September 30, 2016

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VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 45.1% of our stocks

assigned a valuation and 15.27% of those equities are calculated to be
overvalued by 20% or more. Eight sectors are calculated to be overvalued.
MARKET OVERVIEW
Index

Started week

Friday PM

Change

Change %

ytd

DJIA

18217.76

18322.71

104.95

0.58%

5.15%

NASDAQ

5275.73

5311.66

35.93

0.68%

6.08%

RUSSELL 2000

1253.95

1250.53

-3.42

-0.27%

10.09%

S&P 500

2158.54

2169.07

10.53

0.49%

6.12%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

54.90%

Stocks Overvalued

45.10%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

22.05%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

15.27%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-M
Return

P/E
Ratio

Aerospace

-0.81%

1.56%

2.33%

0.38% overvalued

12.22%

18.24

Auto-Tires-Trucks

-1.26%

1.44%

6.27%

6.69% undervalued

14.12%

13.64

Basic Materials

-0.60%

1.05%

46.43%

2.06% overvalued

66.65%

31.48

Business Services

-0.89%

-0.33%

13.60%

1.36% undervalued

4.17%

24.61

Computer and Technology

-0.64%

1.76%

17.53%

4.28% overvalued

14.73%

29.86

Construction

-0.86%

-0.40%

29.26%

4.87% undervalued

18.51%

20.04

Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

0.53%

9.06%

1.93% undervalued

6.86%

24.03

Consumer Staples

-0.63%

-0.44%

10.13%

1.76% overvalued

17.14%

24.23

Finance

-0.83%

-0.46%

6.63%

1.38% undervalued

8.42%

16.64

Industrial Products

-0.76%

1.64%

17.67%

5.54% overvalued

18.14%

23.8

Medical

-1.76%

1.61%

1.82%

6.22% undervalued

-2.20%

26.59

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

-0.27%

-0.67%

7.28%

16.24% overvalued

7.23%

20.16

Oils-Energy

0.55%

2.74%

34.10%

6.20% overvalued

6.56%

24.95

Retail-Wholesale

-0.68%

-2.29%

-0.17%

10.14% undervalued

0.34%

21.77

Transportation

-0.41%

-0.47%

10.62%

6.43% undervalued

-8.17%

15.19

Utilities

-0.71%

1.00%

11.47%

1.69% overvalued

20.56%

22.05

Sector TalkOils/Energy
Below, we present the latest data on leading Oils/Energy Sector stocks from our
Professional Stock Analysis Service. We applied some basic liquidity criteria--share
price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. We have
been following the sector closely of late because it has been correlated so tightly to
overall equity price moves.

Top-Five Oils/Energy Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

HK

HALCON RESOURCS

9.36

N/A

235.97%

GMLP

GOLAR LNG PARTN

19.71

-24.91%

38.51%

BAK

BRASKEM SA

15.74

2.19%

97.49%

CAFD

8POINT3 ENERGY

14.49

N/A

38.26%

CLD

CLOUD PEAK EGY

5.06

-15.13%

100.79%

Top-Five Oils/Energy Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

HK

HALCON RESOURCS

9.36

N/A

235.97%

GMLP

GOLAR LNG PARTN

19.71

-24.91%

38.51%

BAK

BRASKEM SA

15.74

2.19%

97.49%

CAFD

8POINT3 ENERGY

14.49

N/A

38.26%

CLD

CLOUD PEAK EGY

5.06

-15.13%

100.79%

Top-Five Oils/Energy Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

BWP

BOARDWALK PIPLN

16.8

-25.58%

48.67%

GMLP

GOLAR LNG PARTN

19.71

-24.91%

38.51%

BAK

BRASKEM SA

15.74

2.19%

97.49%

OKS

ONEOK PARTNERS

39.48

-15.99%

42.07%

PBR.A

PETROBRAS-ADR P

8.22

-42.56%

152.15%

Top-Five Oils/Energy Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

REN

RESOLUTE ENERGY

24.01

300.00%

1258.80%

EMES

EMERGE ENRG SVC

12.95

300.00%

104.26%

MCF

CONTANGO OIL&GS

9.75

300.00%

25.32%

DK

DELEK US HLDGS

16.58

300.00%

-39.51%

CWEI

WILLIAMS(C)ENGY

85.72

237.35%

124.40%

Find out what Wall Street Investment and Media Professionals already know,
ValuEngine offers sophisticated stock valuation and forecast research as well as a
variety of portfolio screening and creation tools.

Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports
Deutsche Bank (DB) is one of the leading international financial service providers. As
a multi-specialist bank, they offer customers a broad range of modern banking
services.
Deutsche Bank has faced a lot of bad news this week and there have been reports
that clients have begun to withdraw funds due to concerns over the giant insitution's
solvency. Of course, if a giant like Deutsche should fail, there is a potential for the
contagion to spread to other players in the financial system. On the other hand, news
that the firm is close to a settlement with the US DOJ related to the mortgage-backed
securities scandal of the Bush financial crisis helped the stock recover a bit today.
Investors should be wary of this stock for the time being.
VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation
on DEUTSCHE BK AG for 2016-09-29. Based on the information we have gathered and
our resulting research, we feel that DEUTSCHE BK AG has the probability to ROUGHLY
MATCH average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits
ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio but UNATTRACTIVE Momentum.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Deutsche Bank (DB) from the
link below.
Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Deutsche Bank (DB) HERE.

ValuEngine Forecast
Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

11.47

-0.08%

3-Month

11.36

-1.03%

6-Month

11.06

-3.69%

1-Year

11.36

-1.01%

2-Year

11.17

-2.70%

3-Year

6.92

-39.71%

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

67.50% undervalued

Valuation Rank(?)

1-M Forecast Return

-0.08%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

12-M Return

-56.74%

Momentum Rank(?)

97
43

Sharpe Ratio

-0.55

Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)

18

5-Y Avg Annual Return

-20.19%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

25

Volatility

36.80%

Volatility Rank(?)

Expected EPS Growth

150.13%

EPS Growth Rank(?)

91

Market Cap (billions)

15.83

Size Rank

93

Trailing P/E Ratio

5.87

Trailing P/E Rank(?)

98

Forward P/E Ratio

2.35

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

PEG Ratio

0.04

PEG Ratio Rank

89
88

Price/Sales

0.36

Price/Sales Rank(?)

Market/Book

0.25

Market/Book Rank(?)

Beta

1.67

Beta Rank

Alpha

-0.85

Alpha Rank

48

99

96
18
4

What's Hot-ValuEngine CEO Paul Henneman In The News

ValuEngine CEO Paui Henneman appeared on the BenZinga Pre-market Prep show
this week. He discussed the theory and practice behind the ValuEngine stock
valuation and forecast systems as well as our full-service wealth management firm,
ValuEngine Capital. In addition, Henneman discussed the latest ValuEngine analysis
for stocks of interest such as Apple (AAPL) and Twitter (TWTR).

You can listen to Henneman on the Benzinga Pre-Market Prep Show by clicking on
the logo below. His time on the program begins @17 minutes into the show.

ValuEngine Capital Money Management Services

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our clients. ValuEngine Capital, a registered investment advisory firm, offers our clients
investment-management services based on industry-leading ValuEngine research.
ValuEngine Capital melds the cutting-edge financial theory of ValuEngine's awardwinning quantitative independent research with the best real-world Wall St. practices.
ValuEngine Capital offers refined investment portfolios for investors of all risk-reward
profiles.
ValuEngine Capital is offering several investment strategies to clients, including
the the ValuEngine View Strategy and the ValuEngine Diversified Strategy

Professional Portfolio Management Services

ValuEngine View Strategy: The ValuEngine View Strategy is the product of a
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It utilizes a three factor approach: fundamental variables such as a company's
trailing 12-month Earnings-Per-Share (EPS), the analyst consensus estimate of
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A total of eleven additional firm specific variables are also used. The
ValuEngine View portfolio is constructed by integrating both our Aggressive
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Strategies To Suit All Investor Types
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For more information, please contact us by email at
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