241126577 LUẬN VĂN THẠC SỸ MO HINH VA TINH TOAN PHỤC VỤ HOẠT ĐỘNG THỊ TRƯỜNG ĐIỆN NGAY TIẾP THEO PDF

LUN VN THC S
NI DUNG
M U
.......................................................................................................... 1
Chng 1.
Hin trng vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam ............................. 4
Cc n v tham gia vo hot ng in lc..................................................4
1.1
1.1.1
S t chc v chc nng nhim v ca cc n v ..............................4
1.1.2
iu h thng in Vit Nam...............................................................6

H thng in Vit Nam.................................................................................9
1.2
Ph ti........................................................................................................9
1.2.1
1.2.1.1 Cc thnh phn ph ti ..........................................................................9

1.2.1.2 Sn lng in nng ............................................................................13
1.2.1.3 Cng sut nh .....................................................................................15
1.2.1.4 Biu ph ti mt ngy in hnh nm ............................................18
Ngun in ..............................................................................................19
1.2.2
1.2.2.1 Cng sut .............................................................................................19

Li in .................................................................................................32
1.2.3
Vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam ...............................................................37
1.3
Tnh hnh vn hnh ngun in...............................................................37
1.3.1
1.3.1.1 Nguyn tc vn hnh chung.................................................................37

1.3.1.2 Giai on ma kh (t thng 1 n thng 6) .......................................38
1.3.1.3 Giai on ma l (t 16/06 n 15/10)................................................39
1.3.1.4 Giai on tch nc (t thng 10 n thng 12) ..................................40
Tnh hnh vn hnh li in ..................................................................40
1.3.2
1.3.2.1 H thng in 500kV...........................................................................40

1.3.2.2 Li in tuyn ti 220/110kV............................................................40
1.4
Vai tr ca nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam ..........................41
Chng 2.
2.1
S cn thit nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam..... 43
Khi qut v tnh hnh sn xut in ti cc tnh pha Nam Trung Quc ........
......................................................................................................................43
2.1.1
Gii thiu chung ......................................................................................43
2.1.2
Tng quan v li in khu vc Nam Trung Quc ................................45
2.1.3
S pht trin ngun in khu vc ...........................................................47
2.1.4
Nhu cu ph ti khu vc..........................................................................48
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
1.2.2.2 Sn lng .............................................................................................25
LUN VN THC S
2.2
Lin kt li in gia hai quc gia.............................................................48
2.2.1
Hin trng lin kt li in....................................................................48
2.2.2
Lin kt li in d kin trong tng lai ..............................................51
2.3
Tnh hnh mua bn in hin nay.................................................................51
2.3.1
Chi ph mua in .....................................................................................51
2.3.2
Tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc ...............................................52
2.4
Vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam giai on 2011-2015.............................54
2.4.1
D liu u vo - Gi thit tnh ton .......................................................54
2.4.1.1 Tin cc cng trnh mi..................................................................54

2.4.1.2 D bo ph ti .....................................................................................54
2.4.1.3 Lch sa cha ca cc nh my ...........................................................63
2.4.1.4 Tnh ton iu tit thy in................................................................64
2.4.1.5 Tnh hnh cung cp nhin liu ca cc nh my..................................64
2.4.1.6 Gi nhin liu v gi bn in ca cc nh my..................................65
2.4.2
Qu trnh x l Phng php tnh ton ................................................67
2.4.3
D liu u ra Kt qu tnh ton gi bin ............................................68
2.4.3.1 Phng n ph ti tng trng cao......................................................68

2.4.3.2 Phng n ph ti tng trng trung bnh...........................................73
2.4.3.3 Phng n ph ti tng trng thp ....................................................78
2.5
Kt lun ........................................................................................................83
Chng 3.
Gii php nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam nhm
p ng yu cu pht trin kinh t - x hi trong nc ..................................... 85
3.1
Hp ng mua bn in ...............................................................................85
3.1.1
Hp ng mua bn in ..........................................................................85
3.1.2
Hp ng mua bn in cp in p 110 kV ..........................................87
3.1.3
Hp ng mua bn in cp in p 220 kV ..........................................87
3.2
nh gi v tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam .........88
3.2.1
Th tc thc hin.....................................................................................88
3.2.2
Gi c v s n nh trong cung cp .......................................................90
3.3
Gii php nhp khu in t TQ vo Vit Nam...........................................90
3.3.1
Nng cao s ch ng cho cc n v.....................................................90
3.3.2
Nng cao cnh tranh trong vic mua bn in ........................................91
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
2.4.1.7 Gii hn truyn ti gia cc khu vc...................................................67
LUN VN THC S
Tng cng kt ni, lin kt li in ....................................................91
3.3.4
u t cc nh my in bn Trung Quc..............................................92
3.3.5
Thnh lp y ban iu phi chung ..........................................................92
eBook for You
3.3.3
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
LUN VN THC S
M U
1.
S cn thit ca ti
Vit Nam ang l mt quc gia pht trin vi tc tng trng kinh t
kh cao, trung bnh khong 6%/nm, tc tng trng tiu th in vo

khong 15%/nm, trong khi tc tng ca ngun in l rt thp, khng th
p ng ni nhu cu tiu th in tng trng qu nng. Trung bnh, sut u t
hin nay xy dng mt nh my nhit in than (l dng ngun in c chi
ph u t v vn hnh gn nh thp nht) vo khong 1.100 n 1.400
USD/kW cng sut t vi iu kin ngun nhin liu s dng l than ni a
do Tp on Cng nghip Than v Khong sn Vit Nam cung cp. Tuy nhin,
theo d bo ca Vin Nng lng, ti nm 2025, Vit Nam gn nh s khai thc
trong nc, tng ng vi vic sut u t xy dng nh my nhit in than

s tng cao. Nh vy, kh nng t sn xut in phc v nhu cu trong nc
s b hn ch ng k.
Khi kh nng t sn xut in tiu th trong nc gp kh khn th
vic xem xt mua in vi t cc quc gia ln cn l vic ht sc cn thit. Hin
nay, Vit Nam ang nhp khu in t Trung Quc v vi cng sut khong
690MW t cc cp in p 110kV v 220kV, ring trong nm 2009 sn lng
in nhp khu ln ti 4.102 triu kWh, chim gn 5% tng sn lng in tiu
th trn ton quc. Cng vi s pht trin ca ph ti in c nc, nhu cu
nhp khu in Trung Quc s cn tng cao trong tng lai.
Do , vic nghin cu thc trng nhp khu in gia Vit Nam vi
Trung Quc t a ra cc nh gi v xut nhm tip tc nhp khu
in t Trung Quc mt cch hp l l yu cu ht sc thit thc.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
hu ht tim nng thy in, ng thi phi nhp khu than cho nhu cu tiu th
LUN VN THC S
2.
Mc ch nghin cu
Trn c s nghin cu tnh hnh cung cu in ca Vit Nam, thc trng
nhp khu in ca Vit Nam t Trung Quc nhng nm gn y, ti xut

mt s gii php tng cng nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam nhm
p ng nhu cu pht trin kinh t - x hi ca Vit Nam nhng nm sp ti.
3.
Nhim v nghin cu
i vi ti ny, c ba nhim v nghin cu nh sau:
- Tm hiu thc trng nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam;
- Nghin cu tng quan v cung cu in ca Vit Nam v s cn thit ca
vic nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam;
- a ra cc gii php nhm y mnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc v
4.
i tng v phm vi nghin cu

i tng nghin cu ca ti l hot ng nhp khu in ca Vit
Nam t th trng Trung Quc.

Phm vi nghin cu ca ti l tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc
vo Vit Nam trong giai on t 2005 2010 v xut mt s gii php v m
nhm y mnh nhp khu in Trung Quc v Vit Nam trong giai on t
2010 n 2020.
5.
Tnh hnh nghin cu

Cho ti nay, cha c mt cng trnh no nghin cu mt cch tng th v
vn nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam.

6.
Phng php nghin cu:

- Thu thp cc ti liu v tnh hnh pht trin h thng in Vit Nam t
nm 2005 ti nay v d bo pht trin trong thi gian sp ti; tm hiu cc thng
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
Vit Nam p ng yu cu pht trin kinh t x hi ca Vit Nam.
LUN VN THC S
tin v cc d n ngun in ln ti pha Nam Trung Quc, cc cng trnh li

in lin kt gia Vit Nam v Trung Quc.
- T s liu thc t, tin hnh phn tch, nh gi thy c tim nng
nhp khu in Trung Quc v Vit Nam vn cha c tn dng ht.
- Trn c s cc phn tch v nh gi trn, xut mt s gii php y
mnh nhp khu in Trung Quc.
7.
Kt cu ca ti:
Ngoi cc phn M u, Kt lun, Ti liu tham kho, lun vn c chia
thnh ba chng nh sau:

Chng 1: Hin trng vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam
Chng 3: Gii php y mnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc v Vit Nam
p ng yu cu pht trin kinh t x hi ca Vit Nam
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
Chng 2: S cn thit nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam
LUN VN THC S
Chng 1.
Hin trng vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam
1.1 Cc n v tham gia vo hot ng in lc

1.1.1 S t chc v chc nng nhim v ca cc n v
Tham gia vo hot ng in lc ti Vit Nam c nhiu n v, s t
chc nh hnh sau:
MOIT
BOT&
IPP
PVN
PVPower
NPT
EVN
NLDC
EPTC
eBook for You
ERAV
IE
TKV
PC
NM
Hnh 1.1: S t chc ca cc n v
Chc nng nhim v ca cc n v nh sau:

MOIT B Cng Thng: B Cng Thng l n v qun l nh nc
i vi cc vn lin quan n hot ng in lc. B Cng Thng c hai
n v cp di tham gia mt thit vo hot ng in lc l:
o ERAV Cc iu tit in lc: L n v gim st hot ng in
lc v xy dng cc quy nh pht trin th trng in ti Vit Nam.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
LUN VN THC S
o IE Vin Nng lng: L n v lp quy hoch Tng s pht

trin in Vit Nam
EVN Tp on in lc Vit Nam: L doanh nghip nh nc qun
l rt nhiu khu trong hot ng in lc, EVN c cc thnh vin:
o NLDC Trung tm iu H thng in Quc gia: NLDC c
nhim v ch huy vn hnh ton b h thng in Vit Nam.
o EPTC Cng ty Mua bn in: EPTC c nhim v mua in t cc
nh my in v bn li cho cc Tng Cng ty in lc, m phn
cc hp ng mua bn in.
o NM Nh my in: Cc nh my in c nhim v sn xut ra
in nng v bn in cho EPTC.
u t v qun l ton b li in truyn ti 500 kV, 220 kV.

o PC Tng Cng ty in lc: T trc 2009, c 11 Cng ty in
lc. Tuy nhin, t thng 5/2010, khi phn phi in ca EVN c
c cu li gm c nm Tng Cng ty in lc l: Tng Cng ty in
lc min Bc, Tng Cng ty in lc min Trung, Tng Cng ty
in lc min Nam, Tng Cng ty in lc H Ni, Tng Cng ty
in lc H Ch Minh. Cc PC c nhim v qun l li in 110kV
tr xung, mua in t EPTC v bn in cho cc h tiu dng.
PVN Tp on Du kh Quc gia Vit Nam: L doanh nghip nh
nc ch yu hot ng trong lnh vc thm d, khai thc, kinh doanh du kh.
Tuy nhin trong nhng nm gn y, PVN bt u u t vo lnh vc pht in
(trc tip hoc thng qua n v thnh vin). Cng ty con ca PVN chu trch
nhim chnh trong vic lp d n, u t, qun l cc nh my in ca PVN l
Tng Cng ty in lc Du kh Vit Nam:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
o NPT Tng Cng ty truyn ti in Quc gia: NPT c trch nhim
LUN VN THC S
o PV Power Tng Cng ty in lc du kh Vit Nam: PVPower

l n v chuyn trch ca PVN trong lnh vc u t v qun l cc
nh my in thuc PVN. Hin nay PV Power ang s hu v qun
l cm nh my in C Mau 1&2 (tng cng sut t 1500MW),
cc nh my in Nhn Trch 1 (450MW), Nhn Trch 2 (750MW),
Thi Bnh 2 (1200MW), Vng ng 1 (1200MW), Ha Na (180MW),
k rinh (200MW)...
TKV Tp on Than v Khong sn Vit Nam: L n v u t vo
lnh vc pht in, hin nay TKV c nhiu nh my nhit in than hot ng
v bn in cho EVN nh Sn ng (220MW), Na Dng (110MW), Cao
Ngn (150MW)...
S Tng Cng ty Sng : L n v u t vo lnh vc pht in,
thy in S San 3A (34MW), Hng Sn (42MW), Nm Chin (200MW)...

BOT&IPP: L cc nh my in c lp khc do nc ngoi hay cc ch
u t trong nc u t vo lnh vc pht in.
1.1.2 iu h thng in Vit Nam

Theo Quy trnh iu H thng in Quc gia, QT-11-2001 ban
hnh theo quyt nh s 56/Q-BCN ngy 26 thng 11 nm 2001 ca B trng
B Cng nghip, vic iu hnh HT quc gia c chia thnh ba cp iu :
iu HT quc gia.
iu HT min.
iu li in phn phi.
Vi phn cp nh trn, h thng iu c t chc thnh cc Trung

tm iu tng ng gm c:
Trung tm iu HT quc gia (QG).
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
hin nay S c nhiu nh my thy in hot ng v bn in cho EVN nh
LUN VN THC S
Cc trung tm iu HT min: min Bc, min Trung, min Nam

trc thuc Trung tm iu HT Quc gia.
Cc iu li in phn phi ca Cng ty in lc H ni, Cng ty

in lc thnh ph H Ch Minh, Cng ty in lc Hi Phng, Cng ty
in lc ng Nai, Cng ty Trch nhim hu hn mt thnh vin in
lc Ninh Bnh v cc in lc thuc cng ty in lc 1, cng ty in lc
2, cng ty in lc 3.
eBook for You
S phn cp iu HT c trnh by ti Hnh 1.2:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
LUN VN THC S
M hnh t chc
Quyn iu khin
TT IU
HT QUC GIA
iu
Quc gia
Cc NM ln
Cc NM khng thuc quyn
H thng in 500 kV
Tn s h thng
iu khin
Li in 220 kV
in p cc nt chnh
Trm phn phi NM ln
ng dy ni NM vi HT
Cc trm, D phn phi 110-
TT IU
HT
iu
Min
MIN BC
TT IU
HT
MIN TRUNG
TT IU
HT
MIN NAM
Quyn kim tra
Cc NM c phn cp theo
quy nh ring.
66 kV phn cp cho iu
Li in truyn ti 220-110-66
kV
li in phn phi iu khin

Cc h s dng in quan
Cng sut v cng NM

Cc nh my in nh, cc trm
trng trong li in phn phi
diesel, b trong min

-
iu
Li in phn
phi
- IU CTL
H NI, IU
CTL HI
PHNG
- CC IU
L
TNH,
THNH
PH
MIN BC
- CC IU
L TNH,
THNH PH
MIN TRUNG
- IU CTL
TP. HCM, IU
CTL NG
NAI
- CC IU
L TNH,
THNH PH
MIN NAM
Cc trm, D phn phi 110-66

kV phn cp cho iu li in
phn phi iu khin
Li in phn phi
Cc trm thy in nh, cc trm
diesel, trm b trong li in
phn phi
Hnh 1.2: S phn cp iu HT
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
Cc trm, D phn phi ca

khch hng iu khin.
eBook for You
Cp iu
LUN VN THC S
1.2 H thng in Vit Nam

Trong cng cuc i mi, cng nghip ho hin i ho t nc, ngnh
in khng ngng pht trin nhm p ng nhu cu tiu th in ngy cng
cao trong mi lnh vc i sng x hi.
1.2.1 Ph ti
1.2.1.1 Cc thnh phn ph ti
Ph ti ca h thng in Vit Nam c phn chia thnh nm thnh phn
nh sau: in cp cho ngnh cng nghip v xy dng, thng mi v dch v,
qun l tiu dng v dn c, nng lm nghip v thu sn, cc hot ng khc.
Vi c trng Vit Nam l mt nc ang pht trin, tng bc cng nghip
ha, hin i ha, t trng in cp cho cng nghip v xy dng l ln nht,
trng cc thnh phn ph ti phn b khng ng u v bin ng qua tng

nm. V d t trng cc thnh phn ph ti nm 2009 nh sau:
- in cp cho ngnh cng nghip & xy dng: t 37,34 t kWh, chim t
trng 49,95% in thng phm, tng 12,63% so vi nm 2008.
- in cp cho Thng nghip v dch v: 3,51 t kWh, chim t trng
4,72% in thng phm, tng 9,03% so cng k 2008;
- in cp cho qun l v tiu dng dn c: 29,98 t kWh, chim t trng
40,10% in thng phm, tng 13,04% so vi nm 2008.
- in cp cho nng lm nghip v thu sn: 700 triu kWh, chim t trng
0,94%, in thng phm, tng 7,43 % so cng k 2008.
- in cp cho cc hot ng khc: 3,22 t kWh, chim t trng 4,31%
in thng phm, tng 37,95% so vi nm 2008.
Cc thnh phn cu thnh ph ti c th hin biu sau ti hnh 3.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
tip theo l thnh phn in cp cho qun l v tiu dng dn c. Tuy nhin, t
LUN VN THC S
Qun l & Tiu

dng dn c
40.10%
Cc hot ng Nng,lm nghip &

khc
Thu sn,
4.31%
0.94%
Cng nghip &

Xy dng
49.95%
Thng nghip
& K.Sn NH
4.70%
Hnh 1.3: C cu ph ti nm 2009 1

Bng 1.1: Chi tit sn lng in thng phm cc cng ty in lc.2
Nm
2008
Nm 2009
So snh
Ton EVN
Nng,Lm nghip & Thu sn
Thc
hin
K hoch
Thc hin
Vi nm
2008
65,930
72,320
74,761
113,39%
700
107,43%
651
eBook for You
IN THNG PHM 2009
749
Cng nghip & Xy dng
33,156
36,188
37,342
112,63%
Thng nghip & K.Sn NH
3,222
3,616
3,512
109,03%
Qun l & Tiu dng dn c
26,524
29,273
29,982
113,04%
Cc hot ng khc
2,337
2,493
3,225
137,97%
CTL 1
14,629
15,268
15,813
108,10%
252
198
214
85,05%
6,951
8,146
7,989
114,94%
273
275
269
98,37%
6,804
6,319
6,946
102,09%
350
330
395
113,09%
16,980
18,980
19,554
115,16%

Cng nghip & Xy dng
Cc hot ng khc
CTL 2
1
2
Tp on in lc Vit Nam, Bo co vn hnh h thng in nm 2009, H Ni 2009

Tc gi: Qunh Giao
10
LUN VN THC S
Nm
2008
Nm 2009
So snh
Thc
hin
K hoch
Thc hin
Vi nm
2008
194
241
221
114,24%
9,615
10,234
11,140
115,87%
473
560
520
110,02%
6,153
7,260
6,978
113,41%
546
685
695
127,34%
4,735
5,407
5,326
112,48%
54
102
58
105,68%
1,721
1,842
1,963
114,05%
182
213
186
102,19%
2,613
3,072
2,925
111,93%
164
178
195
118,33%
5,985
7,541
7,889
131,80%
34
77
70
206,31%
1,930
2,383
2,480
128,53%
522
588
570
109,11%
3,105
4,030
4,309
138,77%
394
463
459
116,53%
12,365
13,000
13,282
107,41%
18
15
18
100,66%
Cng nghip & Xy dng
5,555
5,700
5,694
102,49%
1,469
1,605
1,588
108,09%
4,707
5,130
5,258
111,69%
616
550
725
117,72%
2,303
2,480
2,649
115,02%
118,58%
1,405
1,475
1,576
112,20%
69
112
122
176,17%
756
816
864
114,34%
Cc hot ng khc
67
67
79
118,31%
CTL NG NAI
4,832
5,112
5,287
109,43%

Cng nghip & Xy dng
Cc hot ng khc
CTL 3
Cng nghip & Xy dng
Cc hot ng khc
CTL HN
Cng nghip & Xy dng
Cc hot ng khc
CTL TP HCM
Cc hot ng khc
CTL HI PHNG
Cng nghip & Xy dng
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
IN THNG PHM 2009
11
LUN VN THC S
Nm
2008
Nm 2009
So snh
Thc
hin
K hoch
Thc hin
Vi nm
2008
45
50
60
134,29%
3,748
3,908
4,048
107,99%
63
68
65
103,04%
882
984
1,004
113,75%
Cc hot ng khc
94
102
111
118,89%
CT TNHH MTV L NINH BNH
675
844
792
117,46%
11
13
10
92,47%
Cng nghip & Xy dng
448
585
522
116,32%
132,64%
201
229
242
120,61%
11
12
126,18%
1,516
1,630
1,643
108,31%
34
37
35
103,50%
Cng nghip & Xy dng
951
1,005
1,001
105,26%
16
18
17
105,15%
500
552
569
113,79%
Cc hot ng khc
16
18
21
131,93%
CT TNHH MTV L NNG
997
1,123
1,154
115,72%
Cng nghip & Xy dng
462
520
552
83
97
86
407
455
455
Cc hot ng khc
44
49
60
C. T CP L KHNH HO
873
935
947
Cng nghip & Xy dng
370
390,3
377
67
73,1
85
395
426,1
432
Cc hot ng khc
37
41,2
47

Cng nghip & Xy dng
Cc hot ng khc
CT TNHH MTV L HI DNG
IN BN NI B
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
46,84
eBook for You
IN THNG PHM 2009
108,37%
51.252
12
LUN VN THC S
1.2.1.2 Sn lng in nng

Sn lng in nng tiu th ca h thng in Vit Nam tng rt mnh qua cc
nm. S tng trng s c minh ha c th cc bng s liu v biu di
y:
HT
QG
Bc
Trung
Nam
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
31137
36410
41275
46790
53647
60623
69071
76593
87040
12084
13913
15811
17603
20074
22528
25570
28516
33275
3042
3500
3977
4435
4979
5665
6410
7223
8377
15794
18692
21261
24407
27946
31716
36053
39493
44411
Bng 1.3: Tng trng (%)4

A01 - 00
A02 - 01
A03 - 02
A04 - 03
A05 - 04
A06 - 05
A07 - 06
A08 - 07
A09 - 08
15,15
16,93
13,36
13,36
14,65
13,00
13,94
10,89
13,64
Bc
14,04
15,14
13,64
11.33
14,04
12,22
13,50
11,52
16,69
Trung
16,91
15,06
13,63
11,52
12,27
13,78
13,15
12,68
15,98
Nam
16,48
18.35
13,74
14,80
14,50
13,49
13,67
9,54
12,45
HT
QG
Qua bng s liu trn, c th thy tc tng trng ca ton h thng

in Vit Nam tng trng kh u qua cc nm. Trong giai on t 2000-2009,
trung bnh mt nm sn lng in tiu th tng khong 13,9%/nm. Nm 2008
mc tng trng so vi nm 2007 l thp nht trong c giai on do nm
2008 Vit Nam cng nh cc nc khc trn th gii b nh hng mnh bi
suy thoi kinh t. Tuy nhin, ti nm 2009, tc tng trng tiu th in
tng ln gn bng mc trung bnh trong c giai on. Biu di y s minh
3
4

Tc gi: Qunh Giao
13
eBook for You
Bng 1.2: Sn lng in nng qua cc nm (tr.kWh)3
LUN VN THC S
ha r hn s tng trng sn lng in pht tng nm trong giai on t

2000-2009:
Nhn vo biu tng trng sn lng giai on 2000-2009 trong hnh

trn, c th thy cng gn y, tc tng trng sn lng in pht cng ln
do nhu cu tiu th in ca ngi dn cng nh cc ngnh cng nghip tng
mnh. S tng trng v ph ti gy ra mt p lc rt ln ln ngnh in. trong
phn sau ca lun vn ny s trnh by tip v s tng trng v hin trng ca
ngun in, qua s thy r hn s mt cn i gia cung v cu trong ngnh
in hin nay.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
14
eBook for You
Hnh 1.4: Biu tng trng sn lng5
LUN VN THC S
Ba min Bc, Trung Nam c t trng ph ti tng i n nh trong sut

giai on t 1995 ti 2009. Min Trung l khu vc c ph ti tiu th thp nht
trong c nc. Min Bc v min Nam l hai trung tm ph ti ln, c bit l
khu vc min Nam (t nm 2000 tr i, ph ti khu vc min Nam chim
trn 50% t l ph ti c nc). Min Bc mc d c t trng ph ti thp hn,
nhng ngun in khu vc pha Bc cng khng p ng c nhu cu ph ti
ti ch. Do , trong nhng nm gn y, in nng thng xuyn phi c
truyn ti ngc t min Nam ra min Bc gy ra p lc ln ln ng dy
truyn ti 500kV. ng thi, khu vc pha Bc phi nhp khu thm in Trung
Quc p ng cho cc tnh ln cn bin gii. Ni dung ny s c trnh by
r hn phn 1.2.3. (v li in) v Chng 2 (S cn thit phi nhp khu
in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam).
1.2.1.3 Cng sut nh
Tng ng vi sn lng in tiu th, cng sut nh tiu th ca h
thng in Vit Nam tng rt mnh qua cc nm.
Bng 1.4: Cng sut nh qua cc nm (MW)
HT
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
5655
6552
7408
8283
9255
10187
11286
12636
13867
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
15
eBook for You
Hnh 1.5: T trng ph ti cc min6
LUN VN THC S
QG
Bc
Trung
Nam
2461
2880
3221
3494
3886
4233
4480
5066
6207
613
684
773
853
979
1056
1167
1259
1482
2656
3112
3529
4073
4539
5007
5794
6258
7001
Bng 1.5: Tng trng (%)

DP01 - 00
DP02 - 01
DP03 - 02
DP04 - 03
DP05 - 04
DP06 - 05
DP07 - 06
DP08 - 07
DP09 - 08
15,57%
15,86%
13,06%
11,81%
11,74%
10,07%
10,79%
11,96%
9,74%
Bc
12,17%
17,03%
11,84%
8,48%
11,22%
8,94%
5,83%
13,07%
22,52%
Trung
12,68%
11,58%
13,01%
10.35%
14,77%
7,87%
10,56%
7,84%
17,71%
Nam
18,25%
17,17%
13,40%
15,42%
11,44%
10.31%
15,72%
8,00%
11,87%
HT
QG
Tng t nh sn lng in, tc tng trng cng sut nh tiu th
nh tng ti 11,8%. T nm 2008 ti 2009, cng sut nh dng nh "chng"

li do trong nm 2009, cc ngun mi cha kp vo vn hnh cung cp thm
cng sut cho h thng, do ngun in cung cp cho ph ti hu ht l tn
dng pht cc ngun in c v tng cng s dng cc ngun in t tin nh
nhit in du, diesel. Cng trong nm 2009, tnh trng ct in lun phin
thng xuyn xy ra trn din rng trn c nc, gy nh hng nng n ti
sinh hot thng ngy ca ngi dn v hot ng kinh doanh ca cc doanh
nghip.
Biu di y s minh ha r rng hn v s tng trng cng sut nh
trong tng nm trong giai on 2000-2009:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
16
eBook for You
tng rt nhanh trong c giai on t 2000-2009. Trung bnh mt nm, cng sut
LUN VN THC S
So snh biu tng trng cng sut nh vi biu tng trng sn

lng s thy ngay tc tng trng cng sut nh khng theo kp tc tng
trng sn lng. iu cng minh ha thm cho vic h thng in Vit
Nam ngy cng "ui sc" trong vic m rng thm cc ngun in trong nc
p ng nhu cu ph ti. Bi ton nhp khu in Trung Quc v Vit Nam
cng tr nn cp thit hn p ng nhu cu tng trng ca nn kinh t.
Hnh 1.7: T trng ph ti cc min8
7
8

Tc gi: Qunh Giao
17
eBook for You
Hnh 1.6: Biu tng trng cng sut7
LUN VN THC S
1.2.1.4 Biu ph ti mt ngy in hnh nm 2009

Vit Nam c v tr a l tng i phc tp, tri di v nm st b bin,
c nhiu vng kh hu khc nhau... cc khu vc trong c nc pht trin khng
ng u dn n cng sut ph ti cc khu vc khc nhau c s chnh lch
ln. Ph ti ch yu tp trung vng ng bng, ni cc tnh v thnh ph c
cng nghip pht trin. Ti nhng vng ny cng sut ca ph ti tng i cao,
t l cng sut ph ti ti thi im thp im v cao im (Pmin/Pmax) khng
ln lm khong 0,7, l do ph ti cng nghip ti cc khu vc ny pht trin.
i vi nhng vng min ni hoc sn xut nng nghip, khi cng nghip
khng pht trin th t l Pmin/Pmax khong 0,25-0,3 do ph ti vo cao im
ch yu l ph ti sinh hot. i vi h thng in Vit Nam th Pmin/Pmax
khong 0,6. iu ny gy kh khn rt ln trong vn hnh kinh t h thng in,
tin cn vo cao im ca h thng ta phi chy cc ngun in t tin ph

nh, c khi phi hn ch cng sut ph ti vo cao im do thiu ngun in v
xut hin gii hn cng sut trn cc ng dy truyn ti, my bin p .... Hnh
1.8: l biu ph ti mt ngy in hnh ca h thng in Vit Nam.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
18
eBook for You
v vo thp im ca h thng ta khng khai thc cao c cc ngun in r
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Hnh 1.8: Biu ph ti mt ngy in hnh nm 2009
1.2.2 Ngun in
p ng c nhu cu ph ti, ngun in pht trin khng ngng c
v cng sut t v sn lng. Trong mc ny s trnh by c th v hin trng
ngun in ca Vit Nam v s tng trng t nm 2000-2009, bao gm c v
cng sut t v sn lng.
1.2.2.1 Cng sut
Nm 1995, tng cng sut t HT quc gia l 4461 MW, n nm 2009
l 17521 MW, tng xp x 3,9 ln. Hnh 1.9: th hin tng quan gia tng
trng ngun v ph ti cc i. y l hnh nh tng qut v kh nng p ng
ti ca h thng qua cc nm. Tuy nhin, Hnh 1.9: ch th hin gi tr cng sut
cc i trong nm (thng vo khong thng 11 hoc thng 12) so vi tng
ngun ln nht trong nm.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
19
LUN VN THC S
MW
17521
18000
15763
16000
13512
14000
12270
11576
12000
10010
10000
12636
11286
8884
7871
10187
8000
6000
9255
4910 4910 5285
4461
5726
6233
8283
7408
6552
5655
4000
2000
13867
10626
2796
3177
4329
3595 3875
4893
nm
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Pt
Pkdng
Ph Ti
(Ch thch:
Pt: l tng cng sut thit k ca ton b cc nh my in trong h
thng in;
Pkhdng: l tng cng sut kh dng ca ton b cc nh my in trong
h thng in (cng sut kh dng lun nh hn do c s lo ha trong
my mc, thit b dn ti nh my in khng th pht cng sut bng
cng sut thit k);
Ph ti: l tng cng sut nhu cu ph ti ton quc.)
Nhn vo hnh nh tng quan gia tng trng ngun v ph ti cc i,

v hnh thc c th thy nh vy ngun in quc gia c th p ng c ton
b nhu cu ph ti. Tuy nhin, trong thc t khng phi 100% cc nh my in
lun lun pht cng sut kh dng do cc nguyn nhn sau:
C s c trong khi vn hnh nh my in.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
20
eBook for You
Hnh 1.9: Tng quan gia tng trng ngun v ph ti cc i9
LUN VN THC S
i vi thy in: Vit Nam l nc nhit i, do hai ma ma

v ma kh c s khc bit r rt. Vo u ma ma, thy in c
th c tn dng khai thc ti a. Tuy nhin, vo cui ma ma,
thy in phi c vn hnh mt mc hp l m bo tch
nc h cha nhm c th duy tr vn hnh lin tc vo ma kh.
i vi nhit in: Thi gian bo tr, bo dng tng i di dn
ti khi mt t my nhit in tm thi dng my bo tr, bo
dng, h thng s b thiu ht mt lng cng sut ng k (cc t
my nhit in a s c quy m cng sut ln hn cc t my thy
in).
Do cc nguyn nhn trn, nn thc t ngun cng sut ca h thng in
nm gn y khi nhu cu ph ti tng trng t bin do Vit Nam thc hin

ci cch c mt thi gian tng i di, km theo vic gia nhp WTO. Vic
dn ti tnh trng ct in thng xuyn din ra, c bit vo ma h (l ma
kh, khi khng th tn dng c ngun thy in). Vic ct in ngoi vic
nh hng ti i sng ca ngi dn, doanh thu ca cc doanh nghip hin hu
m cn nh hng rt xu ti mi trng u t, gy ra s ngn ngi, do d ca
cc nh u t khi mun tham gia kinh doanh.
Trong nm 2009, s tham gia ca cc ngun mi c bit l cc ngun mua
ngoi lm thay i ng k t trng cc thnh phn cng sut t ngun trong
h thng in. T trng thnh phn tua bin kh v in mua ngoi tng ln. Tuy
nhin thnh phn thy in vn chim t trng ng k (35,15%). T trng cc
thnh phn ngun in c th hin Hnh 1.10:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
21
eBook for You
quc gia v c bn l khng p ng nhu cu ph ti, c bit trong nhng
LUN VN THC S
Nhp khu
4%
Khc
3%
T hy in
38%
T uabin kh
38%
Nhit in du
3%
Nhit in than
11%
Nhit in chy
kh
3%
eBook for You
Hnh 1.10: Biu c cu cng sut t cc ngun nm 200910
10
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
22
LUN VN THC S
Bng 1.6: T trng cng sut t cc thnh phn ngun in qua cc nm
Thu in
Nhit in than
Nhit in du
Tua bin kh
Diesel v T nh
Ngoi EVN
H Thng
P
2000
6235
3234
51,9
645
10.3
200
3,2
1250
20,0
454
7.3
452
7,2
2001
7872
4069
51,7
645
8,2
200
2,5
2028
25,8
454
5,8
476
6,0
2002
8893
4069
45,8
1245
14,0
200
2,2
2428
27.3
454
5,1
497
5,6
2003
10010
4069
40,6
1245
12,4
200
2,0
2467
24,6
454
4,5
1575
15,7
2004
10627
4069
38.3
1245
11,7
200
1,9
3084
29,0
454
4.3
1575
14,8
2005
11576
4069
35,2
1245
10,8
200
1,7
3084
26,6
454
3,9
2524
21,8
2006
12270
4383
35,7
1245
10,1
200
1,6
3262
26,6
454
3,7
2726
22,2
2007
13512
4393
32,5
1545
11,4
205
1,5
3248
24,0
454
3,4
3668
27,1
2008
15763
5257
33,4
1545
9,8
200
1.3
3197
20.3
454
2,9
5044
32,0
2009
17521
6173
35,2
1545
8,8
537
3,1
3197
18,2
500
2,9
5569
31,8
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
23
eBook for You
Nm
LUN VN THC S
Bng 1.7: T trng cng sut kh dng cc thnh phn ngun in qua cc nm
Thu in
Nhit in than
Nhit in du
Tua bin kh
Diesel v T nh
Ngoi EVN
H Thng
P
2000
5742
3286
57,2
605
10,5
186
3,2
1073
18,7
140
2,4
452
7,9
2001
7380
4121
55,8
605
8,2
186
2,5
1851
25,1
140
1,9
477
6,5
2002
7967
4121
51,7
705
8,8
186
2.3
2338
29.3
140
1,8
477
6,0
2003
9266
4193
45.3
805
8,7
186
2,0
3101
33,5
140
1,5
841
9,1
2004
10046
4193
41,7
1255
12,5
186
1,9
3431
34,2
140
1,4
841
8,4
2005
10982
4193
38,2
1255
11,4
186
1,7
2772
25,2
140
1.3
2436
22,2
2006
11595
4435
38,2
1205
10,4
186
1,6
2932
25.3
200
1,7
2637
22,7
2007
12948
4485
34,6
1505
11,6
186
1,4
2933
22,7
200
1,5
3639
28,1
2008
15125
5337
35.3
1505
10,0
186
1,2
2932
19,4
200
1.3
4965
32,8
2009
16813
6143
36,5
1485
8,8
516
3,1
2945
17,5
300
1,8
5424
32.3
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
24
eBook for You
Nm
LUN VN THC S
1.2.2.2 Sn lng
Sn lng in pht ca ton h thng in nm 2009 l 87019 GWh (gm
c sn lng in bn Campuchia). Tng ph ti ca HT Quc Gia l 86647
GWh, tng trng so vi nm 2008 l 14,07 % trong in sn xut ca cc
NM thuc EVN l 56581GWh, in mua ngoi l 25964 GWh v in mua
Trung Quc l 4102 GWh chi tit ti bng sau:
Tng sn lng ton h thng (gm c

ct ti)
Tng sn lng ton h thng (gm c
in bn Campuchia)
Tng sn lng sn xut ca EVN v
mua ngoi (ph ti HT Vit Nam)
Tng sn lng sn xut ca EVN

Tng sn lng EVN mua t cc nh
my ngoi ngnh (ti im giao nhn)
(a = b + h)
87,040
T l
(b = d + f + g)
87,019
99,98%
(c = d + e + g)
86,647
99,41%
(d)
56,581
65,01%
(e)
25,964
29,83%
(f)
26,337
30,26%
(g)
4,102
4,71%
(h)
20,4
0,02%
(i)
12,605
14,49%
Tng sn lng sn xut ca cc nh

my ngoi ngnh (ti u cc my pht)
Tng sn lng in mua Trung Quc
Tng sn lng in do hn ch cng
sut (do ct ti nh, F81, thiu
ngun)
Tng sn lng in ca cc Cng ty
pht in c phn do EVN s hu c
11
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
25
eBook for You
Bng 1.8: Sn lng in pht ton h thng nm 200911
LUN VN THC S
phn chi phi

Tng SL in bn Campuchia
(k)
373
0,43%
Bng 1.9: Sn lng in pht ca tng thnh phn ngun in trong nm 200912
Sn lng
T l (%)
(GWh)
Thu in
29977
34,45%
Nhit in than
12532
14,40%
Nhit in du (FO)
2551
2,93%
TBK chy kh
37117
42,65%
TBK chy du
249
0,29%
Nhit in chy kh
482
0,55%
Ngun khc
10
0,01%
4102
4,71%
eBook for You
Loi ngun
Nhp khu Trung

Quc
Bng 1.10: Sn lng in pht ca cc nh my in t nm 2000 n nay 13

n v: Tr. kWh
Nm
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
thng
27040
31137
36410
41275
46790
53647
61533
68699
75955
87019
in EVN pht
24916
28433
33680
39244
40243
41185
46536
50658
52875
56581
in EVN mua
1541
1990
2035
1346
5983
10669
12245
15954
21318
25846
Tng ton h
12
13

Tc gi: Qunh Giao
26
LUN VN THC S
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
35
6,5
4,2
1,5
237,7
90
372
603
20
14537
18170
18205
19004
17968
16432
19573
22698
25982
29977
Ho Bnh
8083
8447
8167
8597
8405
8165
7701
9100
10140
8526
Thc B
345
401
401
371
380
335
322
324
475
406
64
1132
1240
260
254
327
Hn ch
Thu in
Tuyn Quang
Qung Tr
Vnh Sn
350
215
218
270
217
184
331
260
361
456
Sng Hinh
208
441
370
402
359
289
397
398
498
470
Pleikrong
Ialy
67
908
2975
3735
3394
3321
3034
S San 3
3755
3413
3337
4049
612
1130
1131
1342
Tr An
2232
2179
1847
1987
1742
1504
1946
2038
1661
2079
a Nhim
1289
1053
810
951
766
525
1033
1187
1244
1281
Thc M
932
927
832
831
637
581
896
899
762
979
Hm Thun
924
1112
1216
1054
838
1183
1186
824
1138
a Mi
400
468
708
558
494
682
630
497
654
i Ninh
1145
1296
A Vng
168
935
Sng Ba H
430
Bun kuop
895
Bun Tua Srah

Cn n
Srokphumieng
Se san 3A
84
256
259
327
361
346
416
32
252
241
277
345
400
463
S san 4
153
Bn Cc
41
Bnh in
90
Sng Cn
152
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
27
eBook for You
Nm
LUN VN THC S
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Bc Bnh
23
Nm Chin 2
T Nh
2009
7
190
208
245
277
273
224
349
851
1368
1705
Nhit in than
3135
3219
4871
7193
7274
9305
10668
11275
11405
12532
Ph Li 1
2153
2220
2274
2579
2202
2459
2937
2832
2586
2907
1351
3202
3529
4299
4315
4198
4331
4450
697
731
641
669
757
694
720
741
520
532
897
729
752
757
Ph Li 2
Ung B 1
428
490
Ung B 2
Ninh Bnh
554
509
549
681
633
689
794
Hi Phng
14
Qung Ninh
55
Na Dng
70
389
Cao Ngn
Formosa
199
800
709
744
695
710
70
445
761
805
1086
1113
1028
1083
Sn ng
36
Cm Ph
76
Nhit in du
2939
3312
3028
2224
1802
2211
1637
2629
2252
2551
Th c
955
880
812
697
424
549
472
603
583
358
Cn Th
182
236
206
193
177
128
128
137
94
29
Mn
Hip Phc
616
1747
2100
1911
1194
1066
1424
955
1726
1464
1319
Amata
37
74
70
68
50
67
26
13
Buorbon
18
22
29
72
58
43
57
69
43
49
81
66
48
Ci Ln
27
Dung Qut
133
TBK chy kh +
ui hi
B Ra
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
4347
4425
8456
12130
18994
23920
26646
28457
32377
37117
1550
1495
2212
2110
2145
2163
2011
1902
2039
2171
28
eBook for You
Nm
Nm
Ph M 21
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2797
1924
544
3467
4378
3525
6061
5844
6012
6213
1006
5700
6388
6512
7166
6410
7993
7979
7841
1595
2905
3199
3141
3421
2818
4154
4442
4110
3883
5121
4582
210
3719
4855
5004
4222
4958
691
2994
6389
589
2145
Ph M 1
Ph M 4
Ph M 3
166
Ph M 22
C Mau 1+2
Nhn Trch 1
TBK chy du
1518
1414
1187
163
250
446
220
543
183
249
B Ra
189
151
70
28
18
41
13
81
35
Ph M 21
569
451
522
13
21
114
50
132
43
19
72
216
42
32
108
12
68
17
Ph M 1
Ph M 4
Ph M 3
Ph M 22
C Mau 1+2
172
Nhn Trch 1
14
Th c
313
275
199
64
17
35
32
70
17
11
Cn Th
447
465
180
49
155
142
109
151
63
14
Diesel
240
90
86
29
43
16
25
42
15
10
Nhit in chy kh
278
502
511
454
432
463
655
684
521
482
278
502
511
454
432
463
514
534
395
340
141
150
126
142
966
2630
3220
4102
V an
m Ph M
in EVN mua TQ
39
383
in EVN bn
CPC
373
Bng 1.11: Sn lng chi tit cc nh my in nm 2009

n v: Tr. kWh
Thng
Tng ton h thng
10
11
12
Nm
5657
5885
7012
7032
7221
7658
7835
8106
7548
7765
7489
7811
87019
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
29
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Thng
10
11
12
Nm
in EVN pht
3705
3771
4282
4100
5014
5080
5292
5555
5192
5270
4769
4550
56581
in SX ngoi EVN
1952
2113
2730
2931
2207
2578
2543
2551
2356
2495
2721
3261
30439
in EVN mua
1676
1867
2447
2631
1858
2204
2110
2112
1932
2023
2239
2745
25846
20
1426
1547
1671
1598
2767
2948
3269
3498
3323
3301
2536
2093
29977
Ho Bnh
479
506
356
422
955
845
1300
1353
1083
663
287
277
8526
Thc B
31
47
33
25
65
43
54
30
16
15
30
15
406
Tuyn Quang
77
94
64
83
173
172
250
139
61
40
57
29
1240
Qung Tr
19
20
34
31
25
23
23
28
27
44
36
17
327
Vnh Sn
45
41
44
43
33
42
34
30
23
32
44
46
456
Sng Hinh
49
42
44
44
47
44
33
30
14
26
45
51
470
15
30
15
67
Hn ch
Thu in
Pleikrong
Ialy
97
169
267
190
312
344
337
428
477
537
498
392
4049
S San 3
30
53
82
63
106
116
119
151
162
191
143
125
1342
Tr An
31
71
127
84
162
238
226
295
298
310
151
86
2079
a Nhim
120
81
97
107
109
120
108
86
105
116
118
114
1281
Thc M
28
48
85
50
99
103
93
99
105
108
81
80
979
Hm Thun
46
56
87
77
108
142
90
95
115
170
62
89
1138
a Mi
25
30
47
44
63
81
57
60
70
93
34
49
654
i Ninh
110
94
92
75
101
150
75
86
91
153
176
91
1296
A Vng
100
76
60
69
71
77
24
57
77
144
108
72
935
32
34
54
74
80
80
76
430
88
82
100
95
163
149
77
895
18
30
24
11
84
Sng Ba H
Bun kuop
45
95
Bun Tua Srah

Cn n
Srokphumieng
Se san 3A
13
13
24
20
30
47
43
57
53
53
37
26
416
11
19
14
20
34
30
34
30
33
25
18
277
11
18
30
22
37
41
44
57
58
57
43
44
463
40
113
153
S san 4
Bn Cc
41
18
14
15
90
10
32
40
38
31
152
Bc Bnh
13
23
Nm Chin 2
Bnh in
13
26
Sng Cn
T Nh
105
75
80
87
136
138
187
195
204
196
175
128
1705
Nhit in than
1009
938
1034
1045
965
1047
949
986
1055
1103
1121
1278
12532
Ph Li 1
262
243
280
276
245
261
246
255
212
199
195
233
2907
Ph Li 2
399
358
366
396
372
366
367
368
369
384
335
371
4450
Ung B 1
68
71
81
43
44
76
38
41
60
79
75
66
741
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
30
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Thng
10
11
12
Nm
Ung B 2
31
84
72
60
126
134
181
208
897
Ninh Bnh
70
64
74
69
65
66
65
63
50
55
55
60
757
Hi Phng
14
14
Qung Ninh
32
11
55
Na Dng
65
61
66
71
58
43
35
37
66
71
63
75
710
Cao Ngn
73
61
65
83
63
69
36
68
73
69
70
74
805
Formosa
72
78
99
106
85
82
86
90
90
92
94
108
1083
Sn ng
13
36
Cm Ph
19
55
76
Nhit in du
64
131
306
384
175
166
141
217
227
134
275
331
2551
Th c
18
70
85
16
15
18
39
41
22
31
358
Cn Th
10
29
Mn
30
81
67
62
44
64
68
27
67
106
616
51
87
182
202
86
87
65
84
101
71
146
156
1319
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.19
Buorbon
13
14
11
49
Ci Ln
13
11
48
Dung Qut
11
23
12
29
28
27
133
2911
3001
3577
3560
2904
3084
3092
2990
2480
2802
3063
3655
37117
B Ra
195
213
243
212
146
172
159
116
163
150
168
233
2171
Ph M 21
524
541
650
611
530
519
556
568
438
388
481
406
6213
Ph M 1
725
686
765
551
661
641
622
653
447
627
690
774
7841
Ph M 4
173
142
195
305
299
154
164
193
266
298
306
324
2818
Ph M 3
432
423
510
498
409
387
415
235
303
441
528
4582
Ph M 22
406
404
515
493
416
381
411
426
365
443
234
463
4958
C Mau 1+2
379
550
502
752
389
688
611
524
532
384
441
637
6389
Nhn Trch 1
76
43
197
137
54
141
154
275
268
208
301
291
2145
TBK chy du
41
33
22
17
35
22
59
249
B Ra
Ph M 21
19
Ph M 1
Ph M 4
Ph M 3
Ph M 22
C Mau 1+2
41
23
13
10
15
55
172
Nhn Trch 1
14
Th c
11
Cn Th
14
Hip Phc
Amata
TBK chy kh + ui
hi
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
31
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
LUN VN THC S
Thng
10
11
12
Nm
Diesel
10
41
37
40
42
42
40
42
39
37
41
40
40
482
V an
28
26
28
31
30
28
30
28
28
28
27
28
340
m Ph M
13
11
12
12
12
12
12
11
13
12
12
142
207
227
342
368
346
363
332
359
390
362
395
411
4102
15
19
65
62
68
65
71
373
Nhit in chy kh
in EVN mua Trung

Quc
in EVN bn CPC
1.2.3 Li in
Cng vi s pht trin v ngun in, li in cng pht trin ng b
eBook for You
p ng nhu cu ph ti.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
32
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Hnh 1.11:
S a l li truyn ti in quc gia
Bng 1.12: Tnh hnh pht trin li in qua cc nm

Cp in p
ng
1998
500 kV
220 kV
110 kV
66 kV
1488
2270
6213
312
dy
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
33
Cp in p
[km]
My bin
500 kV
220 kV
110 kV
66 kV
1999
1528
2830
6430
330
2000
1528
2830
7134
267
2001
1528
3606
7522
208
2002
1528
4266
8123
85
2003
1528
4671
8591
33
2004
2023
4798
9339
33
2005
3265
5230
10874
33
2006
3286
5650
11053
33
2007
3286
6487
11409
2008
3286
7101
11751
2009
3438
8497
12145
1998
2700
4032
5834
631
1999
2700
5535
6132
657
2000
2700
6036
7737
658
2001
2700
7910
9427
577
2002
3150
9161
11621
501
2003
4050
10752
13740
150
2004
4050
12390
16572
150
2005
6150
14890
18459
150
2006
6600
15923
20656
150
2007
7050
17513
22238
68
2008
7050
18639
23834
38
2009
7500
19094
25862
38
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
p
[MVA]
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
34
LUN VN THC S
H thng in Vit Nam l HT hp nht, HT ba min Bc, Trung,

Nam c lin kt bi hai mch ng dy 500 kV. ng dy 500 kV gp
phn to ln trong vic phi hp vn hnh cc ngun in trn h thng, gim chi
ph vn hnh, h tr d phng cng sut gia cc h thng in min, tng
tin cy an ton trong cung cp in cng nh m bo cht lng in nng, to
iu kin a cc nh my in mi vo vn hnh ng tin m bo cn
bng cng sut v nng lng cho ton h thng.
Nm
Pht
Ha
Bnh
Nhn
Nhn
Tnh
Pht
Nng
Nhn
Pleiku
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
1332
974
911
1718
713
913
677
1289
1679
642
Pmax
798
800
802
810
836
792
619
830
836
770
511
1154
1358
599
1575
1904
662
603
580
1740
Pmax
534
664
750
622
760
862
590
502
832
949
142
946
1040
1389
1397
1520
1723
2030
Pmax
220
314
309
419
392
489
436
Pht
Pht
Ph
Nhn
211
923
1183
1361
1565
1788
1978
Pmax
200
250
292
327
376
506
30
39
26
133
89
34
A
Pmax
Nhn
Lm
2001
Pmax
Pht
Ialy
2000
709
655
989
942
1104
1490
Pmax
208
221
238
290
341
417
903
2949
3700
3357
3265
2984
Pmax
360
540
720
720
720
857
889
573
922
659
1169
387
Pmax
514
540
750
728
740
837
797
1286
1481
1495
1133
2394
Pmax
610
776
816
830
814
901
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
eBook for You
Bng 1.13: Sn lng v cng sut truyn ti qua cc trm bin p 500kV
2082
68
729
3605
2908
2500
2543
2057
495
508
553
468
547
1606
353
373
688
458
399
189
369
365
420
3395
3323
4035
727
741
738
520
121
3278
3416
2863
827
880
855
35
Nm
Ph
Pht
M 4
Ph
Pht
Nho
Nhn
Pht
Thng
Nhn
Pht
Nh
B
A
Pmax
Pht
Tn
A
Pmax
M 22
Quan
2000
Ph
M
Tn
Nhn
Nhn
nh
Ph
Pht
M 3
Di
Linh
Nhn
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
1603
2959
3042
3155
3384
2821
489
485
540
460
455
179,5
3694
4942
4143
4884
730
749
852
917
885
90
146
20
351
387
450
1347
1383
1997
483
493
566
66
117
20
362
396
204
1413
1357
2134
485
465
502
92
216
Pmax
404
18
Pmax
175
150
Pmax
300
13
4668
26
1391
31
1291
418
20
172
3142
926
1001
976
70
137
261
192
209
345
920
583
586
474
396
414
1184
1575
1447
374
484
442
3805
3478
3520
749
723
780
188
1030
1349
Pmax
343
422
475
12
107
33
136
253
252
832
11
Pmax
745
354
Pmax
745
368
Pmax
396
A
Pmax
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
3515
3651
1507
3562
Pmax
Pht
2003
285
Pmax
Pht
2002
Pmax
Pmax
Nhn
2001
1311,9
749
164
687
826
3851
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
36
LUN VN THC S
Bng 1.14: Sn lng nhn pht qua HT 500 kV ca cc HT min

nm
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Pht
1865
1332
974
911
1718
713
1023
733
1445
1941
682
Nhn
303
511
1154
1500
1545
2615
3659
4741
4883
5043
7901
Pht
906
2949
3730
3396
3267
2984
3672
3863
3870
5648
Nhn
1155
1632
1838
2350
2507
2892
3468
2810
2958
2942
2246
Pht
654
889
573
922
659
2952
8376
11734
12164
12171
12841
Nhn
844
797
1286
1481
1495
1133
4623
7936
8956
9331
8071
HT Bc
HT Trung
HT Nam
Bng 1.12 v 1.13 trn cho thy s thiu ngun trm trng ca khu vc
pha Bc. Bt u t nm 2004, h thng in min Bc ch yu nhn in t
min Nam. Cc nh my in ln ti min Bc ch yu phc v cho nhu cu
ph ti khu vc, ch cn mt phn nh sn lng c truyn vo min Nam.
c nng cp ln thnh ng dy mch kp (tng gp i sn lng truyn

ti). Trong nm 2009, tng sn lng in pht v nhn trn li 500kV ca
min Bc ln ti 8583 triu kWh, trn h thng li 500kV ca min Nam l
20912 triu kWh v trn h thng in min Trung l 7894 triu kWh. Trong
nhng nm ti, nu vn tip tc vn hnh theo xu hng in t min Nam
truyn ti ra min Bc, th h thng in truyn ti 500kV chc chn s khng
th p ng c nhu cu ph ti ca khu vc min Bc.
1.3 Vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam

1.3.1 Tnh hnh vn hnh ngun in
1.3.1.1 Nguyn tc vn hnh chung
Nh phn 1.2.2 trnh by, t trng ca cc nh my thy in ti Vit
Nam tng i ln, cc ngun thy in c u im l gi thnh sn xut in
thp nhng cng c nhc im l sn lng in pht ph thuc vo thi tit,
y l yu t bt nh. Vn hnh cc nh my thy in ph thuc vo tng giai
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
37
eBook for You
Trong nhng nm gn y, h thng in 500kV bt u b qu ti mc d
LUN VN THC S
on trong nm: Giai on ma kh, ma ma, giai on tch nc. vn

hnh ti u cc ngun in th cn phi vn hnh hp l, khai thc ti u sn
lng ca cc nh my thy in, cc nh my nhit in vn hnh theo mc
u tin v chi ph sn xut theo loi nhin liu, gi nhin liu, c tnh tiu hao
eBook for You
nhin liu ca cc t my hoc theo gi bn in ca cc nh my.
Hnh 1.12: Din bin mc nc h thy in trong mt nm
1.3.1.2 Giai on ma kh (t thng 1 n thng 6)

Cc nh my nhit in than v tua bin kh c khai thc ti a, mua
in Trung Quc vi kh nng ti a, tng cng truyn ti in nng t min
Nam ra min Bc. Khai thc hn ch Ha Bnh v cc h thu in m bo
nng lng cho cc thng cui ma kh. B tr hp l k hoch sa cha hu
ht cc t my trong qu I m bo p ng cng sut v sn lng cc thng
qu II.
Ngoi nhim v pht in cc nh my thy in min Bc cn c nhim
v m bo nc phc v sn xut nng nghip cho ng bng Bc B (V d
nm 2009: x nc cc h Ho Bnh (800m3/s), Tuyn Quang (600 m3/s),
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
38
LUN VN THC S
Thc B (250 m3/s) t ngy 19/1 n 25/1 v 27/2 n 04/3) gi mc nc

Sng Hng ti H Ni l 2,5 m.
Trong thng 6, cc NM thy in pha Bc gi nc tng cng sut
kh dng trong cc gi cao im (sng, ti), cc NM thu in min Trung v
min Nam khai thc cao. N than v TBK khai thc ti a p ng nhu cu
ph ti. N du: khai thc chy ph nh trong cc ngy nng nng, ph ti tng
cao t bin. Trong thng 5 v thng 6, do thi tit din bin phc tp v chuyn
i ph ti sang cp thm t ngun Trung Quc.
Nm 2009, giai on ma kh l giai on ph ti tng trng cao nht
trong nm, tc tng trng ph ti l 17,53 % so vi cng k nm 2008. c
bit trong thng 6 v thng 7 xy ra cc t nng nng ko di, ph ti tng cao
(sn lng ngy ln nht t 274 Triu kWh, cng sut max t 13603 MW
(c bit khu vc HT min Bc), nhiu D v trm 500/220kV y ti v qu

ti .
1.3.1.3 Giai on ma l (t 16/06 n 15/10)
Trong cc thng ma l (thng 6,7,8,9): Nh my Ha Bnh phi m bo
gi mc nc trong gii hn theo quy trnh iu tit l. Nh my Thc B v
Tuyn Quang khai thc hn ch nhm tch nc cho ma kh nm sau. Thu
in Nam khai thc ti a. Mua in Trung Quc mc cao (14 triu
kWh/ngy). Cc ngun nhit in than , tua bin kh ca cc nh my trong v
ngoi EVN huy ng ti a p ng nhu cu ph ti. Nhit in du, TBK
du v diesel ch chy ph nh.
khc phc kh khn v thiu ngun, nhiu khi NLDC phi iu chnh
li lch sa cha cc t my nhit in than, nhit in du v thu in nhm
m bo cng sut kh dng cao nht cng nh gim ti thiu sn lng in
pht bng du.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
39
eBook for You
trong khi cng sut min Bc t 5812 MW) nn vic cp in rt cng thng
LUN VN THC S
Tng sn lng thy in trong ma l chim 42,9% ton h thng. Trong

cc thng ma l, cc NM thu in vn hnh n nh.
1.3.1.4 Giai on tch nc (t thng 10 n thng 12)
Mc tiu ca giai on ny l huy ng cc ngun nhit in vi chi ph
thp nh tua bin kh chy kh, nhit in than, mua in Trung Quc mc cao
tch nc v duy tr mc nc cc h thu in (nu c th c) ln
MNDBT vo cui thng 12. Mt khc, cn iu chnh thng xuyn phng
thc khai thc cc nh my thu in tn dng ti a lu lng nc v,
trnh x tha lng ph. ng thi phi y nhanh tin sa cha cc ngun
kp cho ma kh sang nm.
1.3.2 Tnh hnh vn hnh li in
Trong cc nm gn y, do min Bc khng c b sung ngun mi c

cng sut ln nn in nhn t HT 500kV rt ln (Nm 2009 l 6,78 t kWh),
truyn ti trn ng dy 500 kV Bc - Nam rt cng thng v lun truyn ti
cng sut cao t Nam ra Bc.
Do nhu cu truyn ti cao t HT 500kV vo HT min Bc nn ngay c
trong ch vn hnh bnh thng cc MBA 500kV ti min Bc nh: H Tnh,
Thng Tn, Nho Quan thng xuyn trong tnh trng y ti hoc qu ti.
1.3.2.2 Li in tuyn ti 220/110kV
Vic vn hnh li truyn ti cc k cng thng v kh khn, trong ch
vn hnh bnh thng c mt lot phn t y v qu ti, trong tp
trung ch yu l cc MBA. Tnh trng ny xy ra c 3 min Bc, Trung, Nam
nhng tp trung ch yu l min Bc v min Nam ni c ph ti cao.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
40
eBook for You
1.3.2.1 H thng in 500kV
LUN VN THC S
1.4 Vai tr ca nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam

Qua thc t vn hnh cc nm gn y nh nu ti cc mc 1.2, 1.3, ta c
th thy rng nhu cu mua in Trung Quc rt cao trong tt c cc thi im
trong nm. in hnh nh nm 2009, sn lng v cng sut mua t li in
Trung Quc trong 6 thng ma kh: cng sut cc i 650 MW, sn lng trung
bnh ngy 10 tr.kWh/ngy. Vo 6 thng cui nm, tch nc cc h thu in
min Bc cng sut mua tng n 750 MW, sn lng trung bnh ngy 12
tr.kWh/ngy. Tng sn lng mua in trung Quc nm 2009 t 4,1 t kWh14.
Hn na, phn tch thc t tnh hnh vn hnh li in truyn ti cng
cho thy nu vn tip tc vn hnh h thng in quc gia theo xu hng nh
hin nay, h thng truyn ti in 500kV s khng p ng c nhu cu ph
ti, dn ti min Bc thiu in trm trng. Ch trong hai nm 2009 v 2010,
tip tc ko di tnh trng thiu in s gy nh hng xu ti mi trng u t

ti Vit Nam.
Thc t hin nay, u t vo khu pht in c sut u t rt ln. C th
ly v d mt s loi hnh nh my in hin nay: Thy in c sut u t trung
bnh 35 t VN/MW, nhit in chy than c sut u t khong 23 t
VN/MW (than ni a), nhit in tua bin kh chu trnh hn hp c sut u t
khong 15 t VN/MW. Nh vy, u t c mt nh my tuabin kh chu
trnh hn hp c cng sut khong 600MW, nh u t phi b ra mt ngun
vn u t vo khong 9000 t VN. Sut u t ln nh vy to ra mt p lc
rt ln ln EVN cng nh cc nh u t khc mun u t vo khu pht in.
Tuy nhin, hin nay tim nng thy in gn nh c khai thc trit
, cc d n thy in ang trin khai hu ht u gp nhiu kh khn nh v
di dn ti nh c, v tr a l, a hnh a cht xy dng nh my... V vy,
14
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
41
eBook for You
vic ct in trn lan gy ra rt nhiu phn ng trong d lun. Do , vic
LUN VN THC S
sut u t ca thy in trong tng lai s tip tc tng ln, dn dn bin thy
in khng cn l mt loi hnh ngun kinh t na. Cn i vi nhit in than,
tr lng than trong nc cng ang dn cn kit dn ti cc nh my nhit in
chy than phi tm kim ngun than nhp khu, khin cho gi thnh sn xut
nhit in than s tng cao hn so vi hin ti. Trong khi , nh nc vn ang
kim sot gi bn l in u ra, dn ti nhng kh khn khi m phn gi bn
in gia cc ch nh my in vi Cng ty Mua bn in: thi gian tha
thun gi bn in ko di v thng thng khng tha mn c cc tiu ch
kinh t ti chnh cho ch u t. V vy, kh nng tng cng u t vo ngun
in trong tng lai l tng i kh khn.
Hn na, thi gian xy dng mt nh my in thng thng ko di
khong 4-5 nm, cha k thi gian nghin cu kho st, lp d n u t
u t pht trin vo ngun in khng phi l phng n ti u.

Trong bi cnh , vic t ra bi ton nhp khu in Trung Quc l ht
sc cp thit. Trong Chng 2 s phn tch su hn s cn thit phi nhp khu
in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
42
eBook for You
(khong 2-3 nm). Nh vy c th thy p ng nhu cu ph ti trc mt,
LUN VN THC S
Chng 2.
S cn thit nhp khu in t Trung Quc

vo Vit Nam
2.1 Khi qut v tnh hnh sn xut in ti cc tnh pha Nam

Trung Quc
2.1.1 Gii thiu chung
Ti Vit Nam, ngun in Trung Quc c nhp khu v Vit Nam ch
yu t cc tnh pha Nam Trung Quc, st bin gii Vit Nam. ng nhp
khu v ch yu thng qua cc tnh bin gii nh Lo Cai, H Giang.
Khu vc 5 tnh pha Nam Trung Quc hin ang xut khu in sang Vit
Nam l 5 tnh Qung ng, Qung Ty, Vn Nam, Qu Chu v Hi Nam. y
dn tc thiu s ca Trung Quc. n v chu trch nhim chnh trong vic xy

dng ngun in, qun l v vn hnh h thng in truyn ti, phn phi ti
y l Tp on in lc Phng Nam CSG (China Southern Grid Company).
Hnh 2.1: Bn a l khu vc min Nam Trung Quc15
15
CSG, Update For CSG Power Grid Planning & GMS Cooperation Projects, ADB, Thailand 2009
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
43
eBook for You
l khu vc c a hnh phc tp nhiu ni cao, l ni tp trung s lng ln cc
LUN VN THC S
Khu vc ny c tng din tch khong 1.000.000km2, GDP nm 2009 t

5,34 nghn t Nhn dn t, chim 17,7% GDP ton Trung Quc. Dn s 236
triu ngi, chim 17,8% dn s Trung Quc.
Tnh Qung ng c khong 83 triu ngi, c tnh c 53 dn tc trong
c 0,7% dn tc thiu s. Din tch ca c tnh khong 178000km2. Tnh
Qung ng l mt trong nhng tnh duyn hi ca Trung Quc, tip gip vi
Hng Kng, Qung Ty, Ma Cao, Giang Ty, H Nam v Phc Kin. Th ph
tnh Qung ng l thnh ph Qung Chu. L khu vc c hm lng khong
sn trong rt phong ph, qua khai thc pht hin c hn 116 loi khong sn
khc nhau.
Tnh Qung Ty v tnh Vn Nam l hai tnh tip gip vi Vit Nam. Th
ph ca tnh Qung Ty l thnh ph Nam Ninh (Nanning), th ph ca tnh
l khu t tr dn tc Zhuang, y l khu vc tp trung sinh sng ca a s dn

tc Zhuang v dn tc Dao ca c nc Trung Quc. Tnh Qung Ty c ng
bin gii tip gip vi Vit Nam di gn 637km. Qung Ty l khu vc tp
trung nhiu sng ln c gi tr xy dng cc nh my thy in, kh nng cung
cp 81 t kWh/nm t thy in, y cng l khu vc c tr lng khong sn
phong ph ca Trung Quc. Tnh Vn Nam gm nhiu ni non him tr to
thnh, y l ni bt ngun ca con sng Hng ca Vit Nam. c im a
hnh Vn Nam phc tp, cao v pha bc (pha bc cao hn mt nc bin t
3000- 4000m, c bit c ni cao n 6740m) thp dn v pha nam (pha nam
cao hn mt nc bin khong 1500- 2200m). Vn Nam lun c coi l khu
vc c tha hng nhiu s u i ca thin nhin, ngun ti nguyn v ng
thc vt v khong sn qu u nhiu v ni ting bi cc loi cy thuc ng y.
Vn Nam c 52 dn tc trong s 56 dn tc. Theo con s thng k ca tnh, nm
2004 c tnh c xp x 45 triu ngi. Tnh trong nm 2004 c tnh t c
tng gi tr xut nhp khu l 3,75 t USD.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
44
eBook for You
Vn Nam l thnh ph Cn Minh (Kunming). Khu vc Qung Ty cn c gi
LUN VN THC S
Tnh Qu Chu (Guizhou): vi th ph l thnh ph Qu Dng dn s

xp x 40 triu dn (tnh n nm 2007), ting a phng l ting Ty Nam
Quan Thoi. Qu Chu nm v pha Ty Nam Trung Quc. Din tch ca c tnh
vo khong 160 ngn km2, c tnh c hn 980 con sng c chiu di ln hn 10
km. y l ngun ti ngun di do cung cp cho thy in ca c nc, lng
in m Qu Chu cung cp t ngun thy in chim 4,4% tng sn lng in
c nc. Qu Chu cn c gi l Bin than Ty Nam do c tr lng than
khong 49 t tn v l ni c cht lng than tt ni ting c nc. Tng cng
sut ngun nhit in ca Qu Dng l 13.240 MW.
Tnh Hi Nam l tnh cc Nam Trung Quc, bao gm nhiu o, trong
o ln nht c gi l o Hi Nam (Hi Nam o). Tnh l l thnh ph Hi
Khu. o Hi Nam l o ln nht di quyn kim sot ca Trung Quc. Ton
gn nh nht Trung Quc. Ngun thu nhp chnh ca tnh Hi Nam l cc sn

phm nng nghip. GDP nm 2006 l 122,96 t Yuan (Nhn dn t), ch bng 0,5%
nn kinh t cng ha nhn dn Trung Quc. Vo nm 2007, thu nhp trn u
ngi ca o Hi Nam l 14631 Yuan.
2.1.2 Tng quan v li in khu vc Nam Trung Quc

Cho ti ht nm 2008, hin trng li in khu vc Nam Trung Quc nh
sau16:
Tng cng sut cc my bin p 500kV: 99.300 MVA
Tng cng sut cc my bin p 220kV: 151.000 MVA
Tng cng sut truyn ti trn ng dy siu cao p mt chiu (HVDC
750kV): 7.800 MW
Chiu di li 500kV: 26.000 km;
16
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
45
eBook for You
tnh Hi Nam c dn s khong gn 8.200 nghn ngi, din tch 33.920km2,
LUN VN THC S
Chiu di li 220kV: 41.000 km;

Chiu di ng dy HVDC: 3.000km.
Cc ngun in ca khu vc ch yu t ti ba tnh Vn Nam, Qu Chu
v Qung Ty, trong khi , trung tm ph ti li pha ng (tnh Qung
ng). Do , li in truyn ti khu vc ch yu lm nhim v truyn ti in
nng t ba tnh Vn Nam (khong 4.080 MW/nm), Qu Chu (6.300 MW/nm)
eBook for You
v Qung Ty (3.700 MW/nm) sang Qung ng.
Hainan
Hnh 2.2: Lung cng sut truyn ti ni b trn li in khu vc Nam Trung Quc17
Do trung tm ph ti ti Qung ng rt ln, nn tnh ny cn phi nhn

in t hai tnh ln cn pha Bc l L Giang (1.500 MW/nm) v Sn Ty
(2.800 MW/nm).
17
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
46
LUN VN THC S
2.1.3 S pht trin ngun in khu vc

Theo s liu thng k nm 2008, tng cng sut t khu vc ny l
140.000 MW, trong t trng cao nht l nhit in (85.600 MW chim ti
61,14%), tip theo l thy in (47.700 MW chim 34,07%). S di y
biu din cng sut cc loi ngun in khu vc:
Bng 2.1: Cc loi ngun in khu vc pha Nam Trung Quc18
STT
Loi ngun in
Cng sut t (MW)
T trng (%)
Thy in
47.700
34.68%
Nhit in
85.600
62.24%
Ht nhn
3.800
2.76%
Nng lng ti to (in

430
0.31%
gi, nng lng mt tri,
eBook for You
nng lng sinh khi)

Cng sut t cc loi ngun in nm 2008
90
T trng cc loi ngun in nm
2008
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
Thy i n
Nhi t i n
10
Ht nhn
NLTT
0
Thy in
Nhit in
Ht nhn
NLTT
Hnh 2.3: Cc loi hnh ngun in nm 2008
Vi cng sut t cc loi ngun nh trn, tng sn lng in pht trong

nm 2008 l 588 t kWh, tng 6,22% so vi nm 2007.
18
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
47
LUN VN THC S
2.1.4 Nhu cu ph ti khu vc

Cng theo s liu thng k nm 2008, tng nhu cu ph ti khu vc nm
2008 l 594 t kWh, tng 5,37% so vi nm 2007. Cng sut ph ti nh l
99.200 MW, tng 13,6% so vi 2007.
Biu di y l din bin tc tng trng ph ti khu vc pha
Nam Trung Quc so vi ton Trung Quc.
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
2008-1,2
2008-3
2008-4
2008-5
2008-6
2008-7
2008-8
2008-9
2008-10 2008-11 2008-12 2009-1,2
2009-3
2009-4
2009-5
2009-6
2009-7
2009-8
2009-9
2009-10
-2%
eBook for You
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
-12%
National
Ton TQ
CSG
Hnh 2.4: Din bin tng trng ph ti t thng 01/2008 ti thng 10/2009
2.2 Lin kt li in gia hai quc gia

2.2.1 Hin trng lin kt li in
Li in Vit Nam v Trung Quc c lin kt vi nhau thng qua hai
cp in p 220 kV v 110 kV.
Cp in p 220kV: C hai ng dy mch kp l M Quan H Giang
v Tn Kiu Lo Cai.
Cp in p 110 kV: C cc ng dy Tn Kiu Lo Cai, mch kp
Thanh Thy H Giang, ng Hng Mng Ci.
S lin kt li in ti Hnh 2.5:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
48
LUN VN THC S
Hnh 2.5: S li in lin kt Vit Nam Trung Quc
Thi Nguyn, Cao Bng, Bc Cn, Ph Th, Vnh Phc, v mt phn Qung
Ninh nhn in t Trung Quc. Chi tit ti hnh Hnh 2.6:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
49
eBook for You
Hin nay, cc tnh Sn La, H Giang, in Bin, Lo Cai, Yn Bi,
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Hnh 2.6: S li in min Bc

Ghi ch:
Mu tm
Mu Xanh
: Li in 220 kV u ni vo li in Trung Quc

: Li in 110 kV u ni vo li in Trung Quc
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
50
LUN VN THC S
2.2.2 Lin kt li in d kin trong tng lai

Trong giai on sp ti, Vit Nam v Trung Quc d kin s xy dng
ng dy 500kV t Vn Nam v trm 500kV Hip Ha truyn ti in mua
bn gia hai quc gia. Hin nay, Cng ty Li in Min Nam Trung Quc
Trung Quc (CSG) v Tp on in lc Vit Nam (EVN) k tha thun
(MOU) hp tc y mnh lin kt in gia hai Vit Nam v Nam Trung Quc.
ng dy 500kV c Ngn hng Th gii h tr vn lp bo co kh
thi d kin a vo vn hnh sau nm 2015, d kin ng dy ny c dung
lng truyn ti ln ti 3000MW, tuy nhin cc thng tin c th v chiu di,
loi ng dy, cc thit k k thut chi tit ang c hai bn nghin cu
thm19.
2.3.1 Chi ph mua in

H thng in Vit Nam c nhiu loi nh my in nh: Thy in, nhit
in than, nhit in du, tuabin kh chy kh, tuabin kh chy du, diesel, thy
in nh... Chi ph u t v sn xut in ca cc loi nh my l khc nhau.
Bng 2.2: Gi bn in ca cc loi nh my
TT
19
Loi nhin liu
Gi bn in
(cent/kWh)
Ghi ch
Thy in
2.5 5
Nhit in s dng than trong

nc
34
Nhit in s dng than nhp

khu
8-9
Tnh ton vi gi
than 100 USD/tn
Nhit in chy du
15 19
Tnh ton vi gi
Johnathan Hedgecok, Review International Power Interconnection Project in the GMS, ADB, Thailand 2009
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
51
eBook for You
2.3 Tnh hnh mua bn in hin nay
LUN VN THC S
du FO:
USD/kg
5
Tuabin kh chy kh chu trnh

hn hp
3-5
Tuabin kh chy du chu trnh
30-35
n
7
Diesel
Thy in nh
0.718
Tnh ton vi gi
du DO: 0.87
USD/lt
40 - 45
3-5
Qua bng trn c th thy rng cc nh my nhit in than s dng than

nhp khu, cc nh my nhit in chy du, tuabin khi chy du, diesel c gi
bn in rt cao. p ng nhu cu tiu th in trong nc th hng nm
2000 n nm 2009: Nhit in du: 2.46 t kWh, Tuabin kh chy du 0.6 t

kWh, nhit in than nhp: 1.1 t kWh (chi tit ti Bng 1.10:, Bng 1.2:, Bng
1.11:).
2.3.2 Tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc

Bt u t nm 2004, Vit Nam bt u nhp khu in t Trung Quc.
Nm 2004 2005 ch nhp khu qua cc ng dy cp in p 110 kV, t nm
2006 bt u nhp khu qua cc ng dy 220 kV. Sn lng in nhp khu
tng dn qua cc nm. Chi tit ti bng Bng 2.3:.
Bng 2.3: Sn lng in nhp khu qua cc nm
n v: tr. kWh
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
110 kV
38.5
381.9
939.3
855.2
875.3
901.0
220 kV
0.0
0.0
27.1
1774.5
2344.2
3201.1
38.5
381.9
966.4
2629.7
3219.5
4102.1
Tng
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
52
eBook for You
EVN phi mua mt sn lng rt ln t cc nh my ny, trung bnh t nm
LUN VN THC S
Hnh 2.7: Biu sn lng in nhp khu qua cc nm
Gi nhp khu in t Trung Quc khong 4.3 5.2 cents/kWh (theo mc
chy du, nhit in du (theo Bng 2.2: m EVN vn phi mua th li ch kinh
t rt ln.
Bng 2.4: So snh li ch kinh t khi nhp khu in t Trung Quc
Gi du th gii
(USD/thng)
Gi nhit in du
(cents/kWh)
Gi nhp khu in
(cents/kWh)
Gi chnh lch (cents/kWh)
Sn lng nhp khu (tr.
kWh)
Tin chnh lch (tr. USD)
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
37.41
50.04
58.3
64.2
91.48
53.56
5.9
7.9
9.2
10.1
14.4
8.5
4.3
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.5
5.2
1.6
3.4
4.7
5.6
9.9
3.3
38.5
381.9 966.4 2629.7 3219.5 4102.1
1.66
17.19 43.49 118.34 144.88 213.31
53
eBook for You
3.1), so snh vi cc nh my in c gi thnh cao trong nc nh tuabin kh
LUN VN THC S
(Ngun gi du th gii: http://www.ioga.com/Special/crudeoil_Hist.htm)

Qua bng trn c th thy rng li ch nhp khu in t Trung Quc l
rt ln.
2.4 Vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam giai on 2011-2015

(Bo co ca PRP)
2.4.1 D liu u vo - Gi thit tnh ton

2.4.1.1 Tin cc cng trnh mi
Cn c theo thng bo s 268/TB-VPCP ngy 28/9/2010 v kin kt
lun ca Ph Th tng Hong Trung Hi ti cuc hp Ban ch o nh nc
Quy hoch in VI (phin hp th chn).
eBook for You
Cn c d kin tin ngun in giai on 2011-2015 trong Quy hoch

in VII (bo co B Cng thng thng 10/2010)
2.4.1.2 D bo ph ti
D kin ba phng n tng trng ph ti: Phng n trung bnh, phng
n cao, phng n thp.
Kt qu d bo nh sau:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
54
LUN VN THC S
Nhu cu in nng cc min v h thng (GWh)
Kt qu d bo nhu cu in nng cc min v ton h thng ng vi ba phng n ph ti c cho trong Bng 2.5:.
Bng 2.5: Nhu cu in nng cc min v h thng
Phng n Cao
Phng n Trung Bnh
HT
Bc
Trung
Nam
2011
117,218
46,060
11,760
2012
138,306
54,422
2013
162,530
2014
2015
Phng n Thp
HT
Bc
Trung
Nam
HT
Bc
Trung
Nam
59,397
114,236
44,891
11,463
57,882
112,248
44,111
11,265
56,872
14,034
69,850
131,361
51,693
13,335
66,332
126,830
49,913
12,880
64,037
64,014
16,671
81,844
150,427
59,254
15,441
75,731
142,702
56,216
14,656
71,831
190,224
74,953
19,707
95,564
171,547
67,602
17,790
86,155
159,884
63,011
16,592
80,281
221,758
87,361
23,178
111,219
194,838
76,765
20,389
97,684
178,394
70,292
18,684
89,418
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
55
eBook for You
Nm
LUN VN THC S
Minh ha nhu cu tiu th in nng cc min v ton h thng in ng vi ba
eBook for You
phng n tng trng ph ti trong, Hnh 1.
Hnh 2.8: Nhu cu tiu th in nng h thng in Quc gia
Theo tng trng nhu cu tiu th nng lng h thng in Quc gia (%)
c cho trong.
Bng 2.6: Tng trng nhu cu tiu th in nng
Nm
PA Cao
PA Trung Bnh
PA Thp
2011
17.94
14.94
12.94
2012
17.99
14.99
12.99
2013
17.51
14.51
12.51
2014
17.04
14.04
12.04
2015
16.58
13.58
11.58
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
56
Hnh 2.9: Nhu cu tiu th in nng Min Bc
Theo tng trng nhu cu tiu th nng lng in min Bc (%) c cho
trong Bng 2.7:.
Bng 2.7: Tng trng nhu cu tiu th in nng min Bc
Nm
PA Cao
2011
19.25
16.22
14.20
2012
18.15
15.15
13.15
2013
17.63
14.63
12.63
2014
17.09
14.09
12.09
2015
16.55
13.55
11.55
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
PA Trung Bnh
PA Thp
57
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Hnh 2.10: Nhu cu tiu th in nng Min Trung
Theo tng trng nhu cu tiu th nng lng in min Trung (%) c cho
trongError! Reference source not found..
Bng 2.8: Tng trng nhu cu tiu th in nng min Trung
Nm
PA Cao
2011
21.51
18.44
16.39
2012
19.34
16.34
14.34
2013
18.79
15.79
13.79
2014
18.21
15.21
13.21
2015
17.61
14.61
12.61
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
PA Trung Bnh
PA Thp
58
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Hnh 2.11: Hnh 1 - Nhu cu tiu th in nng Min Nam
Theo tng trng nhu cu tiu th nng lng in min Nam (%) c cho
trong Bng 1.
Bng 2.9: Bng 1 Tng trng nhu cu tiu th in nng min Nam
Nm
PA Cao
2011
18.62
15.60
13.58
2012
17.60
14.60
12.60
2013
17.17
14.17
12.17
2014
16.76
13.76
11.76
2015
16.38
13.38
11.38
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
PA Trung Bnh
PA Thp
59
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
LUN VN THC S
Cng sut cc i nm Pmax cc min v h thng (MW)

Kt qu d bo Pmax cc min v ton h thng ng vi cc phng n khc nhau c cho chi tit trong Bng 2.
Bng 2.10: Bng 2 - Cng sut cc i nm Pmax cc min v h thng (MW)
Phng n Cao
Phng n Trung Bnh
Phng n Thp
Nm
Bc
Trung
Nam
HT
Bc
Trung
Nam
HT
Bc
Trung
Nam
2011
18,846
8,534
1,921
8,750
18,297
8,286
1,865
8,495
17,748
8,037
1,809
8,241
2012
21,609
9,831
2,274
10,175
20,980
9,544
2,207
9,878
20,350
9,258
2,141
9,582
2013
24,869
11,425
2,680
11,583
24,145
11,092
2,602
11,246
23,420
10,759
2,524
10,908
2014
28,174
12,685
3,140
13,180
27,353
12,316
3,048
12,796
26,532
11,946
2,957
12,412
2015
32,513
14,955
3,654
15,791
31,566
14,520
3,547
15,331
30,619
14,084
3,441
14,871
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
60
eBook for You
HT
LUN VN THC S
Cng sut cc i nm cc min v ton h thng ng vi ba phng n ph ti
eBook for You
c minh ha trong Hnh 2, Hnh 3, Hnh 4.
Hnh 2.12: Hnh 2 - Biu cng sut cc i nm cc min v ton h thng

Phng n cao
Theo tng trng cng sut cc i Phng n cao nh sau:

H thng in quc gia: 16.32 %
Min Bc: 17.98%
Min Trung: 17.26 %
Min Nam: 15.87%
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
61
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S

Phng n trung bnh
Theo tng trng cng sut cc i Phng n trung bnh nh sau:

H thng in quc gia: 15.6 %
Min Bc: 17.29%
Min Trung: 16.58 %
Min Nam: 15.19%
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
62
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S

Phng n thp
Theo tng trng cng sut cc i Phng n thp nh sau:

H thng in: 14.89 %
Min Bc: 16.59%
Min Trung: 15.90 %
Min Nam: 14.52%
2.4.1.3 Lch sa cha ca cc nh my
D liu u vo
- D liu qu kh v lch sa cha ca cc t my
- Chu k sa cha ca cc nh my: i tu, trung tu, tiu tu
Qu trnh x l
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
63
LUN VN THC S
- Tnh ton d kin lch sa cha ca cc t my cc nm tip theo

2.4.1.4 Tnh ton iu tit thy in
Tng sn lng ca cc nh my thy in trong mt nm ph
thuc vo lu lng nc v ca cc h. Lu lng nc v h ph thuc vo
thi tit v y l yu t bt nh, gim thiu sai s trong tnh ton, chn
phng n lu lng nc v trung bnh trong 10 nm gn y. Vic phn chia
v iu tit sn lng thy in trong tng thi k sao cho ti u ph thuc vo
lu lng nc v tng thi k, nhu cu ph ti ca tng min, nhu cu ph ti
ca c h thng v c cu cc ngun nhit in.
2.4.1.5
Tnh hnh cung cp nhin liu ca cc nh my
D kin than sn xut trong nc cung cp khng cho cc nh

my nhit in, chi tit nhu cu than trong nc v nhp khu c cho trong
Bng 2.11:
Bng 2.11: Nhu cu Than (Triu tn)
Nm
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Min Bc - trong nc
10.8
12.7
15.8
18.8
20.8
Min Bc - nhp khu
Min Trung - trong nc
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.08
Min Trung - nhp khu
Min Nam - trong nc
3.4
Min Nam - nhp khu
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.8
2.39
11.2
13.57
16.77
23.07
32.27
0.4
0.8
0.9
0.8
2.39
10.8
12.77
15.87
22.27
29.88
Ton quc
Tng nhp khu
Trong nc
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
64
eBook for You
Tnh hnh cung cp nhin liu than
LUN VN THC S
Tnh hnh cung cp nhin liu kh

i vi cm tuabin kh min ty
Kh cp cho Mn ca EVN: ly theo kh l B, d kin ti 2014 mi vo
vn hnh. Do cm Mn s k c kh cp v phi chy du.
Kh cp cho C Mau 1 v 2: d kin C Mau 1 s nhn kh PM3 v Ci
Nc nh hin nay. Cn C Mau 2 s nhn phn kh d t 2 m ny sau khi C
Mau 1dng xong, phn cn li dng kh l B. Nh vy n nm 2014 th C
Mau 2 mi kh, cn t nm 2011 do c nh my m C Mau bt u i vo
hot ng, phi chia s kh vi m nn C Mau 2 chc s phi gim chy kh,
tng chy du.
D kin lng kh (gm c Nam Cn Sn v Bch H) cung cp ch

cho cc nh my tuabin kh, khng cung cp cho Hip Phc, do Hip
Phc vn phi chy du.
2.4.1.6 Gi nhin liu v gi bn in ca cc nh my
Hin nay c nhiu dng hp ng mua bn in vi nhiu cch tnh
ton gi bn in khc nhau. C nhng hp ng gi bn in c nh trong
khong thi gian di, khng ph thuc vo gi nhin liu nh: Na Dng, Cao
Ngn... c thi hn hp ng l 25 nm. C nhng nh my hp ng k li sau
2 nm, 4 nm nh: Ph Li, Formosa...
Hin nay cng c nhng nh my gi bn in ph thuc vo gi
nhin liu u vo nh: C Mau 1, 2 (gi kh ph thuc gi du th gii), Nhn
Trch 1, 2 (gi bn in ph thuc gi kh), Hip Phc, Th c, Cn Th (gi
bn in ph thuc gi du FO, DO), Formosa (gi bn in ph thuc gi than
nhp khu)....
Gi kh Nam Cn Sn:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
65
eBook for You
i vi cm Tuabin kh Ph M - B Ra Nhn Trch
LUN VN THC S
Kh cp cho Nhn Trch 1 v 2: l phn kh trn bao tiu ca m

Nam Cn Sn. L trnh tng gi kh c Th tng ph duyt
nh sau:
o T 01/3/2011: tng ln 4,8USD/trBTU;
o T 01/3/2016 tr i: gi tng 2%/nm.
Gi ny l gi bao gm c cc ph vn chuyn, hin nay
l 1,17USD/trBTU.
Kh cp cho Mn ca EVN: ly theo kh l B, d kin ti 2014

mi
vo. Gi d kin ca kh l B l khong 6,6USD/trBTU.
Gi in ph thuc vo gi nhin liu nh bng sau:
STT
Loi nhin
Gi nhin
liu
liu
n v
Gi in
(cent/kWh)
Ghi ch
90
USD/thng
4.6 5
100
USD/thng
5 5.5 gi TBK C Mau
110
USD/thng
5.5 6
USD/lit
33 36
USD/lit
37 40
USD/lit
42 46
Du th
1
0.870
2
Du DO
0.966
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
66
eBook for You
Cn kh cp cho cm Ph M, B Ra l khng i.
LUN VN THC S
STT
Loi nhin
Gi nhin
liu
liu
n v
Gi in
(cent/kWh)
Ghi ch
USD/kg
17 - 19.5
USD/kg
20 23
USD/kg
23 25
USD/tn
3.3 3.5
40
USD/tn
5 5.5
100
USD/tn
89
120
USD/tn
10 - 12
0.718
3
Du FO
0.798
0.877
27
Than cm 5
eBook for You
1.063
Than nhp
2.4.1.7 Gii hn truyn ti gia cc khu vc

ng dy 500 kV ng vai tr l ng dy lin kt h thng in
ba min Bc, Trung Nam.
BC
500 KV
TRUNG
500 KV
NAM
Gii hn truyn ti trn ng dy 500 kV l 1600 MW.
2.4.2 Qu trnh x l Phng php tnh ton

Cc kch bn tnh ton bao gm:
Tnh ton vi ba phng n tng trng ph ti: Cao, thp, trung bnh
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
67
LUN VN THC S
Ba phng n gi du th: 90USD/thng, 100USD/thng, 110USD/thng

Hai phng n gi than:
Than ni a:
Than cm 5: 27 USD/tn, 40 USD/tn

Than cm 4b: 33 USD/tn, 50 USD/tn
Than nhp: 100 USD/tn; 120 USD/tn

Tng hp thnh cc phng n nhin liu
Than ni a (USD/tn)
Gi du th
Than nhp
Kch bn
Than cm 5
Than cm 4b
(USD/tn)
Nhin liu 1
90
27
33
100
Nhin liu 2
100
40
50
120
Nhin liu 3
110
40
50
120
eBook for You
(USD/thng)
2.4.3 D liu u ra Kt qu tnh ton gi bin

2.4.3.1 Phng n ph ti tng trng cao
Nm 2011
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
19.19 19.47 16.61 15.93 13.76 15.45 16.12 14.97 18.91 15.11 15.43 17.81
21.33 21.65 18.46 17.80 15.47 17.22 18.01 16.69 20.94 16.93 17.21 19.83
23.31 23.67 20.09 19.33 16.51 18.64 19.74 18.04 23.02 18.19 18.65 21.60
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
68
LUN VN THC S
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
14.01 13.96 17.20 14.04 13.62 12.07 16.67 16.83 16.53 17.31 15.62 16.95
15.72 15.69 19.17 15.73 15.31 13.97 18.60 18.84 18.45 19.31 17.53 18.85
16.70 16.69 20.76 16.74 16.31 14.65 20.16 20.41 20.01 21.02 18.82 20.46
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
69
eBook for You
Nm 2012
Nm 2013
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
18.15 17.64 18.94 17.62 18.36 16.41 18.73 18.61 17.94 20.04 17.60 18.12
20.21 19.63 21.08 19.63 20.45 18.24 20.86 20.72 20.05 22.29 19.63 20.21
22.01 21.29 22.99 21.37 22.26 19.72 22.74 22.59 21.76 24.32 21.37 21.98
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
70
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nm 2014
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
19.30 19.46 18.30 18.96 18.76 15.63 18.55 18.59 16.43 17.10 16.31 18.69
21.54 21.70 20.44 21.17 20.99 17.58 20.72 20.76 18.44 19.10 18.27 20.88
23.38 23.58 22.14 22.95 22.70 18.81 22.46 22.50 19.91 20.63 19.61 22.63
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
71
Nm 2015
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
18.22 17.76 20.51 14.15 17.48 11.69 17.07 16.62 16.16 17.81 13.46 16.64
20.37 19.89 22.84 16.04 19.61 13.39 19.10 18.67 18.11 19.84 15.18 18.66
22.07 21.50 24.89 17.05 21.16 13.89 20.65 20.09 19.47 21.48 16.12 20.09
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
72
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nhn Xt:
Kt qu tnh ton cho thy: Khi gi nhin liu tng th gi bin pht in
cng tng, gi bin thay i theo tng thi k trong nm. Trong kch bn tnh
ton, gi bin thp nht l 11.69 cents/kWh (thng 6 nm 2015), gi bin cao
nht l 25 cents/kWh (thng 3 nm 2015)
2.4.3.2 Phng n ph ti tng trng trung bnh
Nm 2011
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
19.08 19.41 15.65 14.88 12.98 14.92 15.61 14.76 18.84 14.79 14.62 17.59
21.20 21.58 17.49 16.67 14.66 16.72 17.45 16.40 20.90 16.56 16.26 19.62
23.16 23.59 19.01 17.92 15.48 18.06 18.67 17.65 22.80 17.80 17.45 21.33
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
73
LUN VN THC S
eBook for You
th:
Nm 2012
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
12.40 11.78 13.43 13.46 11.89 13.09 15.45 15.48 15.65 16.77 15.50 16.38
14.07 13.39 15.23 15.21 13.48 14.86 17.15 17.27 17.49 18.76 17.40 18.36
14.80 13.99 16.26 16.20 14.20 15.77 18.48 18.64 18.88 20.34 18.77 19.75
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
74
Nm 2013
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
17.15 15.95 18.44 16.08 16.52 14.00 18.28 18.11 17.17 19.25 17.15 17.33
19.14 17.81 20.54 17.99 18.40 15.62 20.36 20.15 19.19 21.41 19.11 19.38
20.77 19.34 22.37 19.42 19.92 16.52 22.17 21.95 20.79 23.33 20.75 20.99
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
75
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nm 2014
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
18.54 18.64 18.33 16.70 16.51 12.80 17.71 17.38 14.98 14.85 13.61 16.12
20.67 20.76 20.48 18.73 18.54 14.51 19.78 19.46 16.80 16.78 15.35 18.09
22.37 22.43 22.19 20.12 19.88 15.09 21.38 21.02 17.93 17.78 16.23 19.37
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
76
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nm 2015
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
15.50 16.23 18.12 10.97 11.87 10.88 13.68 13.98 13.34 15.30 11.37 13.75
17.40 18.20 20.29 12.58 13.53 12.46 15.59 15.77 15.11 17.13 12.99 15.56
18.62 19.59 21.97 13.00 14.06 12.88 16.37 16.80 15.88 18.36 13.37 16.44
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
77
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nhn Xt:
Trong kch bn tnh ton, gi bin thp nht l 10.88 cents/kWh (thng 6
nm 2015), gi bin cao nht l 23.33 cents/kWh (thng 10 nm 2013)
2.4.3.3 Phng n ph ti tng trng thp
Nm 2011
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
18.95 19.16 15.25 14.34 12.99 14.46 14.90 14.42 18.34 14.51 14.43 17.29
21.09 21.31 17.13 16.10 14.69 16.24 16.68 16.18 20.42 16.31 16.26 19.28
23.04 23.29 18.52 17.27 15.51 17.28 17.90 17.41 22.32 17.47 17.48 20.94
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
78
Nm 2012
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
11.98 12.48 13.48 11.51 11.77 11.86 15.06 15.86 15.12 15.63 13.02 14.58
13.61 14.14 15.05 13.27 13.33 13.52 16.73 17.68 16.89 17.47 14.71 16.39
14.09 14.81 16.06 13.82 13.92 14.13 18.03 19.02 18.24 18.99 15.60 18.10
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
79
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nm 2013
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
16.62 15.06 17.35 14.49 14.62 12.25 17.66 17.83 16.47 18.97 16.74 17.04
18.54 16.85 19.35 16.31 16.44 13.95 19.71 19.88 18.44 21.12 18.71 19.01
20.10 18.15 21.00 17.42 17.62 14.69 21.44 21.62 19.92 22.99 20.26 20.63
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
80
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nm 2014
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
17.61 17.24 17.16 13.60 12.47 11.58 16.93 16.35 13.65 13.11 12.21 13.51
19.71 19.31 19.19 15.18 14.14 13.19 18.96 18.30 15.44 14.81 13.86 15.24
21.29 20.88 20.72 16.03 14.84 13.66 20.43 19.61 16.23 15.63 14.56 16.10
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
81
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
Nm 2015
n v: Cent/kWh
Phng
n
Gi
NL 1
Gi
NL2
Gi
NL 3
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T6
T7
T8
T9
T10
T11
T12
14.01 12.89 11.84 11.41 10.68 13.68 11.35 11.39 12.60 11.95 12.06 11.88
16.30 14.62 13.54 13.52 12.34 15.88 13.10 13.03 14.48 13.74 14.11 13.62
17.33 15.34 14.13 14.08 12.72 16.77 13.57 13.12 14.60 14.06 13.97 13.80
th:
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
82
eBook for You
LUN VN THC S
LUN VN THC S
Trong kch bn tnh ton, gi bin thp nht l 10.68 cents/kWh (thng 5
nm 2015), gi bin cao nht l 23.04 cents/kWh (thng 1 nm 2011)
2.5 Kt lun
Trong giai on 2004 2009 EVN quyt nh nhp khu in t Trung
Quc l rt ng n, cc li ch em li l:
Tng cng kh nng cung cp in cho min Bc, gim truyn ti in trn
ng dy 500 kV, tng cng n nh cung cp in
Gi nhp khu in t Trung Quc r hn nhiu so vi mt s nh my nhit
in chy du trong nc. Tng s tin EVN tit kim c do khng phi vn
hnh cc nh my nhit in du giai on 2004 2009 khong 538.87 triu
USD.
Trong giai on 2011 2015: Theo cc kch bn tnh ton th gi bin
mua in t 10.68 - 25 cents/kWh. Gi in ny cao hn nhiu so vi gi mua
in t Trung Quc. T nm 2013, min Bc in, ng dy 500 kV li
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
83
eBook for You
Nhn Xt:
LUN VN THC S
truyn ti in t min Bc vo min Nam do vic mua in t Trung Quc

khng tng cng vic cung cp in cho min Bc nhng vn em li li ch
v mt kinh t rt ln.
Theo tnh ton trong Quy hoch pht trin in lc giai on 2011 2020
c xt n nm 2030 (Quy hoch in 7) th p lc vn u t cho ngnh in l
rt ln (Chi tit ti Bng 2.12:). Khi thc hin nhp khu in t Trung Quc,
nc ta khng phi u t thm nh my in c cng sut v sn lng tng
ng, gp phn gim p lc v ngun vn xy dng nh my in.
T cc tnh ton v phn tch trn cho thy vic nhp khu in t Trung
Quc l rt cn thit v chng ta cn c cc gii php thc y v vn ny.
Bng 2.12: Tng hp vn u t pht trin in lc
Giai on
2011-2015
2016-2020
2021-2025
22,076
28,830
27,005
32,441
110,322
- BQ hng nm
4,415
5,766
5,401
6,482
5,516
- Tng li in
7,245
10,523
12,345
15,868
45,981
- BQ hng nm
1,449
2,105
2,469
3,174
2,299
29,321
39,353
39,349
48,280
156,303
5,864
7,871
7,870
9,656
7,815
- Tng ngun in
- Tng ngnh in
- BQ hng nm
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
2026-2030
2011-2030
84
eBook for You
n v: T USD
LUN VN THC S
Chng 3.
Gii php nhp khu in t Trung Quc
vo Vit Nam nhm p ng yu cu pht trin kinh t

- x hi trong nc
3.1 Hp ng mua bn in
3.1.1 Hp ng mua bn in
Hp ng mua bn in gm cc iu khon nh sau:
iu 1:
Ngha v ca Cc bn ca Hp ng
iu 2:
Cht lng in, Cc iu kin k thut u ni Li in v

Vn hnh iu
Mua v Bn Cng sut in v Nng lng in
iu 4:
Gi in
iu 5:
o Nng lng in
iu 6:
Tnh ton Lng in
iu 7:
Lp ho n tin in v thanh ton
iu 8:
B phn khng v h s cng sut
iu 9
Trch nhim ca mi bn trong vic xy dng, bo dng v qun l
eBook for You
iu 3:
thit b u ni
iu 10:
Bt kh khng
iu 11:
Trch nhim php l khi vi phm Hp ng v Bi thng
iu 12:
Hiu lc ca Hp ng v thi hn hiu lc
iu 13:
B sung, thay i v chm dt Hp ng
iu 14: Gii quyt tranh chp

iu 15: Khc
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
85
LUN VN THC S
Ph lc
Ph lc 1:
nh ngha
Ph lc 2:
Tha thun K thut u ni
Ph lc 3:
Tho thun iu
Ph lc 4:
Cc bin bn cuc hp lin quan c hai bn k
Ph lc 5:
Mu bn ghi in nng
Ph lc 6:
Mu bn ghi lng in v ho n tin in
Tm tt ni dung chnh ca cc hp ng nh sau:

1. Sn lng v cng sut mua:
Vit Nam s mua in t li 110 kV v 220kV Trung Quc vi sn
eBook for You
lng hng nm t xxx n xxx t kWh.

Cng sut mua d kin t yyy n yyy MW.
2. Trch nhim u t cng trnh truyn ti in:
EVN c trch nhim u t li in trong phn lnh th Vit Nam, CSG
c trch nhim u t li in trong phn lnh th Trung Quc.
3. Gi mua in:
Gi in l 4,5 UScents/kWh.
Gi in s c xem xt iu chnh 2 nm 1 ln nu t gi hi oi gia ng
CNY v ng USD thay i vt qu 3.5%.
4. Thi hn Hp ng:
EVN s mua in t li 110 kV, 220 kV Trung Quc trong 10 nm.
5. Kt cu ca hp ng:
Hp ng gm 15 iu v 6 ph lc.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
86
LUN VN THC S
3.1.2 Hp ng mua bn in cp in p 110 kV

Hp ng cp in p 110 kV c k kt gia Cng ty Li in Vn
Nam (YNPG) (Ngi Bn) trc thuc Cng ty TNHH Tp on Li in Min
Nam Trung Quc (CSG) v Cng ty in lc 1 (PC1) (Ngi Mua) trc thuc
Tp on in lc Vit Nam (EVN).
Hp ng quy nh gi in s c xem xt iu chnh 2 nm 1 ln nu
t gi hi oi gia ng CNY v ng USD thay i vt qu 3.5%.
o
Giai on 2004 - 2006 gi l 4.3 USD cents/kWh

T nm 2004 n nay tnh trng cung cp in ca Vit Nam ngy cng
eBook for You
cng thng nn hng nm EVN phi ch o PC1 m phn vi YNPG tng mua
sn lng in.
3.1.3 Hp ng mua bn in cp in p 220 kV

Hp ng c k kt gia Cng ty TNHH Tp on Li in Min
Nam Trung Quc (CSG) (Bn Bn) v Tp on in lc Vit Nam (EVN)
(Bn Mua).
Hp ng quy nh gi in s c xem xt iu chnh 2 nm 1 ln nu
t gi hi oi gia ng CNY v ng USD thay i vt qu 3.5%.
o
Giai on 2009 2010 gi l 5.2 USD cents/kWh

T nm 2007 n nay hng nm EVN u m phn vi YNPG tng mua
sn lng in.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
87
LUN VN THC S
3.2 nh gi v tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo

Vit Nam
3.2.1 Th tc thc hin
in nng l mt loi hnh sn phm v hnh v c tnh c th cao. Do
, cc yu cu v th tc php l khi thc hin xut nhp khu in cng c
nhng im chung v im ring vi hot ng xut nhp khu hng ha thng
thng. i vi mt n v, c th xut hoc nhp khu in, n v bt
buc phi c giy php hot ng in lc trong lnh vc xut nhp khu in.
Theo quy nh ti Quyt nh 32/2006/Q-BCN ngy 06/9/2006 quy nh v
iu kin, trnh t v th tc cp, sa i, b sung, thu hi v qun l s dng
giy php hot ng in lc, yu cu i vi mt n v khi ngh cp php
L t chc, c nhn c ng k kinh doanh, c thnh lp v hot ng theo

quy nh ca php lut;
1.
C h s hp l ngh cp, sa i, b sung giy php hot

ng in lc;
2.
C nng lc ti chnh thc hin cc lnh vc hot ng in

lc ngh cp giy php;
C trang thit b cng ngh, phng tin phc v, nh xng, cng trnh kin
trc c xy dng, lp t, kim tra nghim thu t tiu chun k thut theo
ng thit k k thut c duyt v quy phm hin hnh p ng cc yu cu
ca cng tc vn hnh, bo dng, sa cha li in, cc trm bin p v cc
thit b ng b km theo.
Ngi trc tip qun l k thut, vn hnh phi c bng tt nghip i hc
chuyn ngnh in v c thi gian lm vic trong lnh vc phn phi v kinh
doanh in t nht nm nm. i ng cng nhn trc tip vn hnh phi c
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
88
eBook for You
hot ng in lc lnh vc xut nhp khu in nh sau:
LUN VN THC S
o to chuyn ngnh v c kim tra quy trnh vn hnh v quy nh an ton

theo ngch bc quy nh.
Ti nay, ch c duy nht Cng ty Mua bn in trc thuc EVN l n v
c php thc hin hot ng xut nhp khu in cp in p t 220kV tr
ln. i vi cp in p thp hn (t 110kV tr xung), hot ng xut nhp
khu in c thc hin bi cc Tng Cng ty in lc, vi iu kin phi c
s ph duyt ca c quan nh nc c thm quyn v c quan cp trn trc tip
l Tp on in lc Vit Nam.
Tuy nhin, c th xut nhp khu in, bt buc phi c cc ng dy
v trm bin p lin kt mua hoc bn in vi nc ngoi. Ty theo cp in
p, vic xin ph duyt quy hoch, lp d n, trin khai u t v qun l vn
i vi vic nhp khu in Trung Quc, Vit Nam nhp khu cc cp

in p 110kV, 220kV v d kin sp ti l cp in p 500kV. i vi cp in
p ny, nh trnh by trn, n v chu trch nhim thc hin l Cng ty Mua
bn in di s qun l iu hnh ca EVN. i vi mt d n, th tc
thc hin nhp khu in nh sau:
- EVN lp bo co nghin cu kh thi d n;
- EVN ngh B Cng Thng ph duyt hoc ph duyt b sung quy
hoch pht trin in lc, trong c nu r cp in p, cc trm bin p u
cui, chiu di ng dy, loi dy dn, tin d kin vo vn hnh;
- Tng Cng ty Truyn ti in Vit Nam thc hin u t, qun l xy
dng d n;
- Trung tm iu h thng in quc gia (i vi cp in p 220kV)
hoc Trung tm iu h thng in min (i vi cp in p 110kV) phi
hp vi CSG chu trch nhim huy ng, vn hnh ng dy xut nhp khu
in.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
89
eBook for You
hnh c EVN hoc cc n v thnh vin ca EVN thc hin.
LUN VN THC S
- Cng ty Mua bn in l n v php nhn thc hin hot ng nhp

khu, hng thng cht ch s cng t v thanh ton tin in cho nc bn.
3.2.2 Gi c v s n nh trong cung cp

Mi mt ng dy c mt hp ng mua bn in ring. Vi in nng
mua t ng dy 220kV, gi in vo khong 4,5 cent/kWh (tnh theo t gi
hin nay, mc gi ny tng ng 877,5 ng/kWh). Mc gi ny c th ni l
chp nhn c trong mt bng gi in hin nay (gi in bn l khong 1.058
ng/kWh, gi bn thy in khong 700 ng/kWh)
Do vi mi mt ng dy mua bn in li c mt hp ng mua bn
xut nhp khu, trong quy nh r v gi c v sn lng in mua bn hng
nm nn n nh trong cung cp in l rt cao.
3.3.1 Nng cao s ch ng cho cc n v

Nh mc 1.1.1 trnh by, hin nay EVN c ba n v tham gia hot
ng nhp khu in l Cng ty Mua bn in, Tng Cng ty in lc min Bc
v Tng Cng ty Truyn ti in Quc gia.
Cng ty Mua bn in: Thc hin vic mua in i vi cc hp ng
nhp khu in cp in p 220 kV sau bn li cho Tng Cng ty in lc
min Bc.
Tng Cng ty in lc min Bc (NPC): Thc hin vic mua in i vi
cc hp ng nhp khu in cp in p 110 kV sau bn li cho cc khch
hng s dng in. Tng Cng ty in lc min Bc cng qun l li in 110
kV trn ton b lnh th min Bc tr a phn H Ni.
Tng Cng ty Truyn ti in Quc gia: Qun l v vn hnh li in
220 kV lin kt gia Vit Nam v Trung Quc.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
90
eBook for You
3.3 Gii php nhp khu in t TQ vo Vit Nam
LUN VN THC S
Hin nay, mc d NPC l n v hch ton c lp vi EVN, NPC phi

mua in t EVN nhng i vi cc hp ng nhp khu in NPC vn phi
thc hin theo ch o ca EVN. NPC cha c ch ng hon ton trong vic
nhp khu in, trong m phn hp ng v thc hin hp ng nhp khu
in.
Kin ngh: thc y vic nhp khu in thun li hn, to iu kin
cho cc n v nng ng, ch ng tm kim i tc sao cho vic kinh doanh
in hiu qu nht, tm cc ngun nhp khu in vi chi ph cnh tranh, EVN
nn giao ton b vic nhp khu in i vi li 110 kV cho cc Tng Cng ty
in lc, c bit l Tng Cng ty in lc min Bc.
3.3.2 Nng cao cnh tranh trong vic mua bn in
mc cnh tranh dn n gim dn gi thnh pht in, c th l:

Cn to c ch EVN mua in nhp khu cng ging nh vic mua in ca
cc nh my in ca Vit Nam. Cc nh my in ca Vit Nam phi cnh
tranh vi Trung Quc bn in cho EVN.
EVN phi cnh tranh vi Trung Quc bn in cho cc PC. NPC c th tng
nhp khu in t Trung Quc, gim sn lng mua in t EVN nu gi nhp
khu cnh tranh hn.
3.3.3 Tng cng kt ni, lin kt li in

Song song vi qu trnh xc tin u t, m phn cc hp ng mua bn
in, hai bn cn phi bn ngay n vic xy dng thm cc cng trnh li in
m bo truyn ti an ton, tin cy lng in nng mua bn.
Kt ni li in gia hai Quc gia rt phc tp, khi kt ni th li in
nc ny nh hng n an ton vn hnh li in ca nc kia v ngc
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
91
eBook for You
Nu thc hin c nh mc 3.3.1 cn c thm cc c ch nng cao
LUN VN THC S
li. Hai bn cng phi hp tc, c bit l khng phn bit i x (l nc

ngoi) khi kt ni vi li in quc gia.
3.3.4 u t cc nh my in bn Trung Quc

Tim nng v nng lng ca Trung Quc l rt ln c bit l Thy in.
Vit Nam c th to iu kin cc nh u t c th u t xy dng cc nh
my in trn t nc Trung Quc, hnh thc u t c th l nh u t c
lp hoc lin kt vi Trung Quc xy dng cc nh my in sau bn li
cho Vit Nam. Nh vy Vit Nam s ch ng hn trong vic nhp khu in,
Trung Quc cng tn dng khai thc hiu qu cc ngun nng lng, c hai bn
cng c li.
3.3.5 Thnh lp y ban iu phi chung
lnh vc hot ng in lc bao gm: Tm kim c hi u t, xc tin thng

mi, u t v qun l cc cng trnh chung... y mnh vic giao thng
trong lnh vc in lc gia hai quc gia.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
92
eBook for You
Vit Nam v Trung Quc nn thnh lp y ban iu phi chung trong
LUN VN THC S
KT LUN
1.
Vit Nam ang trong qu trnh cng nghip ha, hin i ha nn nhu cu
tiu th in nng l rt ln vi nhiu thnh phn ph ti khc nhau trong
thnh phn ph ti cng nghip ngy cng tng mnh m, sn lng
in ca h thng in quc gia t nm 2001 n nm 2009 tng gn
gp 3 ln.
2.
p ng nhu cu ph ti tng rt nhanh, Vit Nam n lc xy dng

v pht trin h thng in bao gm c nh my in v li in. Cc nh
my in bao gm nhiu chng loi khc nhau nh Thy in, nhit in
than, tuabin kh, nhit in du, tuabin kh chy du. Tham gia u t trong
lnh vc pht in c nhiu n v nh Tp on in lc Vit Nam, Tp
on Du kh Quc gia Vit Nam, Tp on Than v khong sn, Tng
nhng hng nm t nm 2001 n nay nm no Vit Nam cng thiu in
v phi sa thi ph ti m bo cn bng cung cu cho ton h thng.
3.
T nm 2004 n nay ph ti min Bc tng cao trong khi hng lot cc

nh my in chm tin nn min Bc thiu in, in nng truyn ti t
min Nam ra min Bc qua ng dy 500 kV l rt ln, khng m bo
an ton cung cp in. p ng ti a nhu cu ph ti, hng nm EVN
phi mua in t cc nh my in c gi thnh rt cao t 10 35
cents/kWh, theo tnh ton th t nm 2011 n nm 2015 gi bin mua in
ca EVN khong t 10 25 cents/kWh. gii quyt vn min Bc
thiu in v gim gi thnh mua in trung bnh ca EVN th nhp khu
in t Trung Quc vi gi thnh 4.5 5.2 cents/kWh l gii php hp l
v cn c thc y hn na.
4.
Cc gii php thc y vic nhp khu in c th thc hin ngay bao gm:
Nng cao s ch ng cho cc n v
Nng cao cnh tranh trong vic mua bn in
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
93
eBook for You
Cng ty Sng , cc tp on nc ngoi u t di dng BOT, BOO...
LUN VN THC S
Tng cng kt ni, lin kt li in

u t cc nh my in bn Trung Quc
eBook for You
Thnh lp y ban iu phi chung gia hai quc gia
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
94
LUN VN THC S
TM TT
Lun vn trnh by cc vn sau:
M u
Chng 1: Hin trng vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam
Cc n v tham gia vo hot ng in lc, S t chc v chc nng
nhim v ca cc n v
Tng quan v h thng in Vit Nam, qu trnh vn hnh v pht trin:
Ph ti, ngun in, li in
Chng 2: S cn thit nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam
Khi qut v tnh hnh sn xut in ti cc tnh pha Nam Trung Quc
Lin kt li in gia Vit Nam v Trung Quc, hin ti cng nh tng lai.
Tnh hnh mua bn in hin nay ca EVN: Chi ph mua in, tnh hnh
nh gi vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam giai on 2011-2015 vi cc
kch bn tnh ton: ph ti tng trng cao, ph ti tng trng trung bnh,
ph ti tng trng thp v cc phng n gi nhin liu than, du, kh
khc nhau t xem xt gi bin mua in
Rt ra s cn thit phi thc y nhp khu in t Trung Quc
Chng 3: Gii php y mnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc v Vit Nam
p ng yu cu pht trin kinh t x hi ca Vit Nam
Hp ng mua bn in vi Trung Quc
nh gi v tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam
Cc gii php thc y vic nhp khu in c th thc hin ngay bao
gm:
o Nng cao s ch ng cho cc n v
o Nng cao cnh tranh trong vic mua bn in
o Tng cng kt ni, lin kt li in
o u t cc nh my in bn Trung Quc
o Thnh lp y ban iu phi chung gia hai quc gia
Kt lun
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
95
eBook for You
nhp khu in t Trung Quc
LUN VN THC S
DANH MC TI LIU THAM KHO

Ting Vit
1.
Cng ty C phn u t v Qun l ngun in Vit Nam (2010), nh

gi vn hnh H thng in Vit Nam giai on 2011-2015, H Ni.
2.
Trung tm iu H thng in Quc gia (2010), Bo co vn hnh h

thng in quc gia nm 2009, H Ni.
3.
Vin Nng Lng (2010), Bo co B Cng thng "Tng s pht trin

in lc Vit Nam giai on 2011-2020 c xt trin vng n nm 2030
(tng s 7)", H Ni.
Ting Anh
China Southern Power Grid co. Ltd. (CSG), China and Electricity of
Vietnam (EVN), Vietnam (2006), Power Purchase Agreement of
220kV Xin-Lao power interconnection project, Vietnam.
5.
China Southern Power Grid co. Ltd. (CSG), China and Electricity of
Vietnam (EVN), Vietnam (2006), Power Purchase Agreement of
220kV Ma-Ha power interconnection project, Vietnam.
6.
Richard Pierce, Michael Trebilcock and Evan Thomas (2006), Beyond

Gridlock:The Case for Greater Integration of Regional Electricity
Markets, C.D.Howe Institute., Toronto - Canada.
7.
Guangxi Power Grid Corporation, China and Power Company No. 1,

Vietnam (2006), Contract for Purchasing and Selling Electric Power 110kV power supply project from Shengou, China to Mong Cai,
Vietnam, China.
8.
Yunnan Power Grid Corporation, China and Power Company No. 1,

Vietnam (2005), Contract for Purchasing and Selling Electric Power -
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
96
eBook for You
4.
LUN VN THC S
110kV power supply project from Wenshan, China to Ha Giang ,

Vietnam, China.
9.
Yunnan Power Grid Corporation, China and Power Company No. 1,

Vietnam (2006), Contract for Purchasing and Selling Electric Power 110kV power supply project from Wenshan, China to Lao Cai, Vietnam,
eBook for You
China.
Tc gi: Qunh Giao
97

241126577 LUẬN VĂN THẠC SỸ MO HINH VA TINH TOAN PHỤC VỤ HOẠT ĐỘNG THỊ TRƯỜNG ĐIỆN NGAY TIẾP THEO PDF

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

241126577 LUẬN VĂN THẠC SỸ MO HINH VA TINH TOAN PHỤC VỤ HOẠT ĐỘNG THỊ TRƯỜNG ĐIỆN NGAY TIẾP THEO PDF

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

LUN VN THC S

Hin trng vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam ............................. 4

Cc n v tham gia vo hot ng in lc..................................................4

S t chc v chc nng nhim v ca cc n v ..............................4

iu h thng in Vit Nam...............................................................6

1.2.1.1 Cc thnh phn ph ti ..........................................................................9

1.2.2.1 Cng sut .............................................................................................19

Vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam ...............................................................37

Tnh hnh vn hnh ngun in...............................................................37

1.3.1.1 Nguyn tc vn hnh chung.................................................................37

1.3.2.1 H thng in 500kV...........................................................................40

Vai tr ca nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam ..........................41

S cn thit nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam..... 43

Gii thiu chung ......................................................................................43

Tng quan v li in khu vc Nam Trung Quc ................................45

S pht trin ngun in khu vc ...........................................................47

Nhu cu ph ti khu vc..........................................................................48

Tc gi: Qunh Giao

eBook for You

1.2.2.2 Sn lng .............................................................................................25

Lin kt li in gia hai quc gia.............................................................48

Hin trng lin kt li in....................................................................48

Lin kt li in d kin trong tng lai ..............................................51

Tnh hnh mua bn in hin nay.................................................................51

Chi ph mua in .....................................................................................51

Tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc ...............................................52

Vn hnh h thng in Vit Nam giai on 2011-2015.............................54

D liu u vo - Gi thit tnh ton .......................................................54

2.4.1.1 Tin cc cng trnh mi..................................................................54

Qu trnh x l Phng php tnh ton ................................................67

D liu u ra Kt qu tnh ton gi bin ............................................68

2.4.3.1 Phng n ph ti tng trng cao......................................................68

Hp ng mua bn in cp in p 110 kV ..........................................87

Hp ng mua bn in cp in p 220 kV ..........................................87

nh gi v tnh hnh nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam .........88

Gi c v s n nh trong cung cp .......................................................90

Gii php nhp khu in t TQ vo Vit Nam...........................................90

Nng cao s ch ng cho cc n v.....................................................90

Nng cao cnh tranh trong vic mua bn in ........................................91

Tc gi: Qunh Giao

eBook for You

2.4.1.7 Gii hn truyn ti gia cc khu vc...................................................67

Tng cng kt ni, lin kt li in ....................................................91

Thnh lp y ban iu phi chung ..........................................................92

eBook for You

Tc gi: Qunh Giao

kh cao, trung bnh khong 6%/nm, tc tng trng tiu th in vo

trong nc, tng ng vi vic sut u t xy dng nh my nhit in than

Tc gi: Qunh Giao

eBook for You

nhp khu in ca Vit Nam t Trung Quc nhng nm gn y, ti xut

i tng v phm vi nghin cu

Nam t th trng Trung Quc.

Tnh hnh nghin cu

vn nhp khu in t Trung Quc vo Vit Nam.

Phng php nghin cu:

Tc gi: Qunh Giao

eBook for You

Vit Nam p ng yu cu pht trin kinh t x hi ca Vit Nam.

tin v cc d n ngun in ln ti pha Nam Trung Quc, cc cng trnh li

thnh ba chng nh sau:

Tc gi: Qunh Giao

eBook for You