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CONJOINT ANALYSIS: TO
FIND AN OPTIMUM
COMBINATION OF
FEATURES FOR
SMARTPHONES
Contents
Introduction:............................................................................................................... 3
Types of Conjoint Analysis.......................................................................................... 4
Usages of Conjoint Analysis........................................................................................ 4
Industry Analysis........................................................................................................ 4
Problem Statement..................................................................................................... 7
Methodology:.............................................................................................................. 7
Literature Review....................................................................................................... 8
Questionnaire:.......................................................................................................... 10
Overall Statistics...................................................................................................... 12
Conclusion & Limitations.......................................................................................... 18
References:............................................................................................................... 19
Introduction:
Conjoint analysis is a statistical technique used in market research to
determine how people value different features that make up an individual
product or service.
The objective of conjoint analysis is to determine what combination of a
limited number of attributes is most influential on respondent choice or
decision making. A controlled set of potential products or services is shown
to respondents and by analyzing how they make preferences between these
products, the implicit valuation of the individual elements making up the
product or service can be determined. These implicit valuations (utilities or
part-worths) can be used to create market models that estimate market
share, revenue and even profitability of new designs.
Industry Analysis
India is the second largest mobile handset market in the world after China
and is poised to become an even larger market with unit shipment of INR
208.4 million in 2016 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.8 per
cent from 2010 to 2016. The mature Indian mobile consumers increasing
preference for high-end handsets and the younger demographics desire to
use mobile Web 2.0 technologies could see the market revenues soar from
INR 255.91 billion in 2010 to INR 350.05 billion in 2016. With end users need
for converged devices and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)
accelerated adoption of open-source operating systems (OSs) such as
Android and Symbian, the mobile handset-smartphone combination is
emerging as the future growth engine of the telecom industry. The Indian
Phone market has grown by 24 % YoY in 2013 Q1 whereas the smartphone
market grew 74 % in 1st quarter 2013 Y-o-Y.
In 2011, the mobile market is likely to witness almost a three-fold increase in
the number of participants. This is expected to result in a price war and a
consequent squeezing of profit margins. In 2010, the decline in the average
selling price (ASP) of mobiles by 11.3 per cent opened up possibilities of
market consolidation. The intense competition is also compelling handset
manufacturers to enhance the application ecosystem and invent products.
While market entrants are likely to be daunted by the sheer numbers in the
market, they will identify abundant opportunities in the rural and semi-rural
market for the next three to four years. For the mobile handset market, the
rural market offers exciting prospects due to its significant uptake of feature
phones, says the analyst of this research. The rural and semi-rural markets
accounted for 65 per cent of sales for most Indian manufacturers in FY2010.
In the case of smartphones, most existing global brands are concentrating on
building application stores and improving service quality to offer an
attractive value proposition and strengthen their market position. Entrants
will be particularly focused on branding, as a smartphone is a highinvolvement product and the brand is a vital purchase criterion. While
smartphone consumers are also price conscious, it will not be possible for
manufacturers to subsidise due to the operation of an open market rather
than an operator-leveraged distribution model. Moreover, 70 per cent of the
Indian population consumes only voice services, and mobile data services
have not yet achieved large-scale popularity. However, this is set to change
with the reduction of mobile Internet charges by telecom service providers
and the introduction of 3G in India. The market is also witnessing the influx
of a new class of affordable handsets, which are classified as smartphonelike devices, with touch screens and other smartphone features.
In the next five years, the revenue share of smartphones in the mobile
handset market is expected to rise steadily, as an increasing number of
participants are targeting this space for higher margins, notes the analyst.
This trend is likely to persist, as numerous handset manufacturers are
strategizing to deploy more smartphone models in their portfolio. In the
smartphone market, applications will be a key differentiating factor. The midtier price bracket is likely to experience high uptake and hence,
manufacturers should strategize on deploying more models in this category.
Market Sectors
Expert Frost & Sullivan analysts thoroughly examine the following market
sectors in this research:
Mobile
Problem Statement
The objective is to find an optimum combination of features most sought
after by people looking to buy a smartphone so that companies can work on
providing these features at an affordable price and improving customer
satisfaction while reducing costs incurred from other redundant features.
Methodology:
The following is the methodology that was adopted by us for finding out the
utilities of various attributes:
Stage 1
Identify the research
problem
Stage 2
Decide on the
attributes and their
levels
Focused Group is the
most practiced
Stage 3
Chose the
methodology
Traditional Conjoint
analysis
Stage 6
Interpret results
Stage 5
Run analysis
Individual or
aggregative
Stage 4
Collect responses
Rating or rank order
Stage 7
Validate the results
External or internal
validity tests
Stage 8
Apply the Conjoint
results
Product designing,
market segmentation
etc.
Literature Review
Conjoint Analysis and MDS approach to brand improvement of an aerosol
product
Authors: Vincent Charles, Mukesh Kumar & Tulika Anand, Journal of centrum
Cathedra
10
11
Ca
rd
ID
1
OS
Screen
Size
Windo
1
ws
Large
2 IOS 7
Small
2
3
4
5
High
Megapixel(12+M
P)
medium
Megapixel(612MP)
Price
20K
+
<10
K
Small
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
<10
K
Symbi
4
an
Small
medium
Megapixel(612MP)
20K
+
Androi
d
Small
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
20K
+
Windo
ws
Camera
12
Symbi
6
an
Small
High
Megapixel(12+M
P)
=10
K20k
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
20K
+
=10
K20k
7 IOS 7
Mediu
m
Androi
8 d
Small
Androi
9 d
Large
1
0
Androi
10 d
Mediu
m
1
1
Windo
11 ws
Small
1
2
Windo
12 ws
Mediu
m
1
3
13 IOS 7
1
4
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
medium
Megapixel(612MP)
High
Megapixel(12+M
P)
<10
K
<10
K
<10
K
=10
K20k
Small
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
medium
Megapixel(612MP)
High
Megapixel(12+M
P)
Symbi
14 an
Large
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
1
5
15 IOS 7
Large
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
<10
K
=10
K20k
1
6
Symbi
16 an
Mediu
m
Low Megapixel
(Till 2MP)
<10
K
<10
K
13
Overall Statistics
Utilities
Utility
Estimate
OS
Windows
-.252
.191
Android
.691
.191
IOS 7
.005
.191
-.445
.191
-.241
.147
.248
.173
-.008
.173
Medium Megapixel
(6-12 Megapixels)
.384
.147
Low Megapixel(Till
2 Megapixels)
-.323
.173
High
Megapixel(>12
Megapixels)
-.061
.173
<10K
.124
.147
=10K-20k
.261
.173
-.385
.173
5.533
.128
Symbian
ScreenSi Small
ze
Medium
Large
Camera
Price
Std.
Error
20K+
(Constant)
14
Importance
Values
OS
32.674
ScreenSi
ze
23.006
Camera
23.950
Price
20.371
Averaged
Importance Score
Correlationsa
Value
Sig.
Pearson's
R
.915
.000
Kendall's
tau
.678
.000
a. Correlations between
observed and estimated
preferences
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
References:
1). http://www.sawtoothsoftware.com/download/techpap/undca15.pdf
2).http://www.cybermedia.co.in/corporate/media-room/194385/voice-data-survey-indian-mobilehandsets-market-2012
3). http://qualtrics.com/research-suite/survey-types/conjoint-types/
4). http://bgr.com/2013/07/26/smartphone-market-share-q2-2013-analysis/
5). http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/2102641/
6). Research Papers:
Conjoint Analysis and MDS approach to brand improvement of an aerosol
product
Authors: Vincent
centrum Cathedra
22