I HC DUY TN

Khoa: Khoa Hc T Nhin

B mn: Ton

Hc phn:
Khi lp:
Hc k: I
Thi gian

THI KT THC HC PHN

L thuyt xc sut v thng k Ton
K14NAD
Nm hc: 2011-2012
lm bi: 90 pht

Cu 1. (3,0 im) Mt ca hng cn li 6 i dp (

mu .

hng.

s:

26

), gm c: 4 i dp mu XANH v 2 i dp

Bn Tram chn ngu nhin 4 i dp trong tng s 6 i dp trong ca

(a) Tnh xc sut bn Tram chn c 3 i dp mu XANH v 1 i dp mu ?

(b) Gi Y l s i dp mu XANH trong tng s 4 i dp c chn.
i. Y c th nhn gi tr y0 no? Tnh xc sut P(Y = 2)?
ii. Tnh trung bnh cho nhng i dp khi bn Tram chn ngu nhin 4 i dp trong ca
hng (ngha l tm E(Y))?
Cu 2. (2,5 im) Bit rng: trong dp n nm mi (
) 2012, gi tin X (n v: triu ng)
1
ca mi tour du lch l mt i lng ngu nhin c phn phi chun vi k vng E(X) = =
2,55 triu ng, v lch chun = 0,5 triu ng. Gi s: mt tour du lch c gi l TOUR
TRN GI khi gi tin X tho mn iu kin: 2,35 triu ng < X < 4,55 triu ng.
(a) Chn ngu nhin 1 (mt) tour du lch tu . Tnh xc sut chn c TOUR TRN GI?
(b)

Bn Tram chn ngu nhin 3 (ba) tour du lch. Cu hi:

i. Tnh xc sut bn Tram chn c 2 TOUR TRN GI?
ii. Tm trung bnh s TOUR TRN GI khi bn Tram chn ngu nhin 3 tour du lch?

Cho bit: (0,4) = 0,155, v (4) = 0,5.

Cu 3. (4,5 im) iu tra v s lng khch n thm cc ca hng kinh doanh thi trang, trong mt
ngy, ti TP. Nng, ngi ta kho st mt mu gm c 36 ca hng kinh doanh thi trang. Theo
di s khch, trong mt ngy, v thu c bng s liu sau y:
S lng khch n thm (xi )
S ca hng (ni )

50
6

70
15

100
11

180
4

(a) Tm trung bnh mu (x), phng sai mu ((

s)2 ), phng sai mu iu chnh (s2 ), v lch
mu iu chnh (s)?
(b) Vi tin cy 96 %, hy tm khong c lng tin cy cho trung bnh s khch n thm
cc ca hng kinh doanh thi trang, trong mt ngy, ti TP. Nng?
(c) C kin cho rng: trung bnh s khch n thm cc ca hng kinh doanh thi trang, trong mt
ngy, ti TP. Nng l 92 khch. Vi mc ngha 5 %, hy kim nh kin l NG
hoc SAI?
Cho bit: (2,05) = 0,48, (1,96) = 0,475. Yu cu: cc kt qu c lm trn n 3 ch s thp
phn, v d: 3,351 54 3,352; 3,351 45 3,351.

T trng B mn

Ging vin ra

NCS. Nguyn c Hin

Nguyn Quang Thi

cho hai ngi trong 3 ngy 3 m.

Trang 1/1- thi s 26