Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Apr. 30,
2012
Jul. 31,
2012
Oct. 31,
2012
Revenue
Cost of revenue
Gross profit
10,013
2,355
7,658
12,958
3,164
9,794
16,164
4,484
11,680
Operating expenses:
Research and development
Sales and marketing
General and administrative
Total operating expenses
5,994
17,971
3,910
27,875
6,663
22,363
5,385
34,411
7,993
27,934
8,447
44,374
(24,617)
(1,529)
(347)
6
(32,694)
(81)
(614)
-
(20,430)
3
(20,433)
(26,487)
(26,487)
(33,389)
8
(33,397)
76%
278%
179%
60%
-204%
29%
76%
266%
173%
51%
-204%
25%
72%
275%
173%
49%
-207%
Cashflow, operating
Cashflow, investing
Cashflow, financing
Cashflow, overall
Billings**
Billings growth
Key Metrics
YoY growth
QoQ growth (sequential)
Gross margin
Operating expenses (as % of revenue)
S&M expense (as % of revenue)
R&D expense (as % of revenue)
Return on sales (net loss/revenue)
Avg quarterly burn rate from operations
Operating cashflow/revenue
Billings/revenue
Retention rate
Prior-quarter S&M
New ARR estimate (using 0.8 ratio -- see post
CAC
8,010
17,971
10,366
1.7
22,363
12,931
1.7
All contents copyright 2014 Dave Kellogg and licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0
Quarter Ended
Jan. 31,
Apr. 30,
2013
2013
Jul. 31,
2013
Oct. 31,
2013
Jan. 31,
2014
19,662
4,277
15,385
23,414
4,561
18,853
28,364
5,907
22,457
33,585
7,172
26,413
38,829
8,334
30,495
24,460
7,723
16,737
58,797
14,280
44,517
8,346
30,953
7,687
46,986
9,439
33,936
8,261
51,636
10,965
41,416
10,010
62,391
12,090
48,822
11,386
72,298
13,473
47,014
10,186
70,673
16,311
40,435
14,605
71,351
28,996
99,221
25,429
153,646
(31,601)
(117)
(581)
101
(32,783)
(693)
(548)
(9)
(39,934)
(1,607)
(716)
(73)
(45,885)
(3,583)
(1,979)
111
(40,178)
(2,594)
(462)
(55)
(54,614)
(727)
(82)
41
(109,129)
(1,727)
(1,764)
116
(32,198)
48
(32,246)
(34,033)
6
(34,039)
(42,330)
(2,575)
(39,755)
(51,336)
55
(51,391)
(43,289)
83
(43,372)
(55,382)
16
(55,398)
(112,504)
59
(112,563)
(36,005)
(39,124)
102,825
27,696
(81,751)
314
172,797
91,360
30,391
177%
85,727
182%
22%
78%
239%
157%
42%
-164%
134%
19%
81%
221%
145%
40%
-145%
Fiscal Year
119%
21%
79%
220%
146%
39%
-140%
108%
18%
79%
215%
145%
36%
-153%
97%
16%
79%
182%
121%
35%
-112%
FY12*
FY13
141%
68%
292%
165%
67%
-226%
76%
261%
169%
49%
-191%
(9,001)
-215%
(20,438)
-184%
124%
129%
146%
144%
27,934
15,730
1.8
30,953
18,731
1.7
33,936
22,691
1.5
41,416
26,868
1.5
48,822
31,063
1.6
1.7
Fiscal Year
FY14
124,192
25,974
98,218
45,967
171,188
39,843
256,998
(158,780)
(8,477)
(3,705)
(26)
(170,988)
(2,431)
(168,557)
(91,769)
(32,285)
105,165
(18,889)
174,164
103%
111%
79%
207%
138%
37%
-136%
(22,942)
-93%
140%
136%
1.6
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
Starting ARR
New ARR
Renewal ARR
Churn ARR
Ending ARR
500
500
500
1,000
1,500
1,500
1,500
3,000
3,000
2,000
5,000
5,000
2,500
450
50
7,450
Revenue
Deferred revenue
Change in deferred revenue
500
500
125
1,375
875
375
2,500
1,125
750
3,750
1,250
1,250
5,450
1,700
Billings
New-ARR/billings
Change-in-deferred/new-ARR
New-ARR/revenue
500
1.0
1.0
1,000
1.0
0.9
8.0
1,500
1.0
0.8
4.0
2,000
1.0
0.6
2.7
2,950
0.8
0.7
2.0
Revenue growth
Deferred revenue growth
New ARR YoY growth
Billings growth
Assumptions
- All orders placed on last day of the quarter
- All orders 1 year
- All orders prepaid
- Renewal Rate
990%
400%
490%
90%
All contents copyright 2014 Dave Kellogg and licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0
ationship Between Revenue, Billings, and New ARR: Generic Example with New ARR Increasing by 500K/quarter
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
7,450
3,000
900
100
10,350
10,350
3,500
1,350
150
13,700
13,700
4,000
1,800
200
17,500
17,500
4,500
2,655
295
21,705
21,705
5,000
3,510
390
26,315
26,315
5,500
4,365
485
31,330
31,330
6,000
5,220
580
36,750
36,750
6,500
6,440
716
42,535
42,535
7,000
7,659
851
48,684
1,863
7,488
2,038
2,588
9,750
2,263
3,425
12,125
2,375
4,375
14,905
2,780
5,426
17,989
3,084
6,579
21,275
3,286
7,833
24,663
3,388
9,188
28,415
3,752
10,634
32,440
4,025
3,900
0.8
0.7
1.6
4,850
0.7
0.6
1.4
5,800
0.7
0.6
1.2
7,155
0.6
0.6
1.0
8,510
0.6
0.6
0.9
9,865
0.6
0.6
0.8
11,220
0.5
0.6
0.8
12,940
0.5
0.6
0.7
14,659
0.5
0.6
0.7
1390%
445%
200%
290%
590%
290%
133%
223%
357%
223%
100%
190%
250%
173%
80%
143%
191%
140%
67%
118%
154%
118%
57%
103%
129%
103%
50%
93%
110%
91%
44%
81%
96%
80%
40%
72%
/quarter
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
FY10
FY11
FY12
48,684
7,500
8,879
987
55,197
55,197
8,000
10,098
1,122
62,075
62,075
8,500
11,646
1,294
69,281
69,281
9,000
13,193
1,466
76,815
76,815
9,500
14,741
1,638
84,677
84,677
10,000
16,288
1,810
92,868
5,000
5,000
5,000
13,000
4,500
500
17,500
17,500
21,000
15,750
1,750
36,750
12,171
36,648
4,208
13,799
40,946
4,299
15,519
45,573
4,627
17,320
50,446
4,873
19,204
55,483
5,037
21,169
60,602
5,119
1,250
3,750
3,750
9,125
12,125
8,375
24,213
24,663
12,538
16,379
0.5
0.6
0.6
18,098
0.4
0.5
0.6
20,146
0.4
0.5
0.5
22,193
0.4
0.5
0.5
24,241
0.4
0.5
0.5
26,288
0.4
0.5
0.5
5,000
1.0
0.8
4.9
17,500
0.8
0.6
1.5
36,750
0.6
0.6
0.9
85%
72%
36%
66%
76%
66%
33%
61%
69%
60%
31%
56%
63%
56%
29%
51%
58%
51%
27%
48%
53%
48%
25%
45%
630%
223%
160%
250%
165%
103%
62%
110%
FY13
FY14
36,750
29,000
33,075
3,675
62,075
62,075
37,000
55,868
6,208
92,868
45,791
40,946
16,284
73,212
60,602
19,655
62,075
0.5
0.6
0.6
92,868
0.4
0.5
0.5
89%
66%
38%
69%
60%
48%
28%
50%
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
Starting ARR
New ARR
Renewal ARR
Churn ARR
Ending ARR
400
400
400
800
1,200
1,200
1,200
2,400
2,400
1,500
3,900
3,900
2,500
360
40
6,360
Revenue
Deferred revenue
Change in deferred revenue
400
400
100
1,100
700
300
2,000
900
600
2,900
900
975
4,785
1,885
Billings
New-ARR/billings
Change-in-deferred/new-ARR
New-ARR/revenue
400
1.0
1.0
800
1.0
0.9
8.0
1,200
1.0
0.8
4.0
1,500
1.0
0.6
2.5
2,860
0.9
0.8
2.6
Revenue growth
Deferred revenue growth
New ARR YoY growth
Billings growth
Assumptions
- All orders placed on last day of the quarter
- All orders 1 year
- All orders prepaid
- Renewal Rate
1096%
525%
615%
90%
All contents copyright 2014 Dave Kellogg and licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0
tionship Between Revenue, Billings, and New ARR: Adapted to Look a Bit Like Box on Annual Basis for Past 3 Years
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
6,360
3,000
720
80
9,280
9,280
3,200
1,080
120
12,360
12,360
4,000
1,350
150
16,210
16,210
4,500
2,574
286
20,424
20,424
5,500
3,348
372
25,552
25,552
9,000
3,852
428
34,124
34,124
12,000
4,815
535
45,589
45,589
8,000
6,367
707
52,882
52,882
10,000
7,963
885
61,997
1,590
6,915
2,130
2,320
8,875
1,960
3,090
11,135
2,260
4,053
14,157
3,022
5,106
17,899
3,742
6,388
24,363
6,464
8,531
32,647
8,284
11,397
35,616
2,969
13,220
40,359
4,743
3,720
0.8
0.7
1.9
4,280
0.7
0.6
1.4
5,350
0.7
0.6
1.3
7,074
0.6
0.7
1.1
8,848
0.6
0.7
1.1
12,852
0.7
0.7
1.4
16,815
0.7
0.7
1.4
14,367
0.6
0.4
0.7
17,963
0.6
0.5
0.8
1490%
529%
275%
365%
673%
344%
167%
257%
415%
284%
167%
257%
316%
196%
80%
147%
221%
159%
83%
138%
175%
175%
181%
200%
176%
193%
200%
214%
181%
152%
78%
103%
159%
125%
82%
103%
ast 3 Years
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
FY10
FY11
FY12
61,997
14,000
11,567
1,285
74,712
74,712
18,000
15,134
1,682
91,030
91,030
20,000
12,930
1,437
109,593
109,593
24,000
16,167
1,796
131,797
131,797
26,000
23,010
2,557
155,240
155,240
28,000
29,820
3,313
179,927
3,900
3,900
3,900
12,700
3,510
390
16,210
16,210
31,000
14,589
1,621
45,589
15,499
50,426
10,068
18,678
64,882
14,456
22,758
75,054
10,172
27,398
87,823
12,769
32,949
103,884
16,061
38,810
122,894
19,010
1,000
2,900
2,900
7,975
11,135
8,235
24,078
32,647
21,512
25,567
0.5
0.7
0.9
33,134
0.5
0.8
1.0
32,930
0.6
0.5
0.9
40,167
0.6
0.5
0.9
49,010
0.5
0.6
0.8
57,820
0.5
0.7
0.7
3,900
1.0
0.8
4.8
16,210
0.8
0.7
1.8
45,589
0.7
0.7
1.3
143%
107%
56%
99%
119%
99%
50%
97%
100%
111%
150%
129%
107%
118%
140%
124%
113%
106%
86%
92%
108%
89%
56%
75%
698%
284%
226%
316%
202%
193%
144%
181%
FY13
FY14
45,589
50,000
41,030
4,559
91,030
91,030
98,000
81,927
9,103
179,927
58,795
64,882
32,235
121,915
122,894
58,012
91,030
0.6
0.6
0.8
179,927
0.6
0.6
0.8
144%
99%
61%
100%
107%
89%
96%
98%