Complete March 6, 2014 NBC 4 New York - Wall Street Journal - Marist Poll Release and Tables

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion
Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu
POLL MUST BE SOURCED: NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll* Cuomo Pummels GOP Opponents, But
*** Complete Tables for Poll Appended *** For Immediate Release: Thursday, March 6, 2014 Contact: Lee M. Miringoff Barbara L. Carvalho Mary E. Griffith Marist College, 845.575.5050
This NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll reports: New York State Governor Andrew Cuomos re-election prospects are promising. Cuomo outdistances each of his potential GOP rivals by at least 40 percentage points. Cuomo also remains well-liked by most registered voters despite the lowest job approval rating the governor has received since taking office in 2011. So, what accounts for the sharp drop in Cuomos job performance rating? The view of many voters that the states economy is still struggling plays a role. Governor Cuomos opponents face an uphill fight to unseat him this November, says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. Voters are comfortable with Cuomo but he still needs to convince many that the economy is turning around. Looking ahead to this Novembers gubernatorial election, Cuomo maintains a robust lead over his potential Republican challengers. Among registered voters in New York State, here is how these hypothetical contests stand: Cuomo -- 65% -- outpaces Rob Astorino -- 25% -- by 40 percentage points. One in ten voters in New York State -- 10% -- is undecided. Cuomo -- 65% -- had a similar advantage against Astorino -- 23% -- when NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist last reported this question last November. At that time, 12% of voters were undecided. Against Carl Paladino, Cuomo has the support of nearly seven in ten voters -- 68%. This compares with 25% for Paladino. Eight percent are undecided. Last fall, 67% backed Cuomo while 24% were for Paladino. Nine percent, then, were undecided.
*All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll
Cuomo -- 70% -- trounces Donald Trump -- 26% -- by 44 percentage points. Five percent are undecided. In that previous survey, 70% supported Cuomo compared with 24% for Trump. Seven percent were undecided.
Cuomos re-election chances stand firm despite a steep decline in his job approval rating. 42% of registered voters statewide approve of how Cuomo is doing his job. This includes 7% who think he is doing an excellent job and 35% who believe he is doing a good one. 38% rate Cuomos job performance as fair, and nearly one in five voters -- 18% -- calls it poor. Three percent are unsure. In November, 52% of voters gave Cuomo high marks. Included here were 8% who thought Cuomo was doing an excellent job and 44% who said he was doing a good one. 31%, at that time, thought the governor was doing an average job while 13% reported he was doing a poor one. Three percent were unsure. Regardless of party, region, or race, there has been a drop in Cuomos approval rating. However, the largest change has occurred among Latino and African American voters. By race: Among registered voters who are Latino, 41% approve of how Cuomo is doing his job. This compares with 62% who had this view in NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marists previous survey. 42% of African American voters, compared with 57% in the fall, think well of how Cuomo is performing as governor. Among white voters, 44% approve of Cuomos job performance. This compares with 49% in November. By party: 51% of Democrats give Cuomo high marks while 63% did so in that previous survey. Among Republicans, 33% approve of Cuomos job performance. 39% shared this view in November. 34% of non-enrolled voters give Cuomo high marks while nearly half -- 48% -- did so in the fall. By region: 50% of voters in New York City approve of Cuomos job performance. This compares with 56% in NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marists previous survey. In the suburbs of New York City, 45% think well of how Cuomo is doing his job while 57% said the same in November.
35% of upstate voters give Cuomo high marks while 47% had this opinion in that previous survey.
Voters views of the recession have impacted Cuomos job approval rating. A slim majority of those who think the Empire State is not in a recession -- 51% -- think Cuomo is doing either an excellent or good job in office. This compares with only 37% of voters who say New York is in a recession. How many voters statewide think New York is in a recession? Close to two-thirds -- 65% -believe the state is under the cloud of a recession. 34% say we are not in an economic slump, and 1% is unsure. There has been an increase in the proportion of voters who think New York is in a recession. When this question was last reported in NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marists survey last April, 58% said the state was in a recession. 39% thought New York was not, and 3% were unsure. While Cuomos approval rating has fallen, his favorability remains strong. 63% of voters have a positive view of the governor while 33% have a negative impression of him. Four percent have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. This is little changed from November when 66% said they liked the governor. 28% reported they disliked him, and 6% had either never heard of him or were unsure how to rate him. Governor Cuomo is bolstered by a high favorability rating, says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. His lower job performance score is not costing him at the ballot box. Voters Weigh In on Potential GOP Hopefuls Are Cuomos potential challengers viewed positively by voters? 61% of voters have an unfavorable view of Donald Trump. 36% think well of him, and 4% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Looking at Carl Paladino, 30% like him while 40% have a lesser opinion of him. Three in ten voters -- 30% -- have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Rob Astorino is little known to a plurality of voters. While 25% think well of him and 29% have a negative impression of Astorino, 46% have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. When looking at Republicans statewide, Trump has the highest favorable rating. 60% of Republican voters like Trump while 37% do not. Three percent have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. When it comes to Paladino, there is little consensus among Republicans. 38% think highly of him while 31% do not. 32% have either never heard of Paladino or are unsure how to rate him. Astorino is not well known among Republicans. 34% have a positive view of him while 17% have a negative opinion of him. *All references to the survey must be sourced as NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll
However, nearly half of Republicans -- 49% -- have either never heard of him or are unsure how to rate him. Making Headway? While a majority of voters think Governor Cuomo is improving Albany for the better, fewer say he is having a positive impact on the state, overall. 56% of New York voters think Cuomo is changing the way things work in Albany for the better. This compares with 40% who disagree with that opinion. Three percent are unsure. In November, 61% thought Cuomo was making positive inroads in Albany while 35% did not think Cuomo was changing it for the better. Four percent, at that time, were unsure. However, when it comes to the impact Cuomo is having on New York State, 45% say he is improving it. 23% report Cuomo is changing it for the worse, and 29% think he is not having any effect on the Empire State. Three percent are unsure. What do voters think of Cuomos political ideology? 36% call him a liberal. 46% say he is a moderate, and 12% describe him as a conservative. Six percent are unsure. There has been little change on this question since November when 35% thought the governor was liberal. 45% believed he was a moderate, and 11% said he was conservative. Nine percent were unsure. Directional Divide 50% of New York voters think the state is moving in the right direction. However, 47% say it is moving in the wrong one. Three percent are unsure. In NBC 4 New York/Wall Street Journal/Marists previous survey, 50% thought the state was on course. 45% reported it had fallen off the track, and 5% were unsure. Status Quo for Schumer and Gillibrand 53% of registered voters believe Senator Chuck Schumer is doing either an excellent -- 15% -- or good -- 38% -- job in office. 30% describe his performance as fair while 14% believe he is doing a poor job. Three percent have either never heard of Schumer or are unsure how to rate him. Schumers approval rating is solid. In the fall, 56% thought highly of how Schumer was doing in the U.S. Senate. 26% rated his performance as average while 15% thought he fell short. Four percent had either never heard of him or were unsure how to rate him.
When it comes to Kirsten Gillibrands job approval rating, 45% say she is doing either an excellent -- 10% -- or good -- 35% -- job in office. 31% say she is doing a fair job while 12% think she is performing poorly. 11% have either never heard of her or are unsure how to rate her. Previously, 47% gave Gillibrand high marks. 30% thought her performance was fair, and 12% said it was lacking. 12% had either never heard of Gillibrand or were unsure how to rate her.
How the Survey was Conducted
Nature of the Sample: NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll of 827 New York State Adults This survey of 827 New York State adults was conducted February 28th through March 3rd, 2014 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC 4 New York and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of New York were interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2010 Census results for age, gender, income, race, and region. Respondents in the household were selected by asking for the youngest male. Interviews were conducted in English or Spanish. Results for adults are statistically significant within 3.4 percentage points. There are 658 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within 3.8 percentage points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.
Nature of the Sample - New York State
NYS Adults Col % NYS Adults NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Other Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Other Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 100% 80% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 42% 21% 37% 46% 29% 25% 46% 54% 54% 46% 48% 52% 23% 26% 25% 26% 60% 14% 16% 9% 60% 40% 48% 52% 62% 38%
NYS Registered Voters Col % 100% 47% 25% 27% 1% 24% 46% 30% 30% 24% 46% 40% 29% 30% 40% 60% 49% 51% 41% 59% 17% 25% 28% 30% 68% 12% 13% 6% 68% 32% 48% 52% 66% 34%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Adults: Interviews conducted February 27th through March 3rd, 2014, n=827 MOE +/- 3.4 percentage points. NYS Registered Voters: n=658 MOE +/- 3.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables
NYS Registered Voters If the 2014 election for governor in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Andrew Cuomo, the Rob Astorino, the Democrat Republican Undecided Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 65% 87% 34% 58% 86% 72% 39% 82% 62% 54% 68% 59% 62% 68% 61% 65% 63% 65% 64% 74% 58% 66% 62% 57% 89% 74% 57% 82% 62% 67% 65% 64% Row % 25% 8% 50% 31% 10% 18% 51% 10% 31% 33% 25% 24% 32% 25% 28% 24% 27% 24% 26% 21% 26% 26% 27% 32% 4% 14% 32% 10% 30% 21% 25% 26% Row % 10% 6% 16% 11% 3% 10% 10% 8% 7% 13% 7% 17% 5% 7% 11% 10% 10% 11% 10% 4% 15% 9% 11% 11% 7% 11% 11% 9% 8% 12% 11% 9%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voters: Interviews conducted February 27th through March 3rd, 2014, n=658 MOE +/- 3.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014
NYS Registered Voters If the 2014 election for governor in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Andrew Cuomo, the Carl Paladino, the Democrat Republican Undecided Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 68% 89% 40% 59% 88% 74% 45% 86% 68% 56% 71% 64% 67% 71% 66% 68% 67% 70% 65% 78% 65% 68% 63% 60% 93% 81% 60% 86% 66% 69% 68% 67% Row % 25% 7% 48% 31% 8% 19% 48% 10% 23% 35% 24% 22% 30% 24% 26% 26% 24% 23% 27% 19% 25% 25% 28% 32% 3% 13% 32% 9% 28% 21% 24% 25% Row % 8% 4% 12% 10% 5% 6% 7% 5% 8% 9% 5% 14% 3% 5% 8% 6% 9% 7% 8% 4% 10% 7% 9% 8% 4% 6% 8% 6% 6% 9% 8% 8%
NYS Registered Voters If the 2014 election for governor in New York State were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: Andrew Cuomo, the Donald Trump, the Democrat Republican Undecided Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 70% 88% 41% 66% 90% 79% 41% 85% 68% 61% 72% 66% 69% 72% 68% 69% 70% 73% 68% 83% 66% 67% 68% 62% 96% 80% 62% 87% 67% 72% 69% 71% Row % 26% 11% 50% 28% 9% 15% 56% 14% 29% 31% 25% 25% 29% 25% 27% 27% 24% 22% 28% 16% 25% 29% 28% 31% 4% 20% 31% 12% 30% 22% 26% 24% Row % 5% 1% 9% 5% 1% 6% 3% 1% 3% 8% 4% 9% 2% 4% 5% 3% 6% 6% 4% 1% 9% 4% 4% 6% 0% 0% 6% 0% 4% 6% 5% 4%
NYS Registered Voters Would you rate the job New York State Governor Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor? Excellent Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate NYS in Recession Yes No Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 7% 10% 3% 4% 13% 5% 4% 11% 6% 5% 5% 10% 9% 4% 6% 9% 5% 7% 6% 4% 8% 4% 4% 8% 9% 7% 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 6% 8% 5% Good Row % 35% 41% 30% 30% 43% 39% 23% 39% 39% 30% 32% 41% 34% 32% 37% 34% 35% 32% 37% 27% 39% 22% 31% 35% 43% 37% 34% 33% 37% 31% 33% 37% 35% 34% Fair Row % 38% 35% 40% 40% 32% 38% 45% 36% 35% 40% 39% 36% 34% 41% 40% 34% 40% 39% 37% 46% 32% 48% 46% 35% 28% 36% 45% 38% 36% 41% 34% 41% 35% 42% Poor Row % 18% 8% 25% 25% 8% 15% 28% 8% 16% 25% 21% 11% 18% 20% 17% 18% 18% 18% 17% 18% 18% 19% 17% 18% 18% 19% 5% 18% 19% 13% 22% 13% 19% 15% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 3% 5% 2% 1% 4% 3% 0% 7% 4% 1% 4% 2% 5% 3% 0% 5% 1% 4% 2% 4% 3% 7% 2% 3% 2% 1% 8% 4% 1% 8% 3% 4% 3% 4%
New York State Registered Voters Would you rate the job Governor Andrew Cuomo is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor? Excellent/ Good 42% 52% 54% 56% 59% 58% 58% 55% 56% 54% 48%
Date March 2014 November 2013 April 2013 March 2013 October 2012 April 2012 January 2012 November 2011 August 2011 May 2011 January 2011
Fair/Poor 56% 44% 41% 40% 37% 38% 36% 39% 34% 37% 33%
Excellent 7% 8% 12% 12% 15% 14% 12% 9% 12% 10% 9%
Good 35% 44% 42% 44% 44% 44% 46% 46% 44% 44% 39%
Fair 38% 31% 27% 27% 30% 29% 29% 32% 24% 31% 28%
Poor 18% 13% 14% 13% 7% 9% 7% 7% 10% 6% 5%
Unsure 3% 3% 5% 5% 3% 5% 7% 6% 10% 9% 19%
Marist Poll New York Registered Voters
NYS Registered Voters Do you think that New York State is currently in a recession, or not? Yes Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 65% 60% 75% 65% 56% 64% 71% 64% 67% 65% 64% 67% 62% 64% 64% 68% 61% 64% 67% 56% 69% 72% 62% 65% 51% 73% 65% 65% 60% 69% 63% 68% No Row % 34% 38% 24% 35% 42% 35% 29% 33% 33% 34% 33% 33% 38% 33% 35% 30% 38% 35% 32% 44% 29% 27% 36% 34% 45% 26% 34% 33% 39% 29% 35% 31% Unsure Row % 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 3% 0% 1% 3% 1% 0% 3% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%
NYS Registered Voters
Do you think that New York State is currently in a recession, or not? Date March 2014 April 2013 March 2013 April 2012 January 2012 November 2011 November 2009 September 2009 October 2008 April 2008 January 2006 September 2005 April 2005 October 2004 September 2004 April 2004 January 2004 September 2003 April 2003 December 2002 October 2002 September 2002 May 2002 April 2002 December 2001 September 1998 February 1998 October 1997 March 1997 November 1996 March 1996 September 1995 October 1994 September 1994 March 1991 Yes 65% 58% 61% 67% 72% 78% 86% 90% 79% 73% 47% 49% 55% 62% 58% 62% 56% 64% 74% 71% 71% 71% 62% 68% 76% 23% 28% 36% 42% 48% 56% 56% 67% 63% 84% No 34% 39% 35% 30% 26% 20% 12% 9% 19% 24% 46% 44% 37% 33% 37% 34% 33% 31% 22% 26% 26% 25% 33% 28% 19% 71% 65% 58% 51% 45% 37% 34% 27% 28% 13% Unsure 1% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 7% 7% 8% 5% 5% 4% 11% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 10% 6% 9% 3%
NYS Registered Voters In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Andrew Cuomo? Favorable Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 63% 81% 42% 54% 72% 72% 44% 80% 65% 50% 62% 60% 64% 62% 62% 62% 63% 60% 64% 59% 60% 60% 68% 58% 89% 64% 58% 75% 59% 66% 65% 59% Unfavorable Row % 33% 18% 53% 39% 21% 26% 53% 14% 30% 46% 33% 33% 35% 33% 34% 34% 33% 34% 33% 31% 36% 38% 28% 37% 8% 32% 37% 20% 37% 29% 32% 33% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 4% 1% 6% 7% 7% 2% 3% 6% 5% 3% 5% 7% 1% 5% 4% 4% 4% 6% 3% 10% 4% 2% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5% 3% 7%
New York State Registered Voters In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Andrew Cuomo? Favorable Row % March 2014 November 2013 April 2013 March 2013 April 2012 January 2012 November 2011 August 2011 May 2011 January 2011 63% 66% 65% 66% 69% 76% 70% 67% 72% 71% Unfavorable Row % 33% 28% 27% 25% 21% 16% 19% 23% 16% 17% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 8% 11% 9% 12% 12%
NYS Registered Voters In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump? Favorable Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 36% 21% 60% 41% 20% 28% 63% 28% 43% 37% 38% 35% 37% 38% 36% 41% 31% 36% 35% 36% 37% 36% 34% 39% 22% 38% 39% 29% 37% 35% 35% 38% Unfavorable Row % 61% 76% 37% 55% 77% 69% 34% 68% 55% 59% 58% 61% 63% 58% 62% 56% 65% 62% 60% 60% 63% 60% 61% 58% 77% 60% 58% 68% 61% 61% 62% 59% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 4% 1% 4% 2% 3% 4% 2% 5% 3% 1% 4% 5% 3% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 3%
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NYS Registered Voters In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Carl Paladino? Favorable Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 30% 21% 38% 39% 15% 34% 37% 22% 30% 36% 28% 30% 38% 28% 34% 30% 31% 36% 27% 30% 39% 28% 25% 34% 20% 25% 34% 24% 32% 28% 26% 38% Unfavorable Row % 40% 50% 31% 31% 50% 41% 31% 45% 36% 38% 41% 41% 37% 41% 39% 43% 36% 43% 38% 46% 40% 43% 32% 35% 51% 54% 35% 49% 44% 36% 42% 36% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 30% 29% 32% 29% 34% 25% 32% 34% 34% 26% 31% 29% 25% 31% 27% 27% 33% 22% 36% 24% 20% 28% 43% 31% 29% 20% 31% 27% 24% 35% 32% 26%
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NYS Registered Voters In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Rob Astorino? Favorable Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 25% 19% 34% 29% 15% 26% 35% 16% 34% 27% 25% 24% 31% 25% 28% 26% 25% 31% 23% 36% 27% 23% 22% 27% 21% 33% 27% 23% 29% 22% 23% 31% Unfavorable Row % 29% 38% 17% 22% 38% 28% 21% 37% 23% 26% 32% 30% 24% 32% 27% 32% 25% 35% 24% 36% 34% 31% 17% 23% 35% 41% 23% 40% 31% 26% 28% 29% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 46% 43% 49% 49% 47% 45% 44% 47% 43% 47% 43% 45% 44% 43% 45% 42% 50% 34% 53% 28% 39% 46% 61% 51% 44% 26% 51% 37% 40% 52% 49% 40%
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NYS Registered Voters Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is changing the way things work in Albany for the better? Agree Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Income Education Age Race Gender Interview Type Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 56% 75% 33% 45% 59% 52% 63% 49% 49% 61% 50% 74% 52% 59% 58% 52% Disagree Row % 40% 23% 63% 49% 35% 46% 33% 49% 48% 36% 47% 21% 43% 38% 39% 44% Unsure Row % 3% 2% 5% 6% 6% 1% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 5% 5% 2% 3% 4%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 27th through March 3rd, 2014, n=303 MOE +/- 5.6 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
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New York State Registered Voters Do you agree or disagree with the statement: Governor Andrew Cuomo is changing the way things work in Albany for the better? Agree Row % March 2014 November 2013 April 2013 March 2013 April 2012 January 2012 November 2011 August 2011 May 2011 January 2011 Marist Poll New York Registered Voters 56% 61% 58% 61% 61% 68% 63% 60% 62% 58% Disagree Row % 40% 35% 33% 32% 30% 26% 28% 25% 27% 23% Unsure Row % 3% 4% 9% 7% 9% 7% 8% 14% 11% 19%
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NYS Registered Voters Do you think Andrew Cuomo as governor is changing New York State: For the better Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Income Education Age Race Gender Interview Type Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 45% 58% 32% 33% 53% 38% 46% 43% 37% 50% 43% 49% 42% 47% 45% 44% For the worse Row % 23% 10% 40% 27% 20% 26% 23% 24% 17% 28% 29% 9% 25% 21% 23% 23% Not at all Row % 29% 28% 26% 37% 23% 33% 26% 31% 42% 19% 26% 37% 29% 29% 30% 28% Unsure Row % 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% 4% 2% 4% 2% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 4%
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voters Split Sample: Interviews conducted February 27th through March 3rd, 2014, n=355 MOE +/5.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
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NYS Registered Voters Politically speaking, do you think Governor Andrew Cuomo is a: Liberal Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 36% 29% 50% 34% 34% 26% 55% 25% 39% 41% 34% 39% 35% 34% 37% 33% 40% 27% 43% 20% 33% 42% 44% 40% 38% 18% 40% 27% 37% 35% 39% 29% Moderate Row % 46% 52% 34% 47% 48% 62% 25% 53% 48% 41% 40% 43% 56% 40% 50% 43% 50% 52% 40% 61% 46% 42% 39% 47% 44% 47% 47% 45% 45% 47% 43% 51% Conservative Row % 12% 14% 9% 11% 11% 8% 16% 15% 8% 11% 17% 11% 6% 17% 8% 17% 6% 13% 11% 13% 14% 10% 11% 8% 12% 27% 8% 20% 14% 10% 12% 12% Unsure Row % 6% 4% 7% 9% 7% 4% 4% 7% 5% 7% 9% 7% 4% 9% 5% 8% 5% 7% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 4% 9% 6% 8%
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NYS Registered Voters Politically speaking, do you think Governor Andrew Cuomo is a: Liberal Row % March 2014 November 2013 April 2013 March 2013 January 2012 November 2011 May 2011 January 2011 Marist Poll New York Registered Voters 36% 35% 34% 35% 21% 27% 19% 26% Moderate Row % 46% 45% 38% 37% 57% 53% 52% 55% Conservative Row % 12% 11% 13% 14% 14% 13% 17% 12% Unsure Row % 6% 9% 15% 13% 9% 8% 12% 8%
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NYS Registered Voters In general, thinking about the way things are going in New York State, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction? Right direction Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 50% 65% 30% 42% 70% 56% 27% 58% 54% 42% 47% 49% 54% 47% 52% 47% 52% 51% 48% 55% 49% 44% 53% 47% 63% 50% 47% 57% 51% 49% 50% 49% Wrong direction Row % 47% 30% 69% 57% 24% 42% 72% 35% 43% 57% 50% 47% 45% 50% 46% 51% 44% 47% 48% 45% 49% 51% 44% 51% 30% 47% 51% 37% 47% 47% 47% 48% Unsure Row % 3% 5% 1% 2% 6% 2% 1% 6% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 4% 0% 2% 5% 3% 2% 7% 4% 2% 6% 2% 4% 3% 3%
18
NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables New York State Registered Voters
In general, thinking about the way things are going in New York State, do you feel things are going in the right direction or that things are going in the wrong direction? Right direction March 2014 November 2013 April 2013 March 2013 October 2012 April 2012 January 2012 November 2011 August 2011 May 2011 January 2011 October 30, 2010 October 22, 2010 September 30, 2010 September 24, 2010 May 7, 2010 March 26, 2010 March 2, 2010 February 3, 2010 November 23, 2009 September 16, 2009 June 30, 2009 May 4, 2009 March 3, 2009 October 2008 April 2008 March 2007 October 2006 July 2006 May 2006 January 2006 September 2005 April 2005 October 2004 September 2004 April 2004 January 2004 September 2003 April 2003 December 2002 October 30, 2002 October 1, 2002 September 2002 May 2002 April 2002 December 2001 April 2001 50% 50% 53% 51% 56% 51% 52% 43% 46% 41% 42% 18% 21% 16% 24% 22% 16% 18% 21% 20% 22% 21% 27% 27% 35% 33% 49% 35% 40% 34% 39% 43% 29% 40% 40% 43% 42% 39% 40% 39% 51% 55% 56% 65% 66% 65% Wrong direction 47% 45% 41% 44% 39% 43% 40% 49% 45% 54% 52% 78% 74% 79% 73% 72% 78% 76% 74% 75% 74% 74% 67% 65% 57% 59% 43% 56% 52% 61% 54% 50% 65% 54% 54% 51% 46% 54% 53% 52% 40% 37% 38% 28% 28% 25% 33% Unsure 3% 5% 6% 4% 6% 6% 8% 7% 9% 6% 6% 4% 5% 5% 3% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 5% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 12% 7% 7% 9% 9% 8% 6% 7% 6% 10% 9%
19
58% NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014 Marist Poll New York Registered Voters
NYS Registered Voters Would you rate the job Senator Charles Schumer is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor? Excellent Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 15% 22% 8% 10% 25% 15% 6% 20% 10% 14% 16% 11% 11% 16% 11% 14% 15% 8% 19% 4% 10% 14% 23% 16% 15% 7% 16% 12% 14% 16% 17% 10% Good Row % 38% 46% 26% 32% 50% 39% 28% 40% 44% 33% 39% 34% 42% 39% 38% 37% 39% 37% 39% 32% 40% 38% 39% 37% 47% 37% 37% 42% 37% 38% 36% 40% Fair Row % 30% 23% 41% 33% 15% 35% 36% 25% 27% 35% 29% 37% 30% 29% 34% 33% 27% 41% 22% 46% 38% 27% 18% 28% 31% 39% 28% 33% 27% 33% 29% 33% Poor Row % 14% 4% 25% 22% 5% 9% 28% 10% 16% 16% 12% 15% 15% 12% 15% 12% 17% 11% 17% 9% 12% 16% 18% 16% 3% 11% 16% 8% 19% 10% 14% 14% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 3% 5% 1% 3% 5% 2% 2% 5% 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 4% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 8% 1% 5% 2% 2% 4% 6% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3%
20
New York State Registered Voters Would you rate the job Senator Charles Schumer is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor? Excellent/Good March 2014 November 2013 April 2013 March 2013 October 2012 April 2012 January 2012 November 2011 May 2011 January 2011 October 30, 2010 October 22, 2010 September 28, 2010 March 11, 2010 March 29, 2010 March 2, 2010 February 1, 2010 January 15, 2010 November 23, 2009 September 17, 2009 July 1, 2009 May 4, 2009 March 3, 2009 October 28, 2008 April 9, 2008 March 27, 2007 October 20, 2006 July 19, 2006 May 10, 2006 January 2006 (Release: February 1st) September 30, 2005 April 12, 2005 October 28, 2004 September 17, 2004 April 19, 2004 January 14, 2004 September 22, 2003 April 10, 2003 December 15, 2002 September 16, 2002 April 20, 2002 December 12, 2001 April 9, 2001 December 1, 2000 March 31, 2000 September 24, 1999 March 10, 1999 Marist Poll New York Registered Voters 53% 56% 58% 54% 55% 54% 56% 56% 56% 59% 55% 53% 47% 50% 51% 53% 47% 51% 54% 58% 54% 55% 57% 55% 57% 57% 55% 58% 56% 57% 55% 58% 61% 50% 54% 58% 52% 52% 53% 52% 55% 54% 49% 51% 39% 44% 41% Fair/Poor 44% 41% 37% 39% 40% 41% 39% 41% 40% 37% 40% 43% 50% 47% 45% 43% 48% 42% 42% 39% 42% 39% 38% 33% 37% 32% 40% 35% 35% 35% 36% 32% 29% 40% 35% 30% 40% 35% 36% 35% 32% 31% 34% 31% 34% 39% 33% Excellent 15% 17% 19% 16% 18% 18% 18% 18% 17% 22% 20% 19% 15% 14% 13% 12% 11% 13% 17% 17% 15% 18% 17% 20% 15% 20% 19% 13% 15% 15% 17% 15% 19% 13% 13% 14% 12% 10% 11% 9% 11% 12% 12% 13% 9% 9% 7% Good 38% 39% 39% 38% 37% 36% 38% 38% 39% 37% 35% 34% 32% 36% 38% 41% 36% 38% 37% 41% 39% 37% 40% 35% 42% 37% 36% 45% 41% 42% 38% 43% 42% 37% 41% 44% 40% 42% 42% 43% 44% 42% 37% 38% 30% 35% 34% Fair 30% 26% 24% 26% 27% 25% 27% 26% 26% 28% 25% 26% 31% 31% 28% 28% 31% 24% 29% 26% 27% 25% 25% 20% 27% 23% 32% 27% 27% 23% 25% 24% 21% 29% 27% 23% 30% 27% 28% 27% 26% 24% 26% 22% 27% 31% 23% Poor 14% 15% 13% 13% 13% 16% 12% 15% 14% 9% 15% 17% 19% 16% 17% 15% 17% 18% 13% 13% 15% 14% 13% 13% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 12% 11% 8% 8% 11% 8% 7% 10% 8% 8% 8% 6% 7% 8% 9% 7% 8% 10% Unsure-Never Heard 3% 4% 6% 7% 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 7% 4% 3% 4% 6% 5% 12% 6% 11% 5% 7% 9% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 12% 8% 13% 11% 13% 13% 15% 17% 18% 27% 17% 26%
21
NYS Registered Voters Would you rate the job Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor? Excellent Row % NYS Registered Voters Party Registration Democrat Republican Non-enrolled Political Ideology Liberal Moderate Conservative Region New York City Suburbs Upstate Income Less $50,000 $50,000 to just under $100,000 $100,000 or more Income Education Age Age Less than $50,000 $50,000 or more Not college graduate College graduate Under 45 45 or older 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60 or older Race White African American Latino Race Gender Interview Type White Non White Men Women Landline Cell Phone 10% 15% 7% 6% 22% 9% 4% 11% 8% 11% 12% 7% 14% 12% 10% 8% 13% 6% 14% 6% 5% 12% 15% 14% 4% 2% 14% 4% 11% 10% 12% 6% Good Row % 35% 40% 27% 33% 41% 41% 24% 36% 37% 34% 33% 37% 39% 33% 38% 35% 36% 34% 35% 18% 45% 33% 36% 37% 35% 32% 37% 32% 32% 39% 35% 36% Fair Row % 31% 29% 35% 33% 23% 35% 35% 31% 27% 35% 30% 32% 32% 30% 32% 35% 28% 38% 27% 56% 26% 29% 25% 28% 40% 35% 28% 38% 33% 30% 29% 36% Poor Row % 12% 3% 21% 19% 2% 8% 25% 8% 15% 13% 11% 16% 11% 11% 13% 12% 13% 11% 13% 9% 12% 13% 14% 12% 5% 15% 12% 10% 16% 9% 13% 10% Unsure-Never Heard Row % 11% 13% 10% 8% 12% 8% 12% 14% 13% 8% 15% 8% 5% 15% 6% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 13% 10% 9% 16% 15% 9% 16% 9% 13% 11% 12%
22
New York State Registered Voters Would you rate the job Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is doing in office as excellent, good, fair, or poor? Excellent/ Good March 2014 November 2013 April 2013 March 2013 October 2012 April 2012 January 2012 November 2011 May 2011 January 2011 October 30, 2010 October 22, 2010 September 28, 2010 May 11, 2010 March 29, 2010 March 2, 2010 February 1, 2010 January 15, 2010 November 23, 2009 September 17, 2009 July 1, 2009 May 4, 2009 March 3, 2009 Marist Poll New York Registered Voters 45% 47% 48% 50% 55% 42% 40% 41% 41% 49% 36% 35% 27% 27% 27% 25% 24% 24% 25% 26% 24% 19% 18% Fair/Poor Excellent Good Fair Poor Unsure-Never Heard 11% 12% 17% 14% 10% 16% 18% 16% 17% 12% 16% 18% 17% 22% 22% 22% 25% 25% 24% 27% 33% 43% 50%
43% 42% 36% 36% 36% 42% 41% 43% 42% 39% 48% 47% 56% 51% 51% 53% 51% 51% 51% 47% 43% 38% 32%
10% 13% 13% 9% 13% 11% 6% 8% 9% 13% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%
35% 34% 35% 41% 42% 31% 34% 33% 32% 36% 30% 29% 23% 24% 25% 22% 22% 22% 22% 23% 21% 17% 15%
31% 30% 27% 24% 28% 28% 29% 32% 31% 29% 30% 32% 38% 37% 34% 38% 33% 33% 39% 38% 30% 28% 27%
12% 12% 9% 12% 8% 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 18% 15% 18% 14% 17% 15% 18% 18% 12% 9% 13% 10% 5%
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Complete March 6, 2014 NBC 4 New York - Wall Street Journal - Marist Poll Release and Tables

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Complete March 6, 2014 NBC 4 New York - Wall Street Journal - Marist Poll Release and Tables

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Marist College Institute for Public Opinion

Poughkeepsie, NY 12601 Phone 845.575.5050 Fax 845.575.5111 www.maristpoll.marist.edu

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample - New York State

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

Excellent 7% 8% 12% 12% 15% 14% 12% 9% 12% 10% 9%

Poor 18% 13% 14% 13% 7% 9% 7% 7% 10% 6% 5%

Unsure 3% 3% 5% 5% 3% 5% 7% 6% 10% 9% 19%

Marist Poll New York Registered Voters

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NYS Registered Voters

Marist Poll New York Registered Voters

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

Marist Poll New York Registered Voters

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll NYS Registered Voter Tables

10% 13% 13% 9% 13% 11% 6% 8% 9% 13% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%

NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist Poll March 2014

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