Alliance Program 31st Fl., BKI Building/ Y.W.C.A. 25 South Sathorn Road, Thungmahamek, Sathorn, BKK 10120, Thailand www.nexus.co.th For more information, contact: Teerawit Limthongsakul, Executive Director 662 286 8899 teerawit@nexus.co.th The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2013 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
H2 2013 BANGKOK, THAILAND INDUSTRIAL SNAPSHOT
MARKETBEAT A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication ECONOMY The Thai economy experienced a slow growth in the second half of 2013 due to a deceleration in private consumption and investment, decreasing exports, and a slackening global economy. The economic growth was also affected by the ongoing political conflict, which has been undermining the nations investment reliability since October. The National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB) has once again slashed its 2013 annualized GDP forecast from 3.8- 4.5% to 3%, after a lower-than-expected GDP of 2.7% for the third quarter of 2013 was announced. The Manufacturing Production Index (MPI) in the third quarter reached 173.6 (-3.5% year-on-year), indicating Thailands weakening industrial activity in the last quarter of the year, particularly in the automotive manufacturing industry. Thailands industrial exports index also reduced by 0.2%. Despite the negative impact to Thailands economy, the Bank of Thailand forecasts next years exports to grow at least 5-6%, benefiting from the global economic recovery. RESILIENT SERVICED INDUSTRIAL LAND PLOTS MARKET The Industrial Estate Authority of Thailand (IEAT) has revealed its number for SILP supply at 116,060 rais with a slightly increased weight average price of THB3.68 million per rai (/rai), representing a 4.7% growth from last year with a strong occupancy rate of 84%. The area with the highest stock remains at Eastern Seaboard Zone with 54,899 rais (21,705 acres), while Eastern Zone has the highest average price at THB4.1 million/rai with the current peak of THB7.5 million/rai found in Wellgrow Industrial Estate. READY BUILT FACTORY MARKET EXPANDS The total supply of Grade A Ready Built Factory (RBF) has grown to 1.67 million square meters (sq.m.) or 17.97 million square feet (msf). Likewise, the average rental rate has increased to THB189.84 per square meter per month (/sq.m./mo.), showing a 2% increase from last quarter, while the RBF occupancy rate stood sturdy at 82%. The highest rental rate, unchanged from the previous quarter, is found in Eastern Zone at THB192/sq.m./mo., with the peak found in Amata Nakorn at THB230/sq.m./mo. However, the area with the highest concentration of Grade A RBF is Eastern Seaboard Zone with a total supply of 0.66 million sq.m. (7.10 msf), due to its expanding heavy industry development and unrivalled location. STRONG READY BUILT WAREHOUSE MARKET The total stock of Grade A Ready Built Warehouse (RBW) has rose to 2.92 million sq.m. (31.43 msf) with the average rental rate at THB152.46/sq.m./mo. Eastern Zones occupancy rate rose to 97% as it has become the most desirable area due to its incomparable location and accessibility. Its stock has rapidly grown to 1.48 million sq.m. (15.93 msf), with a rental rate of THB168.50/sq.m./mo. OUTLOOK Regardless of a slackening economy in the last half of 2013, Thailands industrial estate market still has a great potential to continuously grow in the next year due to the increase in demand and new supply. If the political issues were solved, Thailand would be one of the most desirable targets for international firms because of its beneficial regulation for foreign firms relocation and investment.
MARKET STATISTICS MARKET/ SUBMARKET H2 2013 AVERAGE NET EFFECTIVE RENTAL RATE (/SQ.M./MO.) FACTORY THB EURO US Northern Zone* Eastern Zone* Eastern Seaboard Zone* 191.27 191.96 186.27 4.24 4.26 4.13 $5.80 $5.82 $5.65 WAREHOUSE THB EURO US Northern Zone* Eastern Zone* Eastern Seaboard Zone* 143.88 168.51 145.00 3.19 3.74 3.21 $4.36 $5.11 $4.39 *Remark: Northern Zone is Ayutthaya, Pathum Thani and Saraburi Eastern Zone is Samutprakarn, Chonburi, and Chachoengsao Eastern Seaboard Zone is Lamchabung and Rayong
SERVICED INDUSTRIAL LAND PLOTS (SILP)
1 0 7 k 1 0 7 k 1 0 7 k 1 0 9 k 1 0 9 k 1 1 4 k 1 1 5 k 1 1 5 k 1 1 5 k 1 1 6 k 1 1 6 k 1 1 7 k 1 1 8 k 2 3 k 2 3 k 2 3 k 2 3 k 2 3 k 2 3 k 2 2 k 2 2 k 2 1 k 2 1 k 2 0 k 2 0 k 2 0 k 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 4 Q 0 8 2 Q 0 9 4 Q 0 9 2 Q 1 0 4 Q 1 0 2 Q 1 1 4 Q 1 1 2 Q 1 2 4 Q 1 2 2 Q 1 3 4 Q 1 3 2 Q 1 4
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( R a i ) Total Land (Rai) Available Land (Rai) Selling Price (M.Bt/Rai)
Country Group Securities Plc. 2 - 3, 9 FL., Sindhorn Tower 1, 132 Wireless Road, Pathumwan, Bangkok 10330 Tel.0-2205-7000 1 1 S e P T e M B e R 2 0 1 4 Daily Report