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Ever-better Cars
Ever-better
Manufacturing
Enriching Lives
of Communities
Challenge 1,2
Challenge 1:
Baseline scenario
(+3.7~4.8)
(RPC8.5)
140
120
100
80
60
Below 2 scenario
(RPC2.6)
40
20
0
20
2000
2020
2040
2060
2080
2100
Zero or less
Source: From the IPCC Working Group III 5th Assessment Report (2014)
90 reduction
2010
2050
Sales Volume
HV
Engine
PHV
FCV
2010
2020
EV
2050
Governments
Energy
suppliers
New Vehicle
Zero CO2
Challenge
Customers
Automotive
companies
Energy saving
Reduced use of fossil fuels
Engine
HV
PHV
Energy diversity
Renewable energy
CO2-free hydrogen
CO2
reduction
EV
FCV
()
Diesel
Hybrid
Gasoline
2000
2005
2010
2015
2050
HV: Lineup
Compact
Medium
Large/
Premium
SUV
Minivan
Commercial
HV: Sales
Per year (million)
Cumulative (million)
8 million
Sales (cumulative)
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
5M
1.0
0.8
4
3M
3
2
0.6
0.4
1M
0.2
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
(January to July)
HV: Sales
Per year (million)
Cumulative (million)
8 million 1.8
9
8
7
6
1.6
Sales (cumulative)
1.2
1.4
5M
5
4
0.6
1M
2
1
0
0.8
3M
1.0
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
0.4
0.2
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
(January to July)
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
10
60
Cumulative (million t)
58 million t
12
(million t/year
HV technology evolution
(Target:40)
Fuel efficiency (km/L)
29.6
35.5
32.6
38.0
28.0
HV system cost
Current Prius
Next-generation Prius
2. Hybrid system
Rotor
2ZR-FXE
3. Improved aerodynamics
Aerodynamic coefficient (in Cd): 0.24
Battery
Lithium ion battery
Nickel metal
hydride battery
Transaxle
PCU
Transaxle
PCU
Cumulative sales of HV
million
2020 target
15
Cumulative
15 million HVs
8
1
0
1997
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2050
Energy saving
Reduced use of fossil fuels
Engine
HV
PHV
Energy diversity
Renewable energy
CO2-free hydrogen
CO2
reduction
EV
FCV
HV
EV
FCV
Vehicle size
HV/PHV
Passenger car
EV
FCVBUS)
Home delivery
truck
EV
Personal mobility
Fuel
Full-size truck
HV
Short-distance
commuter vehicle
Delivery vehicle
Route bus
Electricity
PHV
FCV
Travel distance
Hydrogen
High capacity
Li-ion battery
6000
4000
200
400
Target
Target
Current
(Research)
2000
Innovative
battery
Sakichi
battery
600
800
1000
10000
Silicone (current)
SiCfuture
Transistor
Diode
Downsized PCU
Power module
Advantages of FCV
Energy diversity
Zero emissions
Usage
Fun to drive
Electric motor enables
smooth, quiet driving
Excellent acceleration at
start to low/mid speed
Power supply
(emergency use)
High capacity
Development of MIRAI
High
pressure
hydrogen tank
FC stack
Innovative flow channel structure
Output/volume; 3.1kW/L
Humidifier less
Internal circulation
FC boost converter
Reduced number of cells in FC stack
Common use of hybrid units
*Hydrogen mass/Tank mass
FC system cost
FCHV-adv
(2008)
Limited introduction
1/20 or less
(2014)
Start
penetration
Further
Cost
reduction
Popularization
Motor
Battery
HV technology
Number of patents
to be free
FC stack
Approx. 1,970
Approx. 290
FC system control
Approx. 3,350
Hydrogen station
Approx. 70
No expiration
TOYOTA
FCV
HINO
FC bus
Aisin Seiki
Household fuel cell system
Sales Volume
HV
Engine
PHV
FCV
2010
2020
EV
2050
Challenge 2
Specific parts
for next generation
vehicles increase CO2
Driving
Fuel production
Parts/vehicle
production
Material
production
Gasoline
vehicles
HV
MIRAI
(New generation
Vehicles)
Zero
In the future
Material
production
Life cycle
Parts/Vehicle
production
Next
Generation
Vehicle
Specific
materials
Driving/
Fuel
production
CO2/Kg
Steel
Aluminum
PP
Carbon fiber
Platinum
Disposal/
Recycling
Aluminum
(New)
0
10
2000
20
4000
30
6000
Aluminum
(Recycled)
0
10
Maintenance Disposal
Parts/
Vehicle
production
Driving/
Fuel production
Material
production
Driving/
Fuel production
Fossil fuels
High durability
vehicle
FCV
HV
FC bus
FC folk lift
Roomy/multipurpose
vehicle
PHV
EV
Zero for all vehicles used in all regions all over the world