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Mock Exam 1
(Academic Year 2013-14)
[5 exercises; 31 points available; 90 minutes available]
1
[8 points]
Work out the equilibrium price w (X) of the stock that pays out the dividend
2
(X + 4) dt every second(with dX = X dt + X dz). In doing so, make the assumption
4
with
y (8) < 0
y( ) =
1
2
2 2
1
2
r.
[7 points]
Your initial capital is H = 100 Euro. By borrowing 400 Euro and by cashing in 300
5
Euro via the short sale of the stocks that pay out X 3 dt, you invest 800 Euro in the stock that pays
out 5X 3 dt every second(keep the assumption y (8) < 0, which implies y (3) < 0). Work out the total
return H1 dH on your portfolio.
2
[4 points]
Consider the problem of maximizing the expected portfolio return given the
level v > 0 of variance that can be loaded into the portfolio return (assume =
6
1):
max r + w1 ( r1
w1 ; w 2
r ) + w2 ( r2
sub
r)
2 2
1 w1
+ 2
1 2 w1 w2
2 2
2 w2
= v .
a)
w1 =
1
2l
r1
2 (1
1
b)
w2 =
1
2l
r2
2 (1
2
c)
w2 =
1
2l
r2
2 (1
2
d)
w1 =
1
2l
r1
2 (1
1
r2
r2 r1
2)
1 2 (1
r1 r
2)
1 2 (1
2)
2)
2)
2)
r1 r
2)
1 2 (1
r2 r
2)
1 2 (1
3
[4 points]
A rm produces two outputs x and y, whose sale prices are X and Y , respectively. The rm is monopolist in both markets and faces the following demand functions (x and y are
complementary goods):
4
4
3
3
Y
X ;
y = 1000
Y
X :
7
7
7
7
Given that the production costs are C (x; y) = 20x + 30y + 5xy + 10000 and that the government
sets the production-target constraint (x 180)2 25, the monopolists constrained maximum prot
is:
a)
118939: 063;
b)
122939: 063;
c)
124939: 063;
d)
120939: 063.
x = 1000
4
[4 points]
rate (r = 0):
6
6
M =6
4
1:0
1
1
1
1: 75
2
3
1
2: 25
2
1
3
2: 6
4
0
4
7
7
7 .
5
[4 points]
such that
is
SOLU T ION S
1
Et [dw] + X 8 + 8X 4 + 16
dt
= wr + wX X
where
1
1
Et [dW ] = wX + wXX X 2
dt
2
w (0) > 0 (when X is absorbed at 0, the stock keeps paying 16dt every second).
The total per-annum dividend X 8 +8X 4 +16 is made of three distinct pieces: the per-annum dividends
of two dierent power stocks and the constant component 16. Let us formulate the educated three-piece
guess
W (X) = AX 8 + B8X 4 + C
where A, B, and C > 0 are constants to be determined (also A and B need to be positive to support a
non-negative stock price). Given
WX X
8AX 8 + 4B8X 4 ,
WXX X 2
8 (8
1) AX 8 + 4 (4
1) B8X 4 ,
X8
8X 4
8 + 28
(r + 8
{z
) A + 1
=0
4 +6
( 16
Cr )
|
{z
}
(r + 4
{z
=0
) B + 1
=0
0 .
Notice that C =
16
r
y (8)
r+8
8 + 28
with
< 0
y( ) =
1
2
2 2
1
2
r,
A =
B =
r+8
1
> 0;
(8 + 28 2 )
1
r+4
(4 + 6 2 )
> 0:
The equilibrium value of the stock that pays out X 3 dt every secondis
G (X) =
( it solves the problem
X3
r+
5
3
5
3
5
1
Et [dG] + X 3 = Gr + GX X
dt
5
9
with G (0) = 0 ) :
The equilibrium value of the stock that pays out 5X 3 dt every secondis
F (X) =
( it solves the problem
r+3
5X 3
(3 + 3 2 )
1
Et [dF ] + 5X 3 = F r + FX X
dt
with F (0) = 0 ) :
dH
800
F
300
G
dF + 5X 3 dt
dF + 5X 3 dt
F
800
800 (( r + 3
( Hr
1900
dG + X 3 dt
dG + X 3 dt
G
300
) dt
) dt
3 dz)
300
400rdt
r +
400rdt
5
3
dt
5
dz
3
400rdt
1900 dz .
1
dH
H
(r
19
) dt
19 dz .
SOLU T ION S
L (w1 ; w2 ; l)
r + w1 (r1
r) + w2 (r2
l w12
r)
2
1
+ w22
2
2
+2
1 2 w1 w2
and the First Order Conditions (FOCs) are su cient. The objective function is strictly increasing and
concave in w1 and w2 . The constraint function is a variance, which is always strictly convex in w1 and
w2 for 6= 1. The FOCs are:
8
>
L w1
>
>
>
>
>
<
L w2
>
>
>
>
>
>
: L
8
>
>
>
>
>
>
<
2l
"
2
1
1 2
2
2
1 2
#"
w1
w2
"
r
r
>
>
>
>
>
>
:
r1
r2
2lw1
2
1
2lw2
2 1
r + r1 = 0
2lw2
2
2
2lw1
1 2
r + r2 = 0
2 w1 w2
1 2
w2 2
w12
2
1
with det
"
2
1
1 2
2
2
+v =0 .
1 2
2
2
#!
2 2
1 2
r1 r
2 (1
2)
>0.
Hence,
"
w1
w2
1
2l
2
1
1
2
2 (1
2)
"
2
2
1 2
2
1
1 2
# "
r
r
r1
r2
that is,
w1 =
1
2l
r1
2
1 (1
r
2)
r2 r
2 (1
2)
and
w2 =
1
2l
r2
2
2 (1
r
2)
SOLU T ION S
"
X = 1000 + 3y 4x
Y = 1000 4y + 3x
s.t.
(x
180)2
25
with
P (x; y) = x (1000 + 3y
4x) + y (1000
4y + 3x)
The First Order Conditions for constrained optimality will be su cient because the feasible set
(x; y) 2 R2 : (x
180)2
25
8 < 0 and
l (x
180)2
25
are:
8
>
y 8x l (2x 360) + 980 = 0
>
>
>
>
>
x 8y + 970 = 0
>
>
>
>
>
<
l 0
>
>
>
25 (x 180)2 0
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
: l 25 (x 180)2 = 0
8810
63
8740
63
8810 8740
; 63
63
180)2
25 :
7
5 .
8
>
y 8x l (2x 360) + 980 = 0
>
>
>
>
>
<
x 8y + 970 = 0
>
>
>
>
>
>
: 25 (x 180)2 = 0 (the constr. is binding)
8
8
x = 2880l+8810
>
16l+63
>
>
>
x = 175
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
< y = 2300l+8740
<
16l+63
,
,
y = 143: 125
>
>
>
>
(
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
175
>
: l = 27: 687 5 > 0 .
>
x
=
with
l
>
0
:
185
SOLU T ION S
By the First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, any arbitrage opportunity is ruled out if the
market M supports a risk-neutral probability measure Q (recall that the riskfree rate is r = 0):
2
6
6
6
4
1:0
1: 75
2: 25
2: 6
3T 2
3
1
+
0
2
2
4
Q
(!
)
1
7
1 6
7
7 6
7
1
+
0
3
1
0
Q
(!
7 =
4
5 4
2) 5 .
1+0
5
1+0 1 3 4
Q (! 3 )
Since
31
2 2 4
7C
B6
det @4 3 1 0 5A = 16 ,
1 3 4
02
we can focus on the three risky securities to work out the unique measure Q:
02
3T 1
3
2 2 4
Q (! 1 )
B6
7 C
7
6
3
1
0
5 C
4
4 Q (! 2 ) 5 = B
A
@
1 3 4
Q (! 3 )
2
31
1: 75
7C
6
B
@(1 + 0) 4 2: 25 5A
2: 6
0
3
0:05
7
6
4 0:35 5 .
0:6
2
3T 2
3
1
0:05
1 6 7 6
7
4 1 5 4 0:35 5 .
1+0
1
0:6
e (1)
X
=
m
3
X (1) (! 1 )
6
7
4 X (1) (! 2 ) 5
X (1) (! 3 )
3 2
3
2 3
1
22
4
6 7 6 2 7
6 7
34 1 5 + 4 3 5 + 54 0 5
1
12
4
3T 2
3
27
0:05
1 6
7 6
7
X (0) =
4 12 5 4 0:35 5
1+0
24
0:6
3
27
6
7
4 12 5 .
24
19: 95 .
An alternative would be the calculation of the intial cost of the replicating strategy #X that involves
only the three risky securities (#X
0 = 0):
2
3
#X
1
6 X 7
4 #2 5
#X
3
and
V#X (0)
3
2 2 4
7
6
4 3 1 0 5
1 3 4
2
2
6
6
6
4
0
15
4
3
4
9
2
3T
7
7
7
5
2
6
6
6
4
3
27
7
6
4 12 5
24
2
1:0
1: 75
2: 25
2: 6
3
7
7
7
5
2
6
4
15
4
3
4
9
2
3
7
5
19: 95 .
10
SOLU T ION S
8
>
< 1:0#0 + 1: 8#1 + 1: 1#2 + 1: 5#3 = 2
#0 + 2#1 + 3#2 + #3 = 2
>
:
#0 + 3#1 + #3 = 2
1:0 1: 8 1: 1 1: 5 6
6
76
2
3
1 56
4 1
4
1
3
0
1
()
#0
#1
#2
#3
2 3
2
7
7 6 7
7=4 2 5 .
5
2
Since
31
1:0 1: 8 1: 1
7C
B6
det @4 1
2
3 5A =
1
3
0
02
2: 5 ,
we have
3
2
3
1:0 1: 8 1: 1
#0
7
6
6
7
2
3 5
4 #1 5 = 4 1
1
3
0
#2
2
3
2:0 2:8#3
6
7
= 4
0:6#3
5
0:2#3
3
2
B6 7
@4 2 5
2
02
=)
31
1: 5
7C
6
#3 4 1 5A
1
2
#0 = 2
5
2:8 #2 ,
1
where
2
3
1:0 1: 8 1: 1
6
7
2
3 5
4 1
1
3
0
9
1 6
4 3: 3
2:5
3: 2
3
1: 1
1: 9
3T
1
7
1: 2 5
0:2
3: 6
6
4 1: 2
0:4
1: 32
0:44
0:48
3
1: 28
7
0:76 5 .
0:08
11