as016 Phare php DID | RESEARCH METHOD © heenekh.blogspot.com hitp:hd-nckh blogspot.com/2014/01/DID.htmt Phuong phap DID Tham khao: phwong phap sai biét kép - DID Phuong phap khac biét trong sy khac biét DID (Difference in Differences) hay con ggi la phurong phap sai bit kép (DD) [World bank, 2010] ngay cang duge si dung réng rai trong cae nghién cau phan tich higu qua tac d6ng ctia chinh séch Vé co ban, DD so sanh cdc nhém tac déng va déi chteng dya trén nhGng khac biét trong két qua & tlng thoi ky quan sat. Cy thé, sau diéu tra ban dau vé ca déi tugng khéng tham gia va tham gia (sau 46), ta c6 thé thyc hién mét didu tra tiép theo vé ca hai nhém nay sau tac déng, Tir théng tin nay, ta tinh todn duge sai biét gitta céc két qua trung vi duoc quan sat trén nhém tac dong va déi chting true va sau tac dong churong trinh, Thu nhap Chinh séch _—_ Nhém déi chung (control group) Nhém tham gia”. . (treated group) DID: mite tac dong alia chinh sach True téc dong: Sau tae d6n (baseline: T=0) (follow up: T=1) Thoi gian Minn nga tte 6ong eda ehinh sic theo phuong php DID Biéu dién dudi dang théng ké (biéu thirc 1.1; 1.2, 1.3) hoac dudi dang biéu thtre hdi quy nhu sau: b= £7 “30 (FD -£0S XS, =) ay EOE -15\T.=D=(@+DD+pt (a+) a2 Buf -¥8 |= =(0+7-a as ‘outcome_vars~ Pa-+ Bi¢period: + fi*treated ~fs*period, +Bsttreated: te (1.4) Bidu thuc tinh toan sy nae bigtKép DD Phan trinh bay dudi day sé minh hoa phuong phdp trén phan mém théng ké Stata mot cdch gidn don nham minh hoa cy thé sy 4p dung cia phuong phap. nip. et blgsp.con 2014010010 am 1882016 Phrone php DID | RESEARCH METHOD + Dir ligu str dung cho phan minh hoa nay [a dir ligu v8 sé rong lao dng lam viéc trong finh vue thie &n nhanh (file cardkrueger1994. dla). + Muc tigu nghién cu muén danh gia téc déng clia chinh sdch tang tin lvong co’ ban dén viéc gia tang sé Iugng lao déng lam viéc trong linh vye thie an nhanh ‘+ Nhém tham gia thye hién (46i tong oa chinh sch) la lao déng & cdc nha hang thire an nhanh nh KFC, Burger King, Roy Rogers, Wendy & bang New Jersey; nhém déi ching Ia cdc lao déng lam vic @ cae nhém nha hang twong ting & bang Pennsylvania + Thoi diém trude khi thyc hién chinh sach vao thang 2/1992 va thoi diém sau khi thye hign chinh sach la thang 11/1992 Qua trinh duge thyc hién bang cau lénh diff trén stata (str dung cau lénh_ssc install diff dé tai |gnh nay vé may, néu chua 6), hodc sir dung net get diff dé tai ca diff va di liéu cardkrueger1994.dta, cy thé nhu sau: net get diff use cardkrueger1994, clear. diff fe, (treated) p(t) Mau khdo sat bao gdm 155 quan sat déi ching (control), va 646 quan sat tham gia (treated); ding théi co 404 quan sat truréc khi thyc hign chinh sch (baseline) va 397 quan sét sau khi thyc hién chinh sch (follow up). Két qua phan bé nh sau Két qua phan tich dugc thé (cé phan chi thich 48 dién g Nunbor of observations in the DIFE-IN-DIFF: 601 tung théng sé) nhw sau: Baseline Follow-up Két qua cho thay, & mire y nghia 10% thi vigc tang long co ban & bang New en ao a Jersy da lam gia tang s6 lrgng lao toa sen Ong toan thoi gian & finh vye thie an nhanh square: 0.00805 vu va nhuge diém cia Phuong phap DD Phan 66 mau ea Kado st tae dng tang rong eo ban fn hag tao dng tam vibe Uu diém cla DD Ia giam thiéu gia dinh vé yéu t6 ngoai suy c6 diéu kign hay chi Iva chon cac dac tinh duge quan sat, déng thi cung cap mot phutong phap try giéc, dé sir dung d8 tinh todn viéc la chon cdc dc tinh khéng duoc quan sat. Tuy vay, nhuge diém chinh cing nam & gia dinh nay: khai niém sai sé Iva chon khéng dai theo théi gian [a thiéu co” s@ déi voi nhiéu chong trinh muc tiéu & cdc nude dang phat trién ‘Day chi la phan trinh bay gidn don vé phuong phap. Bé tng dung DID & cac finh vue cy thé hoac nhirng phan tich chuyén sAu ddi hdi tim hiéu thém nhGing ky thuat cu thé va kién thire ting quat khac. Xem thém hi quy hai giai doan (2SLS). Gwii email bai dang nay BlogThis! Chia sé [én Twitter Chia sé In Facebook nip. et blgsp.con 2014010010 am452016 Phuong php DID | RESEARCH METHOD eer Ginn ion svingeest syle te Gatjrmasim — Sonia Sautmetn, clonontingn poatnon gu anon iomnagimcinmon Salmeanae ocursing “vtegag? sate da Scdim BD «6 chung ews tac dong ed ait (at) concfor treafea piceipuy orer-nf-orer Bo hth Bh RR BAAR AB std. Error 1.019 0.499.338 1.026 0.508 ase 16a : 19.97 14.37 -2.84 17.60 20.48 -0.33 tat pee a.o00 0.000 .012+* 6.000 0.000 0.979 ovo * weans and Standard Errors are estimated by linear regression ttinferance: t#* ped.oly ** pe0.05; * peO.t "Nguén:he.nekn blogspot.com ét qué phan tien sai bigt ap hpi. nes.bogspot.com2014010010