Conducted for WBUR by

WBUR Poll
New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary
Field Dates: November 14-15, 2015
Survey of 405 Likely Voters
I'm going to read you the names of several people who are active in public affairs. After I read each
one please tell me if you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of the person. If
you have never heard of the person or if you are undecided, please just say so. READ FIRST NAME.
How about READ NEXT NAME?
REPEAT QUESTION TEXT ONLY IF NECESSARY, PROBE IF RESPONDENT SAYS DONT KNOW.
Have you heard of READ NAME and are undecided about (him/her)? Or PAUSE have you never
heard of (him/her)?
Order rotated.
Ben Carson
Bobby Jindal
Asked to 1/2
Carly Fiorina

Chris Christie

Donald Trump
George Pataki
Asked to 1/2
Jeb Bush
Jim Gilmore
Asked to 1/2
John Kasich
Lindsey Graham
Asked to 1/2

Field dates
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14

Favorable
55%
63%
58%
34%
25%
29%
50%
53%
53%
47%
51%
39%
42%
42%
45%
20%
16%
14%
36%
35%
40%
4%
2%
4%
33%
37%
45%
17%
18%
18%

Unfavorable
26%
19%
10%
26%
26%
22%
27%
23%
16%
33%
31%
39%
43%
42%
40%
40%
47%
37%
47%
50%
42%
25%
21%
22%
39%
32%
21%
51%
51%
45%

Heard of /
Undecided
17%
14%
24%
24%
25%
26%
16%
19%
19%
18%
15%
20%
14%
16%
14%
30%
28%
31%
17%
14%
16%
29%
24%
20%
19%
23%
22%
23%
24%
25%

Never
heard of
2%
4%
8%
15%
24%
21%
7%
5%
11%
1%
2%
2%
<1%
0%
1%
10%
9%
17%
0%
1%
1%
42%
52%
53%
8%
7%
12%
9%
6%
11%

Refused
<1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
2%
0%
<1%
<1%
<1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
<1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
<1%
<1%
0%
<1%
2%

Continued
Marco Rubio
Mike Huckabee
Asked to 1/2
Rand Paul
Rick Santorum
Asked to 1/2
Ted Cruz
Mitt Romney

Field dates
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15
Oct 29-Nov 1
Sep 12-14
Nov 14-15

WBUR Poll
Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group

Favorable
57%
56%
46%
34%
35%
33%
35%
30%
33%
28%
21%
22%
44%
43%
39%
57%

Unfavorable
20%
24%
25%
48%
46%
42%
46%
52%
48%
43%
49%
41%
32%
32%
32%
29%

Heard of /
Undecided
19%
18%
21%
18%
17%
19%
17%
17%
19%
25%
26%
32%
20%
22%
22%
14%

Never
heard of
4%
2%
8%
1%
2%
3%
1%
1%
<1%
4%
3%
3%
4%
3%
7%
<1%

Refused
0%
0%
<1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
<1%
<1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
<1%

If the candidates in the Republican primary were __________, for whom would you vote? Order rotated.
If undecided, askEven though you say you are undecided -- which way are you leaning as of today?
List not read unless requested by respondent. Order rotated, if read.
Initial preference, sorted
(without leaners)
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Chris Christie
Rand Paul
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Mike Huckabee
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
Scott Walker
Some other candidate (not read)
Would not vote (not read)
Dont Know / Refused

Sep
12-14
20%
17%
2%
5%
8%
7%
2%
4%
9%
1%
<1%
<1%
1%
<1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
19%

Oct 29Nov 1
18%
15%
9%
6%
7%
8%
7%
3%
5%
0%
1%
1%
<1%
0%
0%
N/A
<1%
1%
18%

Nov
14-15
22%
11%
11%
8%
7%
7%
5%
5%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
N/A
1%
1%
13%

Vote preference with leaners,

sorted
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Jeb Bush
John Kasich
Chris Christie
Rand Paul
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Bobby Jindal
George Pataki
Mike Huckabee
Rick Santorum
Jim Gilmore
Scott Walker
Some other candidate (not read)
Would not vote (not read)
Dont Know / Refused

Sep
12-14
22%
18%
2%
5%
9%
9%
2%
4%
11%
1%
<1%
<1%
1%
<1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
11%

Oct 29Nov 1
18%
16%
11%
6%
7%
10%
8%
3%
6%
0%
1%
1%
<1%
0%
0%
N/A
<1%
2%
12%

Nov
14-15
23%
13%
13%
8%
7%
7%
6%
5%
4%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
N/A
1%
1%
6%

WBUR Poll
Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group

Did you watch the Republican presidential candidate debate that took place on Wednesday?
Yes
No
Dont Know / Refused

47%
53%
0%

Next two questions only asked to those who said they watched the debate, n=219.
Which candidate do you think did the best job in the debate?

Sorted.
Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorina
Jeb Bush
Rand Paul
John Kasich
Chris Christie
Mike Huckabee
Dont Know / Refused

After previous
debate
27%
20%
7%
5%
7%
1%
<1%
4%
13%
2%
14%

After current
debate
36%
16%
9%
7%
4%
4%
3%
2%
N/A
N/A
20%

After previous
debate
9%
9%
36%
5%
3%
11%
2%
1%
2%
3%
19%

After current
debate
26%
20%
16%
6%
5%
5%
2%
1%
N/A
N/A
19%

Which candidate do you think did the worst job in the debate?

Sorted.
John Kasich
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorina
Rand Paul
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Mike Huckabee
Dont Know / Refused

WBUR Poll
Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group

Now I would like to ask you about a few other issues.

Would you like to see Mitt Romney join the race and run for President in 2016 as well?
Yes
No
Dont Know / Refused

34%
64%
2%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Republican Party leaders are handling their job? Order
rotated.
Approve
Disapprove
Dont Know / Refused

24%
64%
12%

Which of the following would you prefer to see Republicans do? Order rotated.
Compromise to get things done
Hold fast to their principles
Both / neither / depends (not read)
Dont Know / Refused

43%
43%
13%
2%

Which of the following would you prefer for our next President? Order rotated.
Somewhat from outside the political
establishment
Somewhat with experience in elected office
Both / neither / depends (not read)
Dont Know / Refused

46%
36%
13%
5%

Do you think most people in America make wages that are too high, too low, or about right? Order
rotated.
Too high
Too low
About right
Dont Know / Refused

5%
46%
42%
8%

Estimates suggest between 8 and 12 million people are living in the United States illegally. Which one
statement comes closest to what you think? Order rotated.
We should create a pathway to citizenship for
these people
We should grant these people legal status so
they can live and work here, but not become
citizens
We should find and deport people who have
come to this country illegally
Dont Know / Refused

WBUR Poll
Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group

34%
21%
42%
34%

Do you think the amount the U.S. currently spends on the military is ____________? Order rotated.
Too high
Too low
About right
Dont Know / Refused

14%
54%
27%
5%

In terms of the Middle East, do you think the next President should ______________? Order rotated.
Remove as many troops as possible from the
region
Keep troop levels about where they are
Send more troops to the region
Dont Know / Refused

WBUR Poll
Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group

22%
28%
38%
11%

Demographics
Race
White / Caucasian
All others
Dont Know / Refused

93%
3%
4%

18 to 29
30 to 44
45 to 59
60+

13%
28%
34%
25%

Male
Female

56%
44%

Republican
Independent / Unenrolled

65%
35%

High School or less

Some college, no degree
College graduate (BA/BS)
Advanced degree
Dont Know / Refused

18%
27%
29%
24%
2%

Age

Gender

Party Registration

Education

About the Poll

These results are based on a survey of 405 likely voters in the 2016 New Hampshire Republican
Primary. Live telephone interviews were conducted November 14-15, 2015 via both landline and cell
phone using conventional registration based sampling procedures. Approximately 9 in 10
respondents are previous primary voters. The margin of sampling error for the full sample is +/- 4.9
percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence. The poll was sponsored by WBUR, a National
Public Radio station in the Boston area.
WBUR Poll
Conducted by The MassINC Polling Group