Cu 1. Ln I rt 2 l bi trong b bi 52 l trn bn.

Ln II rt thm 2 l na

trn bn. Sau khoanh NN 2 l. X l s l c c trong 2 l khoanh sau

cng.
a/ Tm phn phi XS ca X
b/ Tnh XS trong 2 l ch c 1 con c.
Gii
Thc cht rt 2 ln (2 l, 2 l) th tng ng vi rt 1 ln 4 l.
Gi Aj l bin c trong 4 l c j l c. Aj = 0,1,2,3,4 j=0,1,2,3,4, h Aj l 1 h y
ngoi.Tnh P(Aj)

P( A0 ) =

C130 C394
82251
6327
=
=
,
4
C52
270725 20825

P( A1 ) =

C131 C393 118807

9139
=
=
,
4
C52
270725 20825

P( A2 ) =

C132 C392
57798
4446
=
=
,
4
C52
270725 20825

P( A3 ) =

1
C133 C39
11154
858
=
=
,
4
C52
270725 20825

P( A4 ) =

C134 C390
715
55
=
=
, P( A0 ) + P( A1 ) + P( A2 ) + P( A3 ) + P( A4 ) =1
4
C52
270725 20825

a/ Tm phn phi XS ca X= 0, 1, 2. By gi c 4 l bi trn bn, rt 2 trong 4 l.

Vi X= k= 0,
P( X = 0 ) = P( A0 ) P X = 0 + P( A1 ) P X = 0 + P( A2 ) P X = 0 + P( A3 ) P X = 0 +
A0
A1
A2
A3

P( A4 ) P X = 0
A4

C1 3 1
C2
P X = 0 = 42 = 1 , P X = 0 = 32 = = ,
A0 C
A1 C

6 2
4
4
C2 1
P X = 0 = 22 = , P X = 0 = 0 , P X = 0 = 0
A2 C
A3
A4

6
4

P(X = 0) = 0.3038 + 0.2194 + 0.0356 + 0 = 0.5588

Vi X = k tng qut,
Do ta xt trong 2 l rt ln II c k l c.
k 2 k
X = k = C i C 4 i
P
Ai (4 l) = (4- i, i l c )
Ai

C 44

Suy ra
P(X=1) = 0 + 0.2194 + 0.1423 + 0.0206 + 0 = 0.3824
P(X=2) = 0 + 0.0356 + 0.0206 + 0.0206 + 0.0026 = 0.0588
P(X=3) = 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 + 0= 0.0
P(X=4) = 0 + 0 + 0 +0 + 0 + 0= 0.0
Nhn xt: P(X=1)+ P(X=2)+ P(X=3)+ P(X=4)
= 0.5588 + 0.3824 + 0.0588 + 0 + 0= 1
b/ Tnh XS trong 2 l ch c 1 l c = P(X=1) = 0.3824.
BI 3
Gi Ai l bin c ln I c i l c, i = 0, 1 ,2

C130 C 392
741
P(A0)=
=
2
1326
C 52

1
1
C13
C 39
507
P(A1)=
=
2
1326
C 52

C132 C 390
78
P(A2)=
=
2
1326
C 52

Gi B l bin c ln II rt c l c khi ln I rt 2 l c
A
C111 11
P( )= 1 =
A2
C 50 50

Gi A l bin c rt 3 l c
A

P(A) = P( A2 )P( A ) =
2

78 11
11

=
850
1326 50

b/ B l bin c rt ln II c 1 l c vi khng gian y Ai,i=0,1,2

B

P(B) = P( A0 )P( A ) + P( A1 )P( A ) + P( A2 )P( A )

B
C131
13
Trong P(
)= 1 =
A0
C 50 50

B
C12
12
P( A ) = 1 =
1
C 50
50

B
C111
11
P( ) = 1 =
A2
50
C 50

P(B)=

507 12
741 13
1
78 11

+
+
= = 0.25
4
1326 50 1326 50 1326 50

c/ Ta tnh XS y trong
A
P( 0
B

)=

P( A0 ) P(

B
741 13
)

A0 = 1326 50 = 0.581

P( B)

507

0.25
78 11

A2
1326
50 = 0.052
P( ) =
B
0.25

12

P ( 1 ) = 1326 50 = 0.367
B
0.25

K vng Mx = (1) 0.581 + 2 0.367 + 5 0.052 = 0.413

Vy trong tr chi ti c li.
Bi 4: Mt hp ng 5 chai thuc trong c 1 chai gi. ngi ta ln lt kim
tra tng chai cho ti khi pht hin c chai thuc gi th thi( gi thit cc
chai phi qua kim tra mi xc nh c l thuc gi hay tht). Lp lut phn
phi xc sut ca s chai c kim tra.
Bi gii:
X
PX
P[X=1] =

1
0.2

2
0.16

3
0.128

1
= 0,2
5

P[X=2] = P[ A1 .A2 ] = 0,8.0,2 = 0,16

P[X=3] = P[ A1 . A2 . A3 ] =0,8.0,8.0,2 = 0,128
P[X=4] = P[ A1 . A2 . A3 . A4 ] = 0,8.0,8.0,8.0,2 = 0,1024

4
0.1024

5
0.4096

P[X=5] = P[ A1 . A2 . A3 . A4 . A5 ] =0,8.0,8.0,8.0,8.0,2 = 0,4096

Cu 5: Ba ngi cng lm bi thi. Xc sut lm c bi ca sinh vin A l 0,8;
ca sinh vin B l 0,7; ca sinh vin C l 0,6. Xc sut c 2 sinh vin lm c
bi.
Bi lm:
Gi A, B, C ln lt l xc sut lm c bi ca 3 sinh vin A, B, C.
D l xc sut c 2 sinh vin lm c bi.
A=0,8; B=0,7; C=0,6.
Ta c:
D = (A B C) (A B C) (A B C )
P
=P
+P
+P
(D)
(ABC)
(A BC)
(AB C )

V A, B, C c lp nn:
P
= P .P .P + P .P .P + P .P .P
(D)
(A) (B) (C)
(A) (B) (C)
(A) (B) (C )

= 0,2.0,7.0,6 + 0,8.0,3.0,6 + 0,8.0,7.0,4

= 0,451.
Vy xc sut c 2 sinh vin lm c bi l : 0,451.

Cu 6.
Chia ngu nhin 9 hp sa (trong c 3 hp km phm cht) thnh 3 phn
bng nhau. Xc sut trong mi phn u c 1 hp sa km cht lng.
Bi Gii
Gi Ai l hp th i c ng mt sn phm xu:
C = A1A2A3

(vi i = 3)

Vy xc sut trong mi phn u c mt sn phm km cht lng l:

P(C) = P(A1).P(A2/A1).P(A3/A1A2)

C62C31 C42C21
15.3.6.2 9
. 3 .1 =
=
.
3
C9
C6
84.20
28

Bi 7:
Mt tr chi c xc sut thng mi vn l 1/50. Nu mtngi chi 50 vn th
xc sut ngi ny thng t nht mt vn.
Bi gii
Xc sut thng mi vn: p = 150 = 0.02
Ta c xc sut ngi y chi 50 vn m khng thng vn no:
Goi X l s ln thnh cng trong dy php th Becnuli: X ~ B(50,0.02)
P ( X = 0) = C 500 0.02 0 0.98 50 = 0.364
Xc sut ngi chi 50 vn th thng t nht mt vn l:

P = 1 0.364 = 0.6358
Cu 8. Mt phn xng c 40 n cng nhn v 20 nam cng nhn. T l tt
nghip ph thng i vi n l 15%, vi nam l 20%. Chn ngu nhin 1 cng
nhn ca phn xng. Xc sut chn c cng nhn tt nghio ph thng
trung hc
Gii:
S cng nhn ca phn xng tt nghip trung hc ph thng l:
i vi n:

40x15% = 6 ngi

i vi nam:

20x20% = 4 ngi

Tng s cng nhn tt nghip ph thng trung hc ca phn xng l:

6 + 4 = 10 ngi
Xc sut chn c cng nhn tt nghip trung hc ph thng l:
C101 10 1
=
=
1
60 6
C 60

Bi 9

Trong hp I c 4 bi trng v 2 bi en ,hp II c 3 bi trng v 3 bi en .Cc bi c

kch c nh nhau chuyn 1 bi t hp II sang hp I ,sau ly ngu nhin 1 bi t
hp I .Xc sut ly ra bi trng.
Gii
Gi
A1: l bi trng ly t hp II sang hp I
A2 : l bi en ly t hp II sang hp I
C : ly vin bi cui cng l bi xanh
p dng cong thc xc sut y
P(C)= P(A1).P( C/A1)+P(A2).P(C/A2)
P(A1)=

1
2

P(A2) =

1
2

P(C/A1)=

3
7

P(C/A2)=

5
7

1 3 1 5 8 4
P(C)= . + . = =
2 7 2 7 14 7

BI 10
Gi Ai la phn i c 1 bi . A l bc mi phn c 1 bi
1

A3
A2
CC CC
A=A1A2A3==> P(A1A2A3) = P(A1)P( )P(
)= 3 4 9 2 4 6 1 =0.2857
A1
A1 A2
C12
C8

Bi 11: Mt l hng do 3 nh my I, II, III sn xut. t l sn phm do 3 nh

my sn xut ln lt l 30%, 20%, 50% v t l ph phm tng ng l 1%,
2%, 3%. chn ngu nhin sn phm t l hng. Xc sut sn phm ny l
ph phm?
Bi gii:

Gi: A l bin c sn phm c chn l ph phm.

Bi sn phm c chn do nh my th i sn xut ( i = 1, 2, 3)
V ch ly ngu nhin 1 sn phm nn c { B1, B2, B3} l mt h y . Theo gi
thit ta c:

P(B1) =
P(B2) =

2
10

P(B3) =

5
10

3
10

p dng cng thc xc sut ton phn ta c:

3

P(A) =

P( B ).P( A / B )
i =1

3
2
5
.0,01 + .0,02 +
.0,03 = 0,022
10
10
10

Cu 12: C 3 hp thuc, hp I c 5 ng tt v 2 ng xu, hp II c 4 ng tt v

1 ng xu, hp III c 3 ng tt v 2 ng xu. Ly ngu nhin 1 hp v t rt
ra 1 ng thuc th c ng tt. Xc sut ng ny thuc hp II.
Bi lm:
Gi Ai l bin c chn hp th i (i = 1,3) .
B l bin c chn 1 ng tt.
Vy xc sut B thuc hp II l:
P
(A 2 B)
PA
=
( 2 B)
P
(B)

Trong :
1 3
. = 4.
15
2
4

+ Ta c: A1, A2, A3 c lp
P
=P
.P
+ (A 2 B) (A2 ) ( B A2 ) =

A1 A2 A3 = , { A1 , A 2 , A 3 } l h y .
p dng cng thc xc sut y ta c:
P

(B)

=P
.P
+P
.P
+P
.P
(A1) ( B A )
(A 2 ) ( B A )
(A3 ) ( B A )
1

1 5 4 3
74
= + + =
.
37

105

P
4
(A 2 B)
14
15
PA
=

=
=
74
( 2 B)
P
37
(B)
105

Vy xc sut ng thuc c ly ra thuc hp II l:

14

37

Cu 13.
Trong mt l hng c 800 sn phm loi 1 v 200 sn phm loi 2. Ly ngu
nhin ra 5 sn phm c hon li. Gi X l s sn phm loi 1 ly c.
a) X tun theo quy lut no? Vit biu thc xc sut tng qut ca quy lut.
b) Tnh k vng v phng sai cua X.
c) Tm s sn phm trung bnh c ly ra v tnh kh nng xy ra iu
.
Bi Gii
a) X tun theo lut phn phi nh thc.
Biu thc tng qut
X c gi l c phn phi nh thc k hiu l X : ( n,p)
C hm xc sut:
P ( X = k ) = Cnk . p k .q n k

Vi

( q = 1 p )

k = { 0,1, 2,..., n} , p (0;1)

b) K vng v phng sai ca X

K vng:
X
PX

1
0,0062

2
0,0508

3
0,2050

4
0,4106

5
0,32686

E(X)= 1.0,00627+2.0,05088+3.0,20506+4.0,41063+5.0,32686
=4,00003

Phng sai:
X2

16

25

PX

0,0062

0,0508

0,2050

0,4106

0,32686

E(X )= 1.0,00627+4.0,05088+9.0,20506+16.0,41063+25.0,32686
=16,79691
D( X ) = E ( X 2 ) ( E ( X )) 2 = 16, 79691 (4, 00003) 2 = 0, 79667

Bi 14: Ba cng nhn cng lm ra mt loi sn phm, xc sut ngi th 1, 2, 3

lm ra chnh phm tng ng l 0.9, 0.9, 0.8. C mt ngi trong lm ra 8 sn phm
thy c 2 ph phm. Tm XS trong 8 sn phm tip theo cng do ngi lm ra
s c 6 chnh phm.
Bi gii
Gi Ai l cc sn phm do cng nhn th i sn xut, i = 1, 2, 3

P(A)= P(A1)P A A + P(A2)P A A + P(A3)P A A

1 6
1
1
C8 (0.9) 6 (0.1) 2 + C86 (0.9) 6 (0.1) 2 + C86 (0.8) 6 (0.2) 2 = 0.2
3
3
3

(*)

Sau khi A xy ra, xc sut ca nhm y phn b li nh sau, biu thc (*) cho

ta P A A = 0.248 0.25, tng t P A A = 0.248 0.25,

tng t P A A = 0.501 0.5

Gi B l bin c 8 sn phm tip theo cng do cng nhn sn xut v c 2 ph

phm.

P(B) = P

B
A
B

P
P A P B
P
P
A1 AA1 + A2 AA2 + A3 AA3

6
2
6
2
6
2
= 0.25 C86 ( 0.9) ( 0.1) + 0.25 C86 ( 0.9) ( 0.1) + 0.25 C86 ( 0.8) ( 0.2) = 0.23

Cu 15: Lut phn phi ca bin (X, Y) cho bi bng:

20

40

60

X
10

20

30

Xc nh v cc phn phi X, Y?
Gii:
Cc phn phi X, Y:

X
PX

Y
PY

10
2

20
6

20
4

40
3

Xc nh :
11 = 1 = 1/11

Cu 16.

(X,Y) l cp BNN c hm mt ng thi:

6 x y
,0 < x < 2,2 < y < 4

f ( x, y ) 8
0

Tnh P(1<Y<3/X=2)

30
5

60
2

Gii:
Hm mt phn phi l ca X
0 < x < 2

y =4
y =4
6 x y
1
y2 4 3 x

2 =
(
)
(
)
f
x
=
f
x
,
y
dy
=
dy
=
6
y

xy

=2
=2 8

X
8
2
4

y
y

Hm mt phn phi l ca Y
2 < y < 4

x=2
x=2

6 x y
1
x2
5 y

(
)
(
)
f
y
=
f
x
,
y
dx
=
dx
=
6
x

xy 02 =

8
8
2
4

x =0
x =0

Ta c
f X ( x ) f Y ( y ) f ( x, y )

Hm mt c iu kin ca Y vi iu kin X=x

6 x y
( 6 x y ) ,0 < x < 2,2 < y < 4
f ( x, y )
8
f Y y =
=
=
x
3 x

f X ( x)
2( 3 x )
4

Thay s vo ta c
P (1 < Y < 3 / X = 2 ) = P ( 2 < Y < 3 / X = 2 ) =

y =3

f ( y / x = 2)dy =
Y

y =2

( 6 x y)
y=2 2( 3 x )
y =3

y =3
x = 2 dy =

y =2

( 4 y ) = 1 4 y y 2 3 = 3
2

2
2

BI 18
a/ Tm P(X+Y<9.5)
M(X+Y)=M(X)+M(Y)=12
D(X+Y)=D(X)+D(Y)= 1.2 2 + 0.9 2 = 2.25 = 1.5 2
9.5 12 12
P[ < X + Y < 9.5] =

= (1.667) + 0.5 = 0.5 0.4515 = 0.0485
1.5 1.5

b/ Tm P[ X < Y ]
M(X-Y)=M(X)-M(Y)= 2

D(X-Y)=D(X)+D(Y)= 2.25= 1.5 2

0 2 2
P( X < Y ) = P( < X Y < 0) =

= ( 1.333) + 0.5 = 0.5 0.4082 = 0.0918
1.5 1.5

c/ tm P(X>2Y)
M(X-2Y)=M(X)-2M(Y)=-3
D(X-2Y)=D(X)+4D(Y)=4.68= 2.163 2
+3
0 +3
P ( X > 2Y ) = P (0 < X 2Y < ) =

= 0.5 (1.386) = 0.5 0.4165
2.163
2.163

d/ Tm P[2 X +3Y < 28]

M(2X+3Y)=2M(X)+3M(Y)=29
D(2X+3Y)=4D(X)+9D(Y)=13.032= 3.612
28 29
28
P(
< 2 X +3Y < 28) =

= 0.5 0.106 = 0.394
3.61
3.61

Bi 19: gi s cho 2 bin ngu nhin c lp c cng phn phi chun N(0,12).
Tnh cc xc xut sau:
a/ P(X<Y)
b/ P( |X| < Y)
c/ P( X < 1 Y < 1)
Bi gii:

x =

a/

x =
x =

x =

Hnh a

b/

1
2

1
2
x2
2

x
2

y = 1 y

e
dy
dx

y = x 2

1 1
1
x
erf
dx =
2
2
2 2

x =

x =

= 2

1
2
x =

x =

x2
2

1
2

y=x
dx
y =

x2
2

1
2

y2
2

dy

1 1
x
erf
dx = 2. =
4 2
2

c/
x =1

x =

Hnh b

y =1
=
y =

x2
2

1
2

y =1
dx
y =

y2
2

1
2

y2
2

dy

dy = 0,8314 2 = 0,707

Hnh c
Cu 20: Gi s tri cy ca nng trng d c ng thnh st, mi st 10
tri. Kim tra 50 st c kt qu nh sau:
S tri
hng
trong st:

k
S st co
k tri

2
0

9 10

hng.
a) Tm c lng cho t l tri cy hng trong nng trng.
b) Tm c lng cho t l tri cy hng trung bnh mi st.

c) Tm c lng khng chch cho bin ng t l tri cy hng mi

st.
Bi lm:
a) c lng cho t l tri cy hng trong nng trng chnh l c lng
im cho t l m ng.
Tng s tri cy iu tra l:
n = 10.50 = 500.
S ti cy hng pht hin c:
M = 0.0+1.2+2.3+3.7+4.20+5.6+6.4+7.7+8.0+9.0+10.1 = 222.
T l hng trong mu l: f =

222
= 0,444.
500

Vy c lng t l tri cy hng trong nng trng l vo khong : 44,4%

b) Gi xi l t l phn trm tri cy hng mi st. ng vi s tri hng trong

st ta c cc gi tr ca xi (%) l: 0, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100.
Ly x0 = 40, h = 10, xi =

xi xo
h

Ta c bng sau:

xi (%)
0

ni
0

xi
-4

xini
0

x i'2 ni

10

-3

-6

18

20

-2

-6

12

30

-1

-7

40

20

50

60

16

70

21

63

80

x'n =

90

100

1
n=50

x' n
n

x' .n
i

= 22

x'

36
2
i

.n i = 158

22
= 0,44
50

x n = x ' n .h + x 0 = 0,44.10 + 40 = 44,4(%).

Vy c lng cho t l tri cy hng trung bnh mi st vo khong 44,4%.

Ta thy kt qu ny tng t kt qu cu (a).
c) Tm c lng khng chch cho bin ng t l tri cy hng mi st:
Ta c:
2

x' =

158
= 3,16.
50
2

s 2x' = x' - (x' n ) 2 = 3,16 0,44 2 = 2,9664.

s 2 = s 2x' .h 2 = 2,9664.10 2 = 296,64.

s2 =

s 2 .n 296,64.50
=
n 1
50 1

303.

Vy ta d on bin ng ca t l hng gia cc st l vo khong 303.

Cu 21.
Trng lng trung bnh ca mt loi sn phm l 6kg. Qua thc t sn xut, ngi
ta tin hnh mt s kim tra v c kt qu cho trong bng sau (tnh bng kg).
4
5
6
2
6

1
8
4
5
4

7 5
6 4
7 7
7 7
8 6

6
6
6
1
4

7 3
5 7
6 4
6 6
8 1

6
5

7
1

3
9

8
2

9
5

0
3
1

7 7
2 11

0
3

7
6
8
4
1

4
5
5
9
1

7 6

6
8
3
6
9

0
4
6
8
8
1

5
6
4
6
2

4 5
6
9
5
4
9

5
5
1
6
4

0
2

4
6
8
3
9

1
9
8
5
5
1

5 4
6 8
6 5
3 4
9 10

1
0
a) Hy kt lun v tnh hnh xc sut vi mc = 5%
b) Hy tm mt c lng cho gi tr trung bnh thc t sn xut vi tin cy
99%.
Bi Gii
T bng s liu trn ta a v bng

xi

ni

xi ni

xi2 ni

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1

4
6
7
17
17
23
15
12
9
8

4
12
21
68
85
138
105
96
81
80

4
24
63
272
425
828
735
768
729
800

0
1

33

363

n = 121

xn

i i

= 723

x n

2
i i

= 5011

Cu 22: Cp [X(cm), Y(kg)] cho mt vt liu (c 33 cp) trong bng sau:

30

35

42

40

31

30

36

34

42

44

11

31

40

37

36

43

37

11

21

32

32

38

38

44

44

15

16

33

34

39

37

45

46

18

16

33

32

39

36

46

46

27

28

34

34

39

45

47

49

29

27

36

37

40

39

50

51

30

25

36

38

41

41

a/ Tm phng trnh hi quy tuyn tnh theo Y v X.

b/ Tnh h s tng quan r XY .
Gii
a/

xi

yi

xi

3
7
11
15
18
27
29
30

5
11
21
16
16
28
27
25

9
49
121
225
324
729
841
900

xi x

927.479339
699.842975
504.206612
340.570248
238.842975
41.661157
19.8429752
11.9338843

xi x

844.5188
531.7916
170.5794
26.1853
326.1855
36.73095
49.85216
82.09458

(x i - x )

( yi - y )

885.0275
610.0579
293.27
333.3003
279.1185
39.11846
31.45179
31.30028

30
31
31
32
33
33
34
36
36
36
37
38
39
39
39
40
41
42
42
43
44
45
46
47
50
n = 33

35
30
40
32
34
32
34
37
38
34
36
38
37
36
45
39
41
40
44
37
44
46
46
49
51

/n

y = 34.0606

x
y

i i

11.9338843
6.02479339
6.02479339
2.11570248
0.20661157
0.20661157
0.29752066
6.47933884
6.47933884
6.4793384
12.5702479
20.661157
30.7520661
30.7520661
30.7520661
42.8429752
56.9338843
73.0247934
73.0247934
91.1157025
111.206612
133.297521
157.38843
183.479339
273.752066
4152.18182
125.823691

b/ x = 33.4545
rXY =

900
961
961
1024
1089
1089
1156
1296
1296
1296
1369
1444
1521
1521
1521
1600
1681
1764
1764
1849
1936
2025
2116
2209
2500
41086

113.699
125.82 112.54

= 0955479

Phng trnh hi quy y theo x: y = ax + b = 0.9036 x + 3.829

Cu 23:

0.882461
16.48852
35.2764
4.246097
0.003673
4.246097
0.003673
8.64037
15.51882
0.003673
3.761249
15.51882
8.640037
3.761249
119.6703
24.39761
48.15519
35.2764
98.79155
8.640037
98.79155
142.5491
142.5491
223.1855
286.9431
3713.879
112.5418

-3.24518
9.966942
-14.5785
2.997245
0.027548
0.936639
-0.03306
7.482094
10.2755
-0.15427
6.786033
17.90634
16.30028
10.75482
60.66391
32.33058
52.36088
5075482
84.93664
28.05785
104.8154
137.8457
149.7851
202.3609
280.27
3752.091
113.6997

a/ Ta lp bng tnh mt s c trng s cn:

X0 = 1.75
S lng

im gia

(kg )
0.5 1
1 1.5
1.5 2
2 2.5
2.5 3
3-4

h = 0.5
n

xi,

xi, .n

xi, .n

xi

0.75
1.25
1.75
2.25
2.75
3.5

40
70
110
90
60
30

-2
-1
0
1
2
3.5

-80
-70
0
90
120
105
165

= 400

160
70
0
90
240
367.5
927.5

Ta c:

x n, =

165
400

= 0.4125

x n = 0.4125 x 0.5 + 1.75 = 1.95625

927.5

xn, 2 = 400 = 2.31875

2.1486 s 2 = 2.1486 x 400 = 859.44

2
s 2x , = 2.31875 - 0.4125 =

400x859.44
399

= 861.594

s2

s = 29.353

Bi ra:
1 - = 95% t = 1.96
1 =
2 =

1.95625 1.96 x
1.95625 + 1.96 x

29.353
20
29.353
20

= 1.725656
= 2.186844

Thnh ph c 600000 h nn khong c lng tng s lng sn phm cng ty tiu

th l:
1 = 1.725656 x 600000 = 1,035,396 (kg)
2 = 2.186844 x 600000 = 1,312,106 (kg)

CU 24

X(Kg)l ch tiu ca mt loi sn phm. Diu tra mt s sn phm ta c kt

qu
x
50-55
55-60
60-65
65-70
nt
5
10
25
30
a.c lng trung bnh ch tiu vi tin cy 98%

70-75
18

75-80
12

b. c ti liu ni rng trung bnh X l 70% cho nhn xt vi mc ngha 5%

c. c lng trung bnh ch tiu X ca cc sn phm c ch tiu X khng qu
60kg vi d tin cy 99%. Ga thit ch tiu ny c phn phi chun
gii
ta c bng c trng mu x0=67,5 h=5
xi
52,5
57,5
62,5
67,5
72,5
77,5

xn' =

ni
5
10
25
30
18
12
n=100

xi
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2

nixi
-15
-20
-25
0
18
24

18
= -0,18
100

xn' =

176
= 1,76
100

'
n

= -18

nixi2
45
40
25
0
18
48

xn = -0,18.5+67,5= 66,6

sx2' = 1, 76 (0,18) 2 = 1,7276

2
s$ = 1,7276 100=172.76
2 100
n

s
s=
=
(172, 76) = 174,5 s = 13,2
n 1
99
2

y l bi ti\on c lng trung bnh cho m ng

+ n=100>30 , 2 cha bit.Ta p dng cng thc 1,2 = xn t
98%=1- =2 (t ) (t ) = 0, 49 t = 2,33

s
n

'2

= 176

 1 = xn t

s
= 63,52
n

s
=69,68
n

2 = xn + t

Vy trung bnh ch tiu kim tra l 63,52 n 69.68 kg

b)ta c bng phn phi
x
ni
xn' =

52,5
5

57,5
10

62,5
25

60
= -0,0,857
70

67,5
30

xn = -0,857+67,5= 68,357

110
xn' =
= 1,57
70

sx2' = 1,57 (0,857) 2 = 0,836

2
s$ = 0,836 70=58,59
2 70
n

s
s=
= (58,59) = 59, 43 s = 7,7
n 1
69
2

= 0 = 70

= 5% = 0, 05

n = 70 > 30

T bng phn phi student vi n - 1 = 69 bc t do ta c

t=

Ta tnh kim nh

x n 0
s
n

68,357 70
=
1,785
7, 7
70

t t ,1.785 < t = 2,33 vy c th chp nhn c

Ti liu ng .Ngha l H0 l ng
c) ta c phn phi chun
x
ni
xn =

1
837,5
ni xi =
= 55,8

15
15

52,5
5
s2=5,96 =>s = 2,44

57,5
10
n=15<30

xn
Khi s c phn phi student (n-1) bc t do
n
C
tn 1 => 99% =>1- = 99% => = 0, 01 => t14 = 2,976
Bit 1- =>
n 1
Sao cho p Tn 1 t = 1

Suy ra

1 = xn tn 1
2 = xn + tn 1

s
2, 44
= 53,9
=55,8 - 2,976
n
15

s
2, 44
= 57, 7
= 55,8 + 2,976
n
15

Vy khong tin cy (53,9; 57,7)