1. Marie is getting married tomorrow, at an outdoor ceremony in the desert.

In recent years,
it has rained only 5 days each year. Unfortunately, the weatherman has predicted rain for
tomorrow. When it actually rains, the weatherman correctly forecasts rain 90% of the time.
When it doesn't rain, he incorrectly forecasts rain 10% of the time. What is the probability that it
will rain on the day of Marie's wedding?

A. 0.567
B. 0.111
C. 0.332
D. 0.732










2. Two squares are chosen at random on a chessboard. What is the probability that they
have a side in common?

A. 1/18
B. 64/4032
C. 63/64
D. 1/9



3. In a game there are 70 people in which 40 are boys and 30 are girls, out of which 10
people are selected at random. One from the total group, thus selected is selected as a leader at
random. What is the probability that the person, chosen as the leader is a boy?

A. 4/7
B. 4/9
C. 5/7
D. 2/7





4. Sum of digits of a 5 digit number is 41. Find the probability that such a number is
divisible by 11?

A. 2/15
B. 11/36
C. 3/35
D. 6/35





5. Four unit squares are chosen at random on a chessboard. What is the probability that
three of them are of one colour and fourth is of opposite colour?

A. 80/427
B. 160/427
C. 320/1281
D. 640/1281


6. Shiwani thought of a two-digit number and divided the number by the sum of the digits
of the number. He found that the remainder is 3. Devesh also thought of a two-digit number and
divided the number by the sum of the digits of the number. He also found that the remainder is 3.
Find the probability that the two digit number thought by Shiwani and Devesh is TRUE?

A. 1/15
B. 1/14
C. 1/13
D. 1/12


7. An eight-digit telephone number consists of exactly two zeroes. One of the digits is
repeated thrice. Remaining three digits are all distinct. If the first three digits (from left to right)
are 987, then find the probability of having only one 9, one 8 and one 7 in the telephone number.

A. 1/18
B. 1/20
C. 1/10
D. 5/47


8. The game 'Chunk-a-Luck' is played at carnivals in some parts of Europe. Its rules are as
follows:

If you pick a number from 1 to 6 and the operator rolls three dice. If the number you picked
comes up on all three dice, the operator pays you Rs. 3 ;
If it comes up on two dice, you are paid Rs. 2;
And it comes up on just one dice, you are paid Rs. 1.

Only if the number you picked does not come up at all, you pay the operator Rs. 1. The
probability that you will win money playing in this game is:

A. 0.52
B. 0.753
C. 0.42
D. None of the above

9. Sun Life Insurance company issues standard, preferred and ultra-preferred policies.
Among the company's policy holders of a certain age, 50% are standard with the probability of
0.01 dying in the next year, 30% are preferred with a probability of 0.008 of dying in the next
year and 20% are ultra-preferred with a probability of 0.007 of dying in the next year. If a policy
holder of that age dies in the next year, what is the probability of the decreased being a preferred
policy holder?

A. 0.1591
B. 0.2727
C. 0.375
D. None of these

10. Two urns contain 5 white and 7 black balls and 3 white and 9 black balls respectively.
One ball is transferred to the second urn and then one ball is drawn from the second urn. Find the
probability that the first ball transferred is black, given that the ball drawn is black?

A. 13/23
B. 11/23
C. 14/23
D. 7/23












11. McDonald's ran a campaign in which it gave game cards to its customers. These game
cards made it possible for customers to win hamburgers, French fries, soft drinks, and other fast-
food items, as well as cash prizes. Each card had 10 covered spots that could be uncovered by
rubbing them with a coin. Beneath three of these spots were "No Prize" signs. Beneath the other
seven spots were names of prizes, two of which were identical.

For example, one card might have two pictures of a hamburger, one picture of a Coke, one of
French fires, one of a milk shake, one of 5 Dollar, one of 1000 Dollar and three "No Prize" signs.
For this card the customer could win a hamburger.

To win on any card, the customers had to uncover the two matching spots (which showed the
potential prize for that card) before uncovering a "No Prize"; any card with a "No Prize"
uncovered was automatically void. Assuming that the two matches and the three "No Prize"
signs were arranged randomly on the cards, what is the probability of a customer winning?

A. 0.10
B. 0.15
C. 0.12
D. 0.18



12. A bag contains 10 balls numbered from 0 to 9. the balls are such that the person picking a
ball out of the bag is equally likely to pick anyone of them. A person picked a ball and replaced
it in the bag after noting its number. He repeated this process 2 more times. What is the
probability that the ball picked first is numbered higher than the ball picked second and the ball
picked second is numbered higher than the ball picked third?

A. 72/100
B. 3/25
C. 4/5
D. 1/6



13. There are three similar boxes, containing
(i). 6 black and 4 white balls
(ii). 3 black and 7 white balls
(iii). 5 black and 5 white balls, respectively.

If you choose one of the three boxes at random and from that particular box picks up a ball at
random, and find that to be black, what is the probability that the ball picked up from the second
box?
A. 14/30
B. 3/14
C. 7/30
D. 7/14



14. Amit, Sumit and Pramit go to a seaside town to spend a vacation there and on the first
day everybody decides to visit different tourist locations. After breakfast, each of them boards a
different tourist vehicle from the nearest bus-depot. After three hours, Sumit who had gone to a
famous beach, calls on the mobile of Pramit and claims that he has observed a shark in the
waters. Pramit learns from the local guide that at that time of the year, only eight sea-creatures
(including a shark) are observable and the probability of observing any creature is equal.
However, Amit and Pramit later recall during their discussion that Sumit has a reputation for not
telling the truth five out of six times. What is the probability that Sumit actually observed a shark
in the waters?

A. 1/36
B. 1/30
C. 5/36
D. 1/24





















16. Dexter was born between October 6th and 10th (6th and 10th excluding). His year of
birth is also known. What is the probability of Dexter being born on a Saturday?
A. 0 or 1/3
B. 1/7 or 3/7
C. 1/3 or 1/7
D. Cannot be determined

Answer (A)
Solution:
Since the year of birth is known, the birthday being on Saturday can have a zero probability.
Also since between 6th and 10th, there are three days i.e. 7th,8th and 9th
Therefore, probability of birthday falling on Saturday can be 1/3