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Assignment 3
School of Management
Professor Dr. Igor Gvozdanovic
Assignment 3
Assignment 3
Table of Contents
The relevance of information memorandum and cash-flow analysis in project evaluation............4
Information memorandum...........................................................................................................4
Cash-flow analysis.......................................................................................................................5
Describe in detail, the four types of financial ratios. What is the relevance of each in project
evaluation?.......................................................................................................................................6
Liquidity ratios.............................................................................................................................6
Current ratio......................................................................................................... 7
Quick ratio............................................................................................................ 7
Cash Conversion Cycle......................................................................................... 7
Debt ratios....................................................................................................................................8
Debt-to-equity ratio.............................................................................................. 8
Debt-to-asset ratio............................................................................................... 9
Profitability ratios........................................................................................................................9
Profit Margin Analysis......................................................................................... 10
Balance Sheet Measures of Profitability.............................................................11
Coverage ratios..........................................................................................................................15
Cash flow coverage ratio....................................................................................15
Interest coverage ratio....................................................................................... 16
Debt service coverage ratio............................................................................... 16
Asset coverage ratio.......................................................................................... 17
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Assignment 3
provides all general information on the project and financing and outlines the
content of the project agreements (Fight, 2006).
Cash-flow analysis
(Finnerty, 2007) states that the economic viability of a project depends on
the adequacy of the cash flows generated as compared to the cash flows
that must be expended. Projecting the cash outflows and inflows is a critical
part of this analysis. The timing of the cash inflows and outflows is a
contributing factor. The cash outflows are typically easier to predict. They
occur primarily in the earlier years of the project. The more distant operating
cash inflows are inherently more difficult to predict. Lenders are concerned
about the timeliness of project debt service payments, and equity investors
are concerned about the adequacy of their returns. Cash flow analysis is
used to address both sets of concerns.
For a project financing to be viable, the projects cash flow must be adequate
both to service project debt in a timely manner and to provide an acceptable
rate of return to equity investors (Finnerty, 2007).
(Gatti, 2008) affirms that Identifying the operative components of cash flow
during the feasibility study is vital for various reasons, inter-alia, the
followings:
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1. Project finance is viable only in light of the size and volatility of flows
generated by the initiative and the project uses cash-flows to pay back
its loans and pay out dividends to the SPVs shareholders.
2. Lenders cant count on sponsors to recover loans because limitedrecourse clauses actually prevent any such action.
3. Quantifying operating cash flows is crucial for defining the optimal mix
of debt and equity. Operating cash flow generated during the operating
life determines the cash available for debt service; consequently it
determines the percentage of debt to be used.
Liquidity ratios
Generally, companies have two options when they wish to pay for their
current assets and liabilities. They can use trade credit or bank lending
channel to optimize their working capital.
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Liquidity ratios are used to judge a firms ability to meet short term
obligations (Fight, 2006). There are two main liquidity ratios; current ratio
(Equation 1),
Current ratio
Current ratio=
Current assets
Current liabilities
The quick ratio is similar to the current ratio; however, inventories are
excluded from current assets in the quick ratio calculation because
inventories can become overvalued within a short time frame. Depending on
the industry, a quick ratio of 1 or greater is preferable. If the ratio is less
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than 1, it could be difficult for a company to pay short-term obligations if
sales drop ( Deloitte & Touche LLP Deloitte &. Idhmatsu, n.d.).
true
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could prompt the project to invest the excess capital in projects that drive
growth.
Debt ratios
Generally, companies have two options when they wish to raise money. They
can issue shares of stock, which are also known as equities. Alternatively,
they can issue bonds, which are also known as debt instruments (MoneyZine,
2015). Debt or leverage ratios provide an indication of the long-term
solvency of a company and to what extent a company is using long-term
debt to support its business. There most cited debt ratios are; debt-to-equity
ratio (Equation 4), and debt-to-asset ratio (Equation 5).
Debt-to-equity ratio
Total Liabilities
Debt Equity=
Owner ' s Equity
Debt-to-asset ratio
Total Liabilities
Debt Asset=
Total Assets
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risk that company is considered to have taken on. Generally, it's desirable to
have a debt ratio that is less than 0.5. When a company's ratio rises above
0.5, it is said to be highly leveraged (MoneyZine, 2015).
Debt or leverage ratios are important to project evaluation because are used
by bankers to see how the project is financed, whether it comes from
creditors or your Owner's Equity. In general, a bank will consider a lower ratio
to be a good indicator of the project ability to repay the debts or take on
additional debt to support new opportunities.
It's very common for projects in capital intensive industries to borrow money
to finance their operations. As long as these capital investments provide
additional profits to the business, making interest payments to creditors is
not problematic. However, if the company's business suddenly contracts,
they may not have enough profits to pay creditors (MoneyZine, 2015).
Profitability ratios
The primary goal of most companies is to make profits for their owners.
Profitability ratios help analysts, and investors, to understand just how
efficiently
company
generates
these
profits
(MoneyZine,
2015).
Analysis: Gross Profit Margin, Operating Margin and Net Profits Margin, and
(ii) Balance Sheet Measures of Profitability: Return on Assets, Return on
Equity, DuPont Equation, Return on Invested Capital.
Profit Margin Analysis
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In the income statement, there are four levels of profit or profit margins gross profit, operating profit, pre-tax profit and net profit. Profit margin
analysis uses the percentage calculation to provide a comprehensive
measure of a company's profitability. The objective of margin analysis is to
detect consistency or positive/negative trends in a company's earnings.
Positive profit margin analysis translates into positive investment quality
(Loth, 2010).
Gross Profit Margin
Gross Profit Margin ( )=
Gross Profits
x 100
Revenues
Where:
Operating Margin
Operating Margin ( )=
Operating Income
x 100
Revenues
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Where:
and a
Net Income
x 100
Revenues
Net Profits Margin tells the investor / analyst how much profit is generated
divided by the total revenues of the business.
expenses and income sources that are not part of the company's core
business, it is relegated to a second tier measure. It's an interesting metric
to monitor, but really doesn't align with a company's ability to efficiently turn
revenues into profits (Loth, 2010).
Balance Sheet Measures of Profitability
While the first three ratios examined the relationship of revenues and
income, there are additional measures that rely both on the income
statement as well as the balance sheet. Some of the more familiar metrics
include return on assets and return on equity. The less familiar, but perhaps
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Assignment 3
more powerful, ratios include the DuPont equation and return on invested
capital (Loth, 2010).
Return on Assets
Return on Assets()=
Net Income
x 100
Total Assets
Where:
Total Assets = the average total assets of the company, typically found
by adding two yearend values for total assets and dividing by two.
Return on Equity
Return on Equity( )=
Net Income
x 100
Stockholder ' s Equity
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Where:
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11
This equation can be expanded several times until it takes its final form:
ROA = ((Sales - Total Costs) / Sales) x (Sales / (Current Assets + Non-Current
Assets))
The power of this measure is its ability to identify the strengths and
weaknesses of a company. The first part of this equation tells the analyst
how efficiently a project uses its assets to produce profits. Current assets
include cash, accounts receivable, inventories, and marketable securities,
while non-current assets include items such as buildings, land, and
machinery / equipment.
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The second part of this equation tells the analyst how working capital and
long-term, income-producing assets are used to help maintain the project's
operation.
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Where:
Rate)
Invested Capital (IC) = Fixed Assets + Non-Cash Working Capital
Non-Cash Working Capital = Current Assets - Current Liabilities - Cash
NOPAT allows the investor to calculate a profit figure that takes into
consideration the company's capital structure. The denominator of the ROIC
equation contains invested capital. This includes fixed assets such as plant,
property and equipment. Non-cash working capital contains assets such as
accounts receivable and inventory (Loth, 2010).
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Return on equity tells the investor the amount of net income generated for
the shareholders' equity in the company. Unfortunately, ROE doesn't tell the
investor how much debt (leverage) the company is using to generate those
profits. ROIC eliminates much of the noise that limits some of the other
return calculations. The measure focuses on the income-generating assets
of the company (Loth, 2010).
Coverage ratios
Coverage ratios measure the ability of a company to generate cash flow in
excess of its financing commitments (Fight, 2006). Common coverage ratios
include the cash flow coverage ratio (Equation 13 and 13a) (Fight, 2006),
interest coverage ratio (Equation 14), debt service coverage ratio (Equation
15) and the asset coverage ratio (Equation 16) (Loth, 2010).
Cash flow coverage ratio
13
13a
16
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Cash flow coverage ratio compares a company's operating cash flow to its
total debt, which, for purposes of this ratio, is defined as the sum of shortterm borrowings, the current portion of long-term debt and long-term debt.
This ratio provides an indication of a project's ability to cover total debt with
its yearly cash flow from operations. The higher the percentage ratio, the
better the project's ability to carry its total debt (Loth, 2010).
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The interest coverage ratio is used to determine how easily a project can pay
interest expenses on outstanding debt. The lower the ratio, the more the
project is burdened by debt expense. When a project's interest coverage
ratio is only 1.5 or lower, its ability to meet interest expenses may be
questionable (Loth, 2010).
The ability to stay current with interest payment obligations is absolutely
critical for a project acceptance by the lenders.
Debt service coverage ratio
Debt service coverageratio=
15
17
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Debt-Service Coverage Ratio is a measure of the cash flow available to pay
current debt obligations. The ratio states net operating income as a multiple
of debt obligations due within one year, including interest, principal, sinkingfund and lease payments (Loth, 2010).
Debt-Service Coverage Ratio is critical for project evaluation in order to
attract foreign investments.
16
Asset coverage ratio measures how well a project can cover its short-term
debt obligations with assets. A project that can cover its debts with assets,
that is, the project that has more assets than it does short-term debt, is the
better project. The more times it can cover this debt, the better. So, a project
with a high asset coverage ratio is considered to be less risky than a project
with a low asset coverage ratio (Loth, 2010).
In summary, cover ratios are indicators of financial sustainability
of the
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Assignment 3
Summarize
the
key
considerations
in
credit
risk
appraisal
According to (Gatti, 2008) credit risk appraisal intends to ascertain the
financial sustainability of a given structured transactions, or specialized
lending (SL) given that valuing a project-financed initiative on a selfstanding basis (not taking into account guarantees in the form of sponsors
assets) calls for a creative approach to the issue of quantifying and
managing credit risk (p. 289). (Finnerty, 2007) affirms that the amount of
debt (credit )the project can raise is a function of the projects expected
capacity to service debt from project cash flowor, more simply, its credit
strength derived from (1) the inherent value of the assets included in the
project, (2) the expected profitability of the project, (3) the amount of equity
project sponsors have at risk (after the debt financing is completed), and,
indirectly, (4) the pledges of creditworthy third parties or sponsors involved
in the project (p. 74).
Thus, project finance credit risk appraisal is characterized by specific
features that suggest that such deals should be treated differently from
corporate exposures (Gatti, 2008). On these specific features of project
finance credit risk appraisal, (Fight, 2006) suggests the following general
considerations applied to a) pre-construction phase, b) post-construction,
and c) Financial strength.
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Assignment 3
In the pre-construction phase, the credit risk appraisal should pay attention
to a) the experience and reputation of project sponsor, b) engineering and
design Lenders, c) construction contracts.
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Assignment 3
payments to cover operating costs, and service the debt (Fight, 2006).
Equity contributions - credit risk appraisal should specify the timing
and certainty of the equity funding in order to optimally schedule the
timing and dependability of the injection of funds into the project
(Fight, 2006).
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should
therefore
focus
on
factors
such
as
industry
foreign
exchange
exposure
and
vulnerability
to
foreign
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Credit risk appraisal should look at the impact on projects financial strength
of a) financial risk, b) capitalization and financial flexibility, c) inflation risk, d)
interest rate risk, and e) liquidity risk.
scenarios
to
protect
projects
whose
contractual
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Cash flow available for debt servicing can be influenced by inflation rates to
which sales prices are indexed and can be weakened if inflation falls below
inflation assumptions because the sales fail to grow by the anticipated
(inflation) rate and generate lower than expected cash flows. Inflation can
also pose a threat if the raw materials and inputs of the project are subject to
price hikes.
Inflation risk can be hedged using inflation swaps and futures. An inflation
swap is a derivative used to transfer inflation risk from one party to another
through an exchange of cash flows. In an inflation swap, one party pays a
fixed rate on a notional principal amount, while the other party pays a
floating rate linked to an inflation index, such as the Consumer Price Index
(CPI) (INVESTOPEDIA, n.d.).
available for debt servicing from the fluctuating cost of energy is to adopt
put or-pay contracts
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Assignment 3
minimum amount of before-tax earnings needed to cover the principal
payment can be computed using principal payment dividend by one minus
tax rate.
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Assignment 3
References
Deloitte & Touche LLP Deloitte &. Idhmatsu. (n.d.). Financial Ratios -What Do They Mean?
Deloits Touche Deloitte & Touche Review. (R. E. Marion, Ed.) Wilton: Deloitte & Touche
LLP Deloitte &. Idhmatsu.
Fight, A. (2006). Introduction to Project Finance. Great Britain: Elsevier.
Finnerty, J. (2007). Project Financing: Asset-Based Financial Engineering (2nd ed.). New York,
NY: John Wiley & Sons.
Gatti, S. (2008). Project Finance in Theory and Practice Designing, Structuring, and Financing
Private and Public Projects. London: Elsevier Inc.
IMF. (2005, December 02). External Debt Statistics: Guide for Compilers and Users Appendix
III, Glossary. Retrieved July 20, 2016, from IMF:
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/eds/Eng/Guide/index.htm
INVESTOPEDIA. (n.d.). Iflation Swap. Retrieved July 20, 2016, from INVESTOPEDIA:
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/inflation-swap.asp
Loth, R. (2010). Financial Ratios Tutorial. Retrieved June 20, 2016, from Investopedia:
http://www.investopedia.com/university/ratios/
MoneyZine. (2015, December 14). Debt Ratios (Leverage Ratios). Retrieved July 20, 2016, from
Money Zine: http://www.money-zine.com/investing/investing/debt-or-leverage-ratios/
Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W., & Jaffe, J. (2008). Corporate Finance (8th ed.). New York:
McGraw-Hill Irwin.
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