Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Protect
Capital
Wealth
1
We Protect Capital
Investment Universe
Staggered Approach
Exposure Limits
Exposure limits to minimize risks
o 50% in large cap USD1bn+
o 10% in one stock
o 30% in one sector
o 50% in the top 10 stocks
o Minimum investments in 30 stocks
Tactically switching to cash from time to time
Review Points
Sharp Price movement
triggers review of stock
Close eye on valuation
with focus on Margin of
Safety
Portfolio Liquidity
Unlevered portfolio
Continuous monitoring
of liquidity risk
We Create Wealth
3 Tenets to Equity
investing
3M Stock Selection
Approach
Flexible investment
style
Sectoral diversification
M:
Market Size
M:
Market Share
M:
Margin of Safety
M3
Margin of safety
M2
Market Share
Investment
Details
Stock
Identification
Analysis &
Decision making
Process
Initial screening
Corporate meeting and detailed due diligence
Presentation to investment committee seeking recommendation and approval
Portfolio
Construction
Monitoring &
Nurturing
Exiting &
Realizing
Value
41
3343
300
3983
297
102
1659
213
233
1427
80
1115
29
65
6475
253
669
5142
304
732
670
55
869
2246
5790
604
77
218
654
366
380
831
Price (Rs)
29-Jul-2016
285
15249
1360
16110
898
302
4757
550
600
3547
198
2750
69
148
14619
556
1374
10373
608
1447
1246
102
1558
3856
9922
1035
133
372
1092
587
606
1264
Note: Purchase price adjusted for any corporate action like split/bonus
Gain % indicates return since purchase, *Stock sold as per price mentioned
Gain (%)
595%
356%
353%
304%
202%
196%
187%
158%
158%
149%
148%
147%
135%
128%
126%
120%
105%
102%
100%
98%
86%
86%
79%
72%
71%
71%
71%
71%
67%
60%
59%
52%
Bajaj Holdings
GSK Pharma
Reliance
Communication
MTNL
Novartis
Ranbaxy
Reliance Infra
16
Jaiprakash Associates
JSPL
HPCL
Hindalco
Castrol India
Grasim
Sterlite
Tata Power
Exit Strategy
When target price of the stock is reached and the risk rewards
seems unfavorable
When change in business fundamentals resulting in negative
earnings expectations
When weightage of the stock is higher than the desired allocation
When the other stock has better risk-reward
Reliance Petro
Satyam
Zee
Market Outlook
US economic data threw confusing signals while the consumer spending increased at 4.2% in the Q2, fastest in two
years, the GDP growth at 1.2% was weakest since 2013. The interest rate in the US, near term, are expected to be benign
as reflected in FOMCs recent statement: The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting
further improvement in labour market conditions and a return to 2% inflation. Chinas Q2 economic growth at 6.7% was
slightly better than the estimate of 6.6%. The up move in the global markets, post the BrExit vote, is more stimulus driven
and the same is likely to continue in near future, as is evident from Japan PMs recent announcement of USD275bn
stimulus package.
Back home, dream of GST is almost on the verge of becoming a reality as the Cabinet has amended the bill by dropping
1% additional tax on inter-state sales as per the Opposition's demand. Once GST becomes a reality, it is likely to add 1-2%
to our GDP growth. Monsoons are catching up pretty well across the nations and July16 rainfall has been 7% above the
LPA. IMD and Skymet, both are forecasting above normal monsoon. June core sector posted a 5.2% YoY growth driven by
jump in output of electricity, coal and cement. Electricity soared by 8.1% Vs 1.2% YoY, coal output increased by 12% Vs
5.4% YoY and cement production increased to 10.3% Vs 2.9% YoY. IIP registered 1.2% growth, the highest reading in the
last three months, the surge was led by an improvement in manufacturing registering positive growth of 0.7% Vs (-) 3.7%
in April16. CPI inflation slightly moved up in June to 5.77%, largely led by +2.4% in food inflation.
1QFY17 earnings has been in line with estimates as 25 companies out of Nifty 50 companies have reported net profit
growth of 5.5%. The effect of normal monsoon and implementations of Seventh Pay recommendations will lead to better
earnings growth in 2HFY17. Negative interest rates policy in Germany, Switzerland and Japan has resulted in rally in global
equities and India, being one of the high growth markets, is also a beneficiary of it.
Sensex presently trades at PER of 18x on FY17 basis, marginally higher than its last 10 years average PER of 17x. We
continue to remain positive on equity market with 2-3 years view and advise investors to use any correction as an
opportunity to add to equity asset class.
10
*FY16
(Rs.Tn)
Total
17.7
Total Plan
4.7
Plan Revenue
3.2
Plan Capital
1.4
Total Non - Plan
13.0
Non-Plan Revenue
12.1
Non-Plan capital
0.9
FY16 is from 01 Apr 2015 31 Mar 2016
7.8
3.8
-8.5
49.7
9.3
10.1
0.5
99.3
98.7
69.9
101.2
99.5
99.8
95.6
%Budgeted
Expenditure
Growth(%)
(achievement
in FY16)
30000
42
25000
40
20000
35
30
25
21
17
20
15000
10000
10000
9900
7980
15
10
5000
2000
3621
0
FY13
Source: Emkay Research, AAA Research
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17E
11
12
0.8
4.6
6.6
3.5
0
Jun-16
Mar-16
Dec-15
Sep-15
Jun-15
Mar-15
Dec-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Mar-14
Dec-13
Sep-13
Jun-13
Jun-12
4QFY16
3QFY16
2QFY16
1QFY16
4QFY15
3QFY15
2QFY15
1QFY15
4QFY14
1QFY17
4QFY16
3QFY16
2QFY16
20
(10)
3QFY14
2QFY14
30
10
1.6
-0.3
1QFY14
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
40
(% YoY)
5.4
Employment Index
50
14.7
11.0 11.1
1.4
-21.0
Index
4.4
-25.0 -25.0
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4.0
-22.0
1QFY17
4QFY16
3QFY16
2QFY16
-3.1
4QFY15
3QFY15
2QFY15
1QFY15
4QFY14
3QFY14
2QFY14
1QFY14
-4
1QFY16
-2
-3.0
3.6
1QFY16
5.0
4QFY15
4.0
3QFY15
2.8
2QFY15
3.6
5.5
Mar-13
2.8
4.3
Dec-12
4.5
17.0
9.7 11.1
Sep-12
6.6
19.6
1QFY15
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
4QFY14
7.2
8.0
3QFY14
8.6
2QFY14
10.0
9.9
10
1QFY14
12
Index (RHS)
13
12
11
4.6
3.5
3.1
1.3
8.0
6.6
5.6
6.0
14
9.6
9.0
10
19
11.8
11.4
12
0.7
Jun-16
May-16
Apr-16
Mar-16
Feb-16
Jan-16
Dec-15
Nov-15
Oct-15
Sep-15
Aug-15
Jul-15
Jun-15
Apr-15
-0.5
May-15
-2
Q4FY16
Q3FY16
Q2FY16
Q1FY16
Q4FY15
Q3FY15
Q2FY15
Q1FY15
Q4FY14
Q3FY14
Q2FY14
13
Apr-16
-3.6
0.9
Feb-16
1.6
1.1
3.8
1.9
Dec-15
3.5
Aug-15
6.2
4.4
Oct-15
2.8
Jun-15
2.6
Apr-15
Dec-14
Oct-14
Jun-14
0.6
3.1
4.7
Feb-15
2.9
Aug-14
1.1
9.5
7.5
5.9
3.5
9.9
9.4
Jun-16
10.3
8.9
Apr-14
15
13
11
9
7
5
3
1
-1
-3
-5
14.6
14
32
Q1FY14
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
14
10
8.0
8
9.6
9.3
7.1
8.6
8.9
6.7
6.7
5.4
4.2
3.8
4.5
4.7
FY13
FY14
7.6
7.7
FY16
FY17E
0
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY15
18.0
15.5
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.6
8.0
6.0
12.9
11.7
5.7
5.0
8.2
7.0
2.7
4.0
5.3
2.9
2.5
5.0
2.8
2.4
FY15
FY16
1.1
2.0
0.0
-0.1
-2.0
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY17E
15
90%
80%
60%
40%
72.3%
65%
47.9%
40% 39.7%
31%
27%
26%
45.8%
23%
16%
20%
60%
53%
47.3%
73%
62%
54.4%
38.7%
26.6%
25%
21% 21%
32%
33%
26.1%
52.2%
43%
22.0%
17.6%
15.6%
11%
Auto
Banking
Cement
Consumer
FMCG
Consumer
Durables
Engineering
IT
Mining &
Metal
Pharma
Mcap
PAT
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
Mcap
PAT
Revenue
0%
Sensex
16
16
15x
14
12
10
8.7x
7x
6.6x
5.1x
5.3x
6
4
3.3x
3.2x
2.7x
BSE FMCG
BSE
Healthcare
BSE IT
2
0
BSE Auto
Source: BSE
BSE Banking
BSE
Consumer
Durable
BSE Capital
Goods
BSE Metal
Sensex
17
Sensex
CAGR
??
Sensex
CAGR
5%
Sensex
CAGR
38.7%
Sensex
CAGR
-1.4%
Sensex
CAGR
13.9%
FY16-18E EPS
CAGR 18%
1,580
FY08-16 EPS
CAGR 6.1%
450
523
18
FY18E
FY17E
FY16
FY15
FY14
FY13
FY12
FY11
FY10
FY09
FY08
FY07
FY06
348
FY04
FY03
FY02
FY01
FY00
FY99
FY98
FY97
FY96
FY95
FY94
FY05
FY93-96
EPS CAGR 45%
FY93
1,3401,3551,340
1,183
1,124
1,024
FY03-08 EPS
CAGR 25%
81 129
1,864
Market Valuations
Sensex @28051
EPS (Rs)
EPS G(%)
BV (Rs)
P/E(x)
P/BV(x)
FY08
833
16%
3,787
FY09
821
-1%
4,441
FY10
826
1%
5,101
FY11
1,013
23%
5,944
FY12 FY13
1,123 1,185
10%
6%
6,842 7,790
24.8 23.5
3.7
3.8
FY17E
1580
18%
10775
17.8
2.6
FY18E
1864
18%
11521
15.0
2.4
ROE(%)
22.0%
18.5%
16.2%
17.0%
14.7%
16.2%
27
22
4.3
3.8
17
3.3
Mean 16.8x
Mean 2.7x
2.8
12
2.3
1.8
19
Jul-16
Jul-15
Jul-14
Jul-13
Jul-12
Jul-11
Jul-10
P/B Fwd(x)
P/E Fwd(x)
Source: AAA Research
Jul-09
Jul-08
Jul-07
Jul-06
Jul-16
Jul-15
Jul-14
Jul-13
Jul-12
Jul-11
Jul-10
Jul-09
Jul-08
Jul-07
Jul-06
1.3
20
Govind Agrawal
Rajesh Kothari
Founder and Managing Director
Director
Bhushan
BhushanKoli
Koli
Head Operations and Compliance
21
Former Director with Voyager Investment Advisors (US$500m) USA based India dedicated
fund for two and half years
Former Fund Manager with DSP Merrill Lynch (now DSP Blackrock) Fund Managers Ltd for
more than four years
During his tenure equity assets under management grew from USD100m to USD1.5bn
The schemes delivered annualized return of 55% (Equity Fund) & 62% (Top100 Fund) outperforming
benchmark indices by more than 20% & 10% respectively
The equity schemes maintained its 1st Quartile Ranking consistently during his tenure
22
Rated as Platinum Fund Manager by Economic Times for DSP ML Equity Fund on a risk-adjusted return
basis in July 2006
Rated as Gold Fund Manager by Economic Times for DSP ML Balanced Fund on a risk-adjusted return
basis in July 2006
CNBC TV18 - CRISIL Mutual Fund of the Year Award 2006 for DSPML Equity Fund
Lipper India Fund Awards 2006 for best equity fund group for 3 years
DSPML Technology.com Fund - best fund in the equity sector in the IT category (5 years, 8 eligible schemes)
Benchmark Index
150
100
50
0
-50
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
DSP MerillLynch MF
Jun06-08
FY10*
FY11
FY12
FY13
Voyager
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17YTD#
AlfAccurate Advisors
27.5% CAGR
2600
2400
2200
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
13.5% CAGR
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
Jun06Dec08
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17YTD#
*(FY10 is from 23 Nov 2009 - 31 Mar 2010) #(1 April 2016 31 Jul 2016)
Note: Past performance may or may not be sustained in future
24
Rich experience of 28 years in finance out of which last 21 years in Indian capital market
Former Fund Manager with Reliance Capital Asset Management Company (USD 20bn) for
over four years.
Reliance Emergent India Fund (USD 100m offshore fund) outperformed benchmark indices by 35%
since its inception.
Travelled intensely across globe to meet the investors and presented the firm for India and Emerging
Market as Investment Theme
Former Executive Director with UBS Securities India P Ltd, a Swiss Bank subsidiary, for 4 years
Guided the portfolio managers for right country, sectors and stocks weightings
25
Former Senior VP Equity Sales with Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd for 10 years
Played key role in establishing institutional equity broking business, systems and processes
Was account manager for major institutional domestic and foreign accounts advising the clients on sectoral allocation
and stock selection
Achievements
Represented Reliance AMC on international platforms and panel discussion on Emerging Markets and Indian
Equity Market
Addressed investors meet and the private banking teams of large banks in Middle East, Asia, London,
Europe and in India
At UBS, was voted as the Best Equity Sales PersonMega Funds category, Asia Money 2006
Won several awards at Motilal Oswal for consistently contributing to Institutional Equity Sales
26
27
AlfAccurate Advisors
28
Ambition
Commitment
Meritocracy
Excellence
Entrepreneurship
Passion
Accountability
29
Investment Philosophy...
30
Rules
Current Position
Cap Exposure
Sector Weightage
Stock Weightage
Number of Stocks
Minimum 30 Stocks
59 stocks
Stock Universe
450 Corporates
450 Corporates
Sectoral Allocation
Portfolio Allocation
3%
11%
55%
31%
Large
Mid
Small
Number of Stocks: 59
Number of Sectors: 16
Top 10 Stocks as % of portfolio: 27.1%
Data as on 31 Jul 2016
Cash
Agri Input
Cement
Engineering
Power
Cash & Cash Equivalent
Auto
Chemicals
Oil & Gas
Software
Auto Ancillary
Construction
Others
Sugar
Banking
Consumer
Pharma
Textiles
31
71.9
60
40
20
33.2
29
18.2
7.5
11.7
9.7
17.4 13.8
17.1
4.8
2.8
0
-7.8
-9.1
-20
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
Performance (%)
FY16
FY17YTD#
FY17YTD#
FY16
FY15
FY14
FY13
FY12
FY11
Since Inception*
17.4
2.8
71.9
29.0
11.7
9.7
18.2
310.6
13.8
(7.8)
33.2
17.1
4.8
(9.1)
7.5
74.0
BSE Sensex
10.7
(9.4)
24.9
18.8
8.2
(10.5)
10.9
63.3
69.3
AAA India Opp. plan consistently not only outperformed but also generated Positive return in volatile markets
Note: Returns of individual clients may differ depending on time of entry in the Strategy. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should
not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments
32
33
1 YEAR
2 YEARS
3 YEARS
5 YEARS
Since Inception*
7.2
26.8
37.8
25.4
23.6
3.1
8.6
18.4
10.3
8.7
BSE Sensex
(0.2)
4.1
13.2
9.0
7.6
1.2
5.8
14.6
9.5
8.2
170.7
121.5
96.7
54.9
Quartile 1
Quartile 2
Quartile 3
Quartile 4
74.0
63.3
69.3
BSE Sensex
Source: Bloomberg
Since Inception of AAA: *(23 Nov 2009 31 Jul 2016 )(Management fees adjusted)
AAA India Opp Plan ranks # 1 compared with 141 diversified funds of each reputed fund house
Note: Returns of individual clients may differ depending on time of entry in the Strategy. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and
should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments
34
15% CAGR
150 Cr
20% CAGR
18% CAGR
331 Cr
717 Cr
1,187 Cr
137 Cr
82 Cr
192 Cr
48 Cr
26 Cr
20 Cr
31 Cr
16 Cr
10 Cr
9 Cr
5Yrs
10Yrs
20Yrs
30Yrs
5Yrs
11 Cr
10Yrs
20Yrs
30Yrs
5Yrs
12 Cr
10Yrs
20Yrs
30Yrs
5Yrs
10Yrs
20Yrs
30Yrs
35
No conflict of interest
36
Product Features
Name of plan
Objective
Investment Theme
Principal Officer
Rajesh Kothari
Director
Govind Agrawal
Custodians
Fund Accountant
Depository Participant
IL&FS, India
Mode of payment
37
38
Contact us:
Thank You
Disclaimer: Equity Investments are subject to market risks , read all plan related documents carefully. This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for
your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient. The material is based upon
publicly available information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon. Opinions expressed are our current
opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to
change without notice. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without AlfAccurate Advisors
Pvt Ltd.'s prior written consent. In so far as this report includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be
guaranteed. Alfaccurate Advisors Pvt. Ltd and any person connected with the firm, does not accept any liability arising from the use of this document.
39