Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

Trng i hc Ngoi Thng C s II - TP. H Ch Minh Bi tp nhm mn Kinh T Lng

ti:

SINH VIN NGOI THNG V VN CP NHT THNG TIN

GVHD: Trn Th Tun Anh

Nhm 21 - Lp K47A Nguyn Th Thu Hng L Th Hng Ngc T Bch Ngc V Ngc Chu Nguyn 079 174 177 184

TP. H Ch Minh, thng 10 nm 2009

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

TI: SINH VIN NGOI THNG V VN CP NHT THNG TIN

I. NGHA CA VIC CHN TI Ngy nay, tin tc, thi s lun i mi lin tc tng ngy, thm ch tng gi, tng pht. Ch cn mt cht thiu quan tm cp nht, con ngi c th b tt hu rt nhiu so vi th gii bn ngoi. Vic cp nht thng tin thng c thc hin thng qua cc phng tin nh tivi, bo ch, radio, Internet, v.v i vi sinh vin, vic cp nht thng tin hng ngy l vic khng th thiu, c bit l vi nhng sinh vin chuyn ngnh kinh t nh sinh vin H Ngoi Thng. tm hiu nhng yu t c th nh hng n thi lng dnh cho vic cp nht thng tin ca sinh vin trong tun, nhm tin hnh kho st trong phm vi trng H Ngoi Thng vi i tng l sinh vin t nm 1 n nm 4. II. PHNG PHP THU THP S LIU Nhm tin hnh thu thp s liu trc tip bng cch pht phiu kho st cho cc bn sinh vin H Ngoi Thng CS2 TP HCM. Phiu pht ra Phiu thu v Phiu hp l 300 265 210 Nhm cn c vo s liu trn cc phiu hp l thu thp c, tin hnh hi quy kim nh a cng tuyn, t tng quan, phng sai thay i v khc phc nhng s c mc phi. Trong qu trnh thc hin ti, nhm s dng nhng kin thc c hc trn lp cng vi s tr gip ca cc phn mm MS Word, MS Excel, Eviews hon thnh ti. III. THIT LP M HNH TNG QUT 1. M hnh tng qut Y = C1 + C2X2 + C3X3 + C4X4 + C5X5 + C6X6 + C7X7 + C8D8 + C9D9 + C10D10 + C11D11 + C12D12 + C13D13 + C14D14 + C15D15 2. Gii thch bin 2.1. Bin ph thuc: Y: lng thi gian dnh cho vic cp nht thng tin (gi/tun) 2.2. Bin c lp:
Tn BIN NH TNH X2 X3 ngha Thi gian hc thm (gi/tun) Thi gian lm thm, hot ng ngoi kha (gi/tun) Thu nhp hng thng (ngn ng) La chn 1 0 Du k vng Din gii i hc thm nhiu c th lm gim thi gian cp nht thng tin. Lm thm, hot ng ngoi kha nhiu c th lm gim thi gian cp nht thng tin. Thu nhp c th hoc khng th nh hng n vic cp nht thng tin. (chi ph mua bo, ln mng)

X4

+/-

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin X5 X6 X7 S loi thng tin thng quan tm S phng tin c s dng S vic thng lm trong thi gian rnh Tnh cch Khc Trm tnh Bnh thng Khng Khc Khc Ch git thi gian Khng + + Quan tm n nhiu loi thng tin c th lm tng thi gian cp nht. S dng nhiu phng tin c th lm tng thi gian cp nht thng tin. Nu lm nhiu vic khc trong thi gian rnh c th lm gim thi gian cp nht thng tin. Tnh cch c th hoc khng th nh hng n thi gian cp nht thng tin. Nu nh gi vic cp nht thng tin l quan trng c th lm tng thi lng cp nht thng tin. Tnh chuyn cn c th nh hng n thi gian cp nht thng tin. Mc ch c th nh hng n thi lng dnh cho vic cp nht thng tin.

D8 D9

Si ni Bnh thng D10 S nh gi tm Rt quan quan trng ca trng thng tin D11 Chuyn cn BIN NH LN G C

+/+/+

+/+ + + +

D12 Mc ch cp nht Thi thng tin quen D13 Cn cho vic hc D14 Bn thn thch tm hiu D15 S dng Internet C ti nh

S dng Internet ti nh c th lm tng thi gian cp nht thng tin.

2.3. Mt vi biu thng k m t * Nhng loi thng tin c quan tm

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

* Phng tin cp nht thng tin:

* T l sinh vin s dng Internet ti nh:

* Nhng s thch ph bin (nhng vic SV thng lm trong thi gian rnh):

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

3. Bng hi quy gc M hnh 1:

Phng trnh hi quy gc: Y = 3.5747 - 0.0249X2 + 0.0446X3 - 0.0009X4 - 0.0046X5 + 1.1390X6 + 0.0517X7 + 2.4773D8 + 0.7961D9 + 2.0382D10 - 2.5837D11 + 2.1324D12+ 1.0481D13 + 1.9686D14 + 3.0004D15 Nhn xt: Mc ph hp ca m hnh so vi thc t l 15.64%, da vo bng hi quy gc, ta thy cc bin X6, D15 c |t-Statistic| >2 nn cc bin ny c ngha thng k. Cc bin cn li c |t-Statistic| <2 nn khng c ngha thng k.

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

M hnh 2:

Phng trnh hi quy mi: Y= 4.7094 + 1.4939X6 + 3.3233D15 Nhn xt: Mc ph hp ca m hnh i vi cc bin X6, D15 l 6.9%. Da vo bng hi quy gc, ta thy D11 c |t-Statistic| <2 nhng c p-value = 0.0484 < 0.05, ta tin hnh kim nh bin b b st D11. M hnh 3:

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

Theo kt qu ca bng trn, v F=7.2659 c xc sut p=0.0076 rt nh nn ta bc b gi thit H0: C11=0 (C11 l h s hi quy ca bin D11 trong hm hi quy tng th). Tc D11 l bin c nh hng ti bin Y, nn a n vo m hnh. V vy D11 l bin b b st. Phng trnh hi quy sau khi kim nh bin b st: Y = 7.3714 + 1.5514X6 - 3.3947D11 + 3.3710D15 IV. TIN HNH KIM NH CC BNH CA M HNH 1. a cng tuyn: Xt ma trn tng quan gia cc bin: X6 D11 D15 X6 D11 D15 1.000000 0.047891 -0.160895 0.047891 1.000000 0.005278 -0.160895 0.005278 1.000000

Ta thy cc h s tng quan gia cc bin u nh hn 0.8 nn gia cc bin khng c s tng quan. Vy m hnh khng c hin tng a cng tuyn. 2. T tng quan: Ta kim nh hin tng t tng quan bng BG-Test trong Eviews thu c kt qu sau:

V p-value=0.9614 > 0.05 nn khng c hin tng t tng quan trong m hnh. 3. Phng sai thay i: Ta dng kim nh White trong Eviews kim nh hin tng phng sai t thay i.
Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM 7

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

Kim nh White ln 1 (khng c cross terms):

Kim nh White ln 2 (c cross terms):

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

Theo kim nh ln u, ta thy p-value=0.0396 < 0.05 nn m hnh c hin tng phng sai thay i. Ta tin hnh khc phc hin tng phng sai thay i. Hi quy c trng s vi trng s l 1/abs_residf:

Ta tin hnh kim nh White li:

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

Nhn xt: p-value tng ln 0.6621 nn khng cn hin tng phng sai thay i. V. KT QU HI QUY Y = 7.3714 + 1.5514X6 - 3.3947D11 + 3.3710D15 Nhn xt: Bin X6 D11 D15 Tc ng n thi gian cp nht Cng chiu Ngc chiu Cng chiu Din gii S dng cng nhiu phng tin cng lm tng thi gian cp nht thng tin. Thi gian SV n lp cng nhiu th thi gian cp nht thng tin qua cc phng tin khc cng gim SV c s dng Internet ti nh th c nhiu c hi cp nht thng tin hn.

VI. HN CH V XUT CA NHM 1. Hn ch: Kho st ch mi c tin hnh trong mt b phn sinh vin kh nh nn s liu cha mang tnh khi qut cao. Vi quy m c lng trn nn s lng quan st cn hn ch v cht lng d liu cha thc s chnh xc nn mc ngha ca m hnh ch mang tnh tng i. Nhiu bin c lp ban u b loi khi m hnh.

2. xut: Vic cp nht thng tin ngy nay rt quan trng khng ch vi sinh vin m cn vi tt c mi ngi. Do mi ngi cn lun quan tm n vic cp nht thng tin mi thi im. Th nhng vic cp nht thng tin nh th no cho hp l c bit i vi sinh vin l mt vn cn lu . Nhm xin a ra mt s xut dnh cho SV Ngoi Thng: Khuyn khch sinh vin tn dng nhiu phng tin cp nht thng tin. Sinh vin nn kt hp vic cp nht thng tin vi vic n lp. V d: xem tin trn cc bng thng bo, c bo th vin hoc vo gi gii lao, nghe bn tin pht thanh ca trng. Internet hin nay khng cn qu xa x i vi sinh vin, cc bn tr vn c th s dng Internet ti nh. V th sinh vin nn tn dng li th ca Internet tip cn vi nhiu ngun thng tin b ch.

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

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Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin

VII. PH LC
Trng i Hc Ngoi Thng - CSII - TP.HCM Lp K47A - QTKD B mn Kinh T Lng

BNG KHO ST
ti: SINH VIN NGOI THNG VI VIC CP NHT THNG TIN Cho cc bn! Chng ti l nhm sinh vin n t lp K47A. Hin chng ti ang lm mt ti nghin cu v vic cp nht thng tin i vi SV Ngoi Thng. Rt mong nhn c s hp tc t cc bn! 1/ Bn l SV nm th my? Bn l: Nam N Trm tnh

2/ Bn thy mnh l ngi nh th no? Si ni, nng ng Bnh thng

3/ Bn c i hc y khng? C Khng Bn i hc thm bn ngoi gi/tun. Bn dnh cho vic lm thm v hot ng ngoi kha (CLB, on, Hi) gi/tun. 4/ Theo bn, vic cp nht tin tc, thi s trong thi i hin nay c quan trng vi sinh vin khng? Rt quan trng Bnh thng 5/ Trung bnh mi ngy bn dnh bao nhiu thi gian c bo (bo t ch khng phi bo mng)? 6/ Thu nhp hng thng ca bn (t gia nh v vic lm thm) l bao nhiu? 7/ Bn quan tm nhiu n tin tc thuc mng no sau y (c th nh du nhiu la chn): Kinh t, kinh doanh Sc khe, gii tnh Chnh tr, x hi Khoa hc thng thc Vn ha, gii tr Cng ngh thng tin i sng gii tr Khc: T vn tm l 8/ Bn thng cp nht tin tc t nhng ngun no sau y (c th nh du nhiu la chn): Bo mng (Tui Tr, VN Express, Dn tr) Nht bo (Tui Tr, Thanh Nin, Si Gn Gii Phng) Tp ch, ha bo (SVVN, 2!, Tip th Gia nh) Chng trnh thi s trn TV Chng trnh thi s trn radio, FTU Zone Tin ch t TD (GPRS, Super Sim) Khc: 9/ Trung bnh mt ngy bn dnh bao nhiu thi gian cho vic tm kim, cp nht thng tin t nhng ngun trn? 10/ Bn thy mnh cp nht thng tin ch yu l lm g? (nh du ti a 2 la chn) Ch git thi gian Bn thn thch t tm hiu Thi quen Mc ch khc: Cn thit cho vic hc trn lp 11/ Bn c s hu my vi tnh c nhn khng? 12/ Bn c s dng Internet ti nh khng? C C Khng Khng

13/ Bn s dng hu ht thi gian rnh ca mnh lm g? (c th nh du nhiu la chn)

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

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Nhm 21 - Sinh vin Ngoi Thng v vn cp nht thng tin Ln mng Xem TV Nghe nhc c sch Chi game i chi (vi bn b, ngi yu) Khc:

Bn quyn thuc sinh vin K47A - H Ngoi Thng CSII TP.HCM

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