Professional Documents
Culture Documents
LI M U
Trong nn kinh t th trng hin nay, bt k doanh nghip no khi tin hnh
u t hay sn xut h u mong mun ng tin ca h b ra s mang li li
nhun cao nht. Bn cnh nhng li th sn c th ni lc ti chnh ca doanh
nghip l c s cho hng lot cc chnh sch a doanh nghip n thnh cng.
Vic phn tch tnh hnh ti chnh s gip cc doanh nghip xc nh y v
ng n nguyn nhn mc nh hng ca cc nhn t n tnh hnh ti chnh
ca doanh nghip mnh. Bn cnh , vic lp k hoch ti chnh cng ng mt
vai tr quan trng khng km, n tr thnh kim ch nam cho hot ng ca doanh
nghip, khng c k hoch, doanh nghip s hot ng trong bi cnh m m v
mc tiu ti chnh, d dn n mt kim sot v d gp bt trc. Do chng em
quyt nh chn ti Phn tch v lp k hoch ti chnh di hn v ngn
hn cho cng ty
ti nhm tm hiu, phn tch v nh gi tnh hnh ti chnh, v th qu
trnh hn tch ch yu da vo s bin ng ca cc bo co ti chnh thc hin
cc ni dung: nh gi khi qut tnh hnh ti chnh Cng ty, phn tch s bin
ng cc khon mc trong bo co kt qu kinh doanh, phn tch so snh cc t s
ti chnh, phn tch bo co lu chuyn tin t a ra mt s bin php - kin
ngh nhm ci thin tnh hnh ti chnh Cng ty.
Trong qu trnh thc hin, chng em nhn thy cng ty c phn sa Vit Nam
Vinamilk l mt cng ty hot ng c hiu qu, ngay c trong tnh hnh kinh t
khng my sng sa. Vic tm ti liu phc v cho cng tc nghin cu v phn
tch cng kh d dng do cng ty minh bch ha s liu v cp nht thng
xuyn.
Tuy nhin do phm vi kin thc v phn tch ni ring v kin thc ti chnh
ni chung cn hn hp, nn bi nghin cu khng th khng trnh khi sai st,
mong nhn c s nhn xt, ng gp t c bi nghin cu hon thin hn./.
1
TCDN 14 K33
2
TCDN 14 K33
Ngnh cng nghip sa Vit nam tng trng nhanh trong nhng nm
gn y nh vo s tng trng kinh t y n tng trong thp nin va qua.
ng thi vi s nng cao mc sng ca Vit Nam, khi kh nng c sc v
vic c th mua c cng ngh sn xut ph bin v s ci thin c s h tng
mt cch ng k to iu kin cho s gia tng chung v tnh a dng, cht
lng v sn lng sn phm sa c sn xut ti Vit Nam. Th trng cng
tip nhn s trn vo ca cc cng ty a quc gia.
Tng doanh thu mt hng sa ti Vit Nam tng trng 53,6%, tng
ng khong 418 triu la M nm 2003 ln 642 triu la M nm 2007. Biu
sau y th hin tng doanh s mt hng sa ti Vit Nam t nm 2003 n
nm 2007.
Tng doanh s bn mt hng sa ti
Vit Nam 2003 2007 (Triu la M)
700
642
589
600
530
472
500
418
400
300
200
100
0
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
3
TCDN 14 K33
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2003
2004
Vit Nam
2005
Chu
Bc M
2006
2007
Chu u
1. Thun li
Nng sut sa ca cc h chn nui b sa Vit Nam tng ng vi nhiu
nc trong khu vc ng Nam
T sut sinh li trong khu sn xut ch bin sa cao.
Chnh ph ang c chnh sch h tr cho ngi chn nui b sa v ngnh sa
pht trin.
Thu nhp khu gim lm bnh n gi ngun cung nguyn liu v thnh phm
nhp khu trn th trng sa Theo cam kt gia nhp WTO, mc thu nhp khu,
sa bt cao cp n nm 2012 s mc 25%, tuy nhin hin nay mc 15%,
mt s loi mc thu kh thp nh sa v kem cha c c l 5%, v sa,
kem pha thm cht ngt l 3-7%. Mc thu nhp khu nguyn liu sa cng
tm thi thp hn cam kt vi WTO (hin l 10% so vi 18% cam kt vi
WTO). Do Vit nam vn phi nhp khu khong 73% nguyn liu sa bt, nn
vic gim thu nhp khu hin ti ang c li cho cc cng ty kinh doanh sn
phm sa dng nguyn liu nhp khu. Tuy nhin hin cng ang c nhng kin
t B Nng nghip v Pht trin nng thn ngh tng thu nhp khu bo v
ngnh chn nui b sa trong nc.
Tc tng trng kinh t ca Vit Nam trong 2008 mc d st gim nhng
vn c IMF v World Bank d bo mc 5% hoc hn. Quy m dn s nm
2008 t 86 triu ngi, t l tng dn s khong 1,2%, tc th ha tng dn
vi t l dn s thnh th tng t 25% nm 2003 ln 28% nm 2008 . y l cc
yu t gip kch thch nhu cu tiu th sa trong tng lai.
Trong nhng nm gn y, cc sn phm sa c ngi dn quan tm s
dng nhiu hn, c bit sa bt v sa nc. Hin ti Vit Nam ang l quc gia
5
TCDN 14 K33
Tin thn l Cng ty Sa, Caf Min Nam thuc Tng Cng ty Thc Phm,
vi 6 n v trc thuc l Nh my sa Thng Nht, Nh my sa Trng Th,
Nh my sa Dielac, Nh my Caf Bin Ha, Nh my Bt Bch Chi v Lubico.
Nm 1978 Cng ty c chuyn cho B Cng Nghip thc phm qun l v
Cng ty c i tn thnh X Nghip Lin hp Sa Caf v Bnh Ko I. 1992
X Nghip Lin hp Sa Caf v Bnh Ko I c chnh thc i tn thnh Cng
ty Sa Vit Nam v thuc s qun l trc tip ca B Cng Nghip Nh. 1996
Lin doanh vi Cng ty C phn ng lnh Quy Nhn thnh lp X Nghip
Lin Doanh Sa Bnh nh. Lin doanh ny to iu kin cho Cng ty thm nhp
thnh cng vo th trng Min Trung Vit Nam.
Nm 2003 Chnh thc chuyn i thnh Cng ty C phn vo thng 11 nm
2003 v i tn thnh Cng ty C phn Sa Vit Nam cho ph hp vi hnh thc
hot ng mi ca Cng ty.
Nm 2004 Cng ty thc hin vic mua thu tm Cng ty C phn sa Si
Gn, tng vn iu l ng k ca Cng ty ln con s 1.590 t ng.
7
TCDN 14 K33
C cu cng ty:
Cty TNHH
u t BS
quc t
Cty c phn
BS
Chin Thng
Vit Nam
Cty TNHH
B Sa
Vit Nam
VINAMIL
GROUP
Cty c phn
sa
Lam Sn
Lin doanh
bia
Sabmiler
8
TCDN 14 K33
Tn
Ngy
thnh lp
T l s
Ngnh ngh kinh doanh Vn iu hu
ca
chnh
l
Vinamilk
(%)
Cng ty TNHH
Kinh doanh nh, mi gii,
160
Mt Thnh vin
12/12/2006 kinh doanh bt ng sn,
ng
u t Bt ng
cho thu kho, bn bi
Sn Quc t
100%
64,25%
100%
55%
Cng ty TNHH
Sn xut v kinh doanh bia
13,5 triu
Lin
Doanh
30/06/2006 v nc gii kht hng tri
50%
USD
Sabmiller
Vit
cy c cn thp.
Nam
Ngy 17 thng 2 nm 2009, Cng ty k hp ng chuyn nhng ton b phn
vn gp trong lin doanh cho i tc lin doanh l Sabmiller Asia B.V.
9
TCDN 14 K33
S b my t chc:
Hi ng qun tr :
B MAI KIU LIN - Ch tch Hi ng Qun tr, kim Tng Gim c.
B NG TH THU TRANG - Thnh vin Hi ng qun tr, P.Tng Gim c
Ti chnh.
ng HONG NGUYN HC - Thnh vin Hi ng qun tr.
ng DOMINIC SCRIVEN - Thnh vin Hi ng qun tr.
ng WANG ENG CHIN - Thnh vin Hi ng qun tr.
Ban Gim c
B MAI KIU LIN Tng Gim c.
B NG TH THU TRANG Ph Tng Gim c.
10
TCDN 14 K33
Sn phm
1. C cu doanh thu:
Hin cng ty ang c 4 dng sn phm ch lc l: sa bt, sa c c ng,
sa nc (bao gm sa ti, sa tit trng) v sa chua.
Biu c cu doanh thu theo sn phm nm 2008
Khc, 3%
Sa
chua, 12%
Sa c, 29%
Sa nc, 27%
Sa bt, 29%
Ngun: VNM
Hai dng sn phm m Vinamilk c th phn ln l sa chua v sa c. Trong
khi , hai dng sn phm c t trng cao trong doanh thu l sa bt v sa nc
li c th phn thp. iu ny cho thy, VNM ang b cnh tranh kh mnh trn
th trng.
14
TCDN 14 K33
19%
40%
6%
Sa nc
Sa bt
Sa c
Sa chua
35%
Ngun: VNM
2. Th trng tiu th:
Ch yu nm th trng trong nc, chim khong 80% tng doanh thu.
Doanh thu xut khu ch chim t l 20%. Th trng xut khu ch yu ca cng
ty n t khu vc Trung ng, Campuchia, Philippines v c.
3. V th ca cng ty trong ngnh:
VNM l cng ty sa ln nht c nc vi th phn 37%. Quy m nh my cng
ln nht c nc vi tng cng sut hin nay l 504 nghn tn/nm, t hiu sut
70%.
4. Chin lc pht trin:
- Mc tiu ca Cng ty l ti a ha gi tr ca c ng v theo ui chin
lc pht trin kinh doanh da trn nhng yu t ch lc sau:
- Cng c, xy dng v pht trin mt h thng cc thng hiu cc mnh
p ng tt nht cc nhu cu v tm l tiu dng ca ngi tiu dng Vit Nam.
- Pht trin thng hiu Vinamilk thnh thng hiu dinh dng c uy tn
khoa hc v ng tincy nht vi mi ngi dn Vit Nam thng qua chin lc
p dng nghin cu khoa hc v nhu cu dinh dng c th ca ngi Vit Nam
pht trin ra nhng dng sn phm ti u nht cho ngi tiu dng Vit Nam.
- u t m rng sn xut kinh doanh qua th trng ca cc mt hng nc
gii kht c li cho sc khe ca ngi tiu dng thng qua thng hiu ch lc
15
TCDN 14 K33
17
TCDN 14 K33
VII.
40,00%
35,00%
30,00%
25,00%
20,00%
15,00%
10,00%
5,00%
0,00%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2005
2005
2006
2007
2008
2006
2007
2008
Ngun VNM
QLDN, 2,50%
Chi ph bn
hng, 20,70%
Gi vn hng
bn, 76,70%
Ngun: VNM
Bng 1: Phn tch Dupont Vinamik
2006
2007
2008
ROS
10,5%
14,4%
14,9%
1,7
1,5
1,5
ROAA
17,6$
21,3%
21,9%
1,5
1,3
1,3
ROEA
26,5%
27,3%
27,5%
19
TCDN 14 K33
2006
2007
2008
ROS
2,2%
3,6%
-10,5%
1,61
1,41
1,45
ROAA
3,5%
5,0%
-15,3%
2,45
1,65
1,6
ROEA
8,6%
8,3%
-24,5%
Ngun: VietstockFinance
VNM c kh nng sinh li rt cao. Trong vng ba nm 2005-2008, ch s
ROEA ca Vinamilk lin tc duy tr n nh mc 26%-27%. Cng trong
khong thi gian ny, ch s ROAA ca Vinamilk duy tr mc 17%-21%.
Kt qu ny tt hn nhiu so vi Hanoimilk, mt doanh nghip cng ngnh
ang nim yt sn HaSTC. ROEA ca Hanoimilk ch mc 8% v ROAA
mc 3.5%-5.0% (v li nhun 2008 m, nn ti loi b ch s ca nm
ny).
Quan st bng 1 v 2, chng ta nhn thy cc ch tiu sinh li ca VNM
cao hn so vi Hanoimilk l do li nhun bin t (ROS) ca VNM cao gp
3-4 ln so vi li nhun bin t ca Hanoimilk. Hiu sut s dng ti sn ca
hai doanh nghip ny l gn tng ng nh nhau.
S khc nhau trong li nhun bin t l do Hanoimilk l do hai nguyn
nhn: Th nht, li nhun gp ca VNM l ang c ci thin dn trong
khi ca Hanoimilk li ang gim i, mc d trc li nhun gp ca hai
doanh nghip ny l gn nh nhau.
Th hai, VNM kim sot tt chi ph bn hng t l 40%-50% so vi
li nhun gp. Trong khi , chi ph bn hng ca Hanoimik thng mc
65%-70% so vi li nhun gp. c bit trong nm 2008, chi ph ny
tng vt qu c li nhun gp l nguyn nhn dn n tnh trng thua l.
20
TCDN 14 K33
Li nhun gp
35,00%
30,00%
25,00%
20,00%
15,00%
10,00%
5,00%
0,00%
2005
2006
2007
Vinamilk
2008
Hanoimilk
2005
2006
2007
2008
21
TCDN 14 K33
Bng cn i k ton
M
S
TI SN DI
HN
2007
2008
S TIN
T
TRNG
DI 2,247,390
41.40
S TIN
200 TI SN
HN
210 Cc khon phi
762
thu
219 Phi thu di hn
762
khc
220 Ti sn c nh
1,641,669
Chnh lch
2,779,354
T
TRNG
46.58
S
TIN
531,964
T L
%
23.67
T
TRNG
5.18
0.03
475
0.02
-287
-37.66
-0.01
100.00
475
100
-287
-37.66
0.00
73.05
1,936,923
69.69
295,254
17.98
-3.36
221 Ti sn c nh hu
hnh
222 Nguyn gi
1,022,646
62.29
1,529,187
78.95
506,541
49.53
16.66
1,963,835
119.62
2,618,638
135.2
654,803
33.34
15.58
223 Gi tr hao mn lu
k
227 Ti sn c nh v
hnh
228 Nguyn gi
(941,189)
-57.33
(1,089,451)
-56.25
-148,262
15.75
1.08
20,715
1.26
50,868
2.63
30,153
145.56
1.37
38,771
2.36
79,416
4.1
40,645
104.83
1.74
229 Gi tr hao mn lu
k
230 Chi ph xy dng
c bn d dang
240 Bt ng sn
(18,056)
-1.10
28,548
1.47
46,604
-258.11
2.57
598,308
36.45
356,868
18.42
-241,440
-40.35
-18.03
27,489
0.99
27,489
0.99
241 Nguyn gi
27,489
100
27,489
100.00
245 Gi tr hao mn lu
k
250 Cc khon u t
di hn
251 u t vo cng ty
con
252 u t vo cng ty
lin kt, kinh doanh
258 u t di hn
401,018
17.84
570,657
20.53
169,639
42.30
2.69
78,189
19.50
23,702
4.15
-54,487
-69.69
-15.35
322,829
80.50
546,955
95.85
224,126
69.43
15.35
22
TCDN 14 K33
9.07
243,810
8.77
39,869
19.55
-0.30
95.92
195,512
80.19
-101
-0.05
-15.73
3.93
47,276
19.39
39,259
489.70
15.46
0.15
1,022
0.42
711
228.62
0.27
100.00
5,966,959
100
541,842
9.99
1,073,230
19.78
1,154,432
19.35
81,202
7.57
-0.43
933,357
86.97
972,502
84.24
39,145
4.19
-2.73
9,963
1.07
188,222
19.35
178,259
1789.2
18.28
621,376
66.57
492,556
50.65
-128,820
-20.73
-15.92
5,717
0.61
5,917
0.61
200
3.5
0.00
35,331
3.79
64,187
6.60
28,856
81.67
2.81
426
0.05
3,104
0.32
2,678
628.64
0.27
132,466
14.19
144,052
14.81
11,586
8.75
0.62
128,078
13.72
74,464
7.66
-53,614
-41.86
-6.06
139,873
13.03
181,930
15.76
42,057
30.07
2.73
81,002
57.91
93,612
51.45
12,610
15.57
-6.46
30,000
16.50
32,381
23.15
22,418
12.32
-9,963
-30.77
-10.83
336 D phng tr cp
26,490
mt vic lm
400 VN CH S 4,315,937
HU
410 Vn ch s hu
4,224,315
18.94
35,900
19.73
9,410
35.52
0.79
79.55
4,761,913
79.80
445,976
10.33
0.25
97.88
4,665,715
97.98
441,400
10.45
0.10
411 Vn gp ca ch 1,752,757
s hu
412 Thng d vn c 1,064,948
41.49
1,752,757
37.57
-3.92
25.21
1,064,948
22.82
-2.39
300 N PHI TR
310 N ngn hn
311 Vay v n ngn
hn
312 Phi tr ngi bn
313 Ngi mua tr tin
trc
314 Thu v cc khon
phi np Nh nc
315 Phi tr ngi lao
ng
316 Chi ph phi tr
319 Cc khon phi tr,
phi np ngn hn
khc
330 N di hn
331 Phi tr ngi bn
di hn
333 Phi tr di hn
khc
334 Vay v n di hn
23
TCDN 14 K33
17.63
869,697
18.64
125,157
16.81
1.01
3.23
175,276
3.76
38,963
28.58
0.53
12.45
803,037
17.21
277,280
52.74
4.76
2.12
96,198
2.02
4,576
4.99
-0.10
100.00
96,198
100.00
4,576
4.99
0.00
0.66
50,614
0.85
14,664
40.79
0.19
100.00
5,966,959
100.00
541,842
24
TCDN 14 K33
27
TCDN 14 K33
Nm
2007(triu)
2008(triu)
Tuyt i
(triu)
Tng i
(%)
Vn lu chuyn
2,208,420
2,164,489
-43,931
-1.99%
Nhu cu vn lu
chuyn
1,396,527
1,449,225
52,698
3.77%
2007
6.675.244
2008
Chnh lch Phn trm
8.380.563
1.705.319
25,55%
(137.280)
6.537.964
(171.581)
8.208.982
(34.301)
1.671.018
24,99%
25,56%
(4.836.283) (5.610.969)
1.701.681
2.598.013
(774.686)
896.332
16,02%
52,67%
257.865
264.810
(864.363) (1.052.308)
(204.192)
(297.804)
865.129
1.351.090
6.945
(187.945)
(93.612)
485.961
2,69%
21,74%
45,85%
56,17%
9.383
43.412
415.932
161.874
31.242
1.372
286.672
7,77%
142,16%
43,54%
120.790
30.538
955.381
0
8.017
50
963.448
130.173
73.950
1.371.313
161.874
39.259
1.422
1.250.120
389,70%
2744,00%
29,75%
28
TCDN 14 K33
5.607
7.132
1.525
27,20%
2007
2008
Ngnh
3,4
1,61
3,28
1,45
9.7
3,67
12.7
3.24
19,78%
24%
3,8%
19,35%
125,31%
51,84
14,7%
18%
22,3%
15,23%
21%
26,25%
26,03%
13,23%
14,61%
14,74%
31,65%
16,02%
16,7%
15,23%
3,98
1,205
1,51
4,328
1,38
1,72
5,607
29,25
3,4%
7,132
11,64
8,6%
3,5%
29%
30
TCDN 14 K33
Nm
2007
3.4
1.61
9.7
3,67
Nm
2008
3.28
1.45
12.7
3.24
Dutch
Lady
1,73
1.15
6,71
7.38
1,81
1,7
1,92
1,84
1,4
1,5
1,51
2007
2008
1
0,5
0
Q1
Q2
Q3
32
TCDN 14 K33
T s n trn vn CP =
Tng n phi tr/Vn c
phn = 24% ngha l c 1
ng ti tr bng vn c
phn th c 0,24 ng ti
tr bi cc nh tn dng.
T s n di hn trn vn
CP = N di hn/Vn c
phn = 3,8% ngha l c 1
ng ti tr bng vn c
phn th c 0,038 ng ti
tr bng tn dng di hn.
T s n trn ti sn =
Tng n/Tng ti sn
T s tng ti sn trn vn
c phn = Tng ti
sn/Vn c phn
T s sinh li trn vn c
phn (ROE) = Li nhun
rng/Vn c phn bnh
qun.
34
TCDN 14 K33
2007
26,03%
13,23%
14,61%
2008
31,65%
16,02%
16,7%
35
TCDN 14 K33
14,74%
15,23%
Li nhun gp bin t =
(Doanh thu-Gi vn hng
bn)/Doanh thu
Thu nhp mi c
phn(EPS) = Thu nhp
rng ca c ng
thng/S lng c phn
thng
T s gi trn th trng
Thu nhp mi c phn(EPS)= 7,132, tng 1,525 so
vi nm 2007 cho thy trong nm 2008 c mi c phn
nm gi, c ng ca Vinamilk s thu c 7.132 ng.
C tc mi c phn (DIV) l 2900, khng i so vi
nm 2007.
T sut c tc = C tc
mi c phn/Gi th
trng mt c phn.
T l chi tr c tc = C
tc chi tr mi c
phn/Thu nhp mi c
phn
IV.
38
TCDN 14 K33
Chia
TSSL/ TS (ROA)
21%
Nhn
Tng doanh
thu
8.603.965
Chia
Dthu thun
8.208.982
1- Tng n / TS
80,65%
Vng quay TS
1.38
Dthu thun
8.208.982
Tng ti sn
5.966.959
TS lu ng
3.187.605
Tng chi ph
7.353.845
GVHB
5.610.969
Hng tn kho
1.775.342
Thu TNDN
122.615
TS ngn hn
khc 53.222
Tin mt,u t
ngn hn 712.656
273.149
1.350.112
Chia
VCSH
4.761.913
TS khng lu ng
2.779.354
TSC
1.936.923
Ti sn di hn khc
243.810
598.164
39
TCDN 14 K33
T trng lu
Chnh lch chuyn tin t
cc hat ng
305.055%
956,281
Nm 2008
Nm 2007
1,269,759
313,478
(531,785)
(1,015,978)
484,193
(517,194)
663,413
(1,180,607)
220,825
(39,087)
259,912
-47.658%
-177.960%
-664.958%
Da vo bng trn ta d dng nhn thy, trc nht xt v dng tin hnh thnh
t hot ng trong nm 2008 th dng tin thun t hot ng sn xut kinh doanh
thu cn i chi cn d 1.269.759tr trong khi dng tin thun t hot ng u
t v hot ng ti chnh thu cn i chi cn thiu ht ln lt l 531.785tr v
517.194tr.
Dng tin vo, dng tin ra ca VNM trong nm 2008:
Tng thu
Nm 2008
8.672.651
Nm 2007
8.588.070
Tng chi
8.452.099
8.627.157
42
TCDN 14 K33
HOT NG SN XUT
KINH DOANH
Thu
Chi
Lu chuyn thun
HOT NG U T
Thu
Chi
Lu chuyn thun
HOT NG TI CHNH
Thu
Chi
Lu chuyn thun
Lu chuyn thun trong k
Tin tn u k
Tin tn cui k
Nm 2008
T
S tin
trng
Nm 2007
S tin
T
trng
8,401,484
7,131,725
1,269,759
96.87%
84.38%
6,707,555
6,394,077
313,478
78.10%
74.12%
97,62
629,405
-531,785
1.13%
7.45%
301,038
1,317,016
(1,015,978)
3.51%
15.27%
173,547
2.00%
1,579,477
690,696
-517,149
220,825
117,819
338,654
8.17%
916,064
663,413
-39,087
156,895
117,819
Chnh lch
T
Gi tr
trng
1,693,929
737,648
956,281
-203,418
-687,611
484,193
-
18.39% (1,405,930)
10.62%
-225,368
(1,180,562)
259,912
-39,076
220,835
1. Gi tr
Kho st tnh hnh bin ng dng tin 2 nm 2007- 2008:
a) Hot ng sn xut kinh doanh:
Hot ng sn xut kinh doanh c dng tin thu tng 1.693.929 trd, dng tin
thun hot ng sn xut kinh doanh tng 956.281trd, m bo mc cn i gia
43
TCDN 14 K33
18.77%
10.27%
-2.38%
-7.82%
16.39%
-2.45%
Nm 2008
Nm 2007
8.347.977
6.629.053
(5.839.248) (5.336.844)
(3.104)
(26.971)
(101.861)
53.507
(103.373)
(426)
(11.667)
78.502
(153.257)
(1.057.168)
(891.883)
Theo bng BCLCTT c lp theo phng php trc tip trn y, ta thy:
- Nm 2008 dng tin thu t bn hng cung cp dch v ln hn dng tin
thu trong nm 2007 l 1.718.924 tr, vi t l l 0.25%. Cn ghi nhn v khon
chi cho ngi cung cp hng ha v dch v tng 502.404 tr, tng 9.4%. Nh
trnh by trn, chnh nhng s liu ny cho ta thy c s n lc kim sot chi
ph mt cch cht ch ca cng ty. Lm tng hiu qua hot ng cho cng ty rt
nhiu.
-Nh vy, tm li lung tin t hot ng kinh doanh cung cp thng tin c
bn nh gi kh nng to tin ca VNM t hot ng kinh doanh. Cng ty
c mt tnh hnh ti chnh lnh mnh, trang tri cc khon n, duy tr cc hot
ng, tr c tc v tin hnh cc hot ng u t mi m khng cn n ngun
trang tri t bn ngoi.
b) Hot ng u t:
- Nhn vo bng bo co lu chuyn tin t. Ta thy dng lu chuyn thun
trong hot ng u t l -531,785 tr, dng thu gim 203.418trd, chi gim
687.611trd . y cha hn l mt du hiu xu trong hot ng sn xut kinh
doanh. Mt khc, gi s nu lu chuyn tin thun t hot ng u t dng
(thu>chi) cng cha hn l tt bi l, khi kt qu ca s tin thu do bn ti sn
c nh v thu hi vn u t ti chnh nhiu hn s tin chi ra m rng u t,
mua sm ti sn c nh v tng u t ti chnh. Ni cch khc, iu ny ng
ngha vi mt s thu hp trong hot ng u t.
44
TCDN 14 K33
Nm 2007
(743,965)
2,305
(487,475)
77,964
(80,926)
115,443
(4,650)
105,326
(1,015,978)
- Quay tr li vi tnh hnh thc t ti VNM ta thy, dng tin thun trong
nm 2007, 2008 u l nhng con s m v nh phn tch ni trn th y vn l
mt du hiu tch cc trong hot ng u t. Tuy nhin so vi nm 2007 c s
gim lng tin trong thu v chi. Trc tin, v cc khon thu, hu ht cc khon
thu u gim. Bn cnh l s gim st trong cc khon chi nh chi mua, xy
dng TSC, khng chi u t chng khon, u t cho lin doanh v cng ty con.
Nh vy nhn chung, hot ng u t nm 2008 vn rt kh quan, tuy nhin so
vi nm 2007 th qui m u t c s gim st. Bng chng l trong tnh hnh
th trng chng khon khng my sang sa, cng ty gim lng tin u t
vo chng khon ngn hn v c tri phiu ngn hn mt cch ng k. Thay vo
l s tng ln ca khon u t vo tin gi ngn hn, v mt khon tng nh
trong u t vo cc cng ty con ca VNM. Theo chng ti y l nhng iu
chnh trong quyt nh u t kh hp l gip cng ty ng vng trc nhng kh
khn trong mt nm y kh khn v bin ng nh nm 2008
c) Hot ng ti chnh:
- Hot ng ti chnh c dng thu gim mnh, gim 1.405.930trd, l do trong
nm ch tn ti ngun thu duy nht t vic vay ngn v di hn. Dng chi gim
225.368trd trong gim mnh khon tr n gc vay, gim 367.920trd. S gim
trong c dng chi, thu ca hot ng ti chnh dn n kt qu l dng tin thun
t hot ng ny gim mnh, t tha tin thanh ton sau cn i chi nm 2007,
thnh thiu ht 517.149trd sau cn i chi nm 2008, gim 1.108.562trd.
LU CHUYN T HOT NG TI CHNH Nm 2008
Nm 2007
1,219,447
360,000
(377,883)
173,547
(9,963)
45
TCDN 14 K33
(680,733)
(538,181)
* S liu cho thy dng tin thu t pht hnh c phiu trong nm ca cng
ty l bng 0, so vi nm 2007 l 1.219.477 tr, l do nh hng ca th trng
chng khon nhiu bin ng trong nm. C khon tin vay ngn hn, di hn
nhn c ca cng ty cng gim ng k. Thit ngh y c th l chnh sch ca
cng ty khng ch trng huy ng vn t li vay v nh ta bit, cng ty c mc
c lp ti chnh kh cao, ngun vn ch yu l vn t ch s hu. khon c
tc chi tr cho c ng cng cho thy cng ty thc hin nh li ha ca mnh, duy
tr mc tr c tc khng thp hn mc bnh thng. Chnh nhng khon ny l
nguyn nhn ch yu lm cho lu chuyn tin thun trong hot ng ti chnh ca
cng ty gim r rt.
- Nh vy trong nm 2008 hot ng ti chnh khng mang li ngun thu
cho cng ty, nhng qua cng th hin s c lp trong ti chnh ca cng ty.
Cng ty cn c nhng k hoch ti chnh tt hn, gip cn i ngun thu ti chnh,
lm gia tng dng tin cho cng ty trong tng lai.
2. T trng
Quan st c cu dng tin qua 2 nm 2007-2008.
CH TIU
HOT NG SN XUT KINH DOANH
Thu
Chi
Lu chuyn thun
Nm 2008
T trng
Nm 2007
T trng
Chnh lch
T trng
96.87%
84.38%
78.10%
74.12%
18.77%
10.27%
46
TCDN 14 K33
Nm 2008
t trng
Nm 2007
t trng
chnh lch
t trng
1.13%
7.45%
3.51%
15.27%
-2.38%
-7.82%
b) Hot ng u t :
C t trng ngun thu, chi gim hn mt na so vi nm 2007. S gim ny
th hin xu hng gim dn s thiu ht tin, y cng l du hiu thch hp ca
giai on thu hp u t
- Hot ng u t khng k n u t ti sn c nh l nt c trng ca
doanh nghip trong nn kinh t th trng. Tin t lun c tnh ton theo gi tr
thi gian, mi ng tin u c mi trng lu chuyn thng sut trong ch
yu l th trng chng khon. Ngoi ra doanh nghip thng u t vo cc lnh
vc di hn khc : u t kinh doanh bt ng sn, cho thu di hn ti sn c
nh, lin doanh, hn vnnhm mc ch tm kim ngun thu nhp n nh lu
di. Do , nhn thy tnh hnh chung ca nn kinh t, VNM thu hp khon u
t ca mnh vo th trng chng khon v khon cp & gp vn ca mnh li,
dn n s st gim trong t trng ca thu & chi hot ng u t so vi tng
dng tin vo.
CH TIU
HOT NG TI CHNH
Thu
Chi
Nm 2008
T trng
Nm 2007
T trng
chnh lch
T trng
2.00%
8.17%
18.39%
10.62%
-16.39%
-2.45%
c) Hot ng ti chnh
T trng ngun thu gim mnh t 18,39% xung cn 2%, t trng ngun chi
cng gim nhng gim t hn, gim 2,45%. Nh cp phn trn th ngun
47
TCDN 14 K33
50
TCDN 14 K33
2007
2008
200
TI SN DI HN
1,604,142
2,247,390
2,779,354
210
860
762
475
219
860
762
475
220
Ti sn c nh
1,071,980
1,641,669
1,936,923
221
Ti sn c nh hu hnh
746,661
1,022,646
1,529,187
222
Nguyn gi
1,573,283
1,963,835
2,618,638
223
Gi tr hao mn lu k
(826,622)
(941,189)
(1,089,451)
227
Ti sn c nh v hnh
9,141
20,715
50,868
228
Nguyn gi
21,504
38,771
79,416
229
Gi tr hao mn lu k
(12,263)
(18,056)
28,548
230
316,178
598,308
356,868
240
Bt ng sn
27,489
241
Nguyn gi
27,489
245
Gi tr hao mn lu k
250
Cc khon u t di hn
413,901
401,018
570,657
251
u t vo cng ty con
252
122,701
78,189
23,702
258
291,200
322,829
546,955
259
D phng gim gi u t di hn
260
Ti sn di hn khc
117,401
203,941
243,810
261
Chi ph tr trc di hn
117,296
195,613
195,512
262
8,017
47,276
268
Ti sn di hn khc
105
311
1,022
270
TNG CNG TI SN
3,600,533
5,425,117
5,966,959
NGUN VN
300
N PHI TR
862,150
1,073,230
1,154,432
310
N ngn hn
754,356
933,357
972,502
51
TCDN 14 K33
Vay v n ngn hn
17,883
9,963
188,222
312
Phi tr ngi bn
436,869
621,376
492,556
313
2,350
5,717
5,917
314
33,589
35,331
64,187
315
426
3,104
316
Chi ph phi tr
85,821
132,466
144,052
319
177,844
128,078
74,464
330
107,794
139,873
181,930
331
Phi tr ngi bn di hn
41,235
81,002
93,612
333
Phi tr di hn khc
2,700
30,000
334
Vay v n di hn
42,345
32,381
22,418
336
D phng tr cp mt vic lm
21,514
26,490
35,900
400
VN CH S HU
2,378,383
4,315,937
4,761,913
410
Vn ch s hu
2,683,699
4,224,315
4,665,715
411
Vn gp ca ch s hu
1,590,000
1,752,757
1,752,757
412
Thng d vn c phn
54,217
1,064,948
1,064,948
417
Qu u t pht trin
580,103
744,540
869,697
418
Qu d phng ti chnh
88,141
136,313
175,276
420
371,238
525,757
803,037
430
54,684
91,622
96,198
431
54,684
91,622
96,198
500
Li ch ca c ng thiu s
35,950
50,614
440
3,600,533
5,425,117
5,966,959
2006
6.289.440
(43.821)
6.245.619
2007
6.675.244
(137.280)
6.537.964
2008
8.380.563
(171.581)
8.208.982
(4.678.114)
1.567.505
(4.836.283)
1.701.681
(5.610.969)
2.598.013
74.253
257.865
264.810
52
TCDN 14 K33
(49.227)
(859.396)
(112.888)
620.247
51.397
(8.870)
662.774
(2.884)
659.890
VN
4.150
Li c bn trn c phiu
(25.862)
(864.363)
(204.192)
865.129
120.790
30.538
955.381
0
8.017
50
963.448
VN
5.607
(197.621)
(1.052.308)
(297.804)
1.351.090
130.173
73.950
1.371.313
161.874
39.259
1.422
1.250.120
VN
7.132
Nm 2006
10,76%
74,90%
Nm 2007
4,7%
73,97%
Nm 2008
25,56%
68,35%
34,10%
247,28%
2,69%
7,59%
5,50%
64,44%
8,29%
13,93%
9,90%
20,78%
22,09%
24,06%
12,21
7262,3
6,47
1,18%
34,29%
16,13%
22,91%
13,02%
5,06%
11%
19%
18,43%
7,39
6346,8
3,67
0,08%
0,01%
19,30%
33,94%
11,53%
1,09%
11%
29,00%
22,19%
12,7
17282,1
3,24
0,95%
4,35%
17,33%
34,52%
10,05%
2,34%
11%
29%
20,57%
53
TCDN 14 K33
2009F
2010F
2011F
9,87%
9,72%
10,58%
0,72
0,72
0,71
33,95%
33,93%
14,26%
25,84%
31,93%
40,74%
10,71%
11,51%
10,71%
22,31%
22,82%
23,06%
10,77
10,28
11,25
10297,08
11308,67
12962,61
4,46
3,79
3,83
54
TCDN 14 K33
0,74%
0,59%
0,76%
12,88%
5,75%
7,66%
17,59%
18,07%
17,66%
30,46%
32,97%
32,65%
11,53%
11,04%
10,87%
2,83%
2,09%
2,42%
11%
11%
11%
29%
29%
29%
20,40%
21,05%
20,67%
Nm 2009F
Gi vn hng bn
Doanh thu TC
Chi ph TC ko c li vay
= (4)x7
Chi ph li vay
Li nhun thun
= nh (*)
Li nhun khc
C tc trn mi c phiu
Bo co KQHKD
Doanh thu thun v bn hng v cung cp
dch v
Gi vn hng bn
Doanh thu TC
Chi ph TC ko c li vay
2009
2010
2011
9.019.208,52
9.895.875,59
10.942.859,23
6.530.577,70
7.083.129,53
7.745.137,60
354.713,00
475.067,11
542.811,68
91.675,36
151.688,55
221.132,18
55
TCDN 14 K33
37.696,17
31.115,46
38.730,03
1.457.070,95
1.616.513,42
1.786.378,28
1.256.901,34
1.488.495,75
1.694.292,84
134.562,32
171.343,29
181.385,62
1.391.463,66
1.659.839,04
1.875.678,45
153.061,00
182.582,29
206.324,63
1.238.402,66
1.477.256,74
1.669.353,82
VN
VN
VN
7065
8428
9524
2048
2444
2762
Nm 2009F
Khon mc cn i
Khng i
=Gi vn hng bn /(7)
=Gi vn hng bn/ (9)
=(10) x Gi vn hng bn
=Gi vn hng bn/(8)
=( (14) x Ti sn c nh)
=(13) x gi vn hng bn
Khng i
=(11) x Gi vn hng bn
= Ti sn di hn + ti sn ngn hn
=(12) x Gi vn hng bn
Khng i
Khng i
=(1- (17)) x Li nhun sau thu
=N phi tr+ Vn c phn
56
TCDN 14 K33
NI DUNG
Ti sn ngn hn
Tin v cc khon tng ng tin
Cc khon u t ti chnh ngn hn
Cc khon phi thu ngn hn
Hng tn kho
Ti sn ngn hn khc
Ti sn di hn
Cc khon phi thu di hn
Nguyn gi
Khu hao
Ti sn c nh
Cc khon u t ti chnh di hn
Ti sn di hn khc
Tng Ti sn
N phi tr
N ngn hn
N di hn
Vn ch s hu
Vn gp ch s hu
Thng d vn c phn
Li nhun gi li
Qu u t pht trin
Qu d phng ti chnh
Qu khen thng phc li
2009F
2010F
2011F
3.034.863,49
3.740.195,38
3.946.954,46
541.801,87
766.721,93
803.438,53
374.002,00
374.002,00
374.002,00
606.615,38
688.743,58
688.462,18
1.464.255,09
1.868.899,61
2.022.229,14
48.189,15
41.828,26
58.822,61
3.401.671,46
3.313.911,41
3.693.345,17
634,22
626,35
597,50
2.218.511,60
2.593.418,20
2.803.836,44
229.409,75
257.800,31
274.980,32
1.989.101,85
2.335.617,88
2.528.856,12
570.657,00
570.657,00
570.657,00
841.278,39
407.010,18
593.234,55
6.436.534,95
7.054.106,79
7.640.299,64
1.384.999,40
1.587.510,91
1.767.702,05
1.148.490,40
1.280.049,21
1.368.001,84
236.509,00
307.461,70
399.700,21
5.051.535,56
5.466.595,87
5.872.597,58
1.752.757,00
1.752.757,00
1.752.757,00
1.064.948,00
1.064.948,00
1.064.948,00
879.265,89
1.048.852,29
1.185.241,22
993.537,27
237.187,13
123.840,27
6.436.534,95
1.141.262,94
311.049,97
147.725,67
7.054.106,79
1.308.198,32
394.517,66
166.935,38
7.640.299,64
Tng Ngun Vn
Ch : Tin v cc khon tng ng tin l khon mc cn i cho Tng Ti sn=
Tng Ngun Vn
57
TCDN 14 K33
2007
2008
117.819
654.485
1.675.164
654.720
75.539
3.177.727
338.654
374.002
1.775.342
646.385
53.222
3.187.605
2.388.977
141587
2.247.390
5.425.117
2.947.951
168597
2.779.354
5.966.959
9963
923.394
933.357
139.873
4.351.887
5.425.117
188222
784280
972502
181930
4.812.527
5.966.959
Ti sn lu ng
Tin mt
Chng khon th trng
Hng tn kho
Khon phi thu
Ti sn lu ng khc
Tng ti sn lu ng
Ti sn c nh
Tng u t
Tr khu hao
Ti sn c nh thun
Tng ti sn
N ngn hn
Vay ngn hng
Khon phi tr
Tng n ngn hn
N di hn
Vn c phn v li nhun gi li
Tng n v vn c phn
QU1
646.860.000.000
2.068.581.464.981
QU2
690.987.759.537
2.675.245.439.116
QU 3
657.607.978.416
2.997.653.134.991
QU 4
737.608.915.160
3.608.575.140.122
1.555.366.403.519
2.011.517.045.671
2.253.827.655.943
2.713.287.647.858
469.023.028.202
697.108.174.566
663.824.542.304
743.717.742.791
2.024.389.431.721
691.052.033.260
2.708.625.220.237
657.607.978.416
2.917.652.198.247
737.608.915.160
3.457.005.390.649
889.178.664.633
58
TCDN 14 K33
Ngun tin mt
Thu t khon phi thu
Khc
Tng ngun
S dng tin mt
Thanh ton cc khon phi tr
Chi ph lao ng, hnh chnh v chi
ph khc
Chi tiu vn
Thu, tin li v c tc
Tng s dng
Ngun tr i phn s dng
Tnh ton nhu cu ti tr ngn hn
1. Tin mt u k
2. Thay i s d tin mt( ngun tr
s dng)
3. Tin mt cui k
4. S d tin mt ti thiu
5. Ti tr ngn hn tch ly cn thit
3 QU
QU 4
7.556.484.984.870
0
7.556.484.984.870
3.457.005.390.649
0
3.457.005.390.649
1.345.625.880.909
1.384.999.000.000
1.160.907.205.510
296.163.794.490
2.175.235.907.695
268.983.724.998
4.950.752.719.112
-2.605.732.265.758
1.226.435.092.305
44.349.615.384
2.951.947.502.179
505.057.888.470
338.653.634.582
-2.267.078.631.176
-2.605.732.265.758
505.057.888.470
-2.267.078.631.176
338.653.634.582
2.605.732.265.758
-1.762.020.742.706
338.653.634.582
2.100.674.377.288
III. nh gi
1. Phng php dng tin t do:
Nm 2009
Nm 2010
Nm 2011
1.238.402,66 1.477.256,74 1.669.353,82
229.409,75
257.800,31
274.980,32
37.696,17
31.115,46
38.730,03
-152.751,51
705.331,89
206.759,08
175.988,00
131.558,82
87.952,63
-400.126,40
374.906,59
210.418,25
2.234.374,49
817.492,85 1.653.839,47
Dng tin = Li nhun sau thu+ khu hao+ chi ph li vay- gia tng trong
TSNH + gia tng trong n NH -gia tng trong nguyn gi TSCD.
59
TCDN 14 K33
2009
24.51%
5.06%
2010
27.02%
1.09%
2011
28.43%
2.34%
N
3%
19.35%
Vn c phn
26.55%
80.65%
22%
Dng tin
PV
2010
817492.8453
549242.7072
2011
1653839.47
910780.7864
910780,7864 *1,07
= 6496903
0,22 0,07
60
TCDN 14 K33
66,50
140,00
175.275.670
127.558
61
TCDN 14 K33
63
TCDN 14 K33
64
TCDN 14 K33