)

(106)

(137)

(277)

(133)

(447)

(142)

15

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