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Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC

International on February 24 - 27, 2016. The margin of sampling error for


results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The sample also includes 920 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3 percentage points).
This sample includes 600 interviews among landline respondents and 401
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:


Tuesday, March 1 at 6:00 a.m.

POLL 1

-1-

January 14-15, 2013

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
17.

Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president? (RANDOM ORDER)
Foreign
policy

Illegal
immigration

Health
care

Terrorism

Economy

Other
(vol.)

No
Opinion

Registered Voters
Feb. 24-27, 2016

10%

8%

19%

14%

47%

1%

July 22-25, 2015

10%

11%

20%

12%

44%

3%

1%

All Americans
July 22-25, 2015

9%

10%

22%

12%

43%

2%

1%

FOR COMPARISON
War
in Iraq

Illegal
immigration

Health
care

Terrorism

Economy

Other
(vol.)

No
Opinion

Likely Voters
Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2008

13%

5%

13%

10%

57%

2%

1%

Registered Voters
Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2008
July 27-29, 2008
June 4-5, 2008
April 28-30, 2008
March 14-16, 2008
February 1-3, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
December 6-9, 2007
November 2-4, 2007
October 12-14, 2007
June 22-24, 2007

13%
18%
24%
19%
21%
20%
25%
23%
28%
28%
31%

5%
9%
8%
8%
7%
10%
10%
14%
10%
15%
15%

13%
13%
12%
14%
18%
16%
18%
20%
18%
20%
17%

11%
9%
11%
9%
10%
8%
9%
10%
12%
12%
10%

57%
48%
42%
49%
42%
44%
35%
29%
29%
22%
23%

2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
3%

*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
1%
1%
2%

NOTE: Question wording in 2007 and 2008 referred to "War in Iraq where 2015 refers to Foreign Policy.

POLL 4
2

-2-

February 24-27, 2013

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
18.

Do you think the country is or is not more deeply divided this year on the major issues facing the
country than it has been in the past several years?

Yes, more deeply divided


No, not more deeply divided
Country not deeply divided (vol.)
No opinion

Feb. 24-27
2016

Jan. 14-15
2013

78%
21%
1%
1%

76%
22%
*
1%

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS

2005 Jan 7-9


2004 Nov 19-21 ^
2001 Jan 15-16
2000 Dec 15-17

Yes, more
deeply divided

No, not more


deeply divided

Country not
divided (vol.)

No
opinion

70
72
63
64

27
26
33
33

1
1
1
1

2
1
3
2

^ Asked of a half sample.

POLL 4
2

-3-

February 24-27, 2013

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
19.

Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER RESPONSES
AND ATTRIBUTES)
Feb. 24-27
2016

The economy
Trump
Clinton
Sanders
Cruz
Rubio
Kasich
Carson
None/No one
No opinion

38%
25%
17%
5%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%

Terrorism
Trump
Clinton
Sanders
Cruz
Rubio
Kasich
Carson
None/No one
No opinion

33%
30%
11%
10%
6%
4%
3%
3%
2%

Health care
Clinton
Sanders
Trump
Carson
Cruz
Rubio
Kasich
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 4
3

30%
21%
20%
10%
6%
5%
2%
2%
2%

-4-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
19. Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you support,
which one do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER RESPONSES AND
ATTRIBUTES)
Feb. 24-27
2016
Immigration
Trump
Clinton
Sanders
Rubio
Cruz
Carson
Kasich
None/No one
No opinion

31%
25%
16%
11%
7%
3%
3%
2%
1%

Race relations
Clinton
Sanders
Trump
Rubio
Carson
Cruz
Kasich
None/No one
No opinion

29%
22%
16%
11%
9%
6%
3%
1%
2%

Foreign policy
Clinton
Trump
Sanders
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Kasich
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 4
3

37%
21%
12%
11%
8%
4%
4%
1%
2%

-5-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
19. Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you support,
which one do you think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER RESPONSES AND
ATTRIBUTES)
Feb. 24-27
2016
Gun policy
Trump
Clinton
Sanders
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Kasich
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 4
3

28%
26%
18%
12%
5%
3%
2%
3%
3%

-6-

February 24-27, 2016

20.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
All Americans
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

Bernie Sanders

57%

33%

4%

6%

Bill Clinton

56%

38%

1%

5%

Ben Carson

44%

35%

8%

12%

Marco Rubio

44%

38%

9%

9%

Hillary Clinton

42%

55%

3%

John Kasich

41%

22%

21%

16%

Donald Trump

37%

60%

2%

Ted Cruz

36%

48%

5%

12%

Michael Bloomberg

28%

34%

22%

16%

Melania Trump

24%

31%

23%

21%

POLL 4
3

-7-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 306 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


121 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 427 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
20.

Wed like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Registered Republicans
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

Ben Carson

70%

18%

1%

11%

Marco Rubio

68%

23%

4%

5%

Donald Trump

65%

32%

3%

Ted Cruz

64%

30%

1%

5%

John Kasich

59%

16%

11%

14%

Melania Trump

41%

18%

16%

25%

Michael Bloomberg

20%

50%

15%

16%

POLL 4
3

-8-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 290 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


128 WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 418 DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
20.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Registered Democrats
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

Bernie Sanders

85%

10%

1%

4%

Bill Clinton

83%

14%

3%

Hillary Clinton

78%

19%

3%

Michael Bloomberg

40%

27%

17%

17%

POLL 4
3

-9-

February 24-27, 2016

20.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

Michael Bloomberg
February 24-27, 2016

28%

34%

22%

16%

June 22-24, 2007

37%

23%

18%

22%

44%

35%

8%

12%

43%
43%
40%
20%
22%

34%
40%
20%
19%
14%

14%
10%
28%
48%
56%

10%
8%
12%
14%
8%

February 24-27, 2016

56%

38%

1%

5%

May 29-31, 2015


March 13-15, 2015
May 29-June 1, 2014
March 7-9, 2014
May 29-31, 2012
October 27-30, 2010
October 16-18, 2009
December 1-2, 2008
August 23-24, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
April 28-30, 2008
February 1-3, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
March 9-11, 2007
September 23-24, 2006
April 21-23, 2006

64%
65%
66%
66%
66%
63%
64%
60%
53%
51%
53%
55%
60%
58%
60%
57%

33%
31%
31%
33%
31%
33%
33%
38%
44%
46%
43%
42%
36%
36%
37%
38%

*
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
*

3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
2%
2%
3%
3%
3%
3%
5%
3%
4%

QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2016: "New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg"

Ben Carson
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
Bill Clinton

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON NEXT PAGE

POLL 4
3

-10-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS


Fav
2005
2005 Oct 21-23
2005 Feb 4-6
2004
2004 Jul 19-21*
2004 Jun 21-23
2003
2003 Jun 9-10
2003 Mar 14-15
2002
2002 Sep 23-26
2001
2001 Nov 26-27
2001 Aug 3-5
2001 Apr 20-22
2001 Mar 5-7
2001 Feb 19-21
2001 Feb 1-4
2000
2000 Dec 2-4
2000 Nov 13-15
2000 Oct 25-28
2000 Sep 15-17**
2000 Aug 18-19
2000 Aug 4-5
2000 Apr 28-30
1999
1999 Dec 9-12
1999 Sep 23-26
1999 Aug 3-4
1999 Jul 22-25
1999 Jun 25-27
1999 Apr 30-May 2
1999 Apr 13-14
1999 Mar 5-8
1999 Feb 19-21
1999 Feb 4-8
1999 Jan 8-10
1998
1998 Dec 28-29
1998 Dec 4-6
1998 Nov 20-22
1998 Oct 9-12
1998 Sep 14-15
1998 Aug 21-23
1998 Aug 20
1998 Aug 18

Unfav

DK

60
56

38
41

2
3

54
53

43
44

3
3

54
46

45
51

1
3

47

49

48
49
48
39
42
51

47
48
50
59
55
48

5
3
2
2
3
1

57
57
54
46
48
42
47

41
41
44
48
48
54
51

2
2
2
6
4
4
2

45
54
52
57
48
53
51
54
55
55
58

53
45
46
41
50
45
47
43
43
44
40

2
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
2
1
2

56
56
57
54
51
55
53
55

42
40
40
43
47
43
43
42

2
4
3
3
2
2
4
3

1998 Aug 10-12


1998 Aug 7-8
1998 Jun 5-7
1998 Mar 20-22
1998 Mar 16
1998 Feb 20-22
1998 Feb 13-15
1998 Jan 30-Feb 1
1998 Jan 28
1998 Jan 25-26
1998 Jan 24-25
1998 Jan 23-24
1997
1997 Dec 18-21
1997 Oct 27-29
1997 Oct 3-5
1997 Sep 25-28
1997 Sep 6-7
1997 Jul 25-27
1997 Jun 26-29
1997 Apr 18-20
1997 Mar 24-26
1997 Feb 24-26
1997 Jan 31-Feb 2
1997 Jan 10-13
1997 Jan 3-5
1996
1996 Nov 3-4**
1996 Nov 2-3**
1996 Nov 1-2**
1996 Oc31-Nv 1**
1996 Oct 30-31**
1996 Oct 26-29**
1996 Oct 19-20**
1996 Oct 18-19**
1996 Oct 17-18**
1996 Oct 16-17**
1996 Oct 15-16**
1996 Oct 14-15**
1996 Oct 13-14**
1996 Oct 12-13**
1996 Oct 11-12**
1996 Oct 5-6**
1996 Oct 4-5**
1996 Oct 3-4**
1996 Oct 2-3**
1996 Sep 27-29**

Fav
60
58
61
60
60
64
58
65
63
53
58
57

Unfav
38
40
36
35
37
34
39
34
32
43
39
40

DK
2
2
3
5
3
2
3
1
5
4
3
3

58
62
56
61
63
62
59
60
63
61
64
65
60

37
35
40
35
32
35
37
38
34
34
32
31
36

5
3
4
4
5
3
4
2
3
5
4
4
4

56
57
58
59
60
58
59
58
61
58
58
59
58
60
62
62
60
58
60
63

40
38
37
37
37
38
36
37
34
38
38
36
36
35
35
33
34
37
37
33

4
5
5
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
5
6
5
3
5
6
5
3
4

1996 Sep 3-5**


1996 Sep 2-4**
1996 Sep 2-4**
1996 Ag30-Sep1**
1996 Aug 28-29**
1996 Aug 16-18**
1996 Aug 14-15**
1996 Aug 5-7*
1996 Jul 18-21
1996 Jun 18-19
1996 May 28-29
1996 May 9-12
1996 Mar 15-17
1996 Feb 23-25
1996 Jan 12-15
1995
1995 Nov 6-8
1995 Sep 22-24
1995 Aug 4-7
1995 Jul 7-9
1995 Apr 17-19
1995 Mar 17-19
1995 Jan 16-18
1994
1994 Dec 28-30
1994 Nov 28-29
1994 Sep 6-7
1994 Jul 15-17
1994 Apr 22-24
1994 Mar 25-27
1994 Mar 7-8
1994 Jan 15-17
1994 Jan 6-8
1993
1993 Nov 19-21
1993 Nov 15-16
1993 Nov 2-4
1993 Sep 24-26
1993 Aug 8-10
1993 Jul 19-21
1993 Jun 5-6
1993 Apr 22-24
1993 Jan 29-31
1993 Jan 18-19
1992
1992 Nov 10-11
1992 Nov 10-11

Fav
59
61
62
61
60
57
58
60
62
60
59
60
58
60
54

Unfav
35
34
33
35
34
41
37
37
35
36
38
39
38
37
44

DK
6
5
5
4
6
2
5
3
3
4
3
1
4
3
2

59
55
51
57
56
51
56

38
41
44
40
42
45
42

3
4
5
3
1
4
2

48
50
47
49
56
56
59
60
62

49
47
50
48
41
40
38
37
35

3
3
3
3
3
4
3
3
3

55
56
54
63
53
51
48
63
65
66

41
38
42
32
42
45
44
32
27
26

4
6
4
5
5
4
8
5
8
8

58
58

35
35

7
7

*Asked of half-sample ** Registered voters

POLL 4
3

-11-

February 24-27, 2016

20.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

February 24-27, 2016

42%

55%

3%

January 21-24, 2016


December 17-21, 2015
October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
May 29-31, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
November 21-23, 2014
May 29-June 1, 2014
March 7-9, 2014
October 18-20, 2013
May 17-18, 2013
March 15-17, 2013
November 16-18, 2012
May 29-31, 2012
September 23-35, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
January 14-16, 2011
October 27-30, 2010
April 9-11, 2010
January 22-24, 2010
December 16-20, 2009
October 16-18, 2009
July 31-Aug. 3, 2009
April 23-26, 2009
December 1-2, 2008
August 29-31, 2008
August 23-24, 2008
July 27-29, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
April 28-30, 2008
February 1-3, 2008
January 9-10, 2008
September 7-9, 2007
June 23-24, 2007
March 9-11, 2007
November 3-5, 2006
September 22-24, 2006

45%
47%
46%
44%
45%
46%
53%
59%
55%
57%
59%
61%
63%
67%
67%
69%
65%
66%
62%
61%
62%
64%
65%
61%
64%
66%
58%
56%
56%
53%
51%
52%
53%
53%
51%
49%
51%
50%

52%
51%
50%
53%
48%
50%
44%
38%
42%
41%
37%
36%
33%
28%
29%
26%
31%
31%
34%
35%
35%
30%
32%
35%
34%
33%
40%
40%
42%
44%
46%
44%
39%
39%
44%
44%
40%
45%

*
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
2%
3%
2%

3%
1%
3%
2%
6%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
5%
2%
5%
3%
4%
2%
1%
1%
4%
2%
3%
3%
*
7%
7%
4%
5%
7%
4%

Hillary Clinton

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON NEXT PAGE

POLL 4
3

-12-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS


Fav.
2006
2006 Apr 21-23
2005
2005 Oct 21-23
2005 Jul 25-28
2005 May 20-22
2005 Feb 25-27
2004
2004 Jul 19-21*
2003
2003 Oct 24-26
2003 Sep 19-21
2003 Jun 27-29*
2003 Jun 9-10
2003 Mar 14-15
2002
2002 Dec 16-17
2002 Sep 23-26
2001
2001 Aug 3-5
2001 Mar 5-7
2001 Feb 19-21
2001 Feb 1-4
2000
2000 Nov 13-15
2000 Oct 25-28
2000 Aug 4-5
2000 Feb 4-6
1999
1999 Dec 9-12
1999 Sep 23-26
1999 Aug 3-4
1999 Jul 22-24
1999 Jun 25-27
1999 Mar 5-7
1999 Feb 19-21
1999 Feb 4-8
1998
1998 Dec 28-29
1998 Oct 9-12***
1998 Sep 14-15
1998 Aug 21-23
1998 Aug 10-12
1998 Aug 7-8
1998 Feb 13-15
1998 Jan 30-Feb 1
1998 Jan 24-25
1998 Jan 23-24

Unfav.

DK

50

42

54
53
55
53

41
43
39
41

5
4
6
6

56

38

51
54
52
53
45

44
40
44
43
46

5
6
4
4
9

48
47

46
44

6
9

51
44
49
52

44
53
44
43

5
3
7
5

56
52
45
55

39
43
50
39

5
5
5
6

48
56
56
62
56
65
65
66

48
40
41
35
42
31
30
31

4
4
3
3
2
4
5
3

67
63
61
61
60
60
60
64
61
60

29
33
33
33
36
35
36
34
33
35

4
4
6
6
4
5
4
2
6
5

1997
1997 Dec 18-21
1997 Oct 27-29
1997 Jun 26-29
1997 Feb 24-26
1997 Jan 31-Feb 2
1997 Jan 10-13
1996
1996 Oct 26-29***
1996 Aug 28-29**
1996 Aug 16-18**
1996 Aug 5-7**
1996 Jun 18-19
1996 Mar 15-17
1996 Jan 12-15
1995
1995 Jul 7-9
1995 Mar 17-19
1995 Jan 16-18
1994
1994 Nov 28-29
1994 Sep 6-7
1994 Jul 15-17
1994 Apr 23-24
1994 Mar 25-27
1994 Mar 7-8
1994 Jan. 15-17
1993
1993 Nov. 2-4
1993 Sept. 24-26
1993 Aug. 8-10
1993 July 19-21
1993 June 5-6
1993 April 22-24
1993 March 22-24
1993 Jan. 29-31
1992
1992 Nov. 10-11
1992 Aug 31-Sept 2
1992 Aug. 19-20
1992 July 17-18
1992 July 6-8
1992 April 20-22
1992 March 20-22

Fav.
60
56
61
51
51
55
56

Unfav.
35
38
34
42
42
39
37

DK
5
6
5
7
6
6
7

49
51
47
48
46
47
43

43
41
48
45
47
48
51

8
8
5
7
6
5
6

50
49
50

44
44
44

6
7
6

50
48
48
56
52
55
57

44
47
46
40
42
40
36

6
5
6
4
6
5
7

58
62
57
56
50
61
61
67

34
27
33
34
31
27
31
22

8
11
10
10
19
12
8
11

49
56
48
51
45
38
39

30
25
31
24
30
39
26

21
19
21
25
25
23
35

*Asked of a half sample. **Based on likely voters. ***Based on registered voters.


2002-March 2003 WORDING: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

POLL 4
3

-13-

February 24-27, 2016

20.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)

Ted Cruz
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
John Kasich
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
Marco Rubio
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
March 13-15, 2015
August 7-8, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012

Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

36%

48%

5%

12%

45%
45%
27%
22%

37%
39%
35%
34%

9%
8%
24%
31%

8%
9%
14%
13%

41%

22%

21%

16%

24%
22%
21%
23%

26%
31%
22%
22%

36%
29%
39%
44%

15%
18%
18%
11%

44%

38%

9%

9%

44%
46%
32%
24%
25%
32%
28%

33%
34%
29%
27%
26%
22%
22%

12%
9%
27%
33%
39%
30%
36%

11%
10%
12%
16%
9%
16%
14%

QUESTION WORDING PRIOR TO 2015: "Florida Senator Mario Rubio"

Bernie Sanders

February 24-27, 2016

57%

33%

4%

6%

January 21-24, 2016


December 17-21, 2015
October 14-17, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015

50%
46%
41%
35%
23%

33%
36%
29%
27%
22%

8%
10%
19%
28%
41%

9%
7%
11%
10%
13%

POLL 4
3

-14-

February 24-27, 2016

20.

We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if
you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of them.
(RANDOM ORDER)
Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

37%

60%

2%

40%
39%
31%
36%
33%
31%

55%
57%
59%
59%
58%
64%

1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*

3%
2%
9%
3%
7%
4%

Donald Trump
February 24-27, 2016
January 21-24, 2016
December 17-21, 2015
September 17-19, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
April 29-May 1, 2011

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS

2005 Jun 16-19


1999 Oct 8-10
1999 Sep 23-26

Melania Trump
February 24-27, 2016

POLL 4
3

Favorable

Unfavorable

Never
heard of

No
opinion

50
33
41

38
58
47

2
2
3

10
7
9

24%

-15-

31%

23%

21%

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
(QUESTIONS Q21/22, Q23/24, Q25/26 ROTATED)
21.
22.

If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

Feb. 24-27, 2016


Jan. 21-24, 2016
Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015
Oct. 14-17, 2015

Clinton

Trump

Other
(vol.)

52%
48%
49%
49%
50%

44%
47%
47%
46%
45%

1%
1%
1%
1%
2%

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

3%
4%
3%
3%
4%

*
*
*
*
*

FOR COMPARISON
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential
nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump
Registered Voters
Sept. 4-8, 2015
Aug. 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
June 26-28, 2015

POLL 4
3

Clinton

Trump

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

48%
51%
56%
59%

48%
45%
40%
35%

*
*
*
*

3%
4%
4%
6%

*
*
*
*

-16-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
23.
24.

If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

Feb. 24-27, 2016


Jan. 21-24, 2016
Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27-Dec. 1, 2015

Clinton

Rubio

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

47%
47%
46%
48%

50%
50%
49%
49%

1%
1%
2%
1%

2%
2%
3%
2%

*
1%
*
*

FOR COMPARISON
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential
nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Florida Senator Marco Rubio
Clinton

Rubio

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

Registered Voters
June 26-28, 2015

56%

40%

3%

All Adults
May 29-31, 2015
Apr. 16-19, 2015
Mar. 13-15, 2015
Dec. 16-19, 2013

49%
55%
55%
57%

46%
41%
42%
36%

*
*
*
1%

4%
3%
3%
4%

1%
1%
*
2%

POLL 4
3

-17-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)

25.
26.

If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

Feb. 24-27, 2016


Jan. 21-24, 2016
Dec. 17-21, 2015
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015

Clinton

Cruz

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

48%
47%
46%
50%

49%
50%
48%
47%

1%
1%
1%
1%

2%
2%
4%
2%

1%
*
*
*

FOR COMPARISON
For the next few questions, let's assume that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic presidential
nominee in 2016. I'm going to read the names of a few Republicans who may run for their party's nomination. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Hillary Clinton. (RANDOM ORDER)
Texas Senator Ted Cruz
All Adults
May 29-31, 2015
Apr. 16-19, 2015
Dec. 18-21, 2014

POLL 4
3

Clinton

Cruz

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

52%
60%
60%

43%
36%
35%

*
*
1%

4%
3%
3%

1%
1%
1%

-18-

February 24-27, 2016

BASED ON 910 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 10 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 920 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
(QUESTIONS Q27/28, Q29/30, Q31/32 ROTATED)
27.
28.

If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

Feb. 24-27, 2016


Jan. 21-24, 2016
Oct. 14-17, 2015

Sanders

Trump

Other
(vol.)

55%
50%
53%

43%
47%
44%

*
*
*

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

1%
3%
3%

*
*
*

FOR COMPARISON
And now, lets assume Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016. After I
read each one, please tell me if you would be more likely to vote for that Republican candidate or if you would be more
likely to vote for Bernie Sanders. (RANDOM ORDER)
Businessman Donald Trump

Registered Voters
July 22-25, 2015

29.
30.

32.

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

59%

38%

3%

Sanders

Rubio

Other
(vol.)

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

53%
49%

45%
48%

*
*

1%
2%

1%
1%

If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

Feb. 24-27, 2016


Jan. 21-24, 2016
POLL 4
3

Trump

If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for --? (RANDOM ORDER)
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?

Feb. 24-27, 2016


Jan. 21-24, 2016
31.

Sanders

Sanders

Cruz

Other
(vol.)

57%
50%

40%
47%

*
*

-19-

Neither
(vol.)

No
opinion

1%
3%

1%
*
February 24-27, 2016

ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE. RESULTS BASED ON 459 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 1 INDIVIDUAL
WHO PLANS TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 460 REGISTERED VOTERS IN VERSION
A -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.)
(QUESTIONS Q32a/32b AND Q32c/32d ROTATED)
32a.
32b.

If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's
candidate and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to
vote for -- ?
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?
Feb. 24-27
2016

Clinton
Trump
Bloomberg
Other (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion
32c.
32d.

38%
37%
23%
*
2%
1%

If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's
candidate and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to
vote for -- ?
(IF NEITHER OR DONT KNOW) As of today, do you lean more toward --?
Feb. 24-27
2016

Sanders
Trump
Bloomberg
Other (vol.)
Neither (vol.)
No opinion

POLL 4
3

44%
36%
18%
*
1%
1%

-20-

February 24-27, 2016

ASKED OF HALF SAMPLE. RESULTS BASED ON 451 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 9


INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 460 REGISTERED
VOTERS IN VERSION B -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.)
33.

If Michael Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, ran for president as an independent, how
likely would you be to consider voting for him? Would you:
Feb. 24-27
2016

Definitely consider voting for him


Probably consider voting for him
Probably NOT consider voting for him
Definitely NOT consider voting for him
No opinion

POLL 4
3

9%
29%
25%
36%
1%

-21-

February 24-27, 2016

METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,001 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 32% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Republicans, and 39% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "NA".

POLL 4
3

-22-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 17
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Registered Voters

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Terrorism
The economy
Other
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
10%
10%
12%
8%
8%
9%
10%
19%
15%
22%
18%
14%
13%
15%
16%
47%
54%
41%
43%
1%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Terrorism
The economy
Other
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
8%
19%
14%
47%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Terrorism
The economy
Other
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
10%
8%
7%
19%
22%
14%
13%
47%
46%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Terrorism
The economy
Other
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
8%
19%
14%
47%
1%
*
+/-3.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----11%
4%
30%
6%
46%
2%
*
+/-6.0

3549
----12%
8%
21%
12%
46%
1%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------6%
5%
20%
9%
56%
3%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----6%
9%
18%
18%
46%
3%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------10%
10%
15%
15%
49%
2%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----11%
12%
18%
20%
37%
1%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------14%
6%
12%
13%
53%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----9%
9%
14%
13%
53%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Republican
-----9%
13%
11%
24%
42%
*
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----11%
8%
18%
10%
52%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------8%
10%
22%
14%
45%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----12%
3%
25%
7%
51%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----16%
4%
25%
4%
49%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----8%
8%
17%
15%
49%
2%
*
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----9%
10%
20%
20%
40%
1%
*
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----9%
14%
12%
22%
42%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------7%
12%
15%
21%
43%
1%
*
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-23-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 17
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Registered Voters

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Terrorism
The economy
Other
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
8%
19%
14%
47%
1%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----10%
8%
21%
11%
48%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----12%
8%
15%
18%
47%
*
*
+/-7.0

South
----8%
8%
20%
15%
47%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Health care
Terrorism
The economy
Other
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
8%
19%
14%
47%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------8%
15%
14%
19%
44%
*
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
7%
18%
17%
48%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----14%
11%
10%
5%
10%
8%
22%
20%
18%
7%
22%
12%
49%
36%
51%
3%
*
2%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----11%
11%
17%
12%
48%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----11%
8%
20%
12%
46%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----12%
8%
18%
14%
46%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----6%
8%
18%
16%
51%
1%
*
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-24-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 18
Do you think the country is or is not more deeply divided this year on the major issues facing the
country than it has been in the past several years?
Base = Registered Voters

Yes, more deeply divided


No, not more deeply divided
Country not divided at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------78%
75%
80%
80%
21%
23%
18%
18%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Yes, more deeply divided


No, not more deeply divided
Country not divided at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
21%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Yes, more deeply divided


No, not more deeply divided
Country not divided at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------78%
76%
21%
23%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Yes, more deeply divided


No, not more deeply divided
Country not divided at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
21%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----77%
21%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Yes, more deeply divided


No, not more deeply divided
Country not divided at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
21%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----80%
19%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----78%
21%
1%
*
+/-7.0

South
----79%
18%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Yes, more deeply divided


No, not more deeply divided
Country not divided at all
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
21%
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------71%
29%
*
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------80%
18%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----78%
80%
77%
19%
18%
21%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----85%
14%
*
1%
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------72%
26%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----73%
25%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------81%
17%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----83%
14%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------81%
16%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----78%
20%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----78%
21%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----78%
21%
1%
*
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----78%
19%
2%
1%
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------76%
22%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----78%
20%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----77%
21%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----80%
19%
1%
*
+/-5.5

West
----73%
25%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----77%
22%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----78%
21%
*
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------77%
21%
*
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----78%
21%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----78%
19%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-25-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19A
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
2%
4%
4%
25%
21%
29%
18%
5%
6%
5%
5%
4%
6%
2%
5%
5%
4%
5%
4%
17%
17%
17%
16%
38%
43%
33%
45%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
5%
4%
5%
17%
38%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
2%
25%
25%
5%
7%
4%
3%
5%
3%
17%
19%
38%
37%
2%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----6%
26%
2%
2%
4%
12%
45%
1%
1%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------4%
26%
4%
5%
5%
14%
39%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------2%
41%
6%
3%
5%
19%
23%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----3%
25%
6%
3%
5%
14%
41%
1%
2%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------3%
27%
4%
7%
5%
21%
29%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

65+
----3%
27%
5%
7%
5%
9%
39%
3%
1%
+/-5.0

Under
55
----3%
22%
5%
4%
5%
20%
38%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------3%
24%
6%
3%
4%
15%
42%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----1%
48%
2%
2%
2%
29%
14%
1%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----3%
30%
5%
6%
4%
12%
38%
2%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----6%
3%
8%
7%
7%
2%
65%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-26-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19A
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
5%
4%
5%
17%
38%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----1%
53%
2%
3%
2%
25%
13%
1%
*
+/-6.0

Independent
-----2%
18%
6%
5%
3%
21%
39%
3%
3%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----6%
3%
9%
6%
9%
3%
64%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Liberal
----1%
39%
2%
2%
2%
38%
14%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
5%
4%
5%
17%
38%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----2%
24%
2%
3%
5%
16%
45%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----5%
25%
5%
5%
3%
16%
40%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

South
----2%
29%
6%
4%
5%
11%
39%
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
5%
4%
5%
17%
38%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------5%
5%
11%
2%
3%
5%
66%
1%
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------3%
22%
6%
4%
7%
12%
43%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----2%
7%
2%
40%
9%
30%
1%
9%
4%
6%
2%
5%
2%
5%
4%
33%
9%
19%
13%
57%
32%
2%
*
2%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----3%
20%
8%
6%
5%
27%
28%
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----2%
28%
4%
7%
5%
12%
38%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

Urban
----1%
28%
7%
4%
7%
20%
31%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------6%
11%
9%
4%
6%
5%
56%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----2%
25%
5%
5%
5%
19%
36%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----6%
19%
4%
4%
1%
10%
53%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-27-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19B
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
B. Terrorism
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
2%
4%
4%
30%
24%
35%
25%
10%
13%
6%
11%
4%
4%
3%
4%
6%
6%
5%
7%
11%
12%
10%
9%
33%
34%
32%
38%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
30%
10%
4%
6%
11%
33%
3%
2%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
3%
30%
29%
10%
9%
4%
3%
6%
4%
11%
13%
33%
34%
3%
3%
2%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----3%
34%
9%
3%
6%
7%
32%
4%
2%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------2%
32%
10%
4%
8%
10%
30%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------1%
40%
7%
4%
3%
16%
22%
4%
2%
+/-7.0

5064
----3%
32%
9%
2%
5%
7%
37%
3%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------3%
35%
9%
5%
6%
13%
24%
4%
2%
+/-5.0

65+
----2%
31%
8%
4%
7%
8%
36%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Under
55
----3%
26%
10%
4%
6%
14%
32%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------3%
28%
10%
3%
5%
10%
37%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----1%
59%
2%
1%
*
19%
15%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----2%
36%
8%
3%
5%
7%
34%
2%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----5%
4%
17%
7%
12%
1%
53%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-28-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19B
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
B. Terrorism
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
30%
10%
4%
6%
11%
33%
3%
2%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----1%
61%
2%
1%
*
16%
15%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Independent
-----4%
24%
11%
5%
5%
15%
28%
4%
4%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----4%
3%
16%
4%
12%
2%
57%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Liberal
----*
47%
4%
1%
2%
29%
15%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
30%
10%
4%
6%
11%
33%
3%
2%
+/-3.0

North
east
----3%
30%
5%
3%
3%
9%
41%
4%
3%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----2%
27%
7%
4%
8%
11%
38%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

South
----5%
30%
12%
4%
6%
9%
31%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
30%
10%
4%
6%
11%
33%
3%
2%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------4%
5%
21%
2%
7%
5%
53%
2%
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------3%
23%
10%
5%
8%
8%
38%
2%
3%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----2%
8%
1%
54%
14%
34%
3%
14%
8%
3%
2%
4%
2%
9%
5%
20%
4%
13%
11%
48%
28%
4%
*
3%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----1%
32%
13%
4%
5%
18%
24%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----3%
34%
5%
5%
6%
6%
33%
5%
3%
+/-5.5

Urban
----1%
33%
9%
3%
6%
15%
27%
3%
3%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------5%
12%
18%
4%
9%
3%
45%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----2%
30%
8%
5%
6%
12%
31%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----7%
23%
10%
3%
4%
5%
46%
*
2%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-29-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19C
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
C. Health care
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
10%
10%
12%
30%
25%
35%
21%
6%
9%
4%
8%
2%
3%
1%
3%
5%
5%
5%
6%
21%
22%
20%
18%
20%
22%
19%
28%
2%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
30%
6%
2%
5%
21%
20%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
10%
30%
31%
6%
7%
2%
1%
5%
4%
21%
23%
20%
19%
2%
3%
2%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----14%
30%
6%
2%
5%
18%
23%
*
2%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------11%
28%
5%
3%
7%
20%
22%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------6%
50%
3%
*
5%
27%
5%
3%
2%
+/-7.0

5064
----10%
30%
6%
3%
4%
16%
26%
3%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------9%
29%
5%
5%
8%
28%
13%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

65+
----10%
31%
6%
5%
9%
11%
24%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Under
55
----10%
28%
7%
2%
5%
26%
19%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------11%
31%
7%
1%
4%
18%
24%
2%
3%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----2%
53%
1%
1%
1%
38%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----10%
34%
6%
3%
6%
13%
23%
2%
2%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----19%
8%
11%
4%
10%
5%
39%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-30-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19C
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
C. Health care
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
30%
6%
2%
5%
21%
20%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----1%
59%
1%
*
1%
32%
3%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Independent
-----12%
24%
9%
3%
4%
24%
16%
4%
4%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----17%
5%
10%
4%
12%
6%
44%
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Liberal
----2%
43%
2%
*
*
43%
7%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
30%
6%
2%
5%
21%
20%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

North
east
----8%
29%
3%
2%
6%
28%
21%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----10%
27%
8%
4%
5%
17%
24%
1%
4%
+/-7.0

South
----11%
37%
8%
2%
6%
14%
18%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
30%
6%
2%
5%
21%
20%
2%
2%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------17%
6%
13%
4%
6%
6%
43%
4%
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------12%
28%
7%
2%
7%
17%
23%
1%
3%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----3%
20%
7%
45%
14%
35%
2%
11%
5%
3%
3%
2%
3%
9%
4%
37%
9%
25%
3%
33%
17%
3%
1%
2%
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----11%
23%
6%
2%
4%
29%
21%
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----9%
35%
6%
3%
5%
19%
18%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Urban
----7%
36%
7%
2%
7%
23%
14%
3%
2%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------18%
16%
10%
3%
10%
6%
33%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----9%
32%
5%
2%
5%
23%
19%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----15%
20%
6%
4%
5%
12%
32%
1%
3%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-31-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19D
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
D. Immigration
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
3%
3%
3%
25%
19%
30%
19%
7%
8%
6%
9%
3%
4%
3%
4%
11%
11%
11%
12%
16%
19%
14%
13%
31%
33%
30%
36%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
7%
3%
11%
16%
31%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
4%
25%
24%
7%
7%
3%
2%
11%
9%
16%
20%
31%
33%
2%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----3%
25%
10%
3%
12%
12%
33%
*
1%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------2%
26%
7%
5%
14%
13%
30%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------1%
38%
2%
2%
10%
24%
21%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----4%
28%
6%
2%
11%
10%
34%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------1%
25%
7%
5%
12%
21%
25%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

65+
----3%
29%
7%
4%
10%
7%
37%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

Under
55
----2%
20%
7%
3%
13%
22%
29%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------4%
25%
7%
3%
11%
14%
34%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----1%
49%
1%
2%
3%
29%
13%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----3%
32%
7%
3%
9%
8%
35%
2%
1%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----5%
3%
13%
6%
19%
3%
50%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-32-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19D
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
D. Immigration
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
7%
3%
11%
16%
31%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----1%
54%
*
1%
2%
25%
14%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Independent
-----3%
17%
10%
6%
12%
19%
28%
3%
1%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----5%
3%
10%
3%
20%
3%
55%
*
1%
+/-5.5

Liberal
----1%
37%
3%
1%
3%
38%
15%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
7%
3%
11%
16%
31%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----2%
22%
3%
3%
8%
17%
40%
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----4%
23%
8%
6%
10%
18%
32%
*
1%
+/-7.0

South
----3%
29%
9%
2%
14%
10%
29%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
25%
7%
3%
11%
16%
31%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
5%
16%
1%
12%
8%
54%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------3%
20%
7%
3%
14%
13%
37%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----2%
7%
1%
44%
12%
29%
2%
15%
5%
5%
2%
4%
6%
12%
11%
28%
5%
20%
8%
45%
27%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----3%
23%
5%
4%
10%
24%
29%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----2%
29%
3%
5%
14%
14%
29%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Urban
----1%
32%
9%
2%
10%
21%
22%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------5%
12%
14%
3%
15%
2%
46%
*
2%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----3%
24%
4%
5%
12%
17%
31%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Rural
----5%
19%
10%
3%
8%
8%
45%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-33-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19E
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
E. Race relations
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
10%
8%
11%
29%
22%
34%
23%
6%
9%
4%
8%
3%
2%
4%
3%
11%
12%
9%
12%
22%
22%
22%
17%
16%
19%
14%
21%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
6%
3%
11%
22%
16%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
9%
29%
30%
6%
6%
3%
3%
11%
8%
22%
23%
16%
18%
1%
1%
2%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----10%
22%
8%
2%
12%
24%
19%
1%
3%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------10%
26%
7%
2%
15%
22%
15%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------5%
40%
3%
2%
8%
32%
7%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----9%
32%
5%
3%
11%
14%
20%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------8%
29%
6%
3%
14%
26%
10%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

65+
----12%
32%
8%
6%
11%
7%
18%
3%
4%
+/-5.0

Under
55
----9%
24%
6%
2%
11%
29%
16%
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------10%
28%
7%
3%
9%
20%
20%
1%
2%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----3%
52%
1%
1%
2%
37%
3%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----10%
35%
6%
4%
10%
11%
18%
2%
3%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----17%
5%
11%
6%
21%
6%
31%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-34-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19E
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
E. Race relations
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
6%
3%
11%
22%
16%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----3%
58%
1%
1%
1%
31%
4%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Independent
-----9%
22%
8%
4%
10%
27%
14%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----17%
5%
10%
4%
22%
6%
34%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Liberal
----4%
41%
2%
*
1%
44%
7%
*
1%
+/-6.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
6%
3%
11%
22%
16%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

North
east
----6%
26%
6%
1%
8%
31%
17%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----13%
26%
7%
3%
9%
19%
20%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----9%
32%
6%
5%
13%
17%
15%
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
6%
3%
11%
22%
16%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------18%
8%
12%
2%
15%
5%
36%
*
3%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
24%
7%
3%
14%
20%
19%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----5%
19%
6%
46%
16%
32%
2%
14%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
14%
10%
35%
5%
27%
1%
26%
14%
2%
1%
2%
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----8%
27%
6%
1%
12%
25%
15%
2%
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----8%
33%
3%
3%
13%
22%
13%
3%
1%
+/-5.5

Urban
----5%
35%
6%
2%
12%
27%
10%
1%
2%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------16%
14%
13%
5%
16%
5%
26%
1%
4%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----10%
30%
6%
4%
9%
22%
16%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----13%
21%
7%
4%
11%
15%
26%
*
3%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-35-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19F
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
F. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
3%
5%
4%
37%
31%
43%
32%
11%
13%
9%
12%
4%
6%
2%
4%
8%
7%
8%
8%
12%
15%
10%
10%
21%
23%
19%
26%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
1%
3%
3%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
37%
11%
4%
8%
12%
21%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
4%
37%
36%
11%
9%
4%
2%
8%
7%
12%
15%
21%
22%
1%
1%
2%
3%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----5%
32%
17%
6%
5%
11%
21%
*
3%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------4%
39%
13%
4%
8%
9%
21%
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------3%
49%
8%
3%
7%
18%
11%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----3%
42%
10%
2%
8%
7%
24%
2%
1%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------2%
44%
12%
5%
6%
12%
15%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

65+
----3%
39%
13%
6%
8%
5%
22%
1%
3%
+/-5.0

Under
55
----4%
33%
11%
3%
8%
16%
21%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------5%
34%
11%
3%
8%
13%
24%
1%
3%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----1%
69%
2%
2%
2%
17%
6%
*
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----3%
44%
11%
5%
7%
6%
21%
1%
2%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----7%
7%
20%
7%
15%
4%
39%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-36-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19F
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
F. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
37%
11%
4%
8%
12%
21%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----1%
71%
1%
1%
2%
14%
8%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Independent
-----4%
32%
13%
4%
7%
17%
17%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----6%
6%
19%
6%
15%
4%
41%
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Liberal
----2%
55%
3%
1%
5%
25%
8%
*
1%
+/-6.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
37%
11%
4%
8%
12%
21%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

North
east
----3%
39%
5%
6%
7%
10%
26%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----3%
36%
15%
2%
6%
11%
24%
*
2%
+/-7.0

South
----3%
38%
12%
4%
10%
11%
19%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
37%
11%
4%
8%
12%
21%
1%
2%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
8%
22%
5%
13%
6%
39%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------5%
30%
12%
4%
10%
11%
25%
1%
3%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----3%
7%
3%
65%
18%
43%
4%
23%
7%
3%
5%
3%
1%
11%
7%
18%
5%
14%
4%
29%
19%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----6%
36%
10%
3%
6%
17%
18%
2%
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----4%
47%
6%
5%
7%
9%
18%
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Urban
----2%
45%
10%
3%
9%
15%
14%
*
2%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------6%
14%
22%
4%
11%
5%
34%
1%
4%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----4%
41%
10%
3%
8%
12%
19%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Rural
----4%
21%
14%
6%
6%
7%
35%
1%
5%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-37-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19G
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
G. Gun policy
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
4%
3%
3%
26%
19%
32%
18%
12%
16%
9%
16%
2%
3%
1%
3%
5%
6%
5%
4%
18%
17%
18%
16%
28%
32%
24%
35%
3%
2%
4%
2%
3%
2%
4%
4%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
26%
12%
2%
5%
18%
28%
3%
3%
+/-3.0

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
5%
26%
28%
12%
8%
2%
1%
5%
3%
18%
20%
28%
28%
3%
3%
3%
5%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----4%
27%
13%
2%
9%
14%
27%
1%
2%
+/-8.5
$50K
or more
------3%
23%
15%
2%
8%
17%
28%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Non-White
--------3%
43%
6%
*
8%
22%
13%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

5064
----4%
27%
11%
1%
5%
13%
34%
3%
2%
+/-5.5
College
Grad
------3%
27%
14%
3%
6%
21%
21%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

65+
----4%
28%
13%
4%
5%
8%
28%
3%
6%
+/-5.0

Under
55
----3%
23%
12%
1%
6%
22%
26%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------4%
25%
12%
1%
5%
16%
31%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----1%
50%
1%
*
3%
30%
10%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----4%
30%
13%
2%
4%
10%
30%
3%
4%
+/-4.0
Lean
Republican
-----5%
4%
22%
4%
7%
5%
48%
1%
3%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-38-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 19G
Thinking about all the major candidates still running for the presidency, regardless of whom you
support, which one do you think would do the best job handling:
G. Gun policy
Base = Registered Voters

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
26%
12%
2%
5%
18%
28%
3%
3%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----1%
54%
1%
*
4%
25%
12%
1%
2%
+/-6.0

Independent
-----5%
17%
15%
2%
4%
23%
24%
5%
4%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----5%
5%
22%
3%
9%
3%
49%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Liberal
----2%
42%
3%
*
4%
36%
10%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
26%
12%
2%
5%
18%
28%
3%
3%
+/-3.0

North
east
----2%
30%
9%
1%
3%
18%
30%
5%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----4%
26%
14%
3%
4%
15%
28%
*
6%
+/-7.0

South
----2%
28%
14%
2%
5%
16%
27%
2%
3%
+/-5.5

Ben Carson
Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Marco Rubio
Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
None of them
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
26%
12%
2%
5%
18%
28%
3%
3%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------2%
8%
31%
1%
3%
3%
48%
*
3%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------4%
22%
11%
2%
6%
15%
33%
3%
4%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----2%
7%
2%
40%
10%
30%
5%
21%
10%
2%
2%
2%
7%
6%
5%
31%
6%
21%
8%
42%
24%
4%
1%
3%
2%
5%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

West
----6%
18%
12%
1%
9%
22%
27%
4%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----3%
30%
7%
3%
7%
14%
28%
3%
4%
+/-5.5

Urban
----2%
36%
12%
2%
6%
20%
17%
3%
3%
+/-6.0

Conservative
------5%
10%
26%
1%
5%
7%
41%
2%
4%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----3%
24%
11%
2%
5%
22%
27%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----5%
16%
14%
2%
4%
7%
43%
2%
6%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-39-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20A
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
A. Michael Bloomberg
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------28%
26%
29%
28%
34%
42%
27%
36%
16%
12%
19%
18%
22%
19%
24%
18%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
34%
16%
22%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------28%
22%
34%
33%
16%
15%
22%
30%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
34%
16%
22%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----36%
29%
14%
21%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
34%
16%
22%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----41%
26%
16%
18%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----25%
34%
15%
26%
*
+/-6.5

South
----23%
38%
17%
21%
1%
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----28%
34%
16%
22%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------14%
54%
15%
17%
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------25%
33%
16%
26%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----43%
19%
30%
27%
43%
32%
17%
20%
15%
13%
17%
23%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----27%
24%
14%
36%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----26%
39%
14%
20%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------27%
32%
11%
30%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----29%
40%
18%
13%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------35%
35%
17%
13%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----29%
38%
18%
14%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------41%
28%
18%
14%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----28%
32%
15%
24%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----18%
43%
18%
21%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----27%
32%
14%
27%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----30%
38%
19%
13%
1%
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------22%
37%
15%
25%
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----38%
25%
15%
21%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----32%
30%
14%
24%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----34%
26%
18%
22%
*
+/-5.0

West
----25%
37%
14%
24%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----26%
35%
12%
26%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----19%
47%
16%
18%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------17%
47%
14%
21%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----30%
31%
19%
20%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----23%
39%
17%
22%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-40-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20B
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
B. Ben Carson
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------44%
49%
39%
53%
35%
36%
35%
28%
12%
10%
14%
12%
8%
5%
11%
7%
*
*
1%
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
35%
12%
8%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------44%
38%
35%
37%
12%
14%
8%
11%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
35%
12%
8%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----26%
52%
13%
9%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
35%
12%
8%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----38%
38%
13%
10%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----44%
33%
13%
8%
1%
+/-6.5

South
----49%
31%
13%
6%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
35%
12%
8%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------68%
18%
8%
5%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------47%
28%
15%
10%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----27%
71%
37%
61%
13%
41%
9%
11%
12%
4%
5%
9%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----32%
37%
15%
17%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----42%
41%
11%
6%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------28%
49%
13%
11%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----50%
35%
9%
4%
1%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------50%
35%
9%
4%
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----58%
25%
13%
5%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------45%
42%
9%
5%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----39%
36%
13%
11%
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----71%
16%
9%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----40%
37%
12%
11%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----52%
31%
12%
4%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------44%
32%
14%
10%
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----27%
52%
13%
9%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----21%
56%
14%
9%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----42%
36%
12%
9%
*
+/-5.0

West
----42%
41%
8%
9%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----40%
39%
13%
8%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----66%
19%
11%
4%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------64%
17%
11%
7%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----43%
36%
14%
7%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----49%
31%
9%
10%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-41-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20B
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
B. Ben Carson
Base = Registered Republicans

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------70%
72%
69%
74%
18%
18%
18%
13%
10%
10%
10%
11%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
18%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------70%
59%
18%
24%
10%
14%
1%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
18%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
18%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----70%
18%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----80%
12%
5%
1%
2%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------77%
12%
9%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

65+
----78%
12%
9%
1%
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------77%
15%
7%
*
*
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------84%
8%
6%
*
2%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------62%
22%
14%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----74%
16%
10%
1%
*
+/-5.5
South
----75%
18%
5%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----63%
21%
13%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----80%
13%
6%
1%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------67%
19%
12%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----70%
18%
10%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------74%
12%
11%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----67%
17%
14%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----79%
65%
9%
23%
11%
10%
1%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-42-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20C
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
C. Bill Clinton
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------56%
53%
59%
50%
38%
41%
34%
44%
5%
5%
5%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
38%
5%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------56%
57%
38%
36%
5%
5%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
38%
5%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----87%
11%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
38%
5%
1%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----62%
32%
5%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----57%
37%
5%
*
1%
+/-6.5

South
----56%
38%
5%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
38%
5%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------33%
62%
2%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------52%
41%
6%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----77%
32%
63%
17%
62%
31%
5%
6%
5%
1%
*
1%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----65%
27%
7%
2%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----61%
34%
4%
*
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------68%
24%
7%
*
*
+/-6.5

5064
----50%
44%
5%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------56%
39%
5%
*
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----46%
50%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------57%
37%
6%
*
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----52%
38%
8%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----28%
67%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----59%
33%
6%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----50%
45%
3%
1%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------56%
38%
4%
1%
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----81%
15%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----77%
18%
3%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----65%
29%
6%
1%
*
+/-5.0

West
----50%
43%
5%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----61%
31%
7%
2%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----32%
62%
4%
*
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------31%
63%
5%
*
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----58%
37%
5%
*
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----50%
45%
3%
*
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-43-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20C
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
C. Bill Clinton
Base = Registered Democrats

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------83%
80%
85%
82%
14%
17%
12%
15%
3%
3%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----83%
14%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------83%
83%
14%
14%
3%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----83%
14%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----83%
14%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----83%
14%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----89%
9%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----83%
16%
2%
*
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------83%
14%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------84%
14%
2%
*
*
+/-8.5

65+
----84%
13%
4%
*
*
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------81%
13%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----68%
26%
6%
*
*
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------83%
13%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----86%
10%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------82%
14%
4%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----83%
14%
3%
*
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----82%
15%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------83%
14%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----83%
14%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----84%
12%
4%
*
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----85%
14%
1%
*
*
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----88%
7%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----82%
15%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
84%
N/A
13%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-44-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20D
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
D. Hillary Clinton
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------42%
32%
52%
34%
55%
65%
44%
64%
3%
3%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------42%
44%
55%
52%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----81%
16%
3%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----47%
48%
5%
*
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----42%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5

South
----43%
54%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----42%
55%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------13%
86%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------38%
58%
3%
*
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----66%
24%
47%
30%
75%
49%
3%
1%
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----44%
51%
5%
*
*
+/-7.5

3549
----41%
59%
*
*
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------58%
36%
5%
*
*
+/-6.5

5064
----42%
55%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------41%
57%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5

65+
----41%
54%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------47%
49%
3%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----33%
63%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----12%
86%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----41%
56%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----45%
51%
3%
1%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------40%
57%
3%
*
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----74%
22%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----64%
33%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----50%
46%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

West
----37%
60%
2%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----48%
49%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----12%
86%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------19%
79%
2%
*
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----44%
54%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----35%
62%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-45-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20D
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
D. Hillary Clinton
Base = Registered Democrats

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------78%
68%
86%
76%
19%
30%
11%
21%
3%
3%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
19%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------78%
79%
19%
18%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
19%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
19%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----78%
19%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----85%
13%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----81%
18%
2%
*
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------80%
19%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------81%
14%
5%
*
*
+/-8.5

65+
----85%
12%
4%
*
*
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------81%
15%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----63%
32%
5%
*
*
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------80%
16%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----86%
12%
2%
*
*
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------75%
23%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----75%
21%
4%
*
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----83%
15%
2%
*
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------76%
21%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----78%
19%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----76%
20%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----80%
17%
3%
*
*
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----79%
17%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----82%
16%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
79%
N/A
17%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-46-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20E
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
E. Ted Cruz
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------36%
40%
32%
40%
48%
48%
47%
45%
11%
9%
12%
9%
5%
2%
7%
4%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
48%
11%
5%
1%
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------36%
34%
48%
45%
11%
13%
5%
7%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
48%
11%
5%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----18%
66%
12%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
48%
11%
5%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----29%
55%
9%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----37%
39%
15%
7%
1%
+/-6.5

South
----41%
45%
10%
3%
1%
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----36%
48%
11%
5%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------64%
30%
4%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------41%
40%
14%
5%
1%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----12%
62%
29%
77%
27%
53%
8%
8%
12%
3%
3%
5%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----28%
45%
17%
10%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----41%
46%
9%
2%
2%
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------28%
52%
14%
6%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----35%
53%
9%
3%
1%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------37%
53%
7%
2%
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----45%
46%
7%
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------35%
55%
7%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----31%
47%
14%
6%
2%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----64%
29%
4%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----35%
46%
12%
6%
1%
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----38%
51%
8%
2%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------36%
45%
13%
5%
1%
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----17%
65%
14%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----16%
67%
12%
5%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----31%
51%
11%
6%
1%
+/-5.0

West
----34%
53%
10%
3%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----29%
49%
14%
6%
2%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----59%
32%
5%
3%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------58%
29%
10%
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----37%
51%
10%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----43%
39%
8%
8%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-47-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20E
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
E. Ted Cruz
Base = Registered Republicans

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------64%
66%
62%
63%
30%
30%
30%
30%
4%
4%
4%
5%
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
30%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------64%
64%
30%
30%
4%
5%
1%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
30%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
30%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----64%
30%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----58%
34%
3%
2%
2%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------62%
32%
4%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

65+
----66%
31%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------68%
28%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------72%
24%
1%
*
2%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------63%
31%
6%
*
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----67%
29%
3%
1%
*
+/-5.5
South
----64%
31%
3%
2%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----65%
27%
5%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----61%
34%
2%
2%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------62%
31%
5%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----64%
30%
4%
1%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------72%
22%
4%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----63%
30%
7%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----78%
55%
16%
39%
4%
4%
2%
*
*
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-48-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20F
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
F. John Kasich
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------41%
46%
37%
45%
22%
25%
20%
19%
16%
12%
19%
16%
21%
18%
24%
20%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
22%
16%
21%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------41%
31%
22%
25%
16%
18%
21%
27%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
22%
16%
21%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----33%
31%
17%
19%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
22%
16%
21%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----39%
23%
19%
19%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----44%
19%
15%
22%
*
+/-6.5

South
----44%
21%
17%
17%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
22%
16%
21%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------55%
25%
15%
5%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------37%
16%
18%
28%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----43%
49%
39%
31%
16%
24%
14%
17%
16%
13%
17%
22%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----29%
20%
16%
35%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----32%
27%
18%
23%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------33%
28%
16%
23%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----48%
24%
17%
11%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------50%
21%
14%
15%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----59%
17%
13%
11%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------49%
20%
19%
13%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----38%
18%
16%
27%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----54%
19%
14%
14%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----35%
23%
16%
26%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----52%
21%
15%
12%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------37%
24%
15%
24%
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----34%
28%
17%
22%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----30%
37%
12%
21%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----42%
17%
17%
24%
*
+/-5.0

West
----36%
25%
12%
27%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----33%
27%
21%
20%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----54%
16%
14%
16%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------49%
16%
18%
17%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----45%
18%
16%
21%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----44%
21%
13%
22%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-49-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20F
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
F. John Kasich
Base = Registered Republicans

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------59%
60%
57%
57%
16%
18%
14%
16%
14%
14%
14%
14%
11%
8%
15%
12%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----59%
16%
14%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------59%
42%
16%
27%
14%
15%
11%
17%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----59%
16%
14%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----59%
16%
14%
11%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----59%
16%
14%
11%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----60%
17%
15%
8%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------68%
11%
13%
8%
*
+/-6.5

65+
----70%
14%
10%
7%
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------70%
10%
16%
4%
*
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------65%
20%
14%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------53%
16%
15%
16%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----57%
18%
15%
10%
*
+/-5.5
South
----62%
14%
13%
10%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----54%
17%
16%
12%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----64%
15%
11%
10%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------54%
19%
14%
14%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----59%
16%
14%
11%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------61%
13%
15%
11%
*
+/-6.0

Suburban
----59%
14%
11%
16%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----56%
60%
11%
20%
17%
12%
16%
8%
*
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-50-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20G
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
G. Marco Rubio
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------44%
47%
42%
48%
38%
37%
38%
36%
9%
8%
9%
9%
9%
8%
11%
7%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
38%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------44%
36%
38%
39%
9%
10%
9%
15%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
38%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----28%
55%
10%
7%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
38%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----47%
40%
6%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----40%
31%
14%
15%
*
+/-6.5

South
----49%
36%
6%
9%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
38%
9%
9%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------70%
24%
5%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
31%
11%
14%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----30%
62%
39%
59%
24%
41%
7%
8%
9%
3%
5%
10%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----35%
33%
12%
20%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----46%
35%
10%
9%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------37%
40%
9%
14%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----49%
45%
4%
2%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------52%
38%
7%
3%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----50%
36%
9%
4%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------51%
35%
10%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----40%
35%
10%
15%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----68%
23%
5%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----42%
35%
10%
13%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----48%
42%
6%
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------41%
39%
8%
12%
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----30%
51%
10%
9%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----25%
58%
10%
6%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----45%
34%
9%
12%
*
+/-5.0

West
----38%
45%
10%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----40%
41%
10%
9%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----63%
25%
6%
6%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------59%
25%
8%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----47%
36%
10%
7%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----42%
39%
6%
14%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-51-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20G
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
G. Marco Rubio
Base = Registered Republicans

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------68%
67%
68%
69%
23%
22%
24%
21%
5%
6%
3%
5%
4%
5%
4%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
23%
5%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------68%
54%
23%
30%
5%
7%
4%
8%
*
1%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
23%
5%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
23%
5%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----68%
23%
5%
4%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----72%
25%
1%
1%
*
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------78%
17%
4%
1%
*
+/-6.5

65+
----70%
23%
5%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------78%
15%
6%
1%
*
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------74%
22%
4%
*
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------65%
23%
6%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----71%
22%
4%
3%
*
+/-5.5
South
----75%
22%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----66%
22%
5%
7%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----70%
25%
4%
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------63%
27%
4%
6%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----68%
23%
5%
4%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------69%
20%
6%
4%
*
+/-6.0

Suburban
----67%
20%
6%
7%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----76%
62%
14%
29%
6%
4%
4%
5%
*
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-52-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20H
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
H. Bernie Sanders
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------57%
56%
58%
52%
33%
37%
30%
40%
6%
5%
7%
5%
4%
2%
5%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
33%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------57%
57%
33%
31%
6%
8%
4%
5%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
33%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----82%
11%
5%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
33%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----59%
31%
7%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----56%
33%
5%
6%
*
+/-6.5

South
----56%
34%
7%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
33%
6%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------28%
68%
5%
*
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------53%
35%
7%
5%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----82%
41%
61%
11%
54%
28%
4%
4%
7%
4%
2%
4%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----69%
17%
6%
7%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----51%
43%
4%
2%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------68%
20%
9%
4%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----53%
37%
7%
2%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------59%
35%
5%
2%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----51%
41%
6%
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------61%
32%
4%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----54%
31%
8%
6%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----33%
60%
4%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----59%
30%
6%
4%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----53%
39%
6%
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------55%
34%
7%
4%
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----82%
10%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----82%
10%
4%
4%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----62%
28%
5%
5%
*
+/-5.0

West
----58%
33%
5%
4%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----63%
27%
7%
3%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----34%
58%
5%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------31%
59%
8%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----59%
30%
7%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----43%
48%
3%
6%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-53-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20H
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
H. Bernie Sanders
Base = Registered Democrats

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------85%
87%
84%
85%
10%
9%
10%
11%
4%
3%
5%
4%
1%
2%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----85%
10%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------85%
83%
10%
11%
4%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----85%
10%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----85%
10%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----85%
10%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----84%
10%
4%
1%
*
+/-6.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----81%
11%
7%
1%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------90%
7%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------81%
14%
4%
2%
*
+/-8.5

65+
----77%
12%
8%
3%
*
+/-8.0

College
Grad
------90%
7%
3%
*
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----88%
9%
3%
1%
*
+/-8.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------86%
8%
4%
1%
*
+/-8.5

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

South
----82%
12%
6%
1%
*
+/-8.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------89%
6%
4%
1%
*
+/-6.0

Under
55
----90%
7%
2%
1%
*
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----78%
14%
7%
2%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------83%
11%
4%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Lean
Democrat
-----85%
10%
4%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----92%
4%
2%
1%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----82%
14%
3%
1%
*
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----87%
9%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Suburban
----88%
7%
3%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
87%
N/A
8%
N/A
4%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-54-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20I
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
I. Donald Trump
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------37%
46%
29%
44%
60%
52%
68%
53%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
60%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------37%
34%
60%
63%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
60%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----14%
85%
1%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
60%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----40%
59%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----38%
60%
2%
*
*
+/-6.5

South
----37%
60%
3%
*
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
60%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------60%
34%
5%
*
1%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------42%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----14%
56%
32%
85%
40%
66%
1%
3%
2%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----25%
73%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----38%
60%
1%
*
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------23%
74%
2%
1%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----44%
53%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------40%
57%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5

65+
----44%
50%
5%
1%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------30%
67%
2%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----34%
62%
2%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----67%
30%
3%
*
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----34%
64%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----43%
53%
3%
1%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------40%
58%
2%
*
*
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----16%
82%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----22%
78%
*
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----31%
66%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0

West
----34%
63%
1%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----28%
69%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----61%
36%
3%
*
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------56%
40%
4%
*
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----37%
60%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----53%
45%
2%
*
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-55-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20I
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
I. Donald Trump
Base = Registered Republicans

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------65%
69%
59%
68%
32%
28%
38%
29%
3%
3%
2%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
32%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------65%
60%
32%
38%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
32%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
32%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----65%
32%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----71%
26%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------69%
28%
3%
*
*
+/-6.5

65+
----72%
23%
5%
*
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------68%
30%
2%
*
*
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------74%
21%
4%
*
1%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------60%
38%
2%
*
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----68%
29%
2%
*
*
+/-5.5
South
----58%
37%
4%
*
1%
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----60%
38%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----71%
25%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------63%
34%
3%
*
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----65%
32%
3%
*
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------64%
32%
4%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----67%
31%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----67%
64%
28%
35%
4%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-56-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20J
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
J. Melania Trump
Base = Total Sample

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------24%
26%
23%
28%
31%
28%
35%
27%
21%
21%
21%
23%
23%
25%
21%
21%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----24%
31%
21%
23%
*
+/-3.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------24%
22%
31%
38%
21%
16%
23%
24%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----24%
31%
21%
23%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----14%
45%
18%
22%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----24%
31%
21%
23%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----27%
32%
18%
23%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----30%
26%
21%
21%
2%
+/-6.5

South
----23%
29%
26%
23%
*
+/-5.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----24%
31%
21%
23%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------37%
22%
23%
16%
2%
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------24%
31%
20%
26%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----19%
34%
22%
39%
21%
34%
22%
26%
19%
19%
19%
24%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----14%
36%
17%
33%
*
+/-7.5

3549
----28%
32%
21%
18%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------17%
40%
16%
26%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----30%
30%
21%
18%
1%
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------28%
25%
26%
20%
1%
+/-4.5

65+
----27%
26%
26%
20%
1%
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------24%
31%
30%
16%
*
+/-4.5

Independent
-----20%
30%
22%
27%
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----43%
19%
21%
17%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----22%
33%
19%
25%
*
+/-5.0

55 and
Older
-----29%
28%
24%
19%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------24%
32%
17%
26%
1%
+/-4.0

Lean
Democrat
-----14%
41%
20%
25%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----17%
39%
13%
31%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----22%
35%
25%
19%
*
+/-5.0

West
----20%
39%
16%
25%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----16%
37%
22%
25%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----37%
21%
23%
19%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------34%
21%
22%
21%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----23%
30%
23%
24%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----37%
25%
17%
20%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-57-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 20J
We'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say
if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of these people -- or if you have never heard of
them.
J. Melania Trump
Base = Registered Republicans

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------41%
37%
46%
41%
18%
19%
16%
15%
24%
28%
20%
26%
16%
17%
16%
17%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
18%
24%
16%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------41%
40%
18%
27%
24%
17%
16%
17%
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
18%
24%
16%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
18%
24%
16%
1%
+/-5.0

Favorable opinion
Unfavorable opinion
Heard of, no opinion
Never heard of
Refused
Sampling Error

Total
----41%
18%
24%
16%
1%
+/-5.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----43%
16%
21%
18%
2%
+/-8.5

$50K
or more
------43%
10%
30%
16%
2%
+/-6.5

65+
----42%
16%
26%
16%
*
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------39%
13%
34%
14%
*
+/-7.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------44%
8%
26%
20%
2%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------37%
22%
25%
16%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----45%
18%
22%
15%
*
+/-5.5
South
----36%
15%
32%
18%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
55
----38%
18%
26%
17%
1%
+/-8.0

55 and
Older
-----45%
18%
22%
16%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------41%
20%
21%
17%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----41%
18%
24%
16%
1%
+/-5.0
Conservative
------43%
14%
24%
17%
1%
+/-6.0

Suburban
----37%
19%
23%
20%
*
+/-7.0

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----40%
41%
15%
19%
28%
22%
17%
16%
*
1%
+/-7.5 +/-6.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-58-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 21/22
Q21. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican
Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q22. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------52%
41%
62%
39%
44%
54%
34%
57%
1%
*
1%
*
3%
4%
3%
3%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
44%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------52%
54%
44%
41%
1%
1%
3%
4%
*
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
44%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----93%
7%
*
*
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
44%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----55%
45%
*
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----52%
41%
1%
4%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----53%
43%
*
4%
*
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
44%
1%
3%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------10%
88%
*
2%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------46%
49%
*
4%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----85%
25%
60%
10%
71%
36%
2%
*
1%
4%
3%
3%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----49%
46%
1%
4%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------80%
15%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----48%
49%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------51%
46%
*
3%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----43%
55%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------57%
39%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----48%
44%
1%
6%
1%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----12%
85%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----54%
40%
1%
4%
1%
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----48%
49%
*
2%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------50%
46%
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----90%
8%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----83%
12%
2%
3%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----58%
38%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

West
----48%
46%
2%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----64%
31%
1%
3%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----13%
83%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------22%
75%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----55%
42%
*
3%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----32%
63%
*
3%
2%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-59-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 23/24
Q23. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q24. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------47%
37%
56%
37%
50%
58%
42%
61%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
4%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
50%
1%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Hillary Clinton
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------47%
48%
50%
48%
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
50%
1%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----92%
7%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
50%
1%
2%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----54%
43%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----45%
52%
1%
2%
*
+/-7.0

South
----45%
52%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
50%
1%
2%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------12%
84%
2%
2%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------41%
57%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----75%
21%
55%
20%
78%
42%
2%
*
1%
3%
2%
2%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----45%
52%
*
2%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------69%
27%
2%
2%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----46%
50%
1%
3%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------46%
52%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----45%
53%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------51%
46%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----41%
53%
1%
5%
*
+/-5.5

Republican
-----5%
93%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----46%
50%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----48%
49%
*
2%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------45%
52%
1%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----88%
9%
1%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----78%
17%
3%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----52%
46%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

West
----45%
51%
2%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----55%
41%
1%
2%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----7%
91%
1%
1%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------19%
79%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----47%
50%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----36%
60%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-60-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 25/26
Q25. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q26. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------48%
38%
58%
39%
49%
58%
39%
58%
1%
*
1%
*
2%
4%
1%
2%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
49%
1%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------48%
49%
49%
46%
1%
1%
2%
3%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
49%
1%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----91%
9%
*
*
*
+/-6.0

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
49%
1%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----57%
39%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----45%
51%
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----46%
52%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

Hillary Clinton
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----48%
49%
1%
2%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------13%
86%
*
2%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------39%
58%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----82%
21%
56%
14%
78%
40%
2%
*
1%
3%
2%
2%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----46%
52%
*
1%
*
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------68%
28%
1%
3%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----48%
49%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------48%
51%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----44%
53%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------53%
45%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----43%
50%
1%
5%
1%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----8%
90%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----47%
49%
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----49%
47%
*
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------46%
50%
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----87%
11%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----76%
20%
2%
3%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----55%
41%
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5

West
----45%
49%
2%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----56%
38%
1%
4%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----9%
89%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------21%
78%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----50%
49%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----35%
60%
*
2%
2%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-61-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 27/28
Q27. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Donald Trump were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q28. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------55%
48%
62%
44%
43%
50%
36%
54%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
43%
*
1%
*
+/-3.0

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------55%
60%
43%
38%
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
43%
*
1%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----89%
10%
*
*
*
+/-6.0

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
43%
*
1%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----53%
46%
*
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----52%
44%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

South
----58%
41%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----55%
43%
*
1%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------13%
86%
*
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------51%
47%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----87%
29%
63%
12%
68%
35%
*
*
*
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----58%
39%
*
2%
1%
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------79%
19%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----48%
49%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------53%
45%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----44%
54%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------61%
36%
*
3%
*
+/-5.0

Independent
-----59%
39%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Republican
-----14%
82%
*
3%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----60%
39%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----49%
49%
*
2%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------53%
46%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----90%
10%
*
*
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----83%
15%
*
1%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----63%
35%
*
2%
*
+/-5.5

West
----57%
41%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----68%
31%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----17%
80%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------25%
72%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----56%
42%
*
2%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----37%
60%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-62-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 29/30
Q29. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Marco Rubio were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q30. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Bernie Sanders
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------53%
48%
58%
44%
45%
50%
40%
54%
*
1%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Bernie Sanders
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
45%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Bernie Sanders
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------53%
61%
45%
37%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
45%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----90%
9%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0

Bernie Sanders
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
45%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----55%
44%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----50%
47%
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----50%
49%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Marco Rubio
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----53%
45%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------20%
79%
*
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------47%
51%
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----82%
26%
61%
16%
73%
36%
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----53%
46%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------73%
26%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.0

5064
----52%
47%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------48%
50%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----46%
52%
*
2%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------53%
45%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----53%
44%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----14%
85%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Under
55
----55%
44%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----51%
47%
*
2%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------54%
44%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----89%
10%
1%
*
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----90%
9%
1%
*
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----56%
41%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.5

West
----60%
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----62%
38%
*
*
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----17%
82%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------22%
77%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----54%
44%
1%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----42%
55%
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-63-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 31/32
Q31. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate and Ted Cruz were the Republican Party's
candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ?
Q32. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Registered Voters

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------57%
52%
61%
50%
40%
45%
36%
48%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
40%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------57%
60%
40%
37%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
40%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----92%
6%
*
2%
*
+/-6.0

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
40%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----64%
32%
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----53%
44%
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----53%
46%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

Bernie Sanders
Ted Cruz
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----57%
40%
*
1%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------17%
82%
*
1%
*
+/-7.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------51%
46%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Tea Pty White


All
Oppose Evang. Others
------- ----- -----90%
29%
65%
8%
71%
31%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
1%
+/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-3.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----55%
44%
*
*
1%
+/-8.5

Non-White
--------73%
24%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----55%
44%
*
1%
*
+/-5.5

$50K
or more
------56%
43%
*
1%
*
+/-4.5

65+
----47%
49%
*
4%
*
+/-5.0

College
Grad
------60%
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Independent
-----61%
35%
*
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Republican
-----13%
85%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Under
55
----60%
38%
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5

55 and
Older
-----53%
44%
*
3%
*
+/-4.0

Non
College
Grad
-------56%
41%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Lean
Democrat
-----94%
5%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----92%
6%
*
1%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----63%
33%
*
2%
2%
+/-5.5

West
----61%
36%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----68%
31%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----18%
80%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0
Conservative
------23%
76%
*
1%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----57%
40%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Rural
----43%
53%
*
2%
2%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-64-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 32A/32B
Q32A. If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's
candidate and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to
vote for -- ?
Q32B. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Half of Registered Voters

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
28%
46%
30%
37%
47%
29%
46%
23%
22%
23%
21%
*
*
*
*
2%
3%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
37%
23%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------38%
43%
37%
30%
23%
23%
*
*
2%
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
37%
23%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
37%
23%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
37%
23%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----83%
4%
13%
*
1%
*
+/-8.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----45%
41%
13%
*
1%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------35%
41%
21%
*
2%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------32%
38%
25%
*
2%
2%
+/-7.0

65+
----38%
51%
11%
*
*
*
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------40%
32%
25%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----23%
36%
36%
*
3%
3%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----7%
73%
18%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.5
South
----43%
38%
17%
*
3%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------62%
8%
28%
*
1%
*
+/-7.5

Under
55
----35%
32%
29%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.5

55 and
Older
-----44%
44%
11%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------37%
39%
22%
*
1%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----77%
4%
17%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----40%
29%
28%
*
*
2%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----6%
73%
19%
*
2%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------17%
63%
17%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----38%
36%
26%
*
1%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
42%
N/A
30%
N/A
25%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-65-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 32C/32D
Q32C. If Bernie Sanders were the Democratic Party's candidate, Donald Trump were the Republican Party's
candidate and Michael Bloomberg ran as an independent candidate, who would you be more likely to
vote for -- ?
Q32D. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ?
Base = Half of Registered Voters

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------44%
38%
49%
36%
36%
44%
29%
45%
18%
17%
19%
17%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-5.0

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
36%
18%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------44%
51%
36%
31%
18%
15%
*
*
1%
*
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
36%
18%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
36%
18%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.5

Bernie Sanders
Donald Trump
Michael Bloomberg
Other
Neither
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----44%
36%
18%
*
1%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----83%
5%
12%
*
1%
*
+/-8.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----46%
41%
13%
*
*
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------41%
37%
19%
*
2%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------39%
36%
22%
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

65+
----30%
52%
16%
*
1%
*
+/-7.5

College
Grad
------46%
29%
22%
*
3%
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----37%
35%
25%
*
1%
3%
+/-8.0

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----10%
71%
17%
1%
1%
*
+/-7.5
South
----45%
36%
17%
*
2%
*
+/-8.0
Tea Pty
Oppose
------71%
9%
20%
*
*
*
+/-7.5

Under
55
----47%
30%
20%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.5

55 and
Older
-----39%
45%
15%
*
1%
*
+/-6.0

Non
College
Grad
-------43%
39%
17%
*
*
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----77%
4%
18%
*
1%
*
+/-7.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----47%
28%
23%
*
*
2%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----11%
70%
17%
*
2%
*
+/-6.5
Conservative
------16%
63%
18%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

Suburban
----46%
34%
18%
*
1%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
49%
N/A
28%
N/A
20%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-66-

February 24-27, 2016

CNN/ORC International Poll -- February 24 to 27, 2016


Question 33
If Michael Bloomberg, the former Mayor of New York City, ran for president as an independent, how
likely would you be to consider voting for him? Would you:
Base = Half of Registered Voters

Definitely consider
Probably consider
Probably NOT consider
Definitely NOT consider
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
9%
9%
9%
29%
27%
32%
24%
25%
25%
24%
26%
36%
38%
34%
40%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Definitely consider
Probably consider
Probably NOT consider
Definitely NOT consider
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
25%
36%
1%
+/-4.5

Definitely consider
Probably consider
Probably NOT consider
Definitely NOT consider
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
10%
29%
31%
25%
21%
36%
36%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Definitely consider
Probably consider
Probably NOT consider
Definitely NOT consider
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
25%
36%
1%
+/-4.5

Definitely consider
Probably consider
Probably NOT consider
Definitely NOT consider
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
25%
36%
1%
+/-4.5

Definitely consider
Probably consider
Probably NOT consider
Definitely NOT consider
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
29%
25%
36%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----6%
31%
28%
35%
1%
+/-8.0

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----6%
27%
26%
40%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------9%
29%
26%
36%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------10%
32%
32%
25%
1%
+/-7.0

65+
----7%
14%
22%
54%
4%
+/-7.0

College
Grad
------9%
30%
22%
40%
*
+/-7.0

Independent
-----15%
34%
20%
30%
1%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----5%
22%
27%
45%
1%
+/-8.0
South
----5%
30%
22%
43%
*
+/-7.5
Tea Pty
Oppose
------11%
35%
20%
33%
1%
+/-8.0

Under
55
----10%
35%
25%
29%
*
+/-7.5

55 and
Older
-----7%
21%
24%
46%
2%
+/-5.5

Non
College
Grad
-------9%
29%
26%
35%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Democrat
-----11%
33%
24%
31%
1%
+/-6.5

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----10%
40%
24%
26%
1%
+/-7.5

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Urban
----10%
30%
22%
36%
1%
+/-8.5

Lean
Republican
-----8%
21%
26%
44%
2%
+/-7.0
Conservative
------9%
12%
28%
49%
1%
+/-7.5

Suburban
----5%
30%
26%
37%
1%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
----- -----N/A
9%
N/A
33%
N/A
24%
N/A
32%
N/A
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 4
3

-67-

February 24-27, 2016

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