NBCWSJ Mid-October Poll

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES
MID-OCTOBER 2016
Study #16991-- page 1

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 450 respondents with a cell phone only and
42 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
Date: October 10-13, 2016
Study #16991
47 Male
53 Female
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is 3.10%
The margin of error for 905 interviews among Likely Voters is 3.26%
Likely Voters defined as voted in either 2012 or 2014 or 18-24 year olds with
self-reported interest in the election of 5 to 10 on a 1-10 scale.
Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
18-24 ................................................................
8
25-29 ................................................................
7
30-34 ................................................................
11
35-39 ................................................................
9
40-44 ................................................................
9
45-49 ................................................................
7
50-54 ................................................................
10
55-59 ................................................................
10
60-64 ................................................................
10
65-69 ................................................................
6
70-74 ................................................................
5
75 and over ..........................................................
7
Not sure/refused .................................................
1
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? +
Yes, Hispanic ...................................................
10
No, not Hispanic ...............................................
89
Not sure/refused .............................................
1
voters.
Q2c
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +
White ..............................................................74
Black ..............................................................12
Asian .............................................................. 2
Other .............................................................. 4
Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6
Not sure/refused ........................................... 2
White, Non-Hispanic.......................................71
voters.

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q3

Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered ........................................
100
Not registered ................................ Not sure ..........................................+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
Q4A
All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things
are off on the wrong track?
High
10/1013/16+
Headed in the right direction ...... 29
Off on the wrong track ................ 65
Mixed (VOL) ............................. 5
Not sure ................................
1
9/16+
30
62
5
3
8/16+
32
62
3
3
7/16+
18
73
6
3
6/16+
21
71
5
3
4/16+
24
70
4
2
1/16+
29
63
5
3
12/15
20
70
6
4
10/2529/15
27
64
5
4
9/01
72
11
11
6
Low
10/1720/08+
12
78
7
3
10/812/14+
25
65
6
4
10/1518/15
25
64
7
4
9/15
30
62
5
3
7/15
28
65
4
3
6/15
31
61
4
4
4/15
28
62
6
4
3/15
32
60
5
3
1/15
31
59
5
5
12/14
27
64
6
3
11/14
25
65
6
4
10/3011/1/1
4+
27
63
6
4
9/14+
23
67
6
4
8/14
22
71
5
2
6/14
25
63
7
5
4/14
27
63
6
4
3/14
26
65
5
4
1/14
28
63
5
4
12/13
29
64
5
2
10/2528/13
22
70
4
4
10/7-9/13
14
78
4
4
9/13
30
62
5
3
7/13
29
61
6
4
6/13
32
59
6
3
4/13
31
61
5
3
2/13
32
59
6
3
1/13
35
57
4
4
12/12
41
53
3
3
10/12+
41
53
4
2
9/2630/12+
40
53
5
2
9/1216/12+
39
55
4
2
8/12+
32
61
4
3
7/12+
32
60
5
3
6/12
31
61
5
3
5/12
33
58
5
4
4/12
33
59
6
2
3/12
33
58
5
4
1/12
30
61
5
4
12/11
22
69
6
3
11/11
19
73
5
3
10/11
17
74
5
4
8/11
19
73
5
3
7/11
25
67
5
3
6/11
29
62
6
3
5/11
36
50
10
4
4/11
28
63
6
3
1/11
35
56
5
4
12/10
28
63
6
3
11/10
32
58
6
4
10/2830/10+
31
60
5
4
10/1418/10+
32
59
6
3
9/10
32
59
5
4
8/2630/10
30
61
6
3
8/59/10
32
58
6
4
6/10
29
62
5
4
5/611/10
34
56
6
4
3/10
33
59
5
3
1/23 25/10
32
58
7
3
1/1014/10
34
54
10
2
12/09
33
55
10
2
10/09
36
52
9
3
9/09
39
48
10
3
7/09
39
49
9
3
6/09
42
46
9
3
4/09
43
43
10
4
2/09
41
44
9
6
1/09
26
59
9
6
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

1
The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked.

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q4B

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
Approve .......................
Disapprove ..................
Not sure.....................
High
Low
4/16+
49
48
3
4/09
61
30
9
9/14+
40
54
6
11/14
44
50
6
10/1518/15
46
49
5
9/15
47
47
6
7/15
45
50
5
12/14
45
50
5
10/3011/1/14+
42
52
6
10/812/14+
42
52
6
9/14+
40
54
6
8/14
40
54
6
3/14
41
54
5
1/14
43
51
6
12/13
43
54
3
10/2528/13
42
51
7
10/79/13
47
48
5
9/13
45
50
5
7/13
45
50
5
6/13
48
47
5
4/13
47
48
5
2/13
50
45
5
1/13
52
44
4
12/12
53
43
4
10/12+
49
48
3
9/2630/12+
49
48
3
9/1216/12+
50
48
2
8/12+
48
49
3
7/12+
49
48
3
6/12
47
48
5
5/12
48
46
6
4/12
49
46
5
3/12
50
45
5
1/12
48
46
6
12/11
46
48
6
11/11
44
51
5
10/11
44
51
5
8/11
44
51
5
7/11
47
48
5
6/11
49
46
5
5/11
52
41
7
4/11
49
45
6
2/11
48
46
6
1/11
53
41
6
12/10
45
48
7
11/10
47
47
6
10/2830/10+
45
50
5
10/1418/10+
47
49
4
9/10
46
49
5
8/2630/10
45
49
6
8/59/10
47
48
5
6/10
45
48
7
5/2023/10
48
45
7
5/611/10
50
44
6
3/10
48
47
5
1/2325/10
50
44
6
1/1014/10
48
43
9
12/09
47
46
7
10/09
51
42
7
9/09
51
41
8
8/09
51
40
9
7/09
53
40
7
6/09
56
34
10
4/09
61
30
9
2/09
60
26
14
10/1013/16+
53
44
3
9/16+
52
45
3
8/16+
52
44
4
7/16+
51
46
3
6/16+
51
45
4
5/16+
51
46
3
3/16+
49
46
5
2/16+
49
47
4
1/16+
47
49
4
12/15
43
51
6
10/2529/15
45
49
6
6/15
48
48
4
4/15
48
47
5
3/15
46
50
4
1/15
46
48
6
6/14
41
53
6
4/14
44
50
6
8/13
44
48
8

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Id like to ask you some questions about next months presidential election
Q5
Please tell me how interested you are in next months elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a
"ten" means that you are very interested in the elections and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE,"
RECORD AS "DK.")
10/1013/16+
10, very interested .......................
67
9 ..................................................
5
8 ..................................................
9
7 ..................................................
5
6 ..................................................
3
5 ..................................................
4
4 ..................................................
2
3 ..................................................
1
2 ..................................................
1
1, not at all interested ..................
2
Cannot rate................................
1
10/810/16+
62
8
10
5
2
6
2
1
4
-
9/16+
60
8
11
7
3
4
1
2
1
3
-
5/16+
60
9
11
6
3
6
1
2
2
-
2/16+
61
9
13
6
3
4
1
1
2
-
9/15+
56
8
13
9
3
5
1
1
1
2
1
4/15+
53
7
15
8
4
7
1
1
2
2
-
10/12+
69
8
9
4
2
5
1
2
-
9/2630/12+
65
8
10
5
3
5
1
1
2
-
9/1216/12+
64
8
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
1
-
8/12+
62
6
13
6
3
5
1
1
1
2
-
7/12+
62
6
11
7
4
5
1
1
3
-
6/12+
60
8
12
7
3
5
2
1
1
1
-
5/12+
62
7
12
6
4
5
1
1
1
1
-
4/12+
61
6
12
7
3
5
2
2
1
2
-
3/12+
48
11
14
9
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
1/12+
57
10
11
7
3
6
2
2
1
1
-
10/45/08+
72
7
10
4
1
3
1
2
-
9/1922/08+
70
8
9
5
2
3
1
1
1
-
9/68/08+
69
10
10
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
-
8/08+
65
8
11
5
2
3
1
1
1
3
-
7/08+
64
8
12
5
3
4
1
1
2
-
6/08+
67
7
11
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
4/08+
65
9
11
4
3
3
1
2
2
-
3/08+
67
8
10
5
2
3
1
1
2
1
1/08+
66
10
10
4
3
4
1
1
1
-
12/07+
65
8
12
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
10/04+
74
8
9
3
2
2
1
1
-
9/04+
71
7
9
5
2
4
1
1
-
8/04+
63
10
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
-
11/07+
62
9
11
6
3
5
1
1
2
-

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Moving on
Q6
Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK BARACK OBAMA FIRST, THEN
RANDOMIZE CLINTON-TRUMP-PENCE-KAINE, RANDOMIZE REST)
Barack Obama
October 10-13, 2016+ ...................
September 2016+ .........................
August 2016+ ................................
July 2016+.....................................
June 2016+ ...................................
May 2016+ ....................................
April 2016+ ....................................
March 2016+ .................................
February 2016+.............................
January 2016+ ..............................
December 2015.............................
October 25-29, 2015 .....................
September 2015............................
July 2015.......................................
June 2015 .....................................
March 2015 ...................................
January 2015 ................................
November 2014.............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ ................
October 8-12, 2014+ .....................
August 2014 ..................................
June 2014 .....................................
March 2014 ...................................
January 2014 ................................
December 2013.............................
October 7-9, 2013 .........................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ....................
April 2013 ......................................
January 2013 ................................
December 2012.............................
October 2012+ ..............................
September 26-30, 2012+ ..............
August 2012+ ................................
June 2012 .....................................
January 2012 ................................
August 2011 ..................................
April 2011 ......................................
January 2011 ................................
November 2010.............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ...................
June 2010 .....................................
March 2010 ...................................
January 23-25, 2010 .....................
December 2009.............................
October 2009 ................................
February 2009 ...............................
January 2009 ................................
High
February 2009 ...............................
Presidential Term Low
August 2014 ..................................
All-time Obama Low
October 28-30, 2006+ ...................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
15
15
14
17
18
17
18
19
18
20
21
17
18
20
20
20
21
21
20
22
18
21
20
19
20
21
19
17
21
16
15
15
17
19
22
20
22
23
21
18
20
19
23
21
20
21
23
9
9
10
9
11
10
13
10
11
11
9
12
14
13
13
12
13
11
12
11
13
13
15
13
11
11
13
10
11
9
8
6
8
14
10
12
14
15
12
12
13
11
14
13
11
12
17
10
11
12
14
11
10
14
12
11
12
14
12
11
14
14
14
12
11
13
12
14
14
14
14
13
11
12
15
11
14
12
11
13
11
14
14
13
14
13
15
15
14
14
15
12
9
8
29
28
28
27
30
31
27
31
30
30
32
31
29
29
27
29
29
32
32
34
33
31
30
30
33
30
28
27
26
24
31
31
30
27
25
30
23
18
26
27
25
24
20
22
21
10
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
47
21
12
10
22
18
13
14
33
14
17
18
40
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
36
36
36
33
30
32
28
28
30
27
23
27
28
24
25
24
24
24
23
21
22
20
21
23
22
26
28
30
31
37
34
37
31
29
28
24
28
29
28
29
27
31
29
29
36
47
43

1

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Q6 (cont'd)
1
Hillary Clinton
October 10-13, 2016+ ....................
October 8-10, 2016+ ......................
September 2016+...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
June 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ....................................
January 2015 .................................
November 2014 ..............................
September 2014+...........................
June 2014 ......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013......................
April 2013 .......................................
January 2013 .................................
December 2012 ..............................
November 2011 ..............................
May 2011 .......................................
April 2011 .......................................
December 2010 ..............................
January 10-14, 2010 .....................
July 2009 ........................................
February 2009 ................................
January 2009 .................................
December 2008 ..............................
September 2008+...........................
August 2008+ .................................
June 2008+ ....................................
April 2008+ .....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .......................
March 7-10, 2008+ .........................
January 2008 .................................
June 2007 ......................................
March 2007 ....................................
December 2006 ..............................
April 2006 .......................................
December 2004 ..............................
July 2003 ........................................
March 2001 ....................................
January 2001 .................................
High
February 2009 ................................
Low
April 2016+ .....................................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
20
17
19
20
16
18
18
19
20
20
24
21
23
20
25
22
23
23
25
19
22
21
25
21
25
20
24
22
24
22
29
27
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
25
28
22
20
23
23
24
23
22
19
21
21
19
22
9
10
11
10
10
12
12
12
11
13
11
15
12
12
13
14
15
19
17
16
16
18
19
20
17
18
14
19
14
22
23
21
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
16
14
14
15
11
11
15
17
17
19
14
20
15
13
10
11
13
11
13
12
13
14
12
11
12
13
12
13
13
15
11
13
14
15
15
14
11
12
12
13
14
12
16
12
12
11
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
18
17
19
21
14
11
16
15
12
13
11
13
18
12
40
40
39
42
43
43
41
42
39
39
37
35
35
35
34
33
29
23
23
25
26
23
21
22
19
18
15
13
12
10
9
11
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
23
22
25
27
29
30
26
28
26
28
29
27
31
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
32
27
18
11
11
13
19
12
14
42
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
20
21
18
17
18
15
16
13
18
17
16
16
17
19
14
15
21
21
20
24
21
23
23
23
26
29
32
34
34
33
26
29
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
17
18
20
17
22
24
18
16
21
19
24
16
16
27

1

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q6 (cont'd)
Donald Trump
October 10-13, 2016+ ....................
October 8-10, 2016+ ......................
September 2016+...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
February 2011 ................................
May 2004+ .....................................
December 1999 ..............................
October 1999 .................................
July 1990 ........................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
15
17
15
13
10
12
13
11
12
11
14
12
10
13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3
14
13
13
15
17
17
16
13
13
17
15
15
17
17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11

Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
8
7
11
11
13
11
12
10
11
12
12
13
17
17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28
10
12
12
11
11
12
14
12
10
10
11
12
14
14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25
52
51
49
50
49
48
44
53
54
49
47
47
42
39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
7
6
9

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Q6 (cont'd)
The Democratic Party

October 10-13, 2016+ ....................
September 2016+ ...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
February 2016+ ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
April 2015 .......................................
January 2015..................................
December 2014 ..............................
November 2014 ..............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ .................
October 8-12, 2014+ ......................
September 2014+ ...........................
June 2014.......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
January 2014..................................
December 2013 ..............................
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ......................
February 2013 ................................
January 2013..................................
December 2012 ..............................
October 2012+................................
September 26-30, 2012+................
August 2012+ .................................
July 2012+ ......................................
June 2012.......................................
March 2012 ....................................
January 2012..................................
November 2011 ..............................
October 2011..................................
August 2011 ...................................
June 2011.......................................
May 2011........................................
April 2011 .......................................
January 2011..................................
December 2010 ..............................
November 2010 ..............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ....................
October 14-18, 2010+ ....................
September 2010 .............................
August 5-9, 2010 ............................
May 20-23, 2010 ............................
May 6-11, 2010 ..............................
March 2010 ....................................
January 10-14, 2010 ......................
December 2009 ..............................
High
January 2000..................................
Low
July 2006 ........................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't
Know
Name/
Not Sure
15
15
14
15
12
11
10
16
15
16
13
12
9
12
12
12
12
11
13
13
14
10
10
15
13
14
18
17
21
21
21
19
17
14
15
15
15
12
11
13
15
12
15
9
14
16
14
15
11
15
11
9
11
10
24
22
26
24
25
27
28
24
26
25
25
26
26
25
26
24
25
25
25
23
21
27
26
22
27
25
23
27
23
21
21
23
23
23
23
23
25
25
22
25
26
26
24
28
26
23
24
22
22
26
26
28
27
25
18
20
16
19
19
20
20
21
18
23
22
24
24
22
20
19
20
22
21
24
25
22
19
21
22
22
22
17
19
17
17
16
20
25
24
23
22
19
21
21
22
22
25
20
18
17
16
20
22
18
19
19
20
19
16
16
18
19
18
19
19
17
17
16
18
17
18
17
20
20
20
20
18
19
18
20
20
18
20
19
17
19
16
17
17
17
17
18
18
21
18
20
19
19
18
18
19
18
18
19
19
20
18
18
18
19
18
19
26
27
25
22
25
22
22
21
22
19
20
19
20
22
21
23
23
22
22
18
20
20
24
22
18
18
19
19
19
23
22
23
23
19
18
18
19
22
25
20
17
21
16
23
23
23
26
22
26
22
24
24
23
26
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
3
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
20
30
23
15
10
25
27
22
17

1

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Q6 (cont'd)
1
The Republican Party

October 10-13, 2016+ ....................
September 2016+ ...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
February 2016+ ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
April 2015 .......................................
January 2015..................................
December 2014 ..............................
November 2014 ..............................
Oct. 30 Nov. 1, 2014+ .................
October 8-12, 2014+ ......................
September 2014+ ...........................
June 2014.......................................
April 2014 .......................................
March 2014 ....................................
January 2014..................................
December 2013 ..............................
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013 ......................
February 2013 ................................
December 2012 ..............................
October 2012+................................
September 26-30, 2012+................
August 2012+ .................................
July 2012+ ......................................
May 2012........................................
March 2012 ....................................
January 2012..................................
November 2011 ..............................
October 2011..................................
August 2011 ...................................
May 2011........................................
April 2011 .......................................
January 2011..................................
December 2010 ..............................
November 2010 ..............................
October 28-30, 2010+ ....................
October 14-18, 2010+ ....................
September 2010 .............................
August 5-9, 2010 ............................
June 2010.......................................
March 2010 ....................................
January 23-25, 2010 ......................
January 10-14, 2010 ......................
December 2009 ..............................
June 2009.......................................
April 2009 .......................................
February 2009 ................................
High
December 2001 ..............................
Low
October 25-28, 2013 ......................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
18
20
19
21
21
19
20
23
22
21
21
22
19
23
23
22
21
22
23
19
20
19
20
16
21
24
21
21
21
24
24
23
23
24
23
21
22
24
24
24
27
27
23
22
23
23
18
24
25
25
23
23
19
22
19
24
23
22
21
23
25
21
21
26
24
26
26
27
24
23
23
21
26
24
29
27
28
22
24
27
26
24
23
20
18
18
22
23
23
24
23
21
21
22
24
24
23
24
24
25
25
28
26
24
27
27
27
29
25
24
24
21
25
24
25
24
23
23
20
21
22
20
23
22
18
23
25
20
22
22
21
22
26
23
23
18
20
18
18
18
16
18
19
19
19
18
18
23
21
22
21
17
20
18
19
21
24
23
20
18
24
24
23
22
25
25
27
26
27
23
24
28
23
24
24
22
23
23
23
25
24
25
21
23
22
24
25
25
30
21
23
26
27
25
25
29
25
24
24
25
26
26
23
23
22
19
20
19
23
23
22
22
19
23
20
18
19
21
22
22
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
21
36
18
13
16
24
23
30
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
8
9
8
6
7
5
7
10
7
8
7
8
6
7
9
7
6
9
6
6
7
5
6
6
7
8
8
9
15
14
12
11
9
8
8
9
11
8
8
7
7
11
11
12
8
8
6
6
6
7
7
5
6
7
7

1

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Q6 (cont'd)
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
16
10
13
22
21
28
11
10
12
17
15
13
14
28
24
12
11
10
17
15
16
22
28
31
9
11
10
20
8
9
20
27
25
Michelle Obama
October 10-13, 2016+* .....................
August 2016+ ...................................
July 2012+ ........................................
April 2012 .........................................
November 2011 ................................
December 2010 ................................
August 5-9, 2010 ..............................
January 10-14, 2010 ........................
April 2009 .........................................
February 2009 ..................................
December 2008 ................................
September 6-8, 2008+ .....................
August 2008+ ...................................
July 2008+ ........................................
March 2008+ ....................................
45
43
41
36
33
33
33
35
43
43
31
21
19
17
14
14
13
13
18
18
19
17
20
21
20
23
19
19
17
18
15
16
19
23
26
25
28
29
22
24
24
23
28
27
32
8
11
9
7
9
11
9
7
6
5
7
11
11
13
9
17
16
17
13
12
10
10
7
5
3
8
20
18
18
11
1
1
1
3
2
2
3
2
3
5
7
6
5
8
16
Alicia Machado
October 10-13, 2016+** ...................
18
63
Paul Ryan
October 10-13, 2016+^.....................
July 2016+ ..........................................
June 2016+ ........................................
May 2016+ .........................................
April 2016+ .........................................
October 25-29, 2015 ..........................
October 15-18, 2015 ..........................
December 2012 ................................
October 2012+ ...................................
September 26-30, 2012+ ...................
August 2012+ .....................................
June 2011 ..........................................
6
9
8
8
9
5
8
14
23
23
19
6
23
19
19
21
17
18
16
16
16
14
14
11
25
25
25
27
28
28
28
23
16
18
18
19
22
18
18
19
17
16
14
15
12
13
11
8
14
12
11
10
11
12
12
19
25
20
21
10
10
17
19
15
18
21
22
13
8
12
17
46
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
Mike Pence
October 10-13, 2016+* .....................
September 2016+.............................
August 2016+ ...................................
20
16
10
Tim Kaine
October 10-13, 2016+** ...................
September 2016+.............................
August 2016+ ...................................
* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B).
^ Asked October 12-13 only, N=352.

MID-OCTOBER 2016

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

TOTAL
TOTAL
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
Michelle Obama ...................................................... 59
25
Barack Obama ........................................................ 51
39
Mike Pence ............................................................. 36
28
Tim Kaine................................................................ 29
29
Alicia Machado .......................................................
9
11
The Democratic Party ............................................. 39
42
Paul Ryan ............................................................... 29
36
Hillary Clinton .......................................................... 40
50
The Republican Party ............................................. 26
49
Donald Trump ......................................................... 29
62
D/S
34
12
8
-2
-3
-7
-10
-23
-33
Thinking again about next months presidential election

Q7
I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election in November: Are you
absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?
Absolutely certain to vote .......................................

Will probably vote ..................................................
Chances 50-50 ......................................................
Chances less than 50-50 .......................................
Already voted (VOL) ...........................................
Not sure ...............................................................
10/1013/16+
86
6
4
3
1
-
10/12+
87
5
3
2
4
-

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q8

If the next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:) Donald Trump as the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate,
and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?
Donald Trump ........................................

Hillary Clinton ........................................
Gary Johnson ........................................
Jill Stein .................................................
Depends (VOL) ...................................
None (VOL) ........................................
Other/Write-in (VOL) ...........................
Would not vote for President (VOL) .....
Not sure ..............................................
10/10-13/161
RV+
LV++
37
37
47
48
7
7
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
2
2
10/8-10/161
RV+
LV++
36
37
45
46
8
8
2
2
1
1
5
9/161
RV+
LV++
37
37
42
43
9
9
3
3
1
1
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
8/16
RV+
34
43
10
5
1
7/16
RV+
35
41
11
6
1
6/16
RV+
38
39
10
6
-

++ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
1
Jill Stein not asked in states where she does not appear on the ballot (GA, IN, NC, NV, OK & SD).
Q9
And, if the next election for president were held today, with only (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence
as the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom
would you vote?
Donald Trump and Mike Pence ......................................

Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine .........................................
Gary Johnson (VOL) ....................................................
Jill Stein (VOL) .............................................................
Depends (VOL) ............................................................
Neither (VOL) ...............................................................
Other/Third Party/Write-in (VOL) ..................................
Would not vote for President (VOL)..............................
Not sure........................................................................
10/10-13/16
RV+
LV++
41
41
51
51
2
2
1
1
3
3
2
2
10/8-10/16
RV+
LV++
40
40
50
50
6
6
1
1
3
3
RV+
41
48
3
1
4
3
9/16
LV++
41
48
3
1
4
3

++ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
Trial Heat Trend Data

10/257/16+ 6/16+ 5/16+ 4/16+ 3/16+ 2/16+ 1/16+ 12/15+ 29/15+ 9/15+
Donald Trump ................... 41
41
43
39
38
40
41
40
42
39
Hillary Clinton .................... 46
46
46
50
51
50
51
50
50
49
Depends (VOL) .............. Neither (VOL) ................. 8
9
9
9
9
9
6
8
6
10
Other (VOL) ................... 1
2
Not sure ......................... 4
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
8/16+
RV+
38
47
8
3
4

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q9a

Now, regardless of whom you are considering to vote for right now, when it comes to (READ NAME), do you
strongly support (him/her) and would definitely vote for (him/her), do you find (him/her) acceptable and are
open to voting for (him/her), do you have serious reservations about (him/her) and are questioning whether
you could vote for (him/her), or do you strongly oppose (him/her) and would definitely not vote for (him/her)?
Serious
Strongly support/
reservations/
Strongly oppose/
definitely
Acceptable/open to questioning voting definitely will not vote
vote for them
voting for them
for them
for them
Not
sure
Donald Trump
Among Registered Voters+ ................22
Among Trump Voters+ .......................54
Hillary Clinton
Among Registered Voters+ ................28
Among Clinton Voters+ ......................54
13
30
13
14
50
1
2
1
19
33
13
12
40
1
Q9b
Do you have any family, friends, or people you work with who have expressed hesitation or concern about
saying who they support for president because they worry what others might think? (IF YES, ASK) From
what you know, will they be voting for (ROTATE) Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump? +
Yes, Hillary Clinton ....................................................................................
Yes, Donald Trump ...................................................................................
Yes, some Hillary Clinton, some Donald Trump (VOL) .............................
Yes, but I am not sure which candidate they are voting for (VOL) ............
No .............................................................................................................
Not sure ................................................................................................
8
13
8
5
60
6

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q10

And, what is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a
Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
10/1013/16+
Republican-controlled Congress ...........44
Democrat-controlled Congress .............46
Not sure ................................................10
10/810/16+
42
48
10
9/16+
45
48
7
8/16+
43
47
10
6/16+
46
46
8
5/16+
44
48
8
4/16+
45
47
8
10/2529/15+
45
45
10
9/14+
45
43
12
8/14+
44
43
13
6/14+
43
45
12
4/14+
45
45
10
3/14+
44
43
13
1/14+
43
45
12
12/13+
44
42
14
10/2528/13+
41
45
14
10/79/13+
39
47
14
9/13+
43
46
11
7/13+
44
44
12
6/13+
42
45
13
10/12+
43
45
12
9/2630/12+
43
47
10
8/12+
42
47
11
7/12+
45
46
9
6/12+
44
45
11
5/12+
43
44
13
4/12+
44
46
10
3/12+
41
46
13
1/12+
41
47
12
12/11+
43
45
12
11/11+
43
46
11
10/11+
41
45
14
8/11+
47
41
12
6/11+
44
44
12
10/2830/10+
46
44
10
10/1418/10+
44
46
10
9/10+
44
44
12
8/2630/10+
43
43
14
8/59/10+
42
43
15
6/10+
45
43
12
5/2023/10+
44
43
13
5/611/10+
44
44
12
3/10+
42
45
13
1/2325/10+
42
44
14
1/1014/10+
41
41
18
12/09+
41
43
16
10/09+
38
46
16
9/09+
40
43
17
7/09+
39
46
15
4/09+
39
48
13
11/08+
36
48
16
10/08+
36
49
15
9/08+
37
50
13
8/08+
36
47
17
7/08+
36
49
15
6/08+
33
52
15
4/08+
34
49
17
3/08+
35
49
16
11/07+
37
46
17
9/07+
35
47
18
10/06+
37
52
11
9/06+
39
48
13
7/06+
38
48
14
6/06+
38
49
13
4/06+
39
45
16
3/06+
37
50
13
1/06+
38
47
15
12/05+
38
46
16
11/05+
37
48
15
10/05+
39
48
13
7/05+
40
45
15
5/05+
40
47
13
10/04+
43
44
13
9/04+
42
46
12
6/04+
42
44
14
5/04+
41
44
15
3/04+
42
45
13
1/04
42
43
15
12/13/03
42
42
16
10/02+
43
42
15
9/02
42
42
16
7/02
43
41
16
6/02
42
41
17
1/02
44
40
16
12/01
42
40
18
12/99
40
44
16
10/99
39
41
20
7/99
39
43
18
6/99
42
41
17
4/99
41
40
19
3/99
37
43
20
10/98+
41
43
16
9/98
40
39
21
7/98
41
40
19
6/98
39
40
21
2/98
41
37
22
1/98
40
42
18
12/97
41
37
22
9/97
41
39
20
7/97
45
39
16
4/97
44
38
18
10/3010/811/1/14+ 12/14+
42
42
46
46
12
12

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Thinking more about the election for U.S. Congress

Q11A Would you be more likely to vote for: (ROTATE)
A Republican candidate who will be a check-and-balance to Hillary Clinton and Congressional Democrats
OR
A Democratic candidate who will help Hillary Clinton and Congressional Democrats pass their agenda? +
A Republican candidate .................................
A Democratic candidate.................................
Depends (VOL) ............................................
Neither (VOL) ..............................................
Other (VOL) .................................................
Not sure .......................................................
53
40
1
3
1
2
Q11B
And, if a Republican candidate for Congress says they do not support Donald Trump for President, would
you be more likely or less likely to vote for that candidate or would it make no difference in your vote one
way of the other?
RV+
GOP+
More likely ..............................................
26
12
Less likely ..............................................
16
25
No difference ..........................................
56
61
Not sure ................................................
2
2
Q12
Now, some people we have spoken with have already filled out their ballot for the Federal election for
President, Senate, Congress and statewide offices being held in November Have you already cast your
ballot in the election by voting by mail or in person at an early polling location? (DO NOT READ CHOICES:)
(IF NOT YET VOTED, THEN ASK:) And do you plan to vote early - either by mail or in person - or will you
vote at the polls on Election Day? +1
Total Voting Early .........................................................................................

Yes, voted by mail ........................................................................................
Yes, voted early in person ............................................................................
No, plan to vote early by mail .......................................................................
No, plan to vote early in person ....................................................................
No, will vote at the polls on Election Day ......................................................
Dont plan on voting (VOL) ........................................................................
Not sure ......................................................................................................
Not in a State that has started early voting ................................................
All
Voters
12
2
1
5
4
16
2
70
Voters in Early
Voting States
41
8
3
18
12
55
1
3
-

1
Asked in states where early voting has begun: AZ, CA, ID, IL, IN, IA, ME, MN, MT, NE, NJ, NM, NC, ND, OH,
SD, VT, WI, WY

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Moving on
Q13
Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if (READ ITEM) were elected president
(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP) optimistic and confident that (he/she) would do a good job,
satisfied and hopeful that (he/she) would do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether (he/she) would do
a good job, or pessimistic and worried that (he/she) would do a bad job?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY
OPTIMISTIC AND CONFIDENT OR SATISFIED AND HOPEFUL
Optimistic
And
Confident
Satisfied
And
Hopeful
Uncertain
And
Wondering
Pessimistic
And
Worried
Not
Sure
22
24
23
22
19
29
30
24
23
17
16
17
14
13
15
21
19
22
39
41
41
43
43
35
24
28
32
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
17
18
21
19
15
12
19
18
15
17
53
49
48
52
50
1
1
1
Hillary Clinton
October 10-13, 2016+...............................21
August 2016+ ...........................................18
July 2016+ ................................................18
February 2016+ ................................
21
October 2015+..........................................24
June 2015+...............................................20
August 2011+ ...........................................24
March 2008+ ............................................28
1
April 2006+ ..............................................22
Donald Trump
October 10-13, 2016+...............................17
August 2016+ ...........................................14
July 2016+ ................................................12
February 2016+ ................................
14
October 2015+..........................................17

1
In April 2006, the question read Which of the following best describes your feeling about how Hillary Clinton would
do as president
John McCain
October 2008+ .........................
Barack Obama
October 2008+ .........................
Optimistic
Satisfied
Uncertain
Pessimistic
Not Sure
16
28
26
29
27
29
21
22
Optimistic
Satisfied
Uncertain
Pessimistic
Not Sure
31
20
13
35
23
25
24
27
Optimistic
Satisfied
Uncertain
Pessimistic
Not Sure
27
29
24
19
22
30
23
24
Optimistic
Satisfied
Uncertain
Pessimistic
Not Sure
21
20
24
26
32
31
20
21
3
2
28
23
31
33
21
24
19
19
1
1
George W. Bush
October 2004+ .........................
John Kerry
October 2004+ .........................
George W. Bush
October 2000+ .........................
Al Gore
October 2000+ .........................
Bob Dole
October 1996+ ........................
September 1996+....................
Bill Clinton
October 1996+ ........................
September 1996+....................

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q14

Have the presidential debates made you more likely to support Donald Trump, more likely to support Hillary
Clinton, or have they not made a difference in how you are going to vote? +
More likely to support Donald Trump ...............
More likely to support Hillary Clinton ...............
Made no difference ..........................................
Not sure .........................................................
14
31
52
3
October 2012 Trend +

More likely to support Mitt Romney .................
More likely to support Barack Obama..............
Not sure .........................................................
27
24
47
2

More likely to support George W. Bush ...........
More likely to support John Kerry ....................
Not sure .........................................................
17
33
48
2

More likely to support George W. Bush ...........
More likely to support Al Gore .........................
Not sure .........................................................
25
18
55
2
And thinking about you

Q15
When you think about your own financial situation, looking ahead to the next year or so, do you feel
confident and optimistic or worried and uncertain?
Confident and optimistic ...................

Worried and uncertain ......................
In between (VOL)............................
Not sure ..........................................
10/1013/16+
52
42
3
3
9/15
53
45
1
1
9/1922/08+
34
58
7
1
6/08+
35
55
9
1

MID-OCTOBER 2016

And thinking again about two of the candidates running for president
Q16
Now I'd like you to compare Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on a few issues. For each one, please tell me
whether you think that Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would be better on that issue. If you think that both
would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think
would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you
think that both would be equally good or neither would be good?
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER
Donald
Hillary
Both Would
Neither
Trump
Clinton
Be Equally
Would Be
Depends
Better
Better
Good
Good
(VOL)
Protecting Americas interest on trade
issues
October 10-13, 2016+** ......................................
46
43
3
7
May 2016+ ..........................................................
48
38
3
9
-
Not
Sure
1
2
Dealing with the economy

October 10-13, 2016+.........................................
September 2016+ ...............................................
August 2016+ .....................................................
June 2016+ .........................................................
May 2016+ ..........................................................
44
46
46
47
47
43
41
42
37
36
4
3
3
3
6
8
9
8
12
10
1
1
1
1
1
Making appointments to the Supreme Court

October 10-13, 2016+** ........................................
May 2016+ ............................................................
38
34
48
47
4
6
7
10
3
3
Changing the country for the better

October 10-13, 2016+.........................................
September 2016+ ...............................................
August 2016+ .....................................................
36
38
36
44
44
42
1
1
2
17
17
17
2
2
Being a good commander-in-chief

October 10-13, 2016+* .......................................
September 2016+ ...............................................
August 2016+ .....................................................
June 2016+ ..............................................................
May 2016+ ..............................................................
32
33
35
32
33
52
48
46
44
43
2
1
3
3
4
13
16
15
21
19
1
2
1
1
Dealing with issues of concern to women

October 10-13, 2016+* .........................................
May 2016+ ............................................................
17
16
67
63
4
5
11
15
1
1


MID-OCTOBER 2016

Q16 contd
Now, lets compare Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton on a few personal characteristics. Who do you think
would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump, or do you
think that both would be equally good or neither would be good? (RANDOMIZE)
THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER
Donald
Hillary
Both Would
Neither
Trump
Clinton
Be Equally
Would Be
Depends
Better
Better
Good
Good
(VOL)
Being honest and straightforward
34
1
25
October 10-13, 2016+.............................................. 38
31
2
25
September 2016+ .................................................... 41
25
1
32
June 2016+ .............................................................. 41
Not
Sure
2
1
1
Having the right set of personal

characteristics to be president
October 10-13, 2016+* ............................................ 25
51
16
Having the right temperament to be

president
October 10-13, 2016+.............................................. 23
September 2016+ .................................................... 23
59
56
3
3
13
17
2
1


MID-OCTOBER 2016

(Q16A-B ASKED IF THIRD PARTY OR UNDECIDED ON 4-WAY BALLOT OR NOT DEFINITELY VOTING
TRUMP/CLINTON) (Q16A-B ROTATED)
Q16A What most concerns you if Donald Trump becomes President of the United States? What do you need to
learn about him to feel more comfortable about him becoming President?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSES
Q16B
What most concerns you if Hillary Clinton becomes President of the United States? What do you need to
learn about her to feel more comfortable about her becoming President?
SEE VERBATIM RESPONSES
Changing topics
Q16C Have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage about a recently released video tape of Donald Trump
talking about women in vulgar and crude terms? (IF YES:) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just
some about this? +
Total Yes
Yes, a lot ..........................................................
Yes, some ........................................................
No .....................................................................
Not sure ........................................................
95
66
29
5
-
Q16D
From what you know, do you believe this disqualifies Donald Trump from being considered as president and
that he should withdraw from the race because of what he said in the video tape or not? If you have no
opinion, please just say so. (IF YES/NO) And, do you feel that way strongly or not?
Total Yes ...............................................................

Strongly Yes ........................................................
Not Strongly Yes ..................................................
Total No ................................................................
Not Strongly No ...................................................
Strongly No ..........................................................
No Opinion .............................................................
Not sure ...............................................................
10/1013/16+
32
29
3
53
10
43
14
1
10/810/16+
36
33
3
47
11
36
16
1

MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q17

Now let me read you some concerns you may hear about each of the candidates. For each one, please tell
me whether this issue gives you major concerns, moderate concerns, minor concerns, or no real concerns
about that candidate. (RANDOMIZE) +
THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERCENTAGE WHO SAY MAJOR OR MODERATE CONCERNS
Major
Moderate
Minor
No Real
Concerns Concerns Concerns Concerns
Not
Sure
Donald Trumps comments and his language about

women, immigrants, and Muslims
October 10-13, 2016+* ......................................................
55
13
11
20
September 2016+ ..............................................................
54
15
12
18
50
51
48
17
13
17
17
14
17
16
21
18
1
-
46
43
21
19
15
17
17
19
1
2
October 10-13, 2016+** .....................................................

September 2016+ ..............................................................
Donald Trump talking about kissing and touching
women in a sexual way without their consent on a
recently released video tape
53
52
11
14
12
15
24
19
October 10-13, 2016+ ........................................................

Hillary Clinton saying in a speech to Latin American
bankers that she would like to see a common market
with open trade and open borders
50
14
13
22
October 10-13, 2016+* ......................................................

Donald Trumps businesses performing so poorly
that he had a tax write-off of over $900 million
dollars in one year on his personal taxes
36
20
16
26
October 10-13, 2016+* ......................................................

Donald Trump not releasing his personal tax records
and saying he did not pay anything in federal
income taxes for years
43
12
14
31
October 10-13, 2016+** .....................................................

Hillary Clintons criticism of the women who
accused Bill Clinton of inappropriate sexual
behavior
39
12
13
36
October 10-13, 2016+ ........................................................
28
20
19
29
Hillary Clintons use of a private e-mail server during

her time as Secretary of State
October 10-13, 2016+** .....................................................
September 2016+ ..............................................................
August 2016+.....................................................................
Hillary Clintons judgment and decisions in dealing
with Syria, Iraq, and Libya
October 10-13, 2016+* ......................................................
September 2016+ ..............................................................
Donald Trump not having the right temperament to
serve as Commander-in-Chief


MID-OCTOBER 2016
Q18

As you may know, Donald Trump wrote off over nine hundred million dollars in business losses in a single
year, which means he says he has not paid federal income taxes for years. Which one of the following
statements best describes your point of view about this. If you dont have an opinion either way, please just
say so. (ROTATE)
It shows his good business sense to take full legal advantage of the tax code to help him build a company
that created thousands of jobs.
Losing this much money in a single year calls into question his claim of being a good businessman, while
avoiding paying federal income taxes most people pay. +**
It shows his good business sense ......................................
Calls into question his claim of being a good
businessman ......................................................................
No opinion .........................................................................
Some of both/mixed (VOL) ..............................................
Neither (VOL) ..................................................................
Not sure ...........................................................................
38
44
15
1
1
1

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Changing topics again

(Q19 & Q20 ROTATED)
Q19
Have you received any mail, e-mail, telephone calls, contact on social media like Facebook or Twitter or any
other personal contact encouraging you to vote for Donald Trump? (IF YES, PLEASE SPECIFY/ACCEPT
MULTIPLE RESPONSES) +
Total Contacted
Mail .................................................................................
Telephone calls ...............................................................
Social Media ................................................................
E-Mail ..............................................................................
Other personal contact ....................................................
None ...............................................................................
Not sure .......................................................................
31
11
8
16
10
4
68
1
ROMNEY 2012 TREND+

10/12+
Total Contacted
34
Mail .................................................................................. 19
Telephone calls................................................................ 11
Social Media ................................................................
11
E-Mail .............................................................................. 9
Other personal contact .................................................... 4
None ................................................................................ 66
Not sure ........................................................................ -
8/12+
24
11
7
8
7
2
75
1
Q20
Have you received any mail, e-mail, telephone calls, contact on social media like Facebook or Twitter or any
other personal contact encouraging you to vote for Hillary Clinton? (IF YES, PLEASE SPECIFY/ACCEPT
MULTIPLE RESPONSES) +
Total Contacted
Mail .................................................................................
Telephone calls ...............................................................
Social Media ................................................................
E-Mail ..............................................................................
Other personal contact ....................................................
None ...............................................................................
Not sure .......................................................................
32
10
6
15
12
5
67
1
OBAMA 2012 TREND+

10/12+
Total Contacted
38
E-Mail ............................................................................... 17
Mail .................................................................................. 16
Social Media .................................................................... 15
Telephone calls ................................................................ 11
Other personal contact ..................................................... 5
None ................................................................................ 61
Not sure ........................................................................ 1
8/12+
30
13
10
10
6
3
69
1

MID-OCTOBER 2016

Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
46
32
3
2
15
2
QF1d
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted ...............................................................
No, did not vote .......................................................
Not sure ..................................................................
65
30
5
QF2
Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do?
(RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? +
Currently Employed
Professional, manager ............................
White-collar worker .................................
Blue-collar worker ...................................
Farmer, rancher ......................................
Not Currently Employed
Student ....................................................
Stay at home mom/dad ...........................
Retired ....................................................
Unemployed, looking for work .................
Other .......................................................
Not sure ................................................
30
16
15
4
6
25
3
1

voters.

MID-OCTOBER 2016
QF3

What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree.........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree ..............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree.............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree.........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused ....................................................
1
3
24
15
2
15
22
2
12
4
-
QF4
Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something

else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican)
or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG
DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the
Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF
"NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") +
Strong Democrat ...............................
Not very strong Democrat .................
Independent/lean Democrat ..............
Strictly Independent...........................
Independent/lean Republican ............
Not very strong Republican ...............
Strong Republican .............................
Other (VOL).....................................
Not sure...........................................
26
9
9
13
11
7
19
4
2
+ Results shown reflect responses among

registered voters.
QF5
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................
11
15
34
19
18
3

MID-OCTOBER 2016

QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR
"NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? +
Labor union member ........................................
Union household ..............................................
Non-union household .......................................
Not sure ..........................................................
14
7
77
2
QF7a
What is your religion? +

Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal,
Presbyterian, and other Christians) ..........................................
Catholic .....................................................................................
Jewish .......................................................................................
Muslim .......................................................................................
Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........
Other .........................................................................................
None ..........................................................................................
Not sure/refused ......................................................................
41
24
1
1
2
14
15
2
(ASKED OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY PROTESTANT, OTHER, OR NOT SURE IN QF7a.)

QF7b
Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not
describe yourself that way? +
Fundamentalist/evangelical .............................................
13
Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ...........................
41
Not sure ................................................................3
Catholic/Jewish/Muslim/Mormon/None (QF7a) ................
43
QF8
Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and
living with a partner? +
Married .............................................................
Widowed ...........................................................
Separated ........................................................
Divorced ...........................................................
Single/never been married ................................
Unmarried and living with a partner ..................
Refused ..........................................................
58
6
1
10
18
7
-
QF9
If you added together the yearly income of all the members of your family who were living at home last year,
would the total be less than ten thousand dollars, between ten thousand dollars and twenty thousand
dollars, between twenty thousand dollars and thirty thousand dollars, between thirty thousand dollars and
forty thousand dollars, between forty thousand dollars and fifty thousand dollars, between fifty thousand
dollars and seventy-five thousand dollars, between seventy-five thousand dollars and one hundred thousand
dollars, or would the total be more than that? +
Less than $10,000 ...............................................
Between $10,000 and $20,000 ...........................
Between $20,000 and $30,000 ...........................
Between $30,000 and $40,000 ...........................
Between $40,000 and $50,000 ...........................
Between $50,000 and $75,000 ...........................
Between $75,000 and $100,000 .........................
More than $100,000 ............................................
Not sure/refused .................................................
4
7
7
9
8
15
14
26
10

NBCWSJ Mid-October Poll

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HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 1

Date: October 10-13, 2016

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 2

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 3

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 4

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 5

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 6

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Study #16991-- page 7

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 8

The Democratic Party

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 9

The Republican Party

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 10

* Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A).

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 11

SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES BY D/S (POSITIVE NEGATIVE)

Thinking again about next months presidential election

Absolutely certain to vote .......................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 12

Donald Trump ........................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Donald Trump and Mike Pence ......................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Trial Heat Trend Data

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 13

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 14

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 15

Thinking more about the election for U.S. Congress

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

Total Voting Early .........................................................................................

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES

Study #16991-- page 16

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.

+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.