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Contents
Page 1. 2. Introduction Summary 2.1. Present Status of Thailand Power System 2.2. Rationale for the Revision of Thailand Power Development Plan PDP 2007 2.3 3. 4. 3 Summary of Thailand Power Development Plan (PDP 2007 : Revision 1) 5 11 12 12 13 14 15 15 21 21 22 25 33 36 1 2 2
Load Forecast Thailand Power Development Plan (PDP 2007: Revision 1) 4.1. Projects in the PDP 2007 : Revision 1 4.2. New Generating Units during 2007-2010 4.3. New Generating Units during 2011-2015 4.4. New Generating Units during 2016-2021 4.5. Fuel Consumption 4.6. Renewable Energy (as Renewable Portfolio Standard : RPS) 4.7. Coal Supply Plan for EGATs Coal-Fired Power Plants 4.8. Power Plant Emissions
5. 6. 7.
Description of Projects in PDP 2007: Revision 1 The Need for Nuclear Power Plant in Thailand Power Purchase from Private Power Producers and Neighboring Countries
List of Appendices
Page Appendix 1 Appendix 2 Appendix 3 Appendix 4 Appendix 5 Appendix 6 Appendix 7 Appendix 8 Comparison between Thailand PDP 2007 and PDP 2007: Revision 1 45 EGATs Power System Map Installed Capacity of Thailand Power System 49 53
Existing Transmission Lines and Substation of EGAT Power System 57 Power Demand Statistic and Load Forecast Natural Gas Available for Power Generation Summary of Power Purchase from SPPs Summary of Existing Non-Firm Contract SPP Classified by Fuel Type 77 81 61 67 71
Appendix 9
Appendix 10 Projection of Energy Generation Classified by Fuel Types and Energy Purchase Appendix 11 Transmission System Expansion Program 85 89
1. Introduction
Thailand Power Development Plan 2007 2021 (PDP 2007) was formulated by the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) under the policy framework of the Ministry of Energy, in terms of reliability of power supply, fuel diversification, power purchase from neighboring countries, and power demand forecast, etc. The PDP 2007 was approved by the National Energy Policy Council (NEPC) and endorsed by the cabinet in June 2007. The PDP 2007 has been used as a framework for the development of EGATs new power plants, the solicitation of new independent power producers (IPPs), small power producers (SPPs), and power purchase from neighboring countries. After the approval of PDP 2007, the solicitation of new IPPs and SPPs (both cogeneration and renewable power plants) was undertaken by the Energy Planning and Policy Office (EPPO) of the Ministry of Energy. The selection of IPPs and SPPs was finalized in December 2007.
For the processes to purchase power from neighboring countries, EGAT has reached the agreements for power purchase from several IPP projects in Lao PDR. The Power Purchase Agreements (PPA) of Nam Ngum 2 (597 MW) and Theun Hinboun Expansion Project (210 MW), the Memorandum of Understanding on Tariff Setting (Tariff MOU) of Nam Ngum 3, (440 MW) Nam Theun 1 (523 MW), Nam Ngiep (261 MW), Nam Ou (1,043 MW), and Hong Sa (1,473 MW) projects were signed between EGAT and respective project developers.
To cope with the present information on committed IPPs and SPPs projects under the new solicitation, the progress of power purchase from neighboring countries and the adjustment on the electricity demand forecast, EGAT under the guidance of Ministry of Energy has reviewed the PDP 2007. The revised PDP called Thailand Power Development Plan 2007-2021: PDP 2007 Revision 1 was presented to the National Energy Policy Committee (NEPC) for endorsement on December 7, 2007.
2. Summary
2.1 Current Status The peak power demand of 2007 occurred on April 24, 2007 of which the maximum power generation of the country has reached 22,586.1 MW. The growth of power demand is 1,552.1 MW or 7.22% over the record of 2006. On the view of energy consumption, the energy demand of 2007, estimated by the record of first eleventh months (January-November 2007), was 134,873.8 GWh. The increase of energy consumption of 2007 compared to 2006 was 3,987.2 GWh or 3.05%. 2.1.1 Power Plants As of November 2007, the total installed capacity is 28,530.3 MW, comprising 15,793.6 MW (55.4%) from EGATs power plants, 12,097 MW (42.4%) from private power producers (IPPs and SPPs) and 640 MW (2.2%) from foreign power purchase. The details of installed capacity of Thailand power system are shown in
Appendix 3. 2.1.2 Transmission Systems The standard voltage levels of EGAT transmission systems are 500 kV, 230 kV, 132 kV, 115 kV, and 69 kV at operating frequency of 50 Hz. The total length of high voltage transmission line as of November 2007 is 30,580 circuit-kilometers. The total number of high voltage substations is 207 with total transformer capacity of 69,031 MVA. The summary of transmission line length and number of EGATs substations classified by voltage level are shown in table below :
Voltage Substation Number 500 kV 230 kV 132 kV 115 kV 69 kV 9 67 130 1 207 MVA 13,050 40,460 133 14,966 33 388 69,030 Transmission (Circuit-km) 3,433 13,304 9 13,765 46 23 30,580
2.2 Additional and Updated Information for the Revision of PDP 2007 Additional and updated information and assumptions used for the revision of PDP 2007 are as follows: 2.2.1 The March 2007 Load Forecast was reviewed to cope with the actual
energy consumption in the year 2007, of which slightly lower than the projection. The estimated consumption of 2007 based on the record of the first 11 months was used instead of the forecast figures while the future growth rates during 2008-2021 were kept as March 2007 forecast. No revision was made on the peak demand forecast. The amended demand forecast is shown in Appendix 5. 2.2.2 The amount of natural gas available for power generation was revised
according to the estimate of PTT Plc. made in November 2007. The new estimates are: Year Quantity (mmcfd) 2010 2,337 2014 2,993 2021 3,808
(See Appendix 6 for more details) 2.2.3 The long-term price estimates of natural gas, imported coal and diesel
oil were adopted from the estimate of the Energy Policy and Planning Office (EPPO) used for the evaluation of IPP proposal. The revised forecast of domestic lignite price was made by EGATs Fuel Management Division. 2.2.4 The capacities of the new IPP generating units were revised in
accordance with the announcement of successful bidders by EPPO on December 7, 2007 but the expected commercial operation dates (COD) were adjusted from the bidders proposal to be matched with the demand forecast. The selected proposals and adjusted CODs are: Total Capacity (MW) Coal-Fired Power Plant - Gheco-One - National Power Supply Subtotal 660 540 1,200 2012 2013 COD
COD
Natural Gas-Fired Combined Cycle Plant - Siam Energy - Power Generation Supply Subtotal Total 1,600 1,600 3,200 4,400 2012/2013 2015
2.2.5
Contract) of approximately 2,300 MW, the total amount of new capacity from SPPs (Firm Contract) during 2007-2021 was kept at 1,700 MW to be complying with the total amount of 4,000 MW approved earlier by the NEPC.
The total amount of proposed power sell from SPP (Firm Contract) for the new solicitation in 2007 was far exceeded the target of 500 MW for co-generation plants and 530 MW for renewable plants. The selection was made based on the capability of the transmission networks to accommodate the power purchased. The total amount of power purchase from the selected proposals was 760 MW from co-generation power plants for the COD during 2012-2016 and 335 MW from renewable power plants for the COD during 2009-2012. The details of power purchased from SPPs (Firm Contract) are shown in Appendix 7.
2.2.6
The expected energy purchased from the existing 303 MW SPPs (Non-
firm Contract) of 691 GWh/Year was also included as a part of energy generation. The details are shown in Appendix 8. 2.2.7 The power purchased from the IPP projects of neighboring countries
that EGAT could reach the agreements with the project developers in term of power purchase agreements (PPA) or the Memorandum of Understanding on Tariff Setting (Tariff MOU) were included. These projects are: a) The projects with the PPA signed are Nam Ngum 2 (597 MW) and Theun Hinboun Expansion Project (210 MW); and
b) The projects with the Tariff MOU signed are Nam Ngum 3 (440 MW), Nam Theun 1 (523 MW), Nam Ngiep (261 MW), Nam Ou (1,043 MW), and Hong Sa (1,473 MW).
Other projects that the proposals for power sell are under negotiation, such as Hutyi Hydroelectric Project, Koh Kong Coal-fired Power Plant Project and Ta Sang Hydroelectric Project, will also be included in the PDP after the agreements can be reached.
2.3
Thailand Power Development Plan (PDP 2007: Revision 1) Based on the additional and updated information on the IPPs, SPPs, power
purchase from foreign countries, availability of natural gas and statistical record of electricity demand in 2007, the Thailand Power Development Plan 2007 (PDP 2007) was revised. The main outcomes of the PDP 2007 : Revision 1 are as follows: 2.3.1 Project during 2007-2010
The new power plants to be commissioning during this period are now under construction. producers are : - EGAT power plant projects - IPP power plant projects - SPP power plant projects - Power purchased from neighboring countries 3,227.70 MW 3,541.25 MW 329.80 MW 920.00 MW The total capacity of the new generating units categorized by power
Power Plants 16.8 MW 673.25 MW 734 MW 710 MW 734 MW 2x700 MW 1 MW 2 MW 74 MW -710 MW 45.7 MW 68 MW 20 MW 715 MW 719 MW
Gulf Power Generation Co., Ltd. Block 1 2008 Chana Combined Cycle Power Plant Gulf Power Generation Co., Ltd. Block 2 Ratchaburi Power Co., Ltd. Blocks 1-2 Solar Energy Power Plant (RPS) Wind Energy Power Plant (RPS) 2009 CHP of South Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 2 Retirement of South Bangkok Thermal Power Plant Units1-3 Small Hydropower Plant (RPS) SPP SPP (2007 Solicitation) South Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 3 Bang Pakong Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 5 Retirement of Bang Pakong Combined Cycle Power Plant Blocks1-2 Power Purchased from Lao PDR (Nam Theun 2) 2010 CHP of Wang Noi Combined Cycle Power Plant Blocks1-3 North Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 1 SPP (2007 Solicitation) Small Hydropower Plant (RPS)
2.3.2
The total capacity of the new generating units categorized by power producers are: - EGAT new power plants (Natural Gas/LNG) - EGAT new power plants (Coal) - IPP power projects (Natural Gas) - IPP power projects (Coal) - SPP power plants (SPP-Firm Contract) - Power purchased from neighboring countries
6
MW MW MW MW MW MW
2.3.3
The total capacity of the new generating units categorized by power producers are: - EGAT new power plants (Coal) - EGAT new power plants (Natural Gas/LNG) - EGAT new power plants (Nuclear) - IPP power projects (Natural Gas/Coal) - SPP power plants (SPP-Firm Contract) - Power purchased from neighboring countries 3x700 4x700 4x1,000 2x700 575 8,690 MW MW MW MW MW MW
The list of all projects in the PDP 2007 : Revision 1 during 2008-2021 is shown in Table 2.1. The list of new projects categorized by power producers is shown in Table 2.2.
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW
31,377.3
23,957
23.6
32,456.4
25,225
21.1
33,642.4
26,635
22.7
34,194.1
27,996
18.5
36,819.1
29,625
20.6
39,369.1
31,384
22.0
41,533.1
33,216
21.1
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW
43,711.0
35,251
19.8
44,562.8
37,382
17.2
47,564.3
39,560
16.7
50,178.2
41,795
16.6
52,189.2
44,082
15.5
55,199.6
46,481
17.4
48,958 MW MW MW MW
16.2
December 2007
Table 2.2 List of Projects as Thailand Power Development Plan during 2011 - 2021 (by Generators) (PDP 2007: Revision 1)
Private Power Company's Projects Power Purchased from Neighboring Countries IPPs MW 20 225 17,539 700 New IPP (Coal) 700 New IPP (Coal) 200 Lao PDR (Nam Theun 1) Lao PDR (Nam Ngiep) Lao PDR (Nam Ou 1) 700 19,019 2x700 700 2x700 700 700 2x1,000 2x1,000 25,090 18,306 New IPP (Gas/Coal) 700 175 Power purchased from neighboring countries Power purchased from neighboring countries Power purchased from neighboring countries Power purchased from neighboring countries 1780 2600 2600 1200 14,804 25.4% 50,179 52,190 55,200 58,200 58,200 16.6 15.5 17.4 16.2 New IPP (Gas/Coal) 700 200 200 Power purchased from neighboring countries 510 18,579 New IPP (Gas) 2x800 210 Loa PDR (Nam Ou 2) Lao PDR (Hong Sa 2 - 3) 540 Lao PDR (Hong Sa 1) New IPP (Gas) 800 200 Lao PDR (Nam Ngum 3) 660 440 490 2x490 523 261 200 843 6,114 14.0% 43,711 43,711 44,563 47,565 17.2 16.7 19.8 41,533 21.1 39,369 22.0 New IPP (Gas) 800 245 Lao PDR (Theun Hinbouun Expanded) 25 Lao PDR (Nam Ngum 2) 596.6 220 14,543 1,560 4.6% Projects Names MW MW Projects Names MW Share (%) SPPs Capacity MW 32,456 33,642 33,642 34,194 36,819 18.5 20.6 Capacity % 21.1 22.7 Total Reserved
EGAT's Projects
Year
Projects Names
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
10
11,000 5,800 1,700
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
13,244
31,744
The amended energy demand forecast during 2007-2021, compared to the March 2007 forecast is shown as the following table.
Energy Demand (GWh) March 2007 Forecast Year 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 (1) 150,665 158,994 167,947 177,285 185,926 196,723 208,478 220,759 234,375 248,575 263,076 278,021 293,257 309,236 325,697 Amended Forecast (2) 148,073 156,335 164,774 173,835 182,618 193,258 204,844 216,949 230,370 244,365 258,657 273,387 288,404 304,154 320,376 Difference (2) (1) -2,592 -2,659 -3,173 -3,450 -3,308 -3,465 -3,634 -3,810 -4,005 -4,210 -4,419 -4,634 -4,853 -5,082 -5,321
11
during the period of 2007-2021 netted the retirement of aging power plants is 29,669.3 MW. The total installed capacity will increase from 28,530.3 MW in 2007 to 58,199.6 MW by the end of plan in 2021. The outstanding changes in PDP 2007: Revision 1 compared to the PDP 2007 are:
Power Plants 1. EGATs Power Plants Wang Noi CC Power Plant Block 4 Bang Pakong CC Power Plant Block 6 Thermal Power Plant (Coal) Unit 1 Thermal Power Plant (Coal) Unit 2-3 Thermal Power Plant (Coal) Unit 4 South Bangkok CC Power Plant Block 4-5 Southern CC Power Plant North Bangkok CC Power Plant Block 2 Bang Pakong CC Power Plant Block 7 Nam Pong CC Power Plant Block 3 Thermal Power Plant (Nuclear) Unit 1-2 Thermal Power Plant (Nuclear) Unit 3-4 2. IPPs Power Plants New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal) New IPP (Gas/Coal)
PDP 2007
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2021
2012 2013 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
700 MW in 2012 (Gas) 800 MW in 2012 700 MW in 2013 (Coal) 660 MW in 2012 700 MW in 2014 (Gas) 800 MW in 2013 700 MW in 2014 (Coal) 540 MW in 2013 2x700 MW in 2015 (Gas) 2x800 MW in 2015 2x700 MW in 2016 2x700 MW in 2017 700 MW in 2017 2x700 MW in 2018 700 MW in 2018 3x700 MW in 2019 2x700 MW in 2020 700 MW in 2021 -
12
Power Plants 3. Power Purchase from Loa PDR Nam Ngum 2 Theun Hinbouun Expanded Nam Ngum 3 Hong Sa 1 Hong Sa 2-3 Nam Theun 1 Nam Ngiep Nam Ou 1 Nam Ou 2
PDP 2007
596.6 MW in 2011 220 MW in 2012 440 MW in 2013 523 MW in 2013 261 MW in 2014 -
596.6 MW in 2011 220 MW in 2012 440 MW in 2013 490 MW in 2013 2x490 MW in 2014 523 MW in 2014 261 MW in 2014 200 MW in 2014 843 MW in 2015
The list of the projects of the PDP 2007: Revision 1 is shown in Table 4.1. The chart showing the growth of generating capacity and power demand is illustrated in Figure 4.1. 4.2 New Power Plant Projects during 2007 2010: The new projects to be
commissioning during 2007-2010 are mainly under construction. The projects included the power plants being developed by EGAT and IPP, the power purchase from SPP and foreign countries and the renewable power plant projects. The total installed capacity of the new projects during this period is 8,018.5 MW. The list of projects categorized by power producers are:
EGAT Projects: - Chana Combined Cycle Power Plant - South Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 3 - Bang Pakong Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 5 - North Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 1 710 MW 715 MW 719 MW 685 MW 2,829 MW IPP Projects: - BLCP Power Co., Ltd. Unit 2 - Gulf Power Generation Co.,Ltd Blocks 1-2 - Ratchaburi Power Co., Ltd. Blocks 1-2 673.25 MW 2x734 MW 2x700 MW 3,541.25 MW
13
Combined Heat and Power (CHP) Projects: - CHP of South Bangkok combined cycle power plant #2 - CHP of Wang Noi combined cycle power plant #1-3 74 MW 243 MW 317 MW Renewable Energy as RPS Projects: - Six Small Hydropower Plants - Solar Energy Power Plants - Wind Energy Power Plants 78.7 MW 1 MW 2 MW 81.7 MW Power Purchased from SPPs: - SPP - Cogeneration - SPP - Renewable energy 60 MW 269.8 MW 329.8 MW Power Purchased from Neighboring Countries: - Nam Theun 2 (Lao PDR) 920 MW
1/
4.3
New Power Plant Projects during 2011 2015: All projects during this
period are the new projects with total capacity of 11,933.6 MW. Those new projects can be detailed as follows:
EGAT Projects: - Wang Noi Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 4 - Bang Pakong Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 6 - EGAT Coal-Fired Power Plant Unit #1 700 MW 700 MW 700 MW 2,100 MW IPP Projects: - IPP Power Projects (Natural Gas) - IPP Power Projects (Coal) 3,200 MW 1,200 MW 4,400 MW
Note : 1/ Six small hydropower plants are listed in Appendix 7
14
Power Purchased from SPPs: - Committed SPP -Cogeneration Plants -Renewable Energy Plants - Future SPP 670 MW 90 MW 120 MW 880 MW Power Purchased from Neighboring Countries: - Nam Ngum 2 Project - Theun Hinboun Expansion Project - Nam Ngum 3 Project - Hong Sa Lignite Project - Nam Theun 1 Project - Nam Ngiep Project - Nam Ou 1 2 Projects 596.6 MW 220 MW 440 MW 1,470 MW 523 MW 261 MW 1,043 MW 4,553.6 MW 4.4 New Power Plant Projects during 2016 2021: Projects presented in
EGAT Projects: - EGAT Combined Cycle Power Plants (Natural Gas/LNG)2,800 MW - EGAT Coal-Fired Power Plants - EGAT Nuclear Power Plants 2,100 MW 4,000 MW 8,900 MW IPP Projects: the total capacity is 1,400 MW.
Power Purchased from Neighboring Countries: the total capacity is 8,690 MW. 4.5 Fuel Consumption for Power Generation: The estimate of annual fuel
consumption for power generation during 2008-2021 according to the PDP 2007: Revision 1 can be summarized as the following table.
15
Coal/Lignite Year
Existing Plants
Fuel Oil
Diesel Oil
(Mton)
New Plants
(Mliters) (Mliters)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
20.2 19.5 19.9 20.1 19.9 19.7 19.7 19.7 19.8 19.7 19.7 19.7 19.8 19.7
0.2 2.1 3.2 3.2 5.1 8.9 10.7 10.7 10.7 10.8 10.7
20.2 19.5 19.9 20.3 22.0 22.9 22.9 24.8 28.7 30.4 30.4 30.4 30.6 30.4
2,182 2,339 2,274 2,451 2,213 2,017 2,007 1,808 1,891 1,724 1,600 1,448 1,113 991
27 212 443 443 679 642 894 1,079 1,182 1,170 1,150
2,182 2,339 2,274 2,478 2,425 2,460 2,450 2,487 2,553 2,618 2,679 2,630 2,283 2,141
10 10 10 6 10 12 12 20 21 13 13 14 13 18
(Details of estimation of energy generation classified by fuel types are shown in the Appendix 10)
16
Table 4.1 List of Projects as Thailand Power Development Plan 2007-2021 (PDP 2007: Revision 1)
Power Plant Project Names Fuel Types Capacity (MW) IPP (Gulf Power Generation Co. Ltd.) # 1-2 Chana CC IPP (Ratchaburi Power Co. Ltd.) # 1-2 Solar energy, Wind enrgy and Small hydro (RPS) Ongoing Projects SPPs CHP of South Bangkok CC # 2 South Bangkok CC # 3 Bang Pakong CC # 5 Lao PDR (Nam Theun 2) SPPs CHP of Wang g Noi CC # 1-3 North Bangkok CC # 1 Lao PDR (Nam Ngum 2) SPPs Wang Noi CC # 4 New IPP New IPP Lao PDR (Theun Hinbouun Expanded) SPPs Lao PDR (Nam Ngum 3) Bang Pakong CC # 6 New IPP New IPP SPPs Lao PDR (Hong Sa 1) Lao PDR (Nam Theun 1) Lao PDR (Nam Ngiep) Lao PDR (Hong Sa 2 - 3) SPPs Lao PDR (Nam Ou 1) Gas Gas Gas Gas Gas Gas Hydro Gas Gas Hydro Gas Gas Coal Hydro Hydro Gas Gas Coal Lignite Hydro Hydro Lignite Hydro 734 710 2x700 81.7 88 74 715 719 920 225 243 685 597 25 700 800 660 220 245 440 700 800 540 200 490 523 261 2x490 200 200 Total (MW) 734 710 1,400 81.7 88 74 715 719 920 225 243 685 597 25 700 800 660 220 245 440 700 800 540 200 490 523 261 980 200 200 Scheduled Commissioning Date March March Mar 08 2008 2008 - Jun 08
November 2009 January January y March January January January January January March March January January January January March March January January January March March 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2014
17
Table 4.1 (Continued) List of Projects as Thailand Power Development Plan 2007-2021 (PDP 2007: Revision 1)
Power Plant Project Names Fuel Types Capacity (MW) Lao PDR (Nam Ou 2) New IPP Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 1 SPPs Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 2-3 SPPs New IPP South Bangkok CC # 4-5 Power purchased from neighboring countries Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 4 SPPs Southern Region CC_EGAT New IPP Power purchased from neighboring countries SPPs North Bangkok CC # 2 Power purchased from neighboring countries Thermal power plant (Nuclear) _ EGAT # 1-2 Power purchased from neighboring countries Thermal power plant (Nuclear) _ EGAT # 3-4 Power purchased from neighboring countries Hydro Gas Coal Coal Gas/Coal Gas Coal Gas Gas/Coal Gas Nuclear Nuclear 843 2x800 700 210 2x700 200 700 2x700 510 700 200 700 700 1780 175 700 2600 2x1000 2600 2x1000 1200 28,530.3 38,093.3 -8,424.0 58,199.6 Total (MW) 843 1,600 700 210 1,400 200 700 1,400 510 700 200 700 700 1,780 175 700 2,600 2,000 2,600 2,000 1,200 MW MW MW MW Scheduled Commissioning Date January January March March January March January January January March March January January January March January January January January January January 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021
Total installed capacity as of October 2007 Total added capacity Total retired capacity Grand total capacity at the end of 2021
18
2006 2007
(JAN 2007) (FEB 2007)
PREVIOUS PLANTS
27107 MW
673.25 MW
734.0 MW
8.8 MW -1.0 MW
2008
(MAR 2008)
GULF#2,RB_Power#1
(JUN 2008)
734+700 MW
CHANA_CC (R3)
710.0 MW
RB_Power#2
700.0 MW
(DEC 2007)
2009
RPS (SOLAR 1.0, WIND 2.0) 3.0 MW SB_TH#1-3 RETIRED -(2x200)-310 MW SPP 8.0 MW SB_CC#3,BPK_CC#5 715+719 MW BPK_CC#1-2 RETIRED -2x386.3 MW SPP 60.0 MW
(AUG 2009) (SEP 2009)
(NOV 2009) (DEC 2009)
8.0 MW 15.0 MW
2010
(JAN 2010)
78+78+87 MW
(FEB 2010) (MAR 2010) (APR 2010)
PURCHASE FROM LAOS (NT2) RPS (SMALL HYDRO) RPS (SMALL HYDRO) SPP (RENEWABLE) NB_CC#1 RPS (SMALL HYDRO)
2011
(JAN 2011)
SPP (RENEWABLE)
25.0 MW
596.6 MW
(JUL 2011)
PPB_TH#1
RETIRED
-69.9 MW
2012
(JAN 2012)
IPP (GAS/COAL)
(MAR 2012)
800.0 MW
(FEB 2012)
SPP (RENEW&COGEN)
245.0 MW
2013
PURCHASE FROM LAOS (NNG3) BPK_CC#6 IPP (GAS/COAL) PURCHASE FROM LAOS (HS#1)
MW MW MW MW
2014
(JAN 2014)
PURCHASE FROM LAOS (NT1) PURCHASE FROM LAOS (NNP1) SPP (RENEW&COGEN) PURCHASE FROM LAOS (NOU#1)
MW MW MW MW
2015
(JAN 2015)
RETIRED
(MAR 2015)
SPP (RENEW&COGEN)
210.0 MW
2016
(JAN 2016)
(MAR 2016)
EGAT (COAL#2-3)
SPP (RENEW&COGEN)
(JUN 2016) (JUL 2016)
2x700.0 MW
200.0 MW
PPB_TH#2 KN_CC RETIRED RETIRED -70.2 MW -678.0 MW
2017
MW MW MW MW
(OCT 2017)
-90.0 MW
19
RUN DATE JANUARY 7, 2008
2018
BPK_CC#4,NPO_CC#1 RETIRED -699.1 MW EXTERNAL PURCHASE 1780.0 MW SPP (RENEW&COGEN) 175.0 MW SPP_4 (PPA ENDS) -32.0 MW
2019
(JAN 2019)
(FEB 2019)
EXTERNAL PURCHASE
2600.0 MW
BPK_TH#1-2 NB_CC#2
(JUL 2019)
-9.0 MW
-90.0 MW -90.0 MW
(FEB 2020)
EXTERNAL PURCHASE
2600.0 MW
(MAY 2020) (JUN 2020)
-8.0 MW -700.0 MW
-90.0 MW
2021
(JAN 2021)
EXTERNAL PURCHASE
1200.0 MW
(FEB 2021)
INSTALLED CAPACITY
DEPENDABLE CAPACITY
PEAK GENERATION
PEAK GENERATION +15 %
0
-55.0 MW 2x1000.0 MW
DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
(OCT 2021)
-90.0 MW
-55.0 MW 58200 MW
20
4.6
A Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) is a regulatory policy that requires the increased production of renewable energy sources such as wind, solar, biomass, etc. The RPS was first introduced according to the resolution of the first workshop on Energy Strategies held in August 2003 and was later applied for the preparation of PDP 2004. The RPS mechanism was initially applied only on EGAT. Under the RPS policy, EGAT was obliged to develop renewable energy sources not less than 5 percent of the new generating capacity during 2008-2010. The total capacity of EGATs renewable energy plants
The first lot of renewable energy source projects of EGAT with the total capacity of 81.7 MW was concurred by the Committee on Energy Policy Administration (CEPA) in November 2006 and was approved by the National Energy Policy Committee (NEPC) in December 2006. The NEPC also waived EGATs obligation to construct the remaining 59 MW of renewable energy plants and substituted by the commitment to purchase power from renewable energy plants developed by private power producers under the Small Power Producer (SPP) and Very Small Power Producer (VSPP) solicitation. This new policy was adopted for the construction of new generating units to be commissioning from 2011 onwards. comprised: - Small Hydropower Plants - Solar Energy Power Plant - Wind Energy Power Plants 78.7 1.0 2.0 81.7 4.7 MW MW MW MW The approved EGAT renewable energy projects
As a part of EGATs implementation plan of the four units of coal-fired power plants to be in operation in 2015-2017, EGAT is now engaging with the potential coal producers in Indonesia, Vietnam and Australia for the supply of high quality coal throughout the power plant lives.
21
4.8
Based on the PDP 2007: Revision 1, the new power plants to be in operation during the planning horizon of 2011 to 2021; consisting of: - Combined Cycle Power Plants (Natural Gas-Fired) - Coal-Fired Power Plants - Nuclear Power Plants - SPP (Co-generation and Renewable Energy) 8,800 MW 4,000 MW 4,000 MW 1,700 MW
Of the total installed generation capacity at the end of the planning horizon of PDP, 58.1 percent is fossil-fuel-based combined cycle and thermal power plants of which accounted for the air pollutants.
With increasing environmental awareness, the study to quantify emissions from power plants was also conducted. The emissions from all power plants were estimated based on fuel consumption, as well as emission factors for specific power generation plants, for the years of 2011-2021. Based on the estimate annual generation of the existing power plants and the new generating capacity in the PDP, the calculated total annual fuel consumption was multiplied by the respective emission factors for four pollutants, CO2, SO2, NOx and particulates. Emission factors used for various fuel and power plant types are listed in Table 4.2
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Table 4.2 Emission Factors Fuel Types Natural gas/LNG CO2 1/ N2O 2/ SO2 3/ NOX 3/ Particulates 3/ Heavy Oil CO2 1/ N2O 2/ SO2 3/ NOX 3/ Particulates 3/ Lignite CO2 1/ N2O 2/ SO2 4/ NOX 4/ Particulates 4/ Imported coal CO2 2/ N2O 2/ SO2 3/ NOX 3/ Particulates 3/ Emission Factors 0.548 0.0192 0.011 0.202 0 0.812 0.0192 1.62 0.36 0.054 1.1590 0.0192 1.8080 3.2913 38.7484 0.668 0.0192 3.141 1.134 0.061 tons/MWh lbs/MWh g/kWh g/kWh
tons/MWh lbs/MWh g/kWh g/kWh g/kWh tons/MWh lbs/MWh g/kWh g/kWh g/kWh tons/MWh lbs/MWh g/kWh g/kWh g/kWh
Remarks: 1/ Referred to EGAT Estimation in accordance with the IPCC, 2006 2/ Referred to Energy Information Administration, US DoE., April 2002 3/ Referred to Co-operative Financial Services Sustainability Report 2003 4/ Referred to the conversion from EGAT Data
23
The estimate of air pollutants from power plants from 2008-2021 (based on the PDP 2007: Revision 1) which is compared to the estimate of PDP 2007 is shown in Table 4.3. Table 4.3 Comparison of Total Air Pollutants from Power Plants (2008-2021) Unit : Million Ton Pollutants PDP 2007 (1) CO2 SO2 NOX Particulates 1,748.20 1.47 1.62 9.36 PDP 2007: Revision 1 (2) 1,586.50 1.75 1.70 10.36 Difference (2) (1) (161.70) 0.28 0.08 1.00
The study shows that there is no significant difference in the SO2, NO2 and particulate air pollution between the two PDPs. However, there is a substantial reduction in emissions of CO2 as a result of higher power import from neighboring countries.
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5. Project Descriptions
The description of projects in the PDP 2007: Revision 1 for the commissioning during 2007-2015 can be described as follows: 5.1 Bulk Power Supply for the Greater Bangkok Area Phase 2 The Bulk Power supply for the Greater Bangkok Area Phase 2 (BSB2) is a successive project of the phase 1 project. The project consists of six subprojects aimed to upgrade the existing transmission facilities to cope with the increasing demand of the metropolitan area. The transmission system reinforcement subprojects comprises the
conversion of existing lines from 230 kV to 500 kV voltage levels, the addition of transformers and reactive compensation devices and the construction of new 230 kV terminal substations to supply to Metropolitan Electricity Authority (MEA). The scope of reinforcement of EGATs transmission system was designed to harmonize with the MEAs long-term distribution system reinforcement plan.
The project was approved by the cabinet in August 2006 and the six subprojects were expected to be completed during in 2007-2010. 5.2 Kaeng Koi IPP Power Plant Project This project is a part of power purchase from independent power producer (IPP) to promote private participation in the power generation. The project is owned by the Gulf Power Generation Co., Ltd. The generating units comprise two 734 MW blocks of gasfired combined cycle power plant. The site of the project is located in the central part of Thailand at Ban Pha Subdistrict, Kaeng Koi District of Saraburi Province. The generating power from the project will be transmitted to the network via the connection of EGATs existing 230 kV Saraburi-Lam Takong Lines. The first block has put in operation since May 2007. The second block will be completed in March 2008. 5.3 Chana Combined Cycle Power Plant Project This project is one of the new combined cycle power plant projects being developed by EGAT. The installed capacity of the project is 710 MW. The site is located in the southern part of Thailand at Chana District of Songkla Province. The plant was designed to use the natural gas, which from the offshore of Thailand-Malaysia Joint
25
Development Area (JDA) through the submarine pipeline of Trans Thai-Malaysia (Thailand) Co., Ltd, and PTTs onshore pipeline system to the power plant site. The commercial operation is planned to be in March 2008.
After completion, the plant will enhance the power supply security of the Southern Region Network and serve the main load center in Hat Yai Area and lower southern part of Thailand. 5.4 Ratchaburi Power IPP Power Plant Project The project is being developed by Ratchaburi Power Company Limited, one of the IPPs which has a long-term 25-year power purchase agreement with EGAT. The plant consists of two blocks of 700 MW gas-fired combined cycle plants, located in the compound of the existing Ratchaburi Power Plant at Phikulthong Subdistric, Mung District, Ratchaburi Province. The first block is scheduled to be completed in March 2008 and the second block in June 2008 respectively. 5.5 500 kV Transmission System Development for Power Purchase from Nam Theun 2 Hydroelectric Project The power purchase from Nam Theun 2 Hydroelectric Project is part of an agreement between the governments of Lao PDR. and Thailand, of which provides for Lao PDR, to export electric power to Thailand. The Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
between the Nam Theun 2 Power Company Limited (NTPC), the project developer, and EGAT was signed in November 2003. According to the PPA, EGAT shall purchase 920980 MW power from Nam Theun 2 Project after the project completes in November 2009.
The 500 kV Transmission System Development for Power Purchase from Nam Theun 2 Hydroelectric Project is part of transmission line, which is linked between the Nam Theun 2 Project and EGATs network at Roi Et 2 Substation. The transmission line portion in Lao PDR. will be constructed by NTPC and the portion in Thailand will be developed by EGAT.
The scope of work for the transmission line portion in Thailand comprises the construction of 500 kV double circuit lines from Thailand/Lao PDR. Border to Roi Et substation, using 4x1,272 MCM ACSR conductor, a distance of approximately 166 km
26
with the reconstruction of the 230 kV double circuit lines between Roi Et 2 and Roi Et 1 Substation. The project was approved by the Cabinet in November 2004 and planned to be completed in April 2009 (6 months prior to the commercial operation date of Nam Theun 2 Project). 5.6 Renovation of Aging Hydropower Project The project is aimed to refurbish five aging hydropower plants of EGAT to extend their service lives, maintain operational efficiency and availability while reducing maintenance cost in the long run. The hydropower plants to be renovated are:
Hydropower Plant
Location (Province)
25 6 40 36 19
The project was approved by the Cabinet in January 2005 and planned to be completed during 2008-2010.
5.7
South Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 3 Project As EGATs South Bangkok Power Plant is one of the main power sources in
Bangkok Area and vicinity, new power plant is needed to maintain the generating capability after the retirement of South Bangkok Thermal Power Plant Units 1-3. EGAT has proposed the project to construct the new natural gas-fired combined cycle power plant and the project was approved by the Cabinet in October 2005. The power plant is now being constructed in the compound of the existing South Bangkok Power Plant in Samut Prakan Province, outskirt of Bangkok. The installed capacity of the project is 715 MW and planned to be completed in March 2009. 5.8 Bang Pakong Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 5 Project The project is one of the new natural gas-fried combined cycle power plants being constructed by EGAT. The site of the project is the compound of the existing Bang
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Pakong Power Plant, Chachoengsao Province. The project is aimed to supply the electric power to Bangkok Area and vicinity via the connection of 230 kV Bang Pakong-Khlong Dan-Bang Phli Lines. The project was approved by the Cabinet in July 2006. The generating unit comprises 719 MW combined cycle block. commissioning in March 2009. 5.9 North Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block 1 Project The project is aimed to maintain power supply capability of Bangkok Area and vicinity after the decommissioning of the aging North Bangkok Thermal Power Plants Units 1-3. The project comprises 685 MW block of natural gas-fired power plant being constructed at the existing site of North Bangkok Power Plant at Bang Kruai Subdistrict, Nonthaburi Province. The project was approved by the Cabinet in December 2006. The natural gas supply will be provided through the PTTs pipe line being constructed under the Sai Noi-North Bangkok and South Bangkok Project. The commercial operation is planned to be in March 2010. 5.10 Transmission System Development for Power Purchase from Nam Ngum 2 Hydroelectric power Project The Nam Ngum 2 Hydropower Project is one of the large-scale projects in Lao PDR., aimed to export the electric power to Thailand under the MOU between the two countries. The total capacity of the project is 615 MW. Under the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) between EGAT and the Southeast Asia Energy Company Limited (SEAN), the project developer, EGAT will purchase 597 MW power with an averaged annual energy of 2,310 GWh/Yr after completion of the project in December 2010. It is scheduled to be
The transmission line links between the project and EGATs network will be made via the 230 kV Nam Ngum 2-Na Bong (in Lao PDR.)-Udon Thani 3 double circuit Lines. However, in view of the fact that EGAT has also committed to purchase power from other IPP projects in the central part of Lao PDR., of which the transmission line links can be shared to minimize the construction cost, the line section from the proposed site of Na Bong Substation to the border and from the border to EGATs Udon Thani 3 Substation will be designed as 500 kV lines. Prior to the commissioning of other projects, the Na Bong Substation will not be constructed and the lines will be operated at 230 kV of voltage level. The Na Bong Substation will be constructed in a later stage and be designed
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as the connecting substation among the IPP projects in the central Lao PDR., namely; Nam Ngum 2, Nam Ngum 3, Nam Theun 1 and Nam Ngiep projects while the transmission line from the Na Bong Substation to EGATs Udon Thani 3 Substation will be upgraded to operate at 500 kV.
The scope of work for the transmission line portion in Thailand comprises the construction of 500 kV double circuit lines from Thailand to Lao PDR. Border to Udon Thani 3 substation, using 4x1,272 MCM ACSR conductor, a distance of approximately 80 km but initially energized at 230 kV.
The Transmission System Development for Power Purchase from Nam Ngum 2 Hydroelectric Project was approved by the Cabinet in August 2006. The construction is planned to be completed in September 2010 (3 months before the commissioning of the Nam Ngum 2 Project). 5.11 Transmission System Expansion Projects No.11 The Transmission System Expansion Project No. 11 (TS.11) is a package of 17 transmission system reinforcement subprojects, planned to be developed nationwide except the Greater Bangkok Area of which the reinforcement plan was exclusively proposed. The purpose of each subproject is to maintain the reliability of power transmission to the proposed supply area, to provide flexibility of system operation and to minimize system losses.
The overall scope of work of the TS.11 Project comprises the construction of 1,776 circuit-kilometer transmission line and 6 new substations with addition of transformer capability of 4,500 MVA and 1,560 MVAr of reactive power compensation equipment.
The project was approved by the Cabinet in October 2007 and planned to be completed during 2010-2011.
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5.12 Transmission System Expansion Projects No. 12 - 14 The Transmission System Expansion Projects No. 12-14 (TS. 12-14) are the future transmission system reinforcement projects similar to the TS. 11 project. The technical and economic studies of the projects to identify the scope of work and investment cost are now under preparation. The expected completion dates of the projects are: Projects TS. 12 TS. 13 TS. 14 Commissioning Date 20112012 20132014 20152016
5.13 Transmission System Development for Power Purchase from Nam Ngum 3 and Nam Theun 1 Hydroelectric Projects The project is the transmission system reinforcement scheme to transmit the power purchased from Nam Ngum 3 (440 MW) and Nam Theun 1 (523 MW) in Lao PDR. to Thailand network similar to the scheme from other IPP projects in Lao PDR. The common power flow path from the Na Bong Substation in Lao PDR. to EGATs Udon Thani 3 Substation will be shared among the Nam Ngum 2, Nam Ngum 3 and Nam Theun 1 Projects. The scope of work of this project will confined to the construction of the transmission system in Thailand only. The scope of the project comprises the upgrade of the Udon Thani 3 Substation from 230 kV to 500 kV (correspond to the upgrade of Na Bong Substation in Lao PDR. and the conversion of transmission line link between the two substation to 500 kV lines), the conversion of existing 230 kV Udon Thani 3-Nam Phong 2 to 500 kV and the construction of new 500 kV transmission system section from Nam Phong 2 Substation to Chaiyaphum 2 and Tha Tako Substations. The project was approved by the Cabinet in December 2007 and expected to be completed in June 2012. 5.14 500 kV Transmission System to Supply Upper Northern System Project The project is the future transmission system reinforcement scheme to cope with the increasing demand of the upper part of Northern Region of Thailand. The propose 500 kV transmission system is aimed to increase the capability of power transmission from Mae Moh Power Plant, the major power source of the Northern Region, to load center in Lam Phun, Lam Pang and Chiang Mai Provinces. The studies (to indicate detail of the
30
scope of work) are under preparation. The project is preliminary, planned to be completed in 2012. 5.15 EGAT New Power Project (2012-2015) As a part of new generating capacity development, the new generating capacities to be developed by EGAT are as follows:
Power Plant
Fuel Type
Capacity (MW)
Wang Noi CC Power Plant Plant Block 4 Bang Pakong CC Power Plant Block 6 Thermal Power Plant (Coal ) Unit 1
5.16 New Power Projects of Independent Power Producers (20122015) According to the evaluation of financial proposal of the bidders for the independent power producer (IPP) solicitation in 2007 by the Energy Planning and Policy, the four successful bidders were selected to develop the new generating capacities during 2012-2015. The list of successful bidders are:
Name of Bidder
Fuel Type
Capacity (MW)
National Power Supply (NPS) Coal Power Generation Supply Natural Gas
5.17 Transmission System Projects to Purchses Power from Neighboring Countries Besides the power purchase from IPP projects in Lao PDR. that were mentioned earlier, there were still some projects that the agreements for power purchase could not be reached during the preparation of the PDP 2007: Revision 1, i.e., Theun Hinboun Expansion, Hong Sa Lignite and Nam Ou Projects. To make the investment plan
31
cover the cost of the future transmission system reinforcement project to purchase power from these projects, the preliminary investment cost (of the reinforcement scheme) (of those corresponding projects) is included in the PDP 2007: Revision 1. After the power purchase agreements of those projects can be reached, the cost will be revised in accordance with the detail of proposed reinforcement schemes and completion dates.
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Trend (in energy prices) is volatile by many factors that are difficult to predict, such as world energy market, economic growth of the country and technologies. Emissions of air pollutants and greenhouse gases are also important issues for the future power generation.
Nuclear power generation is part of the worlds sources of energy mix providing over 16% of world electricity. It is especially suitable for large-scale, base load electricity demand. At present, nuclear power becomes an important option to meet energy needs while achieving security of supply and minimizing carbon dioxide emissions. Nuclear power could make a major contribution to reducing dependence on natural gas and curbing CO2 emissions in a cost-effective way, since its uranium fuel is abundant. Asia is the region where electricity generating capacity from nuclear power is growing significantly. In East and South Asia, there are over 109 nuclear power reactors in operation, 18 under construction, and 110 under planning stage. The greatest growth in nuclear generation is expected in China, Japan, South Korea and India.
EGAT as an utility responsible for power generation and transmission to supply electricity demand of the country has been studied the advantages and disadvantages of
33
moving forward to the nuclear power generation. The advantages and disadvantages of using nuclear power can be summarized as follows:
a) Advantages: - Competitive Production Cost Nuclear power is competitive with coalfired power plant fuel for electricity generation, despite relatively high capital costs and the need to internalize all waste disposal and decommissioning costs. If the social, health and environmental costs of coal are taken into accounts, nuclear will be more competitive. Several productions of new reactor technologies will also drive the construction cost of nuclear power plant down and further increase the competitiveness. - Security of Fuel Supply From a national perspective, the security of future fuel supply is a major factor in assessing its substainability. The abundance of naturally occurring uranium makes nuclear power attractive to an energy security standpoint. At present, the current usage of uranium is about 66,500 tU/yr. Thus the worlds present measured resources of uranium (4.7 Mt) to be used in conventional reactors, are enough to last for 70 years. This represents a high level of assured resources. - Stable Fuel Price A long-term advantage of nuclear power over fossil fuels is the low impact on fuel price increase, since a large proportion of those costs is in the capital cost of the plant. This insensitivity to fuel price fluctuations will help stabilize the electricity tariff. - Low Air Pollutants and Greenhouse Cases Emission from electricity generation is one of the major sources of air pollutants and greenhouse gases, providing one third of the total. Coal-fired generation unit emits twice as much carbon dioxide as natural gas-fired per unit of power at the power plant site, but hydro, nuclear power and most renewables do not directly contribute any. On a global scale nuclear power currently reduces carbon dioxide emissions by some 2.5 billion ton per year (relative to the main alterative of coal-fired generation. The development of nuclear power would substantially reduce air pollutants and carbon dioxide emissions from power generation.
b) Disadvantages: - Radiation Risk The principal risks associated with nuclear power arise from health effects of radiation. Nuclear power produces radioactivity that can come into contact with the surrounding through small releases during routine plant operation,
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accidents in nuclear power plants, accidents in transporting radioactive materials, and escape of radioactive wastes from confinement systems. Nonetheless, such risk is
considerably low and the nuclear power plant is designed to prevent accidents and to mitigate the potential effects from the plant. - Public Acceptance There is a great tendency amongst the public to move against the decisions of developing the nuclear power plant, for variety of reasons. One of the reasons often raised is hazardous to their health and contamination of radioactive waste from the plant. Comprehensive activities to provide public reassurance of the health effects and environmental impact mitigation are essential for the development of nuclear power plant. - Intensive Investment Cost In general, the construction cost of nuclear power plant is significantly higher than for coal-fired or gas-fired power plants because of the need to use special materials, and to incorporate sophisticated safety features and backup control equipment. These contribute much of the nuclear generation cost, but after the operation of the plant, the cost of fuel and other variable costs are lower than fossil plant.
Conclusions
All types of fuel are needed for power generation to meet the rapidly increasing electricity demand of the country. Fossil fuels, particularly natural gas and coal, remain important, as the role of renewable energy technology is still limited.
Nuclear power is one part of the solution for future energy supply, particularly in the light of concerns on carbon dioxide emission. Without nuclear energy, the power generation would have to rely almost entirely on fossil fuels, especially coal, to meet the demand for base load electricity production. This has significant environmental, and particularly greenhouse gas, implications compared to the nuclear power plants.
Whenever new electricity generating capacity is required or the old fossilfuelled plants need to be replaced, it is therefore reasonable to consider nuclear as a serious option.
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7.
government policy to promote the utilization of natural resources for power generation and to enhance efficiency through the co-generation process. The solicitation is announced for the purchase of power generated from coal and natural gas-fired co-generation plants and renewable energy such as biomass, etc. The generating capacity of each contract is still kept within the range of 10-90 MW.
The record of SPP contracts as of November 2007 can be summarized as follows: Firm No. of Contract Capacity (MW) Non-Firm No. of Contract Capacity (MW) Total No. of Contract Capacity (MW)
41 12 53
39 28 67
80 40 120
Independent Power Producers (IPPs) Independent Power Producers (IPPs) are the large scale private power
producers participating in the electricity supply industry by selling the generated power to EGAT. The fuel used in the IPPs could be natural gas, coal or heavy oil. In contrast with the Small Power Producers (SPPs), the generating capacity of the IPPs would be larger than 90 MW.
The first round of IPP solicitation was announced in December 1994. Seven power producers with the total capacity of 6,677.5 MW were selected to sell the electric power to EGAT. Most of them are now in operation. The list of existing IPP contracts can be summarized as follows:
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Company In Operation 1. Tri Energy Co., Ltd. 2. Independent Power Producer (Thailand) Co., Ltd. 3. Glow IPP CO., Ltd. (1st Unit) 4. Eastern Power & Electric CO., Ltd. 5. BLCP Power Co., Ltd. 6. Gulf Power Generation Co., Ltd. Under Construction 1. Ratchaburi Power Co., Ltd.
1 July 2000 15 August 2000 31 January 2003 25 march 2003 1 October 2006/ 1 February 2007 5 May 2008/ 1 March 2008
2 x 700
Total
6,677.5
On 27th June 2007, the Ministry of Energy (by Energy Policy and Planning Office, EPPO) announced the second solicitation for proposals from independent power producers for the supply of power to EGAT during 2011 to 2014 with the total capacity of 3,200 MW.
The ranking of bid proposals were made according to the evaluation of levelized unit price of each bidder. Among 20 qualified bid proposals with the total capacity of 17,407 MW, 4 successful bidders were selected by EPPO and the list was announced on 19th October 2007. Due to the attractive unit price proposed by the coalfired bidders, two coal-fired bids with total capacity of 1,200 MW were also selected in addition to the two successful gas-fired combined cycle bids of which made the cumulative capacity of the new IPPs became 4,400 MW. The list of selected bidders and their commercial operation dates (COD) are:
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Projects
Companies
Fuel Types
Scheduled Commercial Operation Date (SCOD) January 2012 January 2013 January 2012/ January 2013 January 2015
1 2 3 4
GHECO-One National Power Supply (NPS) Siam Energy Power Generation Supply Total 7.3 Power Purchase from Lao PDR
The power purchase from Lao PDR. was commenced in 1971 when the Nam Ngum project, the first medium scale hydroelectric power plant, was in operation. The volume of the power trade between the two countries was gradually increased and led to an intergovernmental agreement to purchase bulk power from Lao PDR. In June 1993, the Thai government signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Lao government to import power from Lao PDR. up to 1,500 MW by 2000. In June 1996, under the request of Lao PDR., another MOU was signed for an additional power import of 1,500 MW within the year 2006. The total amount of power purchase from Lao PDR. was later extended to 5,000 MW and 7,000 MW after signing of MOUs in December 2006 and December 2007 respectively.
After signing of the MOU, many private investor groups have proposed various feasible projects that would export power to Thailand. The list of private projects for power export to Thailand can be summarized as follows:
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Projects a.) In Operation 1. Thuen Hinboun 2. Houay Ho b.) Under Construction 1. Nam Theun 2 2. Nam Ngum 2 3. Theun Hinboun Expansion c.) MOU on Tariff Signed 1. Nam Theun 1 2. Nam Ngum 3 3. Nam Ngiep 4. Nam Ou 5. Hong Sa
214 216
January 2014 January 2013 January 2014 March 2014/ January 2015 March 2013/ January 2014
7.4
Power Purchase from the Union of Myanmar The government of Thailand and the Union of Myanmar have entered into the
Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on the power purchase from the Union of Myanmar on 4th July 1997. According to the MOU, Thailand will cooperate with the Union of Myanmar to encourage the purchase of power up to 1,500 MW from the power projects in the Union of Myanmar utilizing indigenous resources particularly hydropower and natural gas by the year 2010. EGAT as an assigned authority to implement the power purchase program has jointly determined details of the power purchase including the selection of projects, capacity of purchase and appropriate timing.
In May 2005, the Ministry of Energy of Thailand and the Ministry of Electric Power (1) of the Union of Myanmar signed the MOU on the Cooperation in the Development of Hydropower Projects on the Thanlwin and Tanintharyi River. The master plan for the development of hydropower projects on the Thanlwin River was later prepared jointly by EGAT and the Development of Hydroelectric Power (DHP). The master plan indicated five potential hydropower projects on Thanlwin River as follows:
39
Project
Installed Capacity
1.) Ta Sang 2.) Ywathit 3.) Upper Thanlwin 4.) Lower Thanlwin 5.) Hatgyi
MW MW MW MW MW
Among these projects, only Ta Sang and Hatgyi are now under implementation.
a) Ta Sang project The Ta Sang Project is currently under the feasibility study stage. The site of the project is in the southern part of San State, about 130 km from the Thai-Myanmar border. The installed capacity was planned at about 7,000 MW. The MDX Group
Company Limited (MDX) was granted a concession from the Government of the Union of Myanmar (GOM) to develop the project. The MDX and the Department of Hydroelectric Power (DHP) jointly established the Ta Sang Hydropower Company Limited in April 2007 responsible for planning, designing, constructing and operating the project. The company has submitted a tariff proposal for the power sale to EGAT. The tariff proposal is now under negotiation.
b) Hatgyi Project The site of the Hatgyi Project is located in Karen state about 45 km from ThaiMyanmar border. The project was designed as the run-of-river hydropower project with no reservoir. The total installed capacity was planned at 1,360 MW. A portion of about 170 MW power will supply to the local demand in the Union of Myanmar while the major portion of 1,190 MW will be exported to Thailand.
EGAT has signed the agreement with the DHP for the joint development of the project associated with responsibility to seek co-investors. The Sino hydro Co., Ltd. (Sinohydro) has expressed its interest in developing the project. In June 2006, EGAT and Sinohydro signed the MOU for the cooperation in the development of the project. The
40
feasibility study of the project was jointly prepared by EGAT and Sinohydro.
The
feasibility report was submitted to the DHP in January 2008. Sinohydro has submitted the proposal for power sale to EGAT. The proposal is now under negotiation.
In addition to the development of hydropower projects, the pre-feasibility study for the development of 270 MW lignite-fired power plant in Kyaing Tong was prepared by the Sahakol Group. The project was planned as the mine mouth lignite-fired power plant with the installed capacity of 270 MW of which about 30 MW will supply the local demand. At present, there is no progress for the development of this project.
7.5
Power Purchase from the People Republic of China The Government of Thailand entered into a Memorandum of Understanding
(MOU) with the Government of Peoples Republic of China (PRC) in November 1998 with the intention to export power of 3,000 MW from Yunnan Province of PRC to Thailand. Due to the economic depression of the region and the issues relating to the rightof-way of the transmission line passing through the territory of Lao PDR., the proposed project has been delayed.
To proceed with the MOU, the study of the project was reinitiated in 2004. Thailand, PRC. and Lao PDR. agreed to conduct a joint feasibility study on power export from China to Thailand through Lao PDR. The study was planned to cover technical and economic justification of the project as well as the proposal to render an acceptable benefit to Lao PDR. for the consent to construct the transmission line through its territory.
Nonetheless, despite of several technical and economic studies carried out, but no definite resolution was concluded due to issue relating to the price gap between the proposed tariff by PRC. and an acceptable tariff of EGAT. All parties concerned agreed to temporarily suspend the project.
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42
Appendices
43
44
Appendix 1
Comparison between Thailand PDP 2007 and PDP 2007 : Revision 1
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46
COMPARISION BETWEEN THAILAND PDP 2007 AND PDP 2007: Revision 1 (2007 - 2021)
PDP 2007 Capacity Year Power Plants (MW) 2007 2008 Installed capacity as of December 2007 CHP of South Bangkok CC # 1 SPPs Solar energy and Wind energy (RPS) Chana CC #1 IPP (Gulf Power Generation Co., Ltd.) # 2 IPP (Ratchaburi Power Co.,Ltd.) # 1-2 2009 Retirement of South Bangkok TH # 1-3 CHP of South Bangkok CC # 2 SPPs Small hydro Power (RPS) South Bangkok CC # 3 Bang Pakong CC # 5 Retirement of Bang Pakong CC # 1-2 Power purchased from Lao PDR (Nam Theun 2) 2010 CHP of Wang Noi CC # 1-3 North Bangkok CC # 1 Small hydro Power (RPS) 38 39 3 710 734 2x700 -710 74 88 45.7 715 715 -772.6 920 243 700 33 33,509.9 2011 Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ngum 2) Retirement of Khanom TH # 1 596.6 -69.9 34,036.6 2012 Wang Noi CC # 4 New IPP (Gas) Power purchased from Loa PDR - (Theun Hinboun Expanded) SPPs 220 200 35,856.6 2013 Retirement of South Bangkok TH # 4-5 Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ngum 3) Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Theun 1) Bang Pakong CC # 6 New IPP (Gas) SPPs -620 440 523 700 700 200 37,799.6 2014 New IPP (Gas) Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 1 Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ngiep) SPPs 2x700 700 260 200 40,359.6 2015 Retirement of Rayong CC # 1-4 New IPP (Gas/Coal) Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 2-3 SPPs -1175.1 2x700 2x700 200 42,184.5 35,251 16.0 33,216 17.6 31,384 16.5 29,625 17.4 700 700 27,996 18.0 26,635 22.2 32,533.9 25,225 21.4 31,458.8 23,957 23.8 Retirement of South Bangkok TH # 1-3 CHP of South Bangkok CC # 2 SPPs Small hydro Power (RPS) South Bangkok CC # 3 Bang Pakong CC # 5 Retirement of Bang Pakong CC # 1-2 Power purchased from Lao PDR (Nam Theun 2) CHP of Wang Noi CC # 1-3 SPPs North Bangkok CC # 1 Small hydro Power (RPS) Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ngum 2) SPPs Retirement of Khanom TH # 1 New IPP (Gas) New IPP (Coal) Wang Noi CC # 4 Power purchased from Loa PDR - (Theun Hinboun Expanded) SPPs Retirement of South Bangkok TH # 4-5 Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ngum 3) Bang Pakong CC # 6 New IPP (Gas) New IPP (Coal) Power purchased from Loa PDR (Hong Sa 1) SPPs Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Theun 1) Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ngiep) Power purchased from Loa PDR (Hong Sa 2-3) Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ou 1) SPPs Retirement of Rayong CC # 1-4 Power purchased from Loa PDR (Nam Ou 2) New IPP (Gas) Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 1 SPPs 220 245 -620 440 700 800 540 490 200 523 261 2x490 200 200 -1175.1 843 2x800 700 210 43,711.0 35,251 19.8 41,533.1 33,216 21.1 39,369.1 31,384 22.0 36,819.1 29,625 20.6 -710 74 88 45.7 715 719 -772.6 920 243 225 685 33 596.6 25 -69.9 800 660 700 34,194.1 27,996 18.5 33,642.4 26,635 22.7 32,456.4 25,225 21.1 31,377.3 23,957 23.6 28,534.8 Peak Demand (MW) Reserve Margin (%) 21.9 Installed capacity as of December 2007 Chana CC #1 IPP (Gulf Power Generation Co., Ltd.) # 2 IPP (Ratchaburi Power Co.,Ltd.) # 1-2 Solar energy and Wind energy (RPS) 710 734 2x700 3 Power Plants (MW) 28,530.3 PDP 2007: Revision 1 Capacity Peak Demand (MW) 22,586 Reserve Margin (%) 20.4
47
COMPARISION BETWEEN THAILAND PDP 2007 AND PDP 2007: Revision 1 (Continued) (2007 - 2021)
PDP 2007 Capacity Year Power Plants (MW) 2016 Power purchased from neighboring countries New IPP (Gas/Coal) Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 4 SPPs Retirement of Khanom thermal power plant #2 2017 Retirement of Khanom CC Retirement of Bang Pakong CC #3 Power purchased from neighboring countries New IPP power plant (Gasl/Coal) South Bangkok CC #4-5 SPPs Retirement of SPPs 2018 Retirement of Bang Pakong CC #4 Retirement of Nam Pong CCt #1 Power purchased from neighboring countries New IPP power plant (Gasl/Coal) Southern region CC - EGAT North Bangkok CC #2 SPPs Retirement of SPPs 2019 Retirement of Bang Pakong CC #1-2 Power purchased from neighboring countries New IPP power plant (Gasl/Coal) Bang Pakong CC # 7 Nam Pong CC # 3 SPPs Retirement of SPPs 2020 Retirement of South Bangkok CC #1 Retirement of Nam Pong g CC #2 Power purchased from neighboring countries New IPP power plant (Gasl/Coal) Thermal power plant (Nuclear) EGAT #1-2 Retirement of power plant of Tri Energy Co. Retirement of IPP (Tri Energy Co; Ltd.) Retirement of SPPs 2021 Retirement of SPPs Power purchased from neighboring countries New IPP power plant (Gasl/Coal) Thermal power plant (Nuclear) EGAT #3-4 Total installed capacity as of December 2007 Total added capacity Total retired capacity Grand total installed capacity at the end of 2021 390 2x700 700 200 -70.2 -678 -328.5 500 2x700 2x700 200 -180 47,117.8 -328.5 -370.56 510 2x700 700 700 200 -42 -1100 530 3x700 700 700 200 -189 -373 6 -366 366.6 550 2x700 2x1000 100 -700 -188 -200 570 700 2x1000 58,320.1 28,534.8 38,247.3 -8,462.0 58,320.1 48,958 15.4 (Planned) Thermal power plant (Nuclear) EGAT #3-4 Total installed capacity as of December 2007 Total added capacity Total retired capacity Grand total installed capacity at the end of 2021 2x1000 58,199.6 28,530.3 38,093.3 -8,424.0 58,199.6 48,958
December 2007
PDP 2007: Revision 1 Peak Demand (MW) Reserve Margin (%) Thermal power plant (Coal) _EGAT # 2-3 SPPs Retirement of Khanom thermal power plant #2 Retirement of Khanom CC 44,126.3 37,382 16.4 Retirement of Bang Pakong CC #3 New IPP power plant (Gasl/Coal) South Bangkok CC #4-5 Power purchased from neighboring countries Thermal power plant (Coal) EGAT #4 39,560 15.6 SPPs Retirement of SPPs Retirement of Bang Pakong CC #4 Retirement of Nam Pong CC #1 New IPP power plant (Gasl/Coal) Southern region CC - EGAT Power purchased from neighboring countries SPPs Retirement of SPPs 49,886.7 41,795 15.6 Retirement of Bang Pakong CC #1-2 North Bangkok CC #2 Power purchased from neighboring countries Retirement of SPPs -1100 700 2600 -189 -328.5 700 2x700 510 700 200 -180 -328.5 -370.56 700 700 1780 175 -42 50,178.2 41,795 16.6 47,564.3 39,560 16.7 2x700 200 -70.2 -678 44,562.8 37,382 17.2 Power Plants (MW) Capacity Peak Demand (MW) Reserve Margin (%)
52,827.7
44,082
16.5 Retirement of South Bangkok CC #1 Retirement of Nam Pong g CC #2 Power purchased from neighboring countries Thermal power plant (Nuclear) EGAT #1-2 Retirement of power plant of Tri Energy Co. Retirement of SPPs -335 6 -366 366.6 2600 2x1000 -700 -188
52,189.2
44,082
15.5
55,250.1
46,481
16.7 Retirement of SPPs Power purchased from neighboring countries -200 1200
55,199.6
46,481
17.4
16.2 (Actual)
48
Appendix 2
EGATs Power System Map
49
50
51
52
Appendix 3
Installed Capacity of Thailand Power System
53
54
Subtotal Oil/Gas Oil/Gas Lignite Oil Subtotal Gas Gas Gas Gas Gas Gas Gas Subtotal Gas Diesel Diesel Subtotal Diesel Subtotal Subtotal
12.00%
22.33%
18.04%
Gas Turbine Power Plant Lan Krabu Nong Chok Surat Thani Diesel Mae Hong Son Renewable Energy Source
2.97%
(2x1.0)+(3x0.8)
0.02%
1.03385
55
Fuel Types
1.19%
11.59%
(4x115.6)+(1x215.6) (1x98.09)+(1x96.08)+(1x100.50) (1x91.90)+(1x95.14)+(1x100.63) (1x95.44)+(1x95.11)+(1x99.23) (1x100.48)+(1x100.77)+(1x101.62) (2x212)+(1x261) (2x209)+(1x257) (2x.214)+(1x253) (2x230)+(1x240) (2x230)+(1x240) (2x356.5) (1x350) (1x734) 1293
56
Appendix 4
Existing Transmission Lines and Substations of EGAT Power System
57
58
EXISTING TRANSMISSION LINES AND SUBSTATIONS OF EGAT POWER SYSTEM (as of November 2007) Voltage Levels Number (kV) Metropolitan Area 500 230 115 Subtotal Central Region 500 230 115 69 Subtotal Northeastern Region 230 115 S b l Subtotal Southern Region 230 132 115 300 (HVDC) Subtotal Northern Region 500 230 115 Subtotal All Regions 500 230 132 115 69 300 (HVDC) Total
Remark:
Substations Transformer Capacity1/ (MVA) 2 12 14 5 23 44 1 73 12 37 49 13 - 2/ 18 - 2/ 31 2 7 31 40 9 67 130 1 207 4,050.0 14,200.0 25.0 18,275.0 5,200.0 13,893.3 5,664.8 33.0 24,791.1 4,100.0 3,938.0 8 8,038.0 038 0 4,366.7 133.4 2,379.0 388.0 7,267.1 3,800.0 3,900.0 2,959.5 10,659.5 13,050.0 40,460.0 133.4 14,966.2 33.0 388.0 69,030.7
Transmission Lines (Circuit-kilometers) 411.1 805.0 1,216.2 1,878.8 4,107.3 2,774.7 46.1 8,806.9 2,050.7 5,286.0 7 7,336.7 336 7 3,045.8 8.7 2,769.2 23.0 5,846.7 1,143.0 3,295.1 2,935.3 7,373.4 3,432.9 13,304.0 8.7 13,765.2 46.1 23.0 30,579.9 3/ 3/
1/ Excluding generator transformers and station service transformers 2/ Sa Dao and Klong Ngea Substations are already included in the 115 kV and 230 kV Substations. 3/ The length of transmission lines from substation to Thailand - Malaysia border
59
60
Appendix 5
Power Demand Statistic and Load Forecast
61
62
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Average Growth 2000 - 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Average Growth 1992 - 1996 1997 - 2001 2002 - 2006 2007 - 2011 2012 - 2016 2017 - 2021 2007 - 2021
Note : Details of the amendment are : - Review of the 2007 energy generation by using the record of the first 8 months consumption. - Adopt the same growth rate of energy generation during 2008-2021 of March 2007 Forecast. - No amendment of peak demand forecast.
63
64
Year
Purchase
MW
GWh
2007
22,586
148,073
2008
23,957
156,335
2009
25,225
164,774
2010
26,635
173,835
2011
27,996
182,618
2012
29,625
193,258
2013
31,384
204,844
2014
33,216
216,949
65
2015
35,251
230,370
2016
37,382
244,365
2017
39,560
258,657
2018
41,795
273,387
2019
44,082
288,404
2020
46,481
304,154
2021
48,958
320,376
2007 - 2011
5.85
5.16
2012 - 2016
5.95
6.00
2017 - 2021
5.54
5.57
66
Appendix 6
Natural Gas Available for Power Generation
67
68
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
518 523 533 573 613 653 693 733 773 813 853 873 873
474
69
2331 2325 2337 2452 2626 2887 2993 3025 3151 3391 3616 3818 3794 3808
( KN,CNP,NPO LKB)
Total **
2805 2843 2860 2985 3199 3500 3646 3718 3884 4164 4429 4671 4667 4681
23 Nov, 2007
70
Appendix 7
Summary of Power Purchase from SPPs
71
72
Firm Contracts a) Existing Projects Black Liquor Rice husk and Wood residue Bagasse Palm cluster, Palm fiber, Palm shell Natural Gas Coal Fuel Oil Subtotal b) Commtted Projects Subtotal Total Firm Contracts Non-Firm Contracts a) Existing Projects Waste Gas Rice husk and Wood residue Bagasse By-product gas from crude oil refinery Municipal Solid Waste Natural Gas Coal Fuel Oil, Gas, Coal Lignite Subtotal b) Commtted Projects Subtotal Total Non-Firm Contracts Grand Total 19.0 24.8 565.4 2.0 2.5 58.3 40.0 108.0 17.2 837.2 510.7 1,347.9 6,082.9 6.0 14.5 168.8 1.7 1.0 52.2 8.0 45.0 6.0 303.2 235.6 538.8 3,502.4 32.9 226.8 145.4 9.9 2,219.3 703.0 10.4 3,347.7 1,387.3 4,735.0 25.0 169.3 84.0 8.8 1,413.0 370.0 9.0 2,079.1 884.5 2,963.6
73
Unit: MW Approved Year 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Total 760 335 180 180 180 130 90 Cogeneration Renewable Energy 1/ 20 225 25 65 20 20 80 110 200 175 605 Under Consideration (Cogeneration/ Renewable Energy) Total 20 225 25 245 200 200 210 200 200 175 1700
Note:
1/ SPP from Renewable Energy can be classified as follows: - Black Liquor - Bagasse - Rice husk and Wood residue Total 95 20 220 335 MW MW MW MW
74
75
76
Appendix 8
Summary of Existing Non-Firm Contract SPP Classified by Fuel Types
77
78
Fuel Types
Capacity (MW)
Commercial Fuels Natural gas Fuel oil Coal Subtotal Renewable Energy Bagasse Rice husk and wood residue Waste Gas Municipal solid waste By-product gas from crude oil refinery Subtotal Total
58.300 108.000 57.200 223.500 565.400 24.800 19.000 2.500 1.950 613.650 837.150
52.200 45.000 14.000 111.200 168.800 14.500 6.000 1.000 1.723 192.023 303.223
Note: Total energy purchase from Non-Firm Contract SPP is about 690.8 GWh per year.
79
80
Appendix 9
Projection of Energy Generating Capacity Classified by Power Plant Types
81
82
PROJECTION OF GENERATING CAPACITY CLASSIFIED BY POWER PLANT TYPES (PDP 2007: Revision 1) Units
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MW Year
- EGAT
- Lao PDR
- Foreign Purchase
%
MW
Subtotal %
MW
Thermal
%
MW
Oil
- EGAT
- SPP
%
MW
Oil/Gas
- EGAT
%
MW
- EGCO
%
MW
- RATCH
%
MW
Lignite
- EGAT
%
MW
Coal
- EGAT
%
MW
- IPP
%
MW
- SPP
%
MW
3,764 12.0 740 2.4 9 0.0 3,230 10.3 140 0.4 1,440 4.6 2,400 7.6 1,347 4.3 370 1.2
4,684 14.4 340 1.1 9 0.0 2,920 9.0 140 0.4 1,440 4.4 2,400 7.4 1,347 4.2 370 1.1
4,684 14.0 340 1.0 9 0.0 2,920 8.7 140 0.4 1,440 4.3 2,400 7.1 1,347 4.0 370 1.1
5,281 15.4 340 1.0 9 0.0 2,920 8.5 70 0.2 1,440 4.2 2,400 7.0 1,347 3.9 370 1.1
5,501 15.0 340 0.9 9 0.0 2,920 8.0 70 0.2 1,440 3.9 2,400 6.5 2,007 5.5 370 1.0
6,431 16.3 340 0.9 9 0.0 2,300 5.8 70 0.2 1,440 3.7 2,400 6.1 2,547 6.5 370 0.9
8,395 20.2 340 0.8 9 0.0 2,300 5.5 70 0.2 1,440 3.5 2,400 5.8 2,547 6.1 370 0.9
9,238 21.1 340 0.8 9 0.0 2,300 5.3 70 0.2 1,440 3.3 2,400 5.5 700 1.6 2,547 5.8 370 0.8
9,238 20.7 340 0.8 9 0.0 2,300 5.2 1,440 3.2 2,400 5.4 2,100 4.7 2,547 5.7 370 0.8
9,748 20.5 340 0.7 9 0.0 2,300 4.8 1,440 3.0 2,400 5.1 2,800 5.9 2,547 5.4 370 0.8
11,528 23.0 340 0.7 9 0.0 2,300 4.6 1,440 2.9 2,400 4.8 2,800 5.6 2,547 5.0 370 0.7
14,128 27.1 340 0.6 9 0.0 1,200 2.3 1,440 2.8 2,400 4.6 2,800 5.4 2,547 4.9 370 0.7
16,728 30.3 340 0.6 9 0.0 1,200 2.2 1,440 2.6 2,400 4.3 2,800 5.1 2,547 4.6 370 0.7
17,928 30.8 340 0.6 9 0.0 1,200 2.1 1,440 2.5 2,400 4.1 2,800 4.8 2,547 4.4 370 0.6
Subtotal %
MW
83
%
MW
Combined Cycle
%
MW
- EGAT
- EGCO
- RATCH
%
MW
- IPP
%
MW
- SPP
%
MW
9,676 30.8 5,857 18.7 1,853 5.9 2,041 6.5 5,331 17.0 1,293 4.1
8,966 27.6 6,592 20.3 1,853 5.7 2,041 6.3 5,331 16.4 1,353 4.2
8,966 26.6 7,520 22.3 1,853 5.5 2,041 6.1 5,331 15.9 1,353 4.0
8,896 25.9 7,520 22.0 1,853 5.4 2,041 6.0 5,331 15.6 1,353 4.0
9,556 26.0 8,220 22.3 1,853 5.0 2,041 5.5 6,131 16.7 1,353 3.7
9,476 24.1 8,920 22.7 1,853 4.7 2,041 5.2 6,931 17.6 1,353 3.4
9,476 22.8 8,920 21.5 1,853 4.4 2,041 4.9 6,931 16.7 1,353 3.3
10,176 23.3 8,920 20.4 678 1.5 2,041 4.7 8,531 19.5 1,353 3.1
11,506 25.8 8,920 20.0 2,041 4.6 8,531 19.1 1,353 3.0
12,206 25.7 9,992 21.0 2,041 4.3 9,231 19.4 1,173 2.5
12,206 24.3 9,993 19.9 2,041 4.1 9,931 19.8 1,131 2.2
11,106 21.3 10,693 20.5 2,041 3.9 9,931 19.0 942 1.8
11,106 20.1 9,991 18.1 2,041 3.7 9,231 16.7 754 1.4
11,106 19.1 9,991 17.2 2,041 3.5 9,231 15.8 554 1.0
Subtotal %
MW
- EGAT
- SPP
%
MW
16,375 52.2 852 2.7 120 0.4 972 3.1 972 3.0 972 2.9 972 2.9 972 2.6
Subtotal %
MW
Renewable Energy
%
MW
- EGAT
- SPP
%
MW
4 0.0 287 0.9 291 0.9 300 1.0 31,378 100.0 32,457 100.0 300 0.9 20 0.1 345 1.1 377 1.1 245 0.7 300 0.9 33,642 100.0
82 0.2 295 0.9 377 1.1 270 0.8 300 0.9 34,194 100.0
82 0.2 295 0.8 377 1.0 515 1.4 300 0.8 36,819 100.1
82 0.2 295 0.7 377 0.9 715 1.8 300 0.8 39,369 100.0
82 0.2 295 0.7 377 0.9 915 2.2 300 0.7 41,533 100.1
82 0.2 295 0.7 377 0.9 1,125 2.6 300 0.7 43,711 100.0
82 0.2 295 0.7 377 0.9 1,325 3.0 300 0.7 44,563 99.9
82 0.2 295 0.6 377 0.8 1,525 3.2 300 0.6 47,564 100.0
82 0.2 295 0.6 377 0.8 1,700 3.4 300 0.6 50,178 100.0
82 0.2 295 0.5 377 0.7 1,700 3.3 300 0.6 52,189 99.9
82 0.2 295 0.5 377 0.7 1,700 3.1 300 0.5 2,000 3.6 55,200 100.0
82 0.1 295 0.5 377 0.6 1,700 2.9 300 0.5 4,000 6.9 58,200 100.0
Subtotal %
MW
EGAT-TNB HVDC
%
MW
Nuclear
%
MW
- EGAT
Total
%
84
Appendix 10
Projection of Energy Generation Classified by Fuel Types and Energy Purchase
85
86
PROJECTTION OF ENERGY GENERATION CLASSIFIED BY FUEL TYPES AND ENERGY PURCHASE (PDP 2007: Revision 1)
Fuel Types
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Units 6,015
3.8 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.1 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1
Year 2013
Hydro/ 1,985
1.3 2.1 4.3 5.3 5.7 8.4 13.2 13.8 13.1 12.3 11.6 11.0 10.5
- EGAT
GWh
3,395 31,831
3,401
1.1
Foreign Purchase -
- Lao PDR
GWh
31,791
9.9
- Foreign Purchase
GWh
58,119
18.1
Subtotal
5.1 5.8 7.8
GWh
8,000 42,161
27.0 30.2 29.3 30.5
9,570 49,746
1,095 1,070 1,189 1,126
84,228
27.7
93,311
29.1
- EGAT
GWh
55,730 9,606
219 169 82 77
51,132
16.8
50,300
15.7
% MMCFD
985
972
- EGCO
6.4 6.0
GWh
9,932
227 224 152
9,885 13,916
8.5 9.0 8.4 7.2 7.9 7.3 6.9
7,320 13,833
269 316 311 307 329
% MMCFD
- RATCH
10.5
GWh
16,429
334 276 314 308
15,660 38,153
21.9 21.5 23.2
15,375 39,262
761 862 1,007 1,007 1,209 1,222 1,257
14,871
5.2
13,295
4.4
11,673
3.6
% MMCFD
288
257
227
- IPP
22.7 23.3
GWh
35,520
675 744 739
38,424 9,204
5.6 5.4 5.1 4.8 5.0
64,529 9,692
3.8
67,755
24.8
63,515
22.0
53,545
17.6
48,396
15.1
% MMCFD
1,322
1,240
1,041
943
- SPP
6.0
GWh
9,378 113,420
72.6 73.6 69.5 70.8
9,413 120,891
2,274 2,478 2,426 2,460 2,451 2,487
8,893
3.3
8,469
2.9
6,787
2.2
5,707
1.8
Subtotal
2,182 2,339
GWh
121,174 51
0.0 0.6
133,031 148 -
142,531
55.1
145,610
53.3
143,007
49.6
124,758
41.0
116,076
36.2
% MMCFD
2,618
2,679
2,630
2,283
2,141
Fuel oil
0.2
GWh
296 182
0.1 0.5 -
1,033 786
189 -
692 42
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
139 -
181
114
0.1
77
0.0
82
0.0
68
0.0
127
0.0
% MLiters
26
17
18
15
29
- RATCH 44 -
GWh
42
0.0 0.0 0.0
42 143
0.0 0.4 0.1 0.1
% MLiters
87
41
0.0
- SPP
GWh
41 1,860
1.1
63 211
34 34
63 211 44
0.0
63 202
0.1
63
0.0
63
0.0
63
0.0
32
0.0
Subtotal
0.3 0.0
GWh
520
118 12 434 23 158
92 38
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
734 38
10 12 12
245
0.1
177
0.1
140
0.0
113
0.0
68
0.0
127
0.0
% MLiters
32
41
26
17
18
15
29
Diesel
0.0
- EGAT 10 10 10 6
GWh
38 18,313
11.7 11.0 10.7 10.2 9.6 9.4
38 18,553
16.20 16.29 16.24 16.09
28 18,648 -
45 19,383 -
68
0.0
70
0.0
48
0.0
47
0.0
49
0.0
45
0.0
62
0.0
% MLiters
20
21
13
13
14
13
18
Lignite
16.39 15.85
- EGAT
GWh
18,144 -
18,610
19,291
8.9
19,379
8.4
19,313
7.9
19,375
7.5
19,445
7.1
19,407
6.7
19,525
6.5
19,448
6.1
% MTons
16.09
16.09
16.14
16.09
16.09
16.09
16.14
16.09
Imported coal
-
- EGAT -
GWh
10,533
6.8 6.1 5.8 6.1 8.3
5,350
2.3
16,098
6.6
21,401
8.3
21,401
7.9
21,401
7.4
21,464
7.1
21,399
6.7
% MTons
1.88
5.66
7.52
7.52
7.52
7.54
7.52
GWh
10,081 2,632
1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4
19,464
9.5
19,464
9.0
19,464
8.5
19,522
8.0
19,464
7.5
19,464
7.1
19,464
6.8
19,522
6.4
19,464
6.1
% MTons
6.83
6.83
6.83
6.85
6.83
6.83
6.83
6.85
6.83
- SPP
1.6
GWh
2,540 13,073
8.4 7.7
2,593
1.3
2,593
1.2
2,593
1.1
2,593
1.0
2,593
1.0
2,529
0.9
2,523
0.9
2,523
0.8
2,523
0.8
Subtotal
3.84 3.69 3.69
GWh
12,713 110
0.1 0.2 0.2
22,057
10.8
22,057
10.2
27,407
11.9
38,213
15.6
43,458
16.8
43,394
15.9
43,388
15.1
43,509
14.3
43,386
13.6
% MTons
5.84
6.83
6.83
8.71
12.51
14.35
14.35
14.35
14.39
14.35
Renewable Energy
-
- EGAT
GWh
3 1,787
1.2 1.3 1.2
352 2,075
1.1
353
0.2
385
0.2
385
0.2
385
0.2
385
0.2
385
0.1
385
0.1
385
0.1
385
0.1
385
0.1
- SPP Firm
GWh
2,083 691
0.4
1,982
1.0
2,068
1.0
2,068
1.0
2,068
0.9
2,068
0.8
2,068
0.8
2,068
0.8
2,068
0.7
2,031
0.7
2,012
0.7
GWh
691 2,482
1.6 1.8 1.8
691
0.4
691
0.4
691
0.3
691
0.3
691
0.3
691
0.3
691
0.3
691
0.3
691
0.3
691
0.2
691
0.2
Subtotal
GWh
3,126
3,118
1.7
3,026
1.6
3,144
1.5
3,144
1.5
3,144
1.4
3,144
1.3
3,144
1.2
3,144
1.2
3,144
1.1
3,107
1.0
3,088
1.0
GWh
490
0.3 0.0
1,892
1.0
3,609
1.9
4,871
2.4
6,132
2.8
7,884
3.4
8,865
3.6
10,687
4.1
11,914
4.4
11,914
4.1
11,914
3.9
11,914
3.7
EGAT-TNB HVDC -
GWh
18 -
1,381
0.8
113
0.1
1,270
0.6
939
0.5
939
0.4
939
0.4
941
0.4
939
0.4
939
0.3
939
0.3
941
0.3
939
0.3
Nuclear
-
- EGAT
GWh
16,059
5.3
32,026
10.0
% Tons
44.86
89.46
Total
156,335
GWh
164,774
173,835
182,618
193,258
204,844
216,949
230,370
244,365
258,657
273,387
288,404
304,154
320,376
88
Appendix 11
Transmission System Expansion Program
89
90
Items
A.
91
Name of Transmission Lines Length Number and (km) of Substations Circuit TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PROJECTS ASSOCIATED WITH GENERATION PROJECTS 1. ONGOING PROJECTS COMBIND CYCLE POWER PLANT PROJECTS 1.1 South Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block #3 (1x715 MW) 1.1.1 South Bangkok Substation Expansion 1.2 Bang Pakong Combined Cycle Power Plant Block # 5 (1x719 MW) 1.2.1 Bang Pakong Substation Expansion 1.3 North Bangkok Combined Cycle Power Plant Block #1 (1x685 MW) 1.4.1 North Bangkok Substation Expansion -
Subtotal
Items
B. 500 230
Name of Transmission Lines and Substations TRANSMISSION SYSTEM EXPANSION PROJECTS 4x1272 4x1272
92
2x1272 4x1272 -
Notes :
1 ONGOING PROJECTS 1.1 Transmission System Expansion Project - Phase 10 1.1.1 Additional Transformers Installation at Existing Substations 1.1.2 Shunt Capacitor Installations 1.1.3 Miscellaneous System Expansion Subtotal 1.2 500 kV Transmission System Project for Power Purchased from Nam Theun 2 Hydro Power Plant 1.2.1 Inside Thailand Border (Mukdahan) - Roi Et 2 166 2 1/ 1.2.2 Roi Et 2 - Roi Et 1 20 2 Subtotal 186.0 km (or 372.0 circuit-kilometers) 1.3 Transmission System Expansion Projects for the Greater Bangkok Area and Vicinity Phase 2 2/ 1.3.1 Sectionalizing of 230 kV Bang Pakong - Bang Phli and extending to Khlong Dan Substation and onstructing Bang Pakong - Khlong Dan - Bang Phli 44 1/ 2 1.3.2 Nong Chok - On Nuch (18.0) 2 1.3.3 Improvement of Sai Noi and Bangkok Noi Substations 1.3.4 Additional Transformers Installation at Existing Substations 1.3.5 Shunt Cpapcitor Installations 1.3.6 Miscellaneous System Expansion Subtotal 44 km (or 88.0 circuit-kilometers) and 1 new substation 1/ On the existing right-of-way 2/ New Substation 3/ Line conversion from 230 kV to 500 kV
Items
Name of Transmission Lines and Substations 1.4 500 kV Transmission System Project for IPPs Power Plants 1.4.1 Pluak Daeng - Nong Chok T Junction, third and fourth circuits
2010
93
Subtotal 159.0 km ( or 318.0 circuit-kilometers) 1.5 Transmission System Project for Power Purchased from Nam Ngum 2 Hydro Power Plant 1.5.1 Inside Thailand Border (Nong Khai) - Udon Thani 31/ 80 2 500 2/ 4x1272 Subtotal 80.0 km (or 160.0 circuit-kilometers) and 1 new substation 1.6 Transmission System Expansion Project - Phase 11 Central Region 1.6.1 Sectionalizing Wang Noi - Saraburi 2 1/Substation and extendeing to Saraburi 5 5 44/ 230 2x1272 1.6.2 Tha Wung - Lop Buri 1 13 3/ 2 115 2x795 and Tha Tako - Chai Badan 90 2 115 795 1.6.3 Rayong 3 - Rayong 1 15.4 3/ 2 115 2x795 3/ 3/ 4/ 4/ 1.6.4 Ratchaburi 3 - Samut Sakhon 4 - Samut Sakhon 3 - Sam Phran 2 40/25.5/15.5 2/4/4 230/230 4x1272/2x1272 (Invar) 3/ 3/ and Samut Sakhon 1 - Samut Sakhon 3 - Sam Phran 1 (7.1)/(15.5) 115/115 2x795 1.6.5 Kanchanaburi 1 - Kanchanaburi 2 14 2 115 2x795
Notes :
1/ 2/ 3/ 4/
New Substation Initially energize at 230 kV On the existing right-of-way Quadruple-circuit steel towers
Items
Voltage (kV)
94
Name of Transmission Lines and Substations Northeastern Region 1.6.6 Nam Phong 2 - Udon Thani 3 1.6.7 Sectionalizing Lam Takhong - Nakhon Ratchasima 2 and extending to Sikhiu Substation Sikhiu - Nakhon Ratchasima 1/ 3 1.6.8 230 kV Surin 2 - (Surin 1) - Buri Ram 1.6.9 Roi Et 1 - Maha Sarakham 1.6.10 Udon Thani 2 - Nong Bua Lam Phu Nong Bua Lam Phu - Loei Southern Region 1/ 1/ 1.6.11 Krabi - Phangnga 2 - Phuket 3 4 2 2 2 15/ 2 2/2 230 2x1272 (GAP) 230 2x1272 3/ 230 1,272 115 2x795 115 795 115 795 230/230 6/ 2x1272/1272
Notes :
1/ 2/ 3/ 4/ 5/ 6/
New substation On the existing right-of-way Initially energize at 115 kV Initially energize at 230 kV Line stringing on the existing steel towers Line conversion from 115 kV to 230 kV
Items
95
Nothern Region 2/ 1.6.12 Mae Moh 3 - Mae Moh 4 - Lamphun 21/ 1/104 2/43/ 230/230 4x1272/2x1272 2553 Mae Moh 3 - Lampang 1 2/ and Lamphun 1 - Lamphun5/2 (35.3)/(7.5)2/ 115 2x795/795 2010/2011 1.6.13 Sectionalizing Mae Moh 3 - Chiang Rai and extending to Phayao Substation 1 4 3/ 230 1272 2010 1.6.14 Sectionalizing Phitsanulok 2 - Nakhon Sawan and extending to Phichit Substation 23 2 6/ 230 1272 2010 1.6.15 Addition of Transformers at Existing Substations 2009-2011 1.6.16 Shunt Capacitor Installations 2010-2011 1.6.17 Miscellaneous System Expansion (78.8) 1 4/ 115 2x795 2010-2011 Subtotal 746.4 km (or 1,778.8 circuit-kilometers) and 6 new substations 1.7 Transmission System Project for Power Purchased from Lao PDR (Nam Ngum 3 and Nam Theun 1 Hydro Power Plants) 500 500 4x1272 4x1272 2012 2012
2/ On the existing right-of-way 4/ Line stringing on the existing steel towers 6/ Quadruple-circuit steel towers, initally double-circuit line stringing
7/ 7/ 1.7.1 Inside Thailand Border (Nong Khai)-Udon Thani 3-(Nam Phong 2)-Chaiyaphum 21/ (80)/(85)/132 2/2/2
Notes : 1/ 3/ 5/ 7/
New substation Quadruple-circuit steel towers On the existing right-of-way (Mae Moh 3-Lampang 1-Lamphun 1-Lamphun 2) Li i f 230 kV 500 kV
Items
2. FUTURE PROJECTS
2.1 Transmission System Project for IPPs Power Projects (Phase 2) 2 12/ 4 (2 ) 4 (2 ) 2 2 230 230 2x450mm2(ZTACIR) 115 795 500 4x1272 2011 2011 2011 2012
96
500
4x795
2013
A) GHECO-One Co., Ltd. (Coal), Nikom Map Ta Phut 2.1.1 Nikom Map Ta Phut Substation Expansion 2.1.2 Nikom Map Ta Phut - Rayong 2 (11)1/ 2.1.3 Klaeng - Chanthaburi 56.11/ B) Siam Energy Co., Ltd. (Gas), Bang Khla 2.1.2 Sectionalizing of Pluak Daeng - Nong Chok Double-circuit and extending to 1 3/ Substation to be Pluak Daeng - Bang Khla - Nong Chok Bang Khla C) Power Generation Supply Co., Ltd. (Gas), Non Saeng 2.1.3 Sectionalizing of Tha Tako - Wang Noi Double-circuit and extending to 1 3/ Substation to be Tha Tako - Nong Saeng - Wang Noi Nong Saeng D) National Power Supply Co., Ltd. (Coal), Phanom Sarakham 2.1.4 Sectionalizing of Pluak Daeng - Wang Noi (1 circuit) and extending to 1 1/ Phanom Sarakham Substation to be Pluak Daeng - Phanom Sarakham - Wang Noi 2.1.5 Constructing from Phanom Sarakham - Power Plant 11 500 500 70.1 km (or 88.1 circuit-kilometers) and 3 new substations
4x1272 4x795
2012 2012
Subtotal
Notes :
1/ On the existing right-of-way 2/ Constructing the single-circuit transmission line on the double-circuit steel towers 3/ New substation
Items
97
Name of Transmission Lines Length Number Voltage Conductor Commissioning (km) of (kV) Size Date and Substations Circuit (MCM) (Year) 2.2 Transmission System Project for Power Purchased from Theun Hinboun (Expanded) Hydro Power Plant 2.2.1 Inside Thailand Border (Nakhon Phanom) - Nakhon Phanom 2 1/ (7.5) 2 230 1272 (Invar) 2/ 2011 2.2.2 Nakhon Phanom 2 - Nakhon Phanom Junction 2 2 230 1272 2011 2.2.3 Phang Khon - Sakon Nakhon 1 52 2 115 477 2011 Subtotal 54.0 km (or 108.0 circuit-kilometers) and 1 new substation 2.3 Transmission System Project for Power Purchased from Hong Sa Lignite Power Plant and Nam Ou Hydro Power Plan 1/ 1st and 2nd circuits 2.3.1 Inside Thailand Border (Nan) - Tha Wang Pha, 50 2 500 4x1272 2012 2.3.2 Inside Thailand Border (Nan) - Tha Wang Pha, 3rd and 4th circuits 50 2 500 4x1272 2012 1/ 2.3.3 Tha Wang Pha - Nan 2 55 2 500 4x1272 2012 1/ 2.3.4 Nan 2 - Rong Kwang 85 2 500 4x1272 2012 2.3.5 Rong Kwang - Mae Moh 3 80 2 500 4x1272 2012 2.3.6 Sectionalizing Mae Moh 3 - Ta Tako single-circuit and double-circuit 500/230 2012 and Phitsanulok 2 - Lom Sak double-circuit and extending to Phitsanulok1/ 3 Substation 2.3.7 Reconstruction of Mae Moh 3 - Phitsanulok 3 - Tha Tako single-circuit 330 2 500 4x1272 2012 to be double-circuit
Subtotal 650.0 km (or 1,300.0 circuit-kilometers) and 4 new substations 2.4 500 kV Transmission System Project for Upper Northern Area 1/ 1/ - Chiang Mai 4 2.4.1 Mae Moh 145 2 500 Subtotal 145.0 km (or 290.0 circuit-kilometers) and 2 new substations Total 2,488.5 km (or 5,210.9 circuit-kilometers) and 19 new substations
4x1272
2018
Notes :
1/ New substation
98