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Section-02
June,2017
GROUP MEMBERS
1. Population Forecasting
- The data obtained from Hawassa City Administration indicates that the
population in 2008 E.C was 371,826 with a growth rate of 4.02% per year.
- Using the Geometric Increase Method, the population for the following
years has been estimated.
t (a+b)/
Pt = Po + (1+ )
Pt 386,774 573,622
2. Water Demand
i. Domestic Water Demand
- According to Table 8.8 of the Central Statistical Agencies Report on
SNNPR, the drinking water demand by housing units of Hawassa City
Administration in 2007 E.C was as follows:
Table 1.2: Percentage User and Per-capital demand for 2007 E.C
Mode of Service % User Demand
(L/cap/day)
HTU 16.988 50
YTU 47.93 40
PTU 35.082 20
- Take the demand growth rate as 2.2 % for HTU&PTU and 1.5 % for PTU
per decade.
- Take the % user growth rate as 2% annually.
- Sample calculation for the projection of the % user and demand for the years
2009 and 2019 is given below:
t
% User = % User + (1+ )
100
2
= 116.988 +(1+ 100)2
= 17.6743 %
t
Demand = Demand + (1+ )
100
2.2
= 50 + ((1+ 100)0.2
1
AAU,AAiT,SCEE June,2017
Semester Project WATER SUPPLY & DRAINAGE CEng-3182
= 50.218 L/cap/day
2
AAU,AAiT,SCEE June,2017
Semester Project WATER SUPPLY & DRAINAGE CEng-3182
The total daily demand is the sum of the total domestic and non-domestic
demands.
- 2009 E.C, 20849.71 m3/day
- 2019 E.C, 34787.4628 m3/day
Table 1.6: Typical Peak Factors
Population Maximum Day Factor Peak Hour Factor
0 to 20000 1.30 2.00
20001 to 50000 1.25 1.90
50001 and above 1.20 1.70
Q day,max =
3
AAU,AAiT,SCEE June,2017