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N TP MN XC SUT THNG K
Dnh cho sinh vin K49 H Ngoi thng
1. Xc sut (5 im)
- Cng thc xc sut y , cng thc xc sut iu kin.
- K vng, phng sai, mod, med, bng phn phi, hm phn phi v hm mt .
- Phn phi Bernoulli, Chun, xp x xc sut.
2. Thng k (5 im)
- L thuyt mu.
- c lng tham s.
- Kim nh gi thit thng k.
BI TP LUYN TP
1. C hai ci hp: hp th nht c 3 bi , 7 bi xanh; hp th hai c 2 bi , 8 bi xanh. T
hp th nht ly ra 1 bi, t hp th hai ly ra 2 bi, cng b vo hp th ba ang c 5 bi
xanh. Sau t hp th ba ly ra 3 bi. Tm xc sut ly c
a) 2 bi ; b) t nht 1 bi .
2. mt quy hng in t cc bng n c ng thnh l, trong mi l c 8 bng tt v
2 bng b hng. Mt khch hng chn ngu nhin mt l hng, t chn ngu nhin 3
bng n, nu thy c 3 bng u tt th mua l hng.
a) Tm xc sut khch hng khng mua l hng .
b) Gi s khch hng chn 8 l hng. Tm xc sut ngi mua 5 l.
3. Mt nh my c 4 phn xng sn xut mt loi sn phm. Cho bit t l sn phm ca
cc phn xng trong kho hng ln lt l 25%; 30%, 28%; 17%; cn t l ph phm
tng ng l 2%; 1,5%; 2,5%; 1%.
a) Chn ngu nhin mt sn phm trong kho hng ca nh my. Tm xc sut chn
c sn phm tt.
b) Chn ngu nhin 250 sn phm trong kho hng. Tm xc sut chn c
(i) 245 sn phm tt; (ii) t nht 3 ph phm.
c) Mun xc sut ly c t nht 1 ph phm trong kho hng khng di 98% th
phi chn ti thiu bao nhiu sn phm trong kho hng ?
4. Cho bit t l hc sinh b cn th mt trng THPT l 40%. Chn ngu nhin 100 hc
sinh ca trng. Tm xc sut chn c
a) t nht 1 hc sinh b cn;
b) t 70 n 95 hc sinh b cn.
5. Mt loi nn bo him bn trn th trng xut pht t ba ngun A, B, C vi t l th
trng tng ng l 20%, 45%, 35%. Cho bit t l nn c kim nh t ba ngun ln
lt l 90%, 60% v 70%. Mua ngu nhin mt nn loi ny.
a) Tm xc sut mua c nn kim nh.
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b) Nu mua c nn cha qua kim nh th kh nng nn ny xut pht t ngun
no l nhiu nht?
6. Cho bit xc sut c lm bi tp v nh ca sinh vin mt trng i hc l 0,65. Chn
ngu nhin 120 sinh vin ca trng. Tm xc sut trong s c
a) 35 sinh vin khng lm bi tp v nh.
b) t 68 n 80 sinh vin c lm bi tp v nh.
7. Mt v thuc c 30 vin thuc, trong c 5 vin km cht lng. Ly ngu nhin 4 vin
thuc. Gi X l s vin km cht lng ly c. Tm quy lut phn phi xc sut v tnh
k vng, phng sai, lch chun ca X.
8. Mt sinh vin thi 5 mn vi xc sut u tng mn u l 0,8. Gi X l s mn anh ta
u. Hy lp bng phn phi xc sut, hm phn phi xc sut v tnh k vng, phng sai,
lch chun ca X.
9. im thi mn Ton ca mt s sinh vin trng i hc M c cho trong bng sau
im 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
S sinh vin 2 4 7 12 24 28 32 25 17 6 3
a) Hy c lng im thi trung bnh mn XSTK v t l u ca sinh vin ton
trng vi tin cy 98%.
b) Mun tin cy khi c lng im thi trung bnh mn XSTK l 95%, sai s
bng na sai s cu a th cn iu tra thm bao nhiu sinh vin?
10. iu tra v thu nhp ca mt s cng nhn trong x nghip MD, ta c bng s liu
sau y:
Thu nhp (triu ng/thng) S cng nhn
1,6 2,0
2,0 2,4
2,4 2,8
2,8 3,2
3,2 3,6
3,6 4,0
5
9
12
18
7
5
a) c lng thu nhp trung bnh ca cng nhn ton x nghip vi tin cy 99%.
b) Nhng ngi c thu nhp trn 3,2 triu ng/thng l ngi c thu nhp cao. Hy
c lng t l cng nhn c thu nhp cao trong x nghip vi tin cy 95%.
Nu x nghip c 1800 cng nhn th s cng nhn c thu nhp cao ti thiu ca
x nghip l bao nhiu?
11. Kho st v khi lng ca mt loi tri cy ti nng trng KKK, ngi ta ghi c
bng s liu sau y:
Khi lng (gam) S tri
100 200
200 300
300 400
400 500
20
50
140
110
3
500 600
600 700
70
10
Quy nh nhng tri cy c khi lng trn 400 gam l tri cy loi mt.
a) c lng t l tri cy loi mt ca nng trng vi tin cy95%?
b) Nu mun c lng t l tri cy loi 1 ca nng trng vi tin cy 99% v
chnh xc 3% th phi iu tra thm bao nhiu tri na?
12. Sau y l kt qu iu tra mc in tiu th hng thng ca mt s h gia nh sinh
sng ti thnh ph H Ch Minh:
Lng in tiu th (Kwh) S h
80 100 14
100 120 16
120 140 28
140 160 20
160 180 9
180 200 8
200 220 5
a) Hy c lng mc in tiu th trung bnh hng thng ca cc h gia nh vi
tin cy 95%. Cho bit gi in sinh hot l 950 ng/kwh. Hy c lng tin in
ti thiu m mi h gia nh phi tr hng thng vi tin cy 95%.
b) Hy c lng t l h gia nh c mc in tiu th mi thng t 160 kwh tr ln
vi tin cy 99%.
c) C thng tin cho rng t l tiu th t 160kw/h tr ln ln hn 25%. Vi mc
ngha 2%. Hy kt lun xem thng tin trn c chnh xc khng.
13. S liu thng k v doanh s bn hng ti mt ca hng trong mt s ngy c ghi
nhn nh sau:
Doanh s (triu ng/ngy) S ngy
24
30
36
42
48
54
60
65
70
5
12
25
35
24
15
12
10
6
a) Hy c lng doanh s bn trung bnh trong mt ngy ca ca hng vi tin
cy 99%.
b) Nhng ngy c doanh s bn t 60 triu ng tr ln l nhng ngy bn t
hng. Hy c lng doanh s bn trung bnh ca mt ngy bn t hng vi
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tin cy 95%. Gi thit doanh s bn hng l i lng ngu nhin phn phi
theo quy lut chun.

14. Theo di s ko X (kg) bn ra trong mt tun ta c bng sau:
Lng ko 0-50 50-100 100-150 150-200 200-250 250-300 300-350
S tun 9 23 27 30 25 20 5
a) c lng s ko trung bnh bn c trong mt tun vi chnh xc 10kg v
tin cy 99 % th cn iu tra thm bao nhiu tun na?
b) Bng cch thay i mu m ngi ta thy s ko bn c trung bnh trong mt tun
l 200kg. Hy kt lun v kt qu trn mc ngha 5%?
c) Nhng tun bn c t 250kg tr ln l nhng tun hiu qu. c lng t l nhng
tun hiu qu vi tin cy 90%.
d) c lng s ko bn c trung bnh trong tun vi tin cy 98%?
15. S liu kho st v khi lng hng bn c (tn/thng) ca mt loi hng mt vng
nh sau:
34 35 36 36 35 37 38 40
40 40 39 39 39 38 38 38
Gi thit khi lng hng bn c l mt i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun.
a) Tm khong c lng vi tin cy 98% cho khi lng hng bn c trung bnh
trong mt thng vng ny.
b) Vi mu trn nu a ra khong c lng vi chnh xc l 0,3 tn/thng th
tin cy ca kt qu l bao nhiu?
16. Sn phm ca mt nh my c ng thnh kin, mi kin 10 sn phm gm 6 loi A
v 4 loi B. Khch hng chn cch kim tra nh sau: t mi kin chn ngu nhin 3 sn
phm nu thy c t nht 2 sn phm tt th nhn kin , ngc li th loi kin . Kim
tra 140 kin hng trong s rt nhiu kin. Tnh xc sut c:
a) 93 kin c chn.
b) T 90 n 110 kin c nhn.
17. Mt ngi cn nhc vic mua c phiu ca 2 cng ty A v cng ty B hot ng trong 2
lnh vc c lp nhau. Bit li sut c phiu (tnh bng %) ca 2 cng ty l cc i lng
ngu nhin phn b theo qui lut chun vi cc tham s c trng nh sau:
Cng ty A:
2
12 3 5 ~ ( ; , ) X N
Cng ty B: 11 2 8 ~ ( ; , ) Y N
a) Nu ngi mun t li sut ti thiu 10% th nn mua c phiu ca cng ty no?
b) Nu ngi mun hn ch ri ro bng cch mua c c phiu ca c 2 cng ty th
nn mua vi t l no mc ri ro v li sut l thp nht.
18. Trng lng ngu nhin ca mt con cu l i lng ngu nhin phn phi theo qui
lut chun vi trung bnh l 25kg v lch chun l 4kg. Chn ngu nhin mt con cu.
Tnh xc sut con cu c trng lng:
a) Nng hn 30kg?
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b) Nh hn 18kg?
c) T 20kg n 27kg?
19. C 3 ca hng 1,2,3 cng kinh doanh mt loi sn phm. T l sn phm loi 1 ca mi
ca hng nh sau: 70%, 75% v 60%. Mt khch chn ngu nhin mt ca hng sau
mua ngu nhin 5 sn phm,
a) Tnh xc sut khch khng mua c sn phm loi A no c?
b) Tnh xc sut khch mua c 3 sn phm loi A khi bit rng trong 5 sn phm
c mua c t nht mt sn phm loi A?
c) Gi s khch mua c 3 sn phm loi A. Tnh xc sut trong 5 sn phm tip theo
khch mua c 4 sn phm loi A?
20. An v Bnh hai ngi cng i thi. Bi thi trc nghim gm 5 cu, mi cu c 5 p n
v ch c mt p n ng. C 2 khng hc bi nn chn nh ngu nhin. Tnh xc sut
s cu ng ca c hai l nh nhau?
21. thu ht khch hng, qun c ph X pht ngu nhin cho mi khch n ung mt
phiu trn c ghi mt ch ci (gi s rng mi khch ch c nhn ti a 1 phiu mt
ngy v khng c khch no khng nhn phiu). n cui tun qun ny s t chc bc
thm chn ra 7 ch tng ng 7 ngy. Nu khch hng 1 ch ng tng ng th c
tng 100.000; nu c 2 ch ng tung ng th c 150.000 cn c t 3 ch ng tng
ng tr ln th c 200.000. Gi s bn ung c ph ti qun ny 4 tun lin tip. Tnh s
tin trung bnh bn nhn c?
22. Mt sinh vin lm bi trc nghim gm 50 cu. Mi cu tr li ng c 4 im, tr
li sai b tr 1 im. Do n bi kh k nn xc sut tr li ng mi cu ca sinh vin l
85%. Nu sinh vin c t 185 im tr ln th c i chi vi ngi yu.
a) Tnh xc sut anh ny b nh? ^_^
b) Bit anh ny c i chi. Tnh xc sut anh ta lm ng c 50 cu?
23. Cho X l bin ngu nhin c phn phi Poisson vi trung bnh . Tnh gi tr bit
rng
( )
1 1 0 8 , P X X = s = .
24. Cho 3 i lng ngu nhin c lp X,Y,Z bit rng X~B(50;0,6), Y~N(250;100) v Z
l tng s chnh phm trong 2 sn phm ly ra t 2 l hng mi l c 10 sn phm. L 1 c
6 chnh phm v l 2 c 7 chnh phm. t 1 ( ). ( ). ( ). T Mod X X Var Y Y P Z Z = + > .
Hy tnh ( ); ( ) E T Var T ?
25. S kw gi in mt h loi A s dng trong thng l X~N(90;100). Mt t dn ph
gm 50 h loi A. Gi in l 3000/kw v ph dch v l 10.000 mt thng vi mi h.
Hy d on s tin in phi tr ca t dn ph trn trong mt thng vi tin cy 95%?
26. Theo di s pht trin chiu cao ca mt loi cy sau mt nm trng ta c bng sau:
Chiu cao 2,5-3,0 3,0-3,5 3,5-4,0 4,0-4,5 4,5-5,0 5,0-5,5 5,5-6,0
Tn s 5 20 25 30 30 23 14
a) Bit chiu cao trung bnh ca loi cy ny sau mt nm l 4,5m. i vi mu trn c
cn tin hnh ci tin k thut tng chiu cao ca cy khng? Kt lun vi mc
ngha 5%.
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b) c lng chiu cao trung bnh ca loi cy ny vi chnh xc l 0,2m th
tin cy l bao nhiu.
c) Nhng cy cao khng qu 3,5m l cy chm ln. c lng chiu cao trung bnh ca
cc cy chm ln vi tin cy 98%. Bit rng chiu cao loi cy ny c phn phi
chun.
d) C ti liu cho rng phng sai ca cc cy chm ln l 0,04 m
2
. Vi mc ngha
5% c chp nhn c kt qu y khng?
27. Tin hnh kho st s go bn hng ngy ti mt ca hng ta c:
S lng (kg) 110-125 125-140 140-155 155-170 170-185 185-200 200-215 215-230
S ngy 5 9 12 25 30 20 13 7
a) Ch hng tuyn b rng nu mi ngy bn khng qu 140kg th ngh bn l tt hn.
T s liu iu tra ca hng kt lun th no vi mc ngha 1%.
b) Nhng ngy bn ra t 200kg tr ln l nhng ngy cao im. c lng s tin bn
c trung bnh trong nhng ngy cao im vi tin cy 95%? Bit go c gi
15000/kg
c) c lng t l ngy cao im vi chnh xc 5% th tin cy l bao nhiu?
28. Ti mt vng rng Vit Nam ngi ta theo di s lng heo rng bng cch eo vng
cho chng. Tin hnh eo vng cho 1000 con. Sau mt thi gian Bt li 200 con th thy c
40 con eo vng. Hy c lng s heo trong vng vi tin cy 99%.
29. Trong mt nh my sn xut vi mch my vi tnh, khi kim tra sn phm xut xng
ngi ta chn ngu nhin 300 vi mch th thy c 13 vi mch khng t yu cu. Gi p l t
l vi mch khng t yu cu ca nh my.
a. Hy xc nh mc ngha nh nht c th bc b gi thit t l vi mch khng t
yu cu l 5%
b. Hy xc nh mc ngha nh nht chp nhn gi thit t l vi mch khng t yu
cu thp hn 5%
30. Cho bin ngu nhin lin tc X c hm mt :
( )
( )
( )
2
0 1
0 0 1
ax+bx , ,
, ,
x
f x
x

=

e


Gi s
( )
0 6 , E X = . Hy tnh:
1
2
P X
| |
<
|
\ .
v Var X .

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