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Demand
and
Supply
Analysis
LEARNING OUTCOMES
By the end of this topic, you should be able to:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
INTRODUCTION
Because the demand for a firm's goods and services plays such an important and
central role in determining the amount of cash flow which the firm will be able to
generate, and thus, the economic value of the firm, it is essential that we have a
strong and deep understanding of demand and supply concepts. This
understanding permits us as managers, to react to changes or shifts in demand
for our firms goods and services in a manner that maximises profits and
shareholders' wealth. The essential tools for predicting changes in the demand
function include price, income and cross-price elasticities. Thus, demand
analysis, in particular, could easily satisfy two critical managerial objectives
provide the insight necessary for effective management of demand and assist in
forecasting sales and revenue for the firm.
3.1
3.1.1
DEMAND RELATIONSHIP
What is Demand Analysis?
(b)
The most prominent feature of the demand curve (the simplest form of the
demand relationship) is its downward slope. Price ($/Q) and quantity (Q/time unit)
are negatively related (Figure 3.1). The higher the price, the lower will be the
quantity demanded and vice versa, with other factors constant. In Figure 1,
when the price was RM8, the quantity demanded was 12 units; when the price
dropped to RM 5, the quantity demanded increased to 20 units.
Basically, there are two economic reasons for the downward slope:
(a)
Income effect As the price of a type of goods declines, the consumer can
purchase more of the goods as his real income is increased.
(b)
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Rational consumers are those people who seek to maximise satisfaction. They
will reorganise consumption until the marginal utility (MU) in each goods per
dollar is equal. This is shown in the equation below.
Optimality Condition is MUA/PA = MUB/PB = MUC/PC =
If MU per dollar in A and B differ, the consumer can improve utility by
purchasing more of the one with the higher MU per dollar and less of the other.
3.1.2
The market demand curve is the horizontal sum of the individual demand
curves. In Figure 3.2, there are two consumers in the market. The market demand
curve is the horizontal summation of the two demand curves (panel 3).
3.1.3
The Demand Curve, as discussed above, only considers the relationship between
price and quantity; other factors" being constant. The Demand Function
includes all of the factors which significantly influence the quantity demanded,
including the price. A general demand function can be written in the form of a
mathematical expression as shown below:
Pc
Y
Pe
A
Ac
TA
X
=
=
=
=
=
=
=
Price of complements
Income
Expected price
Firms advertisement expenditure
Competitors expenditure on advertisement
Taste and preference
Other factors
The expected effects of the various factors (or variables or influences) on the
quantity demanded are as follows:
The higher the price of substitute goods, Ps, the greater the quantity
demanded of one's own goods. Two goods are substitutes if an increase in the
consumption of one leads to the decline in the consumption of the other; for
example, coffee and tea; butter and margarine.
The higher the price of complementary goods, Pc, the smaller the quantity
demanded. Two goods are complements if an increase in the consumption of
one also leads to an increase in the consumption of the other; for example,
coffee and creamer; bread and butter.
3.1.4
SELF-CHECK 3.1
1.
2.
What is demand function and what are the factors affecting the
quantity demanded?
3.
4.
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3.2
MARKET SUPPLY
The supply curve usually slopes upward, i.e. the higher the price, the greater the
quantity of goods or services an individual is willing to sell, holding constant all
other factors affecting supply. Non-price determinants of supply include:
(a)
(b)
(c)
Future expectations
(d)
Number of sellers
(e)
Weather conditions
Similar to market demand, the market supply curve is the horizontal summation
of all the individual supply curves.
Changes in price result in changes in the quantity supplied. This implies a
movement along the supply curve. On the other hand, changes in non-price
determinants result in changes in supply. This is shown as a shift in the supply
curve.
3.3
31
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
We are now able to combine supply with demand into a complete analysis of the
market where price and quantity are determined (Figure 3.5).
From Figure 3.5, it is clear that both the supply and demand curves determine
market equilibrium price and quantity:
Equilibrium price: The price that equates the quantity demanded with the
quantity supplied.
Equilibrium quantity: The amount that people are willing to buy and sellers
are willing to offer at the equilibrium price level.
More often than not, due to the dynamic nature of the economy, equilibrium
price and quantity are not easily attainable or sustainable. There are always
shortages and surpluses; however, prices will always tend to move towards
equilibrium.
3.4
3.4.1
The slope of the demand curve gives some indications of how sensitive the
quantity demanded is to price. But slopes are quite different, using different
units of measure. Economists therefore, developed the concept of elasticity which
is completely independent of the units of measurement.
Arc Price Elasticity is used to calculate price elasticity between two prices.
Since we do not want the calculation to be altered by the direction of the
price movement, we use the "average" quantity (QAVE) and the "average"
price (PAVE).
ED = %Q = Q/QAVE = (Q2-Ql)/(Q1+Q2)/2 = (Q2-Q1)/Q1+Q2)
%P P/PAVE
(P2 - P1)/(P1+P2)/2
(P2 - Pl)/(P1+P2)
Example of Arc Price Elasticity:
Given:
Q = 1000 when the price is $10
Q= 1200 when the price is reduced to $6
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ED = (+200/1100)/(-4/8) = - 0.3636
The answer is a number. The elasticity is 0.3636. The negative in front of the
number indicates that quantity is inversely related to price. A 1% increase in
price reduces the quantity demanded by 0.36%.
Point Price Elasticity When the demand curve is known, the price
elasticity at each point on the curve is called the point price elasticity. The
point price elasticity is:
ED = (Q/P)(P/Q)
Example of Point Price Elasticity:
Given a demand equation Q = 500 - 5P, find the price elasticity at a point
where price = 30.
Point price elasticity ED = - 5(30/500) = - 0.43
A 1% increase in price reduces the quantity demanded by 0.43%.
(a)
Categories of Elasticity
Elasticity coefficients range from zero to infinity. In general, they can be
divided into five categories. The categories for price elasticity of demand (in
absolute values) are shown below.
Range
Description
ED = 1
ED < 1
ED > 1
ED =
unit elastic
inelastic
elastic
perfectly elastic
perfectly inelastic
ED = 0
(b)
(ii)
(iii) Durable Goods The demand for durable goods tends to be more
price elastic than the demand for non-durable goods.
(iv) Time Frame The demand for many products tends to become more
elastic over longer time periods. Lets say right now, tickets for a
round trip to Paris leaving tomorrow are offered at RM30. A few
managerial economics students would immediately start packing to
go! But if the offer says that you can leave any time within the next six
months, it becomes almost irresistible.
(v)
(c)
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If price decreases and, in percentage terms, quantity rises less than the
price dropped, then the total revenue will decrease.
SELF-CHECK 3.2
1.
2.
3.
3.4.2
Income Elasticity
Income elasticity (EY) is the percentage change in the quantity demanded divided
by the percentage change in income.
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SELF-CHECK 3.3
Using the income elasticity coefficient, how do you categorise
goods and services into (a) normal, (b) inferior, (c) luxury and (d)
necessity?
3.4.3
Cross-price Elasticity
Cross-price elasticity, EX, is the percentage change in the quantity demanded for
goods, A, divided by the percentage change in the price of the second goods, B,
with other things being equal (ceteris paribus).
ED = % Quantity of A
% Price of B
SELF-CHECK 3.4
Discuss how cross-price elasticity can help you to determine whether
two products are substitutes, complements or unrelated.
ACTIVITY 3.1
Solve the following problems.
1.
Find the point price elasticity, point income elasticity and point
cross-price elasticity when P = 10, Y = 20 and Ps = 9, if the demand
function was estimated to be:
QD = 90 - 8P + 2Y + 2Ps
2.
3.
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ACTIVITY 3.2
If you knew the price, income and cross-price elasticities, then you can
forecast the percentage changes in quantity. Find out more about this.
Usually, the demand curve slopes downward, indicating that consumers are
willing to purchase more units of a good or service at lower prices, when
other factors are constant.
Some of the factors that cause a shift in the entire demand curve are changes
in the income level of consumers, the price of substitutes and complementary
goods, the level of advertising, competitors advertising expenditures,
population, consumer preferences, time period of adjustment, taxes or
subsidies and price expectation.
Equilibrium price is the price that equates the quantity demanded with the
quantity supplied.
Equilibrium quantity is the amount that people are willing to buy and sellers
are willing to offer at the equilibrium price level.
Cross-price elasticity
Demand
Elasticity
Goods
Supply
Income elasticity
Total revenue