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1. Probability
Definition: the likelihood that a specific event will occur
Types of probability:
a) Theoretical Probability
Favored outcome
Possible outcomes
b) Experimental Probability
c) Subjective Judgement
To Carefully Consider
A decision can be based on theoretical probability,
experimental probability, subjective judgement or a
combination of these.
E.g. Bailey decides not to bring her umbrella today. For despite the
forecast she feels it will not rain today.
E.g. Chris does not buy a draw ticket because too many people have
already joined and Chris feels unlucky.
E.g. Bob leaves for work 15 minutes in advance as that is the time,
on average that it usually takes for him to walk to work.
Rubric Statistics Design Project
2. Statistics
Definition: Deals with the collection, organization, analysis, and
presentation of data
To Carefully Consider
It is important to carefully consider and describe the population to
ensure
To Carefully Consider
A sample needs to be
Large enough to properly represent the entire population
Non-bias
Randomly selected from the population
Rubric Statistics Design Project
c) Sampling Methods
M Simple Random All members of the population I wish to conduct a survey with a sample
HIG
OR Sampling have an equal chance of being of 80 SJF students. Odds of being
HE
E part of the sample selected to participate are
R
RA 80 in 550
PO
ND
SSI Stratified Random Small categories are established I wish to ensure equal representation
O
BLE Sampling to properly represent the entire across each grade level at SJF, and will
M
BIA population. Participants are randomly select 20 students from each
S randomly selected within level
those categories
Odds of being select in
Grade 9 20/96
Grade 10 20/150
Etc
Systematic Sampling Every nth person on the list will I place all grade 9 students in
participate in the survey alphabetical order, then proceed to
select every 15th student to participate in
the survey
Cluster Sampling The population is already pre- I select Mr. Knoxs grade 12 Chemistry
divided into smaller groups. class to conduct the survey on
The survey is given to all the preference of musical genres.
members of that smaller group.
Convenience Sampling The survey is administered to The survey questions are asked to the
whatever members of the next 20 people you see in the hallway.
population are at hand
Self-selected Sampling Members of the population Survey is placed online and people must
volunteer to participate in the choose to complete the survey.
survey.
Rubric Statistics Design Project
f) Using Stats
To Carefully Consider
Statistics can be used in arguments on both sides. This does
not mean that the data is wrong or inconclusive, it is how the
math is interpreted which differs.
5 3 1
Students clearly Students present Students do not
present the the collected data. present all of the
collected data. Data is clean, and collected data.
Data Data is clean, incudes title, labels
Presented incudes title, labels or legends
and legends.
10. 5
15
Rubric Statistics Design Project