Lc Hng University Chi on 11QT311 1.

nh lut Okun

CNG THC KINH T V M

Khi sn lng thc t (Yt) thp hn sn lng tim nng( Yp) 2% th tht nghip s tng thm 2%.

Ut = Un +

* 50

Khi tc ca sn lng thc t cao hn tc tng ca sn lng tim nng 2.5% th tht nghip gim 1% Ut = U-1 0.4(y-p)

2. Cng c iu tit kinh t v m. Chnh sch ti kha Chnh sch ngoi thng - Chnh sch suy thoi - Chnh sch thu nhp

Nu: Yt > Yp : Lm pht Nu: Yt < Yp : Suy thoi Nu: Yt Yp : n nh 3. Tng cung AS 4. Tng cu AD 5. Hc trong ti liu (cc ch tiu SNA) h thng ti khon quc gia. 6. H thng sn xut vt cht MPS 7. 3 cch tnh GDP t(Ig) Chi tiu Cp : G= Cg + Ig Xut khu (X) nhp khu (M): NX= X-M
(b) Yh: B0nSmith_sky 1

Khu hao (De)

u t(I)

Tiu dung (C)

Tit kin (S): S=DI-C ( DI l thu thp kh dng) Thu (Tx) 2 loi ( thc thu (Td) v gin thu(Ti)) Chi chuyn nhng: Tr Chi mua hng ha v dch v chnh ph (G) chi cho tiu dng(Cg) v u

Tin lng (W) Li nhun (Pr)

Tin cho thu (R)

Tin li (i)

7.1 Tnh GDP theo phng php sn xut. Gi tr gia tng VA ( GDP =VAi ) 7.2 Tnh GDP theo PP phn phi. GDP= De+W+R+i+ Pr+ Ti 7.3 Tnh GDP theo PP Chi tiu GDP=C+I+G+X-M ( X-M : Xut khu rng) 8. Tc tng trng bnh qun. Ch tiu nm cui -1 Ch tiu nm u Tc tng hng nm: phn nh phn trn thay i ca sn lng nm sau so vi nm trc. Vt = Ch tiu nm t ch tiu nm (t-1) /ch tiu nm (t-1) x100 X 100

n-1 Vtb =

9. Tnh GDP n cc chi tiu khc. Tng sn phm quc dn : Sn phm quc dn rng: Thu nhp quc dn: Thu nhp c nhn: cho CP) Thu nhp kh dng: DI=PI-thu thu nhp c nhn. GNP=GDP+NIA NNP=GNP-De NI=NNPmp-Ti PI=NI-Pr+Tr ( Pr li nhn gia li v np

CHNG 3: L THUYT XC NH SN LNG CN BNG

DD tng cu = DD tng cung 1. Thu nhp kh dng (Yd) Yd = Y-Tx+ Tr ( Chng ny gi nh nn kt ng ca v khng c chnh ph ) nn khng tn ti Tx v Tr : Yd=Y hay Yd=C+S vi ( C: tiu dung; S: tit kim) 2. Tiu dng bin (Cm) Tit kim bin (Sm)
(b) Yh: B0nSmith_sky 2

Cm =

Yd C S

Sm =

Yd

Cm+Sm =

Yd

Yd

H qu: Cm+ Sm = 1 Hm tit kim: S=f(Yd)

3. Hm tiu dng: C= f(Yd)

4. Hm C v hm S c dng tng qut: C = C0 + Cm.Yd S = -C0 + (1-Cm).Yd H s (1-Cm) chnh l Sm C0 > 0 v 0< Cm<1 5. Hm u t theo sn lng: Hm u t tng qut: Hm u t theo sn lng v li xut : I = f(Y) I = Io + Im.Y (Im u t bin) I = f(Y,r)

6. Tng cu: nn kinh t khng c chnh ph nn AD = C + S Vi C = Co + Cm.Yd = Co +Cm.Y I = Io + Im.Y AD = (Co+Io) + (Cm+Im) .Y 7. Xc nh sn lng cn bng: Y = AD c hai phng php xc nh sn lng cn bng. Da vo th tng cu: AD = C+I+G+X-M Da vo th tit kim: I=S 8. Sn lng cn bng v s nhn ca tng cu: Y = k. AD
1 1

Trong : AD = C + I

k=

1- Cm - Im

hay k =

Sm - Im

CHNG 4: CHNH SCH TI KHA V NGOI THNG

1. Ngn sch chnh ph v thu nhp kh dng: Trong Chng 2 ta c: Yd= Y-Tx+Tr = Y (Tx-Tr) Gi T = Tx-Tr l thu rng khi Yd = Y-T Hm thu rng theo sn lng T ta c T=T0 + TmY Thu rng v hm tiu dng: Chng 3 ta c C=C0 + CmYd Nu khg c CP th C=C0 + CmY Nu c CP th Yd= Y-T, vi T=T0 + TmY
(b) Yh: B0nSmith_sky 3

Ta c C=C0 + Cm(Y-T) = C0 + Cm (Y- T0 + TmY) = C0 + CmY CmT0 CmTmY = (Co CmT0) + Cm (1- Tm)Y Hm nhp khu theo sn lng: M = Mo +Mm.Y 2. 3 phng php xc nh SLCB. PP1: Trn th tng cu: Y=AD=C+I+G+X-M PP2: SLCB trn th bm vo rt ra : S+T+M = I+G+X PP3: SLCB trn th tit kim v u t: (S+Sg)+(M-X)=I +Ig 3. S nhn ca tng cu Y = KAD Trong : AD = C +I + G + X - M 1 K= 1- Cm(1-Tm)-Im+Mm 4. Chnh sch ngoi thng Chnh sch gia tng xut khu: Khi XK tng them mt lng X th AD tng tng ng AD = X 9. Y= k. AD =k. X i vi cn cn thng mi: Khi sn lng tng thm mt lng Y s lm cho nhp khu tng M = Mm. Y tc l M = Mm.k. X 5. Chnh sch ti kha Yt<Yp: Y=Yp-Yt phi tng AD sao cho : AD= tng AD c 3 cch: Tng G v T khng i: G = AD Gim T v G khng i: Chnh ph gim 1 lng thu l T nn thu nhp kh dng tng: Yd = -T => lm tng tiu dng h g : C = Cm. Yd=-CmT m C l nhn t trc tip tc ng n AD do AD = C = - Cm.T Vy: T =
- AD Cm -Y Y K

K.Cm

(b) Yh: B0nSmith_sky