Will Network
Processors Move
Beyond Buzz in 2000?
Coming year
will be crucial to
nascent market,
analysts say
BY ARIK HESSELDAHL
New York—In the last year, the
term network processor (NPU) has
become a new industry buzzword,
going hand-in-hand with visions of
start-up companies and fat checks
from venture capital firms.
In fact, enough starry-eyed
start-up companies have launched
crusades to control the new mar-
ket for networking processors that
the big boys—in this case Intel
Corp. and IBM Corp.—got into
the act, apparently realizing they
might miss out on what could one
day be a billion-dollar market.
Although 1999 has been a year
for generating buzz and talking
about big plans in this space, there
have been precious few design wins
and even fewer actual product ship-
ments. And while analysts are gen-
erally upbeat about the growth
potential for chips optimized for
networking applications, there are
as yet noclear leaders in the space,
but lots of interesting plans.
For each firm, the problem
they aim to solve can be summed
up simply. The ASICs currently
used by networking OEMs like
Cisco Systems Inc., Nortel Net-
works Corp., Lucent Technolo-
gies Inc. and others work well for
the applications they are designed
for, but they suffer from a prob=
lem that is simply unacceptable in
the age of the Internet — they are
difficult to upgrade as demand
for new services and greater
speeds increases. Further slow-
ing the upgrade process is the
long design time that is required
for each ASIC.
The solution? Design a new
generation of chips that can keep
up with the pace of Internet time.
The chips would be:
allowing for software upgrades on
the fly, eliminating the need to
swap out boards or entire systems
toprovision new network services.
{Continued on page 22]Will Network
Processors Move
Beyond Buzzi in 2000?
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‘environment, but they don't reallyWill Network Processors
Move Beyond Buzz in 2000?
[Continued from page 22]
‘One thing most analysts agree on
is that some consolidation in the
market is inevitable, but Lavey
for one doesn’texpect it to happen
right away.
‘Th
are so many different
complexitiesin the market, there's
not going to be any room for any
‘one vendor to dominate,” he said.
“Obviously there’s going to be
some consolidation, but I don’t
it’s going tohappen assoon asalot
of people expect. Because of that,
’s going to be a lot opportu-
nities for these smaller players to
make an impact.”
But if there’s one thing each
vendor considers the jackpot, i
a relationship with top-tier net-
working OEMs, chiefamong them
Cisco Systems, a company that is
currently playing the field.
“Once you get past the top-
five networking OEM's, you're
really left with chump change,”
said Glaskowsky of MicroDesign
Resources. “Nor would it be worth
it for anyone to design chips for
anyone other than the top five.
Cisco has not put their weight
Revenue for Programmable Communications
Processors Market Forecast
(Millions of Dollars)
1000
behind anyone because they want
everyone to beat themselves up
and put their best efforts forward
toward winning the big Cisco deal.
But if Cisco is smart, they will buy
all ofthese things over the next few
years and come up with product
lines where they can put each of
these parts to see how they like
them. That will give the vendors
Source: Dataquest
the feeling of having the relation-
ship with Cisco they all want. =