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Introduction
There’s always been a lot of discussion, arm-waving and lip service about innovation, it’s role in social prosperity
and business performance. Yet we’ve been in a fallow period where major Innovation that puts the Economy on
major new paths increases jobs and creates entire new industries has bad declining and fallow for years now. In
fact not since the great wave of major new industries were created after the Second World War have we seen the
creation of major, deep and structural innovation. There are multiple causes which range from mis-understanding
what Innovation, to how it works and functions inside a large organization to its role in society and the challenges
and histories.
Innovation is almost always confused with Invention – the Aha of a bright idea. That’s a part of it but a small part.
Innovation in fact is the creation of new value, whether on a major or minor scale. The act of innovation doesn’t
occur until the bright idea is turned into a product or service, until those are delivered to the market, until they
cause actual change and until they deliver value to the business and society. It’s by those standards we say that it
has been fallow for decades. Yet it has never been more important for two major reasons. First, it is the source of
new jobs and wealth and general prosperity. Second, we’re facing a period where the world is in the process of
catching up with us, rapidly, and we will have to deal with major disruptions in the structure of the world economy.
Disruptions we are not prepared to face unless and until or business and socio-governmental organizations and
institutions re-discover what innovation, how to go about it and begin to seriously commit resources and
investments. For one thing, innovation is not minor cultural change within the matrix of an existing organization,
though it’s often discussed as that. As in the innovative culture or organization.
Real innovation operates differently than business as usual and requirements distinct management, control
systems and executive commitment, usually to the point of being a stand-alone organization run in an entirely
different chain of command.
Here we discuss the nature and examples of innovation in business, the history of innovation and previous waves
and the current strategic situation. We also discuss the extend to which existing organizations are prepare to
seriously commit, or even capable of doing so.
On the whole we the news is not particularly encouraging though some few major leading companies, from Wal-
Mart to P&G to Hewlett-Packard to Intel have clearly re-thought themselves, the role and importance of innovation
and how they will manage it organizationally and strategically. For the long-run health of the economy, and
society, it is necessary that the general understanding of what it is, how to go about it, now to manage it and why
it’s so strategically critically be radically increase. And, more than that, why it’s so necessary for us to collectively
commit to Innovation, as a major pillar of the future.
From Aha to KaChing: Innovation and Business Performance
Table of Contents
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From Aha to KaChing: Innovation and Business Performance
Our normal sequence would call for taking up the market situation but that's not only too depressing, for several
reasons, but Sun. seems more suited to reflection on big issues. So we' re going to focus on Innovation. Now
hopefully some previous posts have established the motivation for that, and they' re listed below the break, but in
discussing sad, not so sad and good stores about business performance a couple of themes emerged. One of
course was good execution and another was balancing strategy with operations. But if you review some of the
readings sustainable long-term performance, by which we mean growth in revenue, profits and earnings, also
requires adaptability and invention. Innovation in other words. And when you look at the examples from HPQ to
P&G you can see where this is all born out. And conversely when you look at the sad stories where the counter-
examples also support the argument.
But in case you need more convincing or, better yet, you'd like to
see it explained by somebody with a real track record of both
sustained performance and sustained change management we' ll
point you at the recent appearance of A.G. Lafley on Charlie
Rose. http://www.charlierose.com/shows/2008/04/23/2/a-
conversation-with-a-g-lafley
There'
s a lot of confusion about innovation, especially as distinct from invention and raw R&D.
We define Innovation as the ability to create new products, services and business models that deliver
value to the customer profitably. And sustain that over a period of time. Enterprises that can do this are
rare but they are the ones who'll do more than merely prosper in the coming storms. And notice some of
the subtleties. Innovation is not number of patents, % of revenue spent on R&D or any of those similar
metrics. Heck, by those measurements Ford is an innovative company. But what has it to show for it ? Or
the Auto Industry in general.
We were happy to hear Mr. Lafley not only has a similar view but is very eloquent both on how hard it is and how
important. But also on how becoming an innovative company requires a fundamental change in every aspect of
the company. In other words this is NOT about what happens in the lab but the ability to look at the market,
develop new products, make them and then delivery them. And then repeat.
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After the break we' ll share some of the conceptual framework we' ve developed over the last several years for
what' s required, what the typical problems are and what an integrated approach to innovation should look like. At
the end of the day this matters to investors, stakeholders, employees and any other related party because the
closer a company gets to these "Should-Be" ideals the more likely it' ll be on the list in another ten years, or 20...or
30 or....well you pick your horizon. One warning note - right now US companies have something of an advantage
in this business "software" but our friends in China, India and elsewhere know that and are taking steps to
improve their own capabilities.
The picture of things as they are looks something like the chart at right. All to often the way products are improved
or created starts with a "bright" idea (or just history for that matter) which is thrown over the wall to Design and
Development. The result is then forced thru a manufacturing (make) and packaging process and then Marketing
puts lipstick on the pig while Sales is handed the fun task of forcing it down the throats of the customers. In those
few sentences we' ve just summarized, for example, the typical process in the Auto Industry. Which, sadly as
some of the earlier readings, e.g. the story of the Taurus, show that they in fact know better. But don' t do it on a
sustainable basis.
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Finally, with this deep understanding of the customer, the entire Go-to-Market and Service/Support operations
inherit a basic of customer value propositions. The other thing that happens is that each stage is used as an
information gathering and feedback mechanism to make sure that innovation is continuous and adaptive. Finally,
as Lafley continuously emphasizes, you have to organize around these sorts of processes. Companies that put
these sorts of innovation capabilities in place, invest in them and maintain them will be the ones who will establish
long-term survivability and prosperity. These are the ones you want to invest in or work for or work with. Good
luck.
Previous Posts
Performance Assessment Basics: Five Fundamental Factors
Business Performance II (Readings): Performance, Pain and Prospects
Business Performance III(Readings): Sad Stories, Good Stories & "Fixes"
For example Dell is outsourcing much of its sourcing to China which it wouldn'
t do if innovation were still the main
driver. Similarly IBM has developed a reputation as the steady-goer but when you look at its'financials and
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investor presentations most of the earnings growth comes from buybacks and other financial engineering.
Similarly Oracle'
s acquisitions sprees are hallmarks of a mature industry.
For a short introduction to how the industry changed and evolved in the ' 90s you can read and download this
short note on industry evolution: Technology Industry Changes and Evolution. BTW just in case you' re
interested in understanding the history of the technology and consumer electronics industries, who the players
were/are, how they did and why and how the ecology of the industry was shaped and evolved over decades we
can' t recommend enough Inventing the Electronic Century: The Epic Story of the Consumer Electronics and
Computer Industries, with a new preface (Harvard Studies in Business History) by Alfred D., Jr. Chandler. In or
humble opinion a great, insightful and well-written book that any serious student (investor, employment, market
player) would benefit from reading. For our prior posts on the stack, industry evolution, business vs IT alignment,
et.al. issues see the industry archive where we' ve built up quite a "stack" of charts to help you with your analysis
ala Buffett'; that is understanding as best we can manage how the business works :).
Here' s an interesting accumulation of Tech-related readings (after the break) that are worthwhile in their own right
but also are perfectly illustrative of many of the themes we' ve tried to strike here. Both for the Tech Industry itself
and for it'
s inter-actions with the larger economy. Most of us, myself included, have this wonderful, romantic view
of the Tech Industry as being its'own thing running on an internal dynamic. Unfortunately most of the major
names are now mature companies struggling to find the NBT (next big thing). Worse many of them are
experiencing severe organo-sclerosis in their core disciplines. Tech is not the only industry driven by Innovation
however. In fact it is more central to the Pharmaceutical and Aerospace industries than what we traditionally think
of us tech. And, as I hope we' ve established, innovation is returning as a fundamental requirement for survival let
alone prosperity. Put all this together and you
have two broad mis-conceptions to adjust:
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The trick is to sort out the survivors from the also-rans who are going to struggle. And then sort the
survivors into the so-so'
s and the real men. As you skim over the readings we think the portents for the future are
pretty clear. Which means in terms of evaluating investment and performance we' re back to asking Economy -
Industry - Company questions. You' re hopefully looking for the companies with the skill, chutzpah and resources
to gain new high ground. And IOHO those are the folks who' ve re-made or are re-making themselves. Those will
be the buying opportunities after we get thru this current unpleasantness.
A perfect contrast is AMD vs. Intel. The former had a hit but failed to follow-up, sustain it or execute. Instead it
made an acquisition gamble looking for the easy fix. In stark contrast Intel transformed itself by building on it's
base skills in chip design and manufacturing as well as operational excellence and is now extending those
capabilities to whole new markets. (We can' t recommend some of the last investor presentations highly enough
btw). MOT is the perfect poster child for what we' ve called decliners in the charts. IBM on the other hand could
serve as the example, if not exemplar, for the sustainer.
The real interesting contrast is APPL vs. MSFT. There are a lot of readings below but consider what we think is
the most fascinating and powerful contrast. At it'
s heart MSFT is a software company and it' s most fundamental
discipline should be product development. Yet it delivers Vista late, emasculated, bloated, missing an ecology and
buggy. What Longhorn was going to be and what Vista became reduces in large part back to Code Red - when
internal development broke down almost completely and they had to do emergency surgery.
In contrast Apple made a decision to create a new, elegant, powerful and portable OS that not only drives Max
OSX but the iPod and iPhone because it' s modular, componentized and scalable. (Shades of NEXT and it' s
object-oriented OS and application platform). That means that every product Apple makes runs the same
software base and therefore can share applications, within limits of course. So MSFT is wrestling its'own kudzu
and Apple has created a self-sustaining, evolving and growing eco-system. Which holds the most promise for the
future do you think ?
Of course there's many a slip 'twixt cup and lip and MSFT is still a huge, tightly run profit machine and Apple will
need to sustain it'
s innovations with the NBT on top of this wonderful foundation. Which merely makes it easier
and more likely. But it'
s looking like Apple joins Cisco and Intel in that pantheon of folks who've made the
necessary cultural changes to embed innovation in their DNA. (Sailing Into the Storm: From Execution to
Innovation)
Let's take a look at the big tech news from the last week or so (deferring the HPQ/EDS discussion for now) and
focus on the APPL vs MSFT and MSFT vs YHOO campaigns. In both of which there was some big news
everybody covered and some that may have passed you by. In an earlier post/survey (WRFest 27Apr08(Tech
Ind): Innovators, Survivors & Also-rans) we introduced some ways/weighs of thinking about innovation and
typical patterns. You may want to refer back to that as here we' re going to build some more charts to dig into
some other patterns to set the stage for our discussion. You might also find reviewing the earlier discussion
(Sailing Into the Storm: From Execution to Innovation) of innovation a worthwhile review, especially if you buy
the argument that Innovation is not just an issue in the Tech Industry but is both a general requirement and the
biggest challenge beyond Execution facing all businesses. And one that most are failing at. We think the
framework for analyzing what works and is required vs the typical barriers applies to P&G just as much as to
MSFT...a view which, judging from public statements and observable behaviors, P&G agrees with.
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There are two big questions. First, can you get the
Innovation process going on a regular and speedy
cycle show that new products and offerings begin
to take off before the old starts into decline. And
second, and as or more important, is the question
of what path is the Company on. That is are
innovations moving the company forward, marking
time or eroding despite apparent cleverness.
When you think about the Big Three here you reach very different conclusions. Apple appears to have created a
sustainable culture of Innovation with one hit following another. Admittedly largely due to Steve Jobs...yet none of
the major innovations Apple has produced are from a one-man band but represent the efforts of entire teams. And
even more interestingly, in a rather Disney-like fashion, Apple is beginning to see cross-feeds and synergies. The
iPod effort led to the iPhone, which was and is a major breakthru in the entire Telecom business model. Both
together are causing a rapid growth in Mac sales. Even more importantly big business is beginning to give serious
consideration to Apple computers. A critical strategic enabler is a brilliant decision on the Operating System which
is modular and scalable. All Apple lacks now is a portfolio of small business applications along with a good
development platform. That would allow them to become a major player in the empty dumbbell space of ill-served
SMBs. (WRFest 2Mar08(Technology): Small to Large - IT Industry Structure)
In contrast MSFT has not only failed in its Yahoo acquisition - which you may recall we thought was a disaster
from the get go.(B2C Wars:Yhoo/MS Merger - Disaster in the Making ?) But it really hasn' t had any major
successes in any of its'new endeavors in years. Instead it' s milking the cash cows and monopoly positions it
enjoys in OS share and Office Suites. And doesn' t appear to have made much, if any, headway in the SMB
space. Largely we' re given to understand because of a lack of cultural understanding of the applications
development process. Now apps are different from middleware, culturally as well as technically. Yet at the end of
the day MSFT' s core competence MUST be software development. Yet we ended up with a new OS (Vista) that
was grossly de-featured from the original innovations promised in Longhorn, has been rather badly received, even
resisted as it doesn't provide significant advantages over XP and throws open the door to competitors. Particularly
in the business marketspace.
How ' bout that YHOO ? Well after the initial breakout as the most successful portal, with a business built around
display advertising it failed to find a way to grow that business. Terry Semel was brought into to provide a little
adult supervision, which he did and effectively, but his "new media" initiatives, which presumed that increasing the
portal attractiveness and thereby number of eyeballs, both built on the display advertising theme and failed.
Meanwhile of course GOOG' s wild, and unexpected, success with search-based advertising blind-sided them
completely. So what does Yahoo do now? So far it' s failed to take its'huge footprint and sustain it, failed in
developing its'own superb search engine (though admittedly with major improvements) and faces an incredibly
daunting uphill battle given Google' s share, penetration and street cred. Nor can it tell us what it wants to be when
it grows up.
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Looking at the chart and the three different timepaths illustrated we could just about assign names to each path:
Apple, Microsoft and Yahoo. These interesting times are really tough. From a stakeholders perspective you' d
have to argue that Apple has found a sustainable path that appears to make it a great place to work but one that' s
more than fully valued in the markets. That MSFT is suffering from Red Queen syndrome with major investment
after investment that have not succeeded in major incremental growth opportunities. Which makes it an
intermediate-term value play and a long-term question mark. For Yahoo the future is now - they appear to be
locked into downward path that may metastasize into a death spiral if they don' t pull themselves together, execute
enormously better and deliver value to existing users/customers and find new paths (visions, value props,
strategies, business models) forward. At best this is a "turn-around" opportunity but it' d take time, money, blood
and enormous effort.
One of our key findings is that, with occasional exceptions, very few concerns are prepared for the changes
they'
re failing to meet now, let alone the singularity. Which, btw, is a matter of leadership among other things,
which is why the readings start off with Cramer' s recent startling Mea Culpa on the John Stewart Show. On the
other hand there are the WMT' s and MickeyD' s of the world who have started and made serious progress on
"whole enterprise" re-factorings (WMT as Performance Exemplar: Re-Think, Re-Factor, Re-Energize); also a
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matter of leadership! The readings contain excerpts from a bunch of the key posts on disruption and response
and then another slew of carefully selected examples from just starting to profoundly well along. We' d also point
to P&G as another exemplar for resilience and innovation (Sailing Into the Storm: From Execution to
Innovation) as well as a host of the Tech Industry archives that dove deeper into various models of change and
innovation. For the rest of this post, having discussed "big picture" and enterprise disruptions we'
d like to focus on
the lower R.H. component of the Mandela and talk about industry innovation and the Next Big Thing (NBT), which
is a primary driver of all the rest and/or an enabler.
Post-WW2 Business Changes: if the previous chart tell us how technology, business and social change led to
Industrialization and the emergence of Mass Markets this one breaks down some of the more recent history for
how that evolved. Consider that post-WW2 we had four major new industries (Plastics, Pharma, Electronics,
Transportation) that were based on pre-war invention, wartime investment and innovation and post-war
implementation.
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In other words this weekend' s G-20 crisis conclave might just be a good rehearsal for the bigger changes coming
down the pike. And it' s by no means guaranteed that we' ll work our way thru with style and grace. But considering
the alternatives let's hope so. On that assumption though think about the world we face from an opportunity point
of view - P&G circa the ' 50s except for billions of people and whole new sets of consumer products and all that
implies for all the associated industries. Not to mention new biologics, energy and materials solutions and on and
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on. Future generations may look back on it as a great age of romance, discovery and innovation. After all they' ll
have to won' t they ? Or not care at all ! But when you dig back into the last great age of exploration you find out
that things weren' t so easy and romantic at all !
You see when you look at the accompanying chart we' re still in a world where, if growth resumes, demand will be
greater than supply and then is not the time to invest in exploration, reserves or acquisitions. NOW is !
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Macro-environment, the Economic Crisis, Structural Changes in industries and the nature of business and the key
components of the integrated and performing enterprise.
We' ve tried to map out what's going on in this graphic to illustrate those points. Most management teams have
grown up with a lot of churn and turmoil inside their firms but it's been a long-time indeed since this many things
have been disrupted this much, this
fast.
5) geo-political changes.
It'
s a sad fact that most efforts, such
as they are, are confined to #1 and
ignore the other, and more important
four! AT least IOHO!!
It'
s because the latter was a collection of individual
stars who played their own game for their own
advantage. The former was a team where every
player was focused on the performance of the
entire time. The results tell the story. The same is true of the enterprise. But that was just one tournament - a
business is much bigger than a sports team and exists for a lot longer. No decision taken today can exclusively
focus on today' s best advantage, nor on tomorrow' s. Each decision must act to maximize the sustainable
performance of the enterprise on a balance between the short- and long-runs. The fact that Detroit is now a black
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hole of subsidies, job losses and collapsing local economies as expedient short-term decisions bring home the
consequences of ignoring the long-term impacts would seem to prove the argument.
After the break you' ll find some more key exhibits along with discussions on several of these key points, if not all
of them. But the bottomline here is that we are crossing over the boundaries into an era of the biggest changes in
the macro-environment and performance requirements in many decades. A crossing which will impact us all and
one for which we' re seeing little concern or preparation.
We hope you find this summary, wrap-up and interpretation helpful. It' s the end-result of several months of work
here and, taken all together, we hope it provides a useful toolkit for evaluating business performance in turbulent
times.
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4) nobody's prepared for it because, for some reason, they don't see it this way or are locked into
denial.
With so much changing so profoundly and rapidly it all boils down to how
executive leadership responds to the changes around them; in other
words how do they see the world and what filters do they use to interpret
it. This is really a time for re-thinking business models, strategies and
core value propositions. And then translating those re-thinkings into
fundamental changes in functional capabilities. The sad fact is that the
necessary mental re-building, which precedes the actual activities in the
real world, seems to be badly lagging behind events in all too many
cases.
Case in point would be the results of recent BCG survey work, which we
reviewed earlier, but is worldwide across all industries and many
different-sized companies and about six+ weeks old at this time. Judging
from these results the "proper" response was anticipation, preparation
and execution. Actual response was ignorance, denial, panic, meat-axe and it' s still going on. If you look at the
second panel of this composite which traces out the response being prioritized by these companies the primary
emphasis is on short-term responsiveness, not long-term re-positioning. It' d be nice to have a little more detail but
a survey doesn' t lend itself to that approach. Necessarily cost cutting and revenue maintenance are high priorities.
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Of course he'
s spent most of the last decade un-doing Jack Welsh'
s legacies. Bear that in mind.
One only has to look at the work that Apple did beginning with Jobs'return and the re-design of the Mac and the
subsequent iPod/iTunes to iPhone migration to get an example of how it should be done. Or consider what
Lenovo has been exploring in the Chinese PC market. If you' d like to see this approach applied to the Finance
Industry or the Auto Industry just click on
the highlighted names.
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3) Performance and competitive pressures are going to see an accelerating macro-scale series of on-going
disruptions from the functional to the company to the industry to the economy-wide scales for decades to come.
Failures to grasp the widespread disruptions that are entrain will lead to the kind of "penalties" that the Auto
Industry is paying, the Finance Industry paid and will keep on paying and will hit every other single industry in the
developed world. The times they are indeed a' changing.
Needless to say, with these recurrent themes in mind, we were absolutely tickled to see Business Week (long a
loud and informed champion of good design and innovation) publishing a story a couple of weeks ago on the
failures of innovation over the last decade. The graphic is borrowed from that story and nicely illustrates the point;
and if you have trouble believing it then ask yourself why 'ol Larry-boy at Oracle has been feverishly consolidating
things, why MSFT hasn' t made any major breakthrus or why the pharmaceutical industry suddenly tipped over
into hard times about 6+ years ago (again something we' ve been arm-waving about for a long time).
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The graphic compresses the long discussions in a couple of prior posts and also captures 25+ years of sustained
experience in trying to move from how it' s typically done poorly to how it should be done well. Based on that
experience we guarantee that anybody who manages to get this blueprint in place will start having some real
impacts and will, in fact, be able to create a sustainable habit of innovation. Contrawise you can use the blueprint
as a diagnostic of failures. If you were to go back and re-visit the various movies that have been wildly successful
you'll find these arguments supported. You might, for example, compare and contrast Lord of the Rings with King
Kong with typical run-of-the-mill summer thriller. Or consider Pixar or the Harry Potter series as other examples.
All too often what you find in companies doing the lip service thing is that at some point in their history somebody
had a bright idea that' s thrown over the wall to Development and if it sticks (in the marketplace) all well and good.
After the original idea is turned into a product more or less then Marketing is called in to put lipstick and ribbons
on a pig and it's handed over to Sales to push into the customer base. Over a period of time this becomes
embedded in the corporate culture and feature after feature that creates no appreciable new value from the
customer' s view is stuffed out there.
Two major problems exist on this level. First, invention is NOT innovation. Innovation turns invention into new
products and services that create incremental new value, not move beyond the 80/20 cutoff point of death.
Second, the transom-throwing is a Vegas crapshoot that' s playing a numbers game. There' s always going to be
elements of uncertainty but you can change the odds in your favor dramatically by doing it right.
Doing it right starts with understanding customer and market needs, wants, desires, values and characteristics.
Stop me when the failures of Detroit come to mind. Let me stop you if they don' t but pick your industry. THEN the
original problem identification goes thru a Design phase where the market-based, problem-solving goals are
translated into product characteristics. Think about the LofR - Tolkien had a magnificent concept based on his life
experiences and a lifetime of work in mythology and languages.
That got us into the Design stage with the books if you would. Then the script-writing team spent years, literally,
taking the books down to the next level of developmental detail. The extended edition DVD discussions on the
subject are, IOHO, worth the price of the set for this alone. They're also worth it for the discussion of how special
effects, weapons and fighting, horsemanship, filming, production design, etc., etc. etc. were all brought together in
a synergistic blend of functions into a cohesive cross-functional development and delivery team. And serve as a
model for how real, deliverable innovation should be being done by business or any other organization that needs
to create new value.
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business and it' s worked for us for a long time; and contrawise killed us when we couldn'
t get the required
executive support. But if you check out those books you can map what Ford did and doesn' t and what Boeing did
and still does (consider the Dreamliner) to the framework.
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We start by looking at the basic core value proposition and it’s translation into the Business Model and Strategy.
Typically we next examine Marketing and Sales operations, where it is possible to reduce operating costs by
30%, shorten the sales cycle by 30% and increase the closure rate by 30%. This is primarily the result of
establishing good processes and discipline.
BizzXceleration is comprehensive but integrated across the total reach and range of business activities and
issues. And emphasizes a pragmatic, workable approach that results in a stepwise path to performance
improvement. We believe that our approach mitigates business risks, improves operational performance and can
lay the groundwork for 10-30% EBITDA improvements in post-deal execution.
If you would be interested in further discussions, more detailed descriptions or the review and testing of specific
opportunities we would enjoy hearing from you. We can be reached at contact@llinlithgow.com .
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