Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2010. 5. 31
Daeseok HAN
Dept. of Urban Management, Graduate School of Engineering,
Kyoto University, Japan
*Contact : han.d@at8.ecs.kyoto-u.ac.jp
General description
We have….
Demand of Infrastructure
Time to construct
will be increased (developing country)
Capacity of Infrastructure
reaches maximum level Time to maintain
(developed country)
Construction demands Maintenance demands
becomes decreased becomes increased
1.8 16000 45
No. of vehicles(thousand)
50,000 40
1.6 14000
Population(thousand)
Increase rate(%)
1.4 12000
40,000
30
1.2 10000
25
30,000 1.0 8000
20
0.8 6000
20,000 15
0.6 4000 10
0.4
10,000 2000 5
0.2
0 0
0 0.0
1975
1976
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2005
1977
1983
1984
1985
1986
1994
1995
1996
2004
1975
1976
1981
1983
1986
1988
1989
1994
1997
1999
2001
2002
2004
1977
1978
1979
1980
1982
1984
1985
1987
1990
1991
1992
1993
1995
1996
1998
2000
2003
2005
Year
Year
Source: Korea Statistical Information System Source: Korea Statistical Information System
No construction!
Road length Road maintenance budget
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Technical dependence
Disturbed flexible application and domestication of PMS
Neglecting importance of the AMS (lack of experts)
Disturbed making sustainable PMS plan in future
Lack of customized database
Disturbed systematic data accumulation and effective use
Limitations of HDM-4
Too much data requirement for domestication and calibration
Korean PMS conditions were not matched with HDM-4 requirement
Many systematic errors and limitations as the PMS model
Reliability of estimation result
Moreover, black box, technical dependence, high price, etc.
Importance of PMS
Road agency, also government must understand importance of AMS
Budget allocation
Budget allocation must be reasonable under objective DSS
PMS experts
Government must invest budget for the bringing up of experts of PMS
‘International standard of
pavement management system’
Every country
Every condition
Every objective
Functions of the VHPMS
Basic functions +α
Function / Core level Semi-core Recommended Advanced level Unique level
level level level (Extendable by
users)
Accounting Short term Mid-long term Optimization-I Optimization-II Updating their
accounting accounting (Network-based) (Section-based) original account
system
Economic Agency cost Agency cost & Agency cost & Adding social, and Workzone model,
Analysis User cost User cost & environmental cost Add the other
Economic expenditures
indices
Forecasting Deterministic-I Deterministic- Stochastic – I Stochastic – II Stochastic – III
Simplified II Markov Local Mixture MCMC, Hidden
regression Multiple exponential hazard model Markov model
regression hazard model
Management Work demand Work design Budget Optimization Web-based
/ Work effect estimation (Short term) system
Management part
Accounting part
Forecasting part
Can you help me?? I can help you!! Let’ go together !!!
If one member develops new function, the others can benchmark
it.
Developer have to consider the function to the general version
KOREA KOREA New Member
fun cept)
Ign hing
ctio
Ac
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ore ) ha
rk(
(u s
Developer Developer
ma
the
e le
nch
VHPMS VHPMS
ss
ss
pp
Be
ver.1.1
To
ver.1.00
en
Until Now,
Korea has undergone many problems due to late
and poor introduction of the AMS
Also,
The framework of the PMS is very difficult to change
once it established
You have to
know,
If you don’t prepare sustainable PMS from the outset,
you will undergo similar situation with Korea
By the
experience,
The key point is developing customized PMS software