Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1. L DO CHN TI:
Vit Nam ang trong thi k m ca nn kinh t. S hi nhp vi th gii mang li
nhiu li ch cho t nc, thc y sn xut kinh doanh pht trin, em n nhiu c
hi cho doanh nghip c iu kin giao lu, m rng hot ng. Tuy nhin, nn kinh
t th trng cnh tranh kh gay gt. tn ti v pht trin bn vng th doanh
nghip phi ht sc n lc, phn u khng nh thng hiu ca mnh.
Vic xc nh gi tr doanh nghip l mt vic lm ht sc cn thit i vi bn thn
doanh nghip v c nh u t. Bi trc ht n gip cho doanh nghip nm bt r
rng, c th tnh hnh hot ng, thng qua s bit c nhng nhn t no c tc
ng mnh n qu trnh sn xut kinh doanh, t c s iu chnh, cn i thch
hp trong c cu ti sn hoc ngun vn. Ngoi ra, phn tch kt qu qu kh cng l
c s quan trng doanh nghip d on xu th pht trin sn xut, ly lm cn
c nh hng hoch nh nhng chin lc ph hp cho doanh nghip trong tng
lai. Vic phn tch gi tr ca doanh nghip cng gip doanh nghip khng nh v th
cnh tranh ca mnh gia cc doanh nghip cng ngnh.
Vi lch s hnh thnh v pht trin trn 30 nm, Dc Hu Giang l mt cng ty c
ting vng ng bng sng Cu Long. Thng hiu Dc Hu Giang c ngi
tiu dng bit n thng qua nhiu loi dc phm a dng, cc loi tr tho mc thin
nhin Bn cnh Dc Hu Giang cng c php xut nhp khu trc tip
thuc, nguyn liu sn xut thuc v cc trang thit b y t. Sn phm ca Dc hu
giang lun m bo v mt cht lng v c ngi tiu dng tin tng, bnh chn l
Hng Vit Nam cht lng cao sut nhng nm qua. Dc Hu Giang l mt trong
nhng doanh nghip hng u trong ngnh dc Vit Nam nn khng th b qua tm
quan trng ca vic xc nh gi tr doanh nghip. V th nhm chng em xin chn
ti nh gi cng ty C phn Dc Hu Giang xc nh gi tr ca doanh nghip,
c th l gi tr c phiu ca cng ty.
PHN NI DUNG
CHNG 1
GII THIU TNG QUAN V
CNG TY C PHN DC HU GIANG
- Sn xut, kinh doanh xut nhp khu thit b sn xut thuc t ch to ti Cng
ty.
- Dch v du lch v vn chuyn l hnh ni a (hot ng theo quy nh ca
Tng cc Du lch).
1.2.2 Lnh vc sn xut, kinh doanh chnh
Cng ty C phn Dc Hu Giang hot ng trong nhiu lnh vc, tuy nhin lnh
vc hot ng chnh ca cng ty l sn xut kinh doanh dc phm, thc phm ch
bin; xut khu dc liu, dc phm v nhp khu trang thit b sn xut thuc, trang
thit b y t, dc liu, dc phm.
DHG PHARMA c nhiu chuyn gia gii trong lnh vc nghin cu sn phm,
c kh nng nghin cu v sn xut cc dng bo ch: vin nn, nang mm, si bt,
siro, thuc nc, thuc cream, hn dch ung, v cc sn phm chit xut t thin
nhin
Hin cng ty c hn 200 sn phm ang lu hnh, chia lm 3 dng (Dc phm,
Thc phm chc nng, Dc M phm) v 12 nhm (khng sinh, nm dit k sinh
trng; H thn kinh; Gim au H st; Mt; Tai Mi Hng hen suyn, s mi; Tim
mch; Tiu ha gan mt; C xng khp; Chm sc sc p; Da liu; Vitamin v
khong cht; Tiu ng).
V my mc, trang thit b: Cng ty c h thng nh xng, dy chuyn my
mc hin i, cng ngh tin tin t tiu chun GMP-WHO, GLP, GSP do Cc Qun
l Dc Vit Nam chng nhn. Phng kim nghim t tiu chun quc t ISO/IEC
17025:2001 do Tng Cc tiu chun o lng cht lng VN chng nhn. H thng
qun l cht lng t chun quc t ISO 9001:2000 do t chc quc t Anh BVQI
chng nhn.
V quy m: Hin cng ty c 44 chi nhnh, i l trn ton quc; hn 40.000
khch hng l nh thuc, i l Cng ty trch nhim hu hn, phng mch t DHG
giao dch trc tip v.v trong c 7.455 thnh vin Cu lc b khch hng thn
thit DHG; c trn 100 Bnh vin v ang tn nhim s dng sn phm DHG; c 43
siu th bn sn phm DHG, trong 8 siu th c ca hng Healthcare (l ca hng
chuyn v thc phm b sung v chm sc sc khe tip cn trc tip n ngi tiu
dng); c 44 quy l di dng nh thuc bnh vin t ti bnh vin tnh v huyn
trc tip t vn s dng thuc v chm sc sc kho cho ngi dn.
1.3 V TH CNG TY
Hn 36 nm hnh thnh v pht trin, DHG PHARMA to nn mt thng
hiu vng mnh trong th trng Dc phm Vit Nam, lun l mt trong nhng
doanh nghip dn u v sn xut thuc tn dc. Theo IMS nm 2009, DHG
PHARMA ng th 4 trong th trng Dc phm Vit Nam v ng u trong th
trng Generics. Ngoi ra, thng hiu cng ty cn c khng nh qua cc danh
hiu:
- Top 10 Thng hiu mnh nht Vit Nam do Thi bo Kinh t Vit Nam t
chc.
- Top 100 Thng hiu dn u Vit Nam do Bo Si Gn Tip Th t chc.
- Gii Qu cu vng 2006 do Trung tm pht trin ti nng Lin hip cc hi
khoa hc v k thut Vit Nam t chc.
- Thng hiu c yu thch thng qua bnh chn trn trang web
www.thuonghieuviet.com
- 15 nm lin c ngi tiu dng bnh chn l Hng Vit Nam cht lng
cao
Trn th trng chng khon, c phiu DHG ca Cng ty C phn Dc Hu
Giang - giao dch ti Trung tm Giao dch chng khon Thnh ph H Ch Minh lun c cc nh u t ln, c tiu ch u t lu di quan tm.
CHNG 2
NH GI CNG TY C PHN DC HU GIANG
2.1 XC NH GI TR HOT NG
2.1.1 Phn tch kt qu kinh doanh ca cng ty t 2007-2010
2.1.1.1 Xc nh s vn u t (IC)
STT
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
CH TIU
2007
2008
2009
n v tnh: ng
2010
134,951,448,720
257,381,961,730
230,278,977,520
4,219,601,018
626,831,988,988
55,642,007,085
40,455,717,787
293,206,185
39,058,037,447
135,448,968,504
491,383,020,484
111,294,945,868
1,300,951,659
211,742,360,663
255,126,101,647
308,236,380,352
6,159,317,619
781,264,160,281
67,745,795,916
58,330,510,155
529,770,010
23,353,110,081
149,959,186,162
631,304,974,119
106,798,422,791
5,388,375,144
584,128,534,956
296,978,172,666
306,731,856,718
8,592,604,427
1,196,431,168,767
71,352,673,093
84,118,277,067
1,094,516,164
15,871,470,477
172,436,936,801
1,023,994,231,966
118,833,144,230
41,233,928,892
642,519,118,992
446,197,923,622
347,099,608,749
6,217,467,406
1,442,034,118,769
86,290,700,781
100,633,206,342
1,413,080,380
32,127,453,214
220,464,440,717
1,221,569,678,052
167,840,794,676
27,825,857,194
603,978,918,011
105,272,542,979
709,251,460,990
743,491,772,054
117,155,148,926
860,646,920,980
1,184,061,305,088
112,919,647,760
1,296,980,952,848
1,417,236,329,922
127,878,195,760
1,545,114,525,682
Qua bng ta thy vn u t tng lin tc t nm 2008 n nm 2010. C th nm 2008 vn u t tng 151,395,459,990 ng so vi
nm 2007; mc tng tng ng l 21.35%. Bc sang nm 2009, vn u t tng thm kh mnh vi 436,334,031,868 ng; mc tng
tng ng l 50.70%. Tuy nhin, n nm 2010 th khon u t tng thm c s gim li, ch tng thm 248,133,572,834 ng, mc tng
ch c 19.13% so vi nm 2009.
2.1.1.2 Xc nh li nhun hot ng sau thu (NOPLAT)
Gi tr khu hao c trch t Bo co lu chuyn tin t
n v tnh: ng
CH TIU
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
2007
1,269,279,925,381
2008
1,485,463,822,499
2009
1,746,022,201,212
2010
2,034,525,241,928
1,105,865,885,029
1,291,347,599,682
28,520,127,892
165,596,094,925
16,559,609,493
149,036,485,433
1,315,901,248,031
29,778,717,342
400,342,235,839
40,034,223,584
360,308,012,255
1,593,103,217,458
41,463,499,111
399,958,525,359
79,991,705,072
319,966,820,287
24,054,099,284
139,359,941,068
13,935,994,107
125,423,946,961
Qua bng ta thy li nhun hot ng sau thu tng lin tc trong hai nm 2008 v 2009. C th nm 2008 Noplat tng 23,612,538,471
ng so vi nm 2007; mc tng tng ng l 18.83%. Bc sang nm 2009, Noplat tng mnh mt khon 211,271,526,823 ng; mc
tng l 141.76%. Tuy nhin, n nm 2010 th Noplat gim i 40,341,191,968 ng, mc gim l 11.2%.
2.1.1.3 Xc nh dng tin t do FCF
n v tnh: ng
STT
CH TIU
1.
NOPLAT
125,423,946,961
149,036,485,433
360,308,012,255
359,962,672,799
2.
Khu hao
24,054,099,284
28,520,127,892
29,778,717,342
41,463,499,111
3.
149,478,046,245
177,556,613,325
390,086,729,597
401,426,171,910
4.
(90,459,115,058)
(18,626,421,841)
(44,624,486,304)
(135,931,407,222)
5.
(108,425,593,484)
(77,957,402,832)
(3,340,301,188)
(38,548,783,964)
6.
107,292,255,117
138,189,481,332
48,088,931,657
74,342,048,312
7.
5,299,961,168
(9,970,197,686)
(19,218,178,770)
(749,653,721)
8.
(11,541,135,559)
(27,772,084,624)
(6,253,450,721)
(28,167,068,454)
9.
(1,000,000,000)
27,180,289,930
(14,384,007,705)
3,059,549,639
(105,302,355,943)
(26,118,453,207)
(57,436,448,175)
(124,759,054,121)
11.
Cc khon d phng
Tin chi mua sm, xy dng ti sn
c nh v
cc ti sn di hn khc
Tin thu t thanh l, nhng bn ti
sn c nh v
cc ti sn di hn khc
792,417,144
306,671,431
122,895,970
6,110,475,532
12.
Tng u t (4+5+6+7+8+9+10+11)
(203,343,566,615)
5,231,882,503
(97,045,045,236)
(244,643,893,999)
13.
FCF (3+12)
(53,865,520,370)
182,788,495,828
293,041,684,361
156,782,277,911
10.
2007
2008
2009
2010
C th thy dng tin s bin ng tng i ln ca FCF qua cc nm trong gia on 2007 2010 do gi tr u t rng ln nhng
khng n nh qua cc nm. C th nm 2008, FCF tng mnh mt lng 236,654,016,197 ng; mc tng tng ng l 439.34%. Bc
sang nm 2010, FCF tip tc tng thm 110,253,188,534 ng vi mc tng l 60.32%. Nhng n nm 2010 th FCF li gim i
136,259,406,450 ng, mc gim l 46.5%
2.1.1.4 Xc nh chi ph s dng vn bnh qun (WACC)
T thng 01/2005 n thng 12/2005, ly ch s VN-Index vo thi im gia thng, tnh rmi bng cch ly ch s VN-Index gia
thng sau tr ch s VN-Index gia thng trc ri chia li cho ch s VN-Index gia thng trc. Tnh rm thng bng cch ly trung bnh
ca tt c rmi. Tnh rm nm bng cch ly rm thng nhn vi 12.
Ly ch s chng khon ca Dc Hu Giang t thng 12/2007 n thng 12/2010 vo thi im gia thng. Ri c tnh bng cch
ly ch s chng khon gia thng sau tr ch s chng khon gia thng trc ri chia li cho ch s chng khon gia thng trc.
Tnh beta ca Dc Hu Giang bng cch ly COV(Ri,Rm) chia cho phng sai ca Rm (vui lng xem bng phn ph lc).
Nm
N c li (D)
Vn c phn (E)
Tng ngun vn
(V)
2007 43,429,861,416
200,000,000,000
243,429,861,416
2008 8,455,297,698
200,000,000,000
208,455,297,698
2009 73,979,662,132
266,629,620,000
340,609,282,132
2010
12,802,412,973
269,129,620,000 281,932,032,973
10
Nm
N c li (D)
CP li vay
% CP li vay (rd)
2007
43,429,861,416
15,393,878,923
0.354453789
2008
8,455,297,698
5,216,001,248
0.616891496
2009
2010
73,979,662,132
23,597,231,238
12,802,412,973
3,408,205,843
0.318969167
0.266215896
rd
0.389132587
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2.034.525.241.928
2.380.394.533.056
2.785.061.603.675
3.258.522.076.300
3.812.470.829.271
4.460.590.870.247
1.593.103.217.458
1.856.707.735.783
2.172.348.050.867
2.541.647.219.514
2.973.727.246.831
3.479.260.878.793
41.463.499.111
48.623.605.008
56.889.617.860
66.560.852.896
77.876.197.888
91.115.151.529
399.958.525.359
475.063.192.264
555.823.934.949
650.314.003.890
760.867.384.551
890.214.839.925
2.010.709.744
2.354.448.233
10.353.019.579
16.909.615.796
25.124.184.716
35.207.606.468
36.196.737.130
42.371.022.688
49.574.096.545
58.001.692.958
67.861.980.761
79.398.517.490
434.144.552.718
515.079.766.720
595.045.011.915
691.406.081.052
803.605.180.596
934.405.750.947
50.809.318.387
51.507.976.672
119.009.002.383
138.281.216.210
200.901.295.149
233.601.437.737
383.335.234.331
463.571.790.048
476.036.009.532
553.124.864.842
602.703.885.447
700.804.313.210
12
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Ti sn
Tin v cc khon tng ng tin
Cc khon u t ti chnh ngn hn
Cc khon phi thu ngn hn
Hng tn kho
Ti sn ngn hn khc
642.519.118.992
446.197.923.622
347.099.608.749
6.217.467.406
781.237.545.490
-
1.029.041.271.696
-
1.204.359.534.967
-
1.409.100.655.911
-
522.020.521.099
610.764.009.686
714.593.891.333
836.074.852.859
978.207.577.845
358.942.748.013
475.131.509.587
555.903.866.217
650.407.523.474
760.976.802.464
7.379.223.052
8.633.690.971
10.101.418.437
11.818.659.571
13.827.831.698
303.438.987.167
879.522.454.441
354.916.824.879
415.252.685.108
485.845.641.576
568.439.400.644
665.074.098.754
46.893.772.301
54.865.713.592
64.192.884.903
75.105.675.337
87.873.640.144
32.611.405.103
38.155.343.970
44.641.752.445
52.230.850.361
61.110.094.922
2.104.002.039.937
2.482.325.407.356
2.904.320.726.606
3.398.436.497.212
3.976.170.701.738
606.048.448.116
709.076.684.296
829.619.720.626
970.655.073.132
1.135.666.435.565
14.996.485.558
65.942.799.869
107.704.559.209
160.026.654.244
224.252.270.498
314.926.196.723
368.463.650.166
431.102.470.694
504.389.890.713
590.136.172.134
756.727.422.058
885.371.083.808
1.035.884.168.056
1.211.984.476.625
1.418.021.837.652
6.456.882.120
39.979.249.420
27.825.857.194
1.819.735.094.670
Ngun vn
Cc khon phi tr
N vay (ngn hn+di hn)
Vn u t ca ch s hu
Vn khc ca ch s hu
Tng hp cc qu
Thu nhp gi li
Li ch ca c ng thiu s
Tng ngun vn
517.894.311.532
12.802.412.973
269.129.620.000
646.850.398.500
364.342.106.640
8.716.245.431
1.819.735.095.076
401.067.790.989
441.495.424.321
485.998.163.093
534.986.777.932
588.913.445.148
10.235.696.492
11.975.764.896
14.011.644.928
16.393.624.566
19.180.540.742
2.104.002.039.937
2.482.325.407.356
2.904.320.726.606
3.398.436.497.212
3.976.170.701.738
2.1.2.3 D bo IC
CH TIU
STT
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
1.
781.237.545.490
879.522.454.441
1.029.041.271.696
1.204.359.534.967
1.409.100.655.911
2.
522.020.521.099
610.764.099.686
714.593.891.333
836.074.852.859
978.207.577.845
3.
Hng tn kho
358.942.748.013
475.131.509.587
555.903.866.217
650.407.523.474
760.976.802.464
4.
Ti sn ngn hn khc
7.379.223.052
8.633.690.971
10.101.418.437
11.818.659.571
13.827.831.698
5.
OA (1+2+3+4)
1.669.580.037.655
1.974.051.754.685
2.309.640.447.681
2.702.660.570.871
3.162.112.867.918
6.
Khon phi tr
606.048.448.116
709.076.684.296
829.619.720.626
970.655.073.132
1.135.666.435.565
7.
OL (6)
606.048.448.116
709.076.684.296
829.619.720.626
970.655.073.132
1.135.666.435.565
8.
Vn hot ng (5-7)
1.063.531.589.539
1.264.975.070.389
1.480.020.727.055
1.732.005.497.738
2.026.446.432.353
9.
Ti sn c nh rng
354.916.824.879
415.252.685.108
485.845.641.576
568.439.400.644
665.074.098.754
10.
Ti sn di hn khc
32.611.405.103
38.155.343.970
44.641.752.445
52.230.850.361
61.110.094.922
11.
IC (8+9+10)
1.451.059.819.520
1.718.383.099.468
2.010.508.121.077
2.352.675.748.743
2.752.630.626.029
14
2.1.2.4 D bo NOPLAT
STT
1.
CH TIU
Doanh thu thun v bn hng v
cung cp dch v
2.
Chi ph hot ng
3.
Khu hao
4.
NOP
5.
6.
NOPLAT (6-7)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2.380.394.533.056
2.785.061.603.675
3.258.522.076.300
3.812.470.829.271
4.460.590.870.247
1.856.707.735.783
2.172.348.050.867
2.541.647.219.514
2.973.727.246.831
3.479.260.878.793
48.623.605.008
56.889.617.860
66.560.852.896
77.876.197.888
91.115.151.529
475.063.192.264
555.823.934.949
650.314.003.890
760.867.384.551
890.214.839.925
47.506.319.226
55.582.393.495
65.031.400.389
152.173.476.910
178.042.967.985
427.556.873.038
500.241.541.454
585.282.603.501
608.693.907.641
712.171.871.940
2.1.2.5 D bo FCF
2010
FCF (g=17%)
11.691.441.411
2011
13.678.986.451
2012
16.004.414.148
2013
18.725.164.553
2014
21.908.442.527
2015
25.632.877.756
2.1.3 Gi tr hot ng
2.1.3.1 Gi tr giai on d bo c th
Nm
FCF(ng)(g=17%)
N.t .chnh(19%)
PV of FCF(ng)
2010
156.782.277.911
2011
183.435.265.156
0,8403
154.147.281.643
2012
214.619.260.232
0,7062
151.556.571.028
2013
251.104.534.472
0,5934
149.009.401.767
2014
293.792.305.332
0,4987
146.505.042.073
2015
343.736.997.238
0,4190
144.042.772.458
NOPLAT20161
RONIC
CV
WACC g
NOPLAT 2015
g
NOPLAT 2016
WACC
RONIC
CV
712.171.871.940
13%
804.754.215.292
19%
31,35%
7.850.738.889.215
2.1.3.3 Gi tr hot ng
Nm
PV of FCF(ng)
2010
156.782.277.911
2011
183.435.265.156
0,8403
154.147.281.643
2012
214.619.260.232
0,7062
151.556.571.028
2013
251.104.534.472
0,5934
149.009.401.767
2014
293.792.305.332
0,4987
146.505.042.073
2015
343.736.997.238
0,4190
144.042.772.458
0,4190
3.289.847.192.869
4.035.108.261.838
1,0909
4.401.783.437.978
CV
7.850.738.889.215
PV of FCF
N.t .chnh gia nm
Gi tr H
16
2.2 XC NH VN CH S HU
2.2.1 Gi tr ca nhng ti sn phi hot ng
CH TIU
STT
1 Gi tr hot ng
GI TR
4.723.902.428.676
6.456.882.120
39.979.249.420
32.592.080.669
-u t di hn khc
11.901.050.200
(4.513.881.449)
11 Li nhun khc
37.158.017.047
40.566.222.890
3.408.205.843
1.010.007.054
84.604.155.641
4.808.506.584.317
STT
1 Gi tr cng ty
GI TR
4.808.506.584.317
2 Vay v n ngn hn
12.802.412.973
3 Vay v n di hn
4 Li ch ca c ng thiu s
8.716.245.431
21.518.658.404
6 Gi tr vn ch s hu (1-5)
4.786.987.925.913
2.2.3 Gi tr c phiu
CH TIU
STT
1 Gi tr vn ch s hu
2 S c phiu lu hnh
3 Gi tr ca mi c phiu (1/2)
GI TR
4.786.987.925.913
26.778.253
178.764
CHNG 3
PHN TCH S HP L CA KT QU NH GI
Gi th trng ca DHG v mt s c phiu cng ngnh
(S liu ly ngy 4/1/2011)
STT
Cng ty
M giao dch
Gi th trng
trn TTCK
(nghn ng)
CP Dc Hu Giang
DHG
119
CP Dc phm Imexpharm
IMP
59
CP S.P.M
SPM
57,5
CP Traphaco
TRA
52
CP Ha Dc phm Mekophar
MKP
49
CP Dc phm H Ty
DHT
41
CP Dc phm Vin ng
DVD
41
Nhn xt:
Theo kt qu tnh ton, ta c c gi tr thc t ca c phiu DHG l 179 nghn
ng. Tuy nhin, gi th trng ca c phiu DHG giao dch trn sn giao dch chng
khon Thnh ph H Ch Minh ti phin giao dch ngy 4/1/2011 ch l 119 nghn ng,
ch bng 66,48% so vi gi tr thc t. Nh vy, gi tr cng ty C phn Dc Hu
Giang ang b cc nh u t nh gi cha ng tm, thc trng ny c th do mt s
nguyn nhn sau: ngun thng tin v doanh nghip cn nhiu hn ch lm cho cc nh
u t cha nm bt c thng tin a ra nhn nh chnh xc cho gi tr cng ty,
tm l cc nh u t e ngi khi b tin ra mua c phiu ca 1 cng ty vi gi chnh lch
qu cao so vi cc cng ty khc cng hot ng trong ngnh.
Mc d vy, so vi cc cng ty cng ngnh, c phiu DHG lun dn u v gi: Gi
c phiu DHG so vi gi c phiu IMP (l c phiu c gi ch xp sau DHG trong
ngnh) chnh lch n 60 nghn ng (gp 2 ln). iu ny cho thy u th vt tri ca
DHG trong ngnh. Cng ty cn nm bt u th ny v nng cao cht lng trong tt c
cc lnh vc hot ng, c bit l gi vng v nng cao hn na v th c phiu DHG
trong th trng chng khon.
18