Carlyle Thayer Yearly Activity Report 2016

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Thayer Activities Report 2016

Highlights
13 Major Academic Publications
16 International Conference Papers
37 Seminar & Other Presentations
50 Transcripts of Interviews
55 Minor Publications (including The Diplomat)
100 Thayer Consultancy Background Briefs
355 Media Interviews
Current Positions:
Emeritus Professor, The University of New South Wales (UNSW) at the Australian
Defence Force Academy (ADFA), Canberra (January 2011-).
National Asian Security Studies Studies Program, UNSW Canberra, ADFA, Canberra
Member, Australian National Committee, Council for Security Cooperation in the AsiaPacific (CSCAP)
Member, International Advisory Board, Contemporary Southeast Asia (December 2008April 2016).
Southeast Asia Defence and Security columnist, The Diplomat (October 2013-)
Member, Advisory Board, International Journal of China Studies (February 2014-)
Editorial Consultant, Radio Free Asia, (2014-)
External Expert, Oxford Analytica (2015-)
Senior Analyst, Wikistrat (2015-)
Visiting Fellow, Defence and Strategic Studies Course, Centre for Defence and Strategic
Studies, Australian Defence College (April and June 2016).
Member, Advisory Board, Contemporary Chinese Political Economy and Strategic Relations:
An International Journal (2015-)
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Publications
Major publications:
After the Ruling: Lawfare in the South China Sea, The Diplomat Magazine, no. 21,
August 2016, 1-18.
Chinas Naval Modernization and U.S. Strategic Rebalancing: Implications for Stability
in the South China Sea, in C. J. Jenner and Tran Truong Thuy, eds., The South China Sea:
A Crucible of Regional Cooperation or Conflict-making Sovereignty Claims? Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press, 2016. 223-240.
Identifying Regional Political Trends and Markers in 2016: Vietnam, Myanmar, the
Philippines and Thailand, Discussion Paper. Singapore: Yusof Ishak Institute of
Southeast Asian Studies, 2016. 3-4.
Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea: The Role of ASEAN, in David
Brewster ed., Indo-Pacific Maritime Security: Challenges and Cooperation (Canberra:
National Security College, Crawford School of Public Policy, ANU College of the Asia
& the Pacific, The Australian National University, July 2016), 25-30.
The Militarisation of the South China Sea, in Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment
2016: Key Developments and Trends (London and Singapore: International Institute of
Security Studies, 2016), 55-72.
Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold: A Vietnamese Perspective on China-US Relations, in Bo
Zhiyue, ed., China-US Relations in Global Perspective (Wellington: Victoria University
Press, 2016), 215-238.
Review of the Implementation of the 2000 ASEAN-China DOC and COC and
Challenges, in ASEAN-China Joint Working Group on the Implementation of the
DOC, Seminar-Workshop on the Implementation of the 2002 ASEAN-China Declaration on the
Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC), 14-15 May 2015, Manila, Philippines
Proceedings (Manila: Department of Foreign Affairs, Republic of the Philippines, 2015),
22-36.
The Southeast Asia Claimant States, ASEAN, and the South China Sea Dispute, in The
South China Sea in the Broader Maritime Security of the Indo-Pacific Region, NASSP Issue
Brief Series, National Asian Security Studies Program Issue Brief No. 6.1, December
2016, 1-9. https://www.unsw.adfa.edu.au/scs-publications.
Southeast Asias Regional Autonomy Under Stress, in Malcolm Cook and Daljit
Singh, eds. Southeast Asian Affairs 2016 (Singapore: Yusof Ishak Institute of Southeast
Asian Studies, 2016), 3-18.
US Rebalancing Strategy and Australias Response: Business as Usual, in David W. F.
Huang, ed., Asia Pacific Countries and the US Rebalancing Strategy. London: Palgrave
Macmillan, 2016. 175-191.
Vietnams Proactive International Integration: Case Studies in Defence Cooperation, Tap
Chi Khoa Hoc [Journal of Science, Vietnam National University], 32(1S), 2016, 25-48.
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Vietnams Strategy of Cooperating and Struggling with China over Maritime
Disputes in the South China Sea, Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, 3(2),
2016, 200-220.
Weak States and Strong Societies in Southeast Asia, in Amin Saikal, ed., Weak States,
Strong Societies: Power and Authority in The New World Order. London and New York: I.
B. Tarus & Co. Ltd, 2016, 149-172.
Minor publications:
Identifying Regional Political Trends and Markers in 2016: Vietnam, Myanmar, the
Philippines and Thailand, Regional Outlook Forum 2016 Discussion Paper. Singapore:
Yusof Ishak Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 2016. 16-18. http://www.iseasrof.sg/discussion-papers.
Vietnamese Diplomacy, 1975-2015: From Member of the Socialist Camp to Proactive
International Integration, Chennai Centre for China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0003/2016,
January 6, 2016. http://www.c3sindia.org/economyandtrade/5337.
Vietnamese Diplomacy, 1975-2015: From Member of the Socialist Camp to Proactive
International Integration, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No:
0004/2016, January 6, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=203.
Vietnams Submarine Fleet: What Impact on the South China Sea?, Chennai Centre
for China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0006/2016, January 8, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/vietnam/5341.
South China Sea: Chinese Civilian Aircraft Lands on Fiery Cross Reef, Chennai
Centre for China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0007/2016, January 8, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/china/5344.
Vietnams Submarine Fleet: What Impact on the South China Sea?, Chennai Centre
for China Studies, CAS Article No: 0007/2016, January 8, 2016.
http://www.caschennai.org/?p=212.
South China Sea: Chinese Civilian Aircraft Lands on Fiery Cross Reef, Chennai
Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No: 0008/2016, January 8, 2016.
South China Sea: Flights to Fiery Cross Reef the New Normal, Chennai Centre for
China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0009/2016, January 11, 2016.
South China Sea: Flights to Fiery Cross Reef the New Normal, Chennai Centre for
China Studies, CAS Article No. 0011/2016, January 11, 2016.
Cambodia: Hun Sen Takes to Social Media, , Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS
Article No. 0010/2016, January 11, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=216.
North Korea: Ramifications of its Nuclear Test, Chennai Centre for China Studies,
C3S Paper No. 0012/2016, January 11, 2016. http://www.c3sindia.org/un/5352.
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North Korea: Ramifications of its Nuclear Test, Chennai Centre for China Studies,
CAS Article No. 0014/2016, January 11, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=232.
North Koreas Nuclear Test: Six Explanations, Chennai Centre for China Studies, C3S
Paper No. 0011/2016, January 11, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/scienceandtech/5351.
North Koreas Nuclear Test: Six Explanations, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS
Article No. 0013/2016, January 11, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=230.
Vietnam: Relations with the U.S. After the 12th Party Congress, Chennai Centre for
China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0010/2016, January 11, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/economyandtrade/5350.
Vietnam: Relations with the U.S. After the 12th Party Congress, Chennai Centre for
China Studies, CAS Article No. 0012/2016, January 11, 2016.
Six Possible Explanations for the Timing of North Koreas Nuclear Test, Geopolitical
Analysis: Insights from the Wiki, Wikistrat Crowdsourced Consulting, January 14, 2014.
http://www.wikistrat.com/six-possible-explanations-for-timing-of-north-koreasnuclear-test/.
Too Old to Die Young, Russian International Affairs Council, February 3, 2016.
http://russiancouncil.ru/en/inner/?id_4=7195#top-content.
New Model of Major Power Relations: China-U.S. Global Cooperation and Regional
Contention, Chennai Centre for China Studies, C35 Paper No. 0036/2016 March 15,
2016. http://www.c3sindia.org/economyandtrade/5523.
Contention, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No. 0043/2016, March 15,
2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=321.
After Natuna Incident, South China Sea Tensions Likely to Get Worse Before They Get
Better, Chennai Centre for China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0041/2016, March 23, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/military/5544.
Better, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No. 0046/2016, March 23, 2016.
South-east Asia coastguard growth could see friction, Oxford Analytica, February 25,
2016.
South China Sea: Chinas Plans for Scarborough Shoal, Chennai Centre for China
Studies, C3S Paper No. 052/2016, April 15,
2016.http://www.c3sindia.org/military/5572.
South China Sea: Chinas Plans for Scarborough Shoal, Chennai Centre for China
Studies, CAS Article No. 0057/2016, April 15, 2016.
Geopolitics and Maritime Security in the Straits of Malacca: Implications of Chinas
Maritime Silk Road and Indonesias Global Maritime Fulcrum, Chennai Centre for
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China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0058/2016, May 2, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/pakistan/5592.
Maritime Silk Road and Indonesias Global Maritime Fulcrum, Chennai Centre for
China Studies, CAS Article No. 0064/2016, May 2, 2016.
Assessing Obamas Visit to Vietnam- The Way Forward, Chennai Centre for China
Studies, C3S Paper No. 0075/2016, May 26, 2016.
Vietnam: President Obama Lifts Embargo- Significance, Chennai Centre for China
Studies, C3S Paper No. 0074/2016, May 26, 2016.
President Obama Visits Vietnam- Objectives, Chennai Centre for China Studies, C3S
Paper No. 0073/2016, May 26, 2016. http://www.c3sindia.org/military/5626.
President Obama Visits Vietnam- Objectives, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS
Article No. 0080/2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=415,
Vietnam: President Obama Lifts Arms Embargo- Significance, Chennai Centre for
China Studies, CAS Article no. 0081/2016, May 26,
2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=417.
Assessing Obamas Visit to Vietnam- The Way Forward, Chennai Centre for China
Studies, CAS Article No. 0082/2016, May 26, 2016.
Proliferated Drones: A Perspective on Indonesia Response: Australian Perspective,
Center for a New American Security, Washington, D.C., June 2016. 6-7.
http://drones.cnas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/A-Perspective-on-IndonesiaProliferated-Drones.pdf.
ASEAN Secretariat Rescinds China-ASEAN Joint Statement, Chennai Centre for
China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0083/2016, June 15, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/foreign-policy/5646.
ASEAN Secretariat Rescinds China-ASEAN Joint Statement, Chennai Centre for China
Studies, CAS Article No. 0094/2016, June 15, 2016.
Revealed: The Truth Behind ASEANs Retracted Kunming Statement, Chennai Centre
for China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0086/2016, June 21, 2016.
Revealed: The Truth Behind ASEANs Retracted Kunming Statement, Chennai Centre
for China Studies, CAS Article No. 0098/2016, June 21, 2016.
After the Ruling: Lawfare in the South China Sea, Chennai Centre for China Studies,
C3S Paper No. 0110/2016, August 3, 2016. http://www.c3sindia.org/china/5698.
After the Ruling: Lawfare in the South China Sea, Chennai Centre for China Studies,
CAS Article No. 0130/2016, August 3, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=549.
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Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea: The Role of ASEAN, Chennai
Centre for China Studies, C3S Paper No. 0113/2016, August 5, 2016.
Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea: The Role of ASEAN, Chennai
Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No. 0133/2016, August 5, 2016.
Vietnams Strategy of Cooperating and Struggling With China Over Maritime
Disputes in the South China Sea, Chennai Centre for China Studies, C3S Paper No.
0112/2016, August 5, 2016. http://www.c3sindia.org/foreign-policy/5702.
Vietnams Strategy of Cooperating and Struggling With China Over Maritime
Disputes in the South China Sea, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS Article No.
0132/2016, August 5, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=553.
Russia and China: colluding on a South China Sea policy?, The Strategist (Australian
Strategic Policy Institute), September 27, 2016.
http://www.aspistrategist.org.au/russia-china-colluding-south-china-sea-policy/.
The U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Agreement, and the Security Landscape in East
Asia and Oceania, Wikistrat Discussion Forum: Implications of a Philippines "Pivot"
Towards China, October 23, 2016.
https://wiki.wikistrat.com/display/WSM/The+U.S.Philippines+Mutual+Defense+Agreement%2C+and+the+Security+Landscape+in+East
+Asia+and+Oceania.
Malaysia: Is Najib Following in Dutertes Footsteps?, Chennai Centre for China
Studies, CAS C3S Paper No. 0137/2016, November 2, 2016.
http://www.c3sindia.org/uncategorized/5794.
Malaysia: Is Najib Following in Dutertes Footsteps?, NCAS article no. 0156/2016,
November 2, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=634.
Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS
C3S Paper No. 0138/2016, November 2, 2016.
Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China, Chennai Centre for China Studies, CAS
CAS article no. 0155/2016, November 2, 2016. http://www.caschennai.org/?p=630.
The Diplomat
Better, The Diplomat, March 22, 2016. http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/after-natunaincident-south-china-sea-tensions-likely-to-get-worse-before-they-get-better/.
Australian Intelligence: China Poised to Take 'Decisive and Provocative' Action in the
South China Sea, The Diplomat, April 15, 2016.
http://thediplomat.com/2016/04/australian-intelligence-china-poised-to-takedecisive-and-provocative-action-in-the-south-china-sea/.
Obamas Visit to Vietnam: A Turning Point,? The Diplomat, May 31, 2016.
http://thediplomat.com/2016/05/obamas-visit-to-vietnam-a-turning-point/.
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The ASEAN-China Special Meeting Mystery: Bureaucratic Snafu or Chinese HeavyHandedness?, The Diplomat, June 17, 2016. http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/theasean-china-special-meeting-mystery-bureaucratic-snafu-or-chinese-heavyhandedness/.
Revealed: The Truth Behind ASEAN's Retracted Kunming Statement, The Diplomat,
June 19, 2016. http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/revealed-the-truth-behind-aseansretracted-kunming-statement/.
Publications In Press
Foreword, Han Nguyen Nguyen Nha, Evidence of Vietnams Sovereignty Over the Paracel
and Spratly Islands.
The Political Economy of Military-Run Enterprises in Vietnam, in Paul Chambers
and Napisa Waitoolkiat, eds., The Political Economy of the Military in Southeast Asia.
Copenhagen: Nordic Institute of Asian Studies, 2017.
South China Sea Developments: ASEAN Unity Restored, Sino-Philippine Tensions
and ASEAN-China Consultations on a Code of Conduct, in Tran Trong Thuy, ed., The
South China Sea: Cooperation for Regional Security and Development, Proceedings of the
Fifth International Workshop on the South China Sea. Hanoi: Diplomatic Academy of
Vietnam and Vietnam Lawyers Association.
Vietnam on the Road to Global Integration: Forging Strategic Partnerships Through
International Security Cooperation, in Proceedings of the 4th International Vietnamese
Studies Conference, Hanoi, November 2014.
Interview Transcripts
Carl Thayer ch! ra 5 v"n #$ #ng ch nh"t v$ Bi&n ng nm 2016, Soha News,
January 1, 2016. http://soha.vn/quoc-te/carl-thayer-chi-ra-5-van-de-dang-chu-y-nhatve-bien-dong-nam-2016-20160101193517474.htm.
Th) gii nm 2016 ti)p t*c #+y b"t ,n, Tuoi Tre Online, January 3, 2016.
http://tuoitre.vn/tin/the-gioi/20160103/the-gioi-nam-2016-tiep-tuc-day-baton/1031854.html.
GS Carl Thayer: Tri$u Tin th bom tr.c ngy sinh nh/t Kim Jong Un, Nguoi Dua
Tin, January 7, 2016. http://www.nguoiduatin.vn/gs-carl-thayer-trieu-tien-thu-bomtruoc-ngay-sinh-nhat-kim-jong-un-a222773.html.
Chuyn gia qu0c t) l gi1i nguyn nhn Tri$u Tin th bom nhi2t h3ch, VTC News,
January 7, 2016. http://vtc.vn/chuyen-gia-quoc-te-ly-giai-nguyen-nhan-trieu-tien-thubom-nhiet-hach.311.589618.htm.
'Trung Qu0c s4 tng ho3t #5ng trn #1o b6i l"p', Zing News.VN, January 8, 2016.
http://news.zing.vn/Trung-Quoc-se-tang-hoat-dong-tren-dao-boi-lappost616515.html.
8
S4 c b"t ng pht cht 3i h5i 12?, Radio Free Asia, January 14, 2016.
http://www.rfa.org/vietnamese/in_depth/pressure-of-time-is-pressure-ofcompromise-vh-01142016134459.html.
Anh Binh, GS Thayer: Trung Qu0c #ang la d0i d. lu/n v$ ho3t #5ng bay phi php,
Dan Tri, January 18, 2016. http://dantri.com.vn/the-gioi/gs-thayer-trung-quoc-danglua-doi-du-luan-ve-hoat-dong-bay-phi-phap-20160118170002131.htm.
Nam sau 3i h5i 1ng 12 ra sao ?, Radio France Internationale, January 19,2016.
http://vi.rfi.fr/viet-nam/20160119-viet-nam-sau-dai-hoi-dang-12-ra-sao.
Gin khoan HD981 Trung Qu0c v 3i h5i 1ng l+n th 12, Radio France
Internationale, January 21, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/viet-nam/20160121-giao-su-thayertrung-quoc-ha-dat-gian-khoan-hd981-vao-thoi.
Gs Carlyle Thayer Vi2t Nam thay #,i lnh #3o nh.ng khng thay #,i chnh sch kinh
t), Tin Thuc Hang Ngay, January 22, 2016.
http://www.tintuchangngayonline.com/2016/01/gs-carlyle-thayer-viet-nam-thay-oilanh.html.
'Vi2t Nam duy tr quan h2 #a ph.;ng sau 3i h5i 1ng XII', Alobacsi, January 29,
2016. http://alobacsi.com/thoi-su/viet-nam-duy-tri-quan-he-da-phuong-sau-dai-hoidang-xii-a20160129014251670c160.htm.
'M< c th& tng #5 phc t3p c=a tu+n tra Bi&n ng', Zing New.VN, February 1,
2016.
http://news.zing.vn/My-co-the-tang-do-phuc-tap-cua-tuan-tra-o-Bien-Dongpost623571.html.
Vi_t Nam t_ng c_ ng v" kh #' b)t k* #+ch tr- gi / Bi'n ng, Viet Times, March 6,
2016.
Ai s4 l TBT sau ng Nguy>n Ph Tr?ng?, BBC Tieng Viet, April 11, 2016.
http://www.bbc.com/vietnamese/vietnam/2016/04/160410_thayer_on_vn_power_tr
ansitions.
Viet Anh, GS Thayer ni v$ thch thc c=a cc tn lnh #3o Vi2t Nam, VNExpress,
April 11, 2016. http://vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/phan-tich/gs-thayer-noi-vethach-thuc-cua-cac-tan-lanh-dao-viet-nam-3384447.html.
Thch thc v k@ v?ng vi cc tn lnh #3o Vi2t Nam, CafeBiz, April 11, 2016.
http://cafebiz.vn/thach-thuc-va-ky-vong-voi-cac-tan-lanh-dao-viet-nam20160411204902935.chn.
Viet Anh, GS Thayer ni v$ cc thch thc #0i vi tn lnh #3o Vi2t Nam, VNExpress,
April 11, 2016. http://vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/phan-tich/gs-thayer-noi-ve-cacthach-thuc-doi-voi-tan-lanh-dao-viet-nam-3384447.html.
GS Thayer: 'Tn lnh #3o Vi2t Nam c+n chuAn bB cho thay #,i hp tc vi M<,
VNExpress, April 11, 2016. 2016. http://vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/phan-tich/gsthayer-noi-ve-cac-thach-thuc-doi-voi-tan-lanh-dao-viet-nam-3384447.html.
Expert on Vietnam Carl Thayer shares thoughts on new leadership, VNExpress, April
11, 2016. http://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/expert-on-vietnam-carl-thayer-sharesthoughts-on-new-leadership-3384887.html.
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#6 qun s ho Bi&n ng c=a Trung Qu0c - nhng bGng chng mi nh"t, Lao
Dong Newspaper, April 14, 2016. http://laodong.com.vn/the-gioi/y-do-quan-su-hoabien-dong-cua-trung-quoc-nhung-bang-chung-moi-nhat-540440.bld.
Trung Qu0c tr1 #a phn quy)t c=a Ta Tr?ng ti th.ng trc, Phap Luat, April 19,
2016. http://plo.vn/the-gioi/phan-tich-binh-luan/trung-quoc-tra-dua-phan-quyet-cuatoa-trong-tai-thuong-truc-624101.html.
Du Nhat Dang, Gio s. Carl Thayer: Ngo3i tr.ng Nga thi)u cn nhIc vi bnh lu/n
Bi&n ng, Thanh Nien, April 20, 2016. http://thanhnien.vn/the-gioi/giao-su-carlthayer-ngoai-truong-nga-thieu-can-nhac-voi-binh-luan-bien-dong-693623.html.
'TQ #ang t3o vJ b?c cho m*c #ch thm su Bi&n ng', ZingNews, April 20, 2016.
http://news.zing.vn/tq-dang-tao-vo-boc-cho-muc-dich-tham-sau-o-bien-dongpost643366.html.
GS Carl Thayer: TT Obama s4 khng lAn trnh nhng cu hJi kh khi #)n Vi2t Nam,
Viet Times, May 16, 2013. http://viettimes.vn/dia-chinh-tri/chau-a-thai-binhduong/gs-carl-thayer-tt-obama-se-khong-lan-tranh-nhung-cau-hoi-kho-khi-den-vietnam-56270.html.
Carl Thayer: 'Trung Qu0c s4 li d*ng b+u c M< #& hung hng h;n trn Bi&n ng',
VN Express, May 16, 2016. vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/phan-tich/carl-thayer-trungquoc-se-loi-dung-bau-cu-my-de-hung-hang-hon-tren-bien-dong-3403471.html.
Gio s. Thayer: Vi2t Nam c th& ti)p c/n cng ngh2 qu0c ph.ng c=a M<, Dan Tri,
May 19, 2016. http://dantri.com.vn/the-gioi/giao-su-thayer-viet-nam-co-the-tiep-cancong-nghe-quoc-phong-cua-my-20160519080112993.htm.
GS Thayer: Trung Qu0c bay c1n my bay trinh st M< #& tr1 #a, Thanh Nien, May
20, 2016. http://thanhnien.vn/the-gioi/gs-thayer-trung-quoc-bay-can-may-bay-trinhsat-my-de-tra-dua-704837.html
GS Carl Thayer: TT Obama s4 khong lAn tranh nhng cau hJi kho khi #)n Vi2t Nam,
Viet Times, May 20, 2016. http://viettimes.vn/dia-chinh-tri/chau-a-thai-binhduong/gs-carl-thayer-tt-obama-se-khong-lan-tranh-nhung-cau-hoi-kho-khi-den-vietnam-56270.html.
Vi2t - M< trng #i g. t chuy)n thm c=a ng Obama?, Vietnam Economy, May 21,
2016.
http://vneconomy.vn/thoi-su/viet-my-trong-doi-gi-tu-chuyen-tham-cua-ongobama-20160521043214408.htm.
Gs Thayer : T3i H N5i, Obama gi tn hi2u cng rIn #)n BIc Kinh, Radio France
Internationale, May 23, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/viet-nam/20160523-gs-thayer-tai-ha-noiobama-goi-tin-hieu-cung-ran-den-bac-kinh
Vi2t Nam l m5t trong nhng cu chuy2n thnh cng nh"t c=a ng Obama. Viet Bao,
May 25, 2016. http://vietbao.vn/The-gioi/Viet-Nam-la-mot-trong-nhung-cau-chuyenthanh-cong-nhat-cua-ong-Obama/441888500/159/.
Sao Trung Qu0c hung hng trn Bi&n ng?, Alobacsi.VN, May 19, 2016.
http://alobacsi.com/thoi-su/sao-trung-quoc-hung-hang-tren-bien-donga20160529021231176c160.htm.
10
Obama
looking at legacy, Vietnam Economic Times, May 21,

http://vneconomictimes.com/article/vietnam-today/obama-looking-at-legacy.
2016.
GS Thayer: M< d bJ c"m v/n v kh, "c # #)n tay" Vi2t Nam, Soha News, May 23,
2016.
http://soha.vn/gs-thayer-my-do-bo-cam-van-vu-khi-co-da-den-tay-viet-nam20160523151218503.htm.
VN nn t/n d*ng cng ngh2 qu0c phng hi2n #3i c=a M<, Vietnam.Net, May 24, 2016.
http://vietnamnet.vn/vn/thoi-su/quan-su/306356/vn-nen-tan-dung-cong-nghe-quocphong-hien-dai-cua-my.html.
G bJ hon ton c"m v/n v kh: 5t ph hp tc Vi2t - M<, Zing.VN, May 24, 2015.
http://news.zing.vn/go-bo-hoan-toan-cam-van-vu-khi-dot-pha-hop-tac-viet-mypost651638.html.
Carl Thayer: Vi2t Nam khng tham gia vi M< v$ qun s #& #0i #+u Trung Qu0c,
Lao Dong, May 27, 2016. http://laodong.com.vn/the-gioi/carl-thayer-viet-nam-khongtham-gia-voi-my-ve-quan-su-de-doi-dau-trung-quoc-556122.bld.
Carl Thayer: Vi2t Nam l cu chuy2n thnh cng c=a M< chu , BizLive, May 27,
2016.
http://bizlive.vn/thoi-su-the-gioi/carl-thayer-viet-nam-la-cau-chuyen-thanhcong-cua-my-o-chau-a-1738144.html.
Trung Qu0c l3i ngn chLn m5t tuyn b0 c=a ASEAN v$ Bi&n ng, Radio France
Internationale, June 15, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/chau-a/20160615-trung-quoc-lai-nganchan-mot-tuyen-bo-cua-asean-ve-bien-dong.
Philippines ki2n Trung Qu0c: Ta tr?ng ti s4 phn quy)t nhng g?, Tien Phong, July
7, 2016. http://m.tienphong.vn/the-gioi/philippines-kien-trung-quoc-toa-trong-tai-sephan-quyet-nhung-gi-1024577.tpo.
V kh Vi2t Nam Tr.ng Sa nguy h3i cho Trung Qu0c h;n tu M<, Radio France
Internationale, August 10, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/viet-nam/20160810-vu-khi-viet-nam-otruong-sa-nguy-hai-cho-trung-quoc-hon-tau-my.
GS Thayer: Trung Qu0c #ang tng hm d?a sau phn quy)t '#.ng l.i b',
VNExpress, August 11, 2016. http://vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/phan-tich/gsthayer-trung-quoc-dang-tang-ham-doa-sau-phan-quyet-duong-luoi-bo-3450421.html.
Happy together, Vietnam Economic Times, September 2016, 9.
Chuyn gia qu0c t) tr1 li #5c quy$n Tin Tc: V sao Putin 'ch;i tr 2 mLt' Bi&n
ng?, tintun.vn, September 22, 2016. http://tintuc.vn/binh-luan-quoc-te/chuyen-giaquoc-te-tra-loi-doc-quyen-tin-tuc-vi-sao-putin-choi-tro-2-mat-o-bien-dong-155629.
Tranh lu/n Trump-Clinton: Th) cn Chu th sao?, Lao Dong Newspaper, October
21, 2016. http://m.laodong.com.vn/the-gioi/tranh-luan-trumpclinton-the-con-chau-athi-sao-603320.bld.
Gio s. Thayer: Cc pht bi&u c=a ng Duterte ph ho3i lin minh M<-Philippines,
Radio France Internationale, October 24, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/chau-a/20161023-giaosu-thayer-%C2%AB-cac-phat-bieu-cua-ong-duterte-pha-hoai-lien-minh-my-philippines%C2%BB.
11
Vi2t Nam tm hM tr t M< vo lc Manila xch l3i g+n BIc Kinh, TNP CH VIOT
NAM, Radio France Internationale, October 31, 2016. http://vi.rfi.fr/vietnam/20161031-viet-nam-tim-ho-tro-tu-my-vao-luc-manila-xich-lai-gan-bac-kinh.
'Trump hasn't mapped out anything on foreign policy except for one line tweets' - Carl
Thayer,
Radio
Sputnik,
November
16,
2015.
https://soundcloud.com/radiosputnik/trump-hasnt-mapped-out-anything-onforeign-policy-except-for-one-line-tweets-carl-thayer.
M< rt khJi TPP: "VIng m ch vPn vui"? VTV.vn, November 23, 2016.
http://vtv.vn/van-de-hom-nay/my-rut-khoi-tpp-vang-mo-cho-van-vui20161123002336759.htm.
0i ngo3i qu0c phng c=a Vi2t Nam r"t thnh cng, Quan Doi Nhan Dan, December
17, 2016. http://www.qdnd.vn/chinh-tri/doi-ngoai-doi-ngoai-quoc-phong/doi-ngoaiquoc-phong-cua-viet-nam-rat-thanh-cong-495233.
Major International Conference Papers
Identifying Regional Political Trends and Markers in 2016: Vietnam and Myanmar, the
Philippines and Thailand, Presentation to Debating Tomorrows Issues Today,
Regional Outlook Forum 2016, Session 1, Yusof Ishak Institute of Southeast Asian
Studies, Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore, January 12, 2016.
The Militarization of the South China Sea: Regional Implications, Presentation to
Inaugural Southeast Asian Trilateral Forum, Session III, Cooperation on Maritime
Security, co-sponsored by The German Marshall Fund of the United States and the
Westerwelle Foundation, Novotel Yangon Max, Yangon, Myanmar, February 25-26,
2016.
Contention, Presentation to Session 1: Sino-US Relations in the Asia-Pacific: New
Dynamics, International Conference on ASEAN and ChinaUS Relations: New Security
Dynamics and Regional Implications, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of
Vietnam and the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, Sheraton Hotel, Hanoi, Vietnam, March
10, 2016.
Managing Security Tensions in the South China Sea, Presentation to Session 3, IndoPacific Maritime Security Conference: Challenges & Cooperation, co-sponsored by the
National Security College, Crawford School of Public Policy, College of Asia & Pacific,
The Australian National University and Embassy of Japan, Crawford Building,
Canberra, March 16-17, 2016.
Maritime Silk Road and Indonesias Global Maritime Fulcrum, Presentation to the 8th
MIMA International Conference on the Straits of Malacca Resolving Regional Issues
and Their Impact on the Straits of Malacca, Session 1, Paper 1, Malaysian Institute for
Maritime Affairs, Istana Hotel, Kuala Lumpur, April 25, 2016.
South China Sea: The Strategic Implications of Chinas Artificial Islands, Presentation
to Conference on Conflict in the South China Sea, co-sponsored by the Council on
12
Southeast Asian Studies and Institute for Vietnamese Culture and Education,
MacMillen Center for International Area Studies, Yale University, New Haven, May 6-7,
2016.
Military Modernization and Capacity Building in the Philippines and Vietnam,
Presentation to the 6th International Conference on the South China Sea, Center for
Strategic and International Studies, Washington, D.C., July 12, 2016.
https://www.csis.org/events/sixth-annual-csis-south-china-sea-conference
The Role of Arbitration in the Settlement of Maritime Disputes in the South China
Sea, Presentation to the International Conference on the Law of the Sea, Legal Issues
Relating to Awards of the Arbitral Tribunal Established Under Annex VII of UNCLOS
1982, organized by the University of Law Ho Chi Minh City and the Vietnam Lawyers
Association, Reunification Palace, Ho Chi Minh City, July 23, 2016.
The Militarisation of the South China Sea, Presentation to International Conference on
The Challenges to Peace and Security in the South China Sea, co-organised by the
Malaysian International Affairs Forum in collaboration with HELP University,. The
Westin, Kuala Lumpur, July 28, 2016.
Sovereignty Assertion in the South China Sea: Militarization and the Construction of
Artificial Islands, Presentation to International Workshop on The Legal Status of
Islands and Rocks in International Law and Practice in the East Sea, co-hosted by Pham
Van Dong University and Nha Trang University, Nha Trang, August 18, 2016.
Drivers of the South China Sea Dispute, Presentation to Conference on the Drivers of
the South China Sea Dispute [by invitation only], August 22, 2016.
The Southeast Asia Claimant States, ASEAN and the South China Sea Dispute,
Presentation to International Conference on The South China Sea in the Broader
Maritime-Security of the Indo-Pacific co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of
Vietnam, Japan Institute of International Affairs and The University of New South
Wales Canberra, Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, September 28-30, 2016.
Challenges in Renewing Maritime Capabilities: Viet Nam, Presentation to Maritime
Security Challenges 2016: Pacific Seapower, co-sponsored by the Navy League of
Canada, in association with the Royal Canadian Navy and the Daniel K. Inouye AsiaPacific Center for Security Studies, The Fairmont Empress, Victoria, British Columbia,
Canada, October 3-6, 2016.
Vietnams Foreign Policy in an Era of Rising Sino-U.S. Competition: Providing Equity
to the Major Powers While Pursuing Proactive International Integration, Presentation
to Conference on Great Power Rivalries, Domestic Politics, and Southeast Asian Foreign
Policy, The Dorothy Borg Research Project, Weatherhead East Asia Institute, Kellog
Conference Center, International Affairs Building, Columbia University, New York,
New York, November 10-11, 2016.
The Impact of the Arbitral Tribunal Award on Peace and Security in the South China
Sea Area and the World, Presentation to International Conference on South China Sea
Disputes: Award of the Arbitral Tribunal constituted under Annex VII to the United
Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and its Implementation,
sponsored by the Geneva Association, Centre International de Confrence Gneve,
Geneva, Switzerland, December 6, 20016.
13
Vietnams Proactive International Integration: Case Studies in Defence Cooperation,
Presentation to Sustainable Development in the Context of Global Change, Fifth
International Conference on Vietnamese Studies, to Section 1 Foreign Relations,
International Cooperation and Integration, National Convention Center, Hanoi,
December 15-16, 2016.
The South China Sea: Lynchpin of the Shift of Strategic Balance, Presentation to
International Conference on South China Sea: Impact on Major Power Relations and
Regional Security, co-sponsored by the Centre on Asia and Globalisation, Lee Kuan
Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore and the Australia-China
Relations Institute, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, February 10-11, 2017.
Academic and Other Presentations
Trends in Asias Security Order: Increased Competition or Conflict?, Presentation to
Executive Education Program, The University of New South Wales, Australian Defence
Force Academy, Canberra, February 15, 2016.
The South China Sea Dispute: Developments and Key Challenges to the Regional
Order, Presentation to Executive Education Program, The University of New South
Wales, Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, February 16, 2016.
Moderator, Session 2: Impacts of Sino-US Relations on Regional Security Environment,
International Conference on ASEAN and ChinaUS Relations: New Security Dynamics
and Regional Implications, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam and
the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, Sheraton Hotel, Hanoi, Vietnam, March 10, 2016
Discussant, Session 4: ASEAN Between China and the US: How to Balance in the New
Context, International Conference on ASEAN and ChinaUS Relations: New Security
Dynamics and Regional Implications, co-sponsored by the Diplomatic Academy of
Vietnam and the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, Sheraton Hotel, Hanoi, Vietnam, March
10, 2016.
What Do the Other South China Sea Players Want?, Presentation to Session 1, Deep
Dive Policy Discussion on The South China Sea: Objectives and Policy Options, The
National Security College, The Australian National University, National Security
College Boardroom, Canberra, March 29, 2016.
Whats the Range of Policy and Practical Tools at Australias Disposal and Their
Impact?, Presentation to Session 2, Deep Dive Policy Discussion on The South China
Sea: Objectives and Policy Options, The National Security College, The Australian
National University, National Security College Boardroom, Canberra, March 29, 2016.
Chair, Roundtable with U.S. Congressional Delegation, Executive Education Program,
The University of New South Wales, Rectors Conference Room, Australian Defence
Force Academy, Canberra, March 31, 2016.
South China Sea: Maritime Security and Defence Cooperation, Presentation to
Roundtable with U.S. Congressional Delegation, Executive Education Program, The
University of New South Wales, Rectors Conference Room, Australian Defence Force
Academy, Canberra, March 31, 2016.
14
Overview of the Government, Political System and Customs of Viet Nam,
Presentation to 20th Delegation of Young Political Leaders, Australian Political Exchange
Council, Barton Room, Rydges Capital Hotel, Canberra, April 8, 2016.
What is the Indo-Pacific Region? Presentation to Defence and Strategic Studies
Course, Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence College, Weston
Creek, A.C.T., April 18, 2016.
Pre-Colonial Influences in the Indo-Pacific Region, Presentation to Defence and
Strategic Studies Course, Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence
College, Weston Creek, A.C.T., April 18, 2016.
Nationalism and the Indo-Asia-Pacific Region with a Focus on South East Asia, PreColonial Influences in the Indo-Pacific Region, Presentation to Defence and Strategic
Studies Course, Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence College,
Weston Creek, A.C.T., April 19, 2016.
Indo-Pacific Region Wrap Up, Presentation to Defence and Strategic Studies Course,
Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence College, Weston Creek,
A.C.T., April 22, 2016.
Diplomatic Challenges in the South China Sea, Presentation to Master of Diplomacy,
Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy, The Australian National University, Canberra, May
10, 2016.
Vietnam and the South China Sea, Presentation to Roundtable Discussion with Senior
U.S. Government Analysts on the South China Sea, Vietnam and Thailand, National
Security College Boardroom, National Security College, The Australian National
University, Canberra, May 18, 2016.
Major Power Future Intentions and Challenges in the Region, Presentation to
Vietnam-Australia 1.5 Track Defence Dialogue, Australian Royal Military College
Duntroon, Duntroon House, Canberra, May 25, 2016.
Vietnam Domestic, Political and Strategic Outlook, Presentation to Roundtable
Discussion with Ambassador-designate to Vietnam Mr. Craig Chittick, National
Security College Boardroom, National Security College, The Australian National
University, Canberra, June 1, 2016.
Panelist at launch of International Institute of Security Studies, Asia-Pacific Regional
Security Assessment 2016: Key Developments and Trends, Shangri-La Dialogue, Shangri-La
Hotel, Singapore, June 3, 2016.
Australian Delegate, 15th Shangri-La Dialogue, Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore, June 3-5,
2016.
Invited participant, Asia the West, and the Changing International Order, 3rd HighLevel Roundtable, German Marshal Fund-International Institute for Strategic Studies,
Red Gardenia Room, Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore, June 5, 2016.
Vietnam and the Major Powers: Multilateralising International Defence and Security
Cooperation, Presentation to Vietnamese Studies Programme Seminar, Yusof Ishak
Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore, June 6, 2016.
15
South China Sea Issues and Human Rights in Vietnam, Presentation to the 23rd
National Conference of the Vietnamese Community in Australia, Dapto Ribbonwood
Centre,
Dapto,
New
South
Wales,
June
11,
2016.
https://www.scribd.com/doc/315473267/Thayer-South-China-Sea-Issues-andHuman-Rights-in-Vietnam.
Cohesion and Challenges in South East Asia in the 21st Century, Presentation to
Defence and Strategic Studies Course, Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies,
Australian Defence College, Weston Creek, A.C.T., June 27, 2016.
Cambodia and Viet Nam: Security and Prospects, Presentation to Defence and
Strategic Studies Course, Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence
College, Weston Creek, A.C.T., June 29, 2016.
South East Asia Week Wrap Up, Presentation to Defence and Strategic Studies
Course, Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence College, Weston
Creek, A.C.T., July 1, 2016.
Vietnam After the 12th Party Congress, Presentation to Bureau of Intelligence and
Research Outreach Academic Exchange (INR OTR), Department of State, Washington,
D.C., July 11, 2016.
Co-chair, Panel 2, Sovereignty Disputes Over the Paracel and Spratly Islands,
International Workshop on The Legal Status of Islands and Rocks in International Law
and Practice in the East Sea, co-hosted by Pham Van Dong University and Nha Trang
University, Intercontinental Hotel, Nha Trang, August 18, 2016.
Vietnam: Defence and Foreign Policy Overview, [by invitation only], August 23, 2016.
Hybrid Warfare: Chinas Use of Lawfare in the South China Sea, Presentation to
Future Strategic Leaders Program Congress, Hybrid Warfare 21st Century Grand
Strategy?, Institute for Regional Security, ANU Coastal Campus, Kioloa, NSW, August
25-27, 2016.
Vietnam Overview, 1976-2016, Presentation to Quinquepartite Defence Economics
Working Group, Defence Intelligence Organisation, Canberra, September 14, 2016.
Vietnam On China, Skype Presentation to United Kingdom Diplomatic Academy
Seminar Series, British Embassy, Hanoi, September 26, 2016.
Senior Reviewer, Vietnam: Military Facing Hurdles in Pursuit of Counter-Intervention
Strategy, Expert Workshop on Vietnams Military Modernization, Conference Room,
The RAND Corporation, Arlington, Virginia, October 7, 2016.
Chair, The South China Sea Arbitration Decision: Is It the Final Word on Anything?,
Seminar hosted by the National Asian Security Studies Program, School of Humanities
and Social Sciences, The University of New South Wales, Australian Defence Force
Academy, Canberra, October 20, 2016.
Chair, The South China Sea Arbitration Decision, Private Roundtable hosted by the
National Asian Security Studies Program, School of Humanities and Social Sciences,
The University of New South Wales, Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra,
October 20, 2016.
16
Trends in Asias Security Order: Towards Increased Competition and Even Conflict?,
Presentation to Executive Short Course, Executive Education Program, National Asian
Security Studies Program, The University of New South Wales, Australian Defence
Force Academy, Canberra November 7, 2016.
The South China Sea Dispute: Developments and Key Challenges to the Regional
Order, Presentation to Executive Short Course, Executive Education Program, National
Asian Security Studies Program, The University of New South Wales, Australian
Defence Force Academy, Canberra November 8, 2016.
Geopolitics and Maritime Security: Implications of Chinas One Belt, One Road and
Maritime Silk Road, Background Briefing Paper Presented to HASS-CASS Roundtable
on One Belt, One Road Initiative and Australia-China Relations, School of Humanities
and Social Sciences and Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, The University of New
South Wales at the Australian Defence Force Academy, Canberra, November 28, 2016.
Manuscript Reviews
Books
Jonathan Spangler, Dean Karalekas and Moises Lopes de Souza, eds., Beneath the
Surface: Enterprises, Localities, People, and Policy in the South China Sea (Palgrave
Macmillan). Completed October 26, 2016.
Journal Articles
Chinas Energy Cooperation: A Three-stage Approach, Journal of Social Sciences and
Humanities. Completed March 26, 2016.
"Between the Sovereign State and the Vassal State: Vietnams China Policy in the
Perspective of Role Theory," Foreign Policy Analysis (Oxford). Completed May 11, 2016.
Internationalization, Legalization and Deterrence: The United States and Japan in the
South China Sea, Japanese Journal of Political Science (Cambridge University
Press).Higher Degree Examination
Higher Degree Examination
Anh Duc Ton, Navigating the Shoals of the South China Sea: International Law and
Geopolitical Issues Surrounding the Passage of Sovereign Immune Vessels and
Aircraft, submitted for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy, The University of
Wollongong.
Higher Degree Supervision
Scott Bentley, Beginning to Balance: Maritime Southeast Asia Responds to the Rise of
China, PhD Thesis, UNSW. Awarded December 2016.
Leng Thearith, Cambodias Foreign Policy between the Two Giant Neighbors: Vietnam
and Thailand, PhD Thesis, UNSW.
17
Veasna Var, Chinas Aid, Trade and Investment in Cambodia: Assessing the Impact of
Chinas Aid, Trade and Investment on Sustainable Development in Cambodia, PhD
Thesis, UNSW.
Other Strategic Assessment Paper, Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies (CDSS)
Koji Yoshino, The Possibility of Power Sharing Between China and the United
States: Implications for Japans National Interests.

Other Strategic Policy Paper, CDSS
Koji Yoshino, Court the Dragon and Fly with the Eagle: How Can Japan Prevent a
Conflict Between the US and China while Ensuring Japans National Security?
Thayer Consultancy
Consultancies
Asia-Pacific College of Diplomacy, The Australian National University.
Asyia Investments (Hong Kong).
Australian Political Exchange Council.
Bureau of Intelligence and Research Outreach Academic Exchange, U.S. Department of
State.
Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence College.
Chengwei Capital (Shanghai).
Executive Education Program, The University of New South Wales, Canberra.
National Security College, The Australian National University.
International Institute of Security Studies.
RAND Corporation (Washington, D.C.).
Background Briefs
This is a list of Consultancy Background Briefs approved for public release.
1.
South China Sea: Chinese Civilian Aircraft Lands on Fiery Cross Reef, Thayer
Consultancy Background Brief, January 4, 2016.
2.
Vietnams Submarine Fleet: What Impact on the South China Sea?, Thayer
3.
North Koreas Nuclear Test: Six Explanations, Thayer Consultancy Background

Brief, January 7, 2016.
4.
Cambodia: Hun Sen Takes to Social Media, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,
January 7, 2016.
5.
South China Sea: Flights to Fiery Cross Reef the New Normal, Thayer
18
6.
Vietnam: Relations with the U.S. After the 12th Party Congress, Thayer
7.
North Korea: Ramifications of Its Nuclear Test, Thayer Consultancy Background

Brief, January 9, 2016.
8.
Vietnam: Security for the 12th National Party Congress, Thayer Consultancy
Background Brief, January 9, 2016.
9.
South China Sea: China and the International Convention on Civil Aviation,
Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, January 15, 2016, January 15, 2016.
10.
Vietnam: 12th Party Congress and Party Factionalism, Thayer Consultancy

11.
Vietnam 12th Party Congress Preview, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

January 15, 2016.
12.
South China Sea: China Deploys HD 981 Back in Disputed Waters, Thayer
13.
Vietnam: Will New Leaders Affect Economic Policy?, Thayer Consultancy

14.
South China Sea: Chinas Oil Drilling Platform and Vietnams 12th National Party
Congress, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, January 21, 2016.
15.
Vietnam: The Party Congress and Vietnams External Relations, Thayer

16.
Vietnam: New Prime Minister Appointed, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

April 7, 2016.
17.
Vietnam: Assessing Leadership Change - 1, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

April 10, 2016.
18.

April 10, 2016.
19.

April 10, 2016.
20.
South China Sea: Chinas Plans for Scarborough Shoal, Thayer Consultancy
Background Brief, April 13, 2016.
21.
Paracel Islands: China Deploys Multirole Fighters and Fire Control Radar,
Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, April 13, 2016.
22.
South China Sea: Australian Shipping and RAAF Flights, Thayer Consultancy
23.
South China Sea: Has Russia Signaled a Change in Policy?, Thayer Consultancy
24.
East Asia Outlook: Major Powers, Strategic Challenges and Australia-Vietnam

Relations, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, April 26, 2016.
19
25.
Japans Foreign Ministers Visit to China, Thailand and Vietnam, Thayer

Consultancy Background Brief, May 4, 2016.
26.
Indonesia: INTERPOLs Red/Purple Notice re Hua Li 8, Thayer Consultancy

Background Brief, May 4, 2016.
27.
Vietnam and the Lifting of the U.S. Arms Embargo, Thayer Consultancy
28.
Philippines: Duterte and the South China Sea, Thayer Consultancy Background
Brief, May 9, 2016.
29.
Philippines: Rodrigo Duterte and the South China Sea, Thayer Consultancy
30.
Vietnam: National Assembly Elections, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

13, 2016.
31.
Vietnam: President Obama and the Arms Embargo, Thayer Consultancy

32.
Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 1, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

14, 2016.
33.

15, 2016.
34.

15, 2016.
35.

16, 2016.
36.

16, 2016.
37.

16, 2016.
38.
Vietnam: President Obamas Visit 7, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

16, 2016.
39.
Vietnam: President Obamas Visit (and National Assembly Elections) - 8, Thayer

40.

16, 2016.
41.
16, 2016.
42.
Vietnam: Terrorists Spark Dead Fish

43.
South China Sea: Third U.S. Freedom of Navigation Patrol, Thayer Consultancy
Transparency
Protests!,
Thayer
20
44.
17, 2016.
45.
South China Sea: Chinese Aircraft Intercept U.S. Maritime Patrol Aircraft,
Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May 19, 2016.
46.
20, 2016.
47.
Vietnam: President Obamas Visit (& South China Sea) 13, Thayer Consultancy
48.
:ASEAN Defence Ministers and Ecological Security?, Thayer Consultancy

49.
Vietnam: Prersident Obama Visits Vietnam - 14, Thayer Consultancy Background

Brief, May 23, 2016.
50.
ASEAN Defence Ministers and Ecological Security?, Thayer Consultancy

51.
23, 2016.
52.
Vietnam: President Obama Lifts Arms Embargo - 1, Thayer Consultancy

53.

54.

55.
Vietnam: What Will Vietnam Ask for Now that the Embargo is Lifted?, Thayer
56.
Vietnam: Arms Embargo Lifted, What Next?, Thayer Consultancy Background

57.
Vietnam: Assessing Obamas Visit to Vietnam, Thayer Consultancy Background

58.
Southeast Asia: Implications of the Lifting of the US Arms Embargo, Thayer

59.
ASEAN Secretariat Rescinds China- ASEAN Joint Statement, Thayer Consultancy

Background Brief, June 15, 2016.
60.
ASEAN-China Special Foreign Ministers Meeting: Conspiracy or Cockup?,

Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, June 17, 2016.
61.
Vietnam: Two Aircraft Lost, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, June 20, 2016.
62.
Chinas Strategy Towards the Arbitral Tribunal Findings, Thayer Consultancy

63.
Philippines: Assessing Dutertes Presidency, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

June 21, 2016.
21
64.
South China Sea: Possible Outcomes of the Arbitral Tribunal, Thayer Consultancy
65.
Cambodia Repatriates Taiwanese to Mainland China, Thayer Consultancy

66.
ASEAN-China Special Foreign Ministers Meeting Sequel, Thayer Consultancy

67.
Chinas Actions in the South China Sea Before and After the Arbitral Tribunal
Ruling, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, June 24, 2016.
68.
ASEAN Responds to Chinese Arrogance at Kunming Special Foreign Ministers

Meeting, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, June 24, 2016.
69.
Vietnam and South China Sea Arbitration, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,
July 3, 2016.
70.
Cambodia Criticized by UN Human Rights Council, Thayer Consultancy

Background Brief, July 5, 2016.
71.
Cambodia: Hun Sen Responds to Criticism on Human Rights, Thayer

Consultancy Background Brief, July 5, 2016.
72.
U.S.-Philippines Relations: Trade and the South China Sea, Thayer Consultancy
73.
South China Sea: Responses to Findings by the Arbitral Tribunal, Thayer

Consultancy Background Brief, July 7, 2016.
74.
South China Sea: Will China Establish an ADIZ in Response to Arbitral Tribunal
Award? Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, July 9, 2016.
75.
China-Vietnam 1979 Border War Revisited, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

July 9, 2016.
76.
Arbitral Tribunal Award: Impact on Oil & Gas Exploration, Thayer Consultancy
77.
South China Sea: ASEAN, China and the Philippines, Thayer Consultancy
Background Brief, August 23, 2016.
78.
China-Vietnam Relations: Visits by Vietnams Defence Minister and Prime

Minister, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, August 29 and 31, 2016.
79.
East Asia Summit: ASEAN Unity, South China Sea, and President Obama,
Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, August 31, 2016.
80.
Cambodias Hun Sen on Relations with ASEAN and Vietnam, Thayer

Consultancy Background Brief, August 31, 2016.
81.
Indias Prime Minister Modi to Visit Vietnam, Thayer Consultancy Background

Brief, August 31, 2016.
82.
G20 Summit: Laos, India and the South China Sea, Thayer Consultancy
Background Brief, September 1, 2016.
22
83.
Vietnam-China Relations: Scene Setter for Visit by Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan
Phuc, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, September 9, 2016.
84.
The Philippines: Duterte Trashes U.S. Alliance, Thayer Consultancy Background

Brief, September 15, 2016.
85.
Russia-China Collusion on South China Sea Policy? Thayer Consultancy

86.
China-Vietnam Relations: Visit by PM Nguyen Xuan Phuc, Thayer Consultancy

87.
Cambodia: The Shadow of the 1993 National Elections, Thayer Consultancy

Background Brief, October 20, 2016.
88.
The Third U.S. Presidential Debate: What About Asia? Thayer Consultancy
Background Brief, October 20, 2016. Reprinted as The Third U.S. Presidential
Debate: What About Asia?, asks Carlyle Thayer, AusCham [Australian Chamber
of Commerce] Vietnam, October 24, 2016. http://auschamvn.org/the-third-u-spresidential-debate-what-about-asia-asks-carlyle-thayer/.
89.
Vietnam: Chinese Warships Visit Cam Ranh Bay, Thayer Consultancy Background
Brief, October 20, 2016
90.
Laos: Virtual Reality and the Plain of Jars, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,
October 21, 2016.
91.
Philippines: Dutertes Pivot to China, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

October 21, 2016.
92.
Philippines: Dutertes Visit Provides Incentive for China to Exercise SelfRestraint, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, October 22, 2016.
93.
The Future of the US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty, Thayer Consultancy

94.
The Philippines: Duterte and the U.S. Pivot to Asia, Thayer Consultancy
95.
Vietnam-US Relations: The Duterte Factor, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

October 30, 2016.
96.
Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China, Thayer Consultancy Background

Brief, November 1, 2016.
97.
Malaysia: Is Najib Following in Dutertes Footsteps?, Thayer Consultancy

Background Brief, November 1, 2016.
98.
Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China, Thayer Consultancy Background

Brief, November 1, 2016.
99.
US to Withdraw From TPP -1, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November

22, 2016.
100. US to Withdraw from TPP - 2, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November

22, 2016.
23
Media Interviews
1.
Nguyen Hai Anh, Zing.vn Online, January 4, 2016.
2.
Nga Pham, BBC Vietnamese Service, January 5, 2016.
3.
Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, January 6, 2016.
4.
Reporter, North Korean Nuclear Test, January 7, 2016.
5.
Hi)u Trung, Reporter, Tuoi Tre Newspaper, Ho Chi Minh City, January 7, 2016.
6.
ngel Bermdez, Multimedia Producer, BBC Miami Bureau, January 7, 2016.
7.
Suy Se, Correspondent, Agence France Presse, Phnom Penh, January 7, 2016.
8.
Nguyen Hai Anh, Zing.vn Online, January 8, 2016.
9.
Eric Baculinao, NBC News Bureau Chief, Beijing, January 9, 2016.
10.
Du Nhat Dang, Thanh Nien Online, January 9, 2016.
11.
Javier C. Hernndez, China Correspondent, The New York Times, January 12, 2016.
12.
Video, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore, January 12, 2016.
13.
Vietnam Television, Singapore Bureau, January 12, 2016.
14.
Lindsay Murdoch, The Sydney Morning Herald, January 13, 2015.
15.
Viet Ha, Radio Free Asia, Washington, D. C, January 14, 2016.
16.
John Boudreau, Bloomberg News, Hanoi, January 14, 2016.
17.
Do The Dung, Radio France Internationale, January 15, 2016
18.
Pham Bac, Deutsche Presse Agentur, Hanoi, January 15, 2015.
19.
Quach Canh Toan, Reporter, World News Desk, Zing News (Zing.vn), VNG
Corporation, January 15, 2016.
20.
Jane Perlez, The New York Times, Beijing Bureau, January 18, 2016.
21.
Mike Ives, freelance reporter, Hanoi, January 18, 2016.
22.
Nyshka Chandran, CNBC Asia-Pacific, Hong Kong, January 18, 2016.
23.
Rishaad Salamat, Bloomberg TV, Hong Kong, January 20, 2016.
24.
Nguyen Huy, Reporter, Soha.vn, January 20, 2016.
25.
Pham Trung Bac, Deutsche Presse Agentur, Hanoi, January 20, 2015.
26.
Ralph Jennings, Forbes Asia Blog, January 20, 2016.
27.
Minh Tran, Reporter, January 20, 2016.
28.
Pham Van Thua, Government Portal, Hanoi, January 20, 2016.
29.
Simone Orendain, Voice of America, January 20, 2016.
30.
Catherine Barton, Bureau Chief, Agence France Presse, Hanoi, January 20, 2016.
31.
Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, January 21, 2016.
24
32.
Radio 938LIVE, Singapore, January 21, 2016.
33.
Kristine Kwok, South China Morning Post, January 21, 2016.
34.
Tony Easterly and Kathryn Stolarchuk, ABC News 24, Parliament House,
Canberra, January 21, 2016.
35.
Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, January 22, 2016.
36.
Corporation, January 23, 2016.
37.
Brent Crane, Features Reporter, The Phnom Penh Post, January 24, 2016.
38.
Anya, Danish National Radio, January 27, 2016.
39.
Sebastian Strangio, World Review, Phnom Penh, January 27, 2016.
40.
Nirmal Ghosh, Associated Press, Bangkok, January 28, 2016.
41.
Shannon van Sant, Voice of America, Hong Kong, January 28, 2016.
42.
Martin Petty, Thompson Reuters, Hanoi, January 28, 2016.
43.
Peter Ford, Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, January 28, 2016.
44.
Pierre Delrieu, News Editor, Asian Military Review, January 29, 2016.
45.
Lien Hoang, Reporter, Bloomberg News Agency, Ho Chi Minh City, January 29,
2016.
46.
Sebastian Strangio, World Politics Review, January 27, 2016.
47.
TrBnh Duy Minh, Zing News Online Newspaper, January 31, 2016.
48.
Shaun Turton, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, February 2016.
49.
Bac Pham, Correspondent, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Hanoi February 4, 2016.
50.
David Hutt, Reporter, Southeast Asia Globe, February 7, 2016.
51.
Peter Ford, Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, February 11, 2016.
52.
Ralph Jennings, Forbes Asia, Taipei, February 11, 2016.
53.
Do The Dung, Radio France Internationale, Paris, February 11, 2016.
54.
Shannon van Sant, February 11, 2016.
55.
Corporation, February 14, 2016.
56.
Charles Rollet, Phnom Penh Post, February 16, 2016.
57.
Lindsay Murdoch, The Sydney Morning Herald, February 17, 2016.
58.
Nguyen Hai Anh, Zing News Online Newspaper, February 17, 2016.
59.
Brian Padden, Voice of America, February6 17, 2016;.
60.
D. Nh/t ng, Thanh Nin Online, February 17, 2016.
61.
Nguyen Thi Van Anh, Lao Dong Newspaper, February 17, 2016.
25
62.
Phan Hong Nhung, Infonet E-journal,

Communications, Hanoi, February 18, 2016.
Ministry
of
Information
and
63.
Nguyen Khanh Linh, Viet Nam News Agency, Sydney Bureau, February 18, 2016.
64.
Viet Ha, Radio Free Asia, Washington, D.C., February 18, 2016.
65.
Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, February 18, 2016.
66.
Green, ABC TV News, February 18, 2016.
67.
Nirmal Ghosh, The Straits Times, Bangkok Bureau, February 18, 2016.
68.
Nguyen Thi Van Anh, Lao Dong, February 18, 2016.
69.
D. Nh/t ng, Thanh Nien Online, February 18, 2016.
70.
Bi ThB Then, Ph Ban Qu0c t), Bo Dn tr, February 18, 2016.
71.
D.;ng Quang, Ta so3n, Bo Ng!i Lao ng, February 18, 2016.
72.
Phan Hong Nhung, Reporter and

translator, Infonet.vn, The Ministry of
Infomation and Communications, February 18, 2016.
73.
Trefor Moss, The Wall Street Journal, February 18, 2016.
74.
D.;ng Quang, Ta so3n Bo Ng!i Lao ng, February 18, 2016.
75.
Nguyen Hai Anh, Zing.vn, February 18, 2016.
76.
Andrew Greene, ABC News, Canberra, February 18, 2016.
77.
Norm Aspen, Perth, February 22, 2016.
78.
Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, February 24, 2016.
79.
D. Nh/t ng, Thanh Nien Online, February 24, 2016.
80.
Corporation, February 24, 2016.
81.
Yulia Kotliarenko-Shukhman, Head of Producing and Monitoring Unit, Radio

Sputnik, English World Service, Moscow Bureau, February 24, 2016.
82.
Bui Minh Long, Deputy General Managing Editor, Tien Phong Newspaper, February
25, 2016.
83.
Huy Nguyen, Soha.vn, February 27, 2016.
84.
Pham Quynh Trong, Tuoi Tre, February 27, 2016.
85.
Nga Pham, BBC Vietnamese Service, March 2, 2016.
86.
Bac Pham, Correspondent, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Hanoi, March 6, 2016.
87.
Phnom Penh Post, March 9, 2016.
88.
Vietnamese Media multiple interviews, March 10, 2016.
89.
Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, March 15, 2016.
90.
Hamish McBeth, The Nikki Weekly Review, March 18, 2016.
91.
Peter Ford, Cambodia Daily, March 19, 2016.
26
92.
Phnom Penh Post, March 21, 2016.
93.
Michael McLaren, Radio 2GB, Sydney, March 22, 2016.
94.
Sam Reeves, Agence France-Presse, News Editor and Deputy Bureau Chief,
Jakarta, March 24, 2016.
95.
Shaun Turton, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, April 3, 2016.
96.
Channel News Asia, Skype TV, Singapore, April 4, 2016.
97.
Reeta Raman, 938 Live, Media Corp, Singapore, April 4, 2016.
98.
Michael Peel. Bangkok Regional Correspondent, Financial Times, April 5, 2015.
99.
Phuong Ngo, BBC Vietnamese Service, April 5, 2016.
100. Victor Beatie, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., April 7, 2016.

101. Catherine Barton, Bureau Chief, Agence France-Presse, April 7, 2016.
102. Vietanh Phan, VNExpress, April 10, 2016.
103. Huong Ha, Reporter, Zing Newspaper, Ho Chi Minh City, April 10, 2016.
104. Bui Minh Long, Tien Phong Newspaper, Deputy General Managing Editor, Hanoi,
April 10, 2016.
105. Andrew Greene, ABC News, Canberra, April 11, 2016.
106. Gemma Vanessa, ABC TV News 24, Canberra, April 12, 2016.
107. Van Anh, Lao Dong, April 13, 2015.
108. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, April 14, 2016.
109. ABC TV News at 7, April 15, 2016.
111. Pham Trung Bac, Deutsche Press Agentur, Hanoi, April 16, 2016.
113. TrBnh Duy Minh, Zing.vn, April 18, 2016.
114. Logan Connor, Reporter, Southeastern Globe Communications, Ltd., Phnom Penh,
April 21, 2016.
115. George Wright, Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, April 22, 2016.
117. Nguyen Dieu Linh, Counselor, Embassy of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam to
Australia, April 26, 2016.
118. Simon Denyer, The Washington Post, Beijing, April 27, 2016.
119. Quach Canh Toan, Reporter, World News Desk, Zing News (Zing.vn), NG
Corporation, May 4, 2016.
120. Cory Rogers, Journalist, May 5, 2016.
121. Voice of Vietnam, New Haven, Connecticut, May 6, 2016.
27
122. Keith Johnson, Foreign Policy Blog, May 7, 2016.
123. Charlie Campbell, Time Asia, May 9, 2016.
124. Lindsay Murdoch, The Sydney Morning Herald, May 11, 2016.
125. Reeta Raman, Deputy Editor, 938LIVE, Singapore, May 12, 2016.
126. Jane Perlez, Beijing Bureau, The New York Times, May 12, 2016.
127. Viet Ha, Radio Free Asia, Washington, D.C., May 12, 2016.
128. Eric Slaven, Stars and Stripes, May 12, 2016.
129. Matthew Clayfield, www.matthewclayfield.com, May 13, 2016.
130. Huy Nguyen, Soha News, May 13, 2016.
131. Michael Roberts, National Public Radio, May 14, 2016.
132. Phan Hong Nhung, Reporter, E-journal Infonet, Ministry of Information and
Communications, Hanoi, May 14, 2016.
133. Viet Anh Phan, VN Express, May 14, 2016.
134. Thomas Maresca, freelance reporter, Bangkok, May 15, 2016.
135. Scott Harris, Los Angeles Times, May 15, 2016.
136. James Borton, Senior Writer, The Washington Times, May 15, 2016.
137. Ralph Jennings, Forbes Asia Online, Taipei, May 16, 2016.
138. Quach Canh Toan, Reporter, World News Desk, Zing News (Zing.vn), VNG
139. Tran Viet, Ministry of Public Security, May 16, 2016.
140. Pham Van Thua, Reporter, Vietnam Government Portal, May 16, 2016.
141. Bac Pham, Correspondent, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Hanoi, May 16, 2016.
142. Xuan Son, Managing Editor, Vietnam Economic Times, May 16, 2016.
143. Scott Harris, Los Angeles Times, May 16, 2016.
144. Thomas Maresca, freelance reporter, Bangkok, May 16, 2016.
145. Bi ThB Then, Head of International News, Dan Tri Online, May 17, 2015.
146. Jerome Taylor, Southeast Asia Correspondent, Agence France-Presse, Bangkok,
May 17, 2016.
147. Jack Davies, Phnom Penh Post, May 17, 2016.
148. John Boudreau, Bloomberg Newsroom, May 18, 2016.
149. Per Liljas, Asia Correspondent, Svenska Dagbladet, May 19, 2016.
150. Jane Perlez, Beijing Bureau, The New York Times, May 19, 2016.
151. Shaun Turton, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, May 19, 2016.
152. D. Nh/t ng, Thanh Nien Online, May 19, 2016.
28
154. Rodion Ebbighausen, Asien Programme|Asia Desk, Deutsche Welle, Bonn, May
20, 2016.
155. Michael Peel, Bangkok Regional Correspondent, Financial Times, May 20, 2016.
156. Alessandro B. Marazzi Sassoon, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, May 22, 2016.
157. Victor Beattie, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., May 23, 2016.
158. Radio 938LIVE, MediaCorp Radio, Singapore, May 23, 2016.
159. Turkish Radio and Television, Ankara, May 23, 2016.
160. James Hookway, Deputy Bureau Chief, Southeast Asia, The Wall Street Journal,
Hanoi, May 23, 2016.
161. Do The Dung, Radio France Internationale, Paris, May 23, 2016.
162. Huy Nguyen, Soha News, May 23, 2016.
163. Rishi Iyengar, Writer-Reporter, TIME Asia, Hong Kong, May 23, 2016.
164. Phan Thanh Tung, Vietnam National Television, Hanoi, May 23, 2016.
165. Hoang Thuy Chung, VietNamNet, May 23, 2016.
166. Channel NewsAsia TV Network, Singapore, May 24, 2016.
167. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, May 24, 2016.
168. Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, May 24, 2016.
169. Mackenzie Weigner, National Security Reporter, The Cipher Brief, May 24, 2016.
170. Wendell Minnick, Defense News Asia, Bureau Chief, Taipei, May 24, 2016.
171. Nguyen Van Anh, Labour Newspaper, May 24, 2016.
172. Albert Wai, Today (Singapore), May 25, 2016.
173. Shannon van Sant, Voice of America, Hong Kong, June 1, 20916
174. Radio 938LIVE, Singapore, June 3, 2016.
175. Saurabh Joshi, StratPost (Delhi), Singapore, June 3, 2016.
176. Paul Millar, Reporter, Southeastern Globe Communications, Ltd., Phnom Penh,
June 3, 2016.
Corporation, Singapore, June 3, 2016
178. Pham Quynh Trong, Tuoi Tre, Singapore, June 3, 2016.
179. Ngoc Mai, Thanh Nien, June 3, 2016.
180. 938Live, Singapore, June 3, 2016.
181. Press Conference (Chris Nelson, Nelson Report; David Roman, Bloomberg; Crystal
Sun, Phoenix News Media Ltd.; Samuel Ng, MediaCorp; Li Yang, China News
29
Service), Launch of IISS Asia-Pacific Regional Security Assessment 2016, Peony
Room, Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore.
182. Vu Dieu Huong, Voice of Vietnam Radio, Singapore, June 4, 2016.
183. Le Van Hai, Vietnam News Agency, Singapore, June 4, 2016.
184. David Tweed, Bloomberg News, Singapore, June 4, 2016.
185. 938Live, Singapore, June 6, 2016.
186. Oliver Holmes, Southeast Asia correspondent, Guardian News & Media, June 9,
2016.
187. Luu Tuong Quang, Voice of America, Wollongong, June 11, 2016.
188. VfTV, Wollongong, June 11, 2016.
189. Do The Dung, Radio France Internationale, Paris, June 15, 2016.
190. Victor Beattie, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., June 15, 2016.
191. Janelle Retka, The Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, June 15, 2016.
192. Alex Willemyns, The Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, June 16, 2016.
193. Simon Roughneen, Journalist, June 17, 2016.
194. Viet Ha, Radio Free Asia, Washington, D. C., June 17, 2016.
195. Shaun Turton, Reporter, The Phnom Penh Post, June 19, 2016.
196. Luu Vn at, Viet Nam News, Vietnam News Agency, June 20, 2016.
197. Radio 938LIVE, Singapore, June 21, 2016.
198. Do The Dung, Radio France Internationale, Paris, June 21, 2016.
199. Logan Connor, Southeastern Globe Communications, Ltd., Phnom Penh, June 21,
2016.
200. Samuel Reeves, News Editor and Deputy Bureau Chief, Agence France Presse,
Jakarta, June 21, 2016.
201. Yesenia Amaro, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, June 22, 2016.
202. Bui Minh Long, Deputy General Managing Editor, Tien Phong Newspaper, June 24,
2016.
203. Pham Van Thua, Reporter, Government Portal, Hanoi, June 24, 2016.
204. Shaun Turton, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, June 29, 2016.
205. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, June 30, 2016.
206. Erin Handley, Phnom Penh Post, July 2, 2016.
207. Bac Pham, Correspondent, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Hanoi, July 3, 2016.
208. George Wright, Associate Editor, The Cambodia Daily, July 5, 2016.
209. Greg Rushford, Rushford Report, Washington, D.C., July 5, 2016.
210. Chris Nelson, The Nelson Report, July 5, 2016.
30
211. Laura Zhou, South China Morning Post, Beijing Bureau, July 7, 2016.
212. Danny Gittings and Brendan Clift, Backchat, RTHK Radio 3, Hong Kong, July 8,
2016.
213. Angus Grigg, The Financial Times, Shanghai, July 8, 2016.
214. Andrew Green, ABC TV News, Canberra, July 8, 2016.
215. Bui Minh Long, Deputy General Managing Editor, Tien Phong Newspaper, July 9,
2016.
216. Anders Corr, Principal, Corr Analytics Inc., Forbes, July 9, 2016.
217. Lam Manh Toan, Journalist, Quan Doi Nhan Dan (Vietnam Peoples Army
Newspaper), July 9, 2016.
218. Jean de Castro and Tony Abad in Manila, Bloomberg TV, Washington, D.C., July
12, 2016.
219. Ngo Truong Son, Vietnam Television, Washington Bureau, July 12, 2016.
220. Dao Dang Toan, Platts Oilgram, July 13, 2016.
221. Trinh Duy Minh, Zing.vn, July 13, 2016.
222. Helen Clark, Huffington Post, July 15, 2016.
223. Logan Connor, Reporter, Southeastern Globe Communications, Ltd., Phnom Penh,
July 15, 2016.
224. Phan Thanh Tung, Vietnam National Television, Skype, July 15, 2016.
225. Nguyen Khanh Linh, Vietnam News Agency, Sydney Bureau, July 15, 2016.
226. Ben Paviour, Cambodia Daily, July 17, 2016.
227. Edwin Loh, Energy Intelligence, Singapore, July 18, 2016.
228. Ethan Harfenist, Reporter, Vocativ News, New York, July 18, 2016.
229. Jerome Tayor, Southeast Asia Correspondent, Agence France-Presse, July 19, 2016.
230. Victor Beattie, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., July 19, 2016.
231. Jerome Taylor, Agence-France Presse, Bangkok Bureau, July 19, 2016.
232. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, July 19, 2016.
233. Rishi Iyengar, Writer-Reporter, TIME Asia (Hong Kong), July 19, 2016.
234. Andrew Greene, ABC TV, Canberra, July 20, 2016.
235. Andrew, Nachemson, Phnom Penh Post, July 22, 2016.
236. VTV, Dai Truyen Hinh Viet Nam, July 23, 2016.
237. Radio Free Asia, July 22, 2016.
238. Thanh Danh, Phap Luat Online, July 23, 2016.
239. Ha Hung, Zing.News, July 23, 2016.
240. Ngoc Mai, Thanh Nien, July 23, 2016.
31
241. HTV, Ho Chi Minh City, July 23, 2016.
242. Dong Nai TV, July 23, 2016.
243. Tuoi Tre, July 23, 2016.
244. Ananth Baliga, National Reporter, The Phnom Penh Post, July 23, 2016.
245. Xuan Son, Vietnam Economic Times, July 23, 2016.
246. Alex Willemyns, The Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, July 24, 2016.
247. Jerome Taylor, Agence France-Presse, Bangkok, July 24, 2016.
248. Vietanh Phan, VnExpress, July 25, 2016.
249. Jerome Taylor, Agence France-Presse, Bangkok, July 25, 2016.
251. Jack Davies, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, July 25, 2016.
252. Ben Otto, The Wall Street Journal, July 27, 2016.
254. Alex Willemyns, The Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, July 28, 2016.
255. Do The Dung, Radio France Internationale, Paris, July 30, 2016.
256. Tran Quynh Huong, The World & Vietnam Report, Press Agency of the Ministry of
Foreign Affairs, Hanoi, July 31, 2016.
257. Shaun Turton, Phnom Penh Post, August 1, 2016.
258. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, August 1, 2016.
259. Kor Kian Beng, The Straits Times, China Bureau, August 3, 2016.
260. Ben Paviour, Cambodia Daily, August 5, 2016.
261. Bac Pham, Correspondent, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Hanoi, August 9, 2016.
262. Shaun Turton, Phnom Penh Post, August 10, 2016.
263. Victor Beattie, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., August 10, 2016.
264. Vu Trong Khanh, The Wall Street Journal, August 10, 2016.
265. Vietanh Phan, VNExpress, August 10, 2016.
266. Oliver Holmes, The Guardian, August 10, 2016.
267. Do The Dung, Radio France Internationale, Paris, August 10, 2016.
268. Michael Peel, The Financial Times, August 10, 2016.
269. Hao Linh, Reporter, Tap Chi Tia Sang, August 10, 2016.
270. ABC TV News 24, Canberra, August 11, 2016.
271. Rodion Ebbighausen, Asien Programme, Asia Desk, Deutsche Welle, August 11,
2016.
272. Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, August 14, 2016.
32
273. Ho Chi Minh City TV, Nha Trang, August 17, 2016.
274. Tong Thi Kim Dung, Nikkei, Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Nha Trang, August 17, 2016.
275. Tuoi Tre, Nha Trang, August 17, 2016.
276. VTV 4, Nha Trang, August 18, 2016.
277. Xuan Son, Journalist and Managing Editor, Vietnam Economic Times/Thoi bao Kinh
te Viet Nam, August 23, 2016.
279. Vu Trong Khanh, The Wall Street Journal, Reporter, August 31, 2016.
280. Ben Paviour, Cambodia Daily, Phnom Penh, August 31, 2016.
281. Michaela del Callar, GMA News Online, Manila, August 31, 2016.
283. Channel News Asia, Hanoi Bureau, August 31, 2016.
284. Bhavan Jaipragas, South China Morning Post, August 31, 2016.
285. D. Nh/t ng, Thanh Nin Online, Ho Chi Minh City, September 1, 2016.
286. Jenny Vaughan, Bureau Chief, Agence France-Press, Hanoi, September 2, 2016.
287. Bui Minh Long, Deputy General Managing Editor, Tien Phong Newspaper,
September 4, 2016.
288. Martin Abbugao, Senior Correspondent, Agence France-Presse, Singapore Bureau,
September 5, 2016.
289. Jerome Taylor, South East Asia Correspondent, Agence France-Presse, Bangkok,
September 5, 2016.
290. Erin Handley, The Phnom Penh Post, September 5, 2016.
291. Pham Van Thua, Government Portal, Hanoi, September 6, 2016.
292. Rishi Iyengar, Writer-Reporter, TIME Asia, Hong Kong, September 7, 2016.
293. Hi)u Trung, Senior Editor, Zing.vn, September 7, 2016.
294. Michaela del Callar, GMA News Online, Manila, September 7, 2016.
295. Victor Beattie, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., September 8, 2016.
296. CCTV, September 8, 2016.
297. Jiangtao Shi, China Correspondent, South China Morning Post, September 9, 2016.
298. Ben Paviour, Cambodia Daily, September 9, 2016.
299. Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, September 13, 2016.
300. Lindsay Murdoch, South-East Asia Correspondent, The Age and The Sydney
Morning Herald, September 15, 2016.
301. Nguyen Hai Anh, Tintuc.vn Online Newspaper, September 18, 2016.
302. Pham Trung Bac, Deutsche Press Agentur, Hanoi, September 19, 2016.
33
303. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, September 20, 2016.
304. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, September 22, 2016.
305. Ben Paviour, Cambodia Daily, September 27, 2016.
306. Nguyen Khanh Linh, Vietnam News Agency, Sydney, September 28, 2016.
307. Albert Wai, Senior Foreign Correspondent, Today, Media Corporation, Singapore,
October 5, 2016.
308. Viet Ha, Radio Free Asia, Washington, D.C., October 10, 2016.
309. Nguyen Thuy Ha, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., October 11, 2016.
310. Lauren Crothers, Anadolu Agency, Phnom Penh, October 12, 2016.
311. Jerome Taylor, Agence France-Presse, Bangkok, October 14, 2016.
312. Shaun Turton, Phnom Penh Post, October 17, 2016.
313. Ben Paviour, Cambodia Daily, October 17, 2016.
314. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, October 17, 2016.
315. Radio France Internationale, Paris, October 17, 2016.
316. Alex Willemyns, Politics Editor, Phnom Penh Post, October 20, 2016.
317. Vu Trong Khanh , The Wall Street Journal, October 20, 2016.
318. Nguyen Van Anh, Lao Dong Newspaper, October 20, 2016.
319. Do The Dung, Radio Free Asia, Paris, October 21, 2016.
320. Erik Slavin, Stars and Stripes, Tokyo, October 21, 2016.
321. Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, October 21, 2016.
322. Ralph Jennings, Forbes, Taipei, October 21, 2016.
323. Eileen Ng, Correspondent, Today, Singapore, October 22, 2016.
324. Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, October 22, 2016.
325. Colin Meyn, Editor-in-Chief, The Cambodia Daily, October 23, 2016.
326. Victor Beattie, Voice of America, Washington, D.C., October 24, 2016.
327. Eileen Ng, Correspondent, Today, Singapore, October 27, 2016.
328. James Hookway, The Wall Street Journal, November 1, 2016.
329. Kor Kian Beng ( ), The Straits Times, China Bureau, November 1, 2016.
330. Christopher Bodeen, Associated Press, Beijing, November 5, 2016.
331. Michael Peel, Bangkok Regional Correspondent, The Financial Times, November 7,
2016.
332. Mike Ives, freelance reporter, November 16, 2016.
333. Helen Clark, South China Morning Post, November 16, 2016.
334. Radio Sputnik, English World Service, Moscow Bureau, November 16, 2015.
34
335. Ron Corben, Voice of America, Bangkok, November 22, 2013.
336. Bi ThB Then, Tr.ng Ban Qu0c t) Bo Dn Tr, Head of World News Division,
Dan Tri Online, November 22, 2016.
337. Vietanh Phan, VNExpress, November 22, 2016.
338. Tran Huong Linh, Deputy Chief of World News Division, News Department,
Vietnam Television, Hanoi, November 22, 2016.
339. Ben Paviour, Cambodia Daily, November 23, 2016.
340. Euan Black, Southeastern Globe Communications, Ltd., Phnom Penh, November
24, 2016.
341. Shaun Turton, Reporter, Phnom Penh Post, November 27, 2016.
342. Helen Clark, The Huffington Post, November 28, 2016.
343. Ralph Jennings, Voice of America, Taipei, November 28, 2016.
344. Deborah Richards, Commissioning Editor, ABC News Online, December 2, 2016.
345. Nguyen Duy Thai, Vietnam News Agency, Geneva, December 6, 2016.
346. Viet Ha, Radio Free Asia, Washington, D. C, December 6, 2016.
347. Greg Torode, Thompson Reuters, Hong Kong, December 7, 2016.
348. Jenny Vaughn Agence France Press, Hanoi December 9, 2016.
349. Pham Trung Bac, Deutsche Presse Agentur, Hanoi, December 14, 2016.
350. Dang Bao Trung, Quan Doi Nhan Dan, Hanoi, December 16, 2016.
351. Hanoi News, Hanoi, December 16, 2016.
352. Per Liljas, Asia Correspondent, Svenska Dagbladet, December 20, 2016.
353. Trung Ngo, Channel News Asia, Hanoi, December 20, 2016.
354. Du Nhat Dang, Tuioi Tre, December 29, 2016.
355. Xuan Son Vietnam Economic Times, December 30, 2016.

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Thayer Activities Report 2016

looking at legacy, Vietnam Economic Times, May 21,

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North Korea: Ramifications of Its Nuclear Test, Thayer Consultancy Background

Vietnam: 12th Party Congress and Party Factionalism, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam 12th Party Congress Preview, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

Vietnam: Will New Leaders Affect Economic Policy?, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: The Party Congress and Vietnams External Relations, Thayer

Vietnam: New Prime Minister Appointed, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

Vietnam: Assessing Leadership Change - 1, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

Vietnam: Assessing Leadership Change - 2, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

Vietnam: Assessing Leadership Change - 3, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

East Asia Outlook: Major Powers, Strategic Challenges and Australia-Vietnam

Japans Foreign Ministers Visit to China, Thailand and Vietnam, Thayer

Indonesia: INTERPOLs Red/Purple Notice re Hua Li 8, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: National Assembly Elections, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obama and the Arms Embargo, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 1, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 2, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 3, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 4, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 5, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 6, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit 7, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit (and National Assembly Elections) - 8, Thayer

Vietnam: President Obamas Visit - 9, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, May

Vietnam: Terrorists Spark Dead Fish

:ASEAN Defence Ministers and Ecological Security?, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: Prersident Obama Visits Vietnam - 14, Thayer Consultancy Background

ASEAN Defence Ministers and Ecological Security?, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: President Obama Lifts Arms Embargo - 1, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: President Obama Lifts Arms Embargo - 2, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: President Obama Lifts Arms Embargo - 3, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam: Arms Embargo Lifted, What Next?, Thayer Consultancy Background

Vietnam: Assessing Obamas Visit to Vietnam, Thayer Consultancy Background

Southeast Asia: Implications of the Lifting of the US Arms Embargo, Thayer

ASEAN Secretariat Rescinds China- ASEAN Joint Statement, Thayer Consultancy

ASEAN-China Special Foreign Ministers Meeting: Conspiracy or Cockup?,

Chinas Strategy Towards the Arbitral Tribunal Findings, Thayer Consultancy

Philippines: Assessing Dutertes Presidency, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

Cambodia Repatriates Taiwanese to Mainland China, Thayer Consultancy

ASEAN-China Special Foreign Ministers Meeting Sequel, Thayer Consultancy

ASEAN Responds to Chinese Arrogance at Kunming Special Foreign Ministers

Cambodia Criticized by UN Human Rights Council, Thayer Consultancy

Cambodia: Hun Sen Responds to Criticism on Human Rights, Thayer

South China Sea: Responses to Findings by the Arbitral Tribunal, Thayer

China-Vietnam 1979 Border War Revisited, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

China-Vietnam Relations: Visits by Vietnams Defence Minister and Prime

Cambodias Hun Sen on Relations with ASEAN and Vietnam, Thayer

Indias Prime Minister Modi to Visit Vietnam, Thayer Consultancy Background

The Philippines: Duterte Trashes U.S. Alliance, Thayer Consultancy Background

Russia-China Collusion on South China Sea Policy? Thayer Consultancy

China-Vietnam Relations: Visit by PM Nguyen Xuan Phuc, Thayer Consultancy

Cambodia: The Shadow of the 1993 National Elections, Thayer Consultancy

Philippines: Dutertes Pivot to China, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

The Future of the US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty, Thayer Consultancy

Vietnam-US Relations: The Duterte Factor, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief,

Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China, Thayer Consultancy Background

Malaysia: Is Najib Following in Dutertes Footsteps?, Thayer Consultancy

Malaysia: Prime Minister Najib Visits China, Thayer Consultancy Background

US to Withdraw From TPP -1, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November

100. US to Withdraw from TPP - 2, Thayer Consultancy Background Brief, November