Alliance Program 31st Fl., BKI Building/ Y.W.C.A. 25 South Sathorn Road, Thungmahamek, Sathorn, BKK 10120, Thailand www.nexus.co.th For more information, contact: Teerawit Limthongsakul, Executive Director 662 286 8899 teerawit@nexus.co.th The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2013 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.
H2 2013 BANGKOK, THAILAND RETAIL SNAPSHOT
MARKETBEAT
A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication ECONOMY According to the National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB), the Thai economy experienced a sluggish growth in the fourth quarter of 2013 due to a deceleration in private consumption and investment, declining exports, and a slowing global economy. Ongoing political conflict also played a major role in decelerating the nations economic growth. The NESDB has revised its 2013 annualized GDP forecast from 3.8-4.5% to 3%, after a lower-than- expected GDP of 2.7% for the third quarter of 2013 was announced. However, the economy is expected to gradually expand at an annualized rate of 4%-5% next year, benefiting from the recovery of the global economy and Thailands major trading counterparts, whereas the recovery of the political situation is crucially needed for Thailands economy to grow. SUPPLY ADDED IN 2013 In the second half of 2013, Bangkoks Central Retail District (CRD) stock rose to 539,545 square meters (sq.m.), due to the expansion of Central World shopping mall last year. According to Central Pattana (CPN), the developer of Central World, the space was built at a budget of more than THB600 million, with the expectation that it would be Bangkoks landmark for nightlife. Overall, Bangkoks retail supply in the second half of 2013 stands at 5.13 million sq.m. an increase of approximately 0.06% from the second half of 2012. OCCUPANCY RATE & RENT CONTINUE TO RISE The occupancy rate in the CRD was 5.32%, an increase of 0.54% from the first half of 2013 due to the expansion of Central World. Rent in the CRD was THB 3,200 per square meter per month (/sq.m./mo.), rising slightly by 3.23% from the first half of 2013 and increasing by 4.92% from the same period of last year. For the CRD Fringe and Urban areas, rent was THB 1,960/sq.m./mo., increasing by 3.16% from the same period a year ago. OUTLOOK With the strong competition in Bangkoks CRD, all big retail developers (CPN, The Mall, Siam Piwat and Gasorn) are actively refreshing their spaces to attract new tenants and shoppers. For 2013, international brands expanded their shops across Bangkok and upcountry. In the second half of 2013, H&M opened its door on the ground floor at Central World, with approximately 3,500 sq.m., making it its biggest branch in Thailand. New supply in Bangkoks CRD is scheduled for 2014. Central Embassy, the luxury concept shopping mall, has more than 50% of its total rentable area booked by new entry and existing luxury retailers who have announced their occupancies. The EmQuartier, by The Mall group, will be developed on Sukhumvit Road. It will be the first mall in Thailand to feature an automatic car-park system. ECONOMIC INDICATORS NATIONAL 2011 2012 Q3 2013 GDP Growth 0.1% 6.4% 2.7% CPI Growth 3.6% 3.0% 2.3% Private Final Expenditure Growth 1.3% 6.7% -1.2% Govt. Final Expenditure Growth 1.1% 7.5% 7.4% SOURCE: NESDB, Bank of Thailand
PRIME RETAIL RENTS JUNE 2013 MAINSTREETS LOCAL CURRENCY EURO SF/YR US$ SF/YR 6-MO. CHANGE Y-O-Y CHANGE Central Retail District (CRD) THB 3,200 /sq.m./mo. 80.80 111.25 3.23% 4.92% CRD Fringe & Urban THB 1,960 /sq.m./mo. 49.49 68.14 0% 3.16%
SIGNIFICANT LEASING TRANSACTIONS PROPERTY LOCATION TENANT SQUARE FEET Central World CRD (Rama I) H&M 37,660* Siam Center CRD (Rama I) Victoria Secret 3,500* Remarks: * estimated
SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROPERTY LOCATION SQUARE FEET COMPLETION DATE Central Embassy Pleonchit 441,324 Q3 2014 Emquatier Sukhumvit 645,840* Q4 2014 EmSphere Sukhumvit 645,840* Q4 2016 Remarks: * estimated
Provincial Facilitation for Investment and Trade Index: Measuring Economic Governance for Business Development in the Lao People’s Democratic Republic-Second Edition