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MILAN EO Ofce + retail To be completed 1st quarter of 2015 LO O K 2 1 Trlenstr. 2 Ofce + residential To be completed 1stquarter of 2017
4 5
D O R O THEEN Q UAR T IE R Dorotheenstr./Holzstr. Ofce + retail + residential To be completed 2ndquarter of 2017 90% let (ofce)
DAS GER BER Marien-/Tbinger-/Paulinenstr. Ofce + retail + residential To be completed 4thquarter of 2014 15% let (ofce)
CA L EIDO Tbinger Str. 41 43 Ofce + retail + residential completed in 2013 60% let (ofces)
205,000
16.87
14.90
100,000
1.50
6,356
60,000
No data
2001
160,000
18.41
15.34
137,000
2.00
6,516
160,000
130,000
2002
127,000
17.89
14.80
292,000
4.20
6,828
312,000
220,000
2003
149,000
17.50
14.50
379,000
5.30
6,973
145,000
80,000
2004
152,000
17.00
14.50
415,000
5.70
7,102
129,000
93,500
2005
145,000
17.00
13.50
402,000
5.60
7,170
68,500
51,400
2006
140,000
17.50
13.50
467,400
6.50
7,222*
52,500
20,500
2007
169,000
17.50
14.50
466,000
6.40
7,253
32,600
23,400
2008
180,000
18.00
14.50
460,000
6.20
7,367
117,000
116,000
2009
171,000
18.00
13.60
453,000
6.12
7,401
40,000
22,000
2010
194,000
17.50
14.30
480,000
6.46
7,425
42,400
22,400
2011
285,000
18.80
14.30
424,000
5.70
7,449
45,900
41,200
2012
191,500
20.00
14.60
399,000
5.40
7,416
37,000
36,300
2013
258,000
20.00
14.40
365,000
4.87
7,496
81,200
62,700
CONTENTS.
Foreword 8 Stuttgart well prepared for the future Steady progress in the Europaviertel Stuttgarts ofce market delivers impressive performance Strong demand from the public sector and from industry Large rental transactions playing a signicant role Rents remaining steady at a high level Vacancy rate falls below the 5-percent mark Stuttgart leading Germany in growth Stuttgart central business district / city centre: New spaces have attracted many tenants Northern Stuttgart: Increasingly attractive Eastern Stuttgart: Making rapid progress Southern Stuttgart: Record results in some areas Overview of the Stuttgart ofce market Another vibrant market year expected for 2014 Your contact partners ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate 22 23 24 25 27 28 30 31 10 11 12 14 15 16 18 20
FOREWORD.
Fritz Kuhn
Mayor of Stuttgart
Ines Aufrecht
Director of Business Development, Stuttgart
8 9
A promising location.
In 2013 the turnover on Stuttgarts ofce market was excellent, and the prospects for the coming years look good too. The city continues to be attractive to investors as well as the working population. Care was taken at an early date to set the right course for the future, and this has paid off. A good example is electromobility, an area in which Stuttgart has been playing a pioneering role. In addition, its universities are continually devising new study courses in renewable energy, and new business clusters are sprouting up in medical technology. The city has taken important steps in these areas to strengthen the links between research and education. Given the current economic climate, the Stuttgart region can look forward to continued growth in 2014, as it will also continue to benet from the export trade of locally-based companies. This means that demand for energy-efcient, certied and optimally congured ofce space will likewise remain strong. In view of developments in past years in the city centre, however, there will certainly be fewer opportunities there for new projects. This will make it all the more important to promote growth in the peripheral parts of Stuttgart. The following pages present detailed facts and gures on developments in Stuttgarts ofce market in 2013. We hope you will nd the report informative and will be glad to respond to any questions or suggestions you may have.
Mario Caroli
Bjrn Holzwarth
PER CAPITA PURCHASING POWER IN 2013, IN : CITIES WITH 500,000 OR MORE RESIDENTS
Munich 28,920
Dsseldorf
25,566
Frankfurt
24,920
Stuttgart
24,297
Hamburg
23,469
Cologne
23,236
Berlin 19,423
10 11
12 13
194,000
180,000
159,000
149,000
152,000
145,000
2 001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: Research BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG , figures as of 31 December 2013
127,000
140,000
169,000
171,000
191,500
258,000
285,000
TAKE-UP BY SECTORS IN %
2004 Media/Communication Financial service providers Consultants Public sector Other Energy/Industry IT/Telecommunications Total 4.00 34.00 5.00 9.00 29.00 9.00 10.00 100 2005 8.00 12.00 10.00 21.00 28.00 13.00 8.00 100 2006 6.64 9.93 20.29 3.21 35.21 12.86 11.86 100 2007 6.27 10.36 18.4 17.75 37.28 9.94 100 2008 5.56 15.78 13.39 7.22 36.94 21.11 100 2009 6.14 8.36 7.72 30.41 40.94 6.43 100 2010 4.07 8.41 13.35 8.14 48.04 17.99 100 2011 3.82 8.67 8.00 13.68 40.42 15.79 9.62 100 2012 5.20 7.60 16.70 14.50 35.00 9.30 11.70 100 2013 2.74 2.77 16.00 23.74* 28.61 17.77 8.37 100
14 15
54,720
54,258
40,868
37,183
43,146
24,003
24,733
22,141
28,763
119,685
2012 Total space 2012: 191,500 sq. m < 500 sq. m 5011,000 sq. m 1,0012,000 sq. m 2,0015,000 sq. m > 5,000 sq. m
197
59
53
Source for both charts: Research BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG , figures as of 31 December 2013
20.00
18.41
18.00
17.89
17.50
17.50
18.00
17.50
17.00
15.34
17.00
14.80
Prime rents 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.50 14.30 14.30 14.40
13.50
2 001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: Research BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG , figures as of 31 December 2013
13.60
Average rents
13.60
17.50
18.80
20.00
16 17
17.00
14.40
12.00
Prime rents
Outlying districts Outlying districts Outlying districts to the north to the east to the south
312,000
Pre-letting
145,000
143,500
131,500
115,600
104,900
80,000
81,200
68,500
79,700
82,300 43,100
51,400
49,000
40,000
42,400
45,900
41,200
37,000
28,500
32,600
23,400
22,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
In spite of the appreciably higher completion volume, only a small amount of new space came onto the market, because many new premises had been pre-let. In Stuttgarts central business district and city centre, the supply of ofce space remained almost unchanged. The situation was however better for high-quality office space in the central business district. Large units became available in existing buildings, and a number of new construction projects like the Blow Carr, Caleido and
Pauline were completed. There is still a shortage in the segment below 500 square metres. Leinfelden-Echterdingen showed significant change: leases were signed for large amounts of space in existing premises, reducing the total vacant space from about 68,100 square metres to about 50,500 square metres. The number of available premises in relation to demand is still too high, however.
23,200
36,300
62,700
77,100
18 19
2.79% 3.86%
Stuttgart city centre 71,000 sq. m Bad Cannstatt, Wangen etc. 23,200 sq. m
6.36% 19.45%
Vaihingen 23,500 sq. m
100%
(equal to approx. 365,000 sq. m) 19.23%
Stuttgart central business district 70,200 sq. m
6.44%
6.58%
8.85% 13.84%
Mhringen 32,300 sq. m
12.60%
Source for both charts: Research BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG , figures as of 31 December 2013
In Vaihingen and Mhringen, the supply of vacant ofce space diminished as a result of new leases in the Am Wallgraben commercial area. A construction project in progress in the Stuttgart Engineering Park has already found a tenant, accounting for most of the available space here too. The supply was also slightly reduced in the southern district of Degerloch. In the Fasanenhof commercial area, the supply of vacant space remained almost unchanged.
Bad Cannstatt in eastern Stuttgart experienced a signicant decline in available space: hardly any new building space was created, and major transactions with Deutsche Telekom and the State of Baden-Wrttemberg cut the supply from some 30,600 square metres in 2012 down to about 23,200 square metres at the end of 2013. In the north, Feuerbach and Zuffenhausen showed very little change. Weilimdorf did however increase its supply of v acant space from some 41,100 square metres to approximately 46,000 square metres.
20 21
2008
13.9
13.7
10.3
9.8
9.6
8.9
9.1
9.7
8.3
8.3
8.9
8.2
8.2
8.4
8.4
7.6
7.4
7.7
6.8
6.7
7.0
6.2
5.9
6.1
6.5
5.7
6.3
5.3
5.4
Frankfurt
Dsseldorf
Cologne
Munich
Berlin
Hamburg
Stuttgart
765,000
620,000
716,700
580,000
540,000
590,000
510,000
480,000
608,200
285,000
180,000
149,000
152,000
145,000
2 003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: GPP German Property Partners, figures as of 31 December 2013
Turnover of space in sq. m 2013 Berlin Dsseldorf Frankfurt Hamburg Cologne Munich Stuttgart 521,000 347,000 447,600 440,000 280,000 608,200 258,000 2012 630,000 308,000 514,800 430,000 270,000 716,700 191,500
140,000
169,000
Peak rent in 2013 22.00 27.50 38.00 24.00 21.25 32.50 20.00
171,000
194,000
191,500
Vacancy rate in % 2013 5.3 10.9 13.7 7.0 7.4 6.3 4.9 2012 5.9 11.6 13.9 7.4 7.6 6.8 5.4
258,000
4.9
STUTTGART CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT / CITY CENTRE: NEW SPACE HAS ATTRACTED MANY TENANTS.
In 2014 the upgrading of the Gerberviertel will be completed. Negotiations for these attractive new premises in the city centre are already under way. In the central business district, 92 percent of the new leases were in the segment up to 1,000 square metres. Demand for large and expensive premises was very weak.
In 2013, following a wave of completions in 2011 and 2012, tenants were found for many of the new premises. In the Caleido project, for example, 60 percent of the space has been let, and for the Pauline building the gure is 70 percent. The Gerberviertel project recently announced its rst lease, which was signed with a law rm. By 2015 some 7,000 square metres of ofce space will be available here. The Gerberviertel is growing steadily in attractiveness: the retail areas will be completed in the a utumn of 2014, the office space and apartments will be ready for occupancy in 2015, and the Globetrotter building in the Tbinger Carr (formerly Eberhard-Passagen) will open in 2014. Three new leases were signed in the Blow Carr, raising the occupancy level to 80 percent. The CityGate project will be ready for occupancy in late 2014, and a number of leases are already being negotiated. In the central business district, 43 percent of the rented premises were in the segment up to 500 square metres, and 23 percent were in the range up to 1,000 square metres. No leases were signed in the segments between 2,001 and 4,000 square metres. In the range above 5,000 square metres there was only one contract: In the city centre, 57 percent of the rented premises were in the segment up to 1,000 square metres and 20 percent in the segment from 1,001 to 3,000 square metres. A single contract for 11,200 square metres, accounting for 22 percent of the total, was concluded on the former Mercedes-Benz site on Trlenstrasse. Twenty-six percent of the premises were let for up to 10 euros per square metre, 71 percent for 10 to 15 euros, and only 2 percent for 15.01 euros or more. In the city centre, the Rosenberghfe project, with some the German Federation of Trade Unions, which is currently renovating its building, signed an interim lease. In the central business district, 49 percent of the rented premises went for less than 14.00 euros per square metre, and 35 percent for 14.00 to 17.00 euros per square metre. Only 17 percent were let for 17.00 euros or more.
11,400 square metres of ofce space, is currently under EuG_RE-J-13014_B The AOK, which intends to return to its former site, will Vers1.jpg occupy some 5,000 square metres, while an IT company has signed for about 1,600 square metres. Currently, about 50 percent of the space has been let; completion is scheduled for June 2014.
22 23
Bueromarktber_ the Kiefer site in 2015. The Oasis II construction project is scheduled to be completed in the rst quarter of 2015. The Skyline project, which includes further apartments and some 10,000 square metres of ofce space, is in the planning stage.
Ansicht_18-19_
24 25
FASANENHOF Fasanenhof stands to benet signicantly as a location when the infrastructure is improved by the suburban railway being extended to the airport, providing access to the future long-distance train station. For the rst time, a project exists that could permit the creation of a user- specic building within a predictable period. The total turnover came to some 5,700 square metres, slightly above the previous years gure of 5,200 square metres. Nineteen leases were signed, most of which, as in previous years, were for premises smaller than 500 square metres. There were two transactions in the segment from 501 to 1,000 square metres. The segment from 9.01 to 10.00 euros per square metre accounted for 89 percent of the leased space, and about 11 percent of the space went for less than 9.00 euros per square metre. The average rent was 9.50 euros per square metre.
In the Stuttgart Engineering Park (STEP), construction has begun on the new building project 7.1, which comprises some 5,800 square metres. Work on the second phase, 7.2, can be expected to start soon, as the premises under construction have already been let. The Centre for Solar Energy and Hydrogen Research, situated adjacent to the projects 7.1 and 7.2, has now been approved. The building will provide some 10,000 square metres for research labs, workshops and ofces. The industrial estate on Sigmaringerstrasse, which is a part of Mhringen, includes the area formerly occupied by the production plant of Hansa Metallwerke AG. This company is building its new administrative building on these premises, which cover some 5,000 square metres. Completion is scheduled for the second quarter of 2015. The remaining area will be able to accommodate up to 10,000 square metres of ofce space.
VAIHINGEN/MHRINGEN AND STEP The turnover in 2013 was excellent: approximately 62,200 square metres of ofce space was let to new users, almost three times the average rental take-up rate for the previous ten years.
In 2013, on the initiative of the city of Stuttgart, a planning study was produced for the vacant IBM site. The complex, which was designed by the architect Egon Eiermann, is to be preserved and put to appropriate use. A total of 48 leases were concluded in the Vaihingen/
Demand for space in the Am Wallgraben industrial e state was high, one major transaction being the renting of an ofce building with some 15,500 square metres by a carmaker. Another major transaction was concluded by the book wholesaler Koch, Neff & Volckmar. A new administrative building with some 13,500 square metres is being con structed on the companys former site. More than 600 employees will move in when the building is completed in late 2015. In addition, the city, the Business Development Department, the region, the local council and a new i nvestor are planning further development of the site, which covers a total of some 80,000 square metres. A number of existing buildings will be preserved and new construction projects are planned. As a result, the area including Industriestrasse, Ruppmannstrasse, S chockenriedstrasse and Wallgraben will help enhance the quality of the industrial estate.
Mhringen submarket. Eight of them were for less than 8.00 euros per square metre and 17 were for 8.01 to 10.00 euros per square metre. Together they accounted for about 37 percent of the turnover in this submarket. Most of the leases were in the segment from 10.01 to 13.00 euros per square metre. Rents exceeding 16.00 euros per square metre were achieved in the 19-storey Colorado ofce tower in Vaihingen. There were 26 transactions for premises smaller than 500 square metres, corresponding to 54 percent of the leases. Thirteen ofce units were let in the segment from 501 to 1,000 square metres, and there were only four between 1,001 and 3,000 square metres. Four leases were signed for premises larger than 4,000 square metres. Two, together accounting for 9,100 square metres, were in the range between 4,001 and 5,000 square metres. Three leases, each for more than 5,000 square metres, brought the total to 30,600 square metres of rented space, or about 49 percent of the entire turnover in the Vaihingen/Mhringen area.
Central Stuttgart
Eastern Stuttgart
26 27
A 8 towards Karlsruhe
A 81
A 8 towards Munich
A 81 towards Heilbronn
A 81 towards Singen
A 8 towards Karlsruhe
A 81
A 8 towards Munich
28 29
On the other hand, there are still many users on the Stuttgart market who need simple premises at an a verage price. The marketing of existing premises has become more difcult, however; this is because of the more rigorous requirements of public authorities and factors like increasing energy prices. As a result, owners of such properties who want to remain competitive will be forced to reduce their basic rent in order to compensate for the increased b urden on their tenants.
On the other hand, they also have to consider comprehensive refurbishment work, which ultimately raises rents to their market level. Through this process, low-priced premises become rarer on the market. Assuming that the turnover for small premises will remain relatively stable and that several anticipated major trans actions will take place, the turnover in ofce space for 2014 will probably be about 220,000 square metres.
Ulrich Nestel Head of Ofce Letting and Retail Stuttgart Phone +49 (0)711 2148 291 ulrich.nestel@ellwanger-geiger.de
Sebastian Degen Ofce Letting Consultant Phone +49 (0)711 2148 166 sebastian.degen@ellwanger-geiger.de
Helga Schner Research and Commercial Property Consultant Phone +49 (0)711 2148 269 helga.schoener@ellwanger-geiger.de
DISCLAIMER:
Although this study has been p repared with all due care, we can accept no liability for the correctness of the assessments presented. We are sure that you will understand this.
Matthias Hgele Ofce Letting Consultant Phone +49 (0)711 2148 292 matthias.haegele@ellwanger-geiger.de
Laura-Teresa Seiler Commercial Property Assistant Phone +49 (0)711 2148 297 laurateresa.seiler@ellwanger-geiger.de
30 31
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BANKHAUS ELLWANGER & GEIGER KG Real Estate Brsenplatz 1, 70174 Stuttgart Phone +49 (0)711 2148 300, Fax +49 (0)711 2148 290 www.ellwanger-geiger.de
Stuttgart District Court, HRA 738, Personally liable shareholders: Dr.Volker Gerstenmaier, Mario Caroli