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SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 299
The herd of local business and property Reason #1 - Foreigners are paying higher
media, including Business Times, Singapore in terms of total stamp duties.
Business Review, Yahoo News,
A foreigner buying a home in Singapore must
PropertyGuru, The Edge Property and
pay 15 percent Additional Buyer Stamp Duty
Property Report, immediately picked up this
on top of the existing Buyer Stamp Duty
piece of good news without much thought
(usually under 3 percent depending on the
and came up with similar headlines of
value of the property). However, there is a
Singapore to benefit from Hong Kong tax
Seller Stamp Duty between 4 to 16 percent
hike, Hong Kongs loss in overseas buyers
payable for the property sold within 4 years
may be Singapores gain, etc.
of purchase.
For people who have a habit of comparing
If the foreigner wants to dispose the property
with others, they often make the mistake of
within a year, he is liable to a Seller Stamp
benchmarking themselves against the wrong
Duty of 16 percent. In this whole buying and
parties while overlooking the root of the
selling process, he has paid a total of close to
problem.
34 percent in stamp duties to the Singapore
Could anyone not see that there are at least government.
four fundamental faults in Cushman &
Wakefields reasoning?
Hong Kong developers revealed that around against US dollars last year, the Chinese
20 percent of buyers in new projects are from rushed to the greenback to shield them from
mainland China. According to URA, the the weakness of their local currency.
Chinese only bought 230 homes in Singapore
When the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock
(a drop from 243 deals a year ago) for the
Connect opened in Hong Kong last year, the
first nine months in 2016.
mainland Chinese know that there is a new
Reason #3 There are many investment legal way to get money out of China.
options for the Chinese
When the Chinese rushed in droves to Hong
Using spare cash to buy properties is most Kong to buy insurance, new premium sales
popular for Singaporeans. But our from the mainland Chinese hit HK$48.9 billion
counterparts in China are far more creative. (S$9 billion) in just the first 9 months of 2016.
Hong Kong insurance agents reportedly
Renminbi cannot be exchanged freely in
swiped the credit cards of eager Chinese
China and there is risk of currency
customers till midnight every weekend before
devaluation. There are many ways to transfer
they went back to China. Unlike properties,
money out of the country, both legally and
these investment-linked insurance policies
illegally. Lets talk about only the legal options
are bought in a currency pegged with the US
here.
dollar; with guaranteed return; no risk of price
When the Renminbi depreciated 6 percent fluctuation; and can cash out any time.
Who cares about buying properties in Japan are printing money like nobodys
Singapore? business, the banks find no better way than
making more loans to large corporations. But
With shortage of the Chinese currency in
these big companies all know that the market
local banks, especially approaching the Lunar
is suffering from over-capacity with declining
New Year, the 6 to 12-month fixed deposit
consumer demand. There is no point to invest
interest rate had gone up to 6 percent per
in improving productivity or cost-efficiencies.
annum. Facing a similar risk of a decline in
value, is there any Singapore investment The only way to spend that huge amount of
property selling in this market able to offer 6 cash is through endless acquisitions
percent net return in the next 6 to 12 months? through buying investment properties and
acquiring profitable or unprofitable
Reason #4 Money from QE is not
companies.
benefiting the real home buyers
Both activities are not helping the economy:
Thanks to QE (Quantitative Easing), there is
Acquiring properties at top prices further
so much liquidity and hot money flowing
increases prices of the already overheated
around, and many people have no idea what
property market. Buying companies leads to
to invest with their excessive cash and hence
unavoidable restructuring after the merger
resort to following the crowd.
with more workers losing their jobs.
When the government of US, UK, Europe and
The actual end users of the residential Hong Kong properties with a 30 percent
properties are further priced out of the stamp duty, and Hong Kong property prices
market. With high property prices and high may face a correction. But that wont benefit
unemployment rate, where can we find HDB the Singapore housing market in any way.
upgraders and real home buyers to clear
For developers, agents, sellers and landlords,
those 21,000 unsold units in Singapore?
its time they went back to work harder on
Somebodys pain is not necessarily your attracting buyers and tenants if they want to
gain stop the continuous slump of the property
market.
Two months after the announcement of the
increased stamp duty in Hong Kong, buyers For fellow property buyers and investors, this
continue to snap up new projects at record is a perfect example why we need to read the
prices. Last Friday, 400 units at a project news from the media with a pinch of salt,
launch in Tsuen Wan priced at a record of especially from industry stakeholders with
over HK$20,000 per square foot were all sold vested interest.
out by the end of the day.
By guest contributor Property Soul, a
When was the last time we saw this in successful property investor, blogger, and
Singapore? author of the No B.S. Guide to Property
Investment.
Foreigners may be deterred from buying