I HC DUY TN

Khoa: Khoa Hc T Nhin

B mn: Ton

Hc phn:
Khi lp:
Hc k: I
Thi gian

THI KT THC HC PHN

L thuyt xc sut v thng k Ton
D18CMU_TPM
Nm hc: 2012-2013
lm bi: 90 pht

Cu 1. (2,5 im) L Ging sinh1 nm 2012, ng gi Noel (

chic bt tt (

s:

47

) t cc qu tng vo trong mt

) vi s lng nh sau: 2 chic m mu XANH v 3 chic m mu .

Chi chn ngu nhin 4 chic m trong bt tt .

Bn

(a) Tnh xc sut bn Chi chn c 3 chic m mu .

(b) Gi Y l s lng chic m mu m bn Chi chn c. Tm trung bnh s lng chic
m mu m bn Chi chn c (hay E(Y)).
2

Cu 2. (3,0 im) Bit rng: s lt truy cp vo

ca nhng ngi s dng Internet

mt khu vc thnh ph, trong mi ngy, l i lng ngu nhin X (n v: ngn ln) c phn
phi chun X N( = 500; 2 = 81). Mt ngy c gi l ngy bnh thng nu s lt
truy cp ca nhng ngi s dng Internet, trong ngy , tho mn iu kin 482 < X < 509.
(a) Chn ngu nhin mt ngy. Tnh xc sut ngy c gi l ngy bnh thng?
(b)

Bn Huy chn v kim tra ngu nhin 3 (ba) ngy ty ,

Tnh xc sut c t nht 1 (mt) ngy bnh thng?
Tm s ngy bnh thng trung bnh trong 3 (ba) ngy ?

Cho bit: (1) = 0,341; (2) = 0,477.

Cu 3. (4,5 im) c th kho st v s lt truy cp vo cc website thng mi in t3 , trong
mi thng, ca cc khch hng trn a bn TP. Nng, ngi ta iu tra ngu nhin 36 khch
hng v thu thp c bng s liu sau y
S lt truy cp (lt) (xi )
S khch hng (ni )

20
5

30
9

40
12

70
10

Gi s s lt truy cp ca mi khch hng c phn phi chun.

(a) Tm trung bnh mu (x), phng sai mu ((
s)2 ), phng sai mu iu chnh (s2 ), v lch
mu iu chnh (s)?
(b) Vi tin cy 95 %, hy c lng khong tin cy cho s lt truy cp trung bnh ca
mi khch hng trn a bn TP. Nng?
(c) Bit rng: mt khch hng c s lt truy cp >50 lt c gi l khch hng c tim
nng cao. C kin cho rng: t l s khch hng c tim nng cao trn a bn TP.
Nng l 91 %. Hy kim nh kin vi mc ngha 4 %?
Cho bit: (2,05) = 0,48; (1,96) = 0,475. Yu cu: cc kt qu c lm trn n 3 ch s thp
phn, v d: 3,351 54 3,352; 3,351 45 3,351.
T trng B mn

Ging vin ra

NCS. Nguyn c Hin

Nguyn Quang Thi

Ngy l c c hnh chnh thc vo ngy 25 thng 12 nhng thng c mng t ti ngy 24 thng 12 bi theo lch
Do Thi, thi im tnh bt u mt ngy l lc hong hn ch khng phi na m.
2
website: http://www.google.com.vn.
3
chng hn:
http://nguyenkim.com, http://dienhoatructuyen.vn, http://vinabook.com, http://www.
dienmaycholon.vn/, http://http://tiki.vn/, v.v.
1

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