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GREATWALL
SECURITIES
CO.,LTD
20082
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
2011 11 21
4G
LTE (86-10) 88366060-8756
liush@cgws.com
S1070511050001
ARPU
ARPU
4G (86-10) 88366060-8876
LTE
2011 10 14 GSA 21
35 FDD-LTE GSA
87 248 LTE 21
63 2012 103 12EPS 13EPS
0809 LTE
5%
8% 20.00%
430
10%
2012-2014 CAGR 18% 1.
--000063
CAGR 12% 2014
2011 _2011-10.27
15% 35% 2. TD5
2010 20 6.8% --3001342011
_2011.10.15
3. 4G
--0000632011
_2011.08.31
4. 4G
--000063
4G A
2011
2011-2013 EPS 1.05 1.22 1.43 _2011.08.12
2011-2013 EPS 0.92 1.2 1.5 5. 2011
_2010-11-12
1
- http://bg.panlv.net
1 ...................................................... 5
2 LTE 4G .......................................... 8
2.1 LTE ................................................. 8
2.2 LTE FDD LTE TDD ..................................... 12
3 Why LTE .................................................... 16
3.1 ................ 16
3.2 ....................................... 17
3.3 ARPU ................... 19
4 LTE .......................................... 27
4.1 LTE Rel.8 2009 Rel.10 2011 9 .... 27
4.2 , LTE TDD
WiMAX unpaired ..................................... 28
4.3 2011 -2012 LTE
TD-SCDMA/LTE TDD 2013 ............... 31
4.4
LTE ................... 34
4.5 ...... 36
4.6 LTE LTE .... 43
4.7 LTE FDD 2012-2014 , LTE
TDD 2013 ...................................... 46
5 LTE ............................ 46
6 LTE 4%-6% . 47
7 ... 49
8 A ................................... 59
2
- http://bg.panlv.net
1IMT-2000 ........................................................................................ 9
2 ....................................................................................... 11
33GPP ...................................................................................... 12
4WCDMA ........................................................................................................ 13
5TD-SCDMA .................................................................................................. 13
6LTE FDD ( 1) ................................................................................. 14
7LTE TDD ( 2) ................................................................................. 14
8 3G ............................................................................. 17
9 ............................................................................... 17
10Verizon wireless ARPU .................................. 22
11Verizon wireless ................................ 23
12Verizon wireless data .............................................. 24
13Verizon wireless AT&T ......................................... 25
14AT&T ARPU .................................................................. 25
15Vodafone ARPU ......................................................... 25
16 ARPU ................................................................................... 26
17LTE release 8 ................................................................................. 27
18FDD(paired) TDD (unpaired) ..................................................... 30
19LTE ...................................................................................... 34
20TD-SCDMA ............................................................................ 35
21LTE () .............................................................. 40
22 LTE ......................................................................................... 41
23ALU LTE .............................................................................................. 42
24LTE .................................................................................. 47
2516 ........................................................................ 48
26 Ericsson,Huawei ZTE (USD) ............................. 50
27LTE Essential Patents 2011.11 .................................................. 50
28EricssonHuawei ZTE ................................ 51
292003-2010 .................................................................. 57
302000-2010 .................................................................................. 58
312002-2010 .......................................................... 58
32ITU 2.6GHz ........................................................................ 74
1IMT-Advanced ...................................................................................... 10
2LTE LTE-Advanced .................................................................. 11
3LTE FDD LTE TDD ................................................................................ 15
4 3G ..................................................................................................... 18
5 ............................................................................... 18
6 ............................................................................................... 19
7 3G ................................................................. 19
8 ....................................................... 20
3
- http://bg.panlv.net
4
- http://bg.panlv.net
1
LTE 4G LTE
LTE LTE
LTE
A
1. LTE 4G
LTE FDD LTE TDD LTE TDD LTE FDD 90%LTE TDD
LTE FDD 90%
4G LTE TDD
TD-SCDMA
2. Why LTE
LTE 4G
ARPU
Voice ARPU ARPU
Voice ARPU ARPU
LTE ARPU
LTE 4G
Verizon
AT&T AT&T 3G AT&T
5
- http://bg.panlv.net
AT&T
LTE 4G
3. LTE
, LTE TDD
WiMAX unpaired
LTE
LTE LTE
4. LTE
LTE TDD
GPS
LTE 5 singleran
LTE 3G 4
3G
6
- http://bg.panlv.net
LTE 3G LTE
RRU
femtocell
LTE LTE
LTE 3G 2G LTE
VoIP IMS
RCS IMS
5. LTE
3G
2008
5% LTE
20%
8% 2012-2014
2005-2008 10%
4%-6%
6.
3G GSM 3G
2012-2014
CAGR 18% 12% 2014
15% 35%
7. A
4G A
2011-2013 EPS 1.05 1.22 1.43 , PE
18 15 13 2011-2013 EPS 0.92 1.2 1.5
PE 24 18 15
7
- http://bg.panlv.net
2 LTE 4G
2.1 LTE
frequency division
multiple accessFDMA 50km
120kHz
AMPS ETACS 450 NMT 450
TAOS
2001 12 31
Global System for Mobile Communications
GSM ETSI ,
GSM
GSM 1982 CEPT 1989
ETSI CEPT 1990 GSM 1991
Radiolinja 20 90
ITU(International Telecommunication
Union 1865 5 1947
10 ITU
ITU 189
, 620 , 100 ) 1980
2000 IMT-2000
International Mobile Telecommunications
IMT-2000 3GPP, 3GPP2,
UWCC ITU IMT-2000
8
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1IMT-2000
IMT-2000
TD-SCDMA
UMTS FDD CDMA2000 EDGE DECT
UMTS TDD
ITU
CDMA2000 LTE
WiMAX TDD
WiMAX WiMAX
GSM
ITU
IMT-2000 4G
RA-07 2007 10 15 - 19 103
9
- http://bg.panlv.net
9 20 ITU-R 600
(RA-07)
, OFDMAOrthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access
IMT-2000 IMT-Advanced IMT-2000
4G
IMT-2000 IMT-Advanced
ITU-R M.2134 :
1IMT-Advanced
IMT-Advanced
ITU
IMT-Advanced IMT-2000
ITU IMT-2000 IMT-Advance3GPP3GPP2
SDO ITU 3GPP
2
LTE
10
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
2LTE LTE-Advanced
LTE LTE-Advanced
3GPP
11
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3GPP
33GPP
3GPP
12
- http://bg.panlv.net
4WCDMA
3GPP
W TD-SCDMA
TD-SCDMA
WCDMA
5TD-SCDMA
3GPP
13
- http://bg.panlv.net
TDD DwPTS
GP UpPTS
TD-SCDMA DwPTS+GP+UpPTS
0.275ms(0.675ms)
WCDMA TD-SCDMA 3G
TD-SCDMA WCDMA
WCDMA
TD-SCDMA TD-SCDMA
TD-SCDMA
6LTE FDD ( 1)
#0 #1 #2 #3 #18 #19
One subframe
3GPP
7LTE TDD ( 2)
One radio frame, Tf = 307200Ts = 10 ms
One slot,
Tslot=15360Ts 30720Ts
3GPP
FDD 1 TDD 2
subframe( ) 1ms, TDD
DwPTS+GP+UpPTS 1ms, TD-SCDMA WCDMA 3G
LTE FDD LTE TDD
14
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15
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2. TDD 3G TDD
TDD 3G
3. TDD TDD
FDD
LTE TDD
FDD
LTE
3 Why LTE
3.1
2G 3G
4G
LTE-Advanced 3G
3G
16
- http://bg.panlv.net
8 3G
10000 300
9000
250
8000
7000
200
6000
5000 150
4000
100
3000
2000
50
1000
0 0
1H2010 2H2010 3H2010 4H2010 1H2011 2H2011 3H2011
3G() 3GM
3GM 3GARPU
(3GM)
2010
Ericsson
2013-2016
3.2
3G
17
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
4 3G
TD-SCDMA WCDMA/HSPA CDMA 2000 1X
/1XEV-DO rel 0
/HSPA+ /1XEV-DO rel A
/EV-DO rel B
1.6MHz 5MHz, 2.5MHz 2.5MHz,
2.5MHz 1.25MHz
1.25MHz
EV-DO rev B
5MHz
2Mbps 2Mbps/14.4Mbps/ 153.6kbps/2.4
28.8Mbps Mbps/3.1
Mbps/9.3Mbps
14.7Mbps
384kbps 384kbps/5.76Mbp 153.6kbps
s/11.52Mbps /153.6kbps/1.8M
bps/5.3Mbps
200kbps-800kbps
ITU-RRec
BT601
5
ITU-RRec ITU-RRec APPLE IPAD Moto Xoom
ITU-RRec ITU-RRec
BT601 Low BT601 Main BT601 BT601 High
Level Level High-14 0L Level
evel
352x240 720x480 1024*768 1280*800 1440x1080 1920x1080
24 24 24 24 24 24
30 / 30 / 30 / 30 / 30 / 30 /
MPEG- H.264 MPEG- H.264 MPEG- H.264 MPEG- H.264 MPEG- H.264 MPEG- H.264
2 (102: 2 (102: 2 (102: 2 (102: 2 (102: 2 (102:
( 25: 1) 25: 1) 25: 1) 25: 1) 25: 1) 25: 1)
) 1 1 1 1 1 1
2.3Mb 0.56M 9.4mb 2.3Mb 21.6M 5.3Mb 28.1M 6.9Mb 42.7M 10.5M 56.9M 13.9M
ps bps ps ps bps ps bps ps bps bps bps bps
18
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GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
6
VoIP 100kbps
2Mbps
// 2Mbps
VoIP 100kbps
IPTV 50kbps
H.264
High-1440Level(HDTV) 10.5Mbps , HSPA/HSPA+
1/5-1/7() HSPA+
4.11Mbps-5.76Mbps,
3G
3G 2Mbps
LTE/LTE-Advanced 100Mbps/1Gbps
100M
10Mbps/user 3D
verzion wireless LTE LTE will also
offer new ways to deliver live video feeds from on-location news reporters,
mobile webcams and remote surveillance cameras. In addition, LTE will make
wireless HD video possible, allowing first responders and remote medical
providers to send and receive high-quality images quickly and efficiently.
LTE 3G
3G
LTE 4G
3.3 ARPU
3G
7 3G
NTT DoCoMo WCDMA 2001 10 Japan
19
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
3G
Manx Telecom( WCDMA 2001 12 4 Isle of Man
3G
HSDPA
2005 11
2006 221
Telefnica 6.5
2010 6
HG Capital
2.32
)
SK Telecom CDMA2000 1X EVDO 2002 1 Korea
Monet Mobile CDMA2000 1X EVDO 2002 1 USA
Networks
Emtel-ltd WCDMA 2004 11 Mauritius
Bell Mobility, CDMA2000 1X EVDO 2005 Canada
SaskTelTelus
Mobitel Iraq WCDMA 2007 2 Iraq
MTNL WCDMA 2008 12 Delhi
China Mobile TD-SCDMA,WCDMA,CD 2009 01 7 China
China MA2000
Unicom,China
Telecom
3G 8 3G
3G
3G ARPU
180
8 Verizon wireless(102 million) ,
AT&T (97 million), Sprint (51 million), T-Mobile USA (34 million), TracFone
Wireless (17 million), MetroPCS (9 million), U.S. Cellular (6 million) and
Cricket Communications (6 million)
8
Operator Voice Data Technology Subscribers Ownership
Technology (in millions)
Verizon Wireless CDMA, UMTS CDMA2000, EV-DO, 102.2 (April 2011) Verizon
LTE Communications
20
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GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
CTIA
Verizonwireless 2009 Alltel 3
CDMA2000 WCDMA
CDMA2000 WCDMA 1.3 CDMA
verizon wireless LTE
TracFone Sprint LTE WiMAX
77% LTE 3GPP LTE
Verizon wireless
Verizon wireless 3G
2002 7 3G Express Network
3G 144kbps 40kbps 60 kbps
4
Verizon 3G
9Verizon wireless 3G
retail customer / / $99.99/m
150min/m $35/m / /
400min/m $55/m / /
600min/m $75/m / /
Enterprise customers / / 10MB $35/m
/ / 20MB $55/m
/ / 40MB $75/m
21
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Verizon
CTIA
2001 320 /
$55/m
2002 $38000/$3170/m
2%
Verizon 3G Kyocera, LG
Audiovox
60.00 160%
Verizon
2. data voice
data voice data
3. ARPU Voice / 02
5%-8% 2010 ARPU
2002 70%
data ARPU
5%-8%
data
verizon wireless
2010 ARPU We expect that the
introduction of new smartphones, including the iPhone 4, and our suite
of 4G LTE devices will contribute to an increase in our average revenue
per user (ARPU) for data. However, we expect to continue to experience
sequential declines in our overall average voice revenue per user due
to the ongoing impact of customers seeking to optimize the value of
our voice plans. We expect that our future service revenue growth will
be substantially derived from data revenue growth as we continue to
expand the penetration of our wireless data offerings and increase our
sales and usage of innovative wireless smartphone and other
data-capable devices.
11Verizon wireless
100 200%
90 180%
80 160%
70 140%
120%
60
100%
50
80%
40
60%
30 40%
20 20%
10 0%
0 -20%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
million service Billion
% service %
Verizon
23
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1. 3G ARPU
ARPU verizon ARPU
ARPU ARPU 2004
2. ARPU ARPU
ARPU 2002 3G
2003 ARPU 136% 2010
17% ARPU 1% 2006
05 data ARPU
wireless data 06
million
Wireless data million
Wireless data
Wireless data service%
Verizon
4. ARPU
24
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
25
20
15
10
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
VerizonAT&T
Verizon AT&T 5 3G
2005 2010 data ARPU
voice ARPU ARPU
Vodafone Vodafone 2002 10 3G 2010
LTE LTE Samsung GT-B3740 USB
ARPU
voice ARPU($) ARPU(%) combine voice and data ARPU ($) voice ARPU YOY (%)
data ARPU YOY (%) combine voice and data ARPU YOY (%)
data ARPU % voice ARPU(%)
AT&T Vodafone
25
- http://bg.panlv.net
NTTDOCOMO
ARPU VOICE
ARPU NTTDOCOMO LTE
NTTDOCOMO 2010 12 24 LTE Xi
NTTDOCOMO 2007 LTE 2007 7 2008 3
250 Mbps 3
LTE TDD KDDI,Softbank ARPU
ARPU
16 ARPU
250
200
150
100
50
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-50
GSM
CDMA 3G
3G ()
(GSM) (CDMA)
3G
1.
Voice ARPU
ARPU Voice ARPU
ARPU LTE ARPU
2. LTE 4G ARPU
Verizon AT&T
AT&T 3G AT&T
AT&T
26
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4 LTE
3G LTE 4G
LTE
3-4
LTE
3GPP
17LTE release 8
3GPP
27
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LTE release 8 4G 4G
ITU LTE release 10 802.16m
2012 LTE release 8
4G
LTE
3GPP R8 LTE
CSFB LTE 2G/3G
LTE 3GPP
One Voice One
Voice IMS
LTE VoIP VoLTE
2011 2 Verizon VoLTE
2011 VoLTE 2011 CSFB
LTE 2012 LTE LTE 2G/3G
VoLTE
LTE release 8 4G
LTE release 8 2009
LTE release 10 4G LTE
release 8
4.2
WRC-07
3.4-3.6 GHz band (no global allocation, but accepted by many countries)
IMT
Region1
CEPT ETSI region2
CITEL FCC Region3
CCSA ARIB
IMT
IMT
LTE 700MHz
2.6GHz 1.8GHz
700MHz 2.6GHz 6,
7
WiMAX LTE
LTE WiMAX
Clearwire Sprint LTE TDD
2.3GHz LTE
Clearwire(WiMax ) Sprint Yota Freedom4,
Reliance Industries Aircel Softbank
29
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WiMax
3GPP217 Members vs 381 Members
LTE
30
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2013
LTE
LTE
10LTE
LTE 2008 LG
12 100Mbps,
50Mbps,
60Mbps,
20Mbps.
MDM9200
2009 Qualcomm
UMTS, HSPA+ and
3G/LTE 11 100Mbps,
LTE
50Mbps
MDM9600
CDMA2000 1X,
EV-DO Rev. B,
SV-DO, SV-LTE,
2010
UMTS, HSPA+ and
LTE.
FDD
31
- http://bg.panlv.net
20 2010
LTE 4
TDD
TI:2008 GSM/GPRS/EDGE
TD-HSPA/LTE TDD
dongle
TD-HSPA/LTE TDD
1 LTE
32
- http://bg.panlv.net
3G . 2009
2010 UMTS-HSPA+-LTE
LTEFDD LTE TDD 2011 2012
broadcomm
2010
LTEboth FDD and TDD
WCDMA GSM 2011 2012
33
- http://bg.panlv.net
4.4
LTE
11 LTE
39%
26%
18%
6%
5%
5%
PC 1%
GSA
LTE
19LTE
200 60%
56% 161
137 50%
150
98 40% 40%
100 63 30%
18% 20%
50
10%
0 0%
2011.02 2011.03 2011.06 2011.07
GSA
34
- http://bg.panlv.net
WCDMA 2004
100 2003 300 2004
1500 5 2006 2
WCDMA 315 WCDMA 5000
TD-SCDMA TD-SCDMA
LTE 2008 4 2009
4 8 90 127% 51.4
3G 2009 1 2008 4 2009 1
4
2009 4 90 266
24 2009
2009 4 563% 340
20TD-SCDMA
700 1200%
581
600 1025% 1000%
500 461
800%
400 319.98
563% 600%
300 266
294% 400%
200 134.19
90
100 196%
34.08 200%
8 2.26 127%
5.14 138%
73%
0 26% 0%
2008.04 2009.04 2009.12 2010.08 2011.05
TD-SCDMA TD-SCDMA
TD-SCDMA% TD-SCDMA%
LTE
LTE
LTE
TD-SCDMA
LTE TD-SCDMA
iphone5 LTE
LTE hype LTE
LTE
LTE 4G
35
- http://bg.panlv.net
LTE 2013
LTE TDD TD-SCDMA
LTE TDD
( MiFi
TD-SCDMA WiFi
WiFi 2011 8 LTE TDD
B593 Mobily LTE TDD
HSPA+ E586
B593 LTE TDD 10
LTE TDD 2011 LTE FDD
LTE
LTE TDD LTE TDD
LTE TDD LTE TDD TDD
)
4.5
LTE LTE
GSM/UMTS/LTE700MHz/2.3GHz/2.6GHz
LTE LTE
LTE
36
- http://bg.panlv.net
12 LTE
2009 2010 2011
LTE
Ericsson 4 8 27
(RBS 6000)
Verizon, AT&T- AT&T - USA;
Metro PCS, DNA -
NTT MetroPCSNTT Finland; CMHK
DoCoMo and DocomoTDC - Hong Kong;
TeliaSonera TeliaSonera LGU+ - South
Verizon Korea;
Wireless T-Mobile -
- Hungary;
MetroPCS -
USA; NBN Co -
Australia;
NetAmerica
Alliance -
USA;
NTTDoCoMo -
Japan;SK
Telecom -
Korea ogers
- Canada; TDC
- Denmark;
TeliaSonera(
Sweden,
Norway,
Finland,
Denmark,
Estonia,
Latvia,
Lithuania);
Telstra -
Australia;
Verizon
Wireless -
USA; Vodafone
- Germany
Huawei 6 18 28
SingleRAN
37
- http://bg.panlv.net
Italia;
February
15th, Telef
nica O2
Germany;
February
10th, SK
Telecom in
Korea;
February 9th,
TeliaSonera
in
Denmark/Finl
and/Estonia;
January 10th,
Mosaic
Telecom to
improve rural
broadband
experience
ZTE 1 7 23
SDR
CSLTelenor- U
(Telstra) Mobile DC
CSL HSPA+/LTE
LTE
FDD/TDD
Telenor
5000
HSPA+/LTE
LTE
Mobitel
ALU 1 7 15
End-to-End
4G LTE Verizon AT&TVerizon AT&TVerizon
Solution Wireless Wireless Wireless
Vimpelcom Vimpelcom;
Telefonica
NEC 0 2 2
39
- http://bg.panlv.net
KDDIZain-
Samsung 0 1 8
Smart LTE
Cellular SK
solution
South in US Telecom,KDDI
in Japan,
MetroPCS and
CellularSout
h in US and
Mobily in
Saudi Arabia
Fujitsu 0 1 1
LTE
21LTE ()
1
Ericsson
8 2 RBS 6000
27 Huawei
15
SingleRAN
NSN
Flexi Multiradio Base Station)
ZTE
23 (SDR)
28 ALU
(End-to-End 4G LTE Solution)
Samsung
(Smart LTE solution)
NEC
44
Fujitsu
40
- http://bg.panlv.net
samsung NEC
NSN>Huawei>Ericsson> ZTE>ALU
NSN
NSN moto 50
LTE TDD LTE
Ericsson,
WCDMA LTE
22 LTE
Ericsson
ZTE
WCDMA 2011
WCDMA LTE
3G
ALU
2006
ALU
lightradio
41
- http://bg.panlv.net
23ALU LTE
ALU
LTE (trial)trial
trial
LTE LTE trial
13 LTE trial
LTE trials
2011
NSN 25+
March 25th, China Mobile
2010
Dec 17th, HD TV broadcasts via LTE pilot networks
of Telefnica O2 in Germany
Dec 1st, KPN in the Netherlands
Nov 25th, Telefonica in Czech Republic
Oct 19th, First LTE TDD call in India
Sept 22nd, MegaFon in Russia
Sept 21st, China Mobile in China
Aug 24th, Telecom Italia in Italy
Aug 13th, China s Ministry of Industry and
Information Technology in China
Aug 9th, O2 in Germany
July 15th, Optus in Australia
June 18th, Telstra in Australia
May 31st, China Mobile in China
April 16th, China Mobile in China
April 12th, Chungwa in Taiwan
April 9th, Taiwan university
42
- http://bg.panlv.net
Huawei 40-50
Ericsson
ZTE 40
ALU 65+
2011 10 14 GSA 21
35 LTE FDD
14LTE
Country Operator Launched
Norway TeliaSonera 15.12.09
Sweden TeliaSonera 15.12.09
Uzbekistan MTS 28.07.10
Uzbekistan UCell 09.08.10
Poland Mobyland & CenterNet 07.09.10
USA MetroPCS 21.09.10
Austria A1 Telekom Aust ia 05.11.10
Sweden TeleNor Sweden 15.11.10
Sweden Tele2 Sweden 15.11.10
Hong Kong CSL Limited 25.11.10
43
- http://bg.panlv.net
GSA
63
15LTE trial
Country Operator
Abkhaz Aquafon
Angola Unitel
Angola Moviel
Argentina Telefonica
Argentina Personal
Belarus BeST (Life)
Belarus MTS
Belgium Mobistar
Belgium Telenet
Belgium KPN Base
Bolivia Entel Movil
Brazil Claro
Brazil Oi
Brazil Sao Paulo Military Police
Brazil Army trials planned, pending approval
Bulgaria M-Tel
Canada Wind Mobile
Costa Rica ICE study phase
Czech Republic O2 (Telefonica)
Dominican Republic Orange Dominicana
44
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45
- http://bg.panlv.net
GSA
LTE
ARPU
LTE
LTE rel8-10 2.6GHz 700MHz
LTE FDD LTE
trial
LTE FDD 2012-2014 , LTE
TDD 2013
5 LTE
LTE 3G
LTE TDD
GPS
LTE 5 singleran
LTE 3G 4
46
- http://bg.panlv.net
3G
LTE 3G LTE
RRU
femtocell
LTE LTE
LTE 3G 2G
LTE VoIP IMS
RCS IMS
6 LTE
4%-6%
2012-2014 LTE FDD iSuppli
2010-2014 LTE 108% 2014 LTE
279 2011 38
24LTE
30 2
187.50%
1.8
25
1.6
153.33%
1.4
20
1.2
110.53%
15 1
0.8
10
0.6
0.4
5
21.30%0.2
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
iSuppli
4G
47
- http://bg.panlv.net
16
2000 2010 8
2516
160.0 0.3
-0.2
40.0
20.0 -0.3
-37%
0.0 -0.4
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
16
1.2.
3G
2000-2001 2002 3G
2004-2007 2008 2008
2009 3G 2009
2007 20%2010
LTE
80%
50%
40% 10%
2000-2001 3G
3G 2004-2006
2008-2009 3 LTE
3G
48
- http://bg.panlv.net
2008
5% LTE
20% 8%
2012-2014
2005-2008 10%
4%-6%Gartner 2010-2015 4.2%
2013
2012-2014 CAGR 4%-6% 2009
2% 2010 1%
7
LTE
3G 3G
1.
2010
37% 1.5
49
- http://bg.panlv.net
2. 3G 3GPP
LTE
3GPP LTE ETSI LTE
1 3
Qualcomm
Nokia Siemens
Networks 3.0%
NOKIA Corporation
InterDigital Patent
4.7%
Holdings 10.5%
LG Electronics Inc.
4.9%
ZTE Corporation
Huawei
5.7%
Technologies
NTT
Co., Ltd. 9.4%
DOCOMO, INC.
5.8%
Motorola Mobility InterDigital
Inc. 6.6% Technology Corp.
8.8%
Samsung
Ericsson 8.7%
Electronics Co, LTD
7.7%
Qualcomm Incorporated InterDigital Patent Holdings Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.
InterDigital Technology Corp. Ericsson Samsung Electronics Co, LTD
Motorola Mobility Inc. NTT DOCOMO, INC. ZTE Corporation
LG Electronics Inc. NOKIA Corporation Nokia Siemens Networks
Panasonic Corporation ALCATEL-LUCENT NEC Corporation
Nortel Networks Ltd Sharp Corporation Others
ETSI
LTE IPR
3GPP2
50
- http://bg.panlv.net
3G
28EricssonHuawei ZTE
40 30.0%
35
25.0%
30
20.0%
25
20 15.0%
15
10.0%
10
5.0%
5
0 0.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
172011
2011.09.28 LTE TDD
LTE TD-SCDMAGSM
TDD/TD-SCDMA/GSM LTE TDD/TD-
SCDMA/GSM
LTE TDD2/3G
LTE TDDLTE
TDD
2011.09.07 40MHz
80WLTE TDDRRU
LTE TDD RRU RRU220MHz LTE TDD
480W
30%
LTE
TCO
2011.08.23 50MHz
RRU TD-SCDMA/LTE TDDRRURRU
30% E2320MHz~2370MHz 2
20MHzLTE TDD10MHz6
TD-SCDMA2
*50W30%
TDS/TDL
51
- http://bg.panlv.net
2011.08.16
LTE TDD LTE TDD/TD-SCDMA/GSM
2010
LTE TDD
LTE
TDD
LTE TDD
2011.07.11 LTE
LTE TDD 2G/3G TDD2G/3GLTE
TDDGSM/UMTS/CDMA EV-DO
LTE TDD
LTE TDDLTE TDD
2011.07.04 LTE
LTE ZXSDR BS8920
LTE
30%
30%
LTE
TCO
LTE
2011.06.16 CDMA/LTE
CDMA/LTE 4T4R 4T4R44
MIMO Multiple
Input Multiple Output
2x24x4 MIMO
2011.04.08 LTE TDD LTE
TDD6
LTE TDD
LTE TDD
52
- http://bg.panlv.net
2011.02.17
MAB MAB(Multiple Access
Binding Solution)MAB
All-Join
2011.02.15 C-RAN
TCO 10
40% C-RANC-RAN
CAPEXOPEX
TCO 40%
ZTE
3. 3G 2005
LTE LTE
43%trial 3G
LTE
182011
2011.11.10 Frost & Sullivan
Frost&sullivan 2011
Frost&sullivan
2011
2011
2011.11.10 Frost & Sullivan
Frost&Sullivan 2011LTE
2011LTE LTE
2011.05.23 - CC T V
CC Rheinland Nederland B.V.
CC
53
- http://bg.panlv.net
Brightsight,
2011.03.28
CTIA 2011 CDMAZTE Gecko
CTIA
CTIA 2011
ZTE
19LTE TDD
/
430
iSuppli 2011 6
2010 624
624
430 10%
3G 3G
54
- http://bg.panlv.net
20WCDMA
Network launches* 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
WCDMA 9 50 41 47 53 78 65 47
HSPA 2 97 80 82 75 59
HSPA+ 47 64
Total 9 50 43 144 133 160 187 170
YOY 456% -14% 235% -8% 20% 17% -9%
GSA
*2004 CDMA2000 WCDMA
2004 CDMA
WCDMA
WCDMA 3G
2004-2006
212003-2010
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Ericsson(SEK B) 117.7 132.0 151.8 179.8 187.8 208.9 206.5 203.3
YOY -19.2% 12.1% 15.0% 18.4% 4.4% 11.2% -1.1% -1.5%
Moto(USD B) 23.2 31.3 35.3 42.9 36.6 30.2 18.2 19.3
YOY -15.1% 35.2% 12.6% 21.5% -14.5% -17.7% -39.8% 6.2%
ALU(USD B)** 14.2 15.2 14.0 15.4 24.4 25.0 21.1 21.2
YOY -9.5% 7.5% -8.3% 10.5% N/A** 2.4% -15.4% 0.4%
Nortel(USD B) 10.2 9.5 10.5 11.4 8.0 7.6 3.5 0.6
YOY -7.4% -6.6% 10.4% 8.7% -30.3% -4.3% -54.7% -82.0%
NSN(EUR B)*** 5.6 6.4 6.6 7.5 13.4 15.3 12.6 12.7
YOY -14.0% 14.4% 2.0% 13.6% N/A*** 14.3% -17.9% 0.7%
Huawei(USD B) 2.7 3.8 6.0 8.5 12.8 18.3 21.8 29.0
YOY 26.3% 42.4% 56.1% 42.1% 51.1% 42.8% 18.9% 33.0%
ZTE (CNY B) 16.0 22.7 21.6 23.2 34.8 44.3 60.3 70.3
YOY 45.7% 41.5% -4.9% 7.6% 49.8% 27.3% 36.1% 16.6%
Total(USD B)**** 78.5 92.6 101.4 119.7 134.6 141.3 123.1 129.9
YOY -11.9% 17.9% 9.6% 18.0% 12.5% 5.0% -12.9% 5.5%
*2004 CDMA2000 WCDMA 2004 CDMA WCDMA
WCDMA 3G
** ALU2003-2006
***NSN2003-2006 Nokia
****
2004 2006
2004-2006
55
- http://bg.panlv.net
222003-2010
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Ericsson(SEK B) -11.2 26.7 33.1 35.8 30.7 16.3 5.9 16.5
E -9.5% 20.2% 21.8% 19.9% 16.3% 7.8% 2.9% 8.1%
Moto(USD B) 1.2 2.2 4.6 4.1 0.4 0.0 -0.5 0.8
M 5.4% 7.1% 13.1% 9.6% 1.2% -0.1% -2.7% 4.1%
ALU(USD B) -0.3 1.4 1.3 0.9 -1.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.0
A -2.3% 9.1% 9.1% 5.6% -4.0% -0.3% -0.6% 0.0%
Nortel(USD B) 0.3 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 -0.3
Nor 3.2% -1.7% -0.4% -0.3% 7.0% 10.5% 2.9%
NSN(EUR B) -0.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 -1.3 -0.3 -1.6 -0.7
NSN -3.9% 13.7% 13.1% 10.9% -9.8% -2.0% -13.0% -5.5%
Huawei(USD B) 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.1 4.6
H 19.0% 18.0% 14.0% 7.3% 9.7% 12.9% 14.1% 15.9%
ZTE (CNY B) 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.4 1.0 1.3 2.1 2.6
Z 4.9% 5.2% 4.8% 1.7% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7%
Total(USD B) -0.1 9.6 13.1 12.2 4.3 5.3 1.5 7.1
T -0.2% 10.4% 12.9% 10.2% 3.2% 3.7% 1.2% 5.5%
56
- http://bg.panlv.net
292003-2010
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
T E A
NSN H Z
2004 Telfort 2
WCDMA 2005 20 3G
2003 2006
19.0% 7.3%
2002 2006
76% 2002 26% 65%
2010 15.86%
2006 2006 2010 36%
57
- http://bg.panlv.net
302000-2010
200000.00 1.4
180000.00
1.2
160000.00
1
140000.00
0.8
120000.00
100000.00 0.6
80000.00
0.4
60000.00
0.2
40000.00
0
20000.00
0.00 -0.2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Huawei
3G
LTE
2009-2010
2011
2003
4G --0000632011
312002-2010
300 50%
250 45%
200
40%
150
35%
100
50 30%
0 25%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
() (%)
Huawei
58
- http://bg.panlv.net
2012-2014 4%-6%
2011-2014
232011-2014
2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E
(USD B) 7.0 10.3 10.4 12.3 14.1 15.8 17.4
(%) 17% 27% 26% 28% 31% 33% 35%
(USD B) 2.8 4.4 3.7 4.4 5.3 6.4 7.4
(%) 7% 11% 9% 10% 12% 13% 15%
Total (USD B) 41.64 38.64 40.11 43.00 45.15 47.86 50.25
2014 15%
35%2012-2014 CAGR 18%
12%
3G GSM 3G
2012-2014
CAGR 18% 12% 2014
15% 35%
8 A
A
1. LTE
2.
2003-2006
24
2011E 2012E 2013E
() 87424 112492 145550
+/- 24.4% 28.7% 29.4%
() 3620 4208 4911
+/- 11.4% 16.2% 16.7%
EPS() 1.052 1.223 1.428
59
- http://bg.panlv.net
18 15 13
1.
2. 2011
50%
12%
3. 5%
2010 33
2010 20 2 ODU 15
RRU 45
10
4. 2010 20 401
5% 6.8%
25()
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Commscope (Andrew) 753.9 711.9 691 617.7 600 30.0%
2010
Powerwave 565.08 571.53 364.17 280.01 14.0%
128.78 162.55 221.98 212.81 155.89 7.8%
49.01 74.51 92.29 135.90 6.8%
MOBI 26.145 53.7075 61.2675 70.56 88.83 4.4%
5.04 27.41 34.97 64.10 46.78 2.3%
(RFS,Elcoteq) 693.00 34.6%
Total 2000.4
60
- http://bg.panlv.net
26
2011E 2012E 2013E
() 1213 1673 2221
+/- 40.6% 37.9% 32.8%
() 294 383 481
+/- 17.2% 30.2% 25.7%
EPS() 0.92 1.20 1.50
24 18 15
61
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
1 3G
W-CDMA
CDMA2000
TD-SCDMA
WiMAX
2 3GPP
3GPP
62
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
Partners (SDO&MRP)
SDOA recognized Standards Organization which has been accepted as aPartner in 3GPP
ETSI
()ARIB()TTC ()TTA ()ATIS () 3GPP 2005
3GPP CCSA ()
MRP: A Partner invited by the Organizational Partners to participate in 3GPP to offer advice and
to bring into 3GPP a consensus view of market requirements. : 3G AmericasFemtoForumFMCA
Global UMTS TDD AllianceGSA/GSM Association
Individual members
3GPP () SDO
3GPP individual number 3GPP 3GPP
individual member
ITU Representatives
ITU ITU
Observers
Guests
alphabetical order)
63
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
64
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
Cellular
GTC Wireless GSM Unknown Atrium Wireless
Partners, LLC
i-wireless CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO Unknown Kroger
i wireless GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Iowa Wireless
Serivces
Immix GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Immix
Indigo Wireless GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Indigo Wireless
Jitterbug Wireless CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO Unknown Jitterbug Wireless
Jolt Wireless GSM Unknown Jolt Wireless
KTC GSM GPRS Unknown Kaplan Telnet
Liberty Wireless CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO Unknown TelePlus
Enterprises, Inc.
Lightyear Wireless CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO 0.060(2010 July) Lightyear Network
Solutions
Locus Mobile GSM, CDMA Unknown Locus
Telecommunications
Long Lines Wireless GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Long Lines
Lucky Wireless CDMA Unknown Lucky Wireless
MetroPCS CDMA CDMA2000, LTE 8.881(May 2011) MetroPCS
Communications,
Inc.
Mid-Tex Cellular GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Mid-Tex Cellular
Mobal Freedom GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Mobal
Communications
NationPCS CDMA CDMA2000 Unknown Nation PCS A
division of Xila
Telecom Group LLC
Movida Wireless CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO 0.267(2008 March) Movida
Communications,
Inc.
NEP Wireless GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown North-Eastern
Pennsylvania
Telephone
Nex-Tech Wireless CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO Unknown Nex-Tech
nTelos CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO 0.432(April 2011) nTelos Holdings
Corp.
66
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
2010)
Tru GSM, UMTS, HSDPA GPRS, EDGE, UMTS, Unknown Software Cellular
HSPA Network Ltd (North
America)
Trumpet Mobile CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO Unknown Affinity Mobile
Tyo Mobile GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown IDT Corp.
Union Wireless GSM GPRS Unknown Union Telephone
U.S. Cellular CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO 6.033(May 2011) U.S. Cellular
Corporation
Verizon Wireless CDMA, UMTS CDMA2000, EV-DO, 102.2(April 2011) Verizon
LTE Communications
(55%) and Vodafone
(45%)
Viaero Wireless GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Viaero Wireless
Virgin Mobile USA CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO Unknown Sprint Nextel
West Central GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown West Central
Wireless Wireless
Westlink GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown Westlink
Communications
XIT Communications GSM GPRS, EDGE Unknown XIT Communications
Xtreme Mobile CDMA CDMA2000, EV-DO Unknown Xteme Mobile
CTIA
4 Verizon 3G
The Eastern seaboard, including other major Northeast regions: Norfolk, VA to Washington, DC,
Baltimore, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, New York, including Albany, Buffalo and Rochester,
through to Boston in Portland, Maine; and Burlington, Waterbury and Montpelier in Vermont
Midwest: Chicago, Illinois and Gary, Indiana, St. Louis; several locations throughout Ohio
including: Columbus, Akron, Toledo and Cleveland; in the greater Kansas City area, including
Overland Park, Topeka and St. Joseph, Missouri, and in Wichita; major markets in and around
Detroit, Michigan including Lansing and Ann Arbor and Milwaukee's metro area
Major Texas markets: Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston, Austin, San Antonio, Corpus Christi, McAllen
and Brownsville
The east and west coasts of Florida: Miami, Ft. Lauderdale, Boca Raton, West Palm Beach, Lakeland,
Tampa/St. Petersburg, Key West and the greater Orlando area
West: in the technology-savvy Silicon Valley and San Francisco Bay Area of Northern California;
Salt Lake City, Utah; in Portland, Oregon; throughout all of Southern California, including
68
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
the cities of Los Angeles, San Bernardino, San Diego and Palm Springs
5 AT&T
28AT&T
2002 GPRS "Project Genesis"
2004.10 Cingular Wireless LLC 419 AT&T
4600 Cingular logo
2004 GPRS
2005.11 CEO Ed Whitacre, CEO AT&T logo Cingular
logo
200512 WCDMA
2006.12 WCDMA
2007 iphone
2009 WCDMA HSUPA
2010 HSUPA HSPA+
2011 LTE : Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio
2011.09.20 LTE 15 LTE
700 AT&T 4G/LTE HTC
Jetstream 10.1 WXGA Android 3.1
1.5GHz 1080P AT&T USB Momentum
4GAT&T Elevate 4GAT&T USB Adrenaline
AT&T
6 700Mhz
700MHz 2011 7
1. Auction 73http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/default.htm?job=auction_summary&id=73
69
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
29Auction 73
Date Auction 73 began on
1/24/2008
and closed on
3/18/2008
(See Public Notice DA 07-4171)
Licenses Block A: 176 Economic Area (EA) licenses
Block B: 734 Cellular Market Area (CMA) licenses
Block E: 176 Economic Area (EA) licenses
Block C: 12 Regional Economic Area Grouping (REAG) licenses
Block D: 1 nationwide license (subject to conditions respecting a
public/private partnership)
1,099 licenses total
Spectrum 698-806 MHz band (700 MHz Band)
Bandwidth 62 MHz total: 6-22 MHz per license
Block A: 12 MHz (698-704 / 728-734 MHz)
Block B: 12 MHz (704-710 / 734-740 MHz)
Block E: 6 MHz (722-728 MHz)
Block C: 22 MHz (746-757 / 776-787 MHz)
Block D: 10 MHz (758-763 / 788-793 MHz)
Winning Bidders 101
Rounds 261
Qualified Bidders 214
Licenses Won 1090
Licenses Held By FCC 9
Net Bids $18,957,582,150
Gross Bids $19,120,378,000
FCC
Verizon C 7 A 25 94
Google C FCC Verizon C
46 Google Verizon FCC
Verizon
AT&T B 227 66 AT&T 25 Aloha
Partners C
Qualcomm 10.3 BE MediaFLO TV
70
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
Block MHz Number of Aggregate Total % of Total POP Current FCC Held
Licenses PWBs Reserve Cost per Licenses
MHz-pop
Average $1.1
Wirelessstrategy
2. Auction 92http://wireless.fcc.gov/auctions/default.htm?job=auction_summary&id=92
31Auction 92
Date Auction 92 began on
7/19/2011
and closed on
7/25/2011
Licenses Block A: 2 Economic Area (EA) licenses
Block B: 14 Cellular Market Area (CMA) licenses
16 licenses total
Spectrum 698-806 MHz band ("700 MHz Band")
Bandwidth Block A: 12 MHz (698-704 / 728-734 MHz)
Block B: 12 MHz (704-710 / 734-740 MHz)
Winning Bidders 7
Rounds 30
Qualified Bidders 19
Licenses Won 16
Net Bids $19,770,250
71
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
FCC
Frequency
(a) 23052320 MHz and 23452360 MHz bands. The following frequencies are available for WCS in
the 23052320 MHz and 23452360 MHz bands:
(1) Two paired channel blocks are available for assignment on a Major Economic Area basis as follows:
Block A: 23052310 and 23502355 MHz; and
Block B: 23102315 and 23552360 MHz.
(2) Two unpaired channel blocks are available for assignment on a Regional Economic Area Grouping
basis as follows:
Block C: 23152320 MHz; and
Block D: 23452350 MHz.
(b) 746763 MHz, 775793 MHz, and 805806 MHz bands. The following frequencies are available
for licensing pursuant to this part in the 746763 MHz, 775793 MHz, and 805806 MHz bands:
(1) Two paired channels of 1 megahertz each are available for assignment in Block A in the 757
758 MHz and 787788 MHz bands.
(2) Two paired channels of 1 megahertz each are available for assignment in Block B in the 775
776 MHz and 805806 MHz bands.
(3) Two paired channels of 11 megahertz each are available for assignment in Block C in the 746
757 MHz and 776787 MHz bands. In the event that no licenses for two channels in this Block C
are assigned based on the results of the first auction in which such licenses were offered because
the auction results do not satisfy the applicable reserve price, the spectrum in the 746757 MHz
and 776787 MHz bands will instead be made available for assignment at a subsequent auction as
follows:
(i) Two paired channels of 6 megahertz each available for assignment in Block C1 in the 746752
MHz and 776782 MHz bands.
(ii) Two paired channels of 5 megahertz each available for assignment in Block C2 in the 752
757 MHz and 782787 MHz bands.
(4) Two paired channels of 5 megahertz each are available for assignment in Block D in the 758
763 MHz and 788793 MHz bands.
(c) 698746 MHz band. The following frequencies are available for licensing pursuant to this part
in the 698746 MHz band:
(1) Three paired channel blocks of 12 megahertz each are available for assignment as follows:
Block A: 698704 MHz and 728734 MHz;
Block B: 704710 MHz and 734740 MHz; and
Block C: 710716 MHz and 740746 MHz.
(2) Two unpaired channel blocks of 6 megahertz each are available for assignment as follows:
Block D: 716722 MHz; and
72
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
License period.
(a) 23052320 MHz and 23452360 MHz bands. Initial WCS authorizations for the 23052320 MHz and
23452360 MHz bands will have a term not to exceed ten years from the date of original issuance
or renewal.
(b) 698763 MHz, 776793 MHz, 775776, and 805806 MHz bands . Initial authorizations for the
698763 MHz and 776793 MHz bands will extend for a term not to exceed ten years from June 13,
2009, except that initial authorizations for a Part 27 licensee that provides broadcast services,
whether exclusively or in combination with other services, will not exceed eight years. Initial
authorizations for the 775776 MHz and 805806 MHz bands shall not exceed April 27, 2015. Licensees
that initiate the provision of a broadcast service, whether exclusively or in combination with other
services, may not provide this service for more than eight years or beyond the end of the license
term if no broadcast service had been provided, whichever period is shorter in length.
(c) 13901392 MHz band. Initial authorizations for the 13901392 MHz band will have a term not
to exceed ten years from the date of initial issuance or renewal.
(d) The paired 13921395 and 14321435 MHz bands. Initial WCS authorizations for the paired 1392
1395 MHz and 14321435 MHz bands will have a term not to exceed ten years from the date of initial
issuance or renewal.
(e) 16701675 MHz band. Initial authorizations for the 16701675 MHz band will have a term not
to exceed ten years from the date of initial issuance or renewal.
(f) [Reserved]
(g) 17101755 MHz and 21102155 MHz bands. Authorizations for the 17101755 MHz and 21102155
73
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
MHz bands will have a term not to exceed ten years from the date of initial issuance or renewal,
except that authorizations issued on or before December 31, 2009, shall have a term of fifteen years.
7 2.6GHz
2.6GHz LTE ITU Recommendation ITU-R M.1036-3
2.6GHz
1 Option 1: Preconfigured allocations of paired (FDD) and unpaired (TDD) spectrum -2x70MHz for
FDD and 50MHz for TDD;
2 Option 2: Paired spectrum only, with the uplink portion of some pairs in another undetermined
band;
3 Option 3: Flexibility - the bidders for spectrum can decide how they want to allocate the spectrum
they acquire to paired (FDD) or unpaired (TDD) operation;
32ITU 2.6GHz
ITU
option 1 option3
LTE 4
TeliasoneraTele2Telenor Hi3G
Teliasonera Telia sonera 2002
3 2009 12 15
Teliasonera 4G
TeliaSonera LTE RBS6000 LTE
74
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
Hi3G 3G
FDD FDD TDD Canada-based Craig
Wireless 2009 2 50% 50% TDD TDD
DNA, Elisa TeliaSonera 900Mhz 1800 MHz bands 2.1 GHz
FDD FDD TDD 50Mhz FDD
10Mhz 40MHz 5Mhz
20Mhz TDD 50MHz TDD
2.6G LTE ( LTE TDD 2575-2615MHz
40 ),1.5GHz1.8GHz 2.1Ghz
32
NPT 2007 11 (B) Five Arctic Telenor paired: FDD
unpaired Wireless 2*20Mhz EUR0.022/ LTE
blocks of AS, Craig paired MHz/pop; FDD TDD
2.6MHz 10MHz at Wireless spectrum unpaired:
the Systems 20MHz EUR0.029/ WiMAX
centre of Ltd., unpaired MHz/pop
CEPT the Hafslund spectrum
2.6GHz Telekom Netcom
band AS, 2*15MHz
(2570 MHz NetCom AS paired
to 2620 and spectrum
MHz). Telenor Craig
(C) Eight ASA. wireless
75
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
paired
blocks of 50MHz TDD
2x5 MHz in spectrum
the 2.6 http://
GHz band www.npt.n
(2500-254 o/ikbView
0 MHz er/Conten
paired t/105026/
with Oversikt%
2620-2660 20over%20
MHz). resultat.
(D) Three JPG
unpaired
blocks of
10 MHz
below
sub-band
B in the
2.6 GHz
band
(2540-257
0 MHz).
(E) Three
unpaired
blocks of
10 MHz at
the top
end of the
2.6 GHz
band
(2660-269
0 MHz).
15
PTS 2008 5 2500 Telenor Tele2 Telenor Paired: FDD
MHz Tele2 Telenor 5.33 EUR0.16/M LTE
-2690MHz TeliaSone Hz/pop; FDD TDD
15 ra unpaired:
Hi3G Net4mobil TeliaSone EUR0.037/ WiMAX
CEPT 14 Intel ity ra MHz/pop
FDD TeliaSone 5.63
1 ra
TDD 2X20MHz
76
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
Intel
50MHz
2 x 70
MHz FDD + Hi3G
50 MHz 15 2 X 10MHz
TDD
http://
www.pts.s
e/en-gb/I
ndustry/R
adio/Autc
tions/Lic
ences%20i
n%202500-
2690%20MH
z/
2011 3 TeliaSone TeliaSone TeliaSone
800MHz 6 raHi3G raHi3G ra
Net4Mobil Net4Mobil 8.72
ity Com ity SEK Hi3G
5*10MHz Hem 2*10Mhz 4.31
25 Netett http:// SEK
Sverige www.pts.s Net4Mobil
e/en-gb/I ity
ndustry/R 7.69
adio/Autc SEK
tions/Lic 20.72
ences-in- SEK
800-MHz-b 3.25 $
and/
2009 12 2500-2690 DNA, The Total paired: FDD
FICORA MHz,FDD Elisa and winning revenue EUR0.0032 LTE FDD
14 TeliaSone parties of the /MHz/pop;
2*5MHz ra regarding auction unpaired:
TDD 5 the was EUR0.0056
spectrum 3.797.800 /MHz/pop
10MHz for FDD euros
20 were
Elisa Oyj
(50MHz),
TeliaSone
ra
Finland
Oyj
77
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
(50MHz)
and DNA Oy
(40MHz).
The
winner of
the 50MHz
spectrum
for TDD
was
Pirkanmaa
n Verkko
Oy
http://
www.ficor
a.fi/en/i
ndex/palv
elut/palv
elutaihei
ttain/rad
iotaajuud
et/huutok
auppa.htm
l
2010 5 2500-2690 Hi3GTDC http://en Hi3G: 95 Paired: FDD
NITA MHz Telenor .itst.dk/ EUR0.154/ LTE FDD
CEPT Telia spectrum- ;TDC:44 MHz/pop;
equipment 79 unpaired:
20 /Auctions Telenor EUR0.0025
-and-call 4479 /MHz/pop
s-for-ten Telia
ders/2-5- 4519
ghz/resul
ts-of-the 1.36
-auction
2010 4 ITU Ziggo, Vodafone Vodafone Paired: FDD
OPTA option1, Tele 2, 20 EUR0.0012 LTE FDD
KPN, 2*10MHz, , /MHz/pop;
20 Vodafone Ziggo/UPC Ziggo/UPC unpaired
and 101
T-Mobile 2*20MHz
T-Mobile T-Mobile
11 KPN,
2*5MHz, , KPN Vodafone
KPN 91
78
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
2*10MHz,T T-Mobile
ele2 ,Tele2
2*20MHz 40 2
25MHz
FDD 2
40MHz
TDD
2010 5 E-Plus Vodafone 2.6G FDD
BnetzA 800MHz Telef D2 GmbH paired: LTE
2.1GHz nica O2 EUR0.022/ FDD
2.6GHz T-Mobile 1,422,503 MHz/pop; E-Plus
Vodafone ,000 euro unpaired:
2.6GHz (for a EUR0.021/
ITU total of MHz/pop TDD
option1, 12 LTE
15 blocks) TDD
Telef
nica O2
Germany
GmbH & Co.
OHG
1,378,605
,000 euro
(for a
total of
11
blocks)
Telekom
Deutschla
nd GmbH
1,299,893
,000 euro
(for a
total of
10
blocks)
E-Plus
79
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
283,645,0
00 euro
(for a
total of 8
blocks)
2011 2.6 GHz Bouygues
ARCEP 10 and 800 Telecom
MHz Free
Mobile;
Orange
France;
Socit
Franaise
du Radiot
l
phone
(SFR).
2011 8 800MHz Vodafone http://ww 2.6GHz:
Ministr 900MHz ES, Vodafone w.mityc.e EUR0
y of 2.6GHz Orange, 20MHz s/es-es/g 0.24/MHz/
Industry Yoigo(Tel 2x10MHz abinetepr pop
270MHz iaSonera 800MHz ensa/nota
), sprensa/d
ONO 40MHz ocuments/
2x20MHz npfinaliz
2.6GHz acionsuba
sta010811
http:// .pdf
www.mityc
.es/en-US
/Gabinete
Prensa/No
tasPrensa
/2011/Pag
inas/npfi
naizacion
subasta01
0811.aspx
2011 800, Linkem,
MSE 9 1800, H3G,
2000 and Vodafone
2600 Mhz Omnitel,
bands. Telecom
80
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
Italy and
Wind
Telecomun
icazioni
2011 800MHz
Ofcom 2012 2.6GHz
3/4
http://
media.ofc
om.org.uk
/2011/03/
22/ofcom-
prepares-
for-4g-mo
bile-auct
ion/
2010 10 ITU http://ww
ACMA option1 w.rtr.at/
en/tk/Spe
ktrum2600
MHz
Anatel
2010 7
ICASA
2.6GHz
3.5GHz
2011 700Mhz
Industr 2.6GHz
y Canada
2009 1 ITU Genius Genius 15 Paired: FDD
(OFTA) option1, Brand Brand EUR0.23/M LTE
15 Limited Limited Hz/pop;
CSL CSL unpaired
Limited Limited Genius
China China Brand
Mobile Mobile CSL
Hong Hong 5.19
Kong Kong 4.98
Company Company
81
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
2.6GHz
2.3GHz
HSPA
HSPA+
KCC 2011 8 800MHz Korea SK FDD
1.8GHz Telecom LTE FDD
2.1GHz SK 1800MHz
Telecom 20MHz
LG U+
KT
800MHz
10MHz
2012 FDD
(IDA) LTE FDD
(SingTel)
(StarHub)
M1QMax
PacketOne
2.3GHz/2.
6GHz
2005
2015
6
4G
83
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
IDA
2015
4G
M1
2.6GHz
LTE
DoT 2010 6 2 20Mhz Tata Infotel FDD
Telecom 28 LTE
2.3GHz Qualcomm
2.6G Vodafone 20Mhz TDD
Essar LTE
2011 Limited 20MHz TDD
Reliance 4
2012 WiMax
Limited http://ww
w.dot.gov
.in/as/Au
ction%20o
f%20Spect
rum%20for
3G%20&%20
BWA/BWA%2
0Auction%
20Results
/BWA_Auct
ion_-_Fin
al_Result
s.pdf
2010 3 2.3G MTS Rosteleco Yota
ROSKOMN VimpelCom m
84
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
8
3316
CAPEX 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
AT&T 11.5 11.2 6.8* 5.2 5.1 5.6 8.3 17.7 19.7 16.6 19.5
(Bn of Verizon () 4.3 5.0 4.4 4.6 5.6 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.5 7.2 8.4
USD) AMRICA MVIL 1.0 1.0 0.8 2.8 1.7 3.5 3.1 3.2 6.1 3.4 6.3
16.8 17.2 12.0 12.6 12.4 15.6 18.0 27.4 32.3 27.1 34.2
Total(USD)
YOY 31% 2% -30% 5% -1% 25% 16% 52% 18% -16% 26%
12.8% 13.2% 14.5% 17.0% 16.0% 17.3% 17.1% 23.9% 23.2% 19.2% 24.4%
10 CAGR 7.4%
Vodafone 0.8 21.7 5.0** 6.2 4.9 5.8 4.8 5.8 6.7 7.1 7.1
(Bn of BT(GBP) 3.7 5.0 3.9 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.5
EUR) BT 4.3 5.8 4.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.5 2.9
Telefonica 21.1 8.4 3.8*** 3.7 3.8 4.4 7.7 8.0 8.4 7.3 10.8
Deutsche 23.5 11.2 7.9 6.4 6.4 9.3 11.8 8.0 8.7 9.2 9.9
Telekom
Telenor Group 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.8 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.5
TeliaSonera 1.8 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.3
85
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
Orange 7.2 8.1 7.9 5.1 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.0 6.9 5.3 5.5
Total(USD) 84.2 82.8 44.3 35.6 35.6 43.8 52.2 49.9 53.0 50.1 54.7
YOY -2% -47% -20% 0% 23% 19% -4% 6% -5% 9%
64.3% 63.5% 53.5% 48.1% 45.8% 48.6% 49.4% 43.5% 38.1% 35.5% 38.9%
10 CAGR -4.2%
NTT Docomo 1013.0 1032.3 854.0 805.5 861.5 887.1 934.4 758.7 737.6 686.5 669.0
(Bn of KDDI 560.2 374.5 246.2 253.3 342.4 342.4 414.7 438.5 517.0 575.1 518.0
JPY) Total(USD) 19.8 17.7 13.9 13.3 15.2 15.5 17.0 15.1 15.8 15.9 15.0
YOY -11% -22% -4% 14% 2% 10% -11% 5% 1% -6%
15.1% 13.6% 16.8% 18.0% 19.6% 17.2% 16.1% 13.2% 11.4% 11.3% 10.7%
10 CAGR -2.8%
SK telecom 1794.0 1241.0 1964.0 1696.0 1607.0 1470.0 1520.0 1860.0 1920.0 1770.0 1850.0
Bn Total(USD) 1.6 1.1 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.7
of YOY 66% -31% 58% -14% -5% -9% 3% 22% 3% -8% 5%
KRW 1.2% 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2%
10 CAGR 0.3%
28.9 42.2 49.6 49.6 64.0 71.5 87.0 105.1 136.3 129.4 124.3
(Bn of 25.2 31.3 18.9 19.8 18.4 17.4 21.5 25.7 70.5 112.5 70.2
CNY) 23.6 54.0 27.0
Total(USD) 8.5 11.6 10.8 10.9 13.0 14.0 17.1 20.6 36.3 46.6 34.9
YOY 95% 36% -7% 1% 19% 8% 22% 21% 76% 28% -25%
6.5% 8.9% 13.0% 14.8% 16.7% 15.5% 16.2% 18.0% 26.1% 33.0% 24.8%
10 CAGR 15.1%
Total Total(USD) 131.0 130.4 82.7 74.0 77.6 90.2 105.7 114.7 139.0 141.2 140.4
(Bn of YOY 0% -37% -10% 5% 16% 17% 9% 21% 2% -1%
USD) 10 CAGR 0.7%
*AT&T
**Vodafone 3G 2001
*** Telefonica UMTS
86
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
IT / MBA9 IT 3 2011
3
2010 4
2010 15
S10701080711210755-8351623113760273833liux@cgws.com
S0630110060053010-88366060-886513911393598yangj@cgws.com
S1070611100006021-6168031418602109861xieyw@cgws.com
87
- http://bg.panlv.net
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
GREATWALL SECURITIES CO.,LTD
6008 16
518034
86-755-83516207
112 10
100044
86-10-88366686
http://www.cgws.com
88