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M &PERT
Problem1:
An assemble is to be made from 2 parts x a d y. Botha parts must be turned a lathe.
y must be polished whereas x need not be polished. The sequence of actives, to
gather with their predecessor s given below.
Activity
Description
Predecessor activity
Then X on lathe
Then y on lathe
B,C
Polish Y
Assemble x and y
D,F
Pack
A
2
Dummy
H
7
F
3
Problem-2:
Listed in the table are the activities and sequencing necessary for a maintenance job
on the heat exchanging.
Activity
Description
Predecessor
Dismantle
connections
Clean bolts
Clean shell
F,G
pipe -
F
G
C
A
H
J
D
8
10
E
7
Problem-3: Listed in the table are activities and sequencing necessary for the
completion of a recruitment procedure for management trainees (t) in a firm.
Solution:
Activity
Description
Predecessor Activity
Asking
units
recruitments
Ascertaining management A
trains(MTs)
requirement
for commercial function
Asserting
MTs A
requirement
for
Account/finance functions
Formulating
advertisement
MT(commercial)
for -
C
for
Releasing
advertisement
Completing
received
Screening of applications H
against advertisement
Screening of applications F
received from ICA
Issuing
letters
Preliminary interviews
Preliminary interviews of J
3
the D,E
applications G
I,J
interview/regret K
L
outstanding
from ICA
O
candidates
M,N
1
0
1
1
O
1
2M
1
3
2
C
4
7-8
2
8-9
1
8-10
8
9-10
7
1
4
=5
=18
=13
=18
=11
1
1
=16
=25
1
0
5
6
=1
=25
8
=15 2
=7
=1
=15
=7
FORWARD PASS CALUCLATION:
=17
BACKWARD PASS CALUCLATION:
=17
=0
=1
, J=9, 10
=
, i=2, 3
=
=Max {5, 2} =5
=15
, J=6, 9
=1
, i=6, 7
=
EVEN
1
5
10
T
0
11
15
17
18
25
12
13
16
15
17
18
25
CRITICAL PATH:
4
1
1
1
6
5
4
8
1
2
1
8
7
0
4
1
1
5
7
7
11
15
17
17
18
1
5
2
7
10
11
15
12
17
18
25
25
Latest time
Starting
Finishin
g
)
(5)=(6)-(2)
(6)
(7)=(5)-(3)
8
8
10
12
12
6
13
12
7
16
15
17
8
8
Total float
time
T-F=
12
11
13
13
12
18
16
15
17
17
18
0
0
10
8
12
5
8
5
0
5
0
0
9
10
8+8+7=25
Problem-2:
work.
ACTIVITY
DURATION
1-2
20
1-3
25
2-3
10
2-4
12
3-4
6
4-3
10
Solution:
=20
20
12
=36
20
1
1
=36
25
10
10
=46
=46
6
3
=30
=30
=0
=30
, i=2, 3
=
, J= 3,4
=Max {32, 36} =36
Latest time
Starting
Finishin
g
)
Total float
time
T-F=
(5)=(6)-(2)
(6)
(7)=(5)-(3)
1-2
20
0
20
0
20
0
1-3
25
0
25
5
30
5
2-3
10
20
30
20
30
0
2-4
12
20
32
24
36
4
3-4
6
30
36
30
36
0
4-5
10
36
46
36
46
0
From the above table we observe that the activities 1-2, 2-3, 3-4, and4-5
are critical activities as their total float is 0. Hence we have the following critical path
1-2-3-4-5 with the total project duration is 46 days.
Problem-3:
Find the critical path and calculate the slack time for each event for the following
PERT diagram.
4
2
4
3
1
1
J= 1
1
4
=Min {12}
=
Solution:
FORWARD PASS CALUCLATION:
= {10} =10
BACKWARD
PASS
=
= CALUCLATION:
{11} =11
=0
=
,8
i= 4,3
=
= {8} =8
=1
=Max {10, 4} =10
, J= 3,7
=
=Min {2,3} =2
=11
, J= 2, 3, 4
=15
=
=Min {5, 0, 6} =0
=11
4
2
=16
=2
=8
=1
=7
=15
5
=10
=10
=7
=12
1
1
=15
=11
=2
Latest time
Starting
Finishin
g
)
(5)=(6)-(2)
(6)
Total float
time
T-F=
(4)=(3)+(2)
1-2
1-3
1-4
2-6
3-7
3-5
4-5
5-9
6-8
7-8
8-9
2
2
1
4
5
8
3
5
1
4
3
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
10
6
7
11
2
2
1
6
7
10
4
15
7
11
14
(7)=(5)-(3)
5
0
6
7
3
2
7
10
11
8
12
7
2
7
11
8
10
10
15
12
12
15
5
0
6
5
1
0
6
0
5
1
1
[PERT]
In the net work analysis it is implicitly assumed that the time values are
deterministic or variations in time are insignificant. This assumption is valid in regular
jobs such as
i. Maintenance of machine.
ii. Construction of a building or a power
iii. Planning for production.
As these are done from time and various activities could be timed very
well
However in reach projects or design of a gear box of a new machine
various
Activities .are based on judgment. A reliable time estimate is difficult to get because the
technologies is changing the job? the pert approach taxes into account the uncertainties
associated with in that activity.
DEFINATIONS:
1. OPTIMISTIC TIME: the optimistic time is the shortcut possible time in which the
activity can be finished. It assumes that everything goes very well. This is denoted
by
2. MOST LIKELY TIME; the most likely time is the estimate of the activity would
take. This assumes normal delays. If a graph is plotted in the time of completion
and the frequency of completion in that time period than the most likely time will
represent the highest frequency of a occurrence. This is denoted by
3. PESIMISTIC TIME; the pessimistic time represents the longest time the activity
could take if everything goes wrong. As in optimistic estimate. This value may be
such that value. This is denoted by
10
These 3 types values are, shown in the following diagram in order to obtain these
values; one could use time values available similar jobs. But most of the time the
estimator may not be so fortunate to have this data. Secondary values are the functions
of manpower, machines and supporting facility .A better approaches would be to seek
opinion of experts in the field keeping in views the resources available, this estimate
does not take into account such natural catastrophes as fire etc.
In pert calculation all values are used to attain the percent exportation
value.
4.EXPECTED TIME; the expected time is average time an activity will take if it were
to be reported on large number of times and it is base on the assumption that the
activity time follows Bets distribution. This is given by the formula
=(
Where
= the pessimistic time.
Frequency
Most likely
Pessimistic
O
Optimistic
11
Time
Problem-1: for the project represented by the network diagram, find the earliest time
and latest times to reach each node given the following data.
TASK
LEAST TIME
GREATEST
TIME
MOST LIKELY
TIME
A B
4 5
8 1
0
5 7
C
8
1
2
1
1
D E
2 4
7 1
0
3 7
F
6
1
5
9
G
8
1
6
1
2
H
5
9
I
3
7
J
5
11
K
6
13
2
B
C
1
K
4
H
3
SOLUTION;
First we calculate the expected time
Task
Optimistic
time(
by the formula
Pessimistic
time(
) as follows
Expected time
10
12
11
10
15
12
=(
= 5.3
7.2
10.7
3.5
9.5
16
12
11
13
12
6.3
9.1
expected times for all the activities leading to node i, when more than one activity
leads to a node i, the maximum of
is called.
=0
=0+5.3=5.3
=
= 24.5
= 25.9
2.5
=max {12.5,10.4} =12.5
, J= 3,7
= 19.5
=
=Min {19.5,19.5}
=2
=max {13,19.5} =19.5
=
TASK
LEAST TIME
GREATEST
TIME
MOST LIKELY
TIME
13
= 12.5
A
4
8
B
5
10
=34. D
C
8
2
=32.
12 7
E
4
10
F
6
15
G
8
16
H
5
9
I
3
7
J
5
11
K
6
13
11
12
Estimation
5. 7.2 10. 3. 7
9.5 12 6. 5
Time
3
7
5
3
These calculations are may be arranged in the following table.
NODE
9.2
SLACK(
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
5.3
3.5
7.2
7
6.3
5
9.1
8.0
5.3
3.5
12.5
19.5
25.8
24.5
34.9
32.5
5.3
10.0
12.5
19.5
25.8
24.5
34.9
32.5
0
6.5
0
0
0
0
0
0
=5.3
2
A(5.3)
B(7.2)
=34.9
=12.5
C(10.4)
=25.8
=12.5
F=9.5
=25.8
E(7)
D(3.5)
=34.9
K(9.1)
6
H(6.3)
3
G(12)
=3.5
I (5)
=24.5
=19.5
=10.0
J(8)
=32.5
=24.5
=19.5
=32.5
12
1
23
1
2-4 35
1
3
45
2
4-6
5-7
6-7
7-8
79
5
810
1
9-10
3
TIME(a)
MOAST
5
3
5
5
4
7
6
8
6
8
3
7
PESSIMESTIC
TIME(b)
MOST LIKELY
1.5 2
3
4
3
5
5
7
4
6
2
5
TIME(m)
Construct a PERT network. Find critical path and variance for each event find the
project duration as 95% probability.
SOLUTION: Activity expected times & their variances are computed by the following
formula
Expected time ( ) = (
). V=
Activity
4m
1-2
2-3
2-4
12
3-5
16
4-5
12
4-6
20
5-7
20
6-7
28
7-8
16
7-9
24
8-10
9-10
20
=4 3
=8
=2
1/9
4/9
1/9
1/9
4/9
6.16
1/9
1/9
4/9
=8
1/9
1/9
4/9
5
=139/6
=12
=139/6
15
1
1
4/9
5
6
1
8
1
0
=169/9
=17
=169/9
=17
1
4
=0
=5
=17
=10
=5
=127/6
=10
=0+2=2
-2=
, J= 8,9
=
=Min {19.5,17}
=17
= 10
= 12
=5
3
3
7
9
5
16
Normal
Cost(Rs/-)
300
30
420
720
250
Crash
Time
(weeks)
2
3
5
7
4
Cost(Rs/-)
400
30
580
810
300
4-5
5-6
6-7
6-8
7-8
0
6
4
13
10
0
320
400
780
1000
0
4
3
10
9
0
410
470
900
1200
=22
=12
=18
=22
=18
9
1
1
3
=0
=3
=12
3
3
=6
=7
17
10
=12
=32
13
=32
18