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n h da ca Tng Thng Donald Trump b l ty


Trc Giang MN

1* M bi
H da l lm cho s. Ni m khng lm.

n h da ca ng Trump v mt gii php qun s b l ty. Ht hiu nghim.


Bit th, nn ng con Kim Jong-un vn cn cng ca vi nhng thi thch thc.
u mi gy cng thng vi M v cc nc trong khu vc l vic Bc Hn th
nghim ha tin lin lc a mang u n ht nhn vi mc ch nhn chm nc
M, Nam Hn v Nht Bn trong bin la nh tng tuyn b nh th.

M tuyn b s nh ph u vo Bnh Nhng nu Bc Hn th ha tin ht


nhn. Bc Hn p tr, h s th tn la hng tun, hng thng v c hng nm
na. Tht s, M khng c l do no tiu dit Bc Hn v v th v kh ht
nhn c, v c nhiu nc khc cng s hu v kh ht nhn. n h da rt nguy
him v Bc Hn c th nh ph u to ra mt cuc chin ton din m khng c
bn no mong mun c.

V vic s c gii quyt nh th no? Sau khi nghe Tp Cn Bnh ni v Bc


Hn, ch trong 10 pht thi, ng Trump kt lun: Vn Triu Tin khng d
dng nh vy u. Khng d tc l kh. Kh thc hin.

Liu Tng Thng Donald Trump c th trng tr c ng con Kim Jong-un hay
khng?

Kh lm. Cha chc c. V nu d th cc tng thng tin nhim lm c


ri. Nu Tp Cn Bnh tch cc gip th cng cn hn ch mt mc no
thi, ch khng hon ton hy b chng trnh ht nhn, l s sng ca Bc Hn.

2* Nhng h da v qun s ca M
2.1. H da qun s
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Qu bom MOAB nm xung Afghanistan* Tu sn bay USS Carl Vinson

Tu ngm ht nhn USS Michigan, va cp cng Busan

Tng Thng Donald Trump ra lnh phng 59 tn la hnh trnh Tomahawk vo


Syria, cho th tri bom ln nht MOAB (Mother Of All Bombs) vo Afghanistan.
Ngy 25-4-2017, Hi Qun M a tu ngm ht nhn Michigan, chuyn phng
tn la Tomahawk n cp bn Busan, Nam Hn. D tnh s tham gia nhm tu
sn bay USS Carl Vinson din tp tc chin.

Phi c nm bom chin lc B-52 cng c trin khai o Guam vo trn khi
cn thit. Tu sn bay USS Carl Vinson trn ng n bn o Triu Tin, i na
ng th quay li vo n Dng, cng l mt n h da.

2.2. Phn ng ca Bc Hn

Bc Hn ph trng tn la trong cuc din binh


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Bc Hn t chc din binh rm r, nhn dp k nim 105 nm, sinh nht ca Kim
Nht Thnh (Kim Il-sung) 15-4-1912 15-4-2017. Ph trng cc loi ha tin, v
ngay ngy hm sau, 16-4-2017, th nghim ha tin khi Ph Tng Thng Mike
Pence ang trn ng sang Nam Hn. Nhng th nghim tht bi. Cc chuyn gia
cho rng Bc Hn vn cn gp rt nhiu kh khn trong vic pht trin ng c x
dng nhin liu rn cho tn la i mi.

ng thi, Bnh Nhng gin d, e da s nhn chm tu sn bay USS Carl


Vinson xung y bin.

Nht bo Rodong Sinmun, c quan ngn lun ca ng Lao ng


Triu Tin, c trch dn c on vit: "Nu M v nhng k hiu
chin in cung thc hin n nh ph u liu lnh th chng
ta s ging n trng pht mnh m nht bng mt cuc tn
cng ph u trn khng, trn b cng nh trn bin v ngm
di bin m khng phi cnh bo hay bo trc

Hng thng tn TW Triu Tin KCNA (Korean Central News


Agency) (Bc Hn)

ngy 25/4 a tin, nu r rng M s phi la chn gia u


hng chnh tr v u hng qun s, trong bi cnh tnh trng
cng thng trn Bn o Triu Tin ang gia tng.

R rng l v mt qun s, Bc Hn cn thua xa M, khong cch mt tri mt


vc, th nhng v sao li t ra ng ngnh vi nhiu thch thc i vi M nh
th?

C th Kim Jong-un on bit ch l nhng e da sung do thi quen thu cy,


h da, nh n tm l ca Tng Thng Trump m thi. ng Trump tuyn b:
Vn Triu Tin khng d dng nh vy u.

2.3. Bc Hn s th tn la hng tun, hng thng v c hng nm na


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Th tn la trn b v phng t tu ngm

Mc cho nhng ch trch quc t v tnh hnh cng thng ngy cng cao vi Hoa
K, Bc Hn vn tip tc th tn la. Th trng Ngoi giao Bc Hn, ng Han
Song-ryol ni vi phng vin BBC, John Sudworth: Chng ti s tin hnh nhiu
cuc th nghim tn la hng tun, hng thng v ngay c hng nm na.

Mt cuc chin tng lc s n ra nu M c ng thi qun s. Nu M ln k


hoch qun s th chng ti s p tr bng mt cuc chin tranh ht nhn ph u
theo cch thc v bin php ca chng ti.

Trc , Ph Tng thng Mike Pence cnh bo Bc Hn ng th thch M,


ng ni: Thi k kin nhn chin lc vi Bc Hn kt thc.

Ngy 17-4-2017, Ph Tng thng M ni vi Quyn Tng thng Nam Hn, ng


Hwang Kyo-ahn: Bc Hn khng nn th thch Tng Thng Donald Trump. Ch
trong 2 tun qua c th gii u chng kin sc mnh qun s v s quyt on
ca Tng thng Trump ti Syria v Afghanistan. Tt hn ht l Bc Hn khng nn
th thch s quyt on v sc mnh ca Qun i Hoa K trong khu vc ny.

3* Nhng n h da b l ty
3.1. i vi khi NATO

Nhng li ni ca ng Trump, ng nhin l c suy ngh, c mc ch v cng


bit hu qu ca nhng tuyn b ca ng.

Trc kia ng Trump ch trch lin minh qun s NATO (North Atlantic Treaty
Organization-Minh c Bc i Ty Dng), cho l t chc ny li thi ri.
Ngha l khng cn ph hp vi thi i hin nay na.
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Ngy 12-4-2017, khi tip ng Tng Th K NATO, Jens Stoltenberg, ti Nh


Trng, Tng Thng Trump ht li ca ngi NATO khng cn li thi na.
NATO l thnh tr ha bnh v an ninh quc t.

3.2. i vi Trung Quc

Trong chin dch tranh c, ng Trump ch trch Trung Quc khng tic li. Trung
Quc l mt cng quc ti bi Chu , n cp vic lm ca ngi M v bp
bm t gi tin t. La o hi xut ng nhn dn t v trc li 800 t USD ngoi
thng vi Hoa K.

Tr li phng vn ca Reuters, ng ni: Ti cho rng h l nh v ch thao tng


tin t. i v ch lng on tin t. Gi gi nhn dn t thp gia tng xut
cng, gy thit hi cho nc M.

ng sn sng trng pht Bc Kinh bng cch nh thu cao trn hng ha nhp
cng t Trung Quc.

Quay ngc 180 . Ngy 12-4-2017, tr li phng vn ca t Wall Street Journal,


ng Trump cho rng TQ khng h ph gi ng tin ca h. ng ca ngi Tp Cn
Bnh l ngi tt, ngi yu nc thng dn. ng y rt thng minh. Phu nhn
ng y rt tuyt vi. Chng ti rt thch nhau. Ti rt thch ng y.

Chu ngoi ca Tng Thng Trump cng c dy mt bi ht ting Tu n


mng Tp Cn Bnh.

Chu ngoi Tng Thng Trump ht ting Tu* Phu nhn ng y rt tuyt vi.

Bo ch Trung Quc cho ch l nhng ngn ng ngoi giao m thi.

S thay i 180 cho thy nhng tuyn b trc kia ch l nhng li h da m


thi. M chnh ng y t lt ty ca ng.
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C l ng con Kim Jong-un on bit nhng e da v chin dch qun s chng


Bc Hn cng ch l nhng li h da cho nn khng t ra mt thi no lo ngi
v sc mnh qun s ca siu cng Hoa K nh hin nay.

Cc nh quan st ni Tng Thng Trump l ngi thay i n chng mt. Tht


ra ch l nhng n h da, nh n tm l vo i phng m phn th
ch ng, th mnh. Nh bun thng hay ni thch v gi c vi khch hng. K
ko thm mt bt hai ri th cng bn vi gi trc khi ni thch.

3.3. Phng 59 ha tin Tomahawk cng c xem nh mt n h da

Trc mt Tp Cn Bnh bn n, Tng Thng Trump ra lnh phng 59 ha tin


Tomahawk vo phi trng Syria, c xem nh trng pht v Bashar Al Assad x
dng bom ha hc.

Ch c 23 qu Tomahawk nh vo phi trng, 36 qu cn li khng bit i v u.


Phi trng b thit hi khng ng k. Syria ch sa cha s si v hot ng bnh
thng tr li sau 24 gi.

B Hillary Clinton nhn xt. ng l chng ta phi tiu dit phi trng ny.

59 ha tin Tomahawk tr gi 59 triu USD m ch gy thit hi khng ng k th


tht l ph tin ca. nh nh th th chng khc no nh phi bi Al Assad.

Nh vy vic phng ha tin Tomahawk cng c xem nh mt n h da m


thi.

4* Bc Hn th tn la
4.1. Tn la Musudan v cng li hi ca Bc Hn

Tn la tm trung Musudan
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Trong nm 2016, Bc Hn thc hin 21 v th nghim tn la. Trong quan


trng nht l tn la tm trung Musudan trn b phng di ng v tn la KN-11
phng t tu ngm.

Tn la nhin liu lng Musudan c th trong nm 2016, nhng ch thnh cng


mt trong 8 v th.

Tn la tm trung Musudan tht s l mi e da Nam Hn, Nht Bn, bao gm


nhng cn c qun s M hai quc gia ny.

i ph, M trin khai h thng khc tinh ca ha tin Bc Hn l h thng


THAAD Nam Hn.

4.2. Triu Tin c th tn cng nc M

Hi thng 10 nm 2015, c Bill Gortney, Ch huy c quan Phng Th khng


Gian Bc M, nh gi: Triu Tin c kh nng tn cng nc M bng tn
la trang b u n ht nhn.

Tuy nhin ng Gortney khng nh mt cc t tin rng: Nu tn la tm xa tn


cng nc M th chng ti hon ton ngn chn c n.

Theo Qu The Heritage th tn la mi nht ca Bc Hn l Taepodong-3 c tm


bn 13,000km, c ngha l tm st hi bao trm nc M. Trong trng hp u
n ht nhn n trn khng th sng in t ca n c th lm t lit nhng thit b
in t ca M. Nhng iu ny tuyt i khng c th xy ra v cc h thng l
chn ca M hot ng v cng c hiu qu.

5* Tn la n o
5.1. Ba giai on bay

Tn la n o (Ballistic missile) l tn la tm xa. ng i ca u n qua 3


giai on:

Giai on 1.

Tn la c phng thng ng t gin phng, bay trong bu kh quyn ca tri


t, dy khong 120km. Thi gian bay t 3 n 4 pht. Ha tin lin lc a c vn
tc 7km/giy.
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Giai on 2.

Tn la bay trong khong khng v tr. khng c sc ht ca tri t nn


mi vt khng c trng lng nng, nh khc nhau, m tt c u l lng nh
nhau. Thi gian bay ngoi khong khng v tr ko di t 15 n 25 pht. ng
bay nm ngang, xem nh song song vi mt t.

Giai on 3.

Tn la tr li bu kh quyn tri t. T cao 100km, u n lao xung theo


chiu thng ng nh vo mc tiu. Tc khong t 1 n 4km/giy.

5.2. Cc loi tn la n o

Tn la n o tm ngn (SRBM=Short-range Ballistic Missile) c tm hot ng


di 1,000 km.

Tn la n o tm trung (MRBM=Medium-range Ballistic Missile) c tm hot


ng t 1,000 km n 3,500km.

Tn la n o lin lc a (ICBM=Intercontinental Ballistic Missile) c tm hot


ng t 5,500km tr ln. Taepodong-3 ca Bc Hn c tm bn 13,000km bao ph
c nc M.

6* H thng phng th tn la tm cao giai on cui


6.1. H thng phng th tn la tm cao giai on cui (THAAD)

H thng phng th tn la tm cao giai on cui (THAAD=Terminal High


Altitude Area Defense), c qun i M ch to bn h cc tn la n o
tm ngn v tm trung.
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Lockheed Martin l nh thu chnh. Nm 2008 h thng THAAD chnh thc i vo


phc v trong qun i M. THAAD tiu dit mc tiu theo phng php tip cn
hit to kill (truy ui - tiu dit), c ngha l cc tn la nh chn khng mang
u n v ph hy cc mc bng cch p mnh vo nhau vi tc cao, c hai
u pht n.

6.2. H thng ny hot ng nh th no?

1.Qun ch phng tn la
2.H thng radar pht hin c phng v chuyn n trm ch huy v kim sot
3.Thaad ra lnh v kim sot tin trnh phng tn la ngn chn
4.B phng phng tn la ngn chn n tn la qun ch
5.Tn la qun ch b ph hy trong giai on cui ca hnh trnh, t ngoi
khong khng v tr bay tr li bu kh quyn ca tri t.
Mt xe ti b phng c th cha n tm tn la ngn chn

6.3. Nhng im yu ca h thng THAAD ca Nam Hn

1). H thng THAAD Nam Hn khng u n nh chn.

Nam Hn ch trin khai mt n v THAAD gm t 8 n 10 u n nh chn.


Trng hp Bc Hn bn hng chc hoc hng trm tn la, bao gm rt nhiu tn
la gi (khng mang u n) nh la, th THAAD Nam Hn khng tn la
nh chn.

2). H thng THAAD khng th nh chn tn la v i bc tm thp.

H thng THAAD ch nh tn la tm cao (High altitude) 150km. Tri li Bc


Hn c hng trm trng pho tm xa loi bn thp, u n 300mm c kh nng
nh vo th Seoul.

GS Chang Young-keun, t i hc Cng ngh Khng gian Hn Quc, cho bit:


Nu Bc Hn bn tn la tm trung Rodong t b phng ni Paekdu, st bin
gii Trung Quc, th THAAD s khng bo v c Seoul v vng ph cn.

3). Phi phng th phi hp mi pht huy c kh nng.

H thng THAAD phi phi hp vi nhng h thng phng th khc nh Aegis,


Patriot/PAC-3 (Patriot Advanced Capability)
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v C2BMC (C2BMC = Command, Control, Battle Management, and


Communications) mi pht huy c h thng phng th.

7* Nhng l do M khng th tn cng Bc Hn nh Syria


7.1. M khng th tn cng Bc Hn nh tn cng Syria

Theo phn tch ca t Hoa Nam Bui Sng th c mt s l do khin M khng th


tn cng qun s vo Bc Hn nh tn cng Syria. Syria, 59 ha tin hnh
trnh Tomahawk nh vo sn bay nhng khng gy thit hi no ng k cho
Syria. Syria khng c kh nng nh tr nhng Bc Hn th tri li.

Tri li, nu M tn cng Bc Hn th s gy tc hi cho Trung Quc, Nam Hn


v Nht Bn.

7.2. Trung Quc s bo v Bc Hn

1). Trung Quc c hip c h tr vi Bc Hn nm 1961. Mc d Tp Cn Bnh


c tuyn b Bc Kinh khng c ngha v bo v Triu Tin nu Bnh Nhng tip
tc theo ui chng trnh pht trin v kh ht nhn. l vi phm hip c
khng ph bin v kh ht nhn ca LHQ.

2). Nhng iu quan trng l Trung Quc rt lo s khi ch Kim Jong-un b sp


. Lc th:

1. Ngi Bc Hn s trn qua Trung Quc, to ra cuc khng hong nhn o.

2. Khi Bc Hn b sp th ch Nam Hn v M s nm st bn nch ca


Trung Quc. Bc Kinh lun coi Bc Hn l mt tri n. Mt vng m. l l
do Tp Cn Bnh phi bo v Bc Hn. Va qua Trung Quc trin khai 150,000
binh s n bin gii hai nc ngn chn ngi Bc Hn c th trn qua nc
h.

Nu Trung Quc gip M tiu dit Bc Hn th Tp Cn Bnh s thu c nhng


li ch g ca M?

Khng c. V sau khi gii quyt c bn o Triu Tin th M v Trung Quc


khng th trnh c s xung t Bin ng do bnh trng b quyn, c
h M ngoi ln a v siu cng ca gic Mng Trung Hoa.
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7.3. Nht Bn v Nam Hn u mong mun mt gii php phi qun s

Mt i t KQ/HK ngh hu, tn Sam Gardinier, tr li phng vn ca tp ch


The Atlantic, cho rng M khng th bo v Seoul t nht l 24 gi u cuc chin,
v th Nam Hn khng tn thnh mt gii php qun s i vi Bc Hn.

V Nht Bn, Th Tng Shinzo Abe nhn mnh:iu rt quan trng l tip tc
n lc v ngoi giao v tm kim mt gii php ha bnh.

8* Vn Triu Tin khng d dng nh vy.


Ngy 20-4-2017, tr li phng vn ca t Wall Street Journal, Tng thng Donald
Trump tit l rng Tp Cn Bnh gii thch cho ng nghe v tnh hnh bn o
Triu Tin v ng Trump kt lun: Triu Tin tht s l mt phn ca Trung
Quc. Sau khi lng nghe 10 pht ti nhn ra rng: Vn Triu Tin khng d
dng nh vy.

Cu i s Nam Hn London v Tokyo, ng Rah Jong-yil, ni vi t The


Telegraph (Anh) ng Trump tin rng Triu Tin l mt phn ca Trung Quc cho
thy ci dt n kinh ngc ca ng v tnh hnh ca khu vc ng Bc .

ng Rah gii thch: ng l bn o Triu Tin b nh hng ca trung Quc


nhng l thi nh Minh rt xa xa. Ngy nay khng cn na.

ng Rah kt lun: Ai cn phi soi sng cho ng Trump v nhng s kin trong
khu vc khng b nh la bi ch ngha dn tc ng ngn ca Bc Kinh.

Ch nghe 10 pht qua ming li ca Tp Cn Bnh m ng Trump o ln tt


c quan im v bin Hoa ng v Bin ng. Chng t chnh quyn Trump cha
tit l mt chin lc r rng v bn o Triu Tin ni ring v v Chu Thi
Bnh Dng ni chung.

Trung Quc cho rng Triu Tin l mt phn ca Bc Kinh. Vit Nam cng vy.
Cng l mt phn ca Trung Quc cho nn h xc nh hai qun o Hong Sa
(Ty Sa) v Trng Sa (Nam Sa) cng thuc v Trung Quc. V th, Trung Quc
tin hnh cuc chin thu hi hai qun o ny. H ni rng Vit Nam cp hai
qun o ca h, cho nn phi nh Vit Nam m h gi rng St Vit Khu vi
Nam Sa chi chin t k. (Git bn gic Vit Nam lm l t c cho trn chin
thu hi Nam Sa).
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Tm li, vai tr ca Trung quc rt quan trng trong v gii quyt cc vn ca


bn o Triu Tin v Bin ng.

9* Mi e da t Trung Quc
9.1. S tri dy ca Trung Quc

1). Ngi Tu b khinh r

Cui th k 19 u th k 20, nh Thanh suy yu, cc cng quc vo xm chim


Trung Hoa, to ra nhng t gii, nh Php Thng Hi, Anh Hongkong, B
o Nha chim o Macau, k c Nht, B, c

Ngi Tu b khinh r, xp ngang hng nh ch. Mt tm bng cm ngi Tu v


ch vo cng vin. No dogs and Chinese allowed c nhng nhn vin gc
cng ngi n thc hin.

2). S tri dy

Sau mt thi gian n mnh ch thi thc hin bn hin i: nng nghip, cng
nghip, quc phng v khoa hc cng nghip, Trung Quc xc nh Tri dy ha
bnh. Tp Cn Bnh tuyn b: Trung Quc phi thit lp chnh sch ngoi giao
nc ln mang tnh c th Trung Quc.

Tp Cn Bnh kch ng dn tc ch ngha thc hin Gic Mng Trung Hoa


(Chinese Dream). c coi l cng cuc i phc hng dn tc Trung Hoa a
nc ny ln v tr siu cng s mt trn th gii.

9.2. Trung Quc l mi e da ca th gii


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Thi hung hng bnh trng b quyn c th hin qua vic chim cc o
Bin ng v bin Hoa ng khin cho cc nc trong khu vc lo ngi. Ngay c
siu cng nh Hoa K cng cm thy b e da trong tng lai.

H Cm o tuyn b ng la l sn phm ca qu kh. ng ni: H thng


tin t quc t ly USD lm trung tm, hin nay l mt sn phm ca qu kh,
ng thi nhn mnh n lc ca Bc Kinh nhm a ng Nhn dn t tr thnh
mt ng tin ton cu.
10* Chin lc Bin Xanh ca Trung Quc
Vi chin lc Bin Xanh (Lam sc quc th chin lc), Trung
Quc tuyn b ch quyn ca h trn mt vng bin rng 300
triu km2, bao gm vng bin ca Nam Hn, Nht Bn thuc bin
Hoa ng. Vit Nam, Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei thuc Bin
ng. Ta Trng ti Quc t bc b ch quyn ny ca Trung
Quc.

thc hin lm b ch th gii, Trung Quc thit lp hai


vnh ai, qun s v kinh t. V qun s l Chui ngc trai. V
kinh t l Con ng t la th k 21

10.1. Chui ngc trai

Chui ngc trai v Con ng t la th k 21 ( trn b, xanh trn bin)

Chui Ngc Trai (Nht xuyn trn chu String of Pearls) l mt vnh ai trn
bin bt u t o Hi Nam, xung o Ph Lm (Woody Island) ca Hong Sa,
tin xung nhm o Trng Sa, qua hi cng Sihanoukville ca Campuchia. Qua
kinh o Kra, m ly Myanmar (Min in), dng li Karachi, Pakistan.
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Chui Ngc Trai l mt h thng cn c hi qun xem nh tin n ca Trung


Quc nc ngoi.

10.2. Con ng t la th k 21 ca Trung Quc

1). Con ng trn b

Con ng trn b l h thng xa l cao tc v ng st ni lin cc quc gia t


Trung Quc i qua Trung tin vo Iran, Iraq, Syria, Th Nh K v chm dt ti
thnh ph Venice () ca chu u.

2). Con ng trn bin

Bt u t Tuyn Chu (Phc Kin) qua Qung ng chy xung eo bin Malacca
qua n Dng sang Kenya, Somalia (chu Phi) qua Bin (Hng Hi) vo
a Trung Hi (Mediterranean Sea) v cui cng cng n thnh ph Venice ca
(chu u).
Tham vng ca con ng t la th k 21 l ni lin ba chu lc: Chu , Chu
u v Chu Phi.
Trung Quc thnh lp Ngn hng u t C s h tng Chu (Asian
Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) vin tr, cho vay v u t vo nhng
nc nm trn con ng t la, gip pht trin cc c s h tng nh ng s,
cu cng, phi cng, hi cng, bnh vin, trng hc
11* Chin lc bao vy lm suy yu Trung Quc ca Hoa K
11.1. Vnh ai qun s ca M
Nhng cn c ho tin ca Hoa K, t Alaska, Hm i 3 Bc Thi Bnh
Dng, Hm i 7 Thi Bnh Dng, Nam Hn, Nht Bn, i Loan, o Guam,
Honolulu (Hawaii), Philippines, c, Thi Lan, n Singapore. Bn chic tun
duyn hm ti tn nht l USS Freedom LCS-1 v USS Independence LCS-2,
thng trc ng n ca ra vo ca eo bin Malacca
Su hng khng mu hm nm trn vnh ai bao vy, u cha ho lc vo mt
mc tiu c nh l Bc Kinh.
Ngoi v tr, tu con thoi khng ngi li X-37B, ang lm ch khng gian, lm
t lit h thng nh v ton cu (GPS) ca Trung Quc th ho tin st th
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HKMH DF-21 hon ton v dng. Thm vo , X-37B cng c kh nng phng
ha tin xung Bc Kinh, ng thi 3 siu v kh tng hnh ph hy chin thut
vng cm tip cn ca TC v nht l t 12 v tr trn vng ai bao vy, cng khai
ha mt lc nhm vo Hoa lc. Thin la a vng thnh lp, Bc Kinh c 3 u
6 tay cng chy tri khng khi nng.
11.2. Vnh ai kinh t chng Trung Quc
i tc kinh t xuyn Thi Bnh Dng TPP (Trans-Pacific Partnership) l mt
khu vc thng mi t do min thu v xa b nhng ro cn khc, gm 12 quc
gia: Singapore, Chile, New Zealand, Brunei, Hoa K, Australia, Malaysia, Vit
Nam, Nht Bn, Canada, Philippines, Peru.
Theo c tnh ca Vin Kinh T Quc T Peterson (M), khi TPP i vo hot ng
th Trung Quc c th b thit hi khong 100 t USD/nm v cc thnh vin ca
TPP giao dch vi nhau, v v thu quan v ro cn b bi b, do h s bt lm
n vi Trung Quc.

12* Chnh quyn Tng Thng Trump cha tit l chin lc Chu
-Thi Bnh Dng
12.1. M phi c chin lc i vi Trung Quc
Chnh quyn Obama dng TPP chng li Con ng T la th k 21 ca Trung
Quc. Th nhng Tng Thng Trump hy b TPP. Vy M s c chin lc g
lm suy yu Trung Quc? ng nhin l M phi c.
Mc d nh kinh doanh a c ny c th khng theo di st v cc vn chnh
tr, qun s, kinh t th gii, nhng trong dn c vn ca ng, nhiu ngi c kh
nng thit lp chin lc v Chu -Thi Bnh Dng.
M v Trung Quc khng th sng chung ha bnh lu di c bi v chng
trnh Make America Great Again v Gic Mng Trung Hoa t n c nhiu mu
thun vi nhau.
12-2. Thi gian ha hon hin nay gia Tng Thng Trump v Tp Cn Bnh
Hin ti, ng Trump ang nh Tp Cn Bnh gip gii quyt vn ht nhn ca
Bc Hn, cho nn khng ng g n tranh chp Bin ng. M ngng
nhng cuc tun tra Trng Sa. Vng bin hnh li b Bin ng s tnh sau.
Tp Cn Bnh cng ang ha hon vi M gii quyt cc tranh chp ni b
trc i hi 19 ca ng CSTQ s m ra cui nm 2017. Tranh chp bc l r
16

rng gia Tp Cn Bnh v Th tng L Khc Cng trong vic tranh ginh chc
v Tng b th ca ng.

13* Kt lun
Nhng tuyn b ca Tng Thng Donald Trump thng c tnh h da. Khng
phn nh c chin lc ca Hoa K i vi Bc Hn v c Trung Quc na.
ng Trump cho bit, ng s vinh hnh c gp ng con ph l va mp va
khng, cng vi nhng li ca ngi lnh o Bc Hn, trong khi , Bc Hn co
buc CIA m mu st hi Kim Jong-un bng cht c sinh ha, gm phng x
v cht c nano.
Tng Thng Trump v Tp Cn Bnh u bit r nhau. B ngoi thn tht ni
ci m trong nham him git ngi khng ao. Tiu l tng ao.
Tng Thng Trump mun ph trng quyn lc ca Tng thng Hoa K. Hai s
vic rt him xy ra. l triu tp ton b Hi ng Bo An LHQ v ton b
Thng Vin Hoa K n Nh Trng lm vic.
Ngy 24-4-2017, ton th Hi ng BA/LHQ gm 15 thnh vin, trong c 5
thnh vin thng trc l Anh, Php, Trung Quc, Nga v Hoa K, n Nh Trng
nghe tng thng yu cu gia tng cc bin php trng pht Bc Hn. Vic ny
cha c tin l. Tht ra th Hoa K hin l ch tch lun phin ca t chc LHQ
ny.
Ngy 26-4-2017, ton b Thng Vin gm 100 TNS n Nh Trng nghe
Ngoi trng Rex Tillerson, B trng QP Jim Mattis, Gim c An ninh Quc gia
Dan Coats v tng Joseph Dunford bo co v vn v kh ht nhn ca Bc
Hn.
Tng Thng Donald Trump l nhn vt c bit, chuyn gy sng gi, ni ting v
ci ng k c ci sai.
Trc Giang
Minnesota ngy 7-5-2017

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