RNC

National Survey

March 9-11, 2010

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 Methodology

The following national survey was conducted

by OnMessage Inc. Telephone interviews
were conducted March 9-11, 2010. This
survey consists of 1200 likely voters and
interviews were stratified by previous election
results to reflect historic voter trends. The
margin of error for this survey is +/- 2.8%.

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Generic Ballot – Congressional
History

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Image: Obama
History

•President’s image has fallen to 1

to 1, favorable to unfavorable for
the first time in his Presidency.

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Image: Pelosi
History

•Speaker Pelosi remains

very unpopular with a net
image rating of -27.

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Image: Reid
History

•Leader Reid’s total image

has risen to 63% with a
net image rating of -23.

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 Very Fav No Opinion
Image Tests Somewhat Fav
Somewhat Unfav
Never Heard Of

Pres. Obama’s HC Reform Very Unfav

Net: -19

36

55
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Image – POTUS HC Reform
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
23% 13% 20% 16% 21% 27% generic ballot

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Image Tests
Pres. Obama’s HC Reform
•The image of President Obama’s health
care reform has fallen to a net rating of -19,
with 44% of all voters holding a VERY
unfavorable opinion of the measure.

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Job Approval: Obama Overall
History

•President Obama’s overall

job approval is now just +2.

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Job Approval: Obama Health Care
History
•As this chart demonstrates, the fall of
Obama’s overall job approval is being
driven in large part by his handling of
the health care issue.

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Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill currently
being considered in Congress?

Note: Asking a favor/oppose of health care reform in Congress

Paid forthe
yields by the
sameRepublican
results National Committee
as asking the favorable/unfavorable of the
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President’s health care reform. 12
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Health Care Legislation
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
generic ballot

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 Concerning the current health care bill being pushed by President Obama
and the Democrats in Congress, which of the following comes closest to your
opinion?
1.Some people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill altogether and focus on
the economy.
2.Other people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill and start over with a new
bill.
3.Still other people say Congress should pass the current health care bill as soon as possible.

•63% Scrap and start

over or Scrap and move
to economy
•Only 27% pass now

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Scrap HC Bill
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
generic ballot

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 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement?
Health care reform in Congress has gotten out of
control. Congress is spending too much, cutting Medicare
too much, raising taxes too much and growing the deficit too
much. They should scrap what they have done so far and
start over.

70

25

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Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who
voted for President Obama’s health care bill?

•41% of the voters saying this vote

would make them MUCH less likely to
vote for them is significant but ...

51
36

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More/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate that voted for HC
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
generic ballot

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Recent news reports state that the current health care reform
bill proposed by President Obama and the Democrats in
Congress will result in $400 billion dollars in cuts to
Medicare and Medicaid. Knowing this, would you be more
or less likely to vote to re-elect your current member of
Congress if they voted for this bill?
•Voting for a reform that
results in cutting Medicare by 65
$400 billion is downright
deadly.

18

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More/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate/ Medicare $400 Billion Cut
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
generic ballot

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Would you be more or less likely to support the re-election of
a Congressman or Senator if you knew that they made a
backroom deal to trade their vote for President Obama’s
health care bill in exchange for more Federal money for their
state?

•The backroom deals

Democrats have pursued are 74
as deadly as the bill itself.

11

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More/Less Likely to Vote if you knew of backroom deals
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
generic ballot

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 Thinking about the elections this year, which of the
following candidates for Congress would you most
likely vote for?

A Republican candidate who A Democratic candidate who

would be a check and balance to OR would help President Obama
President Obama and the and the Democrats in
Democrats in Congress. Congress pass their agenda.

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Check & Balance vs. Help Obama
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
generic ballot

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 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I
would consider voting for a Republican for Congress to send a
message to President Obama and the Democrats and make
them listen to the concerns of voters like me.

54
36

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Send A Message
Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on
generic ballot

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