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COUNTDOWN TO 2017

EMBARGOED UNTIL: 5 AM MST - OCTOBER 17, 2016


PRINT EXCLUSIVE: POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 806 Edmonton residents by Smart IVR on October 11-12, 2016. A mixture of
landlines and cell phones were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 3.45%, 19 times out of 20. Results were weighed by age
and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

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"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected


by copyright. The information and/or data may only
be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper
credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

IVESON LEADS EDMONTON MAYORAL RACE, HAS 52% APPROVAL


October 17, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nds Don Iveson with a 52% approval
rate. Iveson would lead an election campaign with several challengers with 42% of the decided vote. The
Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.45%, 19 times out of 20.
Mayor Iveson has a strong 52% approval rating, given the economic climate said Quito Maggi, president
of Mainstreet Research. Iveson outpaces scores for city council (42% Approval) and local councillor
(47%). Only 33% disapprove of the job he is doing as mayor.
In a hypothetical mayoral race that includes Stephen Mandel, Karen Leibovici, Michael Oshry and Mike
Nickel, Don Iveson leads with 42% of the decided vote with Mandel second with 34%. Leibovici rounds out
third with 9%. Whether Iveson will face a strong re-election challenge remains to be seen, certainly its not
yet clear what kind of municipal election Edmonton will have in 2017, continued Maggi.
The top issue in the city so far is city spending, agged by 17% of Edmontonians as their top issue in a
mayoral campaign. Transit and something else were both tied at 12%, with Taxes at 11%.
When asked if they are receiving good value for the city taxes they pay, 42% said they are not good value
with only 31% in favour. This could be an issue to watch as we get closer to the municipal campaign,
nished Maggi.
About Mainstreet Research
Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of
government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British
Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling rm
in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only
polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30Available for interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
For more information: David Valentin, 514-913-5524, david@mainstreetresearch.ca

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If an election for Edmonton Mayor were


held today, who would you vote
for if the following candidates ran?

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Do you approve or disapprove of the way Don


Iveson is handling his job as Mayor?

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Thinking about Edmonton City Council, do you


approve or disapprove of the way it
is handling its job?

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Thinking about your local city councilor, do you


approve or disapprove of the way they are handling
their job?

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And what would be the top issue when considering


your vote for city council and mayor?

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Overall, is the cost of the property taxes you pay


the City of Edmonton a good value for the money
you pay, or not?

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SCRIPT

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Don Iveson is handling his job as Mayor?
Thinking about Edmonton City Council, do you approve or disapprove of the way it
is handling its job?
Thinking about your local city councilor, do you approve or disapprove of the way
they are handling their job?
Strongly Approve
Somewhat Approve
Somewhat Disapprove
Strongly Disapprove
Not Sure
If an election for Edmonton Mayor were held today, who
would you vote for if the following candidates ran?
Don Iveson
Stephen Mandel
Karen Libovici
Michael Oshry
Mike Nickel
Undecided
And what would be the top issue when considering
your vote for city council and mayor?
Taxation
City spending
Policing & Safety
Transit
Homelessness & Poverty
City management of Major Infrastructure Projects, such
as bridges and LRT
Something Else
Not Sure
Overall, is the cost of the property taxes you pay the City of Edmonton a good value for the money you pay, or
not?
Good Value
Not a Good Value
Not Sure

ONLY WE
CALLED
THE
LIBERAL
MAJORITY.

I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because its an interview
with a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Public
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such condence, a week
before we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 2013,
in deance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanation
for how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running a
political campaign. - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
Mainstreet Research | 1322255B Queen Street East
| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada

Mainstreet is a national public research rm. With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal majority
government in the 2015 federal election.

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