Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Trong :
Qn=
(1)
Qn : lu lng nc bnh qun tng nm
n : s nm quan trc
Trm :Sn ty
TT
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Nm
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
I
906
919
940
916
1260
1210
1890
853
770
1320
1500
1420
1550
1240
1020
1250
1260
1630
1450
1360
1160
1290
1390
1290
1060
1150
Sng:
II
741
721
1090
777
1130
1160
1250
769
730
1010
1140
1140
1300
922
921
1130
987
1400
1180
942
1330
1110
973
1220
1020
977
III
607
744
709
1120
887
1190
921
774
629
874
790
870
1210
747
643
875
785
1670
903
756
873
915
893
915
728
908
Hng
IV
749
1190
622
1280
661
1440
1010
682
575
1310
892
988
1680
784
856
1070
974
1520
1000
1340
1080
1180
837
920
734
1570
V
2910
1140
843
2520
970
1370
1640
816
593
1470
1100
1480
2260
1400
2590
2180
1840
3010
1690
2550
2870
1520
3110
1560
1370
3580
F(km2)136000
VI
6420
6130
3420
5510
3490
5210
5930
2160
795
5590
6710
2930
4690
3190
4490
5910
3700
6040
4560
7090
4420
2020
6780
4500
2010
5830
VII
7280
9860
7990
6600
7500
4840
8030
6390
3760
7360
12200
5110
10200
6190
12100
10900
7320
9360
7300
6240
5820
9030
7320
5980
7570
7930
VIII
11200
5830
9980
9410
9350
11000
7720
7700
4860
5950
9160
8690
10500
14800
9370
18800
784
10500
7100
5430
9510
8160
8170
8650
8430
9800
IX
5950
4000
6390
6070
6620
6560
4460
4430
2920
3670
8530
5450
8080
5220
6780
9360
6720
9840
7630
6070
5420
3940
8380
9670
6740
6920
X
2910
3460
3210
3820
3550
5290
3250
7320
2680
4310
5090
3880
5170
2550
3420
4440
5000
4410
4670
3520
3260
3520
5130
3310
3120
4640
XI
1710
1620
1700
2190
2090
3520
1800
4870
2520
4480
2990
2660
3680
2250
2020
2730
3400
3150
2340
2500
3180
2260
2310
1810
1710
3980
XII
1110
1100
1090
1350
1790
2170
1200
2010
1470
1090
1810
1960
1800
1160
2600
1580
2990
1940
1480
1520
1610
1400
1470
1220
1230
2040
Qi(m3/s)
3541.0833
3059.5
3165.3333
3463.5833
3274.8333
3746.6667
3258.4167
3231.1667
1858.5
3202.8333
4326
3048.1667
4343.3333
3371.0833
3900.8333
5018.75
2980
4539.1667
3441.9167
3276.5
3377.75
3028.75
3896.9167
3420.4167
2976.8333
4110.4167
90858.75
Ta c:Qn = = 3494,57 m /s
Sai s ly mu tng i c tnh theo cng thc :
= x 100%
Tnh ton C theo bng sau ( Bng 2) :
TT
1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Nm
2
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
Qi(m3/s)
3
3541.083
3059.5
3165.333
3463.583
3274.833
3746.667
3258.417
3231.167
1858.5
3202.833
4326
3048.167
4343.333
3371.083
3900.833
5018.75
2980
4539.167
3441.917
3276.5
3377.75
3028.75
3896.917
Ki=Qi/Qn
Ki-1
1.01331
0.875501
0.905786
0.991133
0.937121
1.07214
0.932423
0.924625
0.531825
0.916517
1.237921
0.872258
1.242881
0.964663
1.116256
1.436157
0.852752
1.29892
0.984933
0.937597
0.966571
0.866702
1.115135
0.01331
-0.1245
-0.09421
-0.00887
-0.06288
0.07214
-0.06758
-0.07538
-0.46817
-0.08348
0.237921
-0.12774
0.242881
-0.03534
0.116256
0.436157
-0.14725
0.29892
-0.01507
-0.0624
-0.03343
-0.1333
0.115135
(2)
(Ki - 1)2
6
0.000177
0.0155
0.008876
7.87E-05
0.003954
0.005204
0.004567
0.005682
0.219183
0.006969
0.056606
0.016318
0.058991
0.001249
0.013515
0.190233
0.021683
0.089353
0.000227
0.003894
0.001118
0.017769
0.013256
24
25
26
C =
1979
1980
1981
3420.417
2976.833
4110.417
90858.75
0.97878
0.851845
1.17623
-0.02122
-0.14815
0.17623
0.00045
0.021948
0.031057
0.807858
Thay Cv vo pt (2) ta c: =
*100% = 3,51%
= 122,68 m3/s
mt giy, t mt km
(4)
Q = (5)
C th M =
=25,69
(5)
(7)
(8)
(9)
Nhn xt : H s dng chy dao ng trong khong t 0 n 0,1 ph thuc nhiu yu t khc
nhau nh bc hi, iu kin b mt lu vc v yu t a l, a cht, t ai khc nhau. H s dng
chy cng ln th t l sinh dng chy mt t ma cng ln lng tn tht trn lu vc nh, l sinh
ra s ln vi cng mt lng ma, kh nng gy ngp lt cao (ng bng) v tim n l qut, l ng
(min ni).
BI S 2 : DNG CHY NM THIT K
1 Xy dng ng tn sut kinh nghim
Cc dao ng ca dng chy nm theo thi gian chu nh hng tc ng ca nhiu yu t khc
nhau, v vy khi nghin cu cc dao ng ny, cn s dng cc phng php thng k ton hc. Nu
lit s liu quan trc di, lng dng chy nm thit k c xc nh theo phng ng tn xut.
Tn sut p ca dng chy nm l s nm trung bnh, m nhng nm dng chy nm s bng
hoc ln hn mt gi tr cho trc no (s nm c th hin bng phn trm hoc phn n v).
ng tn sut (hay ng xc sut ly tch) l ng cong tch phn cho ta bit tn sut ly
tch (bng phn trm hoc phn n v) ca mt i lng thy vn no trong ton b dy s liu.
Khi tnh ton cc thng s ng tn sut, cc gi tr i lng thy vn c xem nh mt dy thng
k v c sp xp thnh dy gim dn.
ng tn sut c th c xy dng di dng ng kinh nghim (da trn s liu quan trc)
v di dng ng l lun (da trn l thuyt xc sut thng k).
a) Tnh tun sut xut hin ca cc im kinh nghim
ng tn sut kinh nghim ca dng chy nm c dng theo tn sut ly tch p% ca cc
im kinh nghim, tnh cho mi s hng ca dy s liu cc gi tr dng chy nm theo cng thc
Chgap:
p=
Trong :
x 100%
(10)
Bng 3
Qi(m3/s
TT Nm )
Qsapxep p
Ki=Qi/Qn Ki-1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2.651
195
5019
5
1
6
3541
1.01 0.0133
6.439
195
4539
4
2
7
3060
0.88 -0.124
10.22
195
4343
7
3
8
3165
0.91 -0.094
14.01
195
4326
5
4
9
3464
0.99 -0.009
196
17.80
5
0
3275
4110
3
0.94 -0.063
196
21.59
6
1
3747
3901
1
1.07 0.0721
196
25.37
7
2
3258
3897
9
0.93 -0.068
196
29.16
8
3
3231
3747
7
0.92 -0.075
196
32.95
9
4
1859
5
3541
0.53 -0.468
196
36.74
10
5
3203
2
3464
0.92 -0.083
196
11
6
4326
3442 40.53
1.24 0.2379
12 196
3048
3420 44.31
0.87 -0.128
(Ki - 1)2
6
(ki-1)3
0.000177
0.00000236
0.0155
-0.00192973
0.008876
-0.00083626
7.87E-05
-0.00000070
0.003954
-0.00024861
0.005204
0.00037542
0.004567
-0.00030860
0.005682
-0.00042824
0.219183
-0.10261820
0.006969
-0.00058182
0.056606
0.016318
0.01346777
-0.00208450
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
7
196
8
196
9
197
0
197
1
197
2
197
3
197
4
197
5
197
6
197
7
197
8
197
9
198
0
198
1
4343
3378
3371
3371
3901
3277
5019
3275
2980
3258
4539
3231
3442
3203
3277
3165
3378
3060
3029
3048
3897
3029
3420
2980
2977
2977
4110
1859
8
48.10
6
51.89
4
55.68
2
59.47
63.25
8
67.04
5
70.83
3
74.62
1
78.40
9
82.19
7
85.98
5
89.77
3
93.56
1
97.34
8
1.24 0.2429
0.058991
0.01432777
0.96
-0.035
0.001249
-0.00004412
1.12 0.1163
0.013515
0.00157124
1.44 0.4362
0.190233
0.08297123
0.85
-0.147
0.021683
-0.00319266
1.3 0.2989
0.089353
0.02670944
0.98
-0.015
0.000227
-0.00000342
0.94
-0.062
0.003894
-0.00024300
0.97
-0.033
0.001118
-0.00003736
0.87
-0.133
0.017769
-0.00236850
1.12 0.1151
0.013256
0.00152623
0.98
-0.021
0.00045
-0.00000955
0.85
-0.148
0.021948
-0.00325196
1.18 0.1762
0.031057
0.00547314
90859
26 -2E-05
0.807858
0.02823736
10
Nm/thng
1956-1957
1957-1958
1958-1959
1959-1960
1960-1961
1961-1962
1962-1963
1963-1964
1964-1965
1965-1966
1966-1967
1967-1968
1968-1969
1969-1970
1970-1971
1971-1972
1972-1973
1973-1974
1974-1975
1975-1976
1976-1977
1977-1978
1978-1979
1979-1980
1980-1981
trm:Sn ty
sng Hng
VI
VII
VIII
IX
XI
XII
II
III
IV
6420
6130
3420
5510
3490
5210
5930
2160
795
5590
6710
2930
4690
3190
4490
5910
3700
6040
4560
7090
4420
2020
6780
4500
2010
7280
9860
7990
6600
7500
4840
8030
6390
3760
7360
12200
5110
10200
6190
12100
10900
7320
9360
7300
6240
5820
9030
7320
5980
7570
11200
5830
9980
9410
9350
11000
7720
7700
4860
5950
9160
8690
10500
14800
9370
18800
784
10500
7100
5430
9510
8160
8170
8650
8430
5950
4000
6390
6070
6620
6560
4460
4430
2920
3670
8530
5450
8080
5220
6780
9360
6720
9840
7630
6070
5420
3940
8380
9670
6740
2910
3460
3210
3820
3550
5290
3250
7320
2680
4310
5090
3880
5170
2550
3420
4440
5000
4410
4670
3520
3260
3520
5130
3310
3120
1710
1620
1700
2190
2090
3520
1800
4870
2520
4480
2990
2660
3680
2250
2020
2730
3400
3150
2340
2500
3180
2260
2310
1810
1710
1110
1100
1090
1350
1790
2170
1200
2010
1470
1090
1810
1960
1800
1160
2600
1580
2990
1940
1480
1520
1610
1400
1470
1220
1230
919
940
916
1260
1210
1890
853
770
1320
1500
1420
1550
1240
1020
1250
1260
1630
1450
1360
1160
1290
1390
1290
1060
1150
721
1090
777
1130
1160
1250
769
730
1010
1140
1140
1300
922
921
1130
987
1400
1180
942
1330
1110
973
1220
1020
977
744
709
1120
887
1190
921
774
629
874
790
870
1210
747
643
875
785
1670
903
756
873
915
893
915
728
908
1190
622
1280
661
1440
1010
682
575
1310
892
988
1680
784
856
1070
974
1520
1000
1340
1080
1180
837
920
734
1570
1140
843
2520
970
1370
1640
816
593
1470
1100
1480
2260
1400
2590
2180
1840
3010
1690
2550
2870
1520
3110
1560
1370
3580
nm thy
vn
3441
3017
3366
3322
3397
3775
3024
3181
2082
3156
4366
3223
4101
3449
3940
4964
3262
4289
3502
3307
3270
3128
3789
3338
3250
86939
11
12
= x 100% =
x 100% = 14,37%
C/ H s khng i xng C : khi dy s liu di c th dng cng
thc gn ng tnh
C:
C= =
= 0,212
Sai s tng i tnh theo cng thc:
= x 100%= 247,9%
Nh vy sai s C l qu ln nn ta xc nh n bng cch th dn t s
m=
13
Cs
0,179
0,358
0,537
0,716
0,859
1,704
Cc
i 0,01
l
ng
Kp 1,78
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,5
P%
5
1,74
1,63
1,56
1,53
1,47
1,45
1,33
10
20
50
75
90
95
99
1,24
1,15
0,9
6
335
5
0,9
6
335
5
0,9
5
332
0
0,9
6
335
5
0,9
4
328
5
0,9
6
335
5
0,8
4
293
5
0,8
2
286
5
0,8
3
290
0
0,8
7
304
0
0,8
3
290
0
0,8
4
293
5
0,73
0,63
0,55
Qp
6221 6081 5696 5452 5347 5137 5067 4648 4333 4019
Kp
1,90
Qp
6640 5941 5592 5662 5452 5242 5102 4893 4298 3984
Kp
2,04
Qp
7129 5836 6116 5766 5592 5312 4893 4683 4263 3879
Kp
2,17
Qp
7584 6465 6256 5731 5417 5207 4683 4543 4298 3914
Kp
2,30
Qp
8038 6780 6465 6151 5871 5522 5417 4683 4333 3529
Kp
2,44
Qp
8527 6990 6885 6291 6011 5627 5417 4613 4263 3879
1,70
1,67
1,85
1,94
2,00
1,6
1,75
1,79
1,85
1,97
1,62
1,65
1,64
1,76
1,80
1,56
1,60
1,55
1,68
1,72
1,50
1,52
1,49
1,58
1,61
1,46
1,40
1,34
1,55
1,55
1,40
1,34
1,30
1,34
1,32
1,23
1,22
1,23
1,24
1,22
1,14
1,11
1,12
1,01
1,11
0,67
0,56
0,69
0,60
0,70
0,62
0,70
0,64
0,72
0,66
14
Sau khi iu chnh cc tham s v v c 6 ng tn sut l lun,phn tch bng mt thy rng
ng c cc
tham s Qn=3494,57m /s,Cv=0,179,Cs=1,704 l ng tn sut l lun ph hp vi
yu cu.ly n tra ra cc gi tr nh yu cu tnh ton.
P(%)
0,1%
1%
Qp(m3/s)
6990
5627
NGUYN QUC KHNH_LP:50TH1_MSSV:3795.50
5%
4613
95%
2516
99,9%
1900
15
16
1 Xc nh gii hn cc ma.
Phn b dng chy thng c xc nh theo nm thy vn, bt u t u ma l nm nay v
kt thc vo cui ma kit nm sau. Trn mt trm, thi gian ca tng ma ly chung cho tt c cc
nm c trong dy s liu.
Trong iu kin kh hu nc ta dng chy cc sng chia thnh hai ma r rt. Ma l gm cc
thng lin tc c dng chy trung bnh thng trong nhiu nm ln hn dng chy trung bnh nm trong
nhiu nm, nhng thng cn li thuc mu cn. Gii hn ma i vi cc ng min Bc thng chn l
ma l (5 thng) t thng VI X, v ma cn (7 thng) t thng XI V nm sau, min Trung v min
Nam ma l c th ngn hn, khong 3 4 thng, bt u chm hn (Thng VIII, IX, ) c bit c ni
mt nm ch c 2 thng l v 10 thng cn v ma l bt u rt mun, vo thng 1.
T s liu cho trc ta thy trn sng hng l bt u t thng VI n thng X, ma cn t thng
XI n thng V nm sau. tin cho vic tnh ton v sau, ta lp s liu theo nm thy vn (Bng 5).
17
Nm/thng
1956-1957
1957-1958
1958-1959
1959-1960
1960-1961
1961-1962
1962-1963
1963-1964
1964-1965
1965-1966
1966-1967
1967-1968
1968-1969
1969-1970
1970-1971
1971-1972
1972-1973
1973-1974
1974-1975
1975-1976
1976-1977
1977-1978
1978-1979
1979-1980
1980-1981
VI
6420
6130
3420
5510
3490
5210
5930
2160
795
5590
6710
2930
4690
3190
4490
5910
3700
6040
4560
7090
4420
2020
6780
4500
2010
VII
7280
9860
7990
6600
7500
4840
8030
6390
3760
7360
12200
5110
10200
6190
12100
10900
7320
9360
7300
6240
5820
9030
7320
5980
7570
VIII
11200
5830
9980
9410
9350
11000
7720
7700
4860
5950
9160
8690
10500
14800
9370
18800
784
10500
7100
5430
9510
8160
8170
8650
8430
IX
5950
4000
6390
6070
6620
6560
4460
4430
2920
3670
8530
5450
8080
5220
6780
9360
6720
9840
7630
6070
5420
3940
8380
9670
6740
X
2910
3460
3210
3820
3550
5290
3250
7320
2680
4310
5090
3880
5170
2550
3420
4440
5000
4410
4670
3520
3260
3520
5130
3310
3120
XI
1710
1620
1700
2190
2090
3520
1800
4870
2520
4480
2990
2660
3680
2250
2020
2730
3400
3150
2340
2500
3180
2260
2310
1810
1710
XII
1110
1100
1090
1350
1790
2170
1200
2010
1470
1090
1810
1960
1800
1160
2600
1580
2990
1940
1480
1520
1610
1400
1470
1220
1230
II
919
940
916
1260
1210
1890
853
770
1320
1500
1420
1550
1240
1020
1250
1260
1630
1450
1360
1160
1290
1390
1290
1060
1150
721
1090
777
1130
1160
1250
769
730
1010
1140
1140
1300
922
921
1130
987
1400
1180
942
1330
1110
973
1220
1020
977
III
744
709
1120
887
1190
921
774
629
874
790
870
1210
747
643
875
785
1670
903
756
873
915
893
915
728
908
IV
1190
622
1280
661
1440
1010
682
575
1310
892
988
1680
784
856
1070
974
1520
1000
1340
1080
1180
837
920
734
1570
V
1140
843
2520
970
1370
1640
816
593
1470
1100
1480
2260
1400
2590
2180
1840
3010
1690
2550
2870
1520
3110
1560
1370
3580
nm
thy vn
3441
3017
3366
3322
3397
3775
3024
3181
2082
3156
4366
3223
4101
3449
3940
4964
3262
4289
3502
3307
3270
3128
3789
3338
3250
86939
18
19
Bng 7:Bng tnh cc thng s ca chui thng k dng chy nm(thy vn)
TT
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
Nm/thng
1956-1957
1957-1958
1958-1959
1959-1960
1960-1961
1961-1962
1962-1963
1963-1964
1964-1965
1965-1966
1966-1967
1967-1968
1968-1969
1969-1970
1970-1971
1971-1972
1972-1973
1973-1974
1974-1975
1975-1976
1976-1977
1977-1978
1978-1979
1979-1980
1980-1981
Qintv
3441
3017
3366
3322
3397
3775
3024
3181
2082
3156
4366
3223
4101
3449
3940
4964
3262
4289
3502
3307
3270
3128
3789
3338
3250
86939
Qi sp xp
4964
4366
4289
4101
3940
3789
3775
3502
3449
3441
3397
3366
3338
3322
3307
3270
3262
3250
3223
3181
3156
3128
3024
3017
2082
P
2.755906
6.692913
10.62992
14.56693
18.50394
22.44094
26.37795
30.31496
34.25197
38.18898
42.12598
46.06299
50
53.93701
57.87402
61.81102
65.74803
69.68504
73.62205
77.55906
81.49606
85.43307
89.37008
93.30709
97.24409
Ki=Qi/Qn
1.427438
1.255478
1.233336
1.179275
1.132978
1.089557
1.085531
1.007028
0.991787
0.989487
0.976834
0.96792
0.959868
0.955267
0.950954
0.940314
0.938014
0.934563
0.926799
0.914722
0.907533
0.899481
0.869575
0.867562
0.598696
Ki-1
0.4274376
0.255478
0.233336
0.1792751
0.1329783
0.089557
0.0855312
0.0070279
-0.008213
-0.010513
-0.023166
-0.03208
-0.040132
-0.044733
-0.049046
-0.059686
-0.061986
-0.065437
-0.073201
-0.085278
-0.092467
-0.100519
-0.130425
-0.132438
-0.401304
0
(Ki-1)2
0.182703
0.065269
0.054446
0.03214
0.017683
0.00802
0.007316
4.94E-05
6.74E-05
0.000111
0.000537
0.001029
0.001611
0.002001
0.002405
0.003562
0.003842
0.004282
0.005358
0.007272
0.00855
0.010104
0.017011
0.01754
0.161045
0.613954
(Ki-1)3
0.078094
0.016675
0.012704
0.005762
0.002351
0.000718
0.000626
3.47E-07
-5.5E-07
-1.2E-06
-1.2E-05
-3.3E-05
-6.5E-05
-9E-05
-0.00012
-0.00021
-0.00024
-0.00028
-0.00039
-0.00062
-0.00079
-0.00102
-0.00222
-0.00232
-0.06463
0.043892
20
= =3477,56
C =
= =0,159
C = = = 0,497
Dng ng tn sut l lun kriski-melken.
Ta lp bng 8 sau v tay.
21
Sng:Hng
Cs
0,15
9
0,31
8
0,47
7
0,63
6
0,79
5
0,95
4
Trm:Sn ty
Qn=3477,56,Cv=0,159
P%
Cc
i
ln
g
0,01 0,1
0,2
0,3
0,5
10
20
50
75
90
95
99
Kp
1,61
1,49
1,46
1,43
1,40
1,36
1,32
1,26
1,19
1,11
0,89
0,81
0,76
0,68
Qp
5598.8
72
1.67
5181.6
1.54
5077.2
1.51
4972.9
1.47
4868.6
1.43
4729.5
1.38
4590.4
1.34
4381.7
3
1.27
4138.3
1.22
3860.1
1.12
3095
0.89
2816.8
0.81
2642.9
0.77
2364.7
0.69
5807.5
25
1.74
5355.4
1.58
5251.1
1.54
5112
1.50
4972.9
1.46
4799
1.40
4659.9
1.35
4416.5
1.26
4242.6
1.20
3894.9
1.13
3095
0.89
2816.8
0.82
2677.7
0.78
2399.5
0.71
6050.9
54
1.86
5494.5
1.63
5355.4
1.58
5216.3
1.54
5077.2
1.49
4868.6
1.42
4694.7
1.36
4381.7
3
1.27
4173.1
1.18
3929.6
1.12
3095
0.89
2851.6
0.83
2712.5
0.79
2469.1
0.73
6468.2
62
1.94
5668.4
1.68
5494.5
1.62
5355.4
1.56
5181.6
1.51
4938.1
1.44
4729.5
1.37
4416.5
1.27
4103.5
1.20
3894.9
1.12
0,99
5
3460
.2
0.99
6
3463
.6
0.98
5
3425
.4
0,98
5
3425
.4
0.98
2886.4
0.83
2747.3
0.79
2538.6
0.72
6746.4
66
2.04
5842.3
1.71
5633.6
1.65
5425
1.59
5251.1
1.53
5007.7
1.46
4764.3
1.39
4416.5
1.28
4173.1
1.21
3894.9
1,11
3408
0.98
2886.4
0.83
2747.3
0.80
2503.8
0.74
7094.2
22
5946.6
5738
5529.3
5320.7
5077.2
4833.8
4451.2
8
4207.8
3860.1
3408
3095
0.89
5
3112.
4
0.89
6
3115.
9
2886.4
2782
2573.4
Kp
Qp
Kp
Qp
Kp
Qp
Kp
Qp
Kp
Qp
22
23
vi
t nc
Ma l
Nm
thy vn VI
VII
19661967
6710
12200
Ma cn
VIII
IX
XI
XII
II
III
IV
Qnm
9160
8530
5090
2990
1810
1420
1140
870
988
1480
4366
19561957
6420
7280
11200
5950
2910
1710
1110
919
721
744
1190
1140
3441
19571958
6130
9860
5830
4000
3460
1620
1100
940
1090
709
622
843
3017
Tnh phn b dng chy theo thng v theo ma,tc l tnh t s phn trm gia tng lng nc
trong tng thng v trong tng ma so vi tng lng nc trong c nm.
Tng lng dng chy tng thng(km3)
Wthng = thng.Tthng.10-9
Lu lng trung bnh v tng lng dng chy trong tng ma:
l = ,k l s thng trong ma l v Wthng = Wthngi
cn = ,m l s thng ma cn
Tng lng dng chy c nm: Wnm= Wl + Wcn
Theo ma h s phn phi dng chy c tnh theo cng thc:
l = x100% v cn = x100%
NGUYN QUC KHNH_LP:50TH1_MSSV:3795.50
24
Theo cc thng h s phn b dng chy c tnh theo cng thc sau:
thng = x100%
Kt qu tnh phn b dng chy theo cc ma bng 10 v theo cc thng bng 11 sau:
Bng 12:Phn phi dng chy theo ma (%)(dng phng php phn phi theo nm in hnh)
Nm in
hnh
Nm
thy vn
1966Nhiu nc 1967
1956Trung bnh
1957
Nc
19571958
t nc
Q(m3/s)
Nm
W(km3)
Q(m3/s)
Ma l
W(km3)
(%)
Q(m3/s)
Ma cn
W(km3)
(%)
4366
137.6862
8338
108.0605
78.48317
1528.28571
27.72922
20.13943
3441
108.5154
6752
87.50592
80.63917
1076.28571
19.52813
17.99572
3017
95.14411
5856
75.89376
79.76717
989.142857
17.94701
18.86298
25
ALPHA(%)
90
80
70
60
50
40
Series1
30
20
10
0
1
2
MA
26
M HNH NM TB NC
ALPHA(%)
90
80
70
60
50
40
Series1
30
20
10
0
1
2
MA
27
M HNH NM T NC(1956_1981)
ALPHA(%)
90
80
70
60
50
40
Series1
30
20
10
0
1
2
MA
Nm in hnh
VI
VII
Nhiu nc
Trung bnh Nc
t nc
12.63185
15.33482
16.69989
22.96701
17.38902
26.86148
17.2440811
26.7523319
15.8826017
IX
XI
XII
16.05808
14.21218
10.89715
9.582137
6.950829
9.426038
5.628799
4.084508
4.413347
3.4074
2.651347
2.996717
Cc thng cn
I
II
III
2.673209
2.195124
2.560831
2.146097
1.722181
2.969474
1.6378112
1.7771192
1.9315205
IV
1.859951
2.842435
1.694507
2.786162
2.723005
2.296575
28
M HNH NM NHIU NC
25
BETA(%)
20
15
Series1
10
5
0
1
10
11
12
THNG
29
M HNH NM TB NC
30
BETA(%)
25
20
15
Series1
10
5
0
1
10
11
12
THNG
30
M HNH NM T NC(1956_1981)
30
BETA(%)
25
20
15
Series1
10
5
0
1
10
11
12
THNG
NGUYN QUC KHNH_LP:50TH1_MSSV:3795.50
31
32
33